DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1331z - - 1558z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.1 - - 48.2 - - 52.9 - - 54.1 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 41 - - 78 - - -4 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 1918 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 107 - - 108 - - 486 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top 124 - - 477 - - 2026 - - 124 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 148 - - 2351 - - 2280 - - 4729 - - 188 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 105 - - 227 - - 18 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 281 - - 006 - - 014 - - 016 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - -3 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1071 - - -1568 - - -518 - - -1797 - - -931 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1196 - - 2045 - - 2544 - - 1921 - - 1055 sfcLCL ODpotential -4121 - - -2977 - - -2341 - - -2343 - - -3483 ODpotential blCL 4245 - - 3454 - - 4367 - - 2467 - - 3607 blCL maxRH 65 - - 70 - - 71 - - 73 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 130 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 41.1 - - 48.2 - - 52.9 - - 54.1 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.8 - - 40.1 - - 42.5 - - 46.5 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.8 - - 48.2 - - 52.4 - - 54.2 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.0 - - 39.3 - - 40.4 - - 44.8 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 41 - - 78 - - -4 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 369 - - 1918 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95525 24 311 30 304 16 335 22 265 33 314 95525 88304 15 357 8 314 16 294 14 311 19 337 88304 82898 20 353 10 035 9 267 14 326 18 350 82898 78479 19 344 13 018 1 269 11 307 18 003 78479 74681 19 339 13 013 5 334 18 353 19 002 74681 71313 18 335 14 002 12 311 16 347 13 002 71313 68231 17 341 13 359 8 347 17 345 17 017 68231 65352 23 335 21 347 25 342 28 337 27 357 65352 62654 30 326 29 324 29 324 27 342 34 346 62654 60019 31 321 28 321 25 320 29 351 35 336 60019 57249 32 322 24 333 28 324 34 336 33 328 57249 54350 39 324 31 340 31 327 38 328 35 334 54350 51562 48 321 47 338 43 343 42 335 44 340 51562 49051 53 323 65 336 62 345 52 345 55 340 49051 46807 60 325 76 332 74 339 64 346 64 340 46807 44778 66 325 81 329 78 339 76 346 73 338 44778 42936 70 327 82 330 89 342 92 343 82 335 42936 41258 75 329 84 334 98 339 102 334 82 337 41258 39714 80 331 88 337 99 335 96 335 95 350 39714 38277 84 333 89 342 93 341 104 002 109 355 38277 36922 89 336 96 351 97 353 130 009 118 359 36922 35607 94 339 113 356 130 003 139 007 131 001 35607 34268 98 341 127 357 155 004 134 006 135 002 34268 32878 100 342 129 356 150 002 124 004 128 002 32878 31438 99 342 126 354 135 359 115 002 114 001 31438 29931 95 341 125 352 133 357 110 358 102 360 29931 28340 90 340 128 349 135 350 105 355 93 357 28340 26667 84 337 126 349 136 350 104 349 88 354 26667 24906 77 335 108 348 135 356 103 345 83 353 24906 23061 66 335 83 343 114 354 100 350 78 356 23061 21131 51 338 66 338 93 344 98 002 75 359 21131 19113 41 340 48 336 77 340 85 003 74 359 19113 17003 35 343 35 336 49 341 68 349 70 001 17003 14857 29 349 32 339 31 345 54 346 63 004 14857 12810 22 353 28 340 27 354 31 356 45 009 12810 10972 20 348 23 341 24 354 23 007 25 016 10972 9348 19 347 19 353 20 352 22 004 20 022 9348 7910 18 352 18 010 18 002 22 003 21 030 7910 6635 18 002 21 018 18 011 21 011 19 037 6635 5504 18 007 21 018 16 014 20 012 17 034 5504 4504 22 005 17 009 18 008 20 010 19 025 4504 3624 23 357 21 009 19 005 19 009 23 019 3624 2848 17 345 21 011 18 005 18 009 24 015 2848 2155 13 346 11 010 16*007 15 009 23 013 2155 1544 10 344 8 012 9*011 11 011 19 012 1544 1035 10 332 5 017 7 015 9 013 14 008 1035 646 11 315 4*013 7 015 8 016 10 357 646 378 12 296 3*007 6 017 7 017 8 334 378 216 10*285 3 006 6 017 6 018 7 311 216 124 6*281 3 005 5 016 5*016 5*305 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography