DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.2 - - 85.5 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 18 - - -49 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4210 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3089 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5647 - - 1296 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2304 - - 8999 - - 4229 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 256 - - 32 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 234 - - 251 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 502 - - -3495 - - -1235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5145 - - 4791 - - 2531 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1932 - - -4970 - - -3619 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7579 - - 6266 - - 4915 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 80 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1800 - - 2110 - - 2630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.2 - - 85.5 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.0 - - 68.8 - - 72.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.2 - - 87.1 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.6 - - 67.4 - - 71.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 18 - - -49 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4210 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 85 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99512 42 081 29 098 20 068 99512 92006 33 088 32 076 26 086 92006 86202 29 089 27 076 26 085 86202 81377 26 085 22 082 22 077 81377 77223 18 087 19 090 19 076 77223 73563 15 103 14 083 17 078 73563 70262 13 108 11 094 12 068 70262 67236 7 090 9 089 8 062 67236 64432 6 084 5 086 6 063 64432 61724 6 079 2 108 1 006 61724 58923 2 354 3 090 2 248 58923 56042 4 273 6 291 6 278 56042 53314 15 302 11 289 10 273 53314 50875 21 278 18 288 16 285 50875 48694 13 252 21 264 23 271 48694 46712 11 256 23 267 24 252 46712 44884 16 267 27 263 24 250 44884 43185 21 254 28 248 28 262 43185 41606 24 236 26 239 30 256 41606 40129 23 252 27 245 29 241 40129 38735 29 260 35 259 30 239 38735 37381 37 266 42 263 31 253 37381 36001 38 268 39 257 32 258 36001 34565 34 258 33 235 33 260 34565 33074 37 252 35 233 33 261 33074 31515 34 245 37 239 31 254 31515 29881 32 237 37 242 29 247 29881 28171 34 236 36 247 27 248 28171 26386 36 238 35 250 27 251 26386 24528 35 245 32 250 26 253 24528 22601 34 253 27 255 22 258 22601 20600 32 254 27 259 19 259 20600 18521 28 250 27 263 18 258 18521 16404 27 252 25 266 17 267 16404 14368 27 254 22 267 16 280 14368 12517 26 252 21 259 15 272 12517 10871 24 253 21 255 18 259 10871 9406 22 260 17 257 18 262 9406 8099 18 269 16 256 16 271 8099 6935 14 262 15 255 15 272 6935 5901 13*244 15 253 16 265 5901 4987 12*238 15 253 17 256 4987 4177 12 236 15 252 17 250 4177 3450 12 234 15 251 17 246 3450 2806 11 233 14 250 17 243 2806 2267 11 232 14 251 16 240 2267 1852 10 232 14 250 15 238 1852 1567 10 231 13 251 13 235 1567 1394 9 231 11*251 9*233 1394 1295 8 232 8*251 5*229 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography