DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 58.8 - - 58.3 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 97 - - -9 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1473 - - 3355 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 3093 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2910 - - 4792 - - 1293 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1370 - - 954 - - 4642 - - 445 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 197 - - 291 - - 18 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 023 - - 023 - - 027 - - 086 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -193 - - 563 - - -2811 - - -1064 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3103 - - 4230 - - 4105 - - 2357 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7487 - - -5985 - - -3366 - - -3499 ODpotential blCL - - - 10397 - - 10777 - - 4659 - - 4792 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 87 - - 84 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 58.8 - - 58.3 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.6 - - 45.0 - - 45.2 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 58.0 - - 58.8 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 43.8 - - 43.9 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 97 - - -9 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1473 - - 3355 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 48 - - 37 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97504 17 245 17 243 21 284 6 260 97504 90243 6 331 6 255 9 274 3 325 90243 84658 4 026 4 206 4 242 5 338 84658 80000 5 047 8 127 5 215 7 323 80000 75983 3 090 6 107 1 161 6 328 75983 72436 6 050 5 089 1 332 7 343 72436 69232 10 034 9 023 7 128 3 268 69232 66287 8 358 5 346 4 025 0 230 66287 63552 1 303 2 149 5 288 6 309 63552 60902 16 352 7 324 7 307 9 323 60902 58143 23 291 17 302 16 294 16 302 58143 55284 18 302 19 303 20 298 23 301 55284 52553 23 313 29 295 33 284 32 286 52553 50079 32 295 27 275 31 274 27 283 50079 47849 27 304 22 288 25 311 45 318 47849 45828 31 329 36 309 41 311 54 307 45828 43970 37 333 36 315 45 304 46 310 43970 42249 41 335 37 324 43 313 43 320 42249 40650 45 336 41 330 45 325 41 327 40650 39159 46 336 42 335 44 328 44 330 39159 37761 42 339 40 343 37 333 44 328 37761 36417 34 343 39 347 37 341 43 328 36417 35057 34 348 38 350 41 344 43 332 35057 33654 34 353 36 351 41 342 43 335 33654 32208 32 351 34 349 42 343 41 335 32208 30702 31 348 30 348 39 344 34 333 30702 29122 30 351 28 349 34 341 32 329 29122 27465 29 357 25 354 29 342 25 329 27465 25726 28 360 22 359 22 345 16 330 25726 23911 26 359 19 360 18 343 14 339 23911 22026 21 006 17 358 17 343 16 349 22026 20066 19 020 17 004 16 348 17 351 20066 18020 19 024 17 012 15 359 15 356 18020 15929 18 026 16 019 14 007 13 004 15929 13910 16 028 12 024 12 001 12 003 13910 12074 16 024 10 021 12 354 12 002 12074 10446 18 022 11 021 12 004 10 004 10446 9007 18 026 13 020 10 017 5 003 9007 7735 17 027 12 016 9 024 3 017 7735 6613 15 021 10 015 8 027 5 033 6613 5627 13 019 9*028 9 038 7 035 5627 4761 12 030 8*028 9 041 8 046 4761 3996 13 035 8 027 9 039 9 060 3996 3312 14*033 8 025 9 037 11 071 3312 2707 12*029 8 023 9 035 13 078 2707 2202 10 023 8 020 9 033 13 082 2202 1814 10 021 7 018 8 031 12 085 1814 1547 9 019 7 017 8 031 9 086 1547 1385 8 018 7 016 7*030 7*085 1385 1292 6 016 6 015 5*027 4*086 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography