DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/20 Williams 97ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1558z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.3 - - 66.6 - - 75.6 - - 81.6 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 107 - - 397 - - 468 - - 262 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 674 - - 2306 - - 3788 - - 5850 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 95 - - 1555 - - 2739 - - 4108 - - 97 Hcrit BL Top 769 - - 2402 - - 3885 - - 5947 - - 113 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 575 - - 672 - - 1861 - - 2723 - - 7089 Hgt.Variab. W* 167 - - 391 - - 487 - - 465 - - 9 W* B/S 14 - - 32 - - 152 - - 45 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 079 - - 058 - - 217 - - 185 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -8 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1134 - - -2038 - - -2529 - - -1819 - - -6145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1903 - - 4440 - - 6414 - - 7766 - - 6258 sfcLCL ODpotential -8323 - - -6414 - - -5018 - - -2866 - - -7499 ODpotential blCL 9092 - - 8816 - - 8903 - - 8813 - - 7612 blCL maxRH 83 - - 79 - - 62 - - 81 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.3 - - 66.6 - - 75.6 - - 81.6 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.4 - - 47.6 - - 47.8 - - 47.7 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.3 - - 66.5 - - 75.5 - - 80.5 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.4 - - 47.6 - - 47.8 - - 47.7 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 107 - - 397 - - 468 - - 262 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 674 - - 2306 - - 3788 - - 5850 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 18 - - 0 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98071 9 281 17 267 15 308 18 306 17 279 98071 90632 10 271 10 269 17 276 19 294 13 276 90632 84910 7 241 6 275 15 253 14 292 6 277 84910 80160 4 209 6 276 10 252 10 302 2 293 80160 76075 1 178 5 265 5 227 7 306 1 288 76075 72469 1 118 3 241 3 214 6 298 1 043 72469 69206 2 309 2 242 2 151 4 280 2 016 69206 66203 5 305 4 277 2 279 3 298 3 350 66203 63415 5 306 5 271 5 277 5 309 4 346 63415 60708 8 301 6 275 7 281 6 310 6 341 60708 57877 11 298 7 284 10 276 7 304 6 344 57877 54929 15 294 9 301 10 287 10 305 10 340 54929 52111 20 284 15 294 12 302 11 312 13 331 52111 49579 20 279 20 284 17 301 12 320 14 326 49579 47317 19 282 21 284 18 301 15 322 16 328 47317 45271 19 286 20 289 17 306 17 321 18 333 45271 43402 20 286 20 290 16 310 19 322 20 336 43402 41680 22 283 21 285 18 308 20 324 22 337 41680 40082 22 282 21 280 19 304 20 329 21 338 40082 38591 22 281 21 274 21 300 19 328 19 338 38591 37194 23 283 22 270 21 297 18 319 17 334 37194 35852 25 284 23 267 22 292 16 304 15 319 35852 34496 27 286 23 265 22 288 16 287 14 296 34496 33100 28 285 22 262 23 283 17 278 14 275 33100 31662 28 282 21 261 22 280 18 274 15 270 31662 30161 27 278 21 265 21 277 19 269 15 277 30161 28578 26 276 20 271 20 276 17 266 13 288 28578 26913 23 274 19 273 19 279 14 270 11 299 26913 25160 21 272 17 268 17 282 11 283 8 307 25160 23326 17 268 16 261 14 276 8 298 6 315 23326 21411 15 261 15 254 12 262 6 295 3 331 21411 19414 13 256 14 249 12 254 6 286 1 025 19414 17329 12 256 11 250 10 246 4 275 3 143 17329 15202 10 254 9 263 7 250 1 191 6 151 15202 13152 9 248 8 280 4 275 4 120 6 150 13152 11287 7 251 6 297 3 303 3 091 4 121 11287 9629 4 287 4 320 2 311 2 021 3 068 9629 8157 4 326 4 347 3 325 7 326 7 356 8157 6849 4 345 5 019 5 329 9*303 7 332 6849 5687 4 022 5 040 6 320 7*296 5 313 5687 4655 5 073 2 017 5*309 4 285 2 260 4655 3746 7 106 3 357 3*288 2 179 3 166 3746 2944 3 117 3*012 1 247 3 164 7 147 2944 2226 3 024 2*043 1 206 3 157 9 145 2226 1592 7 354 2 057 1 178 4 153 11 143 1592 1064 4*354 2 062 1 154 4 150 12 142 1064 658 2*076 2 061 1 141 4 148 12 141 658 380 2 079 2 063 1 132 5 147 11 139 380 210 2 082 2 063 1 139 5 147 10 138 210 113 2 080 2 062 1 133 4 147 7*137 113 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography