DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 61.5 - - 60.6 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 14 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 290 - - 667 - - 584 - - 598 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 82 - - 82 - - 82 - - 82 Hcrit BL Top - - - 370 - - 747 - - 664 - - 678 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1398 - - 802 - - 984 - - 1153 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 35 - - 90 - - 71 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 121 - - 090 - - 071 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 52 - - 267 - - 311 - - 270 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 318 - - 480 - - 353 - - 408 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -154 - - 85 - - 118 - - 67 ODpotential blCL - - - 524 - - 662 - - 546 - - 611 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 400 - - 300 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 61.5 - - 60.6 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 59.6 - - 59.2 - - 58.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 61.5 - - 60.7 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 59.3 - - 59.0 - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 14 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 290 - - 667 - - 584 - - 598 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98335 8 102 6 117 14 042 10 076 98335 90974 19 073 17 081 10 074 18 033 90974 85317 22 068 23 078 18 103 16 036 85317 80626 18 071 17 085 17 088 14 062 80626 76602 14 081 12 093 15 059 15 073 76602 73045 12 087 11 094 10 048 13 067 73045 69816 9 099 11 085 6 069 6 040 69816 66841 7 132 7 092 2 056 2 323 66841 64071 3 139 8 189 4 302 5 284 64071 61382 2 267 8 208 12 251 11 271 61382 58579 4 269 5 310 9 231 9 261 58579 55654 18 269 24 282 21 279 21 277 55654 52844 29 255 31 251 30 261 31 258 52844 50306 34 258 34 259 35 259 30 247 50306 48026 44 261 41 258 41 262 30 262 48026 45963 48 260 45 260 45 262 39 266 45963 44097 56 255 49 254 49 253 47 261 44097 42407 55 251 52 262 63 257 59 260 42407 40853 66 258 80 264 89 258 75 252 40853 39400 86 262 97 259 114 251 91 244 39400 38026 99 255 108 254 117 247 91 242 38026 36684 97 250 107 252 115 248 83 241 36684 35308 89 249 109 247 112 251 80 239 35308 33869 88 254 108 248 101 253 80 237 33869 32370 85 256 102 250 89 249 81 241 32370 30797 79 255 95 253 83 241 86 248 30797 29139 74 257 93 260 83 241 95 251 29139 27396 73 264 69 260 88 254 72 259 27396 25573 58 258 52 252 61 257 44 250 25573 23675 53 253 45 248 41 244 44 242 23675 21706 33 261 36 252 37 245 39 244 21706 19664 29 249 25 243 23 244 25 251 19664 17536 36 245 28 248 25 241 24 245 17536 15363 26 259 28 259 25 262 22 257 15363 13266 21 260 20 243 19 258 18 257 13266 11355 19 253 20 238 20 250 20 251 11355 9658 19 251 20 246 20 249 20 268 9658 8152 20 245 20 243 19 250 19 284 8152 6814 23 234 18 249 19 253 13 300 6814 5629 24 231 17 257 18 260 9 290 5629 4584 24 224 18 246 14 263 8 299 4584 3671 23 212 18 228 12 260 8 010 3671 2871 21 189 15 211 8 245 10 064 2871 2161 20 160 12 180 4 122 17 075 2161 1539 19 143 12 129 14 081 17 066 1539 1023 16 133 12*106 15*077 16*062 1023 629 13*125 11*093 14*074 14*059 629 357 11*122 10 090 12 071 12 058 357 193 9 120 9 088 10 070 10 056 193 99 6 119 7 086 7 069 7 055 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography