DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 90.2 - - 89.6 - - 84.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 27 - - -24 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1227 - - 5383 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1278 - - 3967 - - 1279 - - 1279 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2664 - - 6820 - - 1296 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2643 - - 2725 - - 8978 - - 6439 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 150 - - 281 - - 30 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 274 - - 332 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -6 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1128 - - 785 - - -4414 - - -1875 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3792 - - 6035 - - 5710 - - 3171 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3721 - - -882 - - -5727 - - -4400 ODpotential blCL - - - 6385 - - 7702 - - 7023 - - 5696 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 83 - - 89 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 2120 - - 1880 - - 2290 - - 3790 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 90.2 - - 89.6 - - 84.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.3 - - 68.0 - - 68.9 - - 74.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.8 - - 90.0 - - 91.0 - - 88.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 66.6 - - 67.7 - - 73.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 27 - - -24 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1227 - - 5383 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 32 - - 56 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 13 - - 16 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99096 9 106 16 096 6 100 8 056 99096 91644 6 108 16 085 10 092 5 077 91644 85875 9 098 11 106 10 082 5 081 85875 81077 10 104 10 128 6 056 7 079 81077 76954 9 080 7 121 4 081 4 083 76954 73318 8 081 7 069 6 073 3 089 73318 70036 12 048 7 036 6 072 5 019 70036 67033 5 000 7 016 4 067 2 343 67033 64260 5 005 8 009 5 345 6 007 64260 61602 5 350 5 019 4 215 6 295 61602 58860 13 335 9 343 7 310 9 328 58860 56045 14 314 14 285 21 284 22 293 56045 53385 24 317 11 311 17 289 18 279 53385 50988 41 314 37 318 34 310 33 317 50988 48833 45 317 44 315 47 310 43 314 48833 46869 43 318 45 314 50 310 45 312 46869 45054 45 317 45 312 47 308 45 308 45054 43363 44 313 45 311 44 308 43 304 43363 41778 36 309 41 309 42 306 40 301 41778 40289 30 307 33 298 38 301 38 294 40289 38883 28 307 27 279 34 296 37 289 38883 37522 25 306 24 275 32 287 38 286 37522 36136 21 303 26 280 32 284 37 283 36136 34696 25 299 30 291 32 292 34 280 34696 33203 33 301 32 304 33 302 35 288 33203 31643 36 305 32 312 33 309 36 299 31643 30007 30 310 27 313 28 309 33 301 30007 28299 25 307 20 303 21 292 27 290 28299 26517 24 297 16 273 22 272 24 278 26517 24659 22 294 19 268 23 270 25 284 24659 22726 24 292 23 281 24 276 24 289 22726 20716 26 295 26 291 25 285 21 296 20716 18625 24 299 25 300 23 295 22 301 18625 16504 23 287 27 298 26 301 23 300 16504 14466 26 277 28 292 29 300 23 298 14466 12611 26 272 28 286 27 294 22 293 12611 10957 23 273 26 283 22 285 21 286 10957 9482 20 285 21 284 16 274 19 266 9482 8167 19 303 15 284 12 270 16 254 8167 6994 20 316 12*281 11 271 14 257 6994 5950 20 322 11*281 8 272 13 261 5950 5026 17 323 8 278 6 277 11 264 5026 4207 14 320 6 274 5 286 9 267 4207 3472 10 313 5 272 4 296 7 273 3472 2821 6*284 4 269 4 308 5 279 2821 2277 5*257 4 269 4 321 2 300 2277 1859 5 254 3 267 4 327 1 350 1859 1570 5 254 3 268 4 329 2 023 1570 1395 5 253 3 268 3*332 2*039 1395 1295 4 252 2 268 3*332 2*056 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography