DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1032z - - 1341z - - 1623z - - 1910z - - 2208z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.0 - - 30.5 - - 36.8 - - 31.5 - - 22.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -41 - - -10 - - 6 - - -22 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1362 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4697 - - 4697 - - 4697 - - 4697 - - 4697 Hcrit BL Top 4714 - - 4714 - - 6862 - - 4714 - - 4714 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 67 - - 243 - - 1958 - - 517 - - 104 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 8 - - 92 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 127 - - 130 - - 337 - - 344 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - -4 - - -2 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 1711 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4713 - - 4713 - - 5151 - - 4713 - - 4713 sfcLCL ODpotential -6903 - - -3604 - - 116 - - -1517 - - -4422 ODpotential blCL 11617 - - 8318 - - 6746 - - 6231 - - 9136 blCL maxRH 84 - - 101 - - 93 - - 90 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.0 - - 30.5 - - 36.8 - - 31.5 - - 22.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.6 - - 28.4 - - 30.7 - - 30.3 - - 20.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.3 - - 31.4 - - 37.6 - - 32.8 - - 23.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.6 - - 28.4 - - 30.7 - - 30.3 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -41 - - -10 - - 6 - - -22 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1362 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 104 - - 72 - - 60 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70194 6 303 7 336 4 303 6 314 8 307 70194 59510 35 269 43 257 38 278 30 276 23 281 59510 54259 23 296 23 258 25 253 33 245 47 264 54259 51379 40 297 41 296 41 276 48 270 64 259 51379 47841 62 272 61 276 66 265 72 260 75 262 47841 44734 70 262 71 268 77 260 84 263 88 268 44734 43231 75 258 78 269 86 265 93 266 94 268 43231 41577 79 263 85 269 93 268 100 267 97 272 41577 40594 83 266 89 269 98 269 104 267 102 273 40594 39967 86 267 92 268 101 269 107 267 106 273 39967 39334 88 268 96 268 104 269 110 266 109 273 39334 38649 92 268 99 268 108 268 114 266 112 272 38649 37945 95 269 101 267 111 268 115 265 113 272 37945 37343 101 269 104 267 113 267 113 265 113 274 37343 36892 105 269 108 267 115 266 112 266 114 275 36892 36498 109 269 111 267 115 265 113 268 117 275 36498 36073 112 265 115 268 115 267 116 270 121 275 36073 35335 108 262 117 264 118 267 121 269 124 271 35335 30828 93 260 112 264 114 266 120 269 115 268 30828 27413 93 258 100 265 107 265 110 270 103 272 27413 26419 91 259 95 266 104 266 105 270 96 273 26419 25370 88 261 93 266 99 265 100 273 92 275 25370 24296 84 262 88 266 91 267 94 275 87 276 24296 22528 80 263 83 265 84 267 87 275 81 279 22528 20961 76 263 79 264 80 267 79 272 73 279 20961 19648 72 264 74 265 75 265 71 273 68 277 19648 18083 68 265 66 267 71 266 66 273 61 283 18083 16675 65 266 61 266 67 268 63 275 56 281 16675 15707 59 267 58 261 62 270 59 278 54 280 15707 14714 53 268 53 260 56 271 54 279 49 282 14714 14089 47 270 42 260 52 270 49 281 44 291 14089 13552 41 276 30 267 48 271 46 281 37 299 13552 12565 39 277 24 281 43 278 40 285 28 305 12565 12418 36 280 23 289 34 286 35 293 29 313 12418 9881 34 281 22 290 27 296 28 303 26 318 9881 8806 32 282 22 293 24 300 20 312 23 322 8806 8433 29 283 21 294 22 303 19 314 22 323 8433 8065 27 284 21 295 19 308 16 321 20 325 8065 7701 25 285 19 294 17 312 15 323 19 327 7701 7341 21 284 18 293 15 317 13 330 18 329 7341 6985 18 282 15 290 13*321 13 332 17 332 6985 6634 13 279 13 284 11*327 13 333 17 332 6634 6286 9 274 10 275 9 332 13 334 16 333 6286 5942 6 261 7 259 6 339 13 334 15 333 5942 5601 4 221 6 238 4 344 13 333 13 331 5601 5265 5 185 7 216 3 350 13 333 10 330 5265 5043 9 175 8 207 2 356 12 332 7 338 5043 4877 11 162 8 165 1 003 9 333 6 003 4877 4768 9*134 6*142 1 003 6*334 6*050 4768 4713 4*127 3*130 1 344 2*344 3*074 4713 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography