DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1025z - - 1334z - - 1605z - - 1910z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.5 - - 15.9 - - 15.7 - - 10.5 - - 10.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 35 - - 40 - - -61 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 352 - - 352 - - 352 - - 352 - - 352 BL Depth Hcrit 9135 - - 9135 - - 9135 - - 9135 - - 9135 Hcrit BL Top 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1031 - - 1480 - - 1951 - - 602 - - 742 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 100 - - 106 - - 31 - - 18 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 352 - - 303 - - 298 - - 312 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -4 - - -13 - - -17 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 - - 9152 sfcLCL ODpotential -568 - - -357 - - -1116 - - -9378 - - -6421 ODpotential blCL 9720 - - 9509 - - 10268 - - 18530 - - 15573 blCL maxRH 98 - - 101 - - 89 - - 82 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.5 - - 15.9 - - 15.7 - - 10.5 - - 10.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.9 - - 13.5 - - 10.0 - - 4.0 - - 7.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 16.6 - - 14.6 - - 14.5 - - 9.9 - - 9.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.9 - - 13.5 - - 10.0 - - 4.0 - - 7.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 35 - - 40 - - -61 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 352 - - 352 - - 352 - - 352 - - 352 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 103 - - 58 - - 27 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 71604 7 291 11 352 4 356 10 018 6 351 71604 60595 22 306 21 277 24 315 27 311 28 327 60595 54193 37 290 31 275 32 287 38 292 31 307 54193 49481 37 278 32 281 29 290 40 299 52 311 49481 46466 31 278 22 281 40 295 47 298 63 296 46466 43570 34 281 36 297 41 282 45 294 42 289 43570 41604 34 287 38 289 32 291 41 285 39 286 41604 39823 31 289 32 284 45 301 40 283 35 288 39823 38704 34 287 37 307 47 296 41 286 33 292 38704 37658 34 285 44 306 45 293 43 289 33 297 37658 36625 24 293 44 304 39 295 44 291 36 301 36625 35887 27 318 44 303 35 296 44 298 39 299 35887 35287 25 311 42 301 33 294 45 298 40 293 35287 34691 25 310 39 299 31 290 43 295 40 285 34691 33894 26 318 32 304 29 295 40 283 37 277 33894 33212 24 323 25 322 30 296 38 273 37 271 33212 32651 23 328 27 340 29 298 32 277 37 274 32651 32051 28 349 33 346 30 300 36 299 34 274 32051 31579 31 011 29 345 30 297 40 304 32 271 31579 31039 43 021 27 346 29 294 54 308 30 266 31039 30556 42 020 32 347 29 293 56 308 30 265 30556 30257 38 027 37 336 37 305 56 307 30 269 30257 30004 30 017 26 326 39 308 37 290 31 269 30004 27918 27 005 29 326 38 306 38 287 44 276 27918 26163 28 351 32 331 39 307 39 294 44 277 26163 22600 24 353 31 336 38 308 39 298 36 279 22600 19745 19 321 25 341 36 307 38 304 30 283 19745 17718 24 280 15 337 29 304 38 306 26 287 17718 15642 29 261 20 289 26 297 38 306 27 297 15642 14175 29 261 29 284 31 297 39 301 30 304 14175 13374 24 274 27 282 35 301 40 291 33 304 13374 12961 20 275 24 281 35 304 39 286 34 303 12961 12700 18 275 22 281 34 304 37 287 34 300 12700 12442 16 276 21 282 33 304 37 290 35 298 12442 12187 15 277 20 281 32 304 36 292 35 296 12187 11934 15 282 19 280 31 303 36 293 35 295 11934 11683 14 285 18 279 31 301 35 293 35 294 11683 11435 14 290 16 277 30 300 35 294 35 294 11435 11190 14 294 15 275 29 299 34 293 34 295 11190 10946 14 298 13 273 27 299 33 293 33 296 10946 10705 13 303 13 273 25 300 33 293 33 297 10705 10466 12 305 12 274 21 302 32 293 33 299 10466 10229 12 311 12 274 18 304 30 296 33 303 10229 9994 12 326 12 277 17 304 27 299 31 309 9994 9762 11 337 8 299 16 303 24 304 27 315 9762 9531 9 351 7 302 15 303 21 308 23 319 9531 9379 8 002 6 301 14 302 18 311 21 321 9379 9265 6 004 6 301 12 300 15 312 18 321 9265 9189 5*359 5*303 10*299 12*312 15*321 9189 9152 3*352 3*303 7*298 8*312 10*321 9152 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography