DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0942z - - 1027z - - 1338z - - 1618z - - 1907z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 16.2 - - 16.2 - - 25.2 - - 26.5 - - 24.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -26 - - 22 - - 117 - - 39 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 172 - - 953 - - 1976 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1032 - - 1032 - - 1032 - - 1032 - - 1032 Hcrit BL Top 1050 - - 1242 - - 2023 - - 3046 - - 1050 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 444 - - 92 - - 1845 - - 947 - - 1980 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 63 - - 195 - - 174 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 307 - - 322 - - 252 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1567 - - -1512 - - -3160 - - -3281 - - -2126 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2617 - - 2754 - - 5183 - - 6328 - - 3176 sfcLCL ODpotential -6476 - - -10458 - - -15018 - - -18871 - - -14819 ODpotential blCL 7526 - - 11700 - - 17041 - - 21917 - - 15869 blCL maxRH 71 - - 71 - - 68 - - 76 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 16.2 - - 16.2 - - 25.2 - - 26.5 - - 24.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.1 - - 8.6 - - 6.6 - - 2.8 - - 15.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 16.7 - - 16.5 - - 24.8 - - 26.6 - - 25.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.1 - - 8.6 - - 6.6 - - 2.8 - - 14.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -26 - - 22 - - 117 - - 39 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 172 - - 953 - - 1976 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 68111 23 323 28 321 25 341 26 331 27 343 68111 59770 47 329 47 341 41 334 46 331 45 328 59770 54964 57 333 61 333 61 331 65 331 63 339 54964 51206 66 322 69 330 71 334 81 327 76 334 51206 48139 64 324 78 327 77 328 81 329 89 335 48139 45134 75 332 82 327 80 327 85 337 90 329 45134 43690 84 334 83 330 82 332 91 339 91 327 43690 42475 92 337 86 341 85 337 95 339 89 327 42475 41530 98 339 94 344 90 338 96 340 89 331 41530 40845 104 341 99 344 95 338 98 340 93 334 40845 40151 109 341 105 344 99 338 101 340 100 335 40151 39480 111 340 110 343 102 338 107 340 109 335 39480 39032 113 339 116 343 104 339 111 339 112 334 39032 38657 114 339 119 342 106 340 114 337 113 333 38657 38171 116 339 122 341 107 340 116 335 113 334 38171 37536 119 339 126 340 109 340 117 335 115 335 37536 36463 123 340 131 340 111 340 120 335 120 335 36463 35223 127 341 139 340 117 339 131 337 122 331 35223 34990 130 342 145 340 127 338 135 336 119 329 34990 29303 131 342 142 344 128 335 124 335 110 331 29303 26745 131 342 133 345 120 338 112 336 98 329 26745 25100 129 343 121 344 110 341 103 337 90 326 25100 23521 124 343 112 343 101 338 94 335 85 322 23521 22273 116 343 103 341 95 332 90 335 85 321 22273 20445 109 343 97 338 91 331 88 333 84 323 20445 19099 103 341 95 336 87 329 83 333 78 326 19099 17801 96 339 92 332 79 332 78 334 72 327 17801 16570 91 340 87 333 71 328 70 334 65 324 16570 15722 84 341 80 337 68 329 64 332 56 325 15722 14899 77 339 72 340 62 330 56 330 47 326 14899 14181 73 338 72 338 58 332 50 329 42 324 14181 13375 72 339 69 339 55 333 45 330 38 321 13375 11961 68 340 63 341 51 334 40 328 33 317 11961 10339 61 341 58 343 46 337 35 326 29 314 10339 9059 52 344 48 344 37 337 27 323 24 307 9059 7851 44 344 40 344 30 337 21 317 17 300 7851 6683 37 342 32 343 22 333 18 316 13 299 6683 5852 30 341 26 338 17 334 14 313 9 287 5852 5068 22 347 24 332 14 348 6 300 7 237 5068 4296 17 002 17 331 12 007 5 216 9 228 4296 3724 18 007 15 356 12 355 6 222 12 233 3724 3307 20 005 16 360 11 346 9*244 13 231 3307 2897 21 003 17 360 12 343 11*252 12 229 2897 2492 23 002 18 358 12 341 11 251 11 228 2492 2093 25 001 18 353 13*333 11 252 10 227 2093 1697 26 348 19 349 10*324 11 253 9 227 1697 1436 19 338 19*332 9 322 10 252 9 226 1436 1242 14 333 12*309 8 321 10 253 7 219 1242 1113 12*330 10 306 8 320 9 254 5*208 1113 1049 9*328 8 305 7 320 8 253 3*199 1049 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography