DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 82.0 - - 92.3 - - 97.9 - - 96.0 - - 85.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 99 - - 406 - - 489 - - 184 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 750 - - 8791 - - 12196 - - 11225 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2128 - - 8694 - - 11588 - - 10110 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top 2850 - - 10891 - - 14296 - - 13325 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2648 - - 2522 - - 1596 - - 2096 - - 5487 Hgt.Variab. W* 172 - - 624 - - 742 - - 521 - - 0 W* B/S 7 - - 13 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 13 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 206 - - 228 - - 243 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 15 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -7 - - 8 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10230 - - -5234 - - -3800 - - -4856 - - -13155 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13081 - - 16126 - - 18097 - - 18182 - - 15301 sfcLCL ODpotential -15820 - - -9212 - - -6640 - - -8256 - - -18382 ODpotential blCL 18670 - - 20103 - - 20936 - - 21581 - - 20527 blCL maxRH 91 - - 88 - - 68 - - 44 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 82.0 - - 92.3 - - 97.9 - - 96.0 - - 85.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.2 - - 27.9 - - 24.0 - - 21.9 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.1 - - 89.7 - - 95.0 - - 94.5 - - 87.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.1 - - 27.9 - - 23.9 - - 21.9 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 99 - - 406 - - 489 - - 184 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 750 - - 8791 - - 12196 - - 11225 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98368 11 075 12 083 9 106 11 080 12 063 98368 90941 14 097 14 108 15 128 4 089 14 060 90941 85224 17 117 14 112 12 120 9 093 12 098 85224 80516 14 109 13 111 11 126 12 096 14 103 80516 76462 14 115 12 113 12 108 13 114 12 100 76462 72863 10 126 10 125 11 101 10 114 8 141 72863 69616 9 165 10 163 6 140 6 102 3 136 69616 66646 6 176 9 219 8 203 1 343 6 053 66646 63906 3 308 7 206 11 211 14 231 8 250 63906 61274 14 265 13 249 14 241 14 220 11 213 61274 58523 20 255 20 249 14 250 15 243 19 243 58523 55645 26 252 29 257 31 260 36 253 38 257 55645 52886 43 260 49 253 48 257 51 258 54 263 52886 50395 55 253 60 251 59 254 62 256 63 257 50395 48164 50 255 58 255 62 256 63 256 64 255 48164 46152 52 269 55 264 62 265 65 263 63 262 46152 44324 64 268 68 269 73 271 73 267 73 267 44324 42643 69 265 75 268 78 269 77 265 81 267 42643 41078 71 268 75 269 75 269 78 263 83 265 41078 39610 73 271 74 272 72 268 76 264 82 264 39610 38225 72 274 73 273 69 267 72 265 79 263 38225 36887 72 277 70 273 67 266 67 266 75 263 36887 35533 68 277 66 275 64 267 65 264 70 263 35533 34137 60 277 64 275 60 268 64 261 67 263 34137 32698 49 272 60 271 58 268 62 261 64 262 32698 31202 44 266 56 267 57 267 60 261 61 261 31202 29632 42 266 50 264 56 265 59 262 59 260 29632 27992 35 267 44 262 52 262 57 263 58 261 27992 26280 29 265 34 255 46 259 53 262 56 262 26280 24502 23 261 26 245 39 251 47 256 52 258 24502 22661 19 261 25 245 38 244 41 249 48 252 22661 20750 16 252 24 245 33 244 36 246 44 251 20750 18766 14 237 24 245 28 240 28 242 36 249 18766 16749 17 240 23 239 25 228 21 231 26 235 16749 14806 24 228 23 227 18*205 17*208 21 213 14806 13037 29 219 25 211 15*206 14*216 16 185 13037 11461 23 221 23*210 15 207 14 218 10 191 11461 10053 17 221 18*216 14 213 14 223 8 222 10053 8793 12 215 15 216 13 221 15 242 10 253 8793 7667 7 177 12 210 13 229 15 246 13 265 7667 6663 6 159 8 200 13 235 16 251 17 267 6663 5773 3 181 7 198 13 239 16 255 20 268 5773 4981 1 237 7 195 13 243 16 257 22 268 4981 4269 1 242 6 194 13 246 17 259 24 267 4269 3636 2 177 5 195 13 248 17 260 25 267 3636 3105 5*140 5 194 13 250 16 261 24 266 3105 2696 5*139 4 193 13 251 16 261 22 266 2696 2415 5 140 4 193 13 251 16 262 18 265 2415 2243 4 142 4 193 12 252 15 262 14 265 2243 2145 4 142 4 191 11 252 13 263 9*263 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography