DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.0 - - 29.1 - - 27.2 - - 20.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 277 - - 76 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3387 - - 3758 - - 3332 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3131 - - 3877 - - 2757 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4824 - - 5195 - - 4769 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 746 - - 664 - - 1009 - - 3248 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 294 - - 411 - - 257 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 19 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 287 - - 288 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -339 - - -633 - - -684 - - -2662 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5163 - - 5828 - - 5454 - - 3953 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11192 - - -11360 - - -11781 - - -15406 ODpotential blCL - - - 16016 - - 16555 - - 16550 - - 16697 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 78 - - 79 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.0 - - 29.1 - - 27.2 - - 20.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.9 - - 8.0 - - 7.8 - - 7.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.3 - - 27.9 - - 26.8 - - 22.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.8 - - 8.0 - - 7.6 - - 7.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 113 - - 277 - - 76 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3387 - - 3758 - - 3332 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 13 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95236 69 226 80 227 88 231 95 231 95236 88098 58 234 66 223 68 233 79 228 88098 82610 44 225 50 225 55 231 65 224 82610 78045 41 233 47 221 52 227 61 223 78045 74085 47 242 51 233 57 229 63 232 74085 70572 45 229 52 240 58 230 65 234 70572 67389 45 229 51 236 54 234 62 232 67389 64440 53 243 51 232 57 240 69 241 64440 61696 54 245 52 238 66 242 72 245 61696 59045 55 253 57 248 67 244 71 245 59045 56269 63 249 61 251 68 245 67 243 56269 53362 68 245 66 253 77 248 70 256 53362 50577 75 249 75 251 82 245 85 259 50577 48077 85 250 82 247 81 248 89 256 48077 45837 91 249 86 249 89 254 86 257 45837 43810 92 252 90 251 91 252 83 261 43810 41973 94 256 90 252 83 250 80 262 41973 40292 95 257 90 254 75 262 75 265 40292 38740 98 256 86 254 75 270 73 269 38740 37297 102 255 76 262 73 274 70 272 37297 35948 103 253 80 274 71 276 68 279 35948 34654 98 251 88 272 71 277 70 287 34654 33345 92 252 78 265 71 279 72 290 33345 31993 87 255 57 272 70 281 72 290 31993 30602 85 255 60 285 68 282 71 287 30602 29158 81 253 61 287 66 283 71 284 29158 27646 75 252 60 282 65 286 70 283 27646 26065 70 257 59 278 64 290 70 282 26065 24411 67 264 60 278 62 288 65 281 24411 22682 66 269 62 279 64 281 58 280 22682 20879 64 271 63 277 68 277 55 280 20879 19001 62 272 66 275 68 278 57 281 19001 17045 61 274 69 279 64 282 59 282 17045 15053 59 276 68 287 58 287 57 284 15053 13135 54 278 61 292 54 289 51 286 13135 11393 51 282 54 292 52 291 46 288 11393 9849 50 288 50 292 51 292 45 292 9849 8486 51 295 48 293 51 294 45 296 8486 7286 50 300 44 294 47 295 44 299 7286 6234 43 303 34 294 38 294 42 298 6234 5313 32*304 21*288 26*289 37 295 5313 4509 22*304 20*287 21*288 30 290 4509 3802 21 305 20 287 21 288 24 286 3802 3168 20 304 20 287 20 288 21 283 3168 2606 19 304 19 287 20 288 19 282 2606 2137 18 304 19 287 19 289 16 278 2137 1776 17 304 18 288 19 289 14 274 1776 1527 15 304 17 288 18 289 11 267 1527 1376 14 304 16 288 16 289 8*260 1376 1290 11 304 13 288 12 289 4*244 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography