DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 78.1 - - 78.4 - - 70.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 261 - - 93 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3596 - - 7316 - - 6980 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3467 - - 6642 - - 5711 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5033 - - 8753 - - 8417 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2588 - - 1648 - - 2347 - - 5305 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 331 - - 516 - - 370 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 23 - - 26 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 209 - - 206 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 9 - - 11 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2081 - - -709 - - -2331 - - -6502 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7115 - - 9463 - - 10749 - - 7796 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5145 - - -4137 - - -6319 - - -9966 ODpotential blCL - - - 10178 - - 12890 - - 14736 - - 11260 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 64 - - 70 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 78.1 - - 78.4 - - 70.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.5 - - 40.9 - - 35.4 - - 40.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.5 - - 76.8 - - 77.9 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 39.6 - - 34.2 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 261 - - 93 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3596 - - 7316 - - 6980 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98026 3 187 7 234 13 274 5 309 98026 90627 7 241 9 251 15 252 10 253 90627 84905 5 250 14 223 17 236 21 242 84905 80146 4 234 11 220 21 245 18 242 80146 76036 16 228 17 229 14 245 11 256 76036 72376 12 218 10 203 17 251 19 238 72376 69041 12 226 14 227 21 248 17 231 69041 65977 16 243 17 236 22 254 17 244 65977 63145 19 258 17 254 24 229 26 265 63145 60418 23 252 21 261 22 249 32 255 60418 57584 23 258 35 271 26 263 28 266 57584 54637 37 267 42 266 37 283 46 276 54637 51840 49 264 48 270 52 271 60 268 51840 49363 48 265 52 267 56 268 42 272 49363 47159 43 270 42 262 55 280 55 294 47159 45174 35 275 38 279 68 291 77 288 45174 43381 34 286 52 288 77 288 79 287 43381 41727 41 293 60 289 74 285 81 291 41727 40188 47 292 61 290 71 287 85 293 40188 38743 42 285 56 290 67 290 89 293 38743 37379 44 286 54 294 63 293 88 293 37379 36059 46 284 61 298 62 292 78 290 36059 34723 41 282 61 297 66 289 59 282 34723 33343 36 280 58 297 64 284 42 269 33343 31917 32 285 43 297 53 280 43 262 31917 30429 31 293 35 286 40 275 48 268 30429 28865 31 293 32 270 39 267 46 271 28865 27227 27 295 28 265 41 261 38 265 27227 25514 26 287 24 269 43 248 40 257 25514 23727 33 276 18 268 42 241 44 249 23727 21873 34 267 16 265 39 240 43 235 21873 19948 34 254 26 266 34 240 40 224 19948 17944 36 242 36 254 31 247 37 229 17944 15902 33 230 39 241 29 257 32 236 15902 13933 33 221 38 230 30 253 31 248 13933 12141 37 219 39 225 33 239 31 250 12141 10549 42 217 39 223 29 227 27 238 10549 9134 42 215 31*218 27*217 27 228 9134 7873 38 215 26*213 27*214 29 223 7873 6749 31 222 25 210 27 211 31 218 6749 5750 26*235 24 210 27 208 32 213 5750 4866 22*238 24 209 27 206 33 209 4866 4082 21 237 23 208 27 204 33 206 4082 3379 21 237 23 208 26 203 33 203 3379 2755 20 236 22 207 26 202 31 200 2755 2234 19 235 21 207 25 201 28 196 2234 1833 18 234 20 207 24 201 24 192 1833 1557 16 233 19 207 23 200 18 187 1557 1389 15 233 17 207 20 200 14*184 1389 1293 11 231 14 206 15 199 8*180 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography