DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.0 - - 85.4 - - 76.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -19 - - -43 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1033 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2470 - - 1296 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2201 - - 7470 - - 2213 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 112 - - 33 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 269 - - 296 - - 084 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1897 - - -3163 - - -861 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4367 - - 4460 - - 2156 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5525 - - -4515 - - -3925 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7995 - - 5811 - - 5220 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 86 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1920 - - 2980 - - 1870 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.0 - - 85.4 - - 76.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.0 - - 70.0 - - 70.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.0 - - 86.9 - - 78.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.7 - - 68.7 - - 69.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -19 - - -43 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1033 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 103 - - 45 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99311 26 078 25 083 24 064 99311 91868 22 087 24 074 19 059 91868 86118 23 089 17 080 16 052 86118 81302 17 075 16 073 12 062 81302 77142 11 068 12 057 9 055 77142 73472 7 058 6 053 11 069 73472 70154 5 106 1 037 9 009 70154 67105 3 313 2 287 3 010 67105 64276 5 300 2 025 9 344 64276 61540 8 248 10 301 8 278 61540 58710 13 267 19 290 12 300 58710 55799 28 265 27 268 24 273 55799 53050 32 257 27 258 36 279 53050 50608 32 277 38 275 42 278 50608 48439 36 265 40 276 33 274 48439 46478 29 257 35 277 25 275 46478 44675 25 273 30 276 29 268 44675 43002 33 289 31 273 35 262 43002 41442 35 289 37 267 41 267 41442 39977 34 287 38 265 42 274 39977 38592 35 287 39 269 40 278 38592 37250 36 287 40 274 39 280 37250 35881 34 281 40 276 40 282 35881 34455 34 274 41 276 39 283 34455 32976 40 274 42 274 34 282 32976 31430 48 275 42 274 29 280 31430 29801 50 273 43 277 30 274 29801 28092 46 272 41 276 30 268 28092 26305 43 274 38 276 29 264 26305 24444 38 276 32 282 28 262 24444 22512 37 283 27 291 28 265 22512 20507 34 285 28 289 29 271 20507 18425 28 278 30 281 31 276 18425 16308 26 277 27 287 34 279 16308 14275 28 281 22 299 34 280 14275 12431 28 288 20 305 33 281 12431 10793 27 296 20 292 31 282 10793 9333 28 301 20 280 29 283 9333 8032 30 303 19 279 28 285 8032 6875 31 303 16 282 26 286 6875 5848 30 303 15 285 25 287 5848 4941 27 301 14 287 23 289 4941 4139 21 296 14 288 22 294 4139 3421 14 285 13 289 21 299 3421 2785 10*274 13 291 21 301 2785 2253 9*270 13 292 18 302 2253 1845 8 269 12 294 12 304 1845 1564 7 268 11 295 7 311 1564 1392 6 269 10*295 4*322 1392 1294 5 268 8*296 1*084 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography