DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 61.8 - - 59.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 27 - - 0 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 970 - - 16 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 1293 - - 2407 - - 1294 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 865 - - 1492 - - 2553 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 132 - - 3 - - - W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 207 - - 187 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1107 - - -1080 - - -860 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2400 - - 3487 - - 2155 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5222 - - -4032 - - -2494 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 6515 - - 6439 - - 3788 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 97 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 61.8 - - 59.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.0 - - 50.9 - - 54.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 61.6 - - 60.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 49.9 - - 53.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 27 - - 0 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 970 - - 16 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 93 - - 89 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95795 39 273 36 277 35 274 95795 88819 23 281 31 277 25 281 88819 83398 21 300 25 272 27 290 83398 78908 26 298 21 289 28 292 78908 75057 22 292 15 286 25 289 75057 71618 17 286 22 301 22 285 71618 68472 22 303 29 300 27 301 68472 65586 30 301 31 288 28 299 65586 62913 31 296 32 282 24 287 62913 60303 35 293 31 288 32 299 60303 57583 37 288 43 302 47 296 57583 54784 52 293 56 295 57 290 54784 52124 62 283 58 287 62 288 52124 49718 60 278 55 286 61 290 49718 47534 58 282 53 284 57 289 47534 45525 61 280 49 282 55 288 45525 43676 65 279 55 283 63 286 43676 41976 68 288 59 284 70 288 41976 40399 86 288 72 282 75 285 40399 38923 93 279 83 276 77 281 38923 37538 89 274 83 270 79 276 37538 36206 85 275 84 267 81 269 36206 34861 78 277 76 264 80 267 34861 33470 70 280 72 266 81 268 33470 32032 64 278 65 267 82 269 32032 30531 59 272 59 265 80 272 30531 28953 58 263 58 265 74 274 28953 27303 53 257 54 271 60 275 27303 25579 44 261 56 274 52 276 25579 23779 39 261 52 270 52 279 23779 21905 38 267 51 264 51 279 21905 19954 33 272 41 262 46 274 19954 17924 36 258 26 248 45 271 17924 15857 28 252 26 249 46 273 15857 13869 28 266 30 253 46 274 13869 12063 29 273 29 256 46 274 12063 10462 25 278 27 260 45 274 10462 9043 22 275 26 262 39 273 9043 7785 21 265 24 267 34 268 7785 6665 20 252 23 269 29 264 6665 5673 19 245 20 270 24 271 5673 4797 16 242 16 267 19 274 4797 4025 15 240 12 263 15 270 4025 3334 16 237 9 255 12 266 3334 2723 18 230 8*236 10 260 2723 2212 19 224 8*209 7 252 2212 1821 15 223 7 207 5 247 1821 1551 9 216 7 205 3 234 1551 1387 7*212 6 205 2*217 1387 1293 4*204 5 205 1*187 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography