DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 59.0 - - 59.9 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 25 - - 23 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 769 - - 769 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - 785 - - 785 - - 785 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1787 - - 1638 - - 1850 - - 1644 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 66 - - 52 - - 51 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 129 - - 118 - - 109 - - 106 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -434 - - -386 - - -488 - - -183 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1219 - - 1171 - - 1273 - - 968 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -544 - - -582 - - -713 - - -521 ODpotential blCL - - - 1329 - - 1367 - - 1498 - - 1306 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 30 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 59.0 - - 59.9 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.7 - - 56.5 - - 57.0 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 58.4 - - 59.4 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 56.1 - - 56.5 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 25 - - 23 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 102 - - 100 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98413 15 083 9 065 18 036 20 042 98413 91059 25 077 20 093 15 062 17 046 91059 85400 23 082 26 091 16 088 13 063 85400 80712 18 072 22 078 20 086 16 079 80712 76677 11 070 16 076 15 074 16 069 76677 73107 12 093 10 082 10 083 12 045 73107 69857 7 087 5 105 5 128 7 016 69857 66851 0 209 1 199 4 126 4 301 66851 64062 7 206 9 254 9 315 9 291 64062 61361 4 224 11 248 15 268 15 273 61361 58538 11 284 8 240 13 258 17 255 58538 55596 19 253 17 259 18 261 18 252 55596 52770 25 239 22 258 22 257 20 254 52770 50216 25 258 27 267 30 267 21 268 50216 47922 35 268 34 266 36 263 24 275 47922 45846 43 263 40 256 37 260 25 272 45846 43955 47 255 42 250 38 256 28 275 43955 42221 48 247 46 245 40 254 35 275 42221 40622 53 247 47 241 43 253 39 270 40622 39133 61 251 56 246 42 253 35 264 39133 37735 67 256 55 248 40 249 31 262 37735 36385 72 258 52 251 47 249 38 255 36385 35017 71 256 55 251 53 251 49 254 35017 33602 59 252 52 251 47 252 51 255 33602 32143 36 253 42 252 37 254 38 252 32143 30622 30 250 33 249 27 254 23 251 30622 29025 25 244 29 242 20 257 16 254 29025 27349 22 236 25 241 17 261 11 258 27349 25593 21 210 23 244 14 264 10 259 25593 23759 24 230 20 253 12 272 9 271 23759 21852 28 239 18 256 9 276 9 304 21852 19863 26 247 17 256 11 274 11 316 19863 17787 22 260 18 253 14 270 15 313 17787 15672 20 270 18 253 14 270 16 312 15672 13634 17 281 11 259 9 279 11 339 13634 11781 12 278 3 247 8 308 10 355 11781 10136 9 213 2 165 7 333 10 357 10136 8677 10 160 2 108 9 008 12 011 8677 7381 3 126 5 104 8 024 12 018 7381 6231 2 056 9 110 6 053 8 026 6231 5214 5 091 11 114 5 089 7 085 5214 4322 9 099 13 121 7 118 9 109 4322 3535 12 105 16 125 9 135 9 125 3535 2835 13 112 16 128 10 145 9 138 2835 2219 12 123 14 130 8 147 8 137 2219 1706 11 127 11 127 4 125 6 125 1706 1313 10 128 8 123 4 116 5 116 1313 1043 9 129 7 121 3 113 4 112 1043 879 8 129 6 119 3*112 3 109 879 785 6*129 5*118 3*109 2*106 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography