DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 BarrenRidge_CA 4167ft pt28354@35.178,-118.205,3881ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF IN MEMORY OF: Team Oscar Delta (Mark Navarre) RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1023z - - 1335z - - 1612z - - 1901z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.2 - - 62.9 - - 71.1 - - 68.8 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -52 - - 121 - - 239 - - -5 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 681 - - 2207 - - 1252 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3807 - - 3807 - - 5422 - - 3807 - - 3807 Hcrit BL Top 3824 - - 4848 - - 6374 - - 5419 - - 3824 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 24 - - 684 - - 1697 - - 2752 - - 29 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 180 - - 334 - - 26 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 321 - - 065 - - 098 - - 103 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 4 - - 13 - - 11 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5021 - - -7972 - - -7551 - - -7842 - - -5819 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8845 - - 12821 - - 13926 - - 13262 - - 9644 sfcLCL ODpotential -16835 - - -16357 - - -13849 - - -14638 - - -15655 ODpotential blCL 20659 - - 21205 - - 20223 - - 20057 - - 19479 blCL maxRH 25 - - 37 - - 34 - - 40 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.2 - - 62.9 - - 71.1 - - 68.8 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.9 - - 20.6 - - 23.4 - - 24.2 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.7 - - 62.9 - - 70.5 - - 69.7 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.9 - - 20.6 - - 23.4 - - 24.2 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -52 - - 121 - - 239 - - -5 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 681 - - 2207 - - 1252 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 75850 21 070 24 079 24 081 26 082 23 074 75850 62234 5 061 3 120 4 009 4 136 3 035 62234 57952 2 202 5 201 7 172 6 251 4 167 57952 54810 9 241 8 275 8 136 8 237 10 202 54810 52531 8 193 8 242 3 208 6 251 8 217 52531 49508 6 166 7 203 6 242 6 245 7 243 49508 47897 5 169 4 218 5 242 6 235 7 246 47897 45920 10 147 5 191 6 247 9 271 15 320 45920 44953 15 106 7 152 8 247 14 287 23 317 44953 44220 19 078 9 123 8 231 15 277 22 313 44220 43490 25 057 13 098 4 201 15 263 20 313 43490 42800 27 044 17 079 3 096 10 263 19 315 42800 41536 25 037 18 065 8 060 4 294 14 323 41536 40161 22 028 17 042 11 041 7 359 15 353 40161 38215 20 027 20 022 13 024 14 004 16 360 38215 35503 17 033 18 020 12 017 12 359 16 355 35503 32135 12 038 16 023 10 015 12 347 13 351 32135 29338 7 031 13 005 3 337 10 339 8 000 29338 27646 5 337 5 329 6 194 5 271 5 295 27646 23110 4 232 2 210 5 197 5 196 8 211 23110 18734 11 207 3 219 5 228 7 203 9 201 18734 17026 11 222 6 254 7 221 8 211 9 207 17026 16183 11 228 9 244 10 230 8 225 9 224 16183 15363 12 228 12 237 13 231 9 232 9 236 15363 14433 13 206 14 233 13 225 9 224 10 238 14433 12942 12 198 12 231 10 224 8 216 9 228 12942 12462 11 188 10 227 8 229 8 208 9 224 12462 11989 11 187 9 226 7 223 8 209 8 224 11989 11524 10 178 8 222 7 212 7 207 6 221 11524 11064 9 177 8 218 7 208 6 205 5 214 11064 10611 8 171 8 212 6 204 6 203 3 199 10611 10164 7 168 7 208 6 206 5 202 3 160 10164 9723 7 165 7 200 5 210 5 203 3 133 9723 9288 7 157 6 193 5 220 5 205 3 120 9288 8858 8 149 4 178 5 231 5 209 3 120 8858 8433 9 142 4 164 5 240 4 212 3 138 8433 8014 9 141 5 153 4 240 4 216 2 149 8014 7599 10 140 6 139 3 226 3 221 2 133 7599 7189 10 140 7 131 3 205 3 222 1 101 7189 6783 11 137 9 116 4 174 2 208 2 073 6783 6382 11 132 10 105 5*149 3 179 2 082 6382 5986 12 124 12 097 6*125 4 164 4 087 5986 5594 12 115 13 090 7 092 4*121 5 091 5594 5206 13 104 14*084 7 092 6*102 6 093 5206 4823 13 093 13*075 8 096 7 102 6 093 4823 4444 13 076 9 062 8 099 7 104 6 101 4444 4194 12 058 7 059 8 100 7 104 5 101 4194 4007 10 043 6 060 7 101 7 105 3 082 4007 3884 8*016 6 062 7 103 6 105 5*337 3884 3823 6*321 5 062 6 102 4 104 6*308 3823 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography