DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Williams 111ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0958z - - 1332z - - 1559z - - 1859z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.5 - - 88.2 - - 96.9 - - 100.6 - - 90.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 268 - - 353 - - 186 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1915 - - 3689 - - 6931 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 109 - - 1171 - - 2588 - - 4770 - - 111 Hcrit BL Top 126 - - 2025 - - 3800 - - 7042 - - 127 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 245 - - 1261 - - 4310 - - 2280 - - 1650 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 324 - - 442 - - 443 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 11 - - 51 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 296 - - 008 - - 126 - - 180 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - -24 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5356 - - -7082 - - -6860 - - -4762 - - -8190 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5483 - - 9108 - - 10661 - - 11805 - - 8318 sfcLCL ODpotential -14447 - - -13722 - - -12079 - - -9381 - - -13759 ODpotential blCL 14573 - - 15747 - - 15879 - - 16423 - - 13886 blCL maxRH 38 - - 30 - - 29 - - 39 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.5 - - 88.2 - - 96.9 - - 100.6 - - 90.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.6 - - 49.1 - - 50.7 - - 49.1 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.6 - - 87.3 - - 95.8 - - 99.3 - - 92.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.3 - - 48.7 - - 50.1 - - 48.0 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 268 - - 353 - - 186 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1915 - - 3689 - - 6931 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99126 33 114 34 109 29 108 33 100 32 110 99126 91705 32 108 29 104 26 114 28 098 27 109 91705 85968 28 116 27 117 23 110 22 110 25 103 85968 81181 23 105 22 114 19 120 16 110 19 095 81181 77053 16 097 18 118 15 109 14 105 12 098 77053 73420 9 129 16 111 11 124 11 094 12 109 73420 70137 12 134 9 125 9 128 8 086 11 094 70137 67122 14 105 11 153 6 142 8 057 7 104 67122 64334 7 099 11 120 3 187 7 021 8 083 64334 61643 6 098 9 105 11 168 2 255 5 024 61643 58852 6 252 4 305 2 342 1 335 6 046 58852 55966 6 222 10 235 14 246 16 263 13 287 55966 53239 18 289 14 274 16 264 19 260 23 271 53239 50806 36 281 30 275 26 278 22 268 27 266 50806 48630 46 273 39 271 33 272 28 268 32 266 48630 46654 52 267 43 269 36 270 32 265 33 264 46654 44837 56 264 45 268 38 269 34 264 32 264 44837 43148 57 260 45 266 39 266 35 265 32 267 43148 41568 55 257 45 264 39 264 34 267 32 267 41568 40081 52 255 46 260 38 262 34 268 30 267 40081 38675 48 257 46 256 38 259 33 268 28 265 38675 37312 46 259 45 254 38 255 32 265 27 260 37312 35922 45 259 44 254 38 252 31 263 27 256 35922 34475 42 258 42 253 36 252 30 262 27 254 34475 32973 39 258 39 254 34 253 30 261 28 253 32973 31400 35 260 34 257 31 255 30 258 28 253 31400 29742 32 262 30 260 28 256 29 258 28 254 29742 28000 30 262 28 262 26 260 26 261 27 255 28000 26171 29 262 27 263 24 264 23 265 24 256 26171 24258 26 261 26 265 23 268 21 269 19 260 24258 22265 24 260 25 264 21 270 19 271 15 264 22265 20188 23 259 22 264 19 270 15 271 12 260 20188 18022 21 260 18 264 16 264 12 269 11 265 18022 15809 19 262 15 259 14 259 11 270 9 276 15809 13674 18 262 14 255 12 260 8 280 6 292 13674 11731 15 263 12 256 10 265 5 296 1 355 11731 10007 11 266 9 261 9 268 4 310 2 109 10007 8478 6 282 6 276 9 271 8 272 4 078 8478 7120 3 344 3 290 10 275 9*264 5 047 7120 5912 6 034 3 317 11 276 8*258 3 033 5912 4841 6 026 6 336 11 274 6 240 0 228 4841 3897 7 011 8 346 8*272 5 205 3 203 3897 3063 8 009 9 353 4*273 6 174 5 204 3063 2318 13 016 9*357 0 142 8 156 6 201 2318 1660 16 017 8*002 3 112 8 152 8 190 1660 1111 8 022 5 008 3 116 9 149 9 175 1111 691 4 328 5 011 3 118 9 146 9 163 691 402 6 313 4 011 3 119 9 146 8 155 402 227 5*304 4 012 3 120 9 145 7 151 227 127 2*296 4 011 3 120 8 144 4*150 127 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography