DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.3 - - 82.0 - - 85.3 - - 84.5 - - 78.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 124 - - 242 - - 144 - - 14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1156 - - 3023 - - 3976 - - 3409 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 2523 - - 2995 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1816 - - 3683 - - 4636 - - 4069 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1224 - - 2158 - - 3307 - - 2638 - - 1027 Hgt.Variab. W* 221 - - 374 - - 348 - - 171 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 189 - - 167 - - 143 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -537 - - 543 - - 485 - - 74 - - -1397 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2354 - - 3141 - - 4152 - - 3995 - - 2140 sfcLCL ODpotential -3666 - - -606 - - -531 - - -1640 - - -3527 ODpotential blCL 5482 - - 4289 - - 5167 - - 5709 - - 4270 blCL maxRH 80 - - 86 - - 79 - - 77 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 1450 - - 2910 - - 2920 - - 2600 - - 2800 CAPE Temp@2m 75.3 - - 82.0 - - 85.3 - - 84.5 - - 78.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.1 - - 70.3 - - 69.3 - - 69.1 - - 71.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.4 - - 80.3 - - 84.2 - - 84.5 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.3 - - 69.4 - - 68.5 - - 68.5 - - 71.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 124 - - 242 - - 144 - - 14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1156 - - 3023 - - 3976 - - 3409 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 45 - - 18 - - 8 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98387 13 080 13 103 7 153 2 103 12 046 98387 90940 14 050 15 094 11 103 13 088 8 069 90940 85237 12 076 15 082 20 104 13 084 15 081 85237 80525 18 096 13 089 19 088 12 093 17 085 80525 76473 18 108 14 098 15 096 17 096 14 099 76473 72897 21 119 13 124 11 118 12 101 13 097 72897 69675 11 104 11 127 11 132 8 155 9 099 69675 66735 10 194 10 162 7 181 7 190 1 086 66735 64021 12 212 14 171 14 200 13 192 13 229 64021 61399 14 245 14 239 9 249 13 288 13 242 61399 58665 22 246 25 247 27 267 21 287 18 282 58665 55810 25 262 29 253 33 266 38 281 34 285 55810 53058 34 276 35 260 46 273 50 279 47 281 53058 50559 43 273 44 267 54 276 57 280 55 283 50559 48308 46 271 47 267 54 275 62 278 64 283 48308 46268 44 267 44 270 51 274 64 272 67 280 46268 44409 39 270 40 275 47 275 59 274 63 276 44409 42700 39 275 42 289 41 287 60 284 60 278 42700 41116 34 284 37 286 35 294 50 282 59 282 41116 39635 36 306 33 298 31 299 39 287 54 287 39635 38243 37 313 32 311 29 308 31 291 42 280 38243 36902 33 311 34 323 28 318 27 298 30 274 36902 35541 28 310 37 327 28 330 27 299 28 278 35541 34127 26 311 35 325 27 334 21 300 27 279 34127 32661 27 310 34 324 26 332 18 310 23 275 32661 31127 27 312 32 324 25 331 19 318 17 282 31127 29513 25 328 27 329 23 329 21 320 17 295 29513 27822 25 334 23 340 19 331 21 321 17 299 27822 26050 25 333 23 339 16 340 16 322 16 298 26050 24199 29 330 22 319 17 330 11 315 14 295 24199 22271 25 320 25 312 23 313 13 314 13 293 22271 20260 23 318 23 313 24 312 15 308 13 298 20260 18165 22 318 20 313 21 309 16 308 13 309 18165 16031 17 317 15 314 18 305 20 312 16 332 16031 13974 14 326 13 319 15 314 20 322 24 328 13974 12097 14 323 10 324 17 322 19 332 24 316 12097 10421 13 313 9 304 14 326 19 339 19 315 10421 8926 13 284 10 294 7 324 18 344 15 321 8926 7595 9 281 9 298 3 293 11 347 13 341 7595 6413 5 308 6 302 2 256 3 011 4 355 6413 5368 5 286 3 239 3*205 5 131 6 136 5368 4447 7 191 9*195 5*177 8*138 10 141 4447 3631 13 190 10*192 6 169 9*140 12 145 3631 2900 19 193 11 190 7 167 9 141 12 154 2900 2254 19*198 11 189 7 166 10 143 13 161 2254 1715 18*199 11 189 7 165 10 143 14 166 1715 1300 14 198 11 189 7 165 9 145 14 167 1300 1015 13 198 10 188 7 165 9 145 12 165 1015 842 12 197 10 187 7 165 9 145 9 161 842 743 10 197 9 187 7 164 7 145 4*146 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography