DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.2 - - 63.5 - - 69.8 - - 68.0 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 64 - - 353 - - 465 - - 284 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1236 - - 2290 - - 1772 - - 283 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3731 - - 4571 - - 4059 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3234 - - 4298 - - 5352 - - 4833 - - 3344 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 360 - - 655 - - 1168 - - 913 - - 454 Hgt.Variab. W* 94 - - 316 - - 424 - - 330 - - 77 W* B/S 4 - - 19 - - 19 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 221 - - 250 - - 260 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 7 - - 17 - - 12 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1135 - - -1654 - - -1644 - - -1841 - - -836 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4369 - - 5952 - - 6996 - - 6675 - - 4180 sfcLCL ODpotential -9335 - - -7479 - - -6119 - - -6640 - - -7734 ODpotential blCL 12569 - - 11777 - - 11471 - - 11473 - - 11078 blCL maxRH 73 - - 69 - - 67 - - 67 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.2 - - 63.5 - - 69.8 - - 68.0 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.7 - - 48.0 - - 49.6 - - 49.2 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.7 - - 61.4 - - 67.2 - - 66.0 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.0 - - 47.2 - - 48.9 - - 48.7 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 64 - - 353 - - 465 - - 284 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 173 - - 1236 - - 2290 - - 1772 - - 283 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98604 18 108 14 105 13 112 11 139 9 065 98604 91135 17 104 14 113 13 107 16 130 10 119 91135 85386 17 105 15 111 12 120 12 125 11 101 85386 80616 14 120 12 130 9 110 12 102 7 130 80616 76510 10 105 12 142 7 157 6 087 5 147 76510 72878 3 138 8 164 6 180 2 051 3 194 72878 69591 7 185 7 208 9 229 7 286 7 289 69591 66581 8 245 12 246 14 247 15 276 14 280 66581 63802 17 279 16 259 18 255 22 270 21 274 63802 61118 24 280 21 272 21 263 26 260 25 270 61118 58304 27 265 25 274 24 269 28 257 28 261 58304 55361 28 262 26 266 28 262 32 258 31 261 55361 52542 27 262 26 263 30 260 32 263 33 261 52542 50010 25 264 26 270 29 266 32 270 31 263 50010 47753 23 269 24 272 26 268 30 269 30 271 47753 45717 22 269 22 269 27 266 32 269 33 279 45717 43867 17 259 21 274 22 276 27 273 30 280 43867 42171 12 254 17 277 18 285 21 283 27 282 42171 40601 3 279 9 288 11 301 15 300 25 286 40601 39137 6 025 7 357 11 347 16 320 21 299 39137 37766 8 032 12 026 14 358 16 329 17 309 37766 36452 8 046 14 029 15 001 16 337 14 318 36452 35129 8 070 10 033 13 003 16 343 13 336 35129 33766 7 078 3 060 10 360 15 341 16 349 33766 32365 3 117 2 181 7 328 14 338 19 352 32365 30910 3 169 2 258 7 316 15 333 19 349 30910 29391 2 165 3 311 9 326 16 332 20 340 29391 27811 2 149 3 308 9 332 16 338 19 337 27811 26168 2 151 2 322 8 337 14 339 18 340 26168 24463 1 140 3 358 6 343 11 333 16 336 24463 22699 2 319 3 356 5 335 9 330 14 325 22699 20875 4 320 3 002 4 338 9 328 12 320 20875 18982 4 320 2 358 4 358 8 331 10 320 18982 17055 1 277 1 350 4 355 7 340 9 320 17055 15198 3 147 2 176 3 345 6 346 8 326 15198 13503 3 132 4 193 2 305 5 345 8 341 13503 11992 3 113 4 213 4 294 6 340 8 353 11992 10643 3 084 3 219 4 302 7 345 8 352 10643 9435 3 055 2 186 2 311 6 342 8 346 9435 8356 4 033 2 121 0 056 5 007 7 340 8356 7394 4 020 3 084 3 060 11 043 5 001 7394 6540 0 057 3 087 6 048 12 038 6 023 6540 5781 2 165 4 097 6*042 10 024 7 031 5781 5097 3 144 5 087 2*012 5*339 7 014 5097 4492 3 149 3*089 3 254 6*274 6 330 4492 3986 3 208 2*211 5 247 7 262 9 284 3986 3599 5 231 3 220 6 244 8 257 10*266 3599 3332 5*240 4 222 6 244 8 256 9*263 3332 3170 5*242 4 224 6 243 8 255 8 262 3170 3077 4 242 4 224 6 244 7 254 6 262 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography