DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 76.7 - - 85.8 - - 88.0 - - 76.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 171 - - 234 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1518 - - 3719 - - 3614 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 720 - - 2446 - - 754 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 1625 - - 3826 - - 3721 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 207 - - 1073 - - 1564 - - 2141 - - 320 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 259 - - 387 - - 226 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 009 - - 008 - - 003 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - -2 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2245 - - -6452 - - -6653 - - -7516 - - -8464 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2367 - - 8077 - - 10480 - - 11238 - - 8588 sfcLCL ODpotential -13088 - - -15733 - - -13591 - - -14626 - - -17835 ODpotential blCL 13210 - - 17358 - - 17417 - - 18347 - - 17958 blCL maxRH 57 - - 44 - - 44 - - 32 - - 19 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 76.7 - - 85.8 - - 88.0 - - 76.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.3 - - 42.2 - - 40.5 - - 39.3 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.2 - - 75.3 - - 84.2 - - 87.5 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.0 - - 41.5 - - 39.8 - - 38.5 - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 171 - - 234 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1518 - - 3719 - - 3614 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98198 2 230 2 213 3 198 7 271 5 267 98198 90815 7 214 2 223 5 175 5 205 6 253 90815 85114 3 295 5 122 0 147 2 145 2 179 85114 80384 4 061 10 118 2 165 3 022 6 082 80384 76312 8 078 9 096 8 093 6 080 10 094 76312 72724 10 071 11 116 8 089 10 084 12 084 72724 69494 6 073 13 094 10 112 6 098 9 057 69494 66541 10 098 9 080 7 076 8 107 9 080 66541 63805 9 080 5 072 6 097 9 049 9 074 63805 61149 9 065 5 053 9 072 5 056 5 054 61149 58380 6 355 5 347 7 001 5 012 5 350 58380 55521 9 346 7 352 8 352 6 341 6 352 55521 52818 20 340 14 357 14 001 10 000 7 022 52818 50402 23 343 17 359 15 005 9 010 4 341 50402 48233 26 352 19 002 13 356 10 336 8 317 48233 46259 32 348 24 348 22 339 21 330 18 336 46259 44447 35 335 30 334 28 331 27 330 25 331 44447 42766 33 330 30 329 28 330 29 327 29 333 42766 41194 35 329 31 330 29 329 31 329 32 339 41194 39721 40 329 34 329 31 324 32 329 31 341 39721 38335 46 325 37 326 33 321 32 327 29 335 38335 36995 49 317 41 322 33 320 30 322 26 332 36995 35631 48 313 44 317 34 317 28 319 25 334 35631 34207 47 312 44 314 37 316 27 322 25 338 34207 32726 48 312 45 313 38 316 27 326 23 337 32726 31171 50 315 46 313 37 317 26 328 21 336 31171 29530 51 318 44 315 35 317 25 327 19 337 29530 27802 45 316 38 316 32 318 24 326 18 336 27802 25988 40 309 35 317 29 322 23 331 16 332 25988 24088 41 306 34 316 26 324 20 333 16 341 24088 22105 39 305 32 315 23 323 16 334 15 348 22105 20031 33 307 29 312 20 322 13 331 13 331 20031 17863 28 311 25 310 19 322 13 331 15 324 17863 15647 24 313 20 311 17 323 15 337 17 336 15647 13510 20 310 17 310 14 322 13 350 15 346 13510 11569 16 309 12 309 11 319 10 001 10 010 11569 9850 11 309 7 309 8 318 9 010 8 039 9850 8328 7 301 3 300 4 317 9 012 10 038 8328 6984 5 305 2 335 4 343 9 007 14 022 6984 5793 4 338 4 022 5 025 9 005 17 012 5793 4741 8 030 7 035 8*021 9 001 14 003 4741 3814 10 036 8 024 9*009 8*002 12 002 3814 2997 11 028 12 009 9 008 8*003 11 004 2997 2267 15 024 15*009 9 007 7 003 8 005 2267 1623 18 023 14*009 8 008 7 003 6 006 1623 1086 14 023 10 008 8 008 7 002 4 004 1086 675 7 357 9 009 7 009 6 002 3 359 675 392 7 334 9 009 7 010 6 003 2 337 392 221 5 321 8 010 7 010 6 003 2*283 221 123 3*324 7 010 6 009 5 002 2*262 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography