DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 14.8 - - 20.0 - - 17.1 - - 7.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 62 - - 11 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 3142 - - 3170 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1273 - - 2428 - - 1273 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1290 - - 4579 - - 4607 - - 1290 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2354 - - 599 - - 944 - - 1021 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 7 - - 240 - - 142 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 20 - - 23 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 302 - - 300 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 14 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 13 - - 16 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1222 - - 1078 - - 1156 - - -1322 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2512 - - 3501 - - 3451 - - 2612 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14319 - - 479 - - 420 - - -3754 ODpotential blCL - - - 15609 - - 4100 - - 4187 - - 5044 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 14.8 - - 20.0 - - 17.1 - - 7.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.6 - - 9.4 - - 6.8 - - 1.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 15.3 - - 19.7 - - 17.1 - - 11.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.1 - - 8.3 - - 5.8 - - 1.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - 62 - - 11 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 3142 - - 3170 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 102 - - 101 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96151 99 229 89 230 91 231 107 233 96151 88901 113 238 102 243 108 244 112 242 88901 83319 100 245 104 245 106 248 99 244 83319 78709 70 247 85 241 89 246 79 246 78709 74774 53 250 64 244 70 238 67 244 74774 71314 43 250 53 246 56 236 60 236 71314 68159 38 246 50 231 52 235 55 233 68159 65225 45 238 50 222 54 230 56 243 65225 62495 51 237 53 222 61 234 68 252 62495 59861 65 241 61 228 75 240 84 246 59861 57112 78 238 76 239 88 238 90 240 57112 54235 89 239 89 243 94 239 91 238 54235 51447 98 241 98 244 103 240 96 240 51447 48903 106 239 109 238 111 238 106 240 48903 46603 116 236 117 232 117 236 115 239 46603 44504 125 235 121 231 120 235 121 240 44504 42578 131 235 125 234 125 238 129 242 42578 40799 136 238 133 238 137 241 135 243 40799 39144 145 242 145 241 150 244 140 244 39144 37599 155 244 156 242 159 245 149 245 37599 36155 166 244 166 244 166 245 160 245 36155 34771 173 242 174 245 175 245 167 244 34771 33376 175 239 178 244 182 243 167 242 33376 31937 172 235 181 242 183 240 164 241 31937 30461 165 232 181 240 183 238 163 240 30461 28932 156 231 177 238 186 237 161 238 28932 27338 151 229 170 237 187 237 158 237 27338 25678 146 231 160 237 179 237 149 237 25678 23956 136 233 153 239 164 237 128 237 23956 22183 121 231 131 238 146 238 108 239 22183 20361 111 230 107 234 130 235 96 240 20361 18489 96 232 98 231 119 229 84 242 18489 16565 72 235 90 231 103 228 68 249 16565 14627 61 231 80 235 90 235 56 259 14627 12775 62 230 67 240 81 244 49 268 12775 11099 56 233 56 244 71 255 45 276 11099 9615 45 241 52 250 57 263 41 286 9615 8306 38 251 50 259 45 275 37 298 8306 7153 35 261 46 272 39 290 37 307 7153 6137 35 276 42 287 36 300 40 309 6137 5241 36 291 36*297 31*301 43 305 5241 4454 34 301 25*300 27*300 43 301 4454 3758 28 304 22 301 26 300 40 300 3758 3134 21 303 21 302 25 300 35 298 3134 2582 16 302 20 302 24 300 30 296 2582 2120 13 303 19 303 22 300 24 292 2120 1766 11 305 18 304 21 300 19 287 1766 1522 8 310 17 304 18 300 14 278 1522 1374 6*314 15 305 16 300 10*271 1374 1289 3*317 11 305 12 300 5*260 1289 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography