DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Williams 109ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1557z - - 1856z - - 2156z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.9 - - 68.7 - - 80.0 - - 83.5 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 232 - - 307 - - 102 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1288 - - 3530 - - 3659 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 108 - - 676 - - 2413 - - 1940 - - 109 Hcrit BL Top 125 - - 1397 - - 3640 - - 3769 - - 126 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 136 - - 718 - - 1745 - - 2556 - - 138 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 270 - - 415 - - 294 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 26 - - 18 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 343 - - 033 - - 160 - - 157 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - -12 - - -12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2343 - - -4188 - - -5257 - - -5921 - - -5839 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2468 - - 5585 - - 8898 - - 9691 - - 5965 sfcLCL ODpotential -14679 - - -12427 - - -11985 - - -11631 - - -13130 ODpotential blCL 14804 - - 13824 - - 15625 - - 15400 - - 13256 blCL maxRH 59 - - 51 - - 39 - - 37 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.9 - - 68.7 - - 80.0 - - 83.5 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.9 - - 45.0 - - 41.5 - - 41.3 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.3 - - 68.3 - - 78.9 - - 82.7 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.8 - - 44.9 - - 41.0 - - 40.5 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 232 - - 307 - - 102 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1288 - - 3530 - - 3659 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98246 8 077 7 103 7 113 3 084 3 054 98246 90908 12 068 13 094 10 093 9 078 7 082 90908 85260 13 066 13 082 13 094 10 090 11 078 85260 80574 12 070 11 088 11 093 10 080 12 065 80574 76537 10 064 9 077 12 092 9 105 10 076 76537 72965 7 073 4 126 5 079 9 090 8 064 72965 69727 6 068 3 129 5 159 1 111 3 051 69727 66746 6 252 3 181 5 223 5 224 4 266 66746 63983 14 261 8 229 10 219 11 230 12 252 63983 61308 23 260 18 241 19 245 16 249 19 243 61308 58511 31 247 27 243 28 245 24 250 23 246 58511 55602 38 246 36 246 38 248 35 253 32 254 55602 52829 45 247 45 246 47 247 45 253 43 255 52829 50339 51 247 51 246 53 247 53 251 51 254 50339 48112 55 246 56 246 59 246 59 251 57 253 48112 46091 57 247 58 246 63 245 63 250 62 251 46091 44239 58 248 60 247 64 245 64 249 68 250 44239 42526 58 248 62 248 65 247 65 250 73 249 42526 40929 57 248 64 250 65 249 65 252 76 249 40929 39428 57 248 63 251 66 250 66 253 78 249 39428 38011 58 246 58 252 64 251 66 253 77 250 38011 36640 59 244 53 251 62 253 65 253 75 250 36640 35246 57 242 51 250 57 253 60 253 68 250 35246 33803 51 241 53 248 52 250 52 251 59 250 33803 32315 45 242 54 242 49 254 48 249 52 249 32315 30767 41 241 51 234 47 259 44 251 48 246 30767 29144 38 238 46 229 45 265 41 257 43 244 29144 27441 35 234 43 226 40 262 38 260 41 243 27441 25650 33 234 40 226 37 246 37 261 40 244 25650 23770 31 234 35 227 32 235 34 260 37 246 23770 21806 26 234 29 230 27 230 28 255 32 250 21806 19756 22 230 26 231 24 229 22 243 25 251 19756 17619 20 225 23 230 21 229 20 236 20 240 17619 15439 17 222 20 229 18 230 17 234 18 233 15439 13340 15 217 17 227 14 233 13 225 15 227 13340 11432 14 212 15 225 12 232 10 218 13 212 11432 9739 13 211 13 218 11 223 8 210 11 202 9739 8239 11 205 13 205 12 210 8 213 9 184 8239 6911 10 189 13 193 14 202 9 226 6 158 6911 5734 9 176 13 186 12 203 10 230 1 130 5734 4695 7 173 10 180 9 211 10 225 3 233 4695 3779 3 133 6 169 8*210 10*210 6 212 3779 2971 5 078 4 145 6*199 9*191 9 199 2971 2248 7 068 2 154 5 171 9 165 11 186 2248 1610 6 048 1*024 4 154 10 153 12 173 1610 1078 6 002 2*026 4 147 10 149 14 162 1078 671 7 353 2 033 4 142 9 146 14 153 671 392 6 350 2 035 4 140 9 145 14 148 392 222 5*341 2 034 4 138 9 144 11*146 222 126 3*343 2 035 3 137 7 143 6*145 126 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography