DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.4 - - 83.0 - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 62 - - 3 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4800 - - 3802 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4011 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6237 - - 5239 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3370 - - 3675 - - 4846 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 313 - - 190 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 189 - - 183 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 504 - - 506 - - -1363 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5733 - - 4733 - - 2658 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1251 - - -964 - - -3414 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7488 - - 6203 - - 4709 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 95 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 180 - - 610 - - 700 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.4 - - 83.0 - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.5 - - 66.4 - - 69.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.0 - - 83.2 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.1 - - 65.2 - - 68.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 62 - - 3 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4800 - - 3802 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 64 - - 79 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99393 43 082 38 090 38 070 99393 91928 37 079 32 081 32 077 91928 86177 33 082 30 076 29 078 86177 81388 29 081 28 076 27 077 81388 77251 20 070 27 083 23 074 77251 73599 19 080 23 093 19 079 73599 70293 18 086 20 089 18 085 70293 67254 13 080 16 075 16 086 67254 64443 10 083 7 075 13 077 64443 61732 7 086 3 138 6 077 61732 58924 4 158 0 203 0 120 58924 56040 5 135 4 283 3 195 56040 53315 9 317 11 295 8 306 53315 50891 12 275 18 274 20 281 50891 48735 7 237 12 249 20 255 48735 46770 18 304 13 269 21 246 46770 44955 17 308 17 260 23 240 44955 43260 21 293 24 265 26 243 43260 41668 26 286 29 265 28 239 41668 40169 26 279 27 249 29 231 40169 38754 27 269 22 231 31 230 38754 37381 29 259 25 237 33 230 37381 35983 29 254 23 248 34 232 35983 34528 26 253 21 258 33 232 34528 33023 24 246 21 255 30 232 33023 31451 23 238 21 246 31 237 31451 29802 22 241 25 238 35 248 29802 28079 21 246 29 236 33 250 28079 26283 20 249 33 237 28 254 26283 24414 19 251 32 233 22 248 24414 22481 24 249 27 224 20 247 22481 20473 28 237 21 211 20 253 20473 18387 20 223 21 202 18 255 18387 16271 17 208 20 198 16 206 16271 14240 19 208 21 213 18 201 14240 12399 18 212 20 215 17 212 12399 10766 18 199 19 209 19 207 10766 9314 18 194 18 202 21 203 9314 8022 17 194 18 193 22 191 8022 6872 16*193 18 189 22 181 6872 5851 16*191 18*187 22 177 5851 4947 15 190 18*184 21 177 4947 4145 15 189 18 183 20 176 4145 3426 14 188 18 183 18 176 3426 2788 14 188 17 182 17 177 2788 2256 13 187 17 182 15 177 2256 1846 13 187 16 182 13 177 1846 1564 12 187 15 182 10 177 1564 1392 11 187 13 182 8*176 1392 1294 9 187 10 182 4*174 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography