DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.1 - - 75.6 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 141 - - 40 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4473 - - 4576 - - 19 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2823 - - 2021 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4553 - - 4656 - - 99 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1357 - - 2254 - - 5156 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 371 - - 265 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 302 - - 301 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1194 - - 1517 - - -1426 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3359 - - 3139 - - 1525 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 338 - - 392 - - -2989 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4215 - - 4264 - - 3088 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 94 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 330 - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.1 - - 75.6 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.4 - - 61.9 - - 64.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.4 - - 75.5 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.1 - - 60.6 - - 63.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 141 - - 40 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4473 - - 4576 - - 19 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 50 - - 75 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98340 13 098 7 029 11 038 98340 90924 13 066 18 075 16 085 90924 85255 12 058 23 084 23 088 85255 80571 17 082 19 082 22 073 80571 76532 14 098 14 101 10 057 76532 72957 18 127 11 110 5 095 72957 69706 13 104 4 129 4 083 69706 66704 4 148 6 210 6 244 66704 63925 8 155 9 255 9 259 63925 61248 6 347 11 276 8 277 61248 58447 18 290 18 262 19 282 58447 55513 28 273 21 269 22 269 55513 52673 33 269 29 284 20 268 52673 50083 35 269 33 277 24 287 50083 47762 32 270 26 273 32 281 47762 45679 33 268 27 278 27 267 45679 43790 34 262 35 284 16 286 43790 42062 27 253 34 282 41 298 42062 40477 18 255 33 289 49 294 40477 39014 23 287 30 286 47 296 39014 37642 29 294 23 294 43 306 37642 36314 29 296 25 306 51 316 36314 34960 29 306 33 314 52 322 34960 33551 30 310 49 301 47 331 33551 32088 29 307 46 305 49 332 32088 30556 26 303 43 311 46 325 30556 28946 24 293 43 317 36 321 28946 27255 27 289 42 323 35 316 27255 25477 30 288 37 323 36 315 25477 23611 28 294 31 320 33 323 23611 21663 25 304 28 317 28 322 21663 19628 25 303 27 312 25 314 19628 17502 27 305 29 310 27 308 17502 15330 27 312 31 311 28 313 15330 13238 25 314 29 311 27 321 13238 11338 24 316 27 312 27 319 11338 9655 25 318 26 317 29 317 9655 8168 25 317 24 321 31 323 8168 6850 24 320 23 313 29 327 6850 5683 21 320 22*310 25 329 5683 4650 19*314 20*308 21 332 4650 3740 17*306 17 303 18 333 3740 2936 16 304 16 301 17 333 2936 2217 15 302 15 299 15 333 2217 1581 15 301 14 299 13 334 1581 1052 14 300 14 298 12 333 1052 646 13 300 13 298 10 330 646 366 13 299 12 298 8 324 366 196 12 299 11 298 6 315 196 99 9 299 8 297 3*292 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography