DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.0 - - 67.3 - - 75.8 - - 72.5 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 40 - - 46 - - -6 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 80 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4077 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4095 - - 4380 - - 4096 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1543 - - 2886 - - 11036 - - 8525 - - 4777 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 37 - - 68 - - 21 - - 17 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 344 - - 073 - - 321 - - 291 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 5 - - -1 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6790 - - -4788 - - -6334 - - -4824 - - -3890 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10885 - - 8883 - - 10715 - - 8920 - - 7986 sfcLCL ODpotential -12415 - - -8310 - - -8414 - - -7161 - - -7124 ODpotential blCL 16509 - - 12405 - - 12794 - - 11257 - - 11219 blCL maxRH 41 - - 40 - - 50 - - 47 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 80 - - 820 - - 1110 - - 480 CAPE Temp@2m 62.0 - - 67.3 - - 75.8 - - 72.5 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.9 - - 42.5 - - 42.8 - - 47.4 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.8 - - 67.0 - - 75.6 - - 73.4 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.7 - - 40.9 - - 41.6 - - 46.1 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 40 - - 46 - - -6 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 80 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98611 26 102 20 087 19 090 16 106 9 102 98611 91213 24 100 20 106 15 103 17 100 19 099 91213 85485 17 097 16 108 16 113 13 130 11 100 85485 80693 9 116 11 120 9 134 10 139 8 118 80693 76544 7 164 7 165 3 151 5 143 1 181 76544 72883 4 206 9 205 6 228 2 285 2 192 72883 69569 5 216 9 240 11 248 8 280 3 302 69569 66523 8 267 12 269 10 250 14 254 12 270 66523 63705 12 282 19 271 17 271 10 267 17 254 63705 60981 17 273 22 272 24 269 24 282 15 260 60981 58130 24 275 25 274 26 266 32 270 23 266 58130 55162 30 275 29 278 29 271 34 270 34 275 55162 52331 33 272 32 272 35 272 40 272 39 277 52331 49790 34 271 35 273 40 272 42 274 43 276 49790 47515 35 267 39 268 45 267 47 270 44 276 47515 45457 35 277 38 270 45 265 46 274 46 280 45457 43588 41 287 44 284 46 282 49 286 45 285 43588 41887 47 286 50 288 46 285 47 288 46 294 41887 40327 45 281 48 284 44 295 42 290 50 302 40327 38880 41 280 43 281 43 300 43 300 52 303 38880 37530 36 282 38 279 42 296 48 311 52 302 37530 36236 32 283 34 277 42 287 48 316 52 302 36236 34934 31 286 33 278 41 285 46 316 53 303 34934 33594 30 286 33 276 39 289 42 312 52 301 33594 32220 30 282 36 282 37 291 38 304 49 297 32220 30798 30 276 36 283 35 291 38 299 44 295 30798 29321 31 279 34 279 36 291 40 298 41 293 29321 27789 30 283 33 279 36 285 39 297 39 293 27789 26204 28 286 31 282 36 282 36 294 38 293 26204 24570 26 286 29 280 32 280 33 291 36 292 24570 22889 23 283 27 276 29 276 33 284 33 291 22889 21156 21 281 24 274 28 275 30 278 31 289 21156 19363 19 280 22 275 25 275 27 275 28 285 19363 17541 17 281 19 274 22 274 24 273 27 280 17541 15788 15 281 17 273 19 266 21 272 25 279 15788 14188 14 282 16 269 18 261 19 276 24 281 14188 12759 15 284 14 265 17 263 19 280 23 286 12759 11478 14 286 13 261 17 265 19 282 23 293 11478 10328 12 284 12 254 16 268 20 284 24 298 10328 9295 11 281 13 247 15 273 21 286 25 300 9295 8368 9 277 12 242 13 277 21 286 26 300 8368 7540 7 275 10 240 12 282 22 287 27 299 7540 6799 6 273 9 238 10 288 22 288 27 297 6799 6128 4 276 6 236 9 294 22 288 27 296 6128 5526 3 298 4 230 7 301 22 288 27 295 5526 5019 4 315 1 215 6 309 21 289 26 294 5019 4627 4 318 1 098 6*316 21 289 24 293 4627 4355 3 325 2 079 5*319 20 290 21 294 4355 4189 2*337 2*077 5 321 18*290 18*294 4189 4094 2*344 2*073 4 322 13*291 10*296 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography