DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1032z - - 1341z - - 1623z - - 1910z - - 2208z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.3 - - 35.1 - - 38.0 - - 36.6 - - 32.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 18 - - 32 - - -17 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 18 - - 402 - - 1645 - - 18 - - 2570 BL Depth Hcrit 2197 - - 2197 - - 2197 - - 2197 - - 2197 Hcrit BL Top 2213 - - 2597 - - 3840 - - 2213 - - 4765 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 492 - - 825 - - 2151 - - 5033 - - 1802 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 79 - - 155 - - 10 - - 55 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 27 BL Wind Direction 279 - - 300 - - 304 - - 306 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - 8 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 32 - - 386 - - -1296 - - 1194 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2213 - - 2565 - - 3454 - - 3509 - - 3571 sfcLCL ODpotential -4718 - - -3360 - - -132 - - -1806 - - 446 ODpotential blCL 6931 - - 5957 - - 3972 - - 4019 - - 4319 blCL maxRH 100 - - 94 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 35 - - 17 CAPE Temp@2m 35.3 - - 35.1 - - 38.0 - - 36.6 - - 32.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.0 - - 31.7 - - 30.7 - - 29.1 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.4 - - 35.0 - - 37.8 - - 36.6 - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.0 - - 31.7 - - 30.7 - - 29.1 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 18 - - 32 - - -17 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 18 - - 402 - - 1645 - - 18 - - 2570 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 75 - - 89 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 68203 13 317 8 296 12 288 13 272 17 281 68203 59201 27 287 33 281 33 266 39 280 32 280 59201 54125 59 285 63 286 60 271 48 270 44 273 54125 48287 71 286 67 283 76 277 71 276 68 278 48287 45407 84 281 85 279 93 279 91 278 86 280 45407 42774 92 273 89 274 97 276 101 275 97 278 42774 41177 91 272 89 274 94 274 100 275 97 278 41177 39869 89 272 88 273 93 273 99 275 97 278 39869 38999 89 273 91 272 94 273 99 274 98 278 38999 38371 89 273 94 272 94 273 99 275 98 278 38371 37767 89 274 95 272 95 273 100 275 99 278 37767 37192 91 275 96 271 97 272 99 275 100 278 37192 36585 94 275 99 271 99 271 98 274 101 279 36585 35838 99 275 102 270 102 270 98 274 104 278 35838 34908 104 274 106 270 105 271 99 274 109 278 34908 33769 107 275 109 269 108 271 100 275 110 277 33769 32531 111 274 112 270 109 270 101 276 106 279 32531 31318 116 271 115 269 112 269 100 276 101 279 31318 29999 117 268 117 269 113 268 98 276 98 280 29999 28619 104 267 115 269 113 268 95 276 95 279 28619 27595 97 268 112 271 112 269 93 277 92 279 27595 26468 92 271 102 269 108 270 89 277 87 280 26468 25226 89 273 97 272 101 270 88 277 84 281 25226 23944 85 275 89 271 94 270 90 277 84 280 23944 22854 82 276 87 269 88 270 91 278 82 283 22854 22016 77 276 83 270 85 270 88 280 76 287 22016 21419 73 277 76 271 85 272 82 282 69 289 21419 20926 70 277 68 270 82 276 73 283 61 290 20926 20341 66 277 60 270 75 280 69 284 53 289 20341 19670 63 277 55 272 66 283 63 285 49 290 19670 18789 59 279 53 276 60 283 57 287 47 292 18789 17505 54 282 52 281 54 284 53 288 45 296 17505 15350 47 287 52 283 51 286 46 290 46 301 15350 14333 48 299 53 284 48 293 43 292 43 304 14333 12631 40 300 47 293 45 293 47 301 42 306 12631 10304 33 297 43 300 45 300 49 306 44 311 10304 8154 31 293 40 303 41 314 46 310 43 319 8154 6686 31 292 37 305 37 320 43 314 39 323 6686 6381 31 295 35 310 36 321 32 315 37 325 6381 5163 31 299 35 315 34 323 31 314 32*322 5163 4765 31 306 33 318 31 321 29 314 31*321 4765 4370 31 311 32 320 26 315 28 313 31 320 4370 3980 31 313 29 323 21*311 27 312 30 320 3980 3594 31 314 29 321 18*307 26 311 29 319 3594 3212 31 312 27 314 16 304 25 311 28 319 3212 2835 28 298 21*304 14 303 22 310 26 319 2835 2585 20 283 17*301 13 303 21 308 24 318 2585 2399 17 281 15 300 12 302 19 307 22 317 2399 2275 15 280 14 300 11 302 16 307 19 317 2275 2213 12*279 11 300 9 301 13*306 15 316 2213 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography