DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 Hollister 381ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1025z - - 1332z - - 1605z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.3 - - 75.8 - - 78.3 - - 71.5 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 125 - - 520 - - 789 - - 415 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 546 - - 1299 - - 1268 - - 1204 - - 513 BL Depth Hcrit 381 - - 1152 - - 1196 - - 1039 - - 381 Hcrit BL Top 927 - - 1680 - - 1649 - - 1585 - - 894 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 416 - - 312 - - 189 - - 167 - - 384 Hgt.Variab. W* 164 - - 353 - - 403 - - 319 - - 97 W* B/S 13 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 10 - - 14 - - 17 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 273 - - 272 - - 269 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -716 - - -3624 - - -4391 - - -2902 - - -1778 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1643 - - 5305 - - 6041 - - 4487 - - 2672 sfcLCL ODpotential -9995 - - -8979 - - -9208 - - -9202 - - -10314 ODpotential blCL 10922 - - 10659 - - 10857 - - 10787 - - 11208 blCL maxRH 92 - - 63 - - 56 - - 70 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.3 - - 75.8 - - 78.3 - - 71.5 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.4 - - 54.2 - - 53.6 - - 53.5 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.2 - - 73.1 - - 75.2 - - 69.2 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.4 - - 54.2 - - 53.6 - - 53.5 - - 52.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 125 - - 520 - - 789 - - 415 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 546 - - 1299 - - 1268 - - 1204 - - 513 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 68 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 74792 15 210 15 191 18 189 20 194 15 203 74792 61636 18 185 22 223 17 252 4 282 11 155 61636 56832 16 199 19 214 25 217 26 250 28 247 56832 54258 39 252 31 258 22 233 33 242 41 240 54258 51308 48 247 45 244 43 231 47 245 49 243 51308 48110 52 243 57 246 58 241 62 244 60 245 48110 45941 56 245 64 247 67 242 71 247 67 249 45941 43899 58 244 65 245 71 241 76 247 71 248 43899 42239 59 243 65 243 72 241 75 245 70 246 42239 40867 60 242 64 244 71 242 73 246 66 246 40867 39639 60 241 62 245 69 244 71 247 62 248 39639 38656 58 240 61 245 66 246 68 249 60 250 38656 37347 56 240 59 243 63 247 65 250 58 251 37347 36211 54 241 58 241 59 248 63 250 55 252 36211 34662 51 245 55 242 56 245 58 249 49 253 34662 34179 47 244 45 247 51 245 53 249 43 251 34179 27342 42 243 35 248 40 248 42 247 37 245 27342 23823 37 244 30 241 29 247 28 245 25 244 23823 20258 33 246 24 244 19 245 20 238 20 239 20258 17581 26 245 20 240 13 239 16 242 18 245 17581 16086 24 239 18 238 13 237 13 244 18 246 16086 14824 21 231 18 236 13 236 12 243 17 245 14824 13763 17 226 17 230 14 224 11 234 15 248 13763 12930 15 207 15 207 14 202 10 224 13 248 12930 11977 14 167 14 190 16 165 15 170 15 210 11977 11375 12 171 16 193 13 183 7 129 15 197 11375 10785 9 173 10 191 13 184 5 124 12 193 10785 10204 4 179 6 191 13 195 5 125 6 161 10204 9633 1 220 2 189 12 198 4 139 5 120 9633 9070 3 295 1 295 11 206 5 173 6 104 9070 8516 5 289 3 321 9 209 6 195 4 096 8516 7969 8 282 4 320 7 213 6 210 2 109 7969 7430 9 277 5 319 5 216 6 226 2 163 7430 6899 11 272 6 316 3 214 6 236 2 220 6899 6375 12 272 6 313 0 210 6 244 3 281 6375 5858 12 274 7 309 1 354 6 246 4 305 5858 5347 11 285 8 306 2 359 5 246 5 309 5347 4844 7 297 8 307 3 345 3 248 4 315 4844 4347 4 294 8 309 4 334 1 012 4 342 4347 3857 3 256 7 309 4 327 4 027 4 352 3857 3374 5 239 5 299 3 308 5 354 4 337 3374 2900 8 229 2 213 4 293 9 326 9 336 2900 2436 10 230 5 217 3 274 15 293 14 300 2436 1982 10 220 8*221 8*272 18*272 15 287 1982 1538 7 223 8*244 12*266 19*271 14 269 1538 1104 4*255 11 275 14 274 18 270 13*249 1104 820 2*293 11 277 14 274 17 268 12*244 820 608 2 289 11 278 14 274 16 268 11 245 608 468 2 289 11 278 13 274 15 267 10 243 468 397 2 290 10 278 12 274 14 267 8 243 397 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography