DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Williams 110ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1331z - - 1603z - - 1859z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.8 - - 77.8 - - 84.7 - - 85.6 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 187 - - 245 - - 78 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1650 - - 3457 - - 3396 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 109 - - 863 - - 2284 - - 1551 - - 110 Hcrit BL Top 125 - - 1759 - - 3567 - - 3506 - - 126 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 251 - - 1478 - - 1994 - - 2373 - - 1095 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 276 - - 387 - - 265 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 15 - - 11 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 003 - - 010 - - 036 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - -8 - - -9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4115 - - -5919 - - -5808 - - -5774 - - -7085 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4241 - - 7679 - - 9375 - - 9280 - - 7211 sfcLCL ODpotential -15155 - - -14993 - - -13763 - - -13224 - - -15931 ODpotential blCL 15280 - - 16752 - - 17330 - - 16730 - - 16057 blCL maxRH 45 - - 32 - - 39 - - 31 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.8 - - 77.8 - - 84.7 - - 85.6 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.3 - - 44.8 - - 44.1 - - 45.5 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.5 - - 76.7 - - 83.4 - - 85.3 - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.7 - - 43.6 - - 42.3 - - 43.7 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 187 - - 245 - - 78 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1650 - - 3457 - - 3396 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98242 9 099 9 105 10 086 6 088 6 045 98242 90933 8 121 8 098 12 119 7 047 5 050 90933 85269 11 108 9 107 14 110 7 084 5 066 85269 80540 9 097 11 099 11 102 11 102 7 080 80540 76451 8 093 10 097 7 097 12 102 6 080 76451 72843 7 098 8 098 4 105 11 109 6 084 72843 69584 6 086 6 083 4 175 3 081 6 085 69584 66591 4 043 1 042 4 168 2 314 3 042 66591 63820 3 041 3 273 2 263 6 308 5 007 63820 61143 5 345 8 275 10 295 14 320 11 351 61143 58359 8 334 8 286 13 291 18 305 16 318 58359 55480 15 328 10 326 13 306 18 305 21 309 55480 52739 22 331 16 329 16 318 21 308 25 310 52739 50267 30 336 20 327 21 320 24 307 27 304 50267 48046 33 334 24 331 24 322 26 307 29 299 48046 46033 32 329 28 329 27 322 28 310 30 299 46033 44193 27 331 25 325 30 322 26 313 28 299 44193 42499 22 350 16 335 27 310 24 317 26 302 42499 40931 20 344 14 340 14 310 21 302 23 297 40931 39471 13 322 13 301 11 305 12 265 19 287 39471 38104 5 353 8 271 14 282 12 243 22 272 38104 36782 10 039 4 325 11 273 15 251 22 259 36782 35433 17 036 6 005 9 287 16 251 19 257 35433 34022 20 024 10 005 9 307 14 249 18 254 34022 32555 22 007 12 001 10 317 11 254 18 247 32555 31014 25 006 13 002 9 318 10 266 17 246 31014 29388 26 009 14 003 9 319 13 271 17 250 29388 27675 26 006 16 354 13 309 16 274 19 255 27675 25875 24 358 19 336 17 304 19 286 20 262 25875 23987 23 353 21 327 21 308 21 297 21 274 23987 22014 24 354 21 328 19 314 18 305 20 282 22014 19952 25 001 19 344 14 318 13 300 16 282 19952 17799 24 009 18 007 10 356 8 292 14 274 17799 15601 22 019 17 014 11 018 6 317 11 272 15601 13475 19 023 16 016 15 022 10 009 4 313 13475 11539 16 025 15 018 17 022 14 026 9 044 11539 9827 14 027 12 025 14 021 13 030 11 053 9827 8314 13 040 11 041 10 041 8 050 7 063 8314 6973 15 048 12 058 10 059 6 060 5 065 6973 5784 17 042 15 054 10 070 6 060 5 074 5784 4734 18 035 17 041 9 066 6 063 6 086 4734 3809 18 031 17 036 8*057 6*060 7 093 3809 2993 18 027 15 031 9*034 6*053 6 095 2993 2265 16 027 15*025 11 011 6 042 4 103 2265 1622 18 026 16*011 12 007 6 036 2 109 1622 1087 23 011 17 002 12 006 6 031 0 061 1087 677 26 000 16 001 11 005 6 029 1 328 677 395 19 351 15 001 11 005 6 028 1 312 395 224 15 347 13 000 10 005 6 026 2 287 224 126 7*337 11 360 9 004 5 026 2*282 126 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography