DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0656z - - 0959z - - 1557z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 72.2 - - 77.2 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 2 - - -14 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 25 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1292 - - 1293 - - 1462 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1592 - - 1730 - - 4591 - - 4232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 8 - - 15 - - 23 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 157 - - 181 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - -601 - - -97 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1291 - - 1292 - - 2063 - - 1390 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -815 - - -462 - - -1467 - - -1264 ODpotential blCL - - - 2107 - - 1755 - - 2929 - - 2557 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 640 - - 1400 - - 1720 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 72.2 - - 77.2 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.2 - - 70.8 - - 71.9 - - 72.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.8 - - 72.2 - - 77.5 - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 70.8 - - 71.4 - - 72.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - 2 - - -14 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 25 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 17 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98203 7 304 7 164 7 236 6 242 98203 90856 4 114 6 161 6 266 7 304 90856 85194 6 131 3 149 3 337 5 329 85194 80496 9 110 3 068 5 049 5 017 80496 76462 12 091 6 051 7 063 8 036 76462 72912 13 079 8 057 7 045 10 051 72912 69710 12 053 9 049 8 037 11 054 69710 66774 10 040 7 038 6 019 10 038 66774 64064 10 028 5 055 3 327 8 344 64064 61459 8 004 6 038 2 015 8 332 61459 58754 7 349 8 012 5 021 6 352 58754 55952 12 334 9 350 7 325 8 330 55952 53288 13 328 11 329 13 292 16 299 53288 50897 10 319 12 313 15 279 19 287 50897 48745 11 317 12 306 15 276 20 280 48745 46775 15 303 13 306 16 278 19 268 46775 44953 12 272 11 278 16 273 18 261 44953 43255 12 212 10 226 17 256 20 259 43255 41664 23 191 12 214 20 242 21 258 41664 40167 32 200 14 213 20 233 20 247 40167 38754 35 197 18 212 24 229 22 232 38754 37382 28 190 24 210 26 219 26 226 37382 35986 28 186 29 203 28 212 29 219 35986 34535 24 191 32 199 31 207 32 214 34535 33034 18 197 32 201 32 205 32 212 33034 31468 13 201 28 202 33 203 32 213 31468 29827 16 208 25 197 32 204 30 217 29827 28111 19 215 25 199 32 208 27 219 28111 26321 23 219 25 205 32 209 25 219 26321 24456 28 204 26 210 33 206 26 218 24456 22520 30 190 28 210 33 206 30 216 22520 20509 30 188 29 205 34 214 28 220 20509 18423 32 187 30 203 32 216 23 224 18423 16306 32 189 29 199 30 210 24 220 16306 14269 29 195 28 197 30 207 27 212 14269 12416 28 197 25 202 32 209 31 208 12416 10772 30 191 26 206 34 211 31 212 10772 9312 34 190 28 209 34 214 26 220 9312 8014 35 189 28 204 32 214 22 225 8014 6862 36 187 29 198 31 210 24 217 6862 5841 36 186 33 195 30 207 29 209 5841 4939 36 185 34 193 29 207 29 206 4939 4139 35 181 33 189 27 205 27 203 4139 3421 34 175 32 182 24 202 25 199 3421 2784 31 167 29 176 21 198 21 189 2784 2252 26 156 23 170 18 192 18 178 2252 1843 21 149 18 163 15 187 16 169 1843 1561 16 145 14 160 13*183 12 160 1561 1390 13*143 11*158 11*182 10*156 1390 1292 8*141 7*157 8 181 5*153 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography