DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.4 - - 60.2 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -24 - - -15 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1294 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3110 - - 1896 - - 1462 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 22 - - 14 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 107 - - 057 - - 077 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3000 - - -1526 - - -676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4294 - - 2820 - - 1970 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7996 - - -4953 - - -4296 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9290 - - 6247 - - 5590 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.4 - - 60.2 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.4 - - 52.6 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 64.6 - - 61.6 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.2 - - 51.3 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -24 - - -15 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97894 50 246 55 247 49 258 97894 90644 40 248 44 259 38 255 90644 85005 31 240 35 254 32 263 85005 80280 25 243 29 243 28 266 80280 76208 21 261 23 259 24 274 76208 72644 15 255 16 270 19 277 72644 69452 13 247 13 274 13 266 69452 66524 17 264 18 275 13 267 66524 63804 22 259 26 273 19 284 63804 61179 26 257 33 265 27 285 61179 58464 29 252 35 249 30 272 58464 55677 32 252 34 251 37 266 55677 53041 45 256 44 255 48 251 53041 50679 50 250 52 248 55 235 50679 48554 55 251 58 242 52 234 48554 46609 66 244 61 239 54 237 46609 44813 74 234 67 234 67 234 44813 43139 80 228 73 227 81 229 43139 41570 78 226 71 224 85 224 41570 40089 74 226 69 223 80 222 40089 38687 72 227 71 223 76 222 38687 37326 69 229 71 224 73 223 37326 35940 66 231 70 226 69 224 35940 34500 61 232 69 227 63 224 34500 33009 54 234 67 229 58 222 33009 31453 51 233 64 230 55 219 31453 29816 52 230 58 231 52 218 29816 28103 54 228 49 228 50 219 28103 26311 52 225 45 224 46 220 26311 24444 44 216 42 228 42 221 24444 22506 39 204 37 230 33 228 22506 20487 38 202 35 227 33 217 20487 18380 37 206 35 227 39 209 18380 16230 29 216 37 229 31 194 16230 14170 11 213 40 229 24 162 14170 12300 17 119 29 212 30 156 12300 10635 23 102 25 141 34 167 10635 9159 23 104 29 114 24 149 9159 7859 22 110 28 107 26 124 7859 6716 26 111 26 104 31 121 6716 5709 30 110 26 104 34 122 5709 4821 29 110 26 102 35 120 4821 4038 27 109 25 097 32 113 4038 3340 22 105 23 089 30 102 3340 2725 17 102 21 080 29 091 2725 2213 16 103 17 070 25 084 2213 1820 14 104 13 063 19 080 1820 1550 12 106 11 060 13 078 1550 1387 10*106 8*058 10*077 1387 1293 6*107 4*057 4*077 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography