DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.4 - - 69.5 - - 82.1 - - 77.5 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 183 - - 262 - - 122 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1139 - - 5310 - - 2871 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 465 - - 3702 - - 1490 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1245 - - 5416 - - 2977 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 245 - - 1113 - - 1940 - - 2263 - - 2713 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 240 - - 451 - - 286 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 20 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 10 - - 21 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 065 - - 166 - - 242 - - 248 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - 7 - - -7 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -192 - - -2327 - - -1416 - - -1434 - - -2841 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 313 - - 3572 - - 6833 - - 4411 - - 2963 sfcLCL ODpotential -10987 - - -7340 - - -2570 - - -2992 - - -5761 ODpotential blCL 11108 - - 8585 - - 7986 - - 5969 - - 5883 blCL maxRH 92 - - 70 - - 82 - - 91 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 52.4 - - 69.5 - - 82.1 - - 77.5 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.5 - - 54.4 - - 52.5 - - 58.6 - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 68.3 - - 80.3 - - 76.8 - - 69.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.5 - - 54.1 - - 52.1 - - 58.4 - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 183 - - 262 - - 122 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1139 - - 5310 - - 2871 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 68 - - 0 - - 28 - - 64 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98327 15 265 14 278 12 255 12 266 17 269 98327 90928 10 260 14 221 16 236 17 250 15 294 90928 85210 9 261 9 245 15 232 15 249 13 272 85210 80471 5 258 6 276 10 241 13 252 5 283 80471 76374 4 281 7 278 8 255 11 266 5 323 76374 72737 5 293 4 307 8 252 8 293 4 324 72737 69441 7 277 6 291 9 231 10 290 6 324 69441 66417 11 254 11 270 9 247 8 265 6 276 66417 63615 11 245 15 261 15 268 18 278 8 280 63615 60901 12 249 15 240 19 255 28 277 18 279 60901 58091 13 243 15 248 22 251 29 257 25 277 58091 55190 21 259 26 261 28 257 28 249 29 255 55190 52422 27 257 32 251 35 257 31 264 35 245 52422 49933 28 256 34 243 42 249 40 263 42 246 49933 47705 30 253 36 240 48 243 49 252 51 255 47705 45684 32 245 39 240 51 240 59 247 65 256 45684 43838 35 248 42 248 53 244 65 245 78 250 43838 42149 40 255 46 253 53 244 64 242 80 247 42149 40595 39 257 45 253 53 244 64 243 74 248 40595 39143 35 257 42 248 54 246 64 243 72 251 39143 37772 33 258 39 243 54 248 63 242 77 250 37772 36444 35 257 39 242 54 246 63 242 79 251 36444 35090 37 250 41 237 54 240 63 244 78 252 35090 33680 39 243 43 234 53 235 63 245 76 254 33680 32214 40 242 43 233 51 231 63 245 74 257 32214 30677 39 246 42 233 50 231 63 244 74 259 30677 29054 38 244 43 231 50 235 62 244 73 259 29054 27345 36 243 43 234 51 243 62 246 71 258 27345 25550 35 244 40 242 51 247 61 250 69 258 25550 23670 34 245 39 243 50 246 59 254 68 258 23670 21707 35 247 39 243 49 245 55 255 67 260 21707 19656 35 248 41 242 47 245 52 252 62 257 19656 17514 36 247 42 242 46 246 49 249 54 250 17514 15331 37 244 41 245 45 249 46 248 50 244 15331 13235 35 244 39 247 42 252 39 248 43 244 13235 11340 30 244 33 249 36 251 30 251 31 241 11340 9665 24 243 26 246 26 253 24 256 21 224 9665 8178 19 245 20 244 21 264 21 258 19 218 8178 6854 16 250 16 248 18 273 17 256 20 229 6854 5678 13 254 11 250 14*264 15 252 22 242 5678 4640 9 266 10 258 12*251 15 250 21 261 4640 3729 8 291 10 272 11 249 17*249 20 282 3729 2928 9 306 12 272 11 245 19*249 23 296 2928 2214 9 311 11 264 10 242 21 248 27 299 2214 1586 8 314 7*252 10 238 21 248 28 295 1586 1062 5 302 3*192 9 235 22 248 26 290 1062 661 3 231 2 165 9 233 21 248 23 286 661 385 4 167 2 156 8 231 21 248 19 283 385 218 2 144 2 151 8 231 19 247 16 282 218 122 1*065 2 151 7 230 15 246 11*280 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography