DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Hollister 381ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1019z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1857z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.5 - - 39.8 - - 53.1 - - 46.5 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - -3 - - 15 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 937 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 381 - - 381 - - 381 - - 381 - - 381 Hcrit BL Top 397 - - 397 - - 1318 - - 397 - - 397 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 61 - - 180 - - 1445 - - 1483 - - 738 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 7 - - 101 - - 4 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 145 - - 145 - - 254 - - 072 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 2 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1037 - - -1455 - - -3170 - - -1678 - - -1183 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1434 - - 1852 - - 4489 - - 2075 - - 1580 sfcLCL ODpotential -13812 - - -13113 - - -12240 - - -12022 - - -12465 ODpotential blCL 14209 - - 13510 - - 13558 - - 12419 - - 12862 blCL maxRH 62 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.5 - - 39.8 - - 53.1 - - 46.5 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.1 - - 33.5 - - 35.2 - - 39.1 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.8 - - 39.8 - - 53.0 - - 46.6 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 33.5 - - 35.2 - - 39.1 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - -3 - - 15 - - -1 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 937 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 100 - - 102 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 69920 24 021 20 035 23 029 27 036 28 037 69920 62980 25 331 41 001 37 008 27 006 24 000 62980 57378 37 003 34 008 27 027 33 018 44 012 57378 53538 52 351 55 356 60 001 65 355 55 353 53538 49396 59 353 70 347 64 348 61 348 61 351 49396 45909 54 001 65 351 64 354 76 354 78 353 45909 44732 68 009 77 002 79 360 87 353 88 353 44732 43928 81 004 86 003 87 356 95 351 94 352 43928 43442 86 001 89 002 90 355 98 351 97 352 43442 43102 88 360 92 001 92 355 100 351 99 351 43102 42746 90 359 96 359 96 355 103 351 101 351 42746 42330 95 358 98 358 98 356 105 351 102 350 42330 41752 100 358 101 358 100 356 106 350 103 349 41752 41101 111 358 104 358 100 356 108 350 102 346 41101 40041 116 359 107 360 97 358 108 349 99 344 40041 37847 115 001 108 001 97 001 99 349 96 347 37847 36181 97 360 106 003 95 001 92 351 89 350 36181 32893 77 359 79 001 87 358 80 354 76 351 32893 29746 64 352 64 354 84 002 75 353 69 353 29746 25095 62 350 60 351 66 357 67 003 64 352 25095 22674 64 351 58 351 63 353 60 003 62 352 22674 20241 65 353 60 350 62 352 58 357 58 352 20241 17594 66 354 61 347 61 352 56 350 52 346 17594 15954 61 355 58 344 59 350 55 348 52 345 15954 14481 55 353 51 342 56 346 51 347 51 346 14481 13095 52 350 50 342 54 343 50 344 50 348 13095 11869 46 350 52 342 52 334 50 345 48 349 11869 10816 41 347 52 340 49 332 50 345 47 350 10816 9921 38 340 48 335 46 334 49 346 46 352 9921 9071 34 334 45 333 41 337 44 346 45 354 9071 8281 29 327 38 332 37 338 37 344 43 354 8281 7665 25 324 33 327 33 335 35 344 40 355 7665 7141 20 322 30 320 31 333 30 341 36 356 7141 6626 18 318 27 314 31 329 28 340 32 357 6626 6120 16 314 23 301 30 327 27 341 26 357 6120 5621 14 310 20 291 28 324 25 341 23 355 5621 5131 12 309 19 290 25 320 22 339 20 353 5131 4649 10 302 15 294 23 318 21 336 19 354 4649 4177 8 301 12 290 21 316 18 339 18 357 4177 3713 6 274 10 282 19 312 15 339 17 001 3713 3258 5 243 10 282 16 306 14 335 14 007 3258 2811 4 216 9 277 13 305 12 334 11 011 2811 2371 4 186 8 268 11 306 6 342 6 014 2371 1937 4 181 7 264 8 292 2 013 4 020 1937 1510 4 194 5 261 6*264 4 049 3 049 1510 1088 6 200 3 252 4*254 4 074 4 070 1088 810 9 191 4 210 4 255 4 096 7 075 810 603 12 166 8 164 3 253 4 105 7 073 603 466 8 147 7 140 3 254 3 094 5 072 466 397 3*145 2*145 3 251 1*072 2*078 397 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography