DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1032z - - 1341z - - 1623z - - 1910z - - 2208z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.4 - - 41.6 - - 48.1 - - 42.2 - - 36.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -59 - - 44 - - 63 - - -20 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 45 - - 45 - - 1163 - - 45 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 6257 - - 6257 - - 6257 - - 6257 - - 6257 Hcrit BL Top 6274 - - 6274 - - 7392 - - 6274 - - 6274 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 186 - - 885 - - 637 - - 183 - - 196 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 56 - - 184 - - 10 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 190 - - 200 - - 221 - - 204 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -6 - - -2 - - -2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -1628 - - -551 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6274 - - 7902 - - 7944 - - 6274 - - 6274 sfcLCL ODpotential -9529 - - -8424 - - -6027 - - -5488 - - -6781 ODpotential blCL 15803 - - 14698 - - 13419 - - 11762 - - 13055 blCL maxRH 77 - - 60 - - 74 - - 78 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.4 - - 41.6 - - 48.1 - - 42.2 - - 36.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.6 - - 29.2 - - 35.3 - - 39.0 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.5 - - 41.0 - - 47.2 - - 42.4 - - 36.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 29.2 - - 35.2 - - 39.0 - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -59 - - 44 - - 63 - - -20 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 45 - - 45 - - 1163 - - 45 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 72907 6 082 3 134 7 148 10 179 7 144 72907 61942 10 355 3 195 8 281 5 264 20 245 61942 58149 15 268 7 331 6 284 7 282 10 238 58149 54213 17 270 16 298 21 255 27 268 23 259 54213 50722 21 297 14 300 18 230 31 242 44 255 50722 47747 27 292 27 284 28 276 38 259 42 258 47747 46238 28 286 26 278 34 270 40 257 40 260 46238 44731 31 291 29 288 35 266 38 257 38 271 44731 43730 36 296 31 289 30 268 32 260 36 273 43730 43118 38 296 31 287 30 271 32 266 38 277 43118 42478 34 295 31 284 31 274 31 269 41 279 42478 41725 31 298 30 280 33 275 35 276 39 278 41725 40866 32 302 27 279 35 276 37 280 37 278 40866 39979 37 297 28 282 36 276 37 288 38 283 39979 39173 40 289 29 285 36 279 42 293 45 286 39173 38028 40 282 31 287 38 281 47 297 49 285 38028 34569 36 277 32 288 36 273 46 294 46 282 34569 30508 31 281 33 284 37 275 39 282 42 274 30508 25849 31 281 32 281 35 275 39 268 41 270 25849 22458 32 268 31 269 33 274 39 263 42 275 22458 20848 33 264 31 262 34 275 41 267 41 279 20848 19751 35 260 31 257 36 275 42 271 38 281 19751 18801 34 255 33 256 38 272 42 273 34 283 18801 17616 32 253 36 256 40 275 40 276 31 284 17616 16562 34 270 35 257 41 270 37 277 29 284 16562 14861 34 272 34 266 38 273 36 281 26 281 14861 13554 33 269 34 268 37 273 36 282 25 282 13554 13162 32 268 34 269 36 273 35 284 25 282 13162 12774 30 265 33 269 35 273 35 285 25 282 12774 12391 28 263 33 271 33 273 34 287 24 282 12391 12011 27 261 32 272 31 273 33 289 24 283 12011 11636 26 259 31 272 30 273 32 291 24 283 11636 11265 25 258 30 272 29 272 32 292 24 284 11265 10898 24 256 29 270 27 270 30 293 23 285 10898 10535 22 253 28 267 25 268 29 294 23 285 10535 10176 21 250 28 265 25 267 28 295 21 285 10176 9821 20 248 28 263 23 268 26 297 18 284 9821 9470 19 247 27 261 21 268 24 299 15 280 9470 9123 18 245 25 257 20 268 21 300 13 276 9123 8780 19 241 23 252 19 265 16 301 13 270 8780 8440 19 237 22 246 19 258 12 292 13 265 8440 8104 19 231 21 239 18 247 12 279 15 258 8104 7772 19 229 21 231 17 236 12 255 17 254 7772 7443 20 226 21 223 14*224 14 233 17 249 7443 7118 22 215 22 214 12*220 14 217 18 240 7118 6796 21 201 18 198 11 220 13 208 20 219 6796 6585 19 189 14 198 10 221 12 200 17 199 6585 6428 13 183 12 199 8 222 9 196 12 192 6428 6325 9*187 10*199 7 222 7*197 9*196 6325 6274 6*190 6*200 5 222 4*204 6*199 6274 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography