DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 69.4 - - 66.9 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 21 - - -28 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 400 - - 2102 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1837 - - 3539 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 719 - - 1178 - - 3648 - - 324 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 174 - - 18 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 192 - - 165 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 6 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2180 - - -1971 - - -2830 - - -184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4017 - - 5510 - - 4125 - - 1478 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8921 - - -7227 - - -7167 - - -6331 ODpotential blCL - - - 10758 - - 10766 - - 8461 - - 7625 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 76 - - 77 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.3 - - 69.4 - - 66.9 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.5 - - 50.0 - - 53.5 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 69.2 - - 68.5 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 48.7 - - 52.2 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 21 - - -28 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 400 - - 2102 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 6 - - 10 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96557 90 244 98 249 96 254 90 250 96557 89375 51 256 55 252 69 253 52 259 89375 83918 31 257 34 259 35 260 24 264 83918 79413 20 264 20 259 23 252 29 275 79413 75492 16 285 14 278 10 266 19 262 75492 72014 13 306 14 291 10 321 9 278 72014 68865 10 311 9 294 8 316 3 310 68865 65958 7 332 8 310 11 293 7 338 65958 63248 8 337 9 329 11 292 7 327 63248 60620 6 306 10 320 8 299 8 330 60620 57895 6 296 11 299 11 304 12 323 57895 55107 9 331 12 313 12 314 12 331 55107 52481 16 343 11 343 13 346 10 355 52481 50131 29 358 20 357 21 352 14 358 50131 48021 36 355 23 359 20 351 15 344 48021 46101 26 353 24 359 14 006 9 331 46101 44327 13 334 19 352 14 354 6 341 44327 42677 6 289 10 283 17 325 9 337 42677 41132 5 298 15 255 19 275 10 328 41132 39679 7 287 17 244 23 253 14 298 39679 38306 4 196 20 243 25 248 22 266 38306 36977 6 180 18 230 23 244 28 248 36977 35620 8 223 19 239 22 247 29 241 35620 34208 11 243 21 251 21 249 29 237 34208 32741 11 248 20 255 21 256 28 253 32741 31209 11 248 18 257 19 258 28 255 31209 29600 12 233 17 249 16 257 25 256 29600 27916 12 229 16 240 11 266 14 268 27916 26154 14 276 13 261 9 299 7 258 26154 24313 18 300 11 287 10 323 1 293 24313 22393 17 304 10 292 7 329 2 183 22393 20390 14 291 8 278 6 322 3 228 20390 18300 6 287 7 275 5 269 4 222 18300 16172 4 290 3 251 6 232 6 224 16172 14130 7 243 4 263 6 227 7 230 14130 12281 10 220 8 253 7 234 9 237 12281 10643 9 203 12 232 8 236 12 242 10643 9189 8 187 12 217 9 228 15 234 9189 7897 10 204 12 211 11 217 17 224 7897 6750 11 215 12 215 13 219 18 216 6750 5735 12 217 13 220 13 222 16 213 5735 4843 12 217 15 219 12 216 14 212 4843 4057 13 220 13*211 12 209 14 213 4057 3356 14 225 11*198 12 196 15 212 3356 2736 14 229 10 193 12 187 17 205 2736 2220 12*227 9 191 12 180 18 198 2220 1824 8*217 8 190 11 175 15 191 1824 1552 6 209 8 189 10 171 11 178 1552 1387 5 208 7 189 8*167 8*164 1387 1293 4 206 6 189 5*165 5*150 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography