DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 71.6 - - 72.6 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 344 - - 176 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6498 - - 11856 - - 11156 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10742 - - 14925 - - 13877 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12366 - - 17724 - - 17024 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4108 - - 1802 - - 1969 - - 9864 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 624 - - 677 - - 531 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 40 - - 28 - - 17 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 073 - - 021 - - 281 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 22 - - 11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -443 - - 2970 - - 1441 - - -8863 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12810 - - 14754 - - 15583 - - 14908 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2541 - - 1394 - - -28 - - -13000 ODpotential blCL - - - 14907 - - 16330 - - 17052 - - 19044 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 98 - - 78 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 150 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.8 - - 71.6 - - 72.6 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 27.4 - - 24.7 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.7 - - 69.0 - - 70.9 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 27.0 - - 24.4 - - 19.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 344 - - 176 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6498 - - 11856 - - 11156 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 93 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98377 21 094 23 090 21 091 12 090 98377 90961 22 090 24 101 20 086 24 093 90961 85248 19 099 20 107 18 084 25 089 85248 80480 19 115 15 121 12 106 18 100 80480 76365 13 109 15 125 11 127 9 102 76365 72736 5 167 6 184 2 096 10 110 72736 69448 7 141 9 208 4 222 2 086 69448 66428 6 312 5 214 6 237 6 237 66428 63639 17 271 11 278 11 259 11 245 63639 60930 20 249 16 257 16 275 13 252 60930 58101 18 269 20 273 22 283 21 284 58101 55164 22 269 25 279 25 280 24 289 55164 52347 21 276 27 267 22 288 27 306 52347 49816 23 295 23 264 22 289 29 303 49816 47567 20 298 20 298 15 303 21 299 47567 45538 19 308 16 307 16 337 15 336 45538 43690 10 332 21 003 30 002 32 358 43690 42007 26 027 38 003 38 004 39 009 42007 40460 43 021 45 001 43 013 44 018 40460 39020 48 026 43 003 51 021 49 017 39020 37672 51 034 37 011 57 021 49 019 37672 36384 53 038 34 025 56 023 45 023 36384 35094 53 041 37 036 45 025 42 027 35094 33775 52 042 44 039 34 026 41 031 33775 32433 48 050 49 035 33 023 36 040 32433 31055 40 051 47 035 33 019 31 036 31055 29632 35 043 46 033 25 017 29 025 29632 28168 34 035 42 038 19 023 24 021 28168 26664 30 034 31 037 19 014 13 013 26664 25120 25 038 29 025 23 008 10 008 25120 23540 24 040 27 022 27 013 15 001 23540 21921 25 041 21 026 27 016 23 009 21921 20260 22 049 13 039 23 007 24 017 20260 18590 11 051 9*024 15*351 19 004 18590 16993 4 047 8*020 9*326 13 346 16993 15540 5 023 8 017 9 324 6 327 15540 14238 7 013 7 016 8 321 4 318 14238 13064 9*011 7 016 7 314 4 310 13064 12002 8*012 6 016 6 298 4 307 12002 11040 7 015 4 018 6 273 4 304 11040 10170 6 025 3 022 6 256 4 304 10170 9385 4 052 2 030 7 244 5 305 9385 8678 3 095 1 041 7 239 5 304 8678 8031 4 132 1 073 8 234 5 301 8031 7449 5 141 1 114 8 231 4 292 7449 6954 6 146 1 139 8 228 4 276 6954 6569 6 149 1 149 8 227 4 256 6569 6302 6 150 1 154 8 227 3 241 6302 6138 7 151 2 157 8 226 2*230 6138 6044 6 151 2 157 8 226 1*246 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography