DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 56.3 - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 195 - - 11 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3484 - - 3646 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3532 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4921 - - 5083 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1049 - - 1553 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 360 - - 149 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 330 - - 334 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4150 - - -4768 - - -6477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9071 - - 9851 - - 7771 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -15180 - - -15625 - - -18851 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 20101 - - 20708 - - 20144 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 61 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 56.3 - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 20.1 - - 17.9 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.0 - - 56.3 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 19.0 - - 16.8 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 195 - - 11 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3484 - - 3646 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96520 9 299 17 301 8 278 96520 89330 13 272 14 233 15 263 89330 83759 20 223 20 258 19 279 83759 79147 14 259 23 255 18 277 79147 75167 19 260 23 265 22 293 75167 71643 21 242 27 269 26 290 71643 68455 21 285 22 290 29 280 68455 65522 33 287 26 277 30 273 65522 62796 39 281 34 274 41 282 62796 60168 44 281 46 276 49 280 60168 57437 53 279 54 282 57 278 57437 54597 62 280 65 279 64 273 54597 51880 67 276 68 274 67 271 51880 49433 67 276 72 274 73 269 49433 47246 71 278 78 272 77 266 47246 45272 78 279 80 271 74 264 45272 43473 87 278 82 270 72 266 43473 41824 91 275 81 268 70 266 41824 40300 83 277 70 269 64 263 40300 38874 75 278 61 274 52 259 38874 37528 71 285 62 277 44 265 37528 36222 72 289 63 279 44 266 36222 34889 72 285 62 276 45 264 34889 33500 72 281 61 272 48 258 33500 32060 70 281 60 271 52 260 32060 30555 68 280 61 275 55 261 30555 28972 69 281 59 279 54 264 28972 27312 66 287 53 282 51 269 27312 25571 59 286 46 281 48 275 25571 23752 57 275 44 273 47 277 23752 21858 58 271 48 271 47 277 21858 19893 57 275 49 269 46 277 19893 17853 56 278 49 270 42 270 17853 15779 51 279 46 274 39 262 15779 13783 47 287 41 279 33 263 13783 11969 43 297 35 287 26 264 11969 10357 36 300 31 293 23 270 10357 8927 31 298 29 295 21 281 8927 7664 28 303 23 298 19 280 7664 6557 25 312 14 296 13 259 6557 5587 17*318 8*300 8 253 5587 4732 13*325 7*306 5 258 4732 3975 13 327 5 322 2 245 3975 3297 12 330 5 334 1 092 3297 2696 12 331 5 344 3 087 2696 2195 11 333 4 349 4 087 2195 1810 11 333 4 352 5 088 1810 1545 10 334 4 355 5 089 1545 1384 9 334 4 355 5*095 1384 1292 8 335 3 358 4*100 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography