DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 67.8 - - 67.6 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 116 - - 46 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2801 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2564 - - 4016 - - 4187 - - 2753 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 120 - - 135 - - 101 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 278 - - 283 - - 053 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -65 - - -976 - - -676 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2883 - - 3793 - - 3493 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -655 - - -1489 - - -1356 - - -880 ODpotential blCL - - - 3472 - - 4306 - - 4173 - - 3697 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 93 - - 96 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 620 - - 990 - - 1280 - - 1070 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 67.8 - - 67.6 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.4 - - 60.4 - - 61.4 - - 61.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 66.4 - - 66.6 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 59.1 - - 60.7 - - 61.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 116 - - 46 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 72 - - 84 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98343 13 109 13 097 12 040 17 070 98343 91000 20 073 17 102 13 078 17 057 91000 85360 15 080 20 093 16 105 9 059 85360 80678 14 087 14 081 15 090 7 074 80678 76640 13 079 10 098 12 089 7 056 76640 73059 10 092 8 109 11 089 10 058 73059 69797 12 120 6 157 6 088 8 039 69797 66795 10 112 9 162 3 177 7 344 66795 64028 4 056 5 130 6 214 9 273 64028 61357 9 325 3 352 6 206 10 250 61357 58558 18 252 18 269 19 265 17 268 58558 55637 20 240 22 250 23 256 22 259 55637 52830 33 259 24 265 24 264 22 258 52830 50285 41 257 40 264 35 262 26 265 50285 47995 42 259 46 253 37 258 34 263 47995 45927 49 256 45 247 38 263 35 261 45927 44047 51 250 45 249 44 261 37 260 44047 42325 57 251 49 243 53 250 39 252 42325 40736 73 246 55 246 67 249 43 254 40736 39254 79 245 78 251 80 248 51 251 39254 37864 86 245 96 246 86 243 58 248 37864 36528 88 242 107 240 91 241 61 247 36528 35179 88 244 108 235 93 241 64 246 35179 33788 96 248 106 233 92 241 63 248 33788 32361 101 248 109 238 85 243 51 250 32361 30883 100 246 100 243 68 246 35 250 30883 29340 94 249 80 244 51 249 26 255 29340 27734 66 250 54 247 43 254 21 261 27734 26065 51 249 39 255 38 261 21 250 26065 24338 47 243 32 249 30 259 23 246 24338 22554 42 250 29 255 22 249 19 236 22554 20707 35 262 20 261 21 251 17 246 20707 18793 29 258 18 250 19 250 17 250 18793 16852 25 250 22 244 15 253 16 255 16852 14983 25 251 22 249 13 254 13 261 14983 13280 23 261 19 250 14 257 9 275 13280 11761 18 264 15 247 13 261 8 287 11761 10408 11 271 15 244 12 264 7 295 10408 9200 7 296 15 248 13 265 5 302 9200 8121 7 300 14 252 12 266 3 312 8121 7160 9 287 13 258 9 273 3 347 7160 6305 10 278 11 266 8 284 5 010 6305 5546 10 278 8 274 8 288 7 020 5546 4862 10 280 6 278 8 289 8 024 4862 4254 9 284 6 280 8 287 7 024 4254 3743 5 290 5 281 7 286 6 025 3743 3349 4 289 5 280 7 285 5 026 3349 3077 4 287 4 280 7 285 3 030 3077 2912 3*286 4*279 6*285 2*036 2912 2817 3*285 3*278 5*283 1*053 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography