DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.3 - - 46.4 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 153 - - -5 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2340 - - 1547 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2576 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3777 - - 2984 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1233 - - 2152 - - 232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 288 - - 51 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 183 - - 185 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5196 - - -5913 - - -5523 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8973 - - 8897 - - 6815 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -16154 - - -16865 - - -18395 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 19931 - - 19849 - - 19687 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 90 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.3 - - 46.4 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 10.8 - - 12.4 - - 11.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 44.4 - - 46.6 - - 38.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 10.3 - - 11.7 - - 11.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 153 - - -5 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2340 - - 1547 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 32 - - 60 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95939 55 251 46 265 40 255 95939 88862 33 253 31 252 37 259 88862 83349 25 247 32 248 32 259 83349 78789 31 251 35 262 28 255 78789 74884 24 251 30 268 36 280 74884 71452 15 261 25 272 36 287 71452 68337 23 286 29 287 42 288 68337 65463 39 290 44 290 41 289 65463 62792 46 285 43 293 43 298 62792 60190 45 292 44 303 57 305 60190 57454 58 303 64 305 73 303 57454 54589 75 301 76 300 80 294 54589 51840 80 292 81 295 79 291 51840 49357 78 288 84 290 82 293 49357 47127 80 289 85 288 90 294 47127 45101 82 290 82 288 90 295 45101 43253 86 294 81 291 90 299 43253 41564 93 297 89 292 100 301 41564 40012 105 293 99 291 106 298 40012 38573 109 289 102 290 106 291 38573 37226 106 288 103 290 107 288 37226 35925 105 287 101 292 103 290 35925 34603 105 287 100 292 99 292 34603 33230 104 288 96 293 97 294 33230 31806 102 291 89 294 91 294 31806 30318 101 293 85 295 81 294 30318 28752 99 292 84 294 76 293 28752 27111 94 293 83 295 71 292 27111 25391 89 295 81 296 64 291 25391 23595 88 296 78 294 61 288 23595 21723 86 297 78 293 60 289 21723 19773 81 295 73 293 59 294 19773 17740 72 295 68 294 62 298 17740 15668 61 296 63 294 64 293 15668 13676 51 298 56 294 60 285 13676 11872 37 298 48 292 51 277 11872 10277 26 294 38 286 39 273 10277 8867 22 286 29 280 28 272 8867 7616 20 282 23 281 21 280 7616 6507 16 277 18 281 17 284 6507 5529 11 258 14 265 12 271 5529 4673 9 237 10 236 10 240 4673 3923 7*209 10 223 9 225 3923 3254 7*193 9*204 10 212 3254 2664 6 186 9*193 13 195 2664 2173 6 181 9 187 16 186 2173 1796 6 178 9 183 15 178 1796 1537 5 177 8 181 11 167 1537 1381 5 176 7 179 9*152 1381 1291 4 176 6 179 5*138 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography