DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.0 - - 82.0 - - 85.6 - - 83.6 - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 104 - - 467 - - 503 - - 204 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2370 - - 9817 - - 11480 - - 11789 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 5810 - - 12364 - - 13776 - - 13430 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 7198 - - 14645 - - 16308 - - 16617 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4939 - - 1253 - - 1481 - - 1665 - - 10252 Hgt.Variab. W* 262 - - 693 - - 750 - - 561 - - 5 W* B/S 22 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 158 - - 218 - - 220 - - 225 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 15 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 25 - - 40 - - 49 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6359 - - -1144 - - -1305 - - -823 - - -11556 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13557 - - 15789 - - 17614 - - 17441 - - 15932 sfcLCL ODpotential -11303 - - -4363 - - -4353 - - -3561 - - -15509 ODpotential blCL 18501 - - 19008 - - 20661 - - 20178 - - 19884 blCL maxRH 87 - - 82 - - 76 - - 56 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 74.0 - - 82.0 - - 85.6 - - 83.6 - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.7 - - 27.1 - - 22.1 - - 21.1 - - 18.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.2 - - 80.2 - - 83.8 - - 83.2 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.5 - - 26.8 - - 21.9 - - 21.0 - - 18.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 104 - - 467 - - 503 - - 204 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2370 - - 9817 - - 11480 - - 11789 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 47 - - 28 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98398 6 091 12 095 6 079 10 064 11 094 98398 90995 16 101 14 091 13 117 6 066 16 059 90995 85291 18 114 15 089 19 107 9 126 13 072 85291 80561 17 117 12 122 14 104 17 105 13 115 80561 76480 13 110 16 141 8 150 11 097 10 120 76480 72862 6 109 14 145 7 135 6 142 8 142 72862 69595 5 190 9 178 7 201 1 210 1 102 69595 66612 7 250 8 254 5 219 6 254 6 275 66612 63870 10 240 18 260 16 263 11 272 12 290 63870 61217 23 265 28 258 24 265 21 248 21 278 61217 58426 26 273 31 263 30 259 28 251 29 259 58426 55506 35 265 33 262 33 259 30 260 36 262 55506 52708 37 257 37 264 39 259 40 260 48 259 52708 50195 38 251 43 256 42 256 44 258 46 255 50195 47949 43 250 43 255 46 262 48 263 48 263 47949 45919 48 257 48 263 55 263 60 262 60 264 45919 44072 52 262 56 264 64 264 69 262 68 262 44072 42377 57 266 67 267 71 263 78 263 75 262 42377 40803 62 265 75 267 75 263 84 262 82 262 40803 39330 61 264 75 264 77 263 86 261 88 261 39330 37948 55 262 70 262 79 262 85 260 88 260 37948 36624 48 259 65 260 80 261 83 260 86 259 36624 35293 46 256 58 256 76 260 82 258 82 260 35293 33926 44 254 51 250 65 258 79 257 79 260 33926 32529 37 253 44 249 53 252 70 254 73 258 32529 31090 33 253 35 248 45 246 61 250 65 254 31090 29601 32 250 31 243 37 239 52 247 54 250 29601 28063 29 249 31 240 36 235 46 245 42 250 28063 26474 25 250 30 240 42 234 41 244 35 251 26474 24836 22 248 28 240 43 235 36 244 30 252 24836 23153 21 242 25 235 34 237 31 242 25 247 23153 21422 22 239 23 231 26 238 27 237 23 239 21422 19632 23 240 21 230 22 234 24 233 24 235 19632 17815 21 237 20 234 19*232 18*228 25 233 17815 16068 20 232 22*238 16*231 15*227 21 227 16068 14477 28 228 21*233 15 230 16 228 16 222 14477 13055 34 224 19 229 15 229 16 228 14 226 13055 11780 30 222 18 228 15 227 17 228 15 230 11780 10632 22 216 17 223 16 224 18 226 16 233 10632 9599 16 206 15 217 16 220 18 225 17 235 9599 8670 13 199 14 213 16 217 19 224 18 236 8670 7839 9*198 13 209 17 214 19 223 19 236 7839 7095 5*204 13 206 17 212 19 222 20 236 7095 6420 2 192 12 203 17 210 19 221 20 236 6420 5816 2 140 12 200 17 208 19 221 20 237 5816 5306 3 126 11 198 17 207 19 220 19 236 5306 4911 2 127 11 196 17 206 18 219 16 234 4911 4637 2 137 11 196 16 206 18 219 13 232 4637 4470 2 142 10 196 16 205 17 219 10*229 4470 4374 2 144 9 195 14 205 14 219 5*225 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography