DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.5 - - 59.2 - - 62.3 - - 60.0 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 39 - - 209 - - 315 - - 203 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 332 - - 1321 - - 1502 - - 1131 - - 548 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1113 - - 1367 - - 965 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 876 - - 1865 - - 2046 - - 1676 - - 1092 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 965 - - 448 - - 360 - - 499 - - 783 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 267 - - 320 - - 251 - - 94 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 12 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 253 - - 278 - - 276 - - 271 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 14 - - 182 - - -167 - - -228 - - 132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 862 - - 1683 - - 2213 - - 1904 - - 960 sfcLCL ODpotential -141 - - 154 - - -8661 - - -8901 - - -182 ODpotential blCL 1017 - - 1711 - - 10707 - - 10577 - - 1274 blCL maxRH 98 - - 97 - - 90 - - 93 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.5 - - 59.2 - - 62.3 - - 60.0 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.6 - - 53.7 - - 54.5 - - 53.5 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.0 - - 57.7 - - 60.6 - - 58.7 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.4 - - 52.8 - - 53.4 - - 52.8 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 39 - - 209 - - 315 - - 203 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 332 - - 1321 - - 1502 - - 1131 - - 548 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 86 - - 62 - - 72 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98621 20 114 17 111 16 119 13 124 13 075 98621 91148 20 098 15 106 15 103 17 129 8 110 91148 85404 18 099 16 112 13 105 13 116 10 104 85404 80636 14 112 11 123 8 118 10 098 7 123 80636 76519 9 111 10 153 5 156 6 112 4 160 76519 72876 4 174 8 161 7 204 1 038 3 218 72876 69584 4 216 6 216 11 226 7 288 5 281 69584 66564 7 255 10 250 14 242 15 278 12 282 66564 63775 13 266 14 268 14 252 21 269 20 275 63775 61083 21 276 20 275 20 265 26 266 26 266 61083 58266 30 273 26 273 28 265 30 267 29 265 58266 55324 30 264 28 265 31 268 33 262 32 267 55324 52505 26 263 27 262 32 270 33 265 33 266 52505 49974 25 269 25 271 29 267 31 270 31 270 49974 47720 23 271 23 281 24 263 28 270 30 270 47720 45685 17 274 22 278 23 274 27 280 30 284 45685 43837 13 283 18 278 20 278 27 284 33 286 43837 42144 9 293 11 301 16 295 24 285 28 285 42144 40578 6 351 12 339 18 316 20 298 23 300 40578 39122 11 026 14 345 18 325 20 314 20 321 39122 37755 13 022 14 351 17 331 19 330 19 334 37755 36434 12 022 14 356 17 337 19 343 18 341 36434 35087 9 026 14 353 17 341 20 345 23 347 35087 33686 8 030 11 341 15 338 21 349 19 353 33686 32231 7 034 8 326 15 334 21 345 16 349 32231 30708 5 043 6 309 14 325 19 337 23 346 30708 29103 2 010 6 297 14 324 19 330 25 347 29103 27420 3 326 7 303 14 327 18 333 17 333 27420 25657 4 322 6 310 12 323 17 333 17 323 25657 23813 4 304 5 314 10 315 15 330 17 325 23813 21893 5 312 6 325 8 316 12 325 14 316 21893 19889 5 322 5 339 6 332 9 329 13 315 19889 17798 3 315 4 354 5 351 8 343 11 319 17798 15658 1 322 2 028 3 357 7 359 12 322 15658 13591 2 048 2 113 2 336 7 352 12 329 13591 11709 4 082 2 120 4 003 7 001 10 337 11709 10036 4 083 2 056 6 028 7 022 8 350 10036 8548 7 065 5 038 8 033 8 023 9 357 8548 7225 10 058 8 044 8 033 8 004 10 353 7225 6050 9 055 7 054 5 047 7 351 9 348 6050 5012 4 052 3 076 2 085 4 350 6 335 5012 4101 2 320 4 159 3 183 3 326 4 313 4101 3302 4 242 8 177 5 209 4 296 6 286 3302 2595 7 221 7 195 6*246 10 277 11 267 2595 1979 9 238 6*248 11*275 14*272 13 266 1979 1470 8 246 7*274 12 276 14*271 12*267 1470 1082 5*248 7 277 12 276 14 271 11*267 1082 815 4*251 7 279 12 277 13 271 10 267 815 653 4 253 6 280 11 277 12 271 9 266 653 560 3 256 5 281 9 277 9 271 6 266 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography