DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 64.4 - - 65.6 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 57 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 150 - - 1318 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1587 - - 2755 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 507 - - 1460 - - 3576 - - 235 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 184 - - 11 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 003 - - 345 - - 043 - - 091 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1917 - - -2233 - - -3299 - - -2423 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3504 - - 4989 - - 4594 - - 3718 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11026 - - -10858 - - -10267 - - -12070 ODpotential blCL - - - 12613 - - 13613 - - 11561 - - 13364 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 57 - - 67 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 64.4 - - 65.6 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.6 - - 47.4 - - 50.3 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 64.0 - - 66.7 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 46.1 - - 49.0 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 57 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 150 - - 1318 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97099 31 238 35 267 31 256 32 262 97099 89875 11 236 25 250 20 260 19 254 89875 84323 4 336 16 228 18 251 12 271 84323 79716 2 102 11 199 14 237 12 280 79716 75731 7 149 11 171 12 233 8 268 75731 72214 8 136 13 162 14 214 13 254 72214 69050 5 290 3 202 10 193 13 215 69050 66146 15 274 10 283 7 256 8 262 66146 63458 17 244 17 250 17 259 16 276 63458 60864 13 245 21 236 19 248 20 279 60864 58167 18 252 22 251 21 257 29 264 58167 55369 15 273 25 248 26 244 30 246 55369 52695 26 268 25 238 31 243 35 252 52695 50285 26 248 29 248 39 240 39 242 50285 48109 27 264 35 252 37 237 35 241 48109 46111 35 274 37 268 36 251 40 249 46111 44269 39 281 38 269 37 262 37 265 44269 42576 31 287 31 277 32 274 35 275 42576 41018 19 285 24 280 29 283 38 282 41018 39569 13 302 27 289 33 293 38 280 39569 38202 22 321 33 296 36 300 33 277 38202 36875 28 323 34 301 36 306 30 274 36875 35520 29 316 34 302 35 308 31 278 35520 34109 24 334 30 300 35 305 31 279 34109 32644 21 351 27 298 41 297 30 286 32644 31112 15 359 26 300 42 301 30 295 31112 29501 13 341 28 305 35 311 28 300 29501 27815 20 334 30 308 29 315 29 299 27815 26055 22 338 29 311 31 314 29 300 26055 24219 20 341 26 320 32 315 28 305 24219 22310 17 345 19 322 31 316 23 308 22310 20321 16 351 18 315 25 320 14 306 20321 18247 18 345 17 324 16 321 10 297 18247 16134 17 347 14 344 13 327 8 308 16134 14099 14 349 14 007 10 352 9 329 14099 12246 11 332 14 358 11 358 10 340 12246 10602 10 323 13 339 12 348 9 344 10602 9147 10 331 12 329 13 339 8 340 9147 7860 10 339 12 325 14 334 10 340 7860 6721 9 342 11 326 15 332 12 336 6721 5715 8 337 11 322 14 325 13 330 5715 4831 8 334 11 317 12 311 12 317 4831 4051 7 343 10 318 10 307 12 320 4051 3352 8 358 8*324 8 314 12 328 3352 2734 11 357 5*336 4 328 10 330 2734 2219 10 351 3 344 3 002 7 331 2219 1823 6*347 2 350 2 024 4 335 1823 1552 2*358 2 353 2 034 2 352 1552 1387 1 006 2 358 2*041 1*018 1387 1293 1 005 2 357 1*045 2*091 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography