DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.4 - - 60.2 - - 60.5 - - 60.1 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 80 - - 370 - - 227 - - 126 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 9664 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 16166 - - 9346 - - 9347 - - 9347 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 18464 - - 9363 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 9641 - - 2564 - - 12776 - - 11734 - - 9966 Hgt.Variab. W* 159 - - 670 - - 221 - - 182 - - 0 W* B/S 10 - - 12 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 064 - - 257 - - 246 - - 242 - - 048 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 31 - - 12 - - 10 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5586 - - 2981 - - -6619 - - -6476 - - -5060 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14950 - - 15483 - - 15983 - - 15840 - - 14424 sfcLCL ODpotential -7841 - - 1010 - - -8120 - - -8266 - - -8192 ODpotential blCL 17204 - - 17454 - - 17483 - - 17629 - - 17555 blCL maxRH 94 - - 98 - - 101 - - 86 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 170 - - 180 - - 170 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m 55.4 - - 60.2 - - 60.5 - - 60.1 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.6 - - 24.7 - - 22.9 - - 23.2 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.7 - - 56.9 - - 58.1 - - 58.2 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.5 - - 23.5 - - 21.8 - - 22.3 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 80 - - 370 - - 227 - - 126 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 9664 - - 563 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 90 - - 103 - - 42 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98336 11 085 13 084 15 097 13 067 19 085 98336 90991 17 107 18 110 11 106 15 097 16 068 90991 85329 20 102 19 105 20 105 12 128 15 085 85329 80613 18 102 16 106 14 122 16 086 14 112 80613 76543 17 105 12 128 8 149 7 085 12 089 76543 72913 8 106 12 162 4 150 6 165 2 138 72913 69624 11 219 8 194 2 194 3 195 7 226 69624 66616 15 229 18 240 16 251 9 293 8 274 66616 63836 9 235 20 247 25 250 22 269 18 288 63836 61155 14 264 20 258 29 255 34 267 28 280 61155 58352 27 261 31 264 32 264 38 262 38 272 58352 55423 34 258 37 269 35 269 40 261 44 267 55423 52614 38 260 40 264 40 264 41 260 45 263 52614 50083 39 256 42 256 43 260 41 265 44 263 50083 47818 37 255 42 250 42 254 43 265 47 262 47818 45774 36 255 39 249 40 253 47 263 51 261 45774 43917 35 247 39 250 44 257 52 264 54 262 43917 42218 36 241 39 249 47 260 57 264 57 262 42218 40646 38 240 37 244 46 259 57 263 56 261 40646 39184 39 239 36 240 43 256 56 262 52 261 39184 37822 38 240 38 240 42 252 55 259 49 260 37822 36534 38 242 40 238 41 249 48 251 49 257 36534 35260 37 244 40 236 41 250 41 245 45 253 35260 33975 35 246 37 240 42 253 41 246 39 247 33975 32686 34 249 35 246 40 254 41 248 34 239 32686 31380 33 253 33 249 36 255 40 248 35 242 31380 30047 31 255 31 252 34 255 37 249 36 249 30047 28690 30 256 30 252 34 256 35 249 35 250 28690 27315 29 256 29 253 33 257 34 248 35 243 27315 25929 29 256 29 254 32 258 35 247 36 236 25929 24539 29 258 29 253 31 258 34 248 37 233 24539 23144 29 263 30 251 29 255 31 248 36 228 23144 21733 29 259 25 253 19 251 27 243 33 224 21733 20327 24 249 17 262 15 248 21 236 31 223 20327 18988 20 249 17*262 14 246 20 234 27 229 18988 17773 17 257 16*262 14 245 18 234 24 236 17773 16683 14 267 15 262 14 245 15 234 22 241 16683 15694 12 275 12 265 13 245 14 234 20 242 15694 14789 10 281 10 265 14 246 14 235 19 242 14789 13957 8 282 10 264 13 246 13 237 17 241 13957 13192 6 285 9 260 13 247 12 238 15 239 13192 12492 4 294 9 256 13 248 12 240 13 236 12492 11850 2 323 9 253 13 248 11 241 11 233 11850 11253 2 041 9 249 13 248 11 242 10 230 11253 10708 4 053 9 245 13 249 11 243 8 228 10708 10240 5 054 9 243 13 249 10 243 6 226 10240 9872 5 056 9 241 12 249 10 243 5 226 9872 9614 4 059 9 238 12 248 10 243 3 229 9614 9455 4*062 8 238 11*248 9*243 2*224 9455 9363 3*064 7 236 9*246 7*242 1*048 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography