DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 57.6 - - 64.6 - - 65.3 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 106 - - 439 - - 493 - - 204 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 5403 - - 7653 - - 5652 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 9005 - - 10870 - - 8860 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 10464 - - 12714 - - 10713 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2275 - - 1359 - - 1564 - - 3352 - - 3555 Hgt.Variab. W* 118 - - 562 - - 657 - - 443 - - 9 W* B/S 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 17 - - 22 - - 28 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 098 - - 246 - - 250 - - 263 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -8 - - -7 - - -11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5474 - - -3204 - - -2915 - - -4974 - - -8132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10737 - - 13669 - - 15630 - - 15687 - - 13395 sfcLCL ODpotential -12168 - - -8441 - - -6457 - - -8271 - - -12104 ODpotential blCL 17430 - - 18905 - - 19171 - - 18984 - - 17367 blCL maxRH 53 - - 74 - - 63 - - 78 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 57.6 - - 64.6 - - 65.3 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.6 - - 15.7 - - 13.7 - - 14.2 - - 17.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.8 - - 54.8 - - 61.8 - - 63.7 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.4 - - 14.5 - - 12.8 - - 13.5 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 106 - - 439 - - 493 - - 204 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 5403 - - 7653 - - 5652 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98685 27 092 22 104 26 082 29 101 22 112 98685 91270 23 103 17 107 16 086 24 103 16 104 91270 85546 15 106 17 120 12 124 10 105 16 085 85546 80766 14 121 11 100 16 146 7 191 13 077 80766 76612 6 124 7 173 9 158 2 153 2 092 76612 72924 6 209 10 199 9 197 7 231 4 332 72924 69569 10 223 7 227 14 223 12 241 8 251 69569 66468 17 246 19 264 10 282 9 291 5 336 66468 63596 19 218 21 257 23 284 23 276 20 289 63596 60837 12 255 21 243 29 269 28 269 26 269 60837 57977 26 290 23 268 31 266 27 267 23 268 57977 54998 37 279 35 276 33 269 30 273 31 273 54998 52138 43 264 43 269 41 272 39 278 37 271 52138 49553 43 258 49 263 51 266 50 271 44 265 49553 47232 43 260 49 261 55 261 57 262 52 262 47232 45132 47 269 51 264 55 260 59 259 56 260 45132 43227 55 274 56 267 57 266 60 264 56 263 43227 41490 66 275 63 271 64 267 64 268 63 269 41490 39898 75 274 72 270 71 263 69 268 69 269 39898 38432 81 272 78 265 76 262 74 263 67 271 38432 37079 83 270 78 263 79 264 78 260 69 277 37079 35799 80 271 74 267 79 265 78 260 73 276 35799 34523 77 273 73 269 75 267 75 263 71 267 34523 33218 78 271 73 269 72 268 72 265 71 261 33218 31884 77 269 73 270 70 269 70 266 71 262 31884 30510 73 269 72 270 69 270 68 265 70 263 30510 29088 72 273 69 270 68 272 66 266 67 262 29088 27622 70 276 65 270 67 273 64 267 64 259 27622 26115 67 279 62 269 66 272 63 266 62 256 26115 24568 64 280 60 270 67 271 62 266 59 257 24568 22982 60 280 57 272 67 271 62 265 56 260 22982 21354 56 278 55 273 65 271 60 265 55 263 21354 19677 54 276 54 273 61 270 57 265 54 263 19677 17979 51 275 53 274 58 268 55 264 51 255 17979 16345 47 278 50 274 53 269 53 264 50 246 16345 14854 43 282 45 274 45 271 50 263 47 243 14854 13519 38 289 39 272 34*267 46 261 44 245 13519 12317 34 295 32 270 25*256 41 260 39 248 12317 11234 28 299 24*263 24 251 36*261 34 252 11234 10257 20 294 19*249 23 251 32*262 29 259 10257 9376 15 277 18 248 23 250 30 263 25 265 9376 8588 14 260 18 247 23 249 29 263 22 271 8588 7879 10 246 18 246 22 249 29 263 20 275 7879 7234 7 185 17 245 22 249 28 263 18 278 7234 6654 6 134 17 244 21 249 28 264 17 278 6654 6163 5 113 16 244 21 248 27 264 15 278 6163 5782 4 102 16 243 20 248 26 264 14 278 5782 5518 3 100 15 243 19 248 25 264 11 276 5518 5355 3*098 14 243 19 248 23 264 8*273 5355 5263 3*098 13 243 16 248 18 264 4*265 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography