DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0936z - - 1025z - - 1337z - - 1615z - - 1906z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.2 - - 37.8 - - 40.2 - - 38.6 - - 34.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - 101 - - 96 - - -35 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1535 - - 3305 - - 372 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 26 - - 26 - - 1642 - - 26 - - 26 Hcrit BL Top 44 - - 1615 - - 3385 - - 452 - - 44 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 923 - - 962 - - 3201 - - 7017 - - 5833 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 220 - - 282 - - 60 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 22 - - 31 - - 18 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 317 - - 337 - - 329 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 16 - - 19 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -6 - - -11 - - -2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -865 - - -81 - - 102 - - -2374 - - -1637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 909 - - 1697 - - 3283 - - 2827 - - 1682 sfcLCL ODpotential -3452 - - -1556 - - -1877 - - -3021 - - -2193 ODpotential blCL 3496 - - 3171 - - 5262 - - 3473 - - 2237 blCL maxRH 84 - - 83 - - 92 - - 66 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 19 CAPE Temp@2m 33.2 - - 37.8 - - 40.2 - - 38.6 - - 34.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.6 - - 30.8 - - 26.1 - - 26.5 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.5 - - 37.7 - - 39.9 - - 38.9 - - 34.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.6 - - 30.8 - - 26.0 - - 26.5 - - 27.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - 101 - - 96 - - -35 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1535 - - 3305 - - 372 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 32 - - 69 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 71515 53 228 35 229 27 226 19 257 21 287 71515 58099 60 250 77 253 67 274 53 287 40 276 58099 52971 51 247 56 243 53 248 40 256 38 268 52971 47846 60 249 54 262 57 260 59 249 54 265 47846 44171 79 251 78 255 62 249 56 253 57 267 44171 41177 95 248 78 246 68 252 63 261 57 280 41177 39912 100 246 82 249 69 251 68 263 57 283 39912 38306 100 244 81 245 70 246 67 263 61 286 38306 37138 96 241 76 241 65 247 65 262 56 287 37138 36381 90 235 72 243 64 249 62 264 51 286 36381 35767 88 235 71 246 65 249 58 268 48 285 35767 35326 89 241 72 246 66 250 56 269 46 282 35326 33685 93 246 74 247 66 251 57 266 45 285 33685 32766 105 251 76 249 65 252 59 263 47 290 32766 31903 114 252 78 252 65 251 56 261 45 292 31903 31144 116 250 81 252 65 251 54 262 42 289 31144 30459 111 246 82 250 64 252 50 269 40 286 30459 29838 106 244 82 248 63 253 48 271 39 284 29838 29188 102 243 77 247 61 253 47 267 39 285 29188 28585 98 243 72 247 60 253 44 265 39 287 28585 28180 96 243 70 245 60 254 41 272 37 289 28180 27551 95 243 69 243 60 257 42 276 35 291 27551 26883 94 244 70 242 59 256 43 280 35 301 26883 26538 91 244 70 241 57 255 42 282 37 307 26538 26221 83 245 68 242 54 253 42 282 41 307 26221 25651 77 245 64 242 50 251 41 281 42 304 25651 24861 71 244 61 243 49 251 42 280 41 304 24861 24049 62 241 60 243 49 251 43 279 41 307 24049 23223 58 242 58 241 49 252 41 280 43 305 23223 22388 56 243 55 241 47 253 38 280 45 305 22388 21301 52 244 52 242 46 257 34 280 45 310 21301 19966 47 246 49 243 44 260 32 282 45 315 19966 17607 42 248 44 241 40 262 30 285 44 320 17607 16199 39 252 37 235 37 259 27 292 41 320 16199 14809 32 251 33 240 36 250 26 302 35 323 14809 13669 41 251 35 255 30 247 26 299 31 323 13669 12803 20 237 35 272 22 259 29 285 30 323 12803 11769 11 305 12 339 7 178 21 294 28 321 11769 9661 18 338 22 344 17*322 27 298 26 329 9661 6063 19 340 24 346 35*338 35 326 37 325 6063 2848 19 339 25 348 35 339 31 331 37 325 2848 2413 20 341 26 350 33 337 30 331 35 324 2413 1983 23 345 28*348 32 337 29 331 33 324 1983 1558 27 350 27*324 31 336 28 331 31 323 1558 1138 30 337 25 318 30 335 27 331 28 322 1138 723 23 323 23 315 28 335 24*330 24 320 723 449 19 319 21 314 26 334 22*329 21 318 449 245 16 317 19 313 23 333 20 329 18 317 245 110 13*316 16 313 20 333 17 328 14*315 110 43 9*315 12 313 16 333 12 327 10*314 43 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography