DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.1 - - 59.8 - - 65.2 - - 62.9 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 319 - - 458 - - 256 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 416 - - 987 - - 687 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 4073 - - 3713 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3953 - - 4524 - - 4224 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1399 - - 539 - - 634 - - 658 - - 1283 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 211 - - 317 - - 232 - - 26 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 163 - - 193 - - 200 - - 207 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 27 - - 38 - - 34 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 251 - - -280 - - -263 - - -239 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2622 - - 3702 - - 4804 - - 4488 - - 2862 sfcLCL ODpotential -8198 - - -5664 - - -5270 - - -5822 - - -7465 ODpotential blCL 10821 - - 9617 - - 9794 - - 10046 - - 10088 blCL maxRH 97 - - 95 - - 82 - - 83 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.1 - - 59.8 - - 65.2 - - 62.9 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.8 - - 52.5 - - 53.0 - - 52.1 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 58.5 - - 63.3 - - 61.9 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.5 - - 52.1 - - 52.4 - - 51.7 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 319 - - 458 - - 256 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 416 - - 987 - - 687 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 87 - - 78 - - 29 - - 31 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98537 13 091 8 118 10 122 9 138 8 029 98537 91053 16 131 11 116 13 113 14 117 9 104 91053 85315 18 115 13 115 10 122 12 091 14 101 85315 80577 14 105 15 120 9 128 12 080 12 085 80577 76500 13 129 11 131 7 092 9 088 3 082 76500 72890 7 139 11 154 3 082 6 122 5 164 72890 69617 3 187 12 192 6 243 2 302 2 189 69617 66621 5 237 6 244 8 240 8 248 7 258 66621 63860 13 260 14 258 15 243 14 259 8 266 63860 61193 18 266 18 248 19 238 20 256 16 259 61193 58401 20 259 21 256 23 241 24 246 24 250 58401 55481 29 260 26 260 28 246 29 244 32 249 55481 52676 35 257 30 263 31 255 32 249 36 251 52676 50148 34 255 36 263 37 260 38 258 37 258 50148 47889 36 257 40 259 39 260 41 256 41 259 47889 45847 40 257 43 257 43 260 44 257 45 260 45847 43989 43 255 46 255 49 260 49 260 52 265 43989 42282 45 253 50 256 56 259 57 261 58 266 42282 40702 49 253 54 257 60 259 58 262 60 266 40702 39225 50 252 54 255 59 260 57 263 58 267 39225 37838 47 249 54 253 59 262 58 265 59 270 37838 36504 41 247 52 252 60 261 59 267 59 271 36504 35156 35 245 48 251 56 260 57 268 53 272 35156 33769 29 239 42 252 50 260 52 268 40 275 33769 32344 24 230 34 250 42 260 43 270 30 283 32344 30869 20 232 27 248 31 260 33 272 24 293 30869 29333 18 223 23 245 24 263 24 277 18 304 29333 27734 19 207 20 241 21 263 21 280 16 309 27734 26070 19 206 20 246 19 257 21 277 15 300 26070 24342 16 219 16 246 16 258 22 275 15 296 24342 22552 11 244 9 237 15 258 20 278 16 296 22552 20693 8 212 11 207 15 254 19 289 15 306 20693 18759 11 193 15 212 17 261 17 296 14 313 18759 16789 9 210 13 219 15 263 15 288 12 309 16789 14890 8 233 11 235 13 262 14 274 14 299 14890 13158 10 256 12 251 12 265 15 266 16 288 13158 11614 13 267 14 260 13 268 16 268 17 279 11614 10239 15 272 16 266 15 268 17 271 18 275 10239 9012 18 277 18 273 18 270 19 272 19 274 9012 7918 20 280 20 279 19 274 20 273 20 275 7918 6944 19 282 19 282 18 276 19 272 20 273 6944 6082 16 281 15 283 13 272 14 266 17 273 6082 5320 10 279 9 282 7 261 9 261 12 271 5320 4637 6 269 4 275 5*221 5*237 8 271 4637 4033 4 227 3*204 7*197 6*207 4 252 4033 3530 4 178 5*188 8 198 7 206 3 196 3530 3143 5 159 6 191 8 200 7 207 4 179 3143 2877 4 162 6 195 9 202 8 208 4 183 2877 2715 4*167 6 197 8 202 7 209 4*183 2715 2622 3*169 6 197 7 203 7 209 3*184 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography