DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.5 - - 60.9 - - 71.8 - - 69.0 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 100 - - 202 - - 15 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 597 - - 3965 - - 3243 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 108 - - 108 - - 2549 - - 109 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top 124 - - 705 - - 4074 - - 3352 - - 125 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 115 - - 800 - - 1096 - - 1926 - - 1273 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 157 - - 373 - - 147 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 164 - - 137 - - 181 - - 222 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1095 - - -2525 - - -1153 - - -2282 - - -1202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1219 - - 3230 - - 5227 - - 5634 - - 1327 sfcLCL ODpotential -12585 - - -9436 - - -5184 - - -7500 - - -3832 ODpotential blCL 12709 - - 10141 - - 9258 - - 10852 - - 3957 blCL maxRH 62 - - 68 - - 71 - - 67 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.5 - - 60.9 - - 71.8 - - 69.0 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.9 - - 47.4 - - 49.4 - - 44.9 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.5 - - 60.8 - - 70.5 - - 68.8 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.0 - - 47.4 - - 49.3 - - 44.8 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 100 - - 202 - - 15 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 597 - - 3965 - - 3243 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96772 61 282 57 271 54 273 59 265 67 279 96772 89585 35 281 35 263 35 265 41 266 43 287 89585 84036 25 290 19 269 27 266 26 275 26 295 84036 79441 20 298 8 298 15 261 17 273 19 299 79441 75490 15 297 7 316 8 270 11 266 15 294 75490 71996 9 285 8 300 9 278 8 282 12 300 71996 68832 8 286 10 296 11 278 11 300 13 309 68832 65916 9 280 13 279 14 269 15 301 14 302 65916 63202 11 283 14 274 16 272 20 291 16 297 63202 60567 14 287 15 267 19 274 24 282 18 287 60567 57808 17 285 17 264 23 270 26 266 22 280 57808 54938 22 272 22 259 28 267 27 262 26 270 54938 52194 23 265 27 250 36 258 34 253 32 264 52194 49721 25 272 29 237 36 245 33 244 34 261 49721 47504 31 270 32 238 36 244 31 251 33 258 47504 45494 42 260 40 246 41 248 37 263 32 258 45494 43655 42 254 43 245 42 245 42 258 29 264 43655 41959 41 251 41 243 41 244 40 252 27 279 41959 40386 41 251 37 243 42 246 34 255 30 285 40386 38919 37 248 38 244 40 245 33 260 32 281 38919 37543 34 239 40 243 38 244 33 257 29 275 37543 36218 33 233 40 241 39 244 31 253 24 276 36218 34875 33 232 39 238 43 241 31 251 22 284 34875 33480 36 230 35 238 45 239 32 250 22 289 33480 32029 37 230 32 239 44 238 35 251 22 285 32029 30506 36 231 33 239 40 239 36 250 24 277 30506 28896 35 232 34 236 37 240 33 251 26 272 28896 27200 37 230 37 234 36 242 30 256 28 271 27200 25417 41 229 41 232 38 239 29 259 30 265 25417 23547 40 229 42 230 39 233 27 257 32 255 23547 21591 36 226 38 225 39 228 25 248 30 252 21591 19545 32 212 32 213 32 221 27 236 27 253 19545 17409 27 202 29 200 27 211 28 228 24 253 17409 15237 25 208 26 197 24 209 25 225 20 245 15237 13151 21 208 23 194 21 206 22 227 21 236 13151 11253 18 201 22 191 20 201 21 226 21 242 11253 9566 18 190 21 184 19 195 21 223 18 246 9566 8070 18 180 22 183 19 191 20 219 15 240 8070 6749 18 175 21 183 19 190 18 205 13 223 6749 5585 17 174 18 181 17 194 13 196 12 208 5585 4564 15 174 15 177 14*202 9 205 9 198 4564 3669 11 173 14 177 13*200 10*217 7 205 3669 2881 8 176 14 184 12 192 11*222 9 232 2881 2178 5 181 14 188 12 180 13 224 13 247 2178 1560 3 187 9 183 11 176 13 223 18 250 1560 1046 2 213 5*172 11 172 13 222 19 244 1046 652 1 290 3*154 10 169 13 222 16 234 652 382 1 251 3 135 10 168 12 220 12 217 382 218 1*189 3 129 9 167 11 219 9*201 218 125 1*164 3 126 8 167 9 217 6*188 125 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography