DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1025z - - 1334z - - 1605z - - 1910z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 6.7 - - 23.8 - - 27.9 - - 23.4 - - 23.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - 42 - - 45 - - -13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 7 - - 354 - - 1258 - - 7 - - 7 BL Depth Hcrit 5858 - - 5858 - - 5858 - - 5858 - - 5858 Hcrit BL Top 5875 - - 6222 - - 7126 - - 5875 - - 5875 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 21 - - 887 - - 1298 - - 1631 - - 1127 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 106 - - 168 - - 7 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 002 - - 228 - - 269 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -4 - - 4 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -1664 - - -2049 - - -508 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5875 - - 7887 - - 9175 - - 6383 - - 5875 sfcLCL ODpotential -14175 - - -10497 - - -10401 - - -3814 - - -2676 ODpotential blCL 20050 - - 16719 - - 17527 - - 9689 - - 8551 blCL maxRH 62 - - 75 - - 95 - - 97 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 6.7 - - 23.8 - - 27.9 - - 23.4 - - 23.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.5 - - 10.3 - - 8.6 - - 16.3 - - 20.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 7.0 - - 23.0 - - 27.3 - - 23.5 - - 23.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 2.5 - - 10.2 - - 8.6 - - 16.3 - - 20.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - 42 - - 45 - - -13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 7 - - 354 - - 1258 - - 7 - - 7 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 90 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70750 7 332 16 356 10 024 16 021 12 002 70750 60346 28 312 19 300 27 320 28 305 32 338 60346 54258 31 294 21 274 27 299 32 313 36 337 54258 49798 28 278 25 312 37 312 46 308 52 313 49798 47022 30 307 31 306 41 304 56 303 56 289 47022 43960 39 303 31 295 45 310 42 296 41 302 43960 41859 35 294 36 315 47 307 34 297 35 307 41859 39631 26 300 49 314 38 303 33 306 33 315 39631 38066 36 322 50 309 34 311 37 314 32 321 38066 36783 41 322 52 306 37 318 42 318 38 318 36783 35856 45 322 50 304 37 320 44 317 43 313 35856 35070 46 322 46 302 38 320 48 315 42 310 35070 34436 47 319 37 306 38 319 50 314 41 307 34436 33849 47 316 30 325 37 321 47 316 44 301 33849 33253 40 310 34 339 34 322 47 315 44 302 33253 32699 28 319 40 336 37 321 49 312 45 301 32699 32057 48 002 47 337 46 328 52 310 46 302 32057 31379 50 005 47 337 50 327 55 312 46 302 31379 30829 51 003 44 334 50 324 57 313 44 299 30829 30137 51 002 42 332 52 322 59 312 41 296 30137 29680 53 359 39 330 54 320 58 311 39 293 29680 29058 44 001 42 319 49 320 64 307 37 289 29058 28274 26 020 33 311 43 309 59 304 34 282 28274 28255 25 009 31 303 42 308 53 297 31 276 28255 27166 29 003 31 306 41 309 46 294 34 281 27166 25899 29 005 33 315 42 311 42 297 36 290 25899 23533 24 009 32 321 42 312 30 302 34 293 23533 20709 13 013 21 322 41 310 29 306 29 300 20709 17946 8 320 15 292 39 308 29 307 26 307 17946 15985 17 279 20 280 32 292 29 305 25 312 15985 14614 17 282 23 281 27 287 28 303 27 314 14614 13389 10 284 21 282 26 294 27 301 26 318 13389 12236 7 289 20 286 25 298 26 298 26 325 12236 10925 9 283 20 284 24 296 24 293 24 330 10925 9918 10 282 19 276 22 288 24 283 22 334 9918 9578 10 283 17 271 21 279 25 276 21 336 9578 9242 10 282 16 265 20 274 25 275 20 337 9242 8909 9 282 14 258 19 266 26 271 19 338 8909 8580 7 279 13 250 18 258 27 270 18 339 8580 8255 6 270 12 240 16 249 28 268 17 338 8255 7933 4 253 12 231 14 240 28 267 17 334 7933 7615 3 232 11 225 12 231 25 266 17 326 7615 7300 3 205 11 222 10*226 20 265 17 316 7300 6988 3 178 9 223 8*226 15 265 16 309 6988 6680 3 144 6 216 6 227 13 267 14 305 6680 6376 4 097 2*196 6 228 11 267 10 308 6376 6174 6 080 0*002 6 228 10 267 8 306 6174 6024 7 055 2 002 5 228 8 268 6 304 6024 5925 12*023 2 002 5 230 6*268 5*300 5925 5875 7*012 1 002 5 229 4*269 3*292 5875 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography