DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Williams 110ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1331z - - 1557z - - 1858z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.1 - - 79.3 - - 89.4 - - 93.1 - - 87.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 328 - - 405 - - 221 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 2132 - - 3117 - - 3548 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 109 - - 1386 - - 2195 - - 2301 - - 110 Hcrit BL Top 684 - - 2241 - - 3227 - - 3659 - - 127 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 416 - - 666 - - 2041 - - 2756 - - 3444 Hgt.Variab. W* 146 - - 358 - - 438 - - 375 - - 13 W* B/S 13 - - 16 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 122 - - 154 - - 155 - - 160 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - -8 - - -11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1791 - - -3999 - - -4833 - - -5275 - - -6849 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2475 - - 6241 - - 8060 - - 8934 - - 6976 sfcLCL ODpotential -12624 - - -12825 - - -11912 - - -11538 - - -13494 ODpotential blCL 13308 - - 15066 - - 15139 - - 15197 - - 13621 blCL maxRH 72 - - 48 - - 63 - - 74 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.1 - - 79.3 - - 89.4 - - 93.1 - - 87.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.7 - - 52.6 - - 54.5 - - 54.3 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.0 - - 78.3 - - 87.5 - - 91.6 - - 87.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.7 - - 52.4 - - 53.9 - - 53.6 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 328 - - 405 - - 221 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 2132 - - 3117 - - 3548 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99016 38 110 34 100 40 107 36 109 33 115 99016 91610 35 107 32 110 28 115 30 104 30 114 91610 85891 32 107 31 111 24 124 25 108 26 105 85891 81122 25 099 26 114 22 118 22 115 25 101 81122 76993 19 108 26 111 20 126 17 120 22 106 76993 73338 18 111 19 125 18 118 14 122 18 116 73338 70038 13 111 16 125 16 131 12 120 15 119 70038 67018 10 122 10 121 16 131 12 135 11 122 67018 64230 7 135 5 135 10 113 13 134 11 132 64230 61539 8 141 6 187 3 189 5 119 8 144 61539 58737 2 220 6 167 8 209 4 211 8 164 58737 55845 9 253 7 228 8 226 7 227 7 228 55845 53107 15 250 16 240 15 245 14 246 13 240 53107 50661 18 249 22 240 22 244 23 243 19 239 50661 48477 21 251 25 244 28 244 30 241 27 245 48477 46499 22 254 27 246 32 244 34 238 33 244 46499 44685 21 256 26 246 32 245 37 237 37 242 44685 43003 19 257 25 246 31 244 36 237 35 241 43003 41429 19 262 24 246 29 243 34 238 32 238 41429 39948 20 263 22 245 26 242 31 238 28 237 39948 38547 19 261 22 244 23 240 29 239 25 236 38547 37188 20 257 21 240 21 236 27 238 23 238 37188 35804 21 257 21 233 22 226 25 234 20 241 35804 34366 21 260 21 238 22 222 24 223 16 242 34366 32877 21 266 21 246 21 234 22 225 17 242 32877 31318 20 270 20 252 20 244 21 237 17 238 31318 29671 16 271 21 257 20 251 21 246 17 233 29671 27934 15 270 19 262 19 262 18 258 14 231 27934 26108 10 274 12 264 10 259 10 261 10 219 26108 24197 6 309 4 263 4 197 6 224 8 185 24197 22205 7 317 2 278 5 154 6 193 7 168 22205 20127 8 304 3 281 5 143 6 186 6 163 20127 17961 7 295 4 278 3 164 5 194 7 179 17961 15747 7 270 4 276 3 272 2 190 9 174 15747 13609 6 233 3 272 3 325 3 113 8 162 13609 11663 7 207 2 197 2 074 4 130 6 160 11663 9937 7 196 5 172 4 128 3 139 5 168 9937 8409 9 172 7 167 4 164 3 147 5 162 8409 7055 8 159 9 152 5 188 1 118 4 139 7055 5855 8 159 9 142 6 186 4 304 6 041 5855 4794 8 168 8 154 4 181 5 286 5 022 4794 3859 9 182 6 199 4*221 4*243 1 294 3859 3034 9 188 5 217 4*217 6*193 4 225 3034 2296 8 180 5*207 5 178 9 168 6 212 2296 1645 3 174 4*169 7 148 11 159 8 201 1645 1102 0*343 4 155 7 145 11 156 9 188 1102 686 1*131 4 150 8 143 11 153 9 179 686 399 2 123 4 147 8 142 11 153 9 173 399 226 2 119 4 146 7 142 10 152 8*168 226 127 2 116 4 146 7 141 9 152 6*166 127 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography