DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 49.5 - - 52.3 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 173 - - 71 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1383 - - 2779 - - 3058 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 2986 - - 2546 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2820 - - 4216 - - 4495 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1335 - - 1387 - - 2401 - - 1558 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 210 - - 326 - - 249 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 24 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 126 - - 078 - - 140 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - -10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 673 - - 161 - - -195 - - -556 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2147 - - 4055 - - 4690 - - 1849 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 203 - - -1489 - - -830 - - -3431 ODpotential blCL - - - 2617 - - 5705 - - 5325 - - 4724 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 84 - - 96 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.8 - - 49.5 - - 52.3 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 36.3 - - 36.3 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 48.4 - - 51.7 - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 35.1 - - 35.5 - - 39.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 173 - - 71 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1383 - - 2779 - - 3058 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 34 - - 83 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96596 20 090 12 104 2 358 15 049 96596 89443 17 096 9 121 10 169 5 105 89443 83882 8 137 13 165 13 180 8 239 83882 79230 13 184 15 170 10 197 14 220 79230 75197 16 213 6 231 12 204 18 211 75197 71612 22 216 13 237 15 246 18 246 71612 68369 15 206 13 215 21 236 22 236 68369 65387 31 269 25 251 23 240 29 250 65387 62611 33 249 33 241 32 242 33 250 62611 59908 36 265 36 253 31 257 30 260 59908 57083 50 259 49 257 43 264 43 260 57083 54149 52 246 56 250 54 253 47 255 54149 51351 47 249 55 245 53 245 43 260 51351 48844 52 259 52 244 49 250 49 258 48844 46610 61 256 57 255 54 255 60 249 46610 44593 63 248 70 253 62 252 58 240 44593 42755 58 249 74 243 64 247 55 247 42755 41070 60 256 65 240 60 245 62 255 41070 39525 68 253 67 253 60 248 67 249 39525 38101 76 250 78 251 68 245 65 242 38101 36771 74 247 77 241 73 239 51 245 36771 35491 76 249 71 241 70 237 50 247 35491 34191 77 249 70 242 61 240 48 236 34191 32839 75 250 70 241 51 249 37 238 32839 31437 85 243 68 243 48 259 38 271 31437 29972 89 234 66 248 47 263 44 277 29972 28432 94 235 63 249 44 263 42 273 28432 26819 77 245 58 248 44 263 36 270 26819 25130 60 250 56 248 46 265 34 264 25130 23363 58 254 56 250 46 267 35 264 23363 21522 56 255 56 253 44 269 36 270 21522 19606 52 249 55 258 41 271 34 272 19606 17612 51 246 50 259 41 270 29 267 17612 15576 50 252 47 257 42 266 30 262 15576 13612 46 255 41 254 41 262 32 264 13612 11829 38 255 34 251 37 257 30 259 11829 10249 34 257 29 252 34 256 31 254 10249 8851 28 259 26 252 29 260 30 257 8851 7614 17 258 22 249 22 264 26 259 7614 6519 9 266 16 249 15 262 20 259 6519 5551 7 257 7 256 8 250 17 261 5551 4698 4 224 1*077 5*231 10 246 4698 3945 3 146 3*082 3*178 7 208 3945 3272 5*126 3 081 4 144 10 166 3272 2678 5*124 3 081 4 138 15 154 2678 2183 4 125 2 076 4 134 17 152 2183 1803 3 126 2 075 4 133 16 149 1803 1541 3 127 2 074 4 132 14 146 1541 1382 2 129 2 073 4 132 10*143 1382 1292 2 131 2 068 4 132 5*140 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography