DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/08 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.9 - - 83.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 286 - - 153 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4152 - - 5077 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3483 - - 3878 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4861 - - 5786 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1687 - - 1898 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 437 - - 382 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 117 - - 123 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1041 - - -992 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5902 - - 6778 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7091 - - -6523 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11952 - - 12309 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 78 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.9 - - 83.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.8 - - 56.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.6 - - 82.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.7 - - 55.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 286 - - 153 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4152 - - 5077 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98731 25 108 24 107 98731 91273 21 099 15 095 91273 85557 14 096 13 084 85557 80815 14 089 14 075 80815 76731 16 082 11 092 76731 73114 19 069 9 082 73114 69842 16 045 9 058 69842 66847 14 050 8 069 66847 64080 20 025 15 048 64080 61405 20 013 20 023 61405 58627 20 347 23 355 58627 55757 24 331 25 342 55757 53019 31 337 29 341 53019 50555 39 339 38 340 50555 48360 44 332 44 332 48360 46390 38 328 44 324 46390 44604 33 331 40 319 44604 42956 32 333 39 318 42956 41411 33 335 35 317 41411 39950 34 338 29 318 39950 38563 35 338 25 320 38563 37214 31 340 24 320 37214 35836 26 350 21 326 35836 34403 24 355 20 352 34403 32920 22 352 22 002 32920 31371 20 342 21 357 31371 29741 19 348 18 350 29741 28028 17 355 17 333 28028 26231 13 351 14 308 26231 24354 9 000 11 309 24354 22398 8 019 11 297 22398 20355 9 309 14 319 20355 18222 14 330 13 353 18222 16052 9 014 9 021 16052 13963 5 096 4 338 13963 12063 5 147 2 201 12063 10377 0 073 3 161 10377 8886 2 315 4 211 8886 7567 8 310 5 215 7567 6399 5 290 5*172 6399 5365 4*142 5*156 5365 4452 5*129 5 138 4452 3644 6 124 6 128 3644 2921 6 119 6 121 2921 2282 6 116 6 115 2282 1748 6 112 6 111 1748 1338 6 109 6 109 1338 1056 6 108 6 108 1056 885 5 106 5 106 885 787 5 107 5 105 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography