DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 65.8 - - 74.1 - - 72.2 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 80 - - 329 - - 414 - - 254 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 318 - - 1447 - - 3190 - - 1969 - - 289 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3122 - - 4489 - - 3425 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2639 - - 3769 - - 5513 - - 4291 - - 2611 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 276 - - 731 - - 1068 - - 1866 - - 546 Hgt.Variab. W* 122 - - 323 - - 454 - - 328 - - 56 W* B/S 3 - - 11 - - 24 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 225 - - 205 - - 239 - - 276 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 1 - - 9 - - 9 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -820 - - -1912 - - -2110 - - -2685 - - -2181 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3459 - - 5681 - - 7623 - - 6976 - - 4792 sfcLCL ODpotential -9404 - - -8458 - - -6676 - - -7100 - - -9156 ODpotential blCL 12043 - - 12227 - - 12189 - - 11391 - - 11767 blCL maxRH 81 - - 66 - - 59 - - 62 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 65.8 - - 74.1 - - 72.2 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.9 - - 48.9 - - 48.6 - - 49.6 - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.3 - - 63.8 - - 71.7 - - 70.4 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.6 - - 48.2 - - 47.8 - - 49.0 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 80 - - 329 - - 414 - - 254 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 318 - - 1447 - - 3190 - - 1969 - - 289 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98611 19 112 15 108 15 114 12 130 12 073 98611 91144 18 097 15 109 14 102 16 135 9 113 91144 85397 17 104 15 114 12 113 13 118 10 103 85397 80626 15 117 11 123 8 121 11 101 8 126 80626 76515 10 101 11 149 6 150 6 098 5 152 76515 72877 3 160 8 165 6 193 1 072 2 214 72877 69588 6 199 6 206 11 223 7 287 6 280 69588 66572 8 242 12 246 14 247 16 278 14 282 66572 63789 14 272 16 264 17 254 22 270 21 274 63789 61102 24 282 21 276 20 264 27 266 26 269 61102 58288 29 270 26 274 27 268 29 259 28 263 58288 55346 29 262 27 264 30 265 31 260 31 263 55346 52525 27 261 27 261 31 263 33 264 34 264 52525 49990 25 266 26 271 29 267 31 269 32 265 49990 47733 23 268 24 276 26 267 30 271 31 273 47733 45701 19 273 21 270 24 269 29 271 29 276 45701 43852 15 270 20 279 21 280 26 278 30 285 43852 42156 10 263 16 287 15 285 21 283 30 285 42156 40588 4 320 10 316 13 316 20 301 25 292 40588 39126 9 025 11 001 16 333 19 315 20 313 39126 37759 11 033 13 014 16 343 18 319 17 325 37759 36445 11 041 12 019 15 351 17 324 15 347 36445 35116 10 052 10 023 13 351 16 336 16 008 35116 33742 8 062 7 021 12 342 17 340 18 011 33742 32325 4 071 3 003 10 331 17 336 21 358 32325 30851 1 117 3 301 10 326 18 335 25 353 30851 29308 1 179 5 291 12 323 18 336 19 346 29308 27698 0 129 5 295 12 326 17 336 17 330 27698 26021 1 021 4 313 10 326 16 334 18 332 26021 24276 1 336 3 318 8 325 14 326 17 334 24276 22468 3 314 4 334 6 328 11 320 15 324 22468 20593 5 318 4 355 4 337 9 324 12 317 20593 18643 4 312 5 358 3 008 7 336 10 318 18643 16656 2 213 1 347 3 013 6 346 9 324 16656 14738 4 148 3 172 2 336 6 350 9 332 14738 12989 4 125 4 188 3 300 7 354 9 335 12989 11431 4 100 3 206 4 316 8 003 8 349 11431 10040 4 070 1 197 4 338 8 016 9 358 10040 8799 5 046 2 063 3 012 8 023 12 005 8799 7693 6 031 3 050 3 035 6 036 13 005 7693 6710 5 008 3 052 3 068 4 082 10 359 6710 5841 1 310 3 093 2*081 3 138 7 352 5841 5070 2 206 4 138 0*183 5 223 7 340 5070 4378 3 176 5*151 2 237 6*237 6 305 4378 3766 3 171 5*183 3 240 7*265 7 279 3766 3256 6 226 6 204 4 240 8 275 9 284 3256 2864 9*225 6 209 5 241 8 278 9*292 2864 2596 9*224 6 212 5 241 8 279 9*294 2596 2432 8 225 6 213 5 241 8 279 8 293 2432 2338 6 226 5 215 5 242 7 279 5 293 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography