DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0956z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 6.7 - - 10.7 - - 17.6 - - 19.0 - - 15.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 185 - - 241 - - 108 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1693 - - 2185 - - 2508 - - 2471 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1270 - - 2561 - - 2900 - - 2477 - - 1271 Hcrit BL Top 3130 - - 3622 - - 3945 - - 3908 - - 1288 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1298 - - 817 - - 864 - - 941 - - 2424 Hgt.Variab. W* 128 - - 301 - - 345 - - 264 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 22 - - 22 - - 21 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 327 - - 325 - - 323 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear 20 - - 18 - - 19 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -580 - - -593 - - -879 - - -751 - - -2453 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3710 - - 4215 - - 4824 - - 4660 - - 3741 sfcLCL ODpotential -12360 - - -12976 - - -13623 - - -13734 - - -16120 ODpotential blCL 15490 - - 16598 - - 17568 - - 17642 - - 17408 blCL maxRH 68 - - 59 - - 52 - - 57 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 6.7 - - 10.7 - - 17.6 - - 19.0 - - 15.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -4.7 - - -3.0 - - 1.3 - - 3.5 - - 4.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 6.7 - - 9.9 - - 16.5 - - 18.5 - - 15.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -5.9 - - -4.8 - - -1.6 - - 1.6 - - 3.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 185 - - 241 - - 108 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1693 - - 2185 - - 2508 - - 2471 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95505 48 242 40 245 54 233 66 240 63 253 95505 88218 54 256 44 250 43 239 52 240 50 259 88218 82750 41 251 40 235 37 244 50 254 50 263 82750 78299 30 252 41 246 40 245 42 251 36 260 78299 74490 35 264 32 241 32 235 28 231 19 247 74490 71073 24 242 17 203 17 210 26 265 26 285 71073 67957 19 247 23 267 37 277 47 272 44 283 67957 65104 45 270 57 267 51 264 47 267 47 275 65104 62447 65 269 62 259 44 253 44 259 45 270 62447 59832 62 259 52 250 38 254 40 258 39 268 59832 57049 50 239 41 246 36 263 39 267 36 273 57049 54102 41 231 32 253 39 272 46 279 50 277 54102 51251 33 262 34 267 50 279 60 282 61 277 51251 48675 40 269 46 272 65 281 76 276 77 280 48675 46370 49 272 60 274 77 278 88 273 90 277 46370 44287 59 274 69 277 80 277 87 274 95 275 44287 42393 68 277 75 280 82 282 87 281 96 281 42393 40670 78 280 81 284 90 287 95 286 100 288 40670 39095 84 281 88 287 99 289 102 288 112 297 39095 37632 87 281 95 291 104 291 109 293 135 300 37632 36258 88 281 102 293 114 295 121 298 152 298 36258 34933 89 285 109 295 127 297 139 299 154 296 34933 33597 91 290 119 296 133 296 150 297 147 296 33597 32224 94 292 128 296 133 296 146 295 141 295 32224 30812 94 294 131 295 129 295 138 297 134 294 30812 29338 96 297 132 295 122 294 122 296 128 297 29338 27792 100 299 132 298 119 294 109 292 127 301 27792 26178 100 300 126 299 120 295 104 294 113 299 26178 24496 97 299 116 299 119 296 105 297 96 296 24496 22743 93 297 106 298 112 296 106 299 91 299 22743 20917 86 297 98 299 99 296 103 299 92 301 20917 19010 79 299 89 300 88 298 92 299 89 302 19010 17028 73 300 81 301 79 300 78 300 76 302 17028 15022 68 301 74 304 70 302 68 302 61 302 15022 13105 64 304 69 307 62 304 61 305 51 305 13105 11371 61 308 65 312 56 308 54 309 46 309 11371 9836 59 311 61 316 52 313 47 315 42 313 9836 8478 56 314 58 321 48 320 41 322 36 319 8478 7277 54 316 55 326 46 326 37 329 31 327 7277 6218 51 317 53 327 44 329 35 331 28 333 6218 5289 48 317 49 326 41 327 31 328 25 334 5289 4478 43 317 44 324 37*325 29*325 23 330 4478 3769 37*317 38*324 31*323 24*321 22 318 3769 3139 31*317 30*325 25 324 19 322 20 306 3139 2584 25 318 25 326 21 325 17 323 17 304 2584 2121 21 318 21 327 19 325 16 325 15 307 2121 1766 18 318 19 328 18 326 15 325 14 312 1766 1521 16 319 17 328 16 326 14 326 12 315 1521 1372 14 319 16 328 15 327 13 327 10*316 1372 1287 11 319 13 329 13 327 11 327 7*317 1287 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography