DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0717z - - 1022z - - 1331z - - 1600z - - 1904z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.9 - - 31.2 - - 31.2 - - 31.5 - - 29.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 22 - - 134 - - 16 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1191 - - 1213 - - 1173 - - 840 - - 588 BL Depth Hcrit 232 - - 232 - - 232 - - 232 - - 232 Hcrit BL Top 1471 - - 1493 - - 1453 - - 1120 - - 868 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 486 - - 664 - - 396 - - 508 - - 635 Hgt.Variab. W* 99 - - 125 - - 218 - - 98 - - 81 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 009 - - 035 - - 063 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1326 - - -832 - - 48 - - 221 - - 405 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2797 - - 2325 - - 1405 - - 899 - - 463 sfcLCL ODpotential -17354 - - -15555 - - 261 - - 255 - - 340 ODpotential blCL 18825 - - 17048 - - 1192 - - 865 - - 528 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 102 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 4 - - 26 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.9 - - 31.2 - - 31.2 - - 31.5 - - 29.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.0 - - 22.3 - - 26.2 - - 28.7 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.0 - - 31.2 - - 30.6 - - 31.5 - - 29.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.0 - - 22.3 - - 26.2 - - 28.7 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 22 - - 134 - - 16 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1191 - - 1213 - - 1173 - - 840 - - 588 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 102 - - 102 - - 107 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 74043 21 276 15 275 8 223 17 246 19 241 74043 61843 45 270 32 261 48 266 47 271 30 258 61843 56735 55 264 64 267 60 261 77 260 77 259 56735 53739 70 257 60 264 79 261 82 235 82 257 53739 50365 103 265 96 267 95 263 93 250 93 259 50365 46808 115 261 114 260 105 258 115 251 110 255 46808 45440 129 256 125 253 116 253 124 247 118 249 45440 43894 119 251 124 246 124 249 124 246 125 243 43894 43305 110 249 115 249 120 246 123 246 127 243 43305 42946 104 260 117 250 119 245 123 245 127 242 42946 42590 122 269 124 254 120 247 123 247 126 243 42590 42411 134 270 131 259 124 250 123 249 121 245 42411 40110 136 268 136 263 127 255 125 254 119 256 40110 39378 134 264 132 262 130 258 129 260 146 264 39378 38437 133 261 124 260 130 259 131 260 146 263 38437 38240 128 259 121 261 127 259 128 258 140 260 38240 32294 118 258 114 259 119 259 116 256 122 256 32294 27701 105 259 105 256 112 258 104 250 100 255 27701 26922 91 259 92 256 102 248 92 243 84 249 26922 24219 75 255 86 253 82 237 77 238 73 239 24219 22500 62 250 80 255 77 244 70 240 70 240 22500 20074 58 253 72 257 68 249 63 245 65 241 20074 17686 60 253 67 257 60 252 57 242 57 238 17686 16161 58 254 64 256 59 260 56 243 56 239 16161 14768 54 253 59 254 50 254 54 244 60 238 14768 13661 52 252 56 255 48 253 52 245 61 239 13661 12645 49 254 53 254 47 255 49 246 57 245 12645 11637 48 256 55 242 46 246 45 245 47 255 11637 10408 39 252 48 237 47 244 42 243 42 259 10408 9286 37 247 42 241 47 245 40 241 40 264 9286 8329 38 247 39 242 45 244 38 247 40 262 8329 7446 35 249 37 245 42 242 38 252 36 260 7446 6923 33 249 38 250 39 239 37 255 32 259 6923 6409 29 249 37 254 38 239 36 260 25 256 6409 5902 27 251 35 258 38 241 34 266 21 251 5902 5402 26 255 31 264 40 247 32 269 18 242 5402 4910 24 257 24 267 38 254 30 270 16 237 4910 4425 20 266 17 256 25 251 29 270 15 229 4425 3950 12 281 12 256 18 267 29 272 15 227 3950 3484 6 298 8 256 11 274 21 277 11 216 3484 3028 14 082 9 124 4 197 7 271 9 172 3028 2582 20 072 10 104 8 127 9 147 9 145 2582 2150 22 060 12 058 13 089 14 125 15 119 2150 1730 24*039 16*034 15*068 14 106 15 082 1730 1317 20*032 13*011 13*039 12*076 16 059 1317 912 19 031 13 009 12 036 8*065 12*048 912 645 18 030 12 008 11 034 7 064 10*049 645 447 16 029 11 008 10 033 6 062 8 052 447 315 14 029 10 007 9 032 5 062 7 052 315 249 10 029 8 007 7 031 4 060 5 055 249 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography