DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 70.4 - - 74.8 - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 51 - - 13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 915 - - 991 - - 1883 - - 389 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 262 - - 262 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1195 - - 1271 - - 2163 - - 669 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1549 - - 1947 - - 1850 - - 3791 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 143 - - 157 - - 146 - - 54 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 324 - - 350 - - 007 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -9 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 557 - - 615 - - 621 - - -719 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 638 - - 656 - - 1542 - - 1388 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 365 - - 317 - - -197 - - -1475 ODpotential blCL - - - 830 - - 954 - - 2360 - - 2144 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 1100 - - 1370 - - 1780 - - 2120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 70.4 - - 74.8 - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.2 - - 68.0 - - 68.5 - - 69.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 70.2 - - 74.8 - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 67.4 - - 67.6 - - 68.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 51 - - 13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 915 - - 991 - - 1883 - - 389 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 95 - - 101 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98326 17 081 8 054 11 067 8 077 98326 90909 15 096 15 088 15 101 15 073 90909 85228 23 100 17 108 18 099 17 076 85228 80538 24 087 21 113 19 103 17 084 80538 76505 18 091 21 118 14 103 10 096 76505 72949 11 104 18 122 14 115 9 114 72949 69737 9 131 14 135 12 149 5 148 69737 66775 5 138 4 184 11 179 7 199 66775 64017 8 209 15 215 13 240 11 274 64017 61359 9 228 17 224 20 248 27 264 61359 58586 15 241 12 251 18 233 21 232 58586 55665 23 259 23 272 20 266 22 260 55665 52854 37 259 33 267 35 267 38 268 52854 50319 38 258 39 264 37 258 35 262 50319 48041 42 254 42 260 38 262 38 280 48041 45976 41 247 39 259 42 262 45 278 45976 44089 38 245 34 263 35 262 31 269 44089 42358 31 255 28 270 21 281 19 277 42358 40761 27 266 23 274 18 308 12 310 40761 39275 23 252 19 277 13 326 8 343 39275 37882 18 246 17 281 17 010 16 035 37882 36543 12 307 10 305 22 017 26 030 36543 35185 12 353 9 328 22 353 25 023 35185 33774 18 023 5 326 17 332 21 005 33774 32310 17 017 6 338 13 321 18 352 32310 30775 15 003 6 345 13 313 18 355 30775 29155 14 346 6 320 14 299 20 358 29155 27452 13 338 8 305 16 295 19 351 27452 25664 12 324 10 297 17 308 19 345 25664 23792 10 314 12 297 16 321 21 337 23792 21847 7 300 15 322 19 323 20 332 21847 19827 8 287 18 348 19 334 20 332 19827 17722 9 293 19 001 20 352 21 336 17722 15567 9 309 20 006 18 000 22 348 15567 13483 7 313 19 007 14 349 18 341 13483 11584 6 322 16 003 14 351 16 334 11584 9899 5 330 15 003 14 345 18 355 9899 8407 4 310 14 353 16 345 19 006 8407 7081 5 282 11 348 18 343 17 023 7081 5902 9 273 9 345 17 343 18 035 5902 4858 11 270 7 345 14 345 13 017 4858 3941 9 270 6 353 10 357 11 355 3941 3132 5 265 6 359 8 012 11 356 3132 2410 2 315 7 000 8*015 11 000 2410 1771 3 323 8*356 7*011 10 007 1771 1238 3*325 8*353 7 009 10 010 1238 829 3*326 8 351 7 006 10*013 829 548 3 325 8 348 7 004 9*014 548 377 2 323 8 347 6 004 8 015 377 279 2 325 7 347 5 002 6 015 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography