DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0721z - - 1114z - - 1334z - - 1604z - - 1906z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.0 - - 45.8 - - 52.8 - - 53.5 - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 10 - - 76 - - 116 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 137 - - 1596 - - 2970 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1355 - - 1355 - - 1355 - - 2941 - - 1355 Hcrit BL Top 1590 - - 1574 - - 3033 - - 4407 - - 1373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 930 - - 931 - - 1586 - - 1436 - - 851 Hgt.Variab. W* 50 - - 46 - - 206 - - 297 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 2 - - 7 - - 24 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 045 - - 349 - - 201 - - 276 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - -2 - - 9 - - -10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 218 - - 202 - - 1105 - - 1070 - - -338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1372 - - 1372 - - 1928 - - 3337 - - 1711 sfcLCL ODpotential 39 - - 106 - - 655 - - 164 - - -2334 ODpotential blCL 1551 - - 1468 - - 2378 - - 4243 - - 3707 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 91 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 47 - - 32 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.0 - - 45.8 - - 52.8 - - 53.5 - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.0 - - 45.2 - - 48.4 - - 43.0 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.8 - - 45.6 - - 52.2 - - 53.1 - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.0 - - 45.1 - - 48.4 - - 43.0 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 10 - - 76 - - 116 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 137 - - 1596 - - 2970 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 104 - - 104 - - 103 - - 62 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 69973 29 215 32 221 25 224 25 216 21 206 69973 59360 25 245 18 114 30 152 26 182 29 211 59360 53635 54 212 55 208 30 235 30 228 31 234 53635 48249 41 201 42 203 33 236 24 218 16 209 48249 43312 34 215 43 200 37 214 27 212 21 219 43312 40709 33 198 37 198 36 193 30 194 34 198 40709 39665 34 196 32 200 35 185 36 170 35 188 39665 38490 36 203 33 193 36 174 34 163 32 181 38490 36519 38 198 32 188 37 169 30 162 28 185 36519 35743 40 196 27 174 37 169 27 170 26 194 35743 35346 41 193 27 158 39 165 27 184 25 197 35346 34910 42 188 27 149 42 161 27 183 23 196 34910 34497 47 187 27 144 42 157 32 166 20 193 34497 33998 49 183 28 142 42 153 40 173 26 179 33998 33399 48 175 29 146 42 149 38 160 34 169 33399 32852 45 165 32 152 44 147 37 156 29 167 32852 32192 44 159 43 160 42 142 31 140 27 134 32192 31680 42 152 53 157 44 136 30 119 35 125 31680 31253 41 145 58 149 55 127 35 109 36 113 31253 30769 46 126 61 147 62 119 30 107 32 104 30769 30388 36 130 62 145 66 116 23 133 32 102 30388 29756 31 136 65 132 57 135 22 143 29 097 29756 28683 31 149 58 128 45 156 15 140 24 098 28683 27628 36 159 51 141 31 162 20 182 22 106 27628 25932 41 165 53 160 24 158 23 184 22 118 25932 23475 41 168 51 170 19 148 23 191 22 130 23475 20046 33 157 30 162 16 132 17 185 22 144 20046 16643 27 141 30 145 19 132 18 175 23 152 16643 14308 19 146 25 146 20 149 20 183 27 159 14308 13069 16 166 26 138 17 177 25 176 26 163 13069 11808 18 175 24 134 19 180 22 198 23 168 11808 9886 19 167 16 164 20 181 17 204 22 177 9886 9093 21 146 14 176 17 180 15 210 22 199 9093 7953 21 142 15 165 12 179 14 254 16 217 7953 5566 21 138 15 160 8 187 17 287 8 299 5566 4743 21 134 17 153 7 214 20 287 13 297 4743 4460 22 131 18 147 9 228 22*286 13 298 4460 4180 23 128 21 141 10 232 24*284 14 295 4180 3902 25 127 22 139 12 228 26 281 15 294 3902 3626 25 124 23 135 13 223 26 279 16 292 3626 3353 24 117 21 128 14 217 27 277 17 291 3353 3081 22 105 19 117 13*212 26 276 19 289 3081 2812 21 091 16 104 12*206 25 274 19 286 2812 2545 20 076 12 091 9 202 25 273 20 283 2545 2280 17 065 9 076 8 201 24 273 19 279 2280 2017 14 057 6 055 7 201 23 272 18 273 2017 1757 11*052 3*018 6 200 21 272 14 266 1757 1564 9*047 3*354 5 199 19 271 11 267 1564 1436 7 046 2 348 5 198 17 271 9*268 1436 1372 5 041 2 344 4 197 13 271 6*268 1372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography