DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - - - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - - - - 79.9 - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - - - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - - - - 1574 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - - - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - - - - 3011 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - - - - 3723 - - 5599 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - - - - 132 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - - - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - - - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - - - - 327 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - - - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - - - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - - - - 34 - - -954 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - - - - 2978 - - 2249 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - - - - -1363 - - -2738 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - - - - 4374 - - 4033 blCL maxRH - - - - - - - - - 92 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - - - - 1630 - - 1900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - - - - 79.9 - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - - - - 70.7 - - 71.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - - - - 79.9 - - 79.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - - - - 69.4 - - 70.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - - - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - - - - 1574 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - - - - 69 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - - - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98803 8 086 9 072 98803 91446 9 074 11 060 91446 85742 8 068 8 057 85742 80987 4 058 7 045 80987 76876 3 234 5 019 76876 73239 7 245 5 334 73239 69944 6 220 6 260 69944 66913 5 234 9 215 66913 64113 9 244 14 238 64113 61412 15 229 21 244 61412 58614 27 254 29 263 58614 55752 38 245 39 262 55752 53053 40 243 43 263 53053 50640 44 255 50 268 50640 48503 50 262 53 264 48503 46573 50 261 50 257 46573 44788 46 260 49 256 44788 43121 43 260 50 258 43121 41557 42 262 51 258 41557 40083 42 267 51 259 40083 38687 43 271 53 266 38687 37331 42 272 54 269 37331 35950 41 268 54 268 35950 34515 41 261 56 266 34515 33031 42 265 56 267 33031 31478 41 266 54 271 31478 29850 41 260 45 278 29850 28142 41 262 41 270 28142 26352 38 266 43 270 26352 24486 34 270 38 277 24486 22555 30 276 32 279 22555 20553 29 280 30 285 20553 18469 25 277 25 286 18469 16349 23 282 20 289 16349 14315 17 297 19 305 14315 12469 16 321 17 320 12469 10823 14 325 14 331 10823 9356 12 316 11 326 9356 8051 11 304 11 298 8051 6892 12 294 10 278 6892 5866 12 292 8 283 5866 4958 10 294 9 297 4958 4155 8 307 9 306 4155 3433 7*315 8 315 3433 2794 7*320 7 324 2794 2259 7 326 6 334 2259 1848 6 328 5 346 1848 1565 6 329 4 356 1565 1393 6 330 3*006 1393 1294 5 331 2*005 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography