DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/16 Williams 98ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1005z - - 1330z - - 1558z - - 1858z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.3 - - 77.5 - - 89.2 - - 95.2 - - 85.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 41 - - 275 - - 332 - - 153 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 315 - - 1384 - - 2484 - - 2599 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 96 - - 786 - - 1643 - - 1425 - - 98 Hcrit BL Top 411 - - 1481 - - 2581 - - 2697 - - 114 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 341 - - 803 - - 1191 - - 1703 - - 693 Hgt.Variab. W* 95 - - 293 - - 380 - - 299 - - 10 W* B/S 6 - - 18 - - 55 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 122 - - 149 - - 155 - - 144 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -9 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1931 - - -4459 - - -6195 - - -7739 - - -6604 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2342 - - 5940 - - 8777 - - 10437 - - 6718 sfcLCL ODpotential -11506 - - -11486 - - -10802 - - -11839 - - -12091 ODpotential blCL 11917 - - 12967 - - 13383 - - 14536 - - 12205 blCL maxRH 74 - - 49 - - 52 - - 42 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.3 - - 77.5 - - 89.2 - - 95.2 - - 85.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.6 - - 52.2 - - 51.4 - - 50.0 - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.2 - - 77.3 - - 88.9 - - 94.6 - - 86.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.5 - - 52.1 - - 51.2 - - 49.3 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 41 - - 275 - - 332 - - 153 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 315 - - 1384 - - 2484 - - 2599 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98927 26 098 29 113 27 119 19 112 19 114 98927 91482 22 103 27 106 24 123 21 110 21 115 91482 85739 20 106 22 105 24 119 19 108 20 112 85739 80964 18 114 17 109 19 109 17 111 17 110 80964 76849 14 122 11 118 13 111 16 111 13 106 76849 73212 11 124 9 129 9 106 14 103 13 104 73212 69921 8 124 6 143 4 102 9 090 12 098 69921 66899 5 101 5 137 2 125 4 041 8 085 66899 64103 4 082 4 125 2 172 3 319 5 073 64103 61403 5 030 4 098 2 165 4 278 4 019 61403 58599 9 341 5 014 3 009 5 305 9 344 58599 55714 11 324 9 339 7 349 7 323 13 328 55714 52988 17 320 16 330 15 339 15 334 15 324 52988 50551 21 320 21 329 21 342 20 342 16 331 50551 48371 24 324 24 332 27 345 25 346 20 341 48371 46392 27 326 26 332 31 342 31 343 26 344 46392 44577 31 326 28 334 33 341 34 342 32 342 44577 42897 32 328 30 340 33 343 35 341 36 339 42897 41329 33 334 31 348 32 346 35 341 37 336 41329 39854 34 339 34 352 32 348 35 340 37 334 39854 38459 36 343 35 355 31 349 35 340 37 332 38459 37104 38 346 36 356 31 349 35 341 35 333 37104 35720 38 347 36 357 30 350 34 342 33 337 35720 34279 38 348 36 358 29 351 32 345 30 342 34279 32783 37 349 36 360 29 354 30 349 28 349 32783 31217 36 351 35 002 28 358 27 353 26 356 31217 29570 33 353 33 003 27 002 25 356 24 001 29570 27839 30 354 30 004 25 005 24 000 22 003 27839 26026 25 354 26 003 23 008 23 007 20 006 26026 24130 22 355 22 001 21 012 21 015 17 012 24130 22154 19 358 19 003 18 018 18 026 14 021 22154 20094 17 007 16 009 16 027 16 041 12 035 20094 17944 14 021 13 025 16 042 15 057 10 057 17944 15749 10 017 10 043 10 072 10 085 8 084 15749 13631 3 285 7 040 6 078 6 092 6 094 13631 11700 6 166 4 121 6 102 5 077 6 087 11700 9977 9 129 7 093 10 090 10 052 12 071 9977 8443 8 109 8 069 9 081 11 047 14 064 8443 7079 10 071 7 058 6 075 8 026 14 043 7079 5869 13 055 7 042 4 037 9 353 15 024 5869 4799 14 036 9 027 7 350 11 341 12 008 4799 3858 13 026 13 017 9 342 10 338 6 330 3858 3028 7 025 11 009 6*336 3*318 4 257 3028 2288 4 030 4 353 1*297 2*163 5 215 2288 1634 1 016 2*181 1 167 3 148 8 200 1634 1090 1 025 3*157 1 156 4 143 9 186 1090 673 1*106 3 151 2 146 4 140 10 174 673 387 3*125 3 146 2 143 4 137 10 163 387 213 3 121 3 144 2 143 4 138 9 155 213 114 3 120 3 145 2 141 4 136 6*149 114 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography