DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 46.4 - - 53.1 - - 52.9 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 56 - - 261 - - 397 - - 179 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1677 - - 3804 - - 5536 - - 5638 - - 214 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 11554 - - 13051 - - 12773 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 10687 - - 12814 - - 14546 - - 14648 - - 9224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1293 - - 1072 - - 1538 - - 2388 - - 2209 Hgt.Variab. W* 207 - - 438 - - 562 - - 436 - - 30 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 17 - - 21 - - 26 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 263 - - 254 - - 260 - - 266 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear 21 - - 25 - - 27 - - 33 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg 15 - - 19 - - 22 - - 23 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -270 - - 1221 - - 969 - - 1187 - - -868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10957 - - 11594 - - 13578 - - 13462 - - 10093 sfcLCL ODpotential -8911 - - -5105 - - -3019 - - -2998 - - -7009 ODpotential blCL 19598 - - 17919 - - 17565 - - 17646 - - 16233 blCL maxRH 71 - - 61 - - 73 - - 76 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 46.4 - - 53.1 - - 52.9 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.4 - - 20.6 - - 18.3 - - 18.7 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.5 - - 48.6 - - 54.7 - - 55.6 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.3 - - 19.6 - - 17.2 - - 17.6 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 56 - - 261 - - 397 - - 179 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1677 - - 3804 - - 5536 - - 5638 - - 214 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98716 26 094 20 106 26 084 27 101 20 114 98716 91289 22 098 20 115 17 097 25 096 16 102 91289 85557 17 113 15 107 11 148 8 119 15 071 85557 80766 13 129 9 111 19 149 6 177 10 068 80766 76609 5 152 7 177 7 169 6 161 5 127 76609 72920 6 252 6 187 11 205 6 225 5 172 72920 69559 13 231 10 269 6 215 6 237 2 253 69559 66468 13 212 13 255 15 285 10 273 5 339 66468 63610 10 258 11 255 19 284 14 267 13 276 63610 60849 17 295 15 272 22 279 21 273 19 268 60849 57961 31 292 28 277 29 268 30 272 26 262 57961 54952 39 274 38 274 36 271 36 271 36 273 54952 52090 42 257 44 265 46 271 45 276 42 271 52090 49517 42 261 47 261 54 264 52 271 45 267 49517 47202 47 270 50 264 53 261 54 267 48 265 47202 45101 51 273 51 267 50 266 53 267 51 266 45101 43193 56 276 56 274 56 272 52 269 55 271 43193 41456 66 276 65 274 62 270 58 274 63 273 41456 39862 72 274 72 270 66 269 66 272 66 269 39862 38392 77 273 76 267 71 268 70 267 65 270 38392 37036 81 271 77 267 76 266 71 264 69 277 37036 35757 79 272 76 270 77 264 74 260 76 279 35757 34491 77 272 75 271 75 265 75 258 76 274 34491 33206 77 270 74 268 73 267 74 260 72 265 33206 31903 77 269 72 269 73 269 74 264 67 259 31903 30572 75 271 71 272 72 271 72 266 66 257 30572 29202 73 273 70 273 71 272 70 266 67 259 29202 27797 72 276 69 273 70 273 68 267 69 262 27797 26362 69 278 67 273 69 274 66 267 68 264 26362 24905 67 280 65 274 68 272 64 267 65 264 24905 23428 64 281 63 275 67 270 62 268 61 263 23428 21927 60 282 60 276 65 269 61 267 60 263 21927 20395 56 281 57 275 62 269 60 266 60 263 20395 18856 52 279 54 274 58 268 59 266 61 258 18856 17383 49 279 52 273 54 267 56 266 58 253 17383 16043 46 279 50 273 51 268 53 265 54 249 16043 14841 43 280 47 273 45*269 48*265 51 248 14841 13756 39 282 41*273 37*269 44*265 48 249 13756 12771 35 285 33*270 27 264 36 265 45 252 12771 11876 31 287 23 262 23 260 30 265 41 256 11876 11063 27*287 17 252 21 257 26 265 36 262 11063 10328 23*283 16 249 20 257 24 266 31 268 10328 9662 18 275 16 248 19 257 23 267 26*276 9662 9052 15 264 15 248 19 258 22 268 22*285 9052 8501 11 252 14 247 18 258 21 269 18 296 8501 8031 8 240 14 247 17 258 20 270 15 307 8031 7665 6 233 13 247 16 258 19 270 12 318 7665 7409 6 230 12 246 15 258 17 270 8 332 7409 7252 5 229 11 246 14 258 15 270 6 342 7252 7162 4 226 8 245 10 258 11 270 3 357 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography