DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 63.5 - - 68.4 - - 64.7 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 54 - - 218 - - 249 - - 159 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 462 - - 1242 - - 1677 - - 1195 - - 540 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1252 - - 1610 - - 1090 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1174 - - 1955 - - 2390 - - 1908 - - 1252 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 456 - - 534 - - 586 - - 525 - - 540 Hgt.Variab. W* 121 - - 268 - - 312 - - 240 - - 71 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 14 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 233 - - 240 - - 264 - - 269 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -196 - - -695 - - -825 - - -111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1174 - - 2151 - - 3085 - - 2733 - - 1363 sfcLCL ODpotential -9532 - - -8057 - - -7592 - - -8097 - - -9858 ODpotential blCL 10706 - - 10012 - - 9982 - - 10005 - - 11110 blCL maxRH 95 - - 90 - - 81 - - 81 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 63.5 - - 68.4 - - 64.7 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.0 - - 56.5 - - 57.2 - - 55.1 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 62.2 - - 66.9 - - 63.6 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.7 - - 55.4 - - 55.9 - - 54.1 - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 54 - - 218 - - 249 - - 159 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 462 - - 1242 - - 1677 - - 1195 - - 540 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 79 - - 60 - - 25 - - 23 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98628 21 113 18 105 16 116 13 119 12 087 98628 91165 25 105 19 118 17 104 16 121 9 094 91165 85425 18 095 16 110 16 108 15 114 10 114 85425 80658 13 107 10 123 8 106 11 116 7 129 80658 76539 5 130 6 172 5 190 4 129 1 140 76539 72888 5 211 7 181 8 226 3 333 2 278 72888 69582 3 204 7 212 10 251 7 308 5 293 69582 66555 6 272 9 266 11 246 12 278 10 279 66555 63755 13 276 15 287 13 247 18 268 17 271 63755 61046 21 269 21 274 20 263 26 269 24 269 61046 58218 28 265 26 268 28 270 31 270 30 267 58218 55273 29 267 27 268 32 265 34 270 32 269 55273 52457 26 269 28 271 30 266 33 269 33 276 52457 49929 25 273 25 277 29 277 31 270 34 273 49929 47674 23 278 23 272 28 282 30 278 34 280 47674 45641 17 285 20 272 28 277 33 283 37 283 45641 43791 15 308 19 285 25 270 33 284 32 286 43791 42097 15 312 23 303 24 296 29 293 28 302 42097 40536 13 314 26 312 26 315 27 309 27 310 40536 39086 13 325 25 314 25 313 24 323 26 322 39086 37726 16 338 23 318 24 318 22 341 29 335 37726 36412 15 343 22 324 24 328 25 353 32 340 36412 35072 13 342 20 327 24 334 25 359 31 337 35072 33676 11 334 16 324 24 331 23 355 27 331 33676 32226 10 321 15 318 22 325 25 347 25 328 32226 30709 10 316 14 313 20 324 28 343 23 325 30709 29109 10 309 13 313 19 317 23 341 24 326 29109 27431 11 304 12 308 17 320 20 341 20 331 27431 25676 12 300 11 305 15 315 19 330 16 318 25676 23845 12 294 10 299 14 310 20 320 17 314 23845 21937 10 293 9 294 12 312 17 322 20 315 21937 19948 10 308 9 314 13 322 15 319 19 314 19948 17873 7 319 8 324 10 324 13 310 17 313 17873 15754 5 350 5 335 6 311 10 299 15 313 15754 13707 7 018 3 023 4 315 8 299 13 312 13707 11842 7 032 4 044 4 333 8 311 13 315 11842 10181 6 035 7 035 5 358 8 317 13 322 10181 8704 7 019 9 028 7 011 9 323 12 323 8704 7389 7 020 9 015 9 360 11 324 10 321 7389 6222 8 029 7 005 8 350 10 325 9 311 6222 5189 8 023 4 019 4 345 7 317 9 296 5189 4281 7 005 2 035 2 221 7 288 12 281 4281 3481 5 328 3 216 8 213 10 248 14 252 3481 2772 7 251 10 219 9*226 14 239 18 237 2772 2151 14 231 10*225 9*255 15*258 20 244 2151 1640 15 228 9*236 10 263 15*267 18*253 1640 1251 13*228 8 240 10 266 14 269 16*259 1251 984 9*232 8 241 9 268 14 269 14 261 984 821 8 233 7 243 9 268 13 270 12 262 821 729 6 235 6 244 8 268 10 270 9 263 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography