DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.8 - - 74.0 - - 83.0 - - 84.5 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 184 - - 258 - - 79 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1599 - - 4135 - - 5804 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 828 - - 2817 - - 3296 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1705 - - 4242 - - 5911 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 288 - - 1030 - - 3664 - - 3882 - - 8505 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 274 - - 419 - - 321 - - 2 W* B/S 4 - - 11 - - 19 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 355 - - 316 - - 327 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -5 - - -12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2534 - - -5525 - - -5985 - - -4535 - - -8256 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2655 - - 7230 - - 10228 - - 10446 - - 8379 sfcLCL ODpotential -9490 - - -10190 - - -9485 - - -7480 - - -11327 ODpotential blCL 9611 - - 11895 - - 13727 - - 13391 - - 11450 blCL maxRH 58 - - 78 - - 89 - - 85 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.8 - - 74.0 - - 83.0 - - 84.5 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.0 - - 43.1 - - 38.4 - - 38.8 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.6 - - 72.8 - - 81.5 - - 83.7 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.5 - - 42.1 - - 37.2 - - 37.7 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 184 - - 258 - - 79 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1599 - - 4135 - - 5804 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 12 - - 55 - - 38 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97752 2 077 5 085 12 242 15 309 8 308 97752 90360 9 050 3 177 2 325 5 023 4 300 90360 84692 9 044 4 205 7 006 4 099 4 282 84692 79991 9 055 3 128 5 031 3 163 2 030 79991 75933 10 054 4 122 2 302 5 344 10 047 75933 72340 9 018 6 051 6 187 10 302 12 006 72340 69091 4 342 8 332 3 176 7 290 8 342 69091 66100 2 221 9 293 5 263 10 307 6 314 66100 63312 3 295 6 290 7 294 11 314 5 315 63312 60605 8 304 6 321 9 305 11 318 8 333 60605 57787 6 322 9 347 11 316 12 330 12 350 57787 54872 13 345 14 348 14 329 17 331 18 345 54872 52094 17 344 16 350 18 330 19 335 20 348 52094 49599 19 341 15 347 19 338 20 349 25 354 49599 47363 20 337 18 346 24 347 22 351 27 354 47363 45333 25 335 25 344 26 340 24 352 29 352 45333 43477 27 343 31 337 28 331 28 342 30 347 43477 41775 28 349 34 327 29 320 30 337 32 341 41775 40209 27 353 31 318 31 319 30 326 34 337 40209 38761 25 355 27 314 38 315 31 329 35 334 38761 37407 23 353 25 318 34 303 38 314 33 327 37407 36103 22 351 25 321 29 308 36 312 32 320 36103 34777 23 350 23 322 28 317 38 317 32 320 34777 33396 24 349 23 327 27 319 38 317 30 317 33396 31958 23 343 23 330 25 322 35 328 27 314 31958 30450 21 337 23 325 24 327 27 324 27 315 30450 28857 20 332 23 321 25 332 24 316 28 316 28857 27179 19 325 23 317 25 333 24 311 26 316 27179 25414 16 318 23 317 24 330 22 314 23 312 25414 23567 16 321 21 319 21 327 21 323 20 311 23567 21641 17 335 18 319 18 327 21 323 20 317 21641 19630 16 352 14 320 14 326 17 319 19 315 19630 17528 16 005 12 331 12 326 12 308 17 305 17528 15377 16 010 11 355 9 333 9 303 16 299 15377 13299 14 011 9 017 7 336 6 306 15 301 13299 11408 10 018 7 029 4 331 6 316 11 298 11408 9732 5 003 5 015 3 321 7 323 6 313 9732 8244 3 342 5 351 4 314 8 315 7 002 8244 6922 5 348 8 328 7 318 7*309 7 355 6922 5747 8 351 11 330 8 320 7*310 6 001 5747 4706 11 358 11 340 7*320 6 313 5 011 4706 3789 12 003 9 355 6*318 4 321 4 021 3789 2978 14 008 9 003 5 317 3 333 4 032 2978 2254 16 016 9*003 4 316 2 343 3 048 2254 1614 12 023 7*358 4 314 2 358 2 068 1614 1081 8 011 5 354 3 313 1 012 2 089 1081 672 6 000 4 354 3 314 1 022 2 110 672 391 4 355 4 356 3 312 1 024 2 124 391 220 2 350 3 356 3 312 1 025 3*135 220 123 1*359 3 357 2 309 1 032 3*139 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography