DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 44.5 - - 46.2 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 57 - - 10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1088 - - 1402 - - 837 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2525 - - 2839 - - 2274 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4111 - - 1283 - - 1934 - - 2704 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 140 - - 180 - - 88 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 4 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 340 - - 039 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1105 - - 844 - - 186 - - -298 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3630 - - 1996 - - 2088 - - 1592 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1775 - - 333 - - -339 - - -1304 ODpotential blCL - - - 4300 - - 2506 - - 2613 - - 2597 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 44.5 - - 46.2 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 40.2 - - 41.6 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.3 - - 44.0 - - 46.2 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 39.4 - - 41.0 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 57 - - 10 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1088 - - 1402 - - 837 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96612 13 082 14 089 7 071 17 070 96612 89447 8 075 7 074 8 100 10 085 89447 83901 5 052 8 107 4 139 2 107 83901 79247 6 226 2 185 3 258 3 330 79247 75213 4 148 10 225 13 237 10 272 75213 71642 11 288 10 268 11 218 12 275 71642 68394 30 262 22 265 21 260 27 266 68394 65396 34 264 30 261 29 256 26 266 65396 62596 41 249 43 255 38 260 34 270 62596 59876 35 241 48 246 41 265 50 274 59876 57044 30 258 45 249 53 266 55 265 57044 54104 43 271 54 261 55 261 50 260 54104 51295 65 270 61 264 61 258 51 259 51295 48765 74 264 69 262 64 250 57 261 48765 46496 72 261 76 256 66 251 64 259 46496 44438 73 264 77 252 70 253 71 257 44438 42562 81 262 78 250 76 255 76 258 42562 40852 87 255 79 248 85 256 79 259 40852 39284 91 253 80 246 91 254 78 256 39284 37834 94 253 84 247 94 250 78 251 37834 36480 97 253 91 248 92 247 76 248 36480 35180 103 248 89 247 85 249 71 251 35180 33870 110 245 85 246 81 252 67 252 33870 32523 113 240 87 244 81 254 66 249 32523 31138 107 241 99 241 81 253 67 245 31138 29693 90 242 102 240 74 254 64 243 29693 28174 81 241 96 240 64 259 60 248 28174 26580 77 237 89 240 60 266 60 256 26580 24910 73 236 80 241 59 268 60 261 24910 23165 68 236 72 242 58 268 59 261 23165 21346 65 239 64 243 58 264 58 259 21346 19450 59 241 62 242 60 262 59 258 19450 17474 54 243 58 244 57 261 57 259 17474 15459 51 247 50 248 54 262 56 261 15459 13519 50 251 45 245 53 264 53 265 13519 11754 46 252 39 236 48 268 49 268 11754 10189 34 254 26 230 40 269 39 270 10189 8809 18 258 19 231 29 252 26 275 8809 7588 12 256 15 235 18 235 19 269 7588 6501 13 243 13 236 14 258 15 257 6501 5540 13 226 11 242 13 262 12 260 5540 4692 14 228 9 266 11 269 10 266 4692 3943 14 232 10 298 7 276 7 273 3943 3273 12 230 10*316 4 292 4 262 3273 2680 9*230 9*330 2*016 2 243 2680 2184 6*230 8 339 2*034 1 148 2184 1804 4 226 8 342 2 038 3 111 1804 1542 2 222 7 344 2 039 3 111 1542 1383 2 222 7 344 2 047 4*118 1383 1292 2 222 6 346 2 046 3*123 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography