DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.3 - - 46.6 - - 56.1 - - 57.0 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 43 - - 70 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 293 - - 754 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 397 - - 859 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 109 - - 362 - - 797 - - 1789 - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 96 - - 154 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 57 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 312 - - 353 - - 218 - - 053 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1043 - - -2089 - - -3035 - - -3313 - - -1932 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1163 - - 2486 - - 3894 - - 3434 - - 2053 sfcLCL ODpotential -11134 - - -10658 - - -9332 - - -9705 - - -9412 ODpotential blCL 11254 - - 11055 - - 10191 - - 9826 - - 9533 blCL maxRH 66 - - 66 - - 57 - - 52 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.3 - - 46.6 - - 56.1 - - 57.0 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 36.6 - - 39.8 - - 42.7 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.6 - - 46.2 - - 55.4 - - 57.6 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 35.8 - - 39.0 - - 41.7 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 43 - - 70 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 293 - - 754 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96461 16 057 13 074 14 092 15 090 12 076 96461 89345 14 074 15 104 13 080 12 074 16 065 89345 83824 13 086 14 110 15 055 11 086 13 056 83824 79214 11 098 10 079 13 052 11 087 10 058 79214 75217 8 089 9 043 10 031 8 060 9 075 75217 71664 9 035 9 012 10 018 10 013 9 051 71664 68435 11 013 10 349 7 347 15 333 9 022 68435 65464 14 345 15 342 9 312 19 314 11 348 65464 62712 16 330 18 339 10 320 17 312 14 329 62712 60047 19 316 21 329 16 324 16 322 16 324 60047 57258 22 307 23 315 22 317 19 326 18 321 57258 54351 24 300 24 301 23 306 19 314 21 319 54351 51568 26 296 22 298 22 306 23 314 25 314 51568 49065 29 299 24 304 26 309 24 317 29 312 49065 46830 33 301 28 305 30 309 27 329 31 312 46830 44809 32 300 28 304 30 309 33 330 29 323 44809 42969 29 303 28 307 33 318 33 337 35 336 42969 41289 28 309 31 309 34 316 35 336 36 340 41289 39746 29 311 31 309 31 317 33 336 43 354 39746 38323 30 313 31 314 30 327 46 007 63 011 38323 36992 33 313 32 320 36 350 71 011 79 012 36992 35700 34 312 36 321 56 357 89 019 87 008 35700 34382 32 309 39 312 72 356 90 014 88 005 34382 33003 29 305 33 307 82 355 88 006 84 007 33003 31566 27 302 30 332 82 354 83 011 77 011 31566 30056 24 300 35 341 68 352 83 018 70 012 30056 28463 22 305 37 343 42 347 76 022 64 010 28463 26790 21 316 37 345 34 327 55 009 58 009 26790 25035 24 327 38 350 37 319 47 335 53 002 25035 23200 23 336 24 343 35 326 43 326 52 355 23200 21288 20 349 21 322 29 328 36 319 48 352 21288 19295 19 000 18 324 29 322 29 318 40 346 19295 17216 18 360 14 339 25 322 25 323 33 338 17216 15094 15 003 16 357 18 335 27 327 28 336 15094 13044 11 009 16 009 18 349 30 332 23 338 13044 11176 10 009 14 015 20 355 25 339 18 340 11176 9513 8 356 12 016 20 358 16 339 14 344 9513 8037 8 340 10 009 19 003 12 001 13 355 8037 6727 8 325 9 002 15 011 8 026 13 004 6727 5568 7 318 7 358 12 021 6 036 13 008 5568 4547 5 317 6 358 9 034 4 025 13 008 4547 3652 3 324 6 359 6 048 3 352 11 008 3652 2864 2 335 6 003 4 061 4 324 10 003 2864 2164 3 348 7 009 3 065 5 323 9 349 2164 1548 5 357 8 008 1 010 5 340 8 343 1548 1037 6 357 9 002 1*290 4 005 6 352 1037 645 7 356 8*359 1*253 3 025 5 360 645 376 5 350 7*354 0 217 3 042 4 358 376 214 3 321 5 352 1 208 2 048 3*341 214 121 2*312 4 354 1 191 2*053 3*337 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography