DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.4 - - 74.7 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 39 - - -41 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5952 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4650 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7389 - - 1295 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1665 - - 8636 - - 4484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 315 - - 31 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 279 - - 278 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 592 - - -5224 - - -2434 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6797 - - 6519 - - 3729 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3374 - - -6259 - - -4769 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10763 - - 7554 - - 6064 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 62 - - 73 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 130 - - 170 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.4 - - 74.7 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.1 - - 50.7 - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.4 - - 76.2 - - 71.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.8 - - 49.4 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 39 - - -41 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5952 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99272 24 087 27 080 13 076 99272 91808 19 090 19 077 20 073 91808 86019 17 096 12 091 19 078 86019 81218 15 090 8 100 17 077 81218 77086 13 094 11 110 13 072 77086 73434 13 107 9 094 10 076 73434 70128 16 102 9 107 10 089 70128 67088 9 137 10 112 8 119 67088 64262 11 167 7 154 5 178 64262 61518 15 177 9 174 8 235 61518 58650 17 190 14 214 12 233 58650 55677 23 216 23 213 21 219 55677 52837 25 230 21 224 19 239 52837 50282 30 241 39 250 40 251 50282 48009 44 232 47 234 43 239 48009 45949 49 216 38 222 39 243 45949 44061 45 212 35 234 41 248 44061 42316 39 224 44 240 42 253 42316 40694 48 235 48 234 45 258 40694 39182 55 229 49 232 46 263 39182 37770 57 223 48 233 46 274 37770 36420 57 222 46 240 49 288 36420 35063 55 224 47 249 59 297 35063 33665 52 231 49 254 64 299 33665 32224 52 236 49 258 65 300 32224 30722 52 240 50 263 64 301 30722 29143 47 244 50 262 64 301 29143 27490 43 247 50 257 63 302 27490 25763 45 247 51 253 54 298 25763 23966 45 248 50 253 45 286 23966 22099 44 248 48 257 43 279 22099 20153 42 248 44 260 43 279 20153 18120 39 249 41 261 43 278 18120 16042 35 248 39 262 42 280 16042 14041 32 244 37 263 38 282 14041 12221 29 244 32 263 29 279 12221 10607 24 256 23 260 22 269 10607 9178 19 272 15 260 17 255 9178 7908 13*273 15 265 14 248 7908 6777 13*273 15 267 14 254 6777 5771 13 275 15 269 14 266 5771 4882 13 277 15 271 15 275 4882 4095 12 279 15 273 15 279 4095 3388 12 280 14 274 16 282 3388 2761 12 282 14 276 16 285 2761 2238 11 283 14 276 16 287 2238 1835 11 283 13 277 14 289 1835 1558 10 284 12 277 12 290 1558 1390 10 284 11*278 9*291 1390 1294 8 285 9*278 4*289 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography