DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.5 - - 81.7 - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 64 - - -1 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2761 - - 1563 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2531 - - 1278 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4198 - - 3000 - - 1612 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1853 - - 5077 - - 1581 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 257 - - 114 - - 47 W* B/S - - - - - - 59 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 286 - - 093 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 14 - - -4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 505 - - -925 - - 318 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3693 - - 3926 - - 1294 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2032 - - -2429 - - -137 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6230 - - 5429 - - 1749 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2360 - - 1930 - - 870 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.5 - - 81.7 - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.2 - - 68.5 - - 68.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.9 - - 81.9 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.8 - - 67.3 - - 68.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 64 - - -1 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2761 - - 1563 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 33 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98858 12 115 8 098 16 058 98858 91467 11 081 7 105 12 066 91467 85743 9 092 7 067 5 064 85743 80958 8 116 7 055 4 088 80958 76825 7 163 4 339 5 051 76825 73168 8 149 8 305 8 017 73168 69869 4 069 4 231 6 353 69869 66857 6 051 5 138 5 305 66857 64083 4 043 9 080 3 307 64083 61410 6 005 12 352 7 318 61410 58628 11 316 17 325 15 312 58628 55750 22 312 22 314 25 313 55750 53019 30 302 29 304 37 313 53019 50583 33 300 35 291 39 298 50583 48401 36 300 37 287 35 290 48401 46404 38 293 36 287 39 299 46404 44564 39 283 40 296 43 293 44564 42865 36 282 45 298 43 287 42865 41286 38 297 48 297 42 281 41286 39808 45 301 47 292 45 278 39808 38411 49 293 49 288 45 278 38411 37060 49 283 50 288 44 281 37060 35686 43 279 49 290 44 289 35686 34263 35 279 49 291 44 294 34263 32792 33 286 47 290 40 298 32792 31256 34 292 44 289 37 304 31256 29644 35 292 40 293 35 307 29644 27954 35 290 39 299 33 307 27954 26187 37 288 36 303 36 305 26187 24350 36 291 30 309 38 305 24350 22442 35 290 26 310 37 308 22442 20457 36 285 26 310 34 310 20457 18386 34 284 30 305 31 313 18386 16272 33 285 35 301 29 313 16272 14239 34 282 39 303 24 312 14239 12390 35 281 36 305 21 311 12390 10744 35 285 31 299 20 312 10744 9284 33 291 25 293 18 318 9284 7986 28 295 19 292 16 322 7986 6831 23 298 16 296 14 324 6831 5808 17 299 13 301 12 329 5808 4906 10*294 9 310 10 337 4906 4109 5*286 6 321 9 344 4109 3395 2 282 3*345 9 347 3395 2765 0 276 2*076 10 344 2765 2240 0 090 2 091 9 356 2240 1836 1 097 2 096 8*007 1836 1559 1 095 2 099 8*013 1559 1390 1 096 2 100 8 015 1390 1294 1 097 2 100 5 018 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography