DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/23 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1602z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.2 - - 87.3 - - 95.2 - - 95.1 - - 84.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 100 - - 54 - - -27 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 121 - - 1593 - - 4708 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 579 - - 2599 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 227 - - 1700 - - 4815 - - 124 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 564 - - 2266 - - 3405 - - 9175 - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* 55 - - 237 - - 309 - - 31 - - 20 W* B/S 11 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 159 - - 206 - - 198 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 16 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4281 - - -5205 - - -4714 - - -9237 - - -5634 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4508 - - 6905 - - 9530 - - 9362 - - 5759 sfcLCL ODpotential -10695 - - -9521 - - -8403 - - -11275 - - -10095 ODpotential blCL 10922 - - 11221 - - 13218 - - 11399 - - 10219 blCL maxRH 47 - - 64 - - 52 - - 21 - - 27 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 400 - - 550 - - 730 - - 590 CAPE Temp@2m 75.2 - - 87.3 - - 95.2 - - 95.1 - - 84.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.2 - - 57.5 - - 53.8 - - 54.6 - - 59.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.1 - - 86.4 - - 94.8 - - 96.4 - - 87.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.3 - - 56.2 - - 52.5 - - 53.3 - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 100 - - 54 - - -27 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 121 - - 1593 - - 4708 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98788 38 102 37 105 29 122 24 106 25 085 98788 91296 31 102 30 107 26 111 26 101 29 103 91296 85539 26 104 29 114 19 114 23 099 29 102 85539 80763 22 098 25 108 23 120 19 097 23 103 80763 76648 20 109 17 095 21 105 20 106 19 115 76648 73015 18 112 11 115 11 104 15 087 18 109 73015 69732 13 112 16 111 8 122 9 091 14 101 69732 66724 11 106 12 107 11 136 7 105 11 091 66724 63940 5 121 4 133 4 116 4 128 8 118 63940 61252 3 156 6 182 6 248 2 273 4 058 61252 58459 0 337 6 257 9 253 12 243 10 299 58459 55571 6 301 11 253 12 277 11 273 15 275 55571 52822 18 312 14 266 19 275 21 286 20 279 52822 50348 23 307 20 287 22 273 28 281 25 281 50348 48124 22 305 22 294 23 279 30 279 31 283 48124 46100 20 305 24 296 26 288 29 285 33 283 46100 44245 20 311 25 296 29 296 27 294 33 285 44245 42542 21 325 25 300 29 305 25 309 27 294 42542 40970 27 341 23 313 28 314 25 320 22 316 40970 39507 33 352 24 334 27 322 24 326 23 327 39507 38130 38 358 29 346 26 331 23 332 22 328 38130 36797 39 001 32 351 27 336 23 337 23 332 36797 35435 38 004 31 355 27 337 23 346 23 338 35435 34017 35 005 30 355 26 339 23 356 22 348 34017 32545 34 007 29 358 27 344 24 000 20 356 32545 31002 34 013 28 005 28 347 23 356 18 010 31002 29373 32 018 26 011 27 348 23 349 15 012 29373 27658 30 024 25 013 25 353 24 344 15 359 27658 25860 29 024 24 014 24 359 22 341 17 339 25860 23983 27 024 22 013 22 003 20 347 16 328 23983 22029 18 026 21 021 19 004 17 349 14 325 22029 19988 8 026 13 017 14 007 16 348 13 335 19988 17859 6 111 4 011 7 006 10 344 13 348 17859 15685 3 060 5 342 5 348 4 331 9 325 15685 13588 7 346 6 329 6 317 4 283 8 255 13588 11675 9 343 8 328 7 312 3 271 7 237 11675 9968 7 356 4 318 7 297 5 281 5 224 9968 8446 5 037 5 194 10 245 8 278 3 217 8446 7091 2 080 12 228 15 240 10 265 2 245 7091 5886 8 226 18 225 15*235 10 252 3 241 5886 4819 15 210 19 221 14*228 10 239 4 244 4819 3878 17 205 16 220 13 221 11 229 8 259 3878 3047 12 213 13 216 11 213 11 223 11 263 3047 2305 8 238 11*205 10 203 11 216 16 262 2305 1649 6 278 8*181 9 193 10 210 19 259 1649 1104 7 304 6 160 8 186 10 206 20 253 1104 685 7 303 6 153 8 181 9 203 20 248 685 398 3*294 5 148 7 180 9 202 17 242 398 223 1*310 5 146 7 178 8 200 13*235 223 124 1 348 5 145 6 177 7*198 7*226 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography