DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.6 - - 84.1 - - 89.5 - - 89.7 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 178 - - 329 - - 260 - - 7 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1232 - - 3204 - - 4764 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth Hcrit 1832 - - 3495 - - 4602 - - 1564 - - 1563 Hcrit BL Top 2617 - - 4589 - - 6149 - - 1580 - - 1580 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 658 - - 1304 - - 3449 - - 9289 - - 1047 Hgt.Variab. W* 249 - - 423 - - 448 - - 60 - - 25 W* B/S 7 - - 9 - - 22 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 230 - - 231 - - 130 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - -3 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -73 - - -814 - - -1273 - - -6254 - - -1289 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2690 - - 5404 - - 7422 - - 7835 - - 2869 sfcLCL ODpotential -4664 - - -3833 - - -3204 - - -8083 - - -5590 ODpotential blCL 7281 - - 8422 - - 9353 - - 9663 - - 7170 blCL maxRH 94 - - 74 - - 58 - - 45 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 1520 - - 1910 - - 1580 - - 1310 - - 2610 CAPE Temp@2m 73.6 - - 84.1 - - 89.5 - - 89.7 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.7 - - 65.5 - - 62.1 - - 60.6 - - 70.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.0 - - 81.8 - - 87.6 - - 89.5 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.3 - - 64.5 - - 61.1 - - 59.8 - - 70.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 178 - - 329 - - 260 - - 7 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1232 - - 3204 - - 4764 - - 195 - - 195 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98397 21 054 21 095 11 120 15 075 18 056 98397 90890 18 054 22 084 18 107 12 098 16 062 90890 85157 12 104 16 065 21 086 16 112 13 082 85157 80453 18 111 13 096 17 091 14 102 17 103 80453 76408 19 106 16 107 17 099 13 089 14 091 76408 72836 16 110 17 112 12 099 14 104 14 097 72836 69624 10 127 15 127 13 117 15 094 17 109 69624 66699 10 151 11 143 9 154 6 102 10 106 66699 64015 6 140 11 191 7 203 2 162 5 111 64015 61439 6 062 13 221 14 249 7 256 6 246 61439 58748 19 273 22 276 18 266 17 288 11 257 58748 55923 30 260 37 271 32 270 32 277 27 265 55923 53206 45 264 50 260 47 259 49 259 40 263 53206 50744 61 268 60 265 56 268 55 273 52 274 50744 48518 71 268 72 270 72 274 69 273 66 275 48518 46495 70 269 73 269 75 269 71 269 70 274 46495 44649 67 271 65 270 69 268 67 269 67 274 44649 42951 67 275 66 277 63 271 64 272 65 275 42951 41369 70 277 71 279 61 276 61 276 67 277 41369 39882 67 278 71 280 62 282 57 281 67 283 39882 38479 62 282 63 281 64 284 54 286 61 287 38479 37127 62 280 55 285 61 287 54 287 55 290 37127 35757 58 278 54 287 52 287 53 291 54 294 35757 34338 54 282 51 286 43 291 48 292 55 297 34338 32872 50 289 44 288 41 294 39 290 53 305 32872 31342 47 294 41 291 40 292 31 291 48 311 31342 29738 43 296 39 293 38 291 29 293 44 307 29738 28064 41 300 36 298 34 295 31 294 40 302 28064 26320 41 308 33 303 31 301 32 293 35 302 26320 24507 39 315 30 304 30 301 26 296 33 306 24507 22623 35 321 28 307 28 297 23 301 29 304 22623 20664 28 319 22 318 23 302 24 298 24 302 20664 18624 22 318 19 322 18 291 23 296 22 302 18624 16544 20 318 18 307 17 289 21 296 20 309 16544 14539 17 323 14 310 14 297 17 306 18 323 14539 12714 16 341 13 337 13 324 15 326 16 340 12714 11092 13 344 20 344 18 003 14 332 16 351 11092 9645 11 342 25 341 18 351 13 333 14 347 9645 8351 11 325 18 332 15 341 10 327 11 336 8351 7193 11 307 10 312 8 324 6 304 6 308 7193 6164 12 289 9 298 4*262 3 217 6 223 6164 5254 14 243 9*250 4*240 5 174 11 194 5254 4447 19 231 9*235 4 236 5 160 14 181 4447 3723 19 231 8 232 4 231 6 145 16 170 3723 3081 16*232 8 231 4 229 8 135 18 153 3081 2545 8*212 8 228 4 229 8 132 21 134 2545 2133 7 206 8 226 4 228 8 130 20 126 2133 1850 7 203 7 225 4 227 8 130 16 123 1850 1678 6 202 7 225 3 225 7*130 12*122 1678 1580 6 201 6 225 3 225 6*130 7*120 1580 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography