DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1019z - - 1328z - - 1556z - - 1857z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.0 - - 39.8 - - 47.4 - - 41.4 - - 36.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - -9 - - 201 - - 17 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2355 - - 1424 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4017 - - 4017 - - 5605 - - 4017 - - 4017 Hcrit BL Top 4035 - - 4035 - - 6655 - - 5724 - - 4035 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1248 - - 1343 - - 1132 - - 1538 - - 2397 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 6 - - 324 - - 119 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 17 - - 39 - - 28 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 278 - - 274 - - 301 - - 309 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 21 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -16 - - 22 - - -13 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2367 - - -1775 - - -245 - - 50 - - -863 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6402 - - 5810 - - 6901 - - 5675 - - 4899 sfcLCL ODpotential -10438 - - -7998 - - -4504 - - -1801 - - -2676 ODpotential blCL 14473 - - 12033 - - 11159 - - 7525 - - 6711 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 90 - - 91 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.0 - - 39.8 - - 47.4 - - 41.4 - - 36.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.3 - - 28.5 - - 31.1 - - 30.7 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.3 - - 39.7 - - 46.1 - - 41.1 - - 36.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.3 - - 28.5 - - 31.1 - - 30.7 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - -9 - - 201 - - 17 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 2355 - - 1424 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 98 - - 62 - - 64 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 69756 25 020 28 034 26 038 24 028 24 027 69756 60596 29 317 32 342 33 356 27 009 30 354 60596 56351 29 015 30 006 43 345 56 345 59 350 56351 52326 56 351 64 351 72 339 75 335 70 336 52326 49113 76 338 75 334 69 334 71 339 66 342 49113 44635 78 335 73 336 70 343 80 351 77 354 44635 42597 82 345 76 346 91 351 91 350 92 352 42597 41651 95 351 89 352 106 349 100 348 102 349 41651 41173 105 348 105 349 111 347 105 347 105 347 41173 40810 110 346 113 347 114 346 109 346 107 346 40810 40403 113 344 119 344 117 344 112 344 108 345 40403 40019 115 342 125 342 118 342 114 342 110 344 40019 39578 116 342 128 341 117 341 115 340 112 343 39578 39113 117 344 130 340 112 340 113 338 112 342 39113 38641 119 346 132 340 107 343 111 338 110 343 38641 37980 119 347 127 343 111 348 108 342 111 345 37980 36278 112 348 128 350 125 354 110 354 115 354 36278 35950 104 348 130 351 129 351 116 358 118 357 35950 31693 93 343 126 349 128 351 118 353 106 349 31693 26301 77 336 106 342 117 350 106 348 94 345 26301 24374 72 334 97 338 108 349 101 347 91 346 24374 22748 70 331 90 331 100 347 93 345 85 345 22748 21064 70 331 85 330 94 346 84 342 81 344 21064 19503 65 331 81 330 88 346 78 344 76 343 19503 18110 59 329 76 329 79 345 71 344 68 340 18110 16699 54 328 71 328 71 345 66 344 60 341 16699 14731 50 325 66 326 67 340 63 342 59 343 14731 13390 51 327 65 324 66 334 63 340 59 345 13390 12375 53 324 64 324 65 329 61 340 57 347 12375 11276 50 322 62 324 63 328 60 340 54 350 11276 10523 48 321 60 325 61 328 59 339 52 351 10523 9947 47 319 58 324 60 328 58 337 51 352 9947 9530 46 317 57 324 59 329 58 336 50 352 9530 9118 45 314 55 323 57 329 56 334 49 352 9118 8713 45 310 54 321 56 329 55 333 47 351 8713 8314 44 307 54 319 55 329 53 332 44 349 8314 7921 44 303 53 315 54 327 50 331 41 347 7921 7534 43 299 52 311 54 323 47 327 37 343 7534 7153 43 295 51 305 52 316 43 322 33 337 7153 6777 42 290 49 301 49*310 40 318 28 332 6777 6406 41 284 48 296 47*306 37 313 25 327 6406 6039 39 278 46 291 45 303 35*309 22 325 6039 5677 37 271 44 286 43 301 33*308 21 322 5677 5318 32 265 41 280 41 300 31 308 19 319 5318 4963 25 265 36 274 39 300 29 309 17 316 4963 4611 20 266 30 271 36 299 28 310 14 314 4611 4379 17 268 27 272 34 300 26 310 12 313 4379 4206 14 271 24 272 32 300 23 311 10 311 4206 4091 11*274 21*273 29 301 21 312 8*312 4091 4034 9*278 17*274 26 302 18 313 7*311 4034 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography