DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.3 - - 81.6 - - 82.6 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 73 - - -23 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1162 - - 2517 - - 3472 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1278 - - 2505 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 2599 - - 3954 - - 4909 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1969 - - 4262 - - 4639 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 265 - - 194 - - - W* B/S - - - 5 - - 12 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 006 - - 304 - - 345 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -5 - - 3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 635 - - 695 - - 15 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1965 - - 3259 - - 4895 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -344 - - -656 - - -2040 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 2943 - - 4610 - - 6949 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 86 - - 88 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 1660 - - 2310 - - 900 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.3 - - 81.6 - - 82.6 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.4 - - 71.2 - - 65.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.9 - - 81.1 - - 83.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.5 - - 69.8 - - 63.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 73 - - -23 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1162 - - 2517 - - 3472 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 44 - - 52 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 16 - - 12 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99261 35 087 33 083 34 079 99261 91771 35 079 31 086 29 080 91771 85998 25 076 29 079 23 073 85998 81215 21 077 24 063 22 081 81215 77093 19 070 18 074 21 073 77093 73449 20 070 16 094 11 078 73449 70138 16 046 12 077 9 094 70138 67092 10 038 10 078 8 086 67092 64280 2 022 9 023 5 061 64280 61579 7 007 10 358 7 353 61579 58767 13 316 9 314 13 342 58767 55857 26 294 28 305 32 310 55857 53115 31 290 34 298 36 305 53115 50661 36 295 37 294 41 304 50661 48457 40 282 37 279 44 297 48457 46458 43 275 41 274 42 286 46458 44633 49 271 46 275 45 278 44633 42952 54 269 52 273 50 271 42952 41388 62 268 52 272 49 272 41388 39921 64 264 50 269 48 271 39921 38536 59 263 50 265 50 262 38536 37193 52 262 51 265 54 259 37193 35825 44 279 50 267 54 265 35825 34401 47 288 48 270 51 271 34401 32925 47 290 44 272 48 270 32925 31382 46 296 38 269 46 266 31382 29759 41 298 34 269 45 265 29759 28060 36 289 33 264 42 263 28060 26279 33 280 35 262 41 266 26279 24423 32 268 38 268 41 276 24423 22496 40 270 39 278 36 286 22496 20494 36 279 33 282 30 288 20494 18413 33 272 30 271 28 281 18413 16298 34 266 31 265 28 270 16298 14266 29 268 31 263 29 266 14266 12421 25 273 27 263 26 259 12421 10784 22 281 20 266 21 248 10784 9332 22 286 17 266 15 254 9332 8040 18 286 15 271 12 271 8040 6889 16 286 13 276 9 287 6889 5864 14 287 11 279 8 304 5864 4958 14 291 8 281 8*326 4958 4154 11 301 6*287 8*337 4154 3433 8 324 5*293 8 343 3433 2795 7*347 4 300 8 346 2795 2260 7*003 4 305 7 348 2260 1849 7 007 4 309 7 348 1849 1565 6 007 4 313 7 348 1565 1393 6 007 3 315 6 348 1393 1294 5 007 3 314 5 348 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography