DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/14 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0721z - - 1031z - - 1335z - - 1605z - - 1906z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.7 - - 37.5 - - 35.7 - - 35.7 - - 35.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -180 - - -143 - - -96 - - -106 - - -93 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 BL Depth Hcrit 1194 - - 1194 - - 1194 - - 1194 - - 1194 Hcrit BL Top 1211 - - 1211 - - 1211 - - 1211 - - 1211 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1223 - - 1325 - - 1262 - - 1267 - - 1306 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 087 - - 081 - - 063 - - 064 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -46 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1211 - - 1257 - - 1211 - - 1211 - - 1211 sfcLCL ODpotential -1035 - - -1384 - - -706 - - -564 - - -713 ODpotential blCL 2246 - - 2595 - - 1917 - - 1775 - - 1924 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.7 - - 37.5 - - 35.7 - - 35.7 - - 35.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.0 - - 36.2 - - 35.3 - - 35.7 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.3 - - 38.1 - - 36.2 - - 36.3 - - 35.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.0 - - 36.2 - - 35.3 - - 35.7 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -180 - - -143 - - -96 - - -106 - - -93 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 100 - - 103 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 70375 30 235 24 227 16 219 18 200 32 220 70375 58825 5 205 17 182 14 193 7 255 5 095 58825 52163 21 204 10 218 14 205 13 198 11 198 52163 49399 20 214 12 212 13 172 11 148 7 145 49399 45529 28 184 18 193 18 159 8 146 9 220 45529 42890 16 143 21 184 17 167 18 188 7 175 42890 41265 14 134 30 142 25 147 29 143 17 158 41265 40164 24 125 32 131 28 123 33 122 18 141 40164 39376 29 120 33 130 29 112 38 112 19 132 39376 38817 30 116 36 131 31 108 37 107 22 124 38817 38471 31 118 36 130 34 106 33 107 25 119 38471 38213 32 125 33 132 33 116 35 103 28 111 38213 38016 33 131 36 136 38 120 36 099 32 101 38016 37889 33 131 38 135 37 119 35 097 34 094 37889 37816 40 136 39 134 40 127 34 102 34 089 37816 37771 43 135 42 133 43 130 39 107 35 087 37771 37634 47 133 44 127 46 130 46 106 40 097 37634 37066 46 129 46 117 50 127 50 105 45 110 37066 36924 45 123 48 113 53 123 51 110 50 111 36924 35263 46 093 49 103 54 116 51 115 54 109 35263 31596 46 091 50 106 53 111 50 111 48 105 31596 27174 39 090 47 101 51 105 48 105 38 103 27174 23898 36 095 45 097 51 096 44 099 39 100 23898 21904 34 098 41 093 50 087 43 099 38 097 21904 20430 31 101 39 086 48 090 41 103 36 094 20430 17867 28 102 38 086 45 097 36 101 34 091 17867 15979 29 106 36 088 41 108 34 093 34 095 15979 14390 30 115 35 090 41 116 33 100 34 102 14390 13447 32 123 33 097 42 120 34 113 33 106 13447 12585 34 126 35 114 39 122 33 119 32 106 12585 11422 38 130 40 126 39 122 36 120 32 110 11422 9955 44 131 44 130 39 123 40 118 32 113 9955 8106 50 129 48 127 43 121 43 115 30 114 8106 7364 56 126 51 125 49 118 43 115 31 111 7364 5991 61 125 55 125 55 118 46 117 39 111 5991 4743 62 124 55 125 58 117 59 110 56 107 4743 4310 64 121 57 123 60 111 59 101 59 101 4310 4025 64 117 58 118 58 107 57 097 59 097 4025 3744 62 113 56 113 56 102 54 093 56 092 3744 3466 58 109 52 108 52 098 50 089 51 087 3466 3191 54 105 48 104 48 095 47 086 47 084 3191 2919 50 102 44 100 43 093 43 083 43 082 2919 2649 46 099 40 097 39 090 40 079 39 079 2649 2383 41 097 36 095 35 089 36 076 35 076 2383 2118 38 096 33 093 31 087 32 073 31 073 2118 1856 34 095 29 091 27 085 28 071 27 071 1856 1597 29 093 25 090 23 084 24 068 23 069 1597 1403 25 093 21 089 19 083 19 067 19 067 1403 1275 20*092 17*088 14*082 15*065 15*066 1275 1211 12*091 10*087 9*081 9*063 8*064 1211 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography