DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 60.2 - - 61.4 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 44 - - 52 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 809 - - 613 - - 990 - - 485 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2246 - - 2050 - - 2427 - - 1922 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1030 - - 1229 - - 1281 - - 1250 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 142 - - 126 - - 158 - - 67 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 075 - - 082 - - 049 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 618 - - 547 - - 685 - - 299 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1628 - - 1503 - - 1742 - - 1623 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 172 - - 124 - - 293 - - -228 ODpotential blCL - - - 2074 - - 1926 - - 2134 - - 2150 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 70 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.2 - - 60.2 - - 61.4 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.3 - - 57.8 - - 58.0 - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 59.7 - - 60.9 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 57.3 - - 57.4 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 44 - - 52 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 809 - - 613 - - 990 - - 485 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98385 16 081 8 081 18 040 20 057 98385 91020 24 088 20 098 12 068 15 049 91020 85386 23 070 24 088 17 100 12 061 85386 80710 18 057 20 083 19 091 16 069 80710 76667 9 097 17 077 17 082 15 067 76667 73084 14 117 9 098 12 070 10 075 73084 69833 9 087 9 108 5 081 5 069 69833 66838 2 155 2 010 4 100 3 004 66838 64055 7 169 7 250 7 267 9 314 64055 61359 3 105 8 167 12 205 10 271 61359 58546 12 303 8 260 9 258 12 270 58546 55615 17 262 22 248 20 254 18 264 55615 52800 23 254 20 256 19 250 22 256 52800 50253 35 254 29 267 29 272 24 260 50253 47963 41 254 37 260 39 269 26 261 47963 45888 45 256 43 254 42 263 29 261 45888 44001 48 255 46 248 45 258 34 259 44001 42273 51 253 44 248 49 252 39 260 42273 40673 53 254 54 252 53 251 42 263 40673 39183 69 252 70 252 57 250 45 262 39183 37789 79 250 80 249 63 249 60 258 37789 36450 82 246 90 245 75 247 75 253 36450 35090 77 246 93 244 79 247 82 250 35090 33677 71 249 93 243 78 248 81 250 33677 32214 68 252 87 243 68 248 63 251 32214 30693 57 248 71 246 56 250 45 248 30693 29106 41 242 53 250 48 254 39 244 29106 27447 34 242 42 251 34 250 37 240 27447 25711 34 247 41 249 30 251 31 242 25711 23902 31 247 34 256 26 255 22 256 23902 22025 27 246 23 252 18 254 12 279 22025 20073 24 244 19 251 16 249 9 301 20073 18041 21 244 18 256 16 257 11 304 18041 15971 19 255 17 263 17 265 13 300 15971 13975 19 268 17 261 19 270 14 299 13975 12159 17 275 14 257 16 274 11 295 12159 10545 13 276 11 272 14 288 10 317 10545 9110 10 294 11 282 13 310 14 356 9110 7831 6 312 9 281 15 330 20 009 7831 6695 4 337 8 293 16 345 19 022 6695 5690 5 352 8 320 14 353 16 038 5690 4808 5 351 7 336 14 354 13 045 4808 4030 4 042 5 343 12 356 10 054 4030 3335 10 075 4 064 8 019 10 081 3335 2722 13*076 9 082 8*044 11 092 2722 2212 13*075 9*082 8*048 11*093 2212 1820 12 075 9*082 8 048 9*095 1820 1550 10 076 8 082 7 049 8 096 1550 1387 9 075 7 082 7 050 7 096 1387 1293 7 075 6 082 5 049 5 096 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography