DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 48.5 - - 54.1 - - 55.7 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 59 - - 219 - - 214 - - 21 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4231 - - 5970 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit 6553 - - 9039 - - 10375 - - 6554 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top 6570 - - 10460 - - 12199 - - 6571 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3712 - - 1926 - - 2195 - - 8261 - - 3728 Hgt.Variab. W* 123 - - 431 - - 481 - - 101 - - 25 W* B/S 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 17 - - 23 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 235 - - 240 - - 247 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -17 - - -19 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3800 - - -144 - - -91 - - -5850 - - -4600 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10371 - - 10604 - - 12291 - - 12421 - - 11171 sfcLCL ODpotential -8973 - - -4940 - - -4386 - - -8052 - - -8598 ODpotential blCL 15543 - - 15400 - - 16585 - - 14623 - - 15169 blCL maxRH 47 - - 69 - - 65 - - 71 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 48.5 - - 54.1 - - 55.7 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.8 - - 24.9 - - 22.9 - - 24.0 - - 23.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.3 - - 46.7 - - 52.4 - - 55.5 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.6 - - 23.7 - - 21.8 - - 22.8 - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 59 - - 219 - - 214 - - 21 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 4231 - - 5970 - - 342 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98688 27 090 22 099 25 083 29 098 20 112 98688 91279 20 103 18 115 19 093 21 108 18 091 91279 85541 16 102 14 115 7 128 9 099 16 094 85541 80758 9 113 12 114 12 150 4 160 11 073 80758 76610 6 161 8 104 13 156 4 190 1 077 76610 72926 9 185 9 201 7 185 4 179 2 132 72926 69574 6 221 11 220 12 219 8 235 4 277 69574 66480 10 220 11 234 11 229 15 223 10 234 66480 63599 16 238 19 255 21 249 25 248 17 261 63599 60822 23 221 23 252 27 257 32 270 34 280 60822 57959 17 252 28 245 30 265 32 269 35 277 57959 54993 33 286 31 262 34 262 33 256 34 256 54993 52142 46 274 41 273 40 265 35 262 32 245 52142 49550 50 260 48 266 49 266 47 273 39 266 49550 47222 49 256 51 258 55 260 59 269 54 271 47222 45128 50 260 51 258 56 259 63 263 62 263 45128 43235 55 267 55 264 57 261 62 261 60 259 43235 41506 63 272 63 267 62 265 65 261 60 259 41506 39911 73 273 72 267 72 263 71 259 65 260 39911 38433 83 273 81 265 81 260 78 257 69 258 38433 37067 90 270 86 263 84 261 85 256 69 258 37067 35783 88 272 82 264 83 264 89 257 71 260 35783 34513 86 274 81 268 80 265 87 259 74 260 34513 33223 87 273 81 269 77 266 82 261 75 261 33223 31912 86 270 80 271 75 267 78 264 74 264 31912 30566 83 272 78 272 72 269 76 266 72 265 30566 29180 81 276 76 273 71 270 73 268 71 264 29180 27758 79 279 73 273 70 269 71 268 70 262 27758 26304 77 281 70 273 69 269 70 266 70 262 26304 24821 73 281 67 273 68 271 70 266 68 263 24821 23315 68 280 64 273 65 271 67 267 63 264 23315 21779 63 278 60 273 63 270 64 267 59 264 21779 20204 59 278 58 273 60 269 62 266 58 263 20204 18614 56 279 55 273 57 270 58 265 58 257 18614 17088 54 280 50 273 51 272 53 265 51 255 17088 15697 50 282 44 273 44 271 48 263 43 257 15697 14452 45 286 37 271 36 264 43 257 37 256 14452 13330 38 291 31 267 29 250 38 250 32 255 13330 12314 31 293 25 260 26*241 35 248 28 254 12314 11393 24 287 21 249 26*240 32 246 24 253 11393 10558 20 275 19*238 25 239 31 245 22 254 10558 9805 17 262 18*237 24 239 29 246 21 255 9805 9123 14 250 18 235 24 239 28 246 20 256 9123 8499 10 234 18 235 23 240 27 246 19 256 8499 7936 7 209 18 234 22 240 26 246 18 255 7936 7456 5 179 17 234 21 240 24 246 16 253 7456 7082 4 169 16 234 20 240 23 247 14 249 7082 6822 4 167 15 234 19 241 21 247 11 242 6822 6662 4*164 13 234 17 241 18*247 8*231 6662 6571 3*160 10 234 13 241 12*247 4*210 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography