DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.3 - - 79.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 2 - - 19 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 81 - - 3134 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1518 - - 4571 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1917 - - 3338 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 28 - - 203 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 275 - - 161 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -5 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5 - - 603 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1523 - - 3968 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1131 - - -891 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2649 - - 5462 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 84 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 400 - - 1440 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.3 - - 79.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.7 - - 66.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.4 - - 79.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.3 - - 64.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 2 - - 19 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 81 - - 3134 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 36 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99173 24 105 9 056 99173 91751 18 087 12 073 91751 86025 17 070 16 085 86025 81254 19 073 19 094 81254 77125 15 067 16 080 77125 73462 11 088 12 087 73462 70141 12 099 8 101 70141 67094 5 157 8 136 67094 64268 13 180 6 151 64268 61532 13 177 11 207 61532 58694 10 196 10 222 58694 55768 24 244 16 239 55768 52989 36 235 26 234 52989 50492 43 230 35 243 50492 48250 53 217 55 229 48250 46228 61 205 71 213 46228 44394 59 206 79 202 44394 42704 61 216 75 201 42704 41128 68 220 74 209 41128 39650 70 218 82 210 39650 38252 70 217 84 209 38252 36896 69 217 79 211 36896 35518 68 218 74 212 35518 34088 64 218 70 214 34088 32609 59 218 65 214 32609 31066 56 217 61 215 31066 29450 56 214 57 218 29450 27764 52 216 50 223 27764 26004 43 223 42 228 26004 24175 37 220 35 223 24175 22280 37 218 30 229 22280 20316 29 222 25 238 20316 18273 21 224 19 241 18273 16190 18 231 14 244 16190 14180 15 237 16 254 14180 12356 11 246 15 266 12356 10736 8 252 11 275 10736 9289 4 253 7 260 9289 8000 4 240 7 246 8000 6853 5 224 7 238 6853 5834 6 209 7 204 5834 4932 8 200 8*174 4932 4135 7 198 8*167 4135 3418 6 197 8 163 3418 2784 5 195 8 160 2784 2253 3 197 8 159 2253 1845 2 216 7 158 1845 1563 2*257 7 157 1563 1392 2*270 7 157 1392 1294 1 279 5 157 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography