DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 64.7 - - 67.1 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 196 - - 68 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 907 - - 4301 - - 7115 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 4146 - - 5391 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2344 - - 5738 - - 8552 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 623 - - 2867 - - 1931 - - 1787 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 167 - - 388 - - 325 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 258 - - 264 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -561 - - -2696 - - -1110 - - -4458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2905 - - 8434 - - 9662 - - 5752 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4347 - - -6417 - - -3251 - - -8181 ODpotential blCL - - - 6691 - - 12155 - - 11803 - - 9475 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 61 - - 67 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 64.7 - - 67.1 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 32.1 - - 29.0 - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 63.4 - - 66.7 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 30.9 - - 28.2 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 196 - - 68 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 907 - - 4301 - - 7115 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96652 5 140 8 116 8 192 1 298 96652 89463 8 117 12 153 16 179 8 194 89463 83879 11 157 13 185 14 182 14 201 83879 79223 17 177 14 207 14 184 21 202 79223 75198 10 197 19 217 15 205 15 206 75198 71622 11 222 22 212 24 231 16 248 71622 68375 11 238 16 212 20 224 17 233 68375 65389 13 244 13 224 15 216 15 219 65389 62616 16 229 18 225 13 218 12 228 62616 59930 20 218 22 225 19 229 18 225 59930 57123 25 239 26 247 26 244 25 243 57123 54209 33 251 29 246 30 247 30 246 54209 51433 32 257 32 239 34 241 33 239 51433 48936 41 253 35 246 38 242 41 253 48936 46703 51 241 47 253 43 251 43 248 46703 44677 58 233 58 246 47 251 42 248 44677 42829 53 226 61 233 51 247 49 246 42829 41132 50 225 59 221 55 234 53 241 41132 39564 51 224 55 218 57 222 54 235 39564 38111 51 226 54 220 55 217 50 230 38111 36757 52 229 54 224 54 218 47 232 36757 35459 53 230 52 226 53 219 44 235 35459 34148 48 224 53 222 50 222 42 244 34148 32792 42 230 55 216 50 225 43 249 32792 31391 44 228 50 211 53 230 43 251 31391 29930 41 222 51 214 55 232 42 248 29930 28396 40 222 52 212 53 228 40 245 28396 26790 40 226 52 213 49 230 39 246 26790 25111 40 228 49 216 45 234 41 246 25111 23359 39 230 45 225 45 237 41 248 23359 21537 38 237 44 229 45 239 41 251 21537 19639 39 247 42 226 44 240 36 255 19639 17659 35 249 38 227 38 247 36 266 17659 15642 32 253 32 245 30 269 31 270 15642 13703 32 257 28 269 28 284 22 276 13703 11940 25 264 26 276 26 285 20 294 11940 10372 17 280 26 273 22 278 18 303 10372 8978 18 295 23 265 16*270 16 291 8978 7738 20 296 20 266 13*263 17 275 7738 6634 17 295 17*273 13 264 16 262 6634 5654 12 288 15*273 13 264 14 256 5654 4787 10 271 13 268 13 264 13 260 4787 4019 13 260 11 259 13 264 14 267 4019 3331 17 254 11 254 13 264 14 275 3331 2721 17*247 10 251 13 265 15 283 2721 2211 13*239 9 248 12 265 15 289 2211 1819 11 236 9 245 12 265 14 293 1819 1550 10 234 8 244 11 264 12 297 1550 1386 9 233 8 244 11 265 8*300 1386 1293 7 232 7 242 9 264 2*319 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography