DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.4 - - 76.4 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - -16 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3778 - - 83 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3326 - - 1278 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5215 - - 1520 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1264 - - 5356 - - 88 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 294 - - 40 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 215 - - 223 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 526 - - -3634 - - -2075 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4689 - - 5154 - - 3370 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3567 - - -7159 - - -7360 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8782 - - 8679 - - 8655 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 65 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.4 - - 76.4 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.2 - - 58.3 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.8 - - 77.4 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.9 - - 57.0 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - -16 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3778 - - 83 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 64 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97990 22 208 23 258 16 252 97990 90733 9 257 14 252 16 255 90733 85093 5 259 8 247 8 262 85093 80394 4 203 7 289 3 351 80394 76344 2 125 4 279 5 345 76344 72777 6 075 5 143 7 332 72777 69573 4 044 4 069 5 006 69573 66644 6 337 8 001 6 024 66644 63935 8 296 10 314 11 340 63935 61315 6 294 11 299 13 305 61315 58585 14 319 21 306 21 314 58585 55758 17 295 24 295 23 307 55758 53056 15 298 19 292 20 312 53056 50612 19 311 21 306 28 304 50612 48413 27 309 23 307 26 286 48413 46420 30 312 28 329 16 313 46420 44619 29 321 44 330 67 344 44619 42973 23 340 45 325 88 342 42973 41430 36 342 39 324 64 340 41430 39973 43 336 32 323 48 333 39973 38592 41 335 28 323 44 329 38592 37248 34 336 25 327 34 324 37248 35876 27 342 25 336 30 321 35876 34445 22 340 27 339 30 315 34445 32959 18 338 28 328 24 325 32959 31405 15 321 24 306 17 325 31405 29776 21 310 20 294 19 301 29776 28069 21 305 21 294 21 294 28069 26282 14 295 18 289 21 273 26282 24425 11 284 14 266 21 263 24425 22497 10 259 12 245 18 259 22497 20487 11 245 14 248 17 270 20487 18395 12 245 17 261 17 285 18395 16267 13 250 19 274 17 288 16267 14224 14 264 17 281 16 280 14224 12373 13 276 15 281 15 276 12373 10733 12 284 14 283 15 280 10733 9277 11 289 13 285 16 283 9277 7983 10 286 13 281 15 283 7983 6835 10 256 11 263 12 278 6835 5817 9*220 9 233 10 272 5817 4918 8*216 8 222 10 260 4918 4121 8 215 8 221 9 238 4121 3407 8 214 7 220 8 213 3407 2774 7 215 7 221 9 193 2774 2246 7 215 7 221 9 184 2246 1840 6 216 6 221 9 177 1840 1560 6 217 6*221 9 169 1560 1390 6 218 5*222 7*159 1390 1294 5 217 4 224 5*150 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography