DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.8 - - 73.2 - - 77.2 - - 77.2 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 48 - - 398 - - 343 - - 126 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 462 - - 3838 - - 12251 - - 12540 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6027 - - 8545 - - 15247 - - 14659 - - 6028 Hcrit BL Top 6330 - - 9706 - - 18119 - - 18408 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1331 - - 9014 - - 2362 - - 2829 - - 11660 Hgt.Variab. W* 120 - - 487 - - 684 - - 494 - - 9 W* B/S 13 - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 12 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 183 - - 214 - - 231 - - 215 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 15 - - 17 - - 41 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7961 - - -5912 - - 1463 - - 1559 - - -9239 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14292 - - 15619 - - 16657 - - 16850 - - 15283 sfcLCL ODpotential -10871 - - -7258 - - 488 - - 413 - - -11917 ODpotential blCL 17201 - - 16964 - - 17631 - - 17995 - - 17961 blCL maxRH 99 - - 97 - - 96 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 20 - - 50 - - 80 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m 65.8 - - 73.2 - - 77.2 - - 77.2 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.4 - - 25.3 - - 24.5 - - 23.7 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.2 - - 70.6 - - 74.8 - - 75.9 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 25.0 - - 24.2 - - 23.4 - - 22.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 48 - - 398 - - 343 - - 126 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 462 - - 3838 - - 12251 - - 12540 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 87 - - 84 - - 100 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98348 13 100 15 076 14 103 15 073 16 088 98348 90999 18 100 16 104 14 100 9 101 18 086 90999 85344 19 093 17 112 16 106 18 121 14 078 85344 80626 18 102 13 107 12 118 14 099 16 096 80626 76540 14 096 11 147 5 145 10 078 10 077 76540 72908 4 157 12 140 9 137 7 146 3 207 72908 69616 13 216 11 214 8 263 3 254 3 189 69616 66587 14 203 20 238 16 252 14 273 12 288 66587 63798 12 250 14 252 22 248 25 274 23 268 63798 61127 25 265 22 266 28 257 31 274 32 274 61127 58336 34 257 35 267 31 262 35 265 35 270 58336 55411 34 259 39 267 34 269 37 263 39 269 55411 52594 36 261 40 262 39 267 39 261 41 266 52594 50049 36 258 40 255 42 262 41 264 44 265 50049 47772 37 257 38 250 43 257 47 262 49 262 47772 45721 36 253 37 251 42 254 51 259 52 261 45721 43858 35 247 41 255 45 258 56 260 53 260 43858 42152 37 244 43 252 49 259 58 259 55 259 42152 40577 39 240 40 245 47 256 54 257 56 258 40577 39112 40 233 36 242 43 254 49 258 52 256 39112 37747 41 225 35 246 40 253 47 257 46 255 37747 36448 39 225 36 243 40 253 41 249 43 252 36448 35152 38 234 36 240 40 252 35 238 39 248 35152 33833 37 242 34 242 41 252 34 241 33 239 33833 32496 34 249 31 244 39 254 37 244 29 231 32496 31123 32 257 30 244 35 254 38 246 28 243 31123 29703 30 261 28 246 32 252 36 248 29 251 29703 28240 29 264 28 250 31 251 34 246 29 248 28240 26736 28 265 29 253 30 252 34 242 30 243 26736 25198 27 264 30 253 30 254 33 243 31 236 25198 23628 28 261 30 252 29 257 32 247 29 231 23628 22019 28 252 29 252 27 256 29 245 24 233 22019 20366 28 241 23 255 24 251 25 234 23 224 20366 18696 22 238 21 254 16*247 24*228 25 218 18696 17093 12 248 21 246 13*242 23*226 25 218 17093 15629 10 272 16 252 13 238 23 224 22 219 15629 14314 9 282 12 275 12 236 21 222 21 221 14314 13130 9 286 10 294 12 235 19 220 19 225 13130 12058 8 290 9 294 12 233 18 216 18 230 12058 11086 6 295 8 281 12 230 16 213 18 236 11086 10207 3 317 8*261 12 228 14 209 18 242 10207 9416 3 016 8*241 12 225 13 205 18 246 9416 8701 4 045 8 226 12 224 12 203 19 250 8701 8049 5 048 8 211 11 222 11 200 19 253 8049 7461 4 045 8 208 11 221 11 198 19 255 7461 6962 2 044 8 206 11 220 10 196 18 257 6962 6574 0*135 8 205 11 219 10 195 15 257 6574 6304 1*182 8 203 11 218 10 195 12 257 6304 6139 2 184 7 203 10 218 9 193 9*257 6139 6044 2 182 7 202 10 218 9 193 5*259 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography