DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.3 - - 41.4 - - 44.2 - - 43.8 - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 51 - - 87 - - 171 - - 57 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2985 - - 2351 - - 2402 - - 2359 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2828 - - 3037 - - 3475 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 5180 - - 4546 - - 4597 - - 4554 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1061 - - 2224 - - 2766 - - 2534 - - 6124 Hgt.Variab. W* 228 - - 248 - - 311 - - 218 - - 13 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 21 - - 19 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 310 - - 329 - - 328 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -10 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1516 - - 1114 - - 870 - - 1098 - - -3016 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3664 - - 3433 - - 3727 - - 3456 - - 5266 sfcLCL ODpotential 597 - - 384 - - 143 - - 237 - - -4339 ODpotential blCL 4583 - - 4162 - - 4454 - - 4317 - - 6589 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 91 - - 91 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 39.3 - - 41.4 - - 44.2 - - 43.8 - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.0 - - 34.1 - - 35.6 - - 36.4 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.9 - - 40.8 - - 43.1 - - 43.4 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.0 - - 33.1 - - 34.5 - - 35.4 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 51 - - 87 - - 171 - - 57 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2985 - - 2351 - - 2402 - - 2359 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 99 - - 64 - - 66 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99036 10 024 9 033 7 074 9 038 11 003 99036 91560 1 042 5 008 5 056 2 012 3 356 91560 85720 6 100 4 200 1 014 1 340 1 039 85720 80830 6 088 10 209 4 244 5 268 6 332 80830 76608 6 111 10 197 8 233 8 255 6 305 76608 72876 6 149 7 187 7 244 5 252 7 220 72876 69495 5 172 7 189 9 237 2 256 7 182 69495 66380 5 227 7 187 10 218 7 234 3 145 66380 63481 8 208 8 206 9 220 8 200 3 156 63481 60661 9 210 14 198 11 206 8 193 5 174 60661 57703 10 233 11 205 13 191 9 224 3 210 57703 54623 17 206 11 222 11 209 14 214 7 223 54623 51678 19 210 14 236 15 247 15 191 11 209 51678 49028 17 218 17 227 18 242 17 197 13 207 49028 46656 16 218 17 227 19 236 14 214 13 217 46656 44512 14 217 15 225 15 220 11 205 13 206 44512 42560 14 237 13 219 12 208 9 202 10 206 42560 40765 13 253 11 218 11 201 12 221 6 217 40765 39102 11 245 11 203 11 196 13 214 4 217 39102 37557 11 225 9 196 11 188 11 196 4 204 37557 36121 11 220 7 206 9 173 7 187 7 192 36121 34754 12 221 8 212 7 173 7 171 11 182 34754 33391 13 204 10 212 6 166 8 153 10 167 33391 32002 13 171 11 185 5 141 8 154 8 145 32002 30592 10 145 12 165 4 139 8 146 6 147 30592 29149 9 161 20 168 3 190 8 130 7 149 29149 27667 20 157 23 164 6 194 5 095 9 118 27667 26138 14 144 17 165 10 192 2 284 9 088 26138 24552 3 143 5 160 13 176 8 214 3 079 24552 22906 4 304 15 300 8 152 10 186 3 090 22906 21205 7 301 21 285 3 287 7 197 4 354 21205 19442 10 311 20 273 8 286 7 266 10 327 19442 17611 14 315 17 281 9 305 13 304 19 321 17611 15746 19 313 16 299 15 335 17 320 19 308 15746 13945 21 316 18 312 17 317 20 313 21 309 13945 12305 19 320 23 322 20 312 25 310 30 322 12305 10846 20 323 24 325 23 313 30 313 32 320 10846 9545 21 327 23 322 27 305 33 317 29 318 9545 8383 24 331 21 315 31 302 34 319 26 317 8383 7346 25 332 21 309 30 304 31 322 24 318 7346 6420 24 329 23 307 28 308 29 324 20 319 6420 5600 23*321 24 308 26 313 26 325 18 322 5600 4870 23*320 24*309 23*319 24*326 17 324 4870 4213 22 318 24*310 21*325 22*327 17 326 4213 3629 21 318 23 310 20 328 20 328 16 328 3629 3138 20 317 22 311 20 329 19 328 15 329 3138 2760 19 317 21 311 19 330 18 328 14 328 2760 2500 18 317 20 311 18 331 17 328 12 326 2500 2341 16 316 18 311 17 331 16 328 9*324 2341 2250 13 315 15 310 14 331 13 328 5*320 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography