DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.0 - - 74.7 - - 85.7 - - 88.5 - - 79.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 72 - - 313 - - 383 - - 196 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 1720 - - 3746 - - 5106 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 1075 - - 2660 - - 3414 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 410 - - 1826 - - 3853 - - 5213 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 391 - - 658 - - 1695 - - 2700 - - 1606 Hgt.Variab. W* 114 - - 330 - - 458 - - 409 - - 13 W* B/S 6 - - 30 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 143 - - 141 - - 180 - - 207 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - -9 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1210 - - -2250 - - -2796 - - -2135 - - -6087 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1620 - - 4076 - - 6649 - - 7349 - - 6211 sfcLCL ODpotential -9976 - - -7157 - - -5419 - - -4496 - - -10186 ODpotential blCL 10386 - - 8983 - - 9272 - - 9709 - - 10309 blCL maxRH 83 - - 71 - - 56 - - 67 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 120 - - 630 - - 930 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 60.0 - - 74.7 - - 85.7 - - 88.5 - - 79.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.3 - - 57.3 - - 56.9 - - 56.6 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 72.8 - - 83.5 - - 87.2 - - 80.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.1 - - 56.8 - - 56.2 - - 56.0 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 72 - - 313 - - 383 - - 196 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 1720 - - 3746 - - 5106 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98626 25 106 21 108 17 104 14 105 11 104 98626 91199 26 107 22 102 19 107 15 110 17 085 91199 85464 18 097 16 114 15 104 15 112 10 110 85464 80675 10 122 10 128 9 118 11 135 5 153 80675 76540 4 140 8 175 4 189 2 142 2 155 76540 72884 5 231 7 214 10 235 4 322 1 314 72884 69574 5 248 8 248 13 250 11 286 8 306 69574 66539 10 271 13 272 12 276 14 273 14 285 66539 63730 13 278 15 279 16 270 17 278 14 270 63730 61005 18 280 19 285 20 264 23 277 17 261 61005 58151 23 271 24 284 24 272 27 273 24 275 58151 55188 26 267 26 274 29 273 33 276 34 279 55188 52368 30 274 28 268 31 270 36 270 38 278 52368 49837 33 282 30 276 32 274 36 277 40 278 49837 47574 33 279 33 275 36 276 41 277 41 283 47574 45535 29 290 32 279 38 281 42 287 40 283 45535 43689 33 297 37 292 40 291 41 295 36 296 43689 42003 33 292 39 298 36 296 38 300 41 307 42003 40448 29 289 35 295 32 313 35 306 43 309 40448 39001 26 291 32 296 30 334 34 317 42 309 39001 37640 27 298 30 302 37 345 37 326 42 312 37640 36324 27 307 27 307 40 349 38 328 44 314 36324 34980 25 310 28 310 36 349 36 327 44 311 34980 33580 23 307 28 308 27 336 34 327 41 309 33580 32124 21 301 27 305 29 320 33 326 40 304 32124 30598 19 292 26 302 32 319 32 325 40 302 30598 28989 22 294 25 296 28 317 32 326 39 302 28989 27297 22 300 24 299 29 316 32 327 36 301 27297 25523 20 304 23 301 28 308 30 324 32 297 25523 23669 20 305 19 295 26 298 28 318 29 301 23669 21739 17 298 17 290 22 297 26 309 27 307 21739 19724 15 288 17 287 18 298 24 303 25 305 19724 17619 14 288 14 293 14 299 21 300 23 299 17619 15467 12 301 11 307 11 304 18 297 23 294 15467 13389 11 314 9 323 9 302 15 299 21 291 13389 11494 10 325 8 324 9 302 12 305 19 294 11494 9808 10 334 7 315 9 306 11 316 16 302 9808 8308 9 335 6 297 9 305 11 309 13 314 8308 6972 6 345 5 301 9 306 11 289 10 317 6972 5785 5 022 4 326 10 301 10*276 7 301 5785 4734 7 014 5 343 7*288 8*249 5 297 4734 3808 7 007 6 004 4*221 8 228 7 301 3808 2992 6 009 5 015 5 188 10 208 10 294 2992 2262 8 009 1*045 5 180 11 202 13 281 2262 1619 10 008 1*145 6 175 12 198 15 265 1619 1084 5 001 2 144 6 172 12 196 16 248 1084 673 3*154 2 141 6 170 12 193 16 231 673 392 4*145 2 138 6 169 12 193 14 215 392 221 3 143 2 138 5 169 11 192 12*205 221 123 3 143 2 136 5 168 10 190 9*200 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography