DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 87.8 - - 88.5 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 422 - - 180 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8882 - - 11499 - - 13056 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8846 - - 10927 - - 11542 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10982 - - 13599 - - 15156 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5025 - - 5073 - - 2892 - - 10719 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 659 - - 693 - - 544 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 340 - - 322 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -41 - - -21 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -664 - - -620 - - 170 - - -11104 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11646 - - 14220 - - 14987 - - 13250 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -930 - - -841 - - -889 - - -13573 ODpotential blCL - - - 11912 - - 14440 - - 16045 - - 15718 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 91 - - 58 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 620 - - 240 - - 40 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 87.8 - - 88.5 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 31.8 - - 29.2 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 85.0 - - 87.1 - - 83.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.2 - - 31.8 - - 29.1 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 471 - - 422 - - 180 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8882 - - 11499 - - 13056 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 63 - - 0 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98164 24 093 17 124 12 086 18 097 98164 90729 21 093 23 102 17 098 18 101 90729 85045 25 092 25 110 20 105 18 089 85045 80335 24 109 22 105 19 114 15 092 80335 76276 18 110 18 109 17 114 13 110 76276 72677 13 123 11 118 8 129 9 121 72677 69417 6 051 8 145 8 133 7 144 69417 66441 5 182 4 244 4 031 4 074 66441 63705 5 157 10 211 6 254 5 272 63705 61060 18 265 14 246 16 273 13 276 61060 58281 27 254 19 260 22 262 21 270 58281 55369 27 258 23 266 26 262 26 274 55369 52569 26 265 27 272 30 271 30 279 52569 50037 29 270 29 272 30 271 31 288 50037 47760 32 265 29 274 25 285 38 288 47760 45694 32 270 28 274 28 295 28 293 45694 43812 35 271 23 288 23 299 20 300 43812 42087 31 277 22 304 19 309 15 327 42087 40487 32 284 19 301 18 310 24 354 40487 38998 32 282 15 292 16 333 28 001 38998 37609 26 275 9 306 19 350 31 020 37609 36283 23 277 7 353 22 021 44 037 36283 34945 28 287 15 038 28 037 51 036 34945 33564 29 287 18 042 35 042 49 033 33564 32144 28 284 15 036 38 042 45 030 32144 30678 28 284 10 021 40 040 36 028 30678 29151 29 287 7 025 39 043 27 024 29151 27556 26 293 5 059 38 045 26 029 27556 25889 22 307 4 088 36 047 26 035 25889 24153 20 320 5 033 32 053 25 039 24153 22350 18 323 7 346 17 048 23 036 22350 20480 17 333 15 338 10 029 23 024 20480 18543 17 354 18 349 14 006 23 023 18543 16574 17 002 18 356 13*002 19 020 16574 14671 14 359 17*355 12*354 13 013 14671 12932 8 331 16*352 12 339 10 338 12932 11376 11*302 15 352 13 327 10 312 11376 9985 11*301 13 352 13 323 10 305 9985 8739 11 302 12 350 13 321 10 305 8739 7624 11 303 12 346 13 319 9 309 7624 6629 11 305 11 340 13 315 9 315 6629 5746 11 307 11 333 13 313 8 322 5746 4961 11 309 11 327 12 312 8 329 4961 4254 11 311 11 321 12 310 8 336 4254 3625 11 313 11 316 12 309 8 341 3625 3099 11 315 11 312 12 308 8 346 3099 2693 10 316 11 310 11 308 7 349 2693 2413 10 317 11 309 11 307 6 353 2413 2242 10 316 10 308 11 308 4*355 2242 2145 9 318 10 308 10 307 3*353 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography