DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 77.3 - - 80.3 - - 78.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - -1 - - 9 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 839 - - 1295 - - 1826 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2276 - - 2732 - - 3263 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1773 - - 2322 - - 2851 - - 4782 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 95 - - 151 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 059 - - 179 - - 186 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -5 - - 6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 527 - - 471 - - 390 - - -977 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1749 - - 2261 - - 2873 - - 2272 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -37 - - -654 - - -858 - - -2665 ODpotential blCL - - - 2313 - - 3386 - - 4121 - - 3960 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 420 - - 1230 - - 1540 - - 1630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 77.3 - - 80.3 - - 78.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.9 - - 71.4 - - 71.7 - - 72.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.5 - - 77.5 - - 80.3 - - 79.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.5 - - 70.5 - - 70.4 - - 71.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - -1 - - 9 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 839 - - 1295 - - 1826 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 77 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99415 38 087 39 087 35 092 31 086 99415 91943 38 085 33 084 34 083 30 087 91943 86193 30 076 32 085 28 084 26 074 86193 81409 23 071 28 086 25 081 22 070 81409 77275 24 085 24 093 18 070 23 068 77275 73621 26 092 21 099 13 080 22 067 73621 70315 22 091 17 088 14 092 21 072 70315 67289 17 081 16 081 19 096 21 091 67289 64509 16 101 15 092 18 094 19 097 64509 61837 16 102 17 099 13 111 10 095 61837 59057 13 107 15 109 14 125 8 132 59057 56179 10 114 14 123 11 146 13 147 56179 53453 11 182 11 160 8 183 12 170 53453 51031 18 194 18 178 11 213 9 196 51031 48875 21 189 22 175 17 210 19 200 48875 46909 18 186 26 174 22 182 26 173 46909 45097 23 189 25 174 25 172 30 170 45097 43412 29 183 27 180 27 171 27 180 43412 41834 33 176 31 174 28 172 27 190 41834 40347 33 177 33 170 31 177 28 192 40347 38939 33 181 33 168 33 179 30 190 38939 37575 33 187 33 165 31 175 30 189 37575 36186 31 190 32 163 30 171 26 191 36186 34742 30 186 28 171 31 172 25 194 34742 33243 28 183 28 176 30 173 25 184 33243 31675 28 183 30 177 30 176 30 185 31675 30029 28 187 34 183 32 185 37 192 30029 28305 29 186 39 186 35 192 36 195 28305 26501 32 185 37 185 35 191 29 196 26501 24622 32 190 31 185 31 196 26 196 24622 22675 27 191 23 190 25 205 24 193 22675 20657 19 187 23 202 22 206 23 197 20657 18562 16 183 24 204 22 206 22 201 18562 16430 15 179 23 206 21 206 21 204 16430 14376 14 187 18 207 19 205 20 203 14376 12509 11 190 13 213 15 215 13 198 12509 10852 8 195 10 222 11 241 8 219 10852 9380 5 192 8 225 9 243 7 238 9380 8070 4 182 8 228 9 226 8 229 8070 6907 4 179 8 233 9 219 10 223 6907 5876 5 178 8 229 9 213 12 218 5876 4966 3 163 8 223 9 206 13 207 4966 4159 1 116 8 215 8 199 14 199 4159 3436 1 031 8 199 7*193 14 194 3436 2796 1*046 7*186 7*190 14 190 2796 2260 1*047 7*181 6 187 13 186 2260 1849 1 059 7 180 5 184 12 181 1849 1565 1 063 6 178 5 183 10 177 1565 1393 0 079 6 176 5 182 7*172 1393 1294 0 081 4 176 4 183 4*167 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography