DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Hernandez 2868ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1023z - - 1335z - - 1612z - - 1901z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.9 - - 69.5 - - 76.4 - - 73.5 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -58 - - 80 - - 255 - - 12 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 283 - - 3321 - - 2292 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2868 - - 2868 - - 4961 - - 2868 - - 2868 Hcrit BL Top 2885 - - 3152 - - 6190 - - 5161 - - 2885 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 16 - - 1080 - - 2530 - - 2466 - - 37 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 116 - - 388 - - 125 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 132 - - 188 - - 227 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -4 - - 13 - - 9 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4980 - - -8730 - - -7478 - - -7348 - - -6001 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7865 - - 11883 - - 13669 - - 12509 - - 8887 sfcLCL ODpotential -16738 - - -15968 - - -14344 - - -13998 - - -14785 ODpotential blCL 19623 - - 19120 - - 20534 - - 19159 - - 17670 blCL maxRH 23 - - 33 - - 50 - - 47 - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.9 - - 69.5 - - 76.4 - - 73.5 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.7 - - 27.9 - - 26.3 - - 28.8 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 68.7 - - 74.8 - - 73.3 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.7 - - 27.9 - - 26.3 - - 28.8 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -58 - - 80 - - 255 - - 12 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 283 - - 3321 - - 2292 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 75434 16 084 18 093 17 097 18 098 14 085 75434 61398 5 231 2 238 3 190 6 189 6 207 61398 57885 6 213 6 217 9 193 14 210 11 220 57885 54896 12 219 14 241 4 257 5 228 10 179 54896 52445 10 221 12 224 8 212 12 227 12 219 52445 49050 14 212 15 244 14 281 13 280 9 282 49050 47829 15 156 16 208 17 267 21 288 18 298 47829 46834 9 099 18 168 20 238 25 271 21 284 46834 46019 8 012 6 130 11 204 23 255 22 277 46019 45345 9 354 4 134 9 215 18 240 22 271 45345 44580 9 348 4 129 9 217 18 234 22 265 44580 43583 11 353 2 122 9 227 16 233 21 258 43583 42213 11 349 1 318 8 237 14 229 19 254 42213 40580 9 341 4 315 7 248 13 231 19 255 40580 38236 5 323 7 314 5 256 16 255 20 263 38236 35525 2 292 6 297 8 258 16 263 20 266 35525 32205 2 325 4 302 7 246 13 268 16 263 32205 29158 3 349 6 312 3 231 11 262 12 256 29158 25669 2 315 6 288 2 148 7 224 10 229 25669 21858 8 238 10 271 6 225 10 215 13 210 21858 18558 10 246 11 264 9 249 10 236 12 205 18558 17002 11 250 12 258 9 253 10 249 11 217 17002 16094 10 243 12 256 8 252 11 254 11 234 16094 15164 7 229 11 244 8 253 11 255 11 242 15164 14345 6 222 8 231 8 253 10 259 12 252 14345 12625 7 214 9 227 7 235 8 246 10 243 12625 11996 8 207 10 220 7 228 8 239 10 239 11996 11495 9 192 10 210 8 223 7 228 10 231 11495 11000 9 187 11 201 10 219 7 222 9 228 11000 10513 11 184 12 199 10 216 8 217 10 221 10513 10032 12 177 13 197 9 205 8 206 9 210 10032 9558 13 171 13 188 9 198 8 185 10 192 9558 9090 13 166 14 171 10 188 10 170 11 173 9090 8628 14 165 15 161 10 173 11 165 13 162 8628 8174 14 165 15 158 11 161 12 163 14 163 8174 7725 13 166 14 156 11 159 12 167 15 167 7725 7283 10 160 11 152 11 161 11 172 14 175 7283 6846 8 144 10 148 11 166 8 181 13 183 6846 6416 7 133 9 148 10*171 5 196 12 192 6416 5990 5 126 9 149 10*178 5 203 11 201 5990 5569 4 127 9 152 9 182 5*206 11 212 5569 5154 4 146 8 154 9 185 5*210 11 223 5154 4743 5 150 8 159 8 183 5 216 12 229 4743 4336 5 155 7 160 7 185 6 224 11 230 4336 3934 5 161 7 162 7 189 6 228 9 227 3934 3537 4 165 5 154 7 194 7 233 7 229 3537 3274 4 169 4*154 7 198 7 234 7 234 3274 3078 3 164 2*129 7 201 6 236 6 233 3078 2949 2*107 2 133 6 202 6 235 2*225 2949 2885 5*044 1 132 5 202 4 236 3*040 2885 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography