DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.2 - - 74.8 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 46 - - 18 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1416 - - 671 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2853 - - 2108 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2010 - - 1976 - - 2593 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 181 - - 105 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 167 - - 170 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -7 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 836 - - 431 - - -309 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2017 - - 1677 - - 1604 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -147 - - -428 - - -1595 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3000 - - 2536 - - 2890 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 98 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1060 - - 890 - - 860 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.2 - - 74.8 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.0 - - 71.0 - - 70.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.9 - - 74.6 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.4 - - 70.6 - - 70.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 46 - - 18 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1416 - - 671 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 94 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 17 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99362 36 091 32 091 28 073 99362 91891 37 092 31 087 32 075 91891 86146 34 088 32 088 30 075 86146 81368 29 084 31 092 30 079 81368 77251 25 084 25 082 27 083 77251 73615 25 091 19 073 22 090 73615 70325 23 099 14 086 14 092 70325 67300 18 102 15 104 9 097 67300 64497 10 107 13 111 7 120 64497 61790 5 110 7 102 10 137 61790 58972 6 177 4 183 4 153 58972 56056 9 203 9 191 5 202 56056 53301 14 226 10 218 10 206 53301 50856 25 216 22 232 9 218 50856 48680 33 206 34 217 29 232 48680 46711 34 195 39 204 43 211 46711 44899 31 192 38 191 40 207 44899 43207 31 190 32 208 38 211 43207 41622 29 206 41 218 40 218 41622 40132 42 222 42 217 39 217 40132 38724 46 224 38 214 40 208 38724 37358 45 215 36 215 38 200 37358 35965 43 208 35 216 35 200 35965 34514 40 207 36 211 37 200 34514 33012 36 205 42 202 42 202 33012 31446 35 207 39 195 42 202 31446 29802 38 213 35 196 41 205 29802 28081 38 214 34 199 39 204 28081 26283 33 210 36 202 40 204 26283 24418 28 207 37 205 33 199 24418 22488 27 207 36 205 29 196 22488 20487 29 209 27 211 24 208 20487 18414 28 211 27 248 24 223 18414 16304 30 206 23 244 26 227 16304 14271 30 207 20 221 27 225 14271 12421 28 208 24 213 28 221 12421 10776 27 208 26 217 27 223 10776 9314 27 207 22 213 25 225 9314 8014 27 203 18 200 23 219 8014 6857 27 197 19 191 22 214 6857 5832 27 189 19 189 23 210 5832 4928 27 182 19 191 23 207 4928 4129 25 177 18 191 23 205 4129 3413 24*174 17 190 22 204 3413 2780 22*172 16 188 19 202 2780 2250 20 168 13*180 15 198 2250 1842 18 166 11*174 12 191 1842 1563 17 165 9 170 9 185 1563 1392 15 164 8 168 7*182 1392 1294 11 164 6 165 4*177 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography