DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 60.3 - - 59.8 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 13 - - 3 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1266 - - 1822 - - 1597 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2466 - - 3022 - - 2797 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1243 - - 1451 - - 1653 - - 3817 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 160 - - 137 - - 99 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 118 - - 124 - - 143 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -481 - - 342 - - 588 - - -1161 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2947 - - 2680 - - 2209 - - 2394 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3269 - - -2233 - - -667 - - -2163 ODpotential blCL - - - 5735 - - 5255 - - 3464 - - 3396 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 60.3 - - 59.8 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.3 - - 52.8 - - 54.4 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 60.6 - - 60.2 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 51.7 - - 53.6 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 13 - - 3 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1266 - - 1822 - - 1597 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 102 - - 102 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98519 24 051 20 057 22 017 17 026 98519 91196 22 063 19 051 21 035 23 034 91196 85543 18 073 17 040 15 042 23 038 85543 80820 12 067 15 050 10 056 16 016 80820 76741 9 054 10 059 5 034 8 357 76741 73126 5 013 6 048 4 051 4 265 73126 69838 6 296 4 283 6 330 5 294 69838 66800 8 261 8 257 14 296 13 315 66800 63973 13 269 16 256 20 271 20 279 63973 61223 18 258 17 259 16 257 16 264 61223 58329 21 259 24 269 22 270 22 276 58329 55316 24 258 30 258 29 264 28 276 55316 52445 26 260 31 257 26 261 28 273 52445 49872 28 265 29 265 28 268 25 269 49872 47580 31 265 29 270 27 272 22 284 47580 45519 33 258 30 271 25 275 25 297 45519 43647 32 251 31 269 27 280 27 299 43647 41924 28 248 31 262 31 279 28 294 41924 40329 26 246 32 257 32 279 29 290 40329 38851 29 246 35 254 35 273 27 290 38851 37474 38 227 39 249 37 260 25 298 37474 36153 38 214 42 239 38 252 36 303 36153 34817 36 221 44 229 37 247 41 295 34817 33435 41 235 45 226 36 238 33 288 33435 32009 43 230 45 232 33 239 23 312 32009 30522 45 225 45 236 25 248 38 345 30522 28956 45 234 40 236 21 254 41 343 28956 27310 40 233 34 231 21 258 39 342 27310 25585 30 235 31 222 21 263 32 342 25585 23782 27 236 31 209 20 260 25 334 23782 21906 23 224 28 211 20 259 22 323 21906 19953 22 222 22 228 19 267 21 325 19953 17919 16 222 19 252 15 280 16 336 17919 15847 10 231 12 257 9 278 9 355 15847 13849 12 215 15 217 8 216 2 334 13849 12036 15 187 19 195 11 209 4 238 12036 10429 15 169 15 171 11 214 4 247 10429 9005 12 136 13 146 10 224 2 245 9005 7740 10 117 8 136 7 213 3 177 7740 6616 9 125 6 131 5 143 5 130 6616 5621 12 123 8 131 8 114 8 102 5621 4746 14 120 12 126 12 112 9 105 4746 3973 14 116 14 122 14 116 9 117 3973 3281 12 114 12*119 13*125 11 127 3281 2668 9*116 11*120 12*135 12 133 2668 2157 6*119 9 123 10 141 12 136 2157 1763 4 117 8 124 9 145 12 137 1763 1492 4 118 7 127 8 149 10 138 1492 1328 3 117 6 126 6 151 8 139 1328 1233 2 116 4 125 4 153 4*139 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography