DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 58.6 - - 54.8 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - -22 - - -48 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 817 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2254 - - 1293 - - 1293 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2765 - - 5119 - - 5381 - - 4074 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 21 - - 20 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 243 - - 249 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -222 - - -2181 - - -2949 - - -3012 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2476 - - 3474 - - 4242 - - 4305 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1615 - - -2821 - - -3694 - - -12018 ODpotential blCL - - - 3869 - - 4114 - - 4987 - - 13311 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 100 - - 80 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 58.6 - - 54.8 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.1 - - 47.7 - - 40.7 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 59.3 - - 56.0 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 46.7 - - 39.8 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - -22 - - -48 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 817 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 101 - - 20 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95760 20 273 24 307 19 282 14 300 95760 88786 9 310 18 306 11 295 15 294 88786 83405 8 309 13 301 10 311 9 277 83405 78914 6 259 9 215 15 296 10 322 78914 75005 1 232 12 183 13 263 8 299 75005 71519 4 235 12 187 10 222 11 300 71519 68335 3 101 11 203 18 239 20 252 68335 65411 10 240 15 230 17 235 16 231 65411 62700 19 240 22 241 15 228 24 222 62700 60054 28 225 28 239 31 227 41 235 60054 57262 41 229 45 243 46 235 58 240 57262 54363 61 239 66 237 72 241 73 237 54363 51618 76 236 82 234 86 237 82 236 51618 49148 80 232 90 235 89 235 86 237 49148 46916 84 232 95 236 90 234 90 237 46916 44874 88 233 97 236 93 233 94 237 44874 42999 91 235 98 237 98 234 99 238 42999 41276 97 237 99 238 103 234 107 239 41276 39690 101 235 100 238 105 236 112 240 39690 38226 102 233 104 236 105 239 121 241 38226 36861 102 231 108 233 109 242 129 239 36861 35553 106 232 112 232 115 241 125 237 35553 34229 111 233 113 232 117 238 120 237 34229 32857 111 231 114 232 111 237 117 237 32857 31439 106 230 115 232 105 237 114 239 31439 29962 100 228 107 229 104 235 112 243 29962 28415 90 227 94 229 104 233 107 244 28415 26796 81 228 88 231 100 233 102 242 26796 25100 78 228 85 232 94 236 100 237 25100 23328 74 229 82 231 89 240 101 235 23328 21485 71 230 79 231 82 243 99 239 21485 19567 67 230 74 232 74 239 91 246 19567 17571 59 230 68 230 72 236 82 247 17571 15533 50 230 63 229 70 238 74 244 15533 13572 47 229 59 229 64 241 66 242 13572 11791 48 227 54 234 59 242 60 239 11791 10210 48 226 49 242 56 242 58 237 10210 8805 46 226 45 248 57 244 58 241 8805 7559 44 228 39 252 54 245 56 248 7559 6463 42 232 34 253 47 246 52 256 6463 5504 39 237 32 254 40 246 45 263 5504 4665 36 242 31 253 38 247 40 267 4665 3925 32 246 29 252 36 248 37 268 3925 3261 26 246 27 250 34 248 35 268 3261 2673 21*241 25 249 32 248 33 268 2673 2180 16*236 23 248 29 248 29 269 2180 1802 13 230 21 246 26 248 24 270 1802 1541 11 226 18 245 22 249 19 271 1541 1382 9 225 15*245 19*249 16*272 1382 1292 7 222 11*243 13*249 9*272 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography