DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.6 - - 44.0 - - 40.3 - - 32.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 67 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 493 - - 2685 - - 1931 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 2267 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1930 - - 4122 - - 3368 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1133 - - 923 - - 1327 - - 1813 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 96 - - 239 - - 77 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 300 - - 328 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 12 - - 11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1855 - - -406 - - -161 - - -1535 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3785 - - 4528 - - 3529 - - 2827 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9460 - - -5328 - - -6846 - - -10030 ODpotential blCL - - - 11390 - - 9450 - - 10214 - - 11322 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 92 - - 89 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.6 - - 44.0 - - 40.3 - - 32.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.9 - - 28.9 - - 29.7 - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 43.5 - - 40.7 - - 32.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.8 - - 27.8 - - 28.6 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 67 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 493 - - 2685 - - 1931 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 67 - - 58 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96397 8 295 7 282 7 230 12 271 96397 89179 8 328 7 281 11 329 7 314 89179 83625 13 284 11 241 17 289 14 292 83625 79028 5 275 12 235 18 277 21 296 79028 75049 20 267 13 264 20 257 23 278 75049 71510 30 257 25 266 24 278 32 275 71510 68298 26 254 33 266 31 270 34 271 68298 65342 25 276 39 259 35 267 38 271 65342 62595 42 269 45 253 42 269 46 269 62595 59918 54 261 50 257 55 264 53 267 59918 57123 72 261 65 259 64 256 66 259 57123 54230 92 254 82 252 75 254 71 256 54230 51465 97 250 87 247 78 250 81 260 51465 48979 100 254 90 250 89 259 96 262 48979 46766 112 257 102 258 105 263 110 258 46766 44780 123 255 121 258 125 260 122 254 44780 42985 129 257 133 256 138 258 131 255 42985 41340 137 260 143 256 148 256 145 257 41340 39811 160 262 149 257 157 256 161 259 39811 38373 177 261 151 259 168 259 172 259 38373 37012 178 261 156 259 173 262 170 259 37012 35691 166 259 162 256 164 260 162 258 35691 34346 155 257 163 255 158 257 153 256 34346 32951 148 256 161 256 156 254 146 253 32951 31507 145 256 155 256 154 252 144 252 31507 29996 141 256 149 255 152 253 145 251 29996 28408 133 255 146 255 142 256 144 252 28408 26746 121 255 142 256 135 257 140 255 26746 25012 112 255 132 257 130 259 130 258 25012 23211 104 255 121 256 120 262 114 258 23211 21350 98 255 113 259 111 263 103 263 21350 19421 93 255 106 262 101 265 94 265 19421 17418 83 256 88 264 85 267 76 262 17418 15383 71 256 70 261 69 265 63 259 15383 13431 62 257 57 260 55 259 55 256 13431 11662 55 257 44 265 44 260 42 256 11662 10096 49 256 37 266 36 264 30 257 10096 8709 44 257 34 264 31 266 25 258 8709 7482 40 260 30 265 28 270 21 263 7482 6397 37 264 27 272 25 278 14 270 6397 5440 35 269 23 282 21 288 8 277 5440 4603 33 277 18*289 15 300 4 261 4603 3869 31 287 12*296 11*314 3 263 3869 3213 25 295 11 297 11*322 7 332 3213 2636 17 301 11 299 12 326 13 348 2636 2155 11*307 10 301 12 329 16 359 2155 1787 9*312 10 302 11 330 16 007 1787 1533 7 315 9 303 11 331 13 012 1533 1379 6 316 9 303 9 331 11*013 1379 1291 5 318 7 304 7 332 6*015 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography