DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1332z - - 1559z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.1 - - 79.0 - - 75.5 - - 78.4 - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 64 - - -12 - - 33 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2372 - - 16 - - 2014 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1275 - - 2105 - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top 1292 - - 3809 - - 1293 - - 3451 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 832 - - 1734 - - 3585 - - 2865 - - 2696 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 235 - - 15 - - 184 - - 14 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 4 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 157 - - 156 - - 174 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -6 - - -2 - - -9 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1068 - - -114 - - -1018 - - 749 - - -539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2360 - - 3923 - - 2312 - - 2702 - - 1833 sfcLCL ODpotential -4131 - - -2153 - - -2070 - - -678 - - -1884 ODpotential blCL 5423 - - 5962 - - 3363 - - 4129 - - 3177 blCL maxRH 87 - - 92 - - 95 - - 86 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 350 - - 740 - - 1410 - - 1760 - - 810 CAPE Temp@2m 71.1 - - 79.0 - - 75.5 - - 78.4 - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.9 - - 66.0 - - 69.4 - - 70.5 - - 68.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.0 - - 78.5 - - 76.1 - - 78.2 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.7 - - 64.6 - - 68.5 - - 69.5 - - 68.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 64 - - -12 - - 33 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2372 - - 16 - - 2014 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 68 - - 78 - - 45 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 13 - - 16 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99052 40 079 39 086 35 080 40 080 34 091 99052 91595 32 074 36 083 33 079 39 078 32 083 91595 85856 27 079 32 081 30 081 34 073 29 073 85856 81104 26 079 27 084 23 086 25 074 27 066 81104 77017 22 087 21 091 19 091 19 077 23 072 77017 73410 20 097 18 097 16 101 15 073 19 082 73410 70154 16 099 13 101 15 107 13 097 15 088 70154 67172 14 117 13 113 13 110 13 120 10 115 67172 64420 12 123 11 122 13 128 15 136 16 140 64420 61762 8 125 13 134 18 152 13 168 13 160 61762 58989 10 180 10 190 18 162 19 186 17 178 58989 56115 19 198 27 210 19 217 19 207 19 188 56115 53373 26 199 38 190 37 207 37 200 28 211 53373 50909 34 219 28 200 33 202 43 181 39 188 50909 48697 50 230 47 231 48 231 36 222 36 227 48697 46695 66 228 73 227 73 227 71 230 70 229 46695 44868 77 227 82 221 85 220 87 224 84 224 44868 43173 77 226 84 222 87 217 88 220 82 217 43173 41585 71 224 83 223 87 217 89 213 91 205 41585 40085 66 226 75 221 85 216 92 209 90 203 40085 38660 66 228 66 221 81 215 90 211 86 205 38660 37279 66 224 61 219 76 212 85 212 79 203 37279 35876 64 216 58 213 72 207 78 210 80 198 35876 34419 62 210 58 206 68 205 67 201 81 197 34419 32914 60 207 59 205 54 206 56 188 78 201 32914 31351 57 206 57 208 42 208 55 185 65 208 31351 29721 53 207 54 208 38 209 51 179 45 206 29721 28017 44 206 51 208 38 209 47 183 41 186 28017 26231 40 206 47 208 40 206 41 192 42 185 26231 24371 42 206 44 207 45 202 39 204 41 183 24371 22442 43 207 41 209 45 201 36 205 36 185 22442 20441 44 210 39 211 40 206 33 210 30 205 20441 18363 40 216 38 215 37 209 31 222 27 220 18363 16249 38 221 36 217 33 201 28 224 26 227 16249 14216 36 217 32 215 27 193 24 212 28 234 14216 12371 34 211 30 210 21 198 22 197 25 227 12371 10732 32 212 28 210 20 211 19 193 19 212 10732 9275 27 224 24 215 20 217 16 196 14 197 9275 7980 24 233 21 217 20 219 14 202 13 185 7980 6828 18 228 20 211 19 221 14 204 15 173 6828 5808 15 215 19 204 18 223 14 199 19 169 5808 4908 12 207 17 199 17 222 14 191 21 169 4908 4112 9 205 14*193 16 218 14*186 22 169 4112 3399 5 207 10*175 14 210 13*182 21 168 3399 2769 2 191 7 157 11 197 11 175 19 164 2769 2242 1 094 7 153 9 187 10 172 16 159 2242 1837 2 027 7 150 8 177 9 170 14 154 1837 1558 3 337 6 149 7 169 7 168 12 151 1558 1389 2*330 6 148 5*162 6 167 10*148 1389 1292 1*346 5 148 4*156 5 167 6*145 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography