DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 54.8 - - 53.6 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 168 - - -20 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2971 - - 4143 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2870 - - 3947 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4408 - - 5580 - - 1293 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1375 - - 1144 - - 5334 - - 2049 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 286 - - 364 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 296 - - 302 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 14 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2526 - - -2612 - - -7321 - - -5234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6935 - - 8193 - - 8614 - - 6527 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10716 - - -9907 - - -14031 - - -14277 ODpotential blCL - - - 15124 - - 15487 - - 15324 - - 15570 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 63 - - 34 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 54.8 - - 53.6 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.5 - - 23.4 - - 20.5 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 54.0 - - 54.3 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 22.2 - - 19.3 - - 19.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 168 - - -20 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2971 - - 4143 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96069 66 248 68 247 79 253 73 248 96069 88998 53 260 49 252 48 245 57 253 88998 83487 54 260 54 263 47 262 56 260 83487 78923 45 250 48 255 52 266 41 262 78923 75022 28 272 24 244 34 253 23 251 75022 71541 30 307 18 286 12 267 19 290 71541 68344 38 305 37 298 32 302 35 296 68344 65414 41 287 44 284 41 285 42 288 65414 62721 35 265 41 263 38 262 39 295 62721 60102 32 277 30 264 32 256 40 296 60102 57342 35 287 29 283 33 277 40 290 57342 54453 43 293 44 289 44 294 45 291 54453 51679 56 289 60 287 61 292 59 291 51679 49175 66 285 72 283 70 286 68 289 49175 46923 73 284 78 281 72 285 73 287 46923 44880 79 283 80 280 74 285 78 285 44880 43018 83 283 84 281 80 286 83 286 43018 41310 82 281 88 281 86 287 88 289 41310 39733 76 278 88 281 90 285 92 292 39733 38267 71 277 88 283 88 283 93 293 38267 36899 68 279 91 284 86 283 89 290 36899 35589 67 283 95 283 87 283 83 289 35589 34268 68 286 95 281 86 283 79 289 34268 32904 71 286 88 280 84 283 76 291 32904 31494 74 284 80 279 81 283 76 290 31494 30021 75 282 76 279 74 284 73 286 30021 28474 76 281 74 280 69 287 67 286 28474 26854 77 281 74 280 68 289 64 290 26854 25159 78 282 75 281 68 289 64 292 25159 23388 78 284 73 284 66 288 63 292 23388 21545 76 285 68 290 61 287 60 293 21545 19623 72 285 65 294 55 289 55 293 19623 17621 66 287 64 294 51 293 51 293 17621 15586 60 291 64 293 49 295 48 294 15586 13629 57 294 62 294 49 296 46 297 13629 11850 54 295 59 299 49 299 46 300 11850 10269 52 297 55 305 48 305 45 305 10269 8866 51 302 51 308 47 310 43 308 8866 7622 49 306 46 309 43 311 41 311 7622 6523 45 306 37*307 36 310 38 313 6523 5555 38 303 25*299 27 306 34 312 5555 4704 27*298 22 296 22 303 30 307 4704 3953 21*295 21 296 21 303 25 302 3953 3281 19 294 21 295 21 303 21 298 3281 2685 16 292 20 295 20 303 18 294 2685 2188 14 291 19 295 19 303 16 289 2188 1805 13 290 19 295 17 303 14 282 1805 1542 12 290 18 295 16 302 11 273 1542 1383 11 289 16 295 13*302 8*263 1383 1292 9 289 12 295 9*302 4*243 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography