DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.9 - - 49.6 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 88 - - 7 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4070 - - 2761 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3554 - - 1275 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5507 - - 4198 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1269 - - 1239 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 304 - - 152 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 23 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 356 - - 352 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 14 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1238 - - -209 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4269 - - 4407 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 307 - - -7826 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5200 - - 12024 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 70 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.9 - - 49.6 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 36.0 - - 35.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 49.5 - - 49.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 34.7 - - 33.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 88 - - 7 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4070 - - 2761 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 57 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97615 25 238 28 263 97615 90349 26 236 24 251 90349 84752 17 242 25 250 84752 80096 13 241 23 243 80096 76066 15 242 16 219 76066 72481 18 259 17 245 72481 69241 16 244 22 250 69241 66283 16 242 22 240 66283 63541 14 262 16 245 63541 60882 19 284 18 270 60882 58104 33 273 25 268 58104 55209 40 242 34 263 55209 52439 37 244 39 260 52439 49948 56 247 38 254 49948 47709 60 237 36 244 47709 45665 54 224 34 242 45665 43781 45 225 34 248 43781 42033 52 228 38 248 42033 40408 59 228 43 244 40408 38895 56 224 36 245 38895 37483 56 231 24 249 37483 36125 57 233 21 256 36125 34746 52 227 19 253 34746 33318 48 222 22 258 33318 31844 48 224 22 277 31844 30314 42 226 18 297 30314 28717 36 226 18 335 28717 27053 36 222 37 355 27053 25323 34 222 47 352 25323 23524 25 233 47 353 23524 21658 13 263 46 006 21658 19718 11 245 47 012 19718 17698 21 214 42 012 17698 15640 14 239 37 010 15640 13660 16 334 35 008 13660 11866 19 339 34 011 11866 10278 25 004 33 018 10278 8872 26 003 31 025 8872 7624 26 357 31 029 7624 6521 24 354 30 018 6521 5550 24*354 28 357 5550 4700 24*354 27*351 4700 3951 24 355 26*352 3951 3279 23 356 25 352 3279 2685 23 356 24 352 2685 2188 22 356 23 353 2188 1806 22 357 22 353 1806 1543 20 356 19 353 1543 1383 18 356 17 353 1383 1292 13 356 12 352 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography