DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.1 - - 51.0 - - 64.3 - - 65.2 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 83 - - 147 - - -18 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 313 - - 1329 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 107 - - 108 - - 461 - - 109 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top 123 - - 420 - - 1437 - - 125 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 60 - - 386 - - 1046 - - 3693 - - 76 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 119 - - 233 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 333 - - 349 - - 144 - - 162 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -5 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1681 - - -5189 - - -6568 - - -7743 - - -3967 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1804 - - 5609 - - 8006 - - 7868 - - 4091 sfcLCL ODpotential -15132 - - -14652 - - -13149 - - -13981 - - -13827 ODpotential blCL 15255 - - 15072 - - 14586 - - 14106 - - 13951 blCL maxRH 46 - - 42 - - 38 - - 34 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.1 - - 51.0 - - 64.3 - - 65.2 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 27.6 - - 30.0 - - 31.4 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.6 - - 50.6 - - 64.3 - - 66.1 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.3 - - 27.5 - - 30.0 - - 31.3 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 83 - - 147 - - -18 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 313 - - 1329 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96211 39 307 33 305 31 301 41 305 38 305 96211 89209 17 336 16 354 10 327 18 321 19 336 89209 83757 11 353 15 015 4 029 8 344 13 350 83757 79189 7 005 10 002 5 014 4 017 8 359 79189 75225 7 003 5 341 6 326 4 348 6 345 75225 71700 6 353 4 308 7 285 7 326 6 307 71700 68496 7 333 6 297 10 266 9 302 9 281 68496 65541 9 315 6 283 13 267 10 284 11 283 65541 62793 14 306 9 287 14 265 17 282 15 278 62793 60131 19 301 14 292 17 269 20 270 19 279 60131 57354 22 296 19 292 18 274 26 277 26 276 57354 54481 24 295 25 295 25 278 28 272 32 274 54481 51749 25 299 28 292 21 278 35 275 37 277 51749 49291 26 305 26 294 27 290 34 275 39 273 49291 47084 26 310 31 296 36 285 33 275 40 270 47084 45082 28 315 34 293 34 281 35 271 44 263 45082 43265 29 320 29 298 27 283 37 267 47 257 43265 41611 32 327 27 308 27 287 37 265 42 253 41611 40086 33 327 32 307 35 290 36 267 39 256 40086 38660 34 331 37 305 40 292 34 275 43 261 38660 37314 33 331 39 307 41 293 36 279 46 261 37314 36004 32 329 38 309 38 290 36 275 47 259 36004 34663 29 330 30 315 31 285 35 270 47 256 34663 33262 20 313 21 327 26 282 35 265 43 253 33262 31804 13 248 15 324 23 279 32 262 40 250 31804 30274 11 211 13 270 21 278 26 257 37 246 30274 28660 11 206 16 224 12 275 23 253 33 238 28660 26965 13 210 18 213 16 237 17 228 29 228 26965 25186 14 213 18 213 21 219 20 224 26 220 25186 23324 12 217 14 216 20 211 26 214 26 216 23324 21384 14 208 13 211 20 204 28 206 27 209 21384 19365 18 194 19 202 24 202 28 206 32 203 19365 17262 20 186 25 193 25 196 28 201 36 198 17262 15119 23 188 28 194 26 197 29 194 38 192 15119 13057 26 190 31 191 32 193 35 190 41 189 13057 11183 25 186 32 183 36 186 39 187 42 187 11183 9523 22 179 30 183 34 182 37 186 39 185 9523 8051 22 178 28 183 30 182 33 187 33 184 8051 6747 22 176 24 181 26 183 28 182 28 181 6747 5591 18 165 21 178 23 188 25 179 24 179 5591 4570 15 162 19 178 19 189 21 188 18 184 4570 3674 14 171 18 179 16 189 15 202 15 197 3674 2886 9 175 12 179 13 194 13 209 11 207 2886 2183 2 181 5 164 11 201 12 207 11 206 2183 1562 5 356 2 038 7*199 12 199 11 200 1562 1046 9 356 5 358 3*158 11 189 12 189 1046 651 11 004 5*351 3 146 10 181 11 179 651 380 9 355 4*347 3 138 9 174 9 177 380 217 6 334 4 350 3 134 7 168 7 185 217 124 5*333 3 350 3 131 5*162 6*189 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography