DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 75.6 - - 79.6 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 46 - - 11 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2538 - - 8929 - - 11870 - - 3260 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 39 - - 29 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 095 - - 046 - - 299 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 7 - - -2 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7714 - - -6264 - - -5985 - - -4259 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11809 - - 10359 - - 10081 - - 8354 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12202 - - -8219 - - -7468 - - -7626 ODpotential blCL - - - 16297 - - 12314 - - 11564 - - 11721 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 42 - - 62 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 140 - - 1200 - - 250 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 75.6 - - 79.6 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.9 - - 44.3 - - 49.3 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.9 - - 75.2 - - 80.0 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.7 - - 43.0 - - 48.2 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 46 - - 11 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98481 25 100 22 113 19 106 25 100 98481 91062 18 108 18 115 15 091 21 087 91062 85321 19 123 11 130 9 094 15 104 85321 80525 6 158 6 102 11 112 7 111 80525 76375 8 168 2 151 5 112 6 106 76375 72708 0 118 4 188 1 277 7 040 72708 69400 6 319 2 307 3 293 5 316 69400 66375 11 284 12 315 11 348 5 322 66375 63589 8 288 16 297 19 317 11 331 63589 60905 10 304 15 303 21 315 18 336 60905 58119 12 329 19 326 22 321 22 317 58119 55237 18 322 25 330 23 325 19 310 55237 52481 19 324 26 321 26 324 21 317 52481 50001 21 339 25 318 27 328 24 327 50001 47789 24 350 26 332 28 338 23 337 47789 45793 31 354 30 344 30 344 27 345 45793 43977 34 001 33 354 29 349 26 351 43977 42311 33 005 34 359 27 353 24 352 42311 40765 31 008 36 005 26 356 24 346 40765 39315 30 009 35 009 25 357 24 340 39315 37949 29 007 33 011 25 354 23 333 37949 36637 27 005 31 011 24 350 23 326 36637 35315 26 005 28 012 22 348 22 317 35315 33957 27 004 25 012 20 346 21 309 33957 32564 29 002 24 011 19 338 23 306 32564 31124 29 359 23 009 20 334 24 308 31124 29625 27 356 22 004 21 334 25 310 29625 28069 25 352 20 357 21 330 24 312 28069 26459 23 349 18 348 21 325 24 312 26459 24799 21 353 19 340 20 321 26 310 24799 23092 20 351 19 335 19 319 25 308 23092 21332 18 344 17 329 19 323 23 309 21332 19512 19 347 15 325 18 328 19 311 19512 17667 15 349 14 327 16 324 14 306 17667 15895 10 330 11 322 12 300 10 289 15895 14284 9 314 12 292 13 280 8 286 14284 12843 10 300 14 283 13 281 8 294 12843 11552 10 286 14 282 13 283 9 301 11552 10391 9 271 13 284 13 287 11 303 10391 9347 8 257 12 288 13 290 14 300 9347 8410 7 243 11 293 13 293 17 296 8410 7574 7 237 9 300 13 295 19 291 7574 6826 6 231 7 309 13 296 20 288 6826 6147 5 222 6 320 12 298 21 285 6147 5540 4 211 4 335 12 299 21 283 5540 5029 3 188 3 355 11 300 21 282 5029 4632 2 155 3 015 11 300 20 281 4632 4358 2 131 3 033 10 300 17 280 4358 4190 2*115 2*040 9*299 14*279 4190 4094 1*095 2*046 7*299 8*276 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography