DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/30 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.9 - - 87.3 - - 84.6 - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 80 - - -7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2334 - - 4762 - - 3097 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2412 - - 4146 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3771 - - 6199 - - 4534 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2765 - - 2825 - - 3210 - - 4585 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 263 - - 334 - - 172 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 204 - - 215 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -434 - - 774 - - 721 - - -1081 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4206 - - 5425 - - 3813 - - 2377 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2363 - - -1018 - - -1163 - - -3137 ODpotential blCL - - - 6134 - - 7217 - - 5697 - - 4433 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 93 - - 98 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 1190 - - 1510 - - 2680 - - 2840 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.9 - - 87.3 - - 84.6 - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.6 - - 67.7 - - 71.8 - - 73.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.2 - - 86.7 - - 84.9 - - 82.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 66.4 - - 70.5 - - 72.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 80 - - -7 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2334 - - 4762 - - 3097 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 73 - - 92 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99066 45 084 37 098 29 073 31 076 99066 91532 35 080 32 082 27 089 26 073 91532 85737 25 083 29 068 26 089 23 087 85737 80947 18 080 21 074 24 086 22 084 80947 76820 16 075 17 083 18 105 17 056 76820 73178 12 070 16 086 17 113 9 059 73178 69902 10 072 9 083 13 073 10 092 69902 66911 11 059 6 091 10 037 11 098 66911 64155 6 074 5 120 6 019 6 111 64155 61510 7 104 2 154 6 354 3 109 61510 58769 3 111 2 273 5 353 3 059 58769 55927 2 192 4 263 6 302 5 348 55927 53217 2 148 6 199 11 247 10 288 53217 50792 6 004 4 213 11 224 12 262 50792 48632 12 337 3 348 6 216 9 262 48632 46682 13 326 18 350 7 006 2 224 46682 44898 9 322 21 345 11 355 7 106 44898 43241 10 342 21 341 12 334 2 089 43241 41683 16 331 19 340 16 319 11 310 41683 40208 19 321 17 344 11 328 10 318 40208 38809 18 320 13 345 7 304 10 335 38809 37450 19 325 9 333 10 286 12 329 37450 36065 17 318 9 311 13 296 15 319 36065 34624 17 293 13 294 15 291 16 312 34624 33131 15 278 15 275 14 271 16 307 33131 31572 13 264 15 259 16 260 15 301 31572 29933 12 251 15 246 16 256 15 288 29933 28218 13 243 16 237 17 257 15 284 28218 26427 14 226 18 240 20 254 14 264 26427 24565 17 223 19 249 21 252 14 259 24565 22632 19 223 20 252 19 246 13 267 22632 20623 19 223 20 248 16 251 11 258 20623 18535 18 224 18 247 15 249 12 244 18535 16409 17 225 17 240 15 237 16 243 16409 14360 17 226 18 231 14 241 15 247 14360 12503 15 221 17 225 15 240 14 256 12503 10856 13 218 17 221 17 229 15 243 10856 9391 11 221 16 217 19 224 19 234 9391 8084 10 220 14 211 18 222 21 231 8084 6921 9 217 12*203 17 219 21 224 6921 5889 10 217 12*201 16 216 23 215 5889 4977 10 219 11 201 16*216 23 210 4977 4170 10*219 11 203 15*216 22 206 4170 3445 9*219 11 203 15 215 20 205 3445 2802 9 220 11 204 14 215 18 206 2802 2265 8 221 10 205 13 215 15 205 2265 1851 8 222 10 207 12 215 12 206 1851 1567 7 224 9 207 11 214 9 205 1567 1394 7 223 9 208 10 214 6*204 1394 1295 6 225 7 208 8 213 3*201 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography