DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1033z - - 1341z - - 1624z - - 1911z - - 2210z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.7 - - 52.6 - - 63.6 - - 56.0 - - 42.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 159 - - 182 - - -19 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 661 - - 3122 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6632 - - 6632 - - 8530 - - 6632 - - 6632 Hcrit BL Top 6650 - - 7346 - - 9807 - - 6650 - - 6650 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 44 - - 454 - - 2009 - - 270 - - 23 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 200 - - 351 - - 5 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 056 - - 104 - - 234 - - 243 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -4 - - -6 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - -5582 - - -6180 - - -8491 - - -4756 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6649 - - 12928 - - 15987 - - 15142 - - 11407 sfcLCL ODpotential -12710 - - -12822 - - -11777 - - -15412 - - -14708 ODpotential blCL 19360 - - 20168 - - 21584 - - 22062 - - 21358 blCL maxRH 67 - - 31 - - 29 - - 27 - - 25 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.7 - - 52.6 - - 63.6 - - 56.0 - - 42.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 19.9 - - 16.8 - - 13.5 - - 16.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.1 - - 51.5 - - 62.0 - - 56.7 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.5 - - 19.9 - - 16.8 - - 13.5 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 159 - - 182 - - -19 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 661 - - 3122 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 76647 40 078 38 087 34 086 39 090 41 092 76647 63064 1 053 7 036 8 118 10 116 11 134 63064 58101 12 217 3 309 10 118 10 174 8 175 58101 55163 6 147 3 251 14 117 14 216 12 189 55163 51817 4 349 6 344 12 081 4 078 13 168 51817 48855 11 011 3 019 10 100 2 267 3 188 48855 47237 8 000 2 335 2 137 5 192 10 237 47237 45759 3 317 1 343 3 298 10 273 14 259 45759 44710 3 337 3 105 5 282 10 281 14 270 44710 44080 5 353 6 086 5 272 10 275 13 270 44080 43513 7 334 8 063 4 257 12 265 13 268 43513 42920 8 326 8 043 5 257 14 263 14 267 42920 42321 10 335 6 009 7 262 17 263 16 264 42321 41551 14 342 6 329 11 263 20 255 18 257 41551 39726 16 330 9 306 12 259 21 245 19 249 39726 38245 17 324 10 327 6 268 15 224 17 246 38245 36116 13 356 11 319 6 308 7 202 19 230 36116 31723 15 009 12 341 8 278 6 215 15 215 31723 26469 18 359 13 341 9 292 5 235 8 221 26469 21582 9 346 8 359 8 305 4 288 8 253 21582 19438 8 312 5 311 8 288 7 302 10 266 19438 17699 5 231 4 315 6 301 6 313 10 278 17699 16162 8 192 7 235 8 276 7 300 10 282 16162 15059 12 182 10 223 10 253 8 265 10 260 15059 14656 12 183 11 222 11 248 10 247 9 253 14656 14259 12 187 11 221 12 239 11 242 9 245 14259 13867 12 191 13 220 16 236 11 241 8 239 13867 13480 12 192 14 220 17 234 10 237 8 235 13480 13097 13 190 14 220 17 233 10 231 7 237 13097 12719 12 183 14 220 16 228 10 231 7 242 12719 12346 11 173 13 220 14 227 10 233 6 247 12346 11977 9 166 12 219 13 230 10 236 6 246 11977 11611 7 167 11 216 11 235 9 238 5 243 11611 11250 5 180 8 214 11 240 9 241 6 236 11250 10893 4 195 7 215 10 242 8 243 6 233 10893 10539 4 216 6 225 10 241 7 250 8 228 10539 10188 4 234 7 250 10 239 6 252 9 219 10188 9841 5 235 8 258 9*238 6 251 9 213 9841 9497 5 232 7 265 8*248 6 246 9 209 9497 9156 4 227 6 268 7 259 6 241 8 205 9156 8819 2 206 2 312 4 245 6 236 7 205 8819 8484 1 130 3 063 4 231 6 235 6 209 8484 8152 3 100 5 075 4 227 6 233 4 220 8152 7824 4 097 6 079 4 223 7 236 4 238 7824 7498 8 090 10*095 4 221 8 238 3 265 7498 7176 11 090 8*102 4 221 9 239 4 286 7176 6963 13 089 7 104 4 219 9 239 5 315 6963 6805 13 062 7 105 4 219 9 240 7 354 6805 6700 10*053 6 105 4 218 8*240 9*017 6700 6649 5*056 5 107 3 217 4*243 3*028 6649 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography