DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.4 - - 69.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 227 - - 116 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6520 - - 5295 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5947 - - 4610 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7957 - - 6732 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1479 - - 2827 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 476 - - 358 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 12 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 234 - - 219 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 7 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -11 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 231 - - -1570 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7726 - - 8302 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1013 - - -7756 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8970 - - 14488 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 71 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.4 - - 69.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 38.0 - - 37.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.1 - - 68.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 36.7 - - 36.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 227 - - 116 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6520 - - 5295 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 15 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98001 2 357 6 001 98001 90608 3 258 4 323 90608 84926 3 339 4 284 84926 80204 8 302 3 114 80204 76093 9 245 3 273 76093 72440 5 233 12 279 72440 69145 4 285 9 242 69145 66117 10 304 8 295 66117 63315 16 276 10 283 63315 60613 17 279 15 280 60613 57776 30 291 24 286 57776 54844 47 276 42 279 54844 52076 52 272 44 280 52076 49579 52 275 57 283 49579 47331 56 272 70 274 47331 45289 59 280 72 269 45289 43432 73 280 72 271 43432 41751 83 268 73 269 41751 40212 82 261 66 271 40212 38776 79 267 64 273 38776 37424 79 275 56 285 37424 36121 80 280 57 300 36121 34800 78 283 60 306 34800 33429 74 286 60 305 33429 32009 72 289 59 303 32009 30524 69 294 58 299 30524 28960 67 299 57 296 28960 27318 67 300 55 295 27318 25597 63 302 50 300 25597 23798 56 304 48 304 23798 21923 53 302 44 298 21923 19971 48 306 41 291 19971 17937 41 313 39 293 17937 15863 34 306 39 299 15863 13864 28 296 35 298 13864 12054 25 292 28 296 12054 10457 22 293 20 292 10457 9050 16*286 14 284 9050 7799 12*268 12*272 7799 6685 11 257 11*245 6685 5695 10 246 11 238 5695 4821 10 228 12 223 4821 4046 10 223 14 214 4046 3351 11 220 14 212 3351 2735 10 218 14 210 2735 2221 10 216 14 209 2221 1826 10 214 14 209 1826 1553 10 214 13 208 1553 1388 9 214 12 207 1388 1293 8 213 10 207 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography