DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.9 - - 85.0 - - 88.0 - - 86.6 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 193 - - 544 - - 504 - - 127 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2010 - - 10552 - - 11887 - - 11458 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5902 - - 13076 - - 14141 - - 12775 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6859 - - 15401 - - 16736 - - 16307 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 5955 - - 1892 - - 1402 - - 1736 - - 668 Hgt.Variab. W* 306 - - 751 - - 762 - - 476 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 19 - - 18 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 271 - - 266 - - 259 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -11 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8592 - - -2832 - - -2868 - - -3380 - - -12150 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15451 - - 18234 - - 19605 - - 19688 - - 17305 sfcLCL ODpotential -12489 - - -6107 - - -6730 - - -7528 - - -18047 ODpotential blCL 19348 - - 21508 - - 23466 - - 23835 - - 23202 blCL maxRH 30 - - 27 - - 29 - - 30 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.9 - - 85.0 - - 88.0 - - 86.6 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.9 - - 21.7 - - 18.3 - - 16.9 - - 17.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.3 - - 81.6 - - 84.7 - - 85.3 - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.7 - - 21.6 - - 18.1 - - 16.7 - - 17.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 193 - - 544 - - 504 - - 127 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2010 - - 10552 - - 11887 - - 11458 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98322 15 049 16 099 10 117 12 070 19 053 98322 90873 15 074 18 080 18 104 13 081 15 062 90873 85173 14 084 17 089 16 103 13 099 12 077 85173 80477 19 108 22 112 14 103 18 107 14 095 80477 76427 19 113 19 109 20 125 13 121 15 103 76427 72846 13 117 10 140 17 105 17 131 14 120 72846 69619 17 128 10 151 8 118 14 104 13 133 69619 66669 6 113 7 176 7 154 7 117 12 137 66669 63968 4 148 16 200 10 226 6 271 4 151 63968 61381 8 275 12 189 15 227 10 235 7 231 61381 58675 20 254 18 268 12 246 14 253 12 270 58675 55848 29 264 30 262 31 253 37 256 35 265 55848 53131 45 276 45 254 42 252 44 260 47 266 53131 50662 62 273 60 266 59 271 59 269 59 268 50662 48438 65 272 72 268 69 270 69 268 71 271 48438 46421 58 277 67 270 65 269 67 269 74 275 46421 44582 62 282 62 274 61 273 62 274 69 278 44582 42889 68 283 61 275 62 277 63 277 66 278 42889 41314 68 286 60 276 61 278 63 279 63 277 41314 39837 61 289 57 281 58 280 57 278 62 279 39837 38451 51 290 54 288 56 286 52 281 61 282 38451 37125 43 290 52 293 56 291 52 284 59 283 37125 35795 36 283 51 297 56 294 51 284 56 282 35795 34436 33 281 46 298 56 297 49 286 53 281 34436 33046 31 282 42 294 55 302 47 289 50 281 33046 31612 26 285 40 290 52 307 47 292 47 282 31612 30125 23 292 37 288 46 308 44 293 44 283 30125 28590 22 295 34 287 45 305 40 292 41 284 28590 27009 25 299 30 286 44 302 37 291 37 286 27009 25383 27 302 27 284 40 299 36 291 33 288 25383 23714 26 301 22 284 32 296 32 294 31 288 23714 21997 18 291 19 289 24 288 25 291 27 284 21997 20230 20 293 17 283 17 285 18 283 21 280 20230 18445 18 294 12 283 12*286 12 273 18 276 18445 16734 10 291 8*288 7*274 6*256 11 266 16734 15178 3 009 6*277 7 271 6*254 5 258 15178 13784 6 065 6 276 7 270 6 253 4 258 13784 12530 4 085 6 273 7 269 6 254 4 257 12530 11399 3 277 6 273 7 266 7 256 5 257 11399 10377 11 291 7 271 8 265 7 258 5 254 10377 9456 17 298 7 270 8 264 7 259 5 253 9456 8630 22 301 8 270 8 264 8 260 5 250 8630 7888 23 302 8 270 8 263 8 261 6 245 7888 7212 23*298 9 270 9 262 8 262 6 240 7212 6606 21*291 9 269 9 262 8 263 7 232 6606 6094 18 285 9 269 9 261 8 263 7 226 6094 5696 17 282 9 268 8 261 8 263 8 220 5696 5420 16 281 9 268 8 261 8 263 7 216 5420 5252 14 280 8 269 8 261 8 263 5*215 5252 5155 12 278 8 268 8 261 7 263 4*214 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography