DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.4 - - 74.0 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 83 - - 40 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2802 - - 3926 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2635 - - 2321 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4239 - - 5363 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2548 - - 2737 - - 457 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 266 - - 229 - - 2 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 239 - - 197 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 11 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 171 - - -81 - - -1804 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4068 - - 5444 - - 3098 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1304 - - -943 - - -4796 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5543 - - 6306 - - 6090 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 86 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 580 - - 430 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.4 - - 74.0 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.0 - - 54.6 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.7 - - 73.7 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.6 - - 54.1 - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 83 - - 40 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2802 - - 3926 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 33 - - 45 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96211 17 262 28 249 28 262 96211 89088 19 270 24 250 25 258 89088 83595 31 262 31 249 19 257 83595 79036 28 263 27 280 21 302 79036 75152 27 265 25 286 23 287 75152 71721 25 260 24 289 22 268 71721 68588 30 282 37 292 38 298 68588 65707 40 286 43 280 46 292 65707 63032 47 281 42 278 46 288 63032 60431 52 283 45 282 53 282 60431 57723 59 280 52 283 53 277 57723 54897 61 280 60 285 51 283 54897 52166 67 281 67 284 59 288 52166 49682 74 279 72 280 66 284 49682 47448 76 272 80 274 70 279 47448 45431 71 262 78 265 72 274 45431 43599 59 255 69 261 69 263 43599 41928 42 260 60 264 62 261 41928 40397 56 278 58 270 61 266 40397 38979 67 278 59 263 59 257 38979 37643 66 264 59 250 64 247 37643 36346 61 255 62 242 64 243 36346 35020 55 252 57 242 61 243 35020 33639 49 247 50 238 58 248 33639 32206 43 245 49 240 55 256 32206 30706 42 240 52 252 53 259 30706 29128 45 241 49 261 49 253 29128 27476 48 245 47 269 46 250 27476 25748 49 248 47 262 39 249 25748 23947 49 250 53 256 34 247 23947 22076 48 248 55 253 40 250 22076 20127 46 245 51 247 49 254 20127 18099 45 244 45 244 48 258 18099 16032 42 245 42 244 41 258 16032 14039 40 244 40 245 40 259 14039 12224 39 240 35 242 36 251 12224 10608 38 232 31 239 38 252 10608 9175 33 227 28 235 38 246 9175 7902 26 229 24 227 35 241 7902 6768 22 239 20 218 30 232 6768 5760 19 255 17*205 28 220 5760 4871 15*256 16*199 28 212 4871 4084 13*250 16 197 26 207 4084 3378 11 243 15 196 24 205 3378 2754 11 238 15 196 21 203 2754 2232 10 235 15 196 18 201 2232 1832 10 233 14 195 14 199 1832 1556 9 231 13 196 10 194 1556 1389 8 231 12 196 7*189 1389 1293 7 230 9 196 4*179 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography