DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.3 - - 73.8 - - 76.7 - - 74.9 - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 142 - - 477 - - 463 - - 146 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1070 - - 12495 - - 14240 - - 11882 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6912 - - 16477 - - 17910 - - 15127 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7755 - - 19180 - - 20925 - - 18567 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 870 - - 1012 - - 1032 - - 3298 - - 9499 Hgt.Variab. W* 228 - - 773 - - 800 - - 514 - - 8 W* B/S 13 - - 15 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 13 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 256 - - 248 - - 240 - - 053 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - -26 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7429 - - 2945 - - 3287 - - 1419 - - -8058 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15185 - - 16236 - - 17639 - - 17149 - - 14859 sfcLCL ODpotential -10712 - - 1861 - - 2018 - - -243 - - -11175 ODpotential blCL 18467 - - 17319 - - 18907 - - 18810 - - 17975 blCL maxRH 85 - - 88 - - 100 - - 92 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 70 - - 110 - - 100 - - 180 CAPE Temp@2m 62.3 - - 73.8 - - 76.7 - - 74.9 - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.8 - - 25.7 - - 22.2 - - 22.9 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.4 - - 71.1 - - 74.1 - - 73.9 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.5 - - 25.1 - - 21.5 - - 22.4 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 142 - - 477 - - 463 - - 146 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1070 - - 12495 - - 14240 - - 11882 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 54 - - 101 - - 69 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98339 10 085 11 088 13 091 11 071 18 084 98339 90987 16 108 19 105 13 119 14 092 14 066 90987 85318 21 105 20 100 20 107 11 126 16 081 85318 80605 19 099 15 112 12 114 13 090 14 117 80605 76538 16 104 12 132 9 151 9 096 11 095 76538 72910 10 122 11 165 4 160 4 159 3 134 72910 69624 6 235 9 197 6 181 7 198 9 242 69624 66626 16 229 18 243 17 258 9 280 5 277 66626 63853 13 235 22 247 26 248 20 271 18 285 63853 61174 13 262 24 254 30 257 33 264 31 279 61174 58374 26 264 32 268 32 265 38 263 38 272 58374 55447 34 258 37 270 36 267 40 261 44 267 55447 52638 37 258 41 261 41 263 40 260 45 263 52638 50107 37 258 43 255 44 260 41 264 46 263 50107 47844 36 260 41 251 41 255 43 266 50 262 47844 45805 37 254 36 250 40 253 48 263 53 261 45805 43955 36 243 37 251 44 257 55 264 56 264 43955 42261 36 240 40 248 48 261 61 265 60 265 42261 40691 37 241 38 242 48 261 61 265 61 265 40691 39227 37 243 36 238 46 259 60 263 58 265 39227 37859 36 244 37 238 45 257 58 261 57 263 37859 36557 36 245 39 235 42 253 49 257 57 261 36557 35259 36 245 38 234 42 254 42 252 55 258 35259 33940 35 246 35 240 42 257 41 251 50 253 33940 32605 33 249 33 247 40 257 40 251 43 246 32605 31243 31 251 31 250 36 258 39 251 38 242 31243 29842 30 251 29 252 33 257 36 251 38 245 29842 28402 30 250 28 253 32 257 35 250 38 247 28402 26925 28 252 28 254 31 256 35 248 38 242 26925 25420 27 255 28 254 31 257 36 246 39 233 25420 23892 27 261 28 251 30 258 35 246 39 225 23892 22331 27 267 27 250 27*257 31 241 39 219 22331 20730 26 260 23*253 19*254 24 232 35 219 20730 19114 18 255 18*262 15 252 22*231 30 224 19114 17564 10 258 17 264 13 250 19*232 27 233 17564 16149 6 262 14 257 13 249 16 233 25 241 16149 14881 8 295 12 253 12 248 16 234 23 247 14881 13736 8 313 9 253 12 248 15 236 21 252 13736 12698 5 318 7 252 13 246 14 238 20 254 12698 11755 2 321 6 251 13 246 13 241 18 255 11755 10898 1 333 6 250 13 245 12 244 17 256 10898 10125 0 008 5 250 13 244 12 246 14 256 10125 9425 2 347 6 248 13 244 11 248 12 256 9425 8784 3 340 5 248 13 243 11 250 8 259 8784 8204 2*357 6 247 13 243 11 252 5 263 8204 7711 3*132 6 248 13 243 10 253 1 297 7711 7327 3 136 6 247 12 243 10 253 2 032 7327 7058 3 138 5 247 12 242 10 254 4 048 7058 6894 3 140 5 247 12 242 9 254 5*053 6894 6800 3 139 5 247 11 243 8 255 5*053 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography