DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 60.6 - - 64.3 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 241 - - 124 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2791 - - 4443 - - 5959 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3051 - - 4378 - - 5134 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4228 - - 5880 - - 7396 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1742 - - 1963 - - 3759 - - 7358 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 341 - - 428 - - 378 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 14 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 147 - - 185 - - 213 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 6 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1265 - - -765 - - -425 - - -4841 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5493 - - 6645 - - 7821 - - 6135 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5045 - - -3464 - - -1488 - - -6456 ODpotential blCL - - - 9273 - - 9344 - - 8884 - - 7749 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 82 - - 88 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 60.6 - - 64.3 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 35.9 - - 34.3 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.7 - - 59.4 - - 63.6 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.1 - - 34.7 - - 33.0 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 241 - - 124 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2791 - - 4443 - - 5959 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 29 - - 53 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97553 7 241 22 250 24 268 20 275 97553 90194 15 248 20 243 23 251 21 267 90194 84556 17 228 14 237 16 236 18 247 84556 79854 11 212 12 220 11 235 15 230 79854 75786 7 203 11 193 10 232 12 227 75786 72191 4 205 9 174 6 233 7 231 72191 68939 10 238 11 183 9 248 10 250 68939 65947 13 229 11 204 11 227 12 226 65947 63164 18 237 14 247 18 260 19 260 63164 60451 19 233 19 240 24 243 23 231 60451 57579 23 260 27 248 30 239 25 247 57579 54592 41 264 41 256 34 252 45 267 54592 51778 50 261 50 254 50 264 64 259 51778 49272 56 256 52 258 65 260 70 246 49272 47029 59 258 60 260 73 254 64 245 47029 44983 71 261 67 255 77 252 63 251 44983 43104 85 260 74 256 83 251 72 255 43104 41373 97 259 92 260 89 251 85 254 41373 39781 104 260 108 258 100 261 100 257 39781 38312 115 263 115 260 128 265 123 263 38312 36946 128 265 128 264 140 261 145 259 36946 35631 135 265 140 263 145 257 149 254 35631 34292 140 265 144 263 150 253 148 254 34292 32897 142 263 145 262 153 252 151 255 32897 31453 140 261 141 262 149 256 143 259 31453 29951 135 261 135 262 130 260 124 262 29951 28379 127 264 128 263 118 262 117 264 28379 26731 112 262 113 266 110 264 112 265 26731 25014 88 254 88 262 94 266 97 265 25014 23245 76 253 74 257 78 262 81 262 23245 21423 59 255 66 260 70 258 75 255 21423 19532 54 253 58 259 64 260 76 255 19532 17559 50 257 46 256 62 264 69 260 17559 15550 38 258 39 261 57 263 52 262 15550 13622 33 256 35 261 48 259 40 254 13622 11880 36 255 33 252 40 257 29 249 11880 10335 32 255 30 245 32 253 26 256 10335 8956 22 251 25 237 25 245 24 260 8956 7725 13 232 21 226 20*233 23 259 7725 6625 8 199 17*210 19*230 21 255 6625 5648 8 183 15*193 18 218 20 247 5648 4783 9*162 15 190 17 214 20 238 4783 4017 9*152 15 186 17 212 19 229 4017 3329 10 148 15 183 16 210 18 222 3329 2720 10 147 15 182 16 208 17 216 2720 2211 10 145 14 180 15 207 16 211 2211 1820 9 145 14 179 15 206 14 207 1820 1550 9 145 13 179 14 205 11 204 1550 1386 8 145 12 178 13 205 8*202 1386 1292 7 146 10 179 10 204 4*200 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography