DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1333z - - 1558z - - 1857z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 56.8 - - 60.2 - - 56.4 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 69 - - 85 - - 236 - - 34 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 655 - - 2055 - - 4440 - - 1674 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 108 - - 686 - - 3044 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top 763 - - 2163 - - 4548 - - 1783 - - 125 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 911 - - 2632 - - 1778 - - 2096 - - 2773 Hgt.Variab. W* 144 - - 235 - - 427 - - 169 - - 14 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 11 - - 20 - - 21 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 163 - - 185 - - 190 - - 175 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 6 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -11 - - -21 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2687 - - 485 - - 2363 - - 542 - - -485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3451 - - 1678 - - 2185 - - 1241 - - 610 sfcLCL ODpotential -7371 - - -306 - - 942 - - -248 - - -760 ODpotential blCL 8134 - - 2469 - - 3606 - - 2031 - - 885 blCL maxRH 61 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 160 - - 10 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 56.8 - - 60.2 - - 56.4 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.2 - - 49.9 - - 50.9 - - 51.3 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.3 - - 56.0 - - 58.8 - - 56.3 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.0 - - 48.6 - - 48.6 - - 50.4 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 69 - - 85 - - 236 - - 34 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 655 - - 2055 - - 4440 - - 1674 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 102 - - 101 - - 97 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97990 28 097 29 100 24 110 26 103 24 099 97990 90571 28 094 28 106 22 121 21 096 25 101 90571 84866 24 095 28 101 22 124 15 104 25 099 84866 80130 23 102 21 104 22 120 14 126 24 104 80130 76035 18 110 19 112 20 132 13 129 18 106 76035 72396 13 128 14 128 19 135 12 145 12 115 72396 69083 10 151 9 155 11 166 11 160 8 130 69083 66022 12 184 11 197 11 183 9 192 8 186 66022 63173 14 202 13 212 15 218 8 206 8 172 63173 60396 12 214 19 219 18 218 11 251 10 271 60396 57488 21 249 23 237 26 237 27 248 18 240 57488 54458 22 256 24 239 30 241 25 227 22 258 54458 51566 33 272 28 255 25 238 30 253 39 253 51566 48993 48 268 33 260 38 261 30 246 36 237 48993 46700 55 265 55 265 47 257 40 262 26 240 46700 44611 65 264 72 258 51 261 50 257 35 261 44611 42695 70 269 74 256 65 254 50 252 47 261 42695 40931 87 272 78 260 65 250 53 253 56 254 40931 39302 101 270 89 260 67 257 65 256 60 249 39302 37793 107 269 97 259 89 262 81 254 65 246 37793 36390 109 270 99 259 108 261 92 250 70 244 36390 35050 108 272 101 259 114 259 93 246 73 240 35050 33704 104 273 103 258 115 258 81 241 73 234 33704 32323 97 274 105 259 102 256 76 227 73 226 32323 30906 88 274 103 261 84 248 80 223 74 216 30906 29432 79 275 93 261 77 240 80 221 78 209 29432 27877 70 275 78 259 70 235 76 218 74 208 27877 26239 60 273 64 254 58 236 64 212 71 211 26239 24519 46 259 52 247 48 241 48 208 74 215 24519 22720 49 247 48 237 43 242 32 211 72 221 22720 20848 50 243 52 235 43 237 29 227 63 225 20848 18899 50 242 49 239 43 233 39 244 52 229 18899 16869 49 242 39 242 37 236 36 257 42 239 16869 14799 41 229 31 236 30 243 27 253 29 241 14799 12800 35 202 30 230 27 240 20 249 19 228 12800 10975 33 200 32 236 29 228 21 237 18 221 10975 9350 31 205 32 229 32 213 26 228 21 228 9350 7905 28 209 34 213 33 196 30 223 31 236 7905 6619 25 211 34 201 32 186 31 216 40 234 6619 5481 23 211 30 196 29*181 31 209 41 215 5481 4480 19 205 24 195 25*183 31 200 35 191 4480 3604 16 192 17 192 22 185 32 190 36 179 3604 2833 14 180 15*189 22 187 31 186 38 171 2833 2144 11 179 14*188 20 191 30*185 36 170 2144 1538 10 184 13 186 19 194 26*179 33 170 1538 1032 10*184 12 185 18 196 23 176 27 168 1032 645 12*169 11 184 17 197 21 174 23 167 645 378 11 162 10 183 16 197 19 172 18 165 378 217 10 160 9 183 15 198 16 171 15*164 217 125 8 159 8 182 12 198 12 169 11*164 125 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography