DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 77.3 - - 80.5 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 112 - - 160 - - 140 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1770 - - 3113 - - 3719 - - 2152 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1237 - - 2379 - - 2746 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2365 - - 3708 - - 4314 - - 2747 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2107 - - 2077 - - 2471 - - 2968 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 337 - - 341 - - 90 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 15 - - 14 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 176 - - 203 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 375 - - 537 - - 198 - - -817 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1991 - - 3172 - - 4116 - - 3564 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -783 - - -656 - - -1218 - - -3196 ODpotential blCL - - - 3148 - - 4364 - - 5532 - - 5943 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 86 - - 75 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 1050 - - 1260 - - 1300 - - 1190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 77.3 - - 80.5 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.6 - - 65.0 - - 64.2 - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 76.3 - - 79.5 - - 79.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 63.7 - - 63.0 - - 63.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 112 - - 160 - - 140 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1770 - - 3113 - - 3719 - - 2152 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 45 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98418 20 073 15 070 24 076 19 085 98418 91034 29 094 18 107 18 096 23 070 91034 85369 30 086 18 107 14 109 20 086 85369 80670 23 074 17 093 13 111 17 110 80670 76608 13 093 13 114 13 118 14 087 76608 73008 12 142 15 127 13 126 2 032 73008 69751 11 166 8 125 13 140 7 233 69751 66754 5 193 8 171 6 169 9 210 66754 63971 9 233 12 212 11 244 12 238 63971 61275 8 252 15 225 18 235 18 246 61275 58453 18 248 23 235 23 246 24 246 58453 55510 25 240 28 236 29 248 30 257 55510 52696 28 245 26 243 34 249 32 262 52696 50161 29 242 28 257 30 260 33 269 50161 47886 27 241 25 260 23 263 32 268 47886 45835 20 242 18 264 13 275 22 270 45835 43987 11 276 12 294 10 341 3 351 43987 42310 6 005 6 018 10 016 8 041 42310 40762 20 037 18 062 12 057 10 074 40762 39309 31 041 24 057 14 045 10 040 39309 37930 31 035 24 036 17 018 17 008 37930 36593 28 032 23 023 18 017 19 003 36593 35227 24 032 22 017 18 020 19 002 35227 33807 21 032 20 010 16 016 17 356 33807 32338 20 030 19 004 16 007 17 347 32338 30803 20 027 17 010 18 001 18 344 30803 29190 21 026 17 018 17 356 17 346 29190 27499 24 027 18 024 15 356 15 346 27499 25727 17 033 17 013 16 352 14 349 25727 23875 8 348 16 356 21 353 18 355 23875 21950 7 328 13 350 24 001 24 002 21950 19947 8 345 11 335 23 353 28 008 19947 17857 10 343 11 334 19 336 22 013 17857 15726 12 346 12 342 13 331 19 359 15726 13671 9 359 10 337 11 340 21 352 13671 11800 2 012 6 343 9 339 17 350 11800 10137 1 320 5 334 9 340 11 353 10137 8661 5 342 6 339 8 353 7 353 8661 7348 3 008 4 345 6 353 5 340 7348 6180 4 132 2 327 3 328 4 327 6180 5144 6 150 1 232 2*271 3 313 5144 4232 6 166 2*192 3*219 2 248 4232 3426 6 197 3*178 4 207 5*195 3426 2705 7*226 4 176 4 203 6*186 2705 2067 7*227 4 177 5 202 6 183 2067 1534 6 226 4 176 5 199 7 182 1534 1125 6 227 4 176 5 197 7 180 1125 843 6 226 4 175 5 197 6 179 843 672 5 226 4 176 5 198 6 179 672 574 5 225 4 175 4 197 4 179 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography