DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.4 - - 73.4 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 70 - - 1 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2558 - - 2600 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2377 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3995 - - 4037 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1151 - - 1690 - - 3545 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 250 - - 137 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 069 - - 099 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -788 - - -701 - - -1713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4783 - - 4738 - - 3008 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3877 - - -3466 - - -3722 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7872 - - 7503 - - 5017 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 100 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.4 - - 73.4 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.0 - - 57.2 - - 61.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.9 - - 73.9 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.7 - - 55.9 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 70 - - 1 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2558 - - 2600 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 86 - - 101 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99447 35 093 28 080 30 067 99447 91895 34 087 30 072 30 073 91895 86102 34 081 29 078 27 072 86102 81314 28 072 29 080 24 073 81314 77198 21 071 27 071 25 082 77198 73559 17 078 22 075 22 071 73559 70272 13 079 16 074 14 068 70272 67255 5 073 11 047 13 040 67255 64456 3 096 2 083 4 352 64456 61748 10 317 7 338 14 342 61748 58935 8 235 16 280 22 277 58935 56037 21 302 26 293 29 298 56037 53309 39 292 43 294 39 296 53309 50890 57 283 54 290 46 295 50890 48725 64 277 57 287 50 292 48725 46743 67 275 60 285 51 287 46743 44908 69 274 61 282 54 288 44908 43200 69 272 63 279 57 289 43200 41598 69 274 62 277 60 291 41598 40092 68 278 61 278 64 292 40092 38672 67 279 61 278 65 289 38672 37300 66 273 62 276 64 286 37300 35910 65 265 63 270 66 288 35910 34470 66 263 65 268 67 287 34470 32981 65 263 65 269 64 283 32981 31424 64 262 61 267 64 281 31424 29788 63 261 63 264 61 280 29788 28074 61 260 65 265 56 277 28074 26282 58 259 61 266 55 272 26282 24413 56 258 52 264 52 272 24413 22473 53 257 47 261 47 268 22473 20459 48 257 43 258 42 264 20459 18375 39 258 39 259 30 268 18375 16258 30 261 30 262 17 272 16258 14218 21 266 17 263 11 262 14218 12359 16 275 10 252 10 253 12359 10708 12 276 11 247 10 247 10708 9246 10 255 14 250 8 268 9246 7951 9 238 12 253 5 307 7951 6804 7 224 6 246 4 358 6804 5789 6 189 0 005 6 037 5789 4893 6 110 5 079 6 052 4893 4100 6*085 6*088 6 070 4100 3390 5*080 5*093 6 098 3390 2762 4 076 5 096 7 118 2762 2239 4 067 5 099 8 124 2239 1836 3 060 5 102 8 126 1836 1559 3 056 4 103 7 127 1559 1390 3 052 4 102 6*127 1390 1294 2 049 3 103 4*127 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography