DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 81.6 - - 83.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 90 - - 4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2459 - - 4377 - - 5424 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2540 - - 3915 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 3896 - - 5814 - - 6861 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2510 - - 1806 - - 1926 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 273 - - 332 - - 221 - - - W* B/S - - - 19 - - 49 - - 31 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 344 - - 267 - - 273 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -7 - - -6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1016 - - -2656 - - -2138 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4913 - - 8470 - - 9000 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7018 - - -9788 - - -8577 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 10914 - - 15602 - - 15438 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 51 - - 78 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 81.6 - - 83.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.6 - - 49.0 - - 48.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 81.0 - - 83.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 47.7 - - 47.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 90 - - 4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2459 - - 4377 - - 5424 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99495 45 089 39 074 43 078 99495 92043 40 079 35 077 33 074 92043 86288 32 073 35 083 29 074 86288 81492 28 075 32 088 25 081 81492 77350 28 083 28 081 25 085 77350 73690 25 075 22 070 25 083 73690 70384 20 070 17 081 20 077 70384 67354 16 073 14 089 16 078 67354 64553 16 076 12 083 12 066 64553 61853 14 082 7 070 8 021 61853 59048 15 039 10 057 7 352 59048 56144 17 339 15 356 14 339 56144 53374 21 334 14 338 16 324 53374 50883 30 337 22 348 19 328 50883 48650 37 344 39 349 37 347 48650 46631 49 343 53 337 53 340 46631 44805 59 344 68 343 65 351 44805 43125 78 349 78 348 77 352 43125 41548 76 345 83 351 78 347 41548 40056 68 347 80 355 74 350 40056 38643 66 355 62 348 71 354 38643 37274 70 357 55 337 63 355 37274 35886 71 359 46 343 51 344 35886 34447 66 356 45 342 45 333 34447 32959 63 354 43 338 36 337 32959 31404 55 346 43 345 34 333 31404 29768 50 330 42 343 32 332 29768 28055 49 330 41 336 32 331 28055 26266 41 335 40 332 33 334 26266 24403 28 341 36 338 30 342 24403 22471 23 343 26 344 22 348 22471 20468 21 338 18 344 13 342 20468 18389 18 325 15 329 10 329 18389 16275 15 316 14 307 13 303 16275 14241 14 324 12 300 14 293 14241 12390 13 338 11 307 9 295 12390 10746 14 349 9 318 7 316 10746 9291 13 352 6 341 5 295 9291 8002 12 344 3 322 3*252 8002 6855 9 325 3*249 3*241 6855 5836 8 298 2*244 3 241 5836 4935 6 282 2 242 2 246 4935 4136 4*287 2 250 1 265 4136 3419 3*335 1 266 1 293 3419 2784 3 346 1 288 1 326 2784 2253 3 346 1 305 1 339 2253 1844 3 345 1 320 2 347 1844 1563 3 343 1 323 2 348 1563 1392 2 343 1 326 2 350 1392 1294 2 341 1 328 2 347 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography