DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 87.4 - - 88.0 - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 36 - - -26 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1832 - - 5178 - - 30 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1278 - - 4069 - - 1279 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3269 - - 6615 - - 1467 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3249 - - 2918 - - 9090 - - 1085 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 201 - - 298 - - 38 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 248 - - 266 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -659 - - 774 - - -4766 - - -764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3928 - - 5842 - - 6233 - - 2059 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2792 - - -1089 - - -6139 - - -4570 ODpotential blCL - - - 6061 - - 7704 - - 7606 - - 5865 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 81 - - 79 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 1990 - - 1650 - - 1650 - - 2360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.6 - - 87.4 - - 88.0 - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.5 - - 66.1 - - 65.1 - - 71.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.3 - - 87.2 - - 89.1 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 64.7 - - 63.7 - - 71.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 36 - - -26 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1832 - - 5178 - - 30 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 25 - - 15 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 12 - - 13 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99424 38 087 31 096 16 078 20 050 99424 91944 29 084 29 082 22 076 22 083 91944 86170 20 087 26 078 23 077 23 083 86170 81359 14 087 18 080 19 089 17 076 81359 77207 10 088 14 081 14 101 11 078 77207 73539 12 081 10 088 9 098 10 058 73539 70217 11 075 8 113 4 120 4 031 70217 67171 9 092 8 146 0 097 4 133 67171 64355 2 122 5 183 4 261 2 305 64355 61643 4 204 8 275 5 261 6 277 61643 58832 7 222 13 264 12 258 12 271 58832 55944 16 273 18 256 23 258 22 263 55944 53219 25 266 22 245 28 250 28 265 53219 50777 28 269 27 253 35 260 34 269 50777 48590 30 269 37 258 43 260 40 264 48590 46604 31 269 43 258 44 257 44 259 46604 44783 34 261 43 260 44 261 42 256 44783 43097 37 264 41 264 45 264 41 272 43097 41525 47 268 42 261 45 265 48 280 41525 40052 53 260 46 252 45 263 43 271 40052 38666 51 252 48 247 42 265 32 264 38666 37327 44 250 43 247 37 266 29 264 37327 35960 40 255 36 250 34 262 27 272 35960 34537 33 265 33 258 31 265 27 280 34537 33061 26 280 31 261 32 271 27 284 33061 31516 22 280 26 269 32 274 29 290 31516 29889 20 273 25 275 31 272 29 294 29889 28180 18 269 26 274 29 276 27 295 28180 26392 16 271 28 274 32 283 25 296 26392 24528 18 265 30 273 29 286 24 297 24528 22593 24 271 34 276 30 294 24 298 22593 20584 26 280 36 283 32 292 24 300 20584 18496 25 284 36 285 27 300 25 302 18496 16374 24 281 34 289 30 310 26 306 16374 14336 22 274 28 290 29 296 28 310 14336 12489 20 270 21 284 25 282 29 311 12489 10845 16 269 16 272 18 277 30 309 10845 9381 14 266 12 261 14 275 31 307 9381 8074 12 259 11 252 14 276 32 305 8074 6910 11 253 11*250 14 274 33 305 6910 5876 10 252 11*249 14 272 33 303 5876 4963 10 255 11 249 14 270 30 299 4963 4156 9 257 10 247 14 268 27 293 4156 3433 8*256 10 247 14 267 24 283 3433 2793 7*255 10 247 14 266 23 272 2793 2259 6 255 9 247 13 266 21 264 2259 1848 5 256 9 246 13 265 18 259 1848 1565 5 256 9 247 12*266 14 251 1565 1393 4 257 8 247 11*266 10*241 1393 1294 4 257 7 247 9 266 5*222 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography