DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.9 - - 59.1 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 76 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1489 - - 2556 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1856 - - 2194 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2926 - - 3993 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1992 - - 4162 - - 3650 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 235 - - 237 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 022 - - 024 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 29 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3188 - - -2832 - - -3921 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6114 - - 6825 - - 5214 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5923 - - -3668 - - -10114 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8849 - - 7661 - - 11407 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 91 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.9 - - 59.1 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 31.8 - - 33.9 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.0 - - 58.5 - - 47.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 31.6 - - 33.5 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 76 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1489 - - 2556 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 66 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96569 9 135 14 177 15 202 96569 89411 9 168 13 206 9 180 89411 83846 20 202 24 207 16 233 83846 79199 20 208 20 209 13 197 79199 75138 19 204 20 209 12 225 75138 71519 16 223 22 245 27 250 71519 68275 24 225 22 232 20 248 68275 65296 27 249 20 246 17 227 65296 62498 28 231 25 235 19 256 62498 59775 24 245 31 259 37 269 59775 56968 38 264 42 275 52 271 56968 54092 53 259 49 267 52 262 54092 51358 51 245 46 250 48 252 51358 48887 44 252 43 240 44 254 48887 46663 47 263 41 251 49 263 46663 44649 54 270 50 265 55 260 44649 42814 64 268 61 268 57 256 42814 41128 66 263 70 266 56 262 41128 39572 62 259 77 261 61 270 39572 38133 57 265 77 262 67 268 38133 36802 61 275 78 267 67 262 36802 35526 69 283 79 268 67 260 35526 34228 73 284 77 267 69 261 34228 32876 73 284 75 268 72 265 32876 31471 72 285 74 270 74 267 31471 29999 69 284 77 274 73 269 29999 28448 64 279 81 278 71 272 28448 26819 60 275 83 281 69 273 26819 25117 58 271 74 280 69 275 25117 23343 59 269 64 272 67 275 23343 21503 60 268 60 267 61 274 21503 19590 59 267 59 269 57 273 19590 17596 56 266 56 270 54 272 17596 15563 54 267 51 270 51 270 15563 13605 54 267 46 266 50 268 13605 11824 54 267 45 264 48 269 11824 10244 53 268 41 263 44 267 10244 8845 49 266 33 262 39 256 8845 7605 42 264 22 265 31 250 7605 6507 31 267 16 275 20 253 6507 5539 22 273 14 283 9 279 5539 4688 17 281 10 300 7 004 4688 3940 11 294 6*329 13 025 3940 3270 7*324 6*004 17 034 3270 2678 7*012 6 019 18 039 2678 2183 8 023 6 027 17 043 2183 1803 8 024 6 030 16 045 1803 1542 8 025 6 031 14 047 1542 1383 8 026 6 032 11*047 1383 1292 7 027 5 031 7*046 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography