DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.7 - - 43.3 - - 37.2 - - 36.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 303 - - 95 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1239 - - 2657 - - 750 - - 560 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1766 - - 3080 - - 1274 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2676 - - 4094 - - 2187 - - 1997 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 854 - - 796 - - 1169 - - 1253 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 376 - - 169 - - 72 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 093 - - 151 - - 123 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3837 - - -3159 - - -30 - - 173 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6514 - - 7253 - - 2217 - - 1824 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14664 - - -11227 - - -237 - - -197 ODpotential blCL - - - 17340 - - 15321 - - 2424 - - 2194 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.7 - - 43.3 - - 37.2 - - 36.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.3 - - 16.4 - - 32.6 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 41.6 - - 36.4 - - 36.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.0 - - 16.3 - - 32.3 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 303 - - 95 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1239 - - 2657 - - 750 - - 560 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96403 11 151 14 172 20 217 14 236 96403 89236 8 200 11 176 17 201 14 203 89236 83672 14 209 24 212 22 227 13 209 83672 79021 19 203 27 201 27 224 23 229 79021 75002 13 231 16 216 20 221 23 224 75002 71438 24 253 23 261 18 249 18 243 71438 68220 23 258 26 249 25 252 25 255 68220 65266 22 246 25 260 27 248 24 262 65266 62522 28 272 33 276 37 273 40 280 62522 59878 41 275 42 271 36 264 44 279 59878 57126 42 271 39 270 44 280 52 279 57126 54271 46 284 56 281 61 278 56 272 54271 51537 61 280 64 272 61 268 55 273 51537 49063 63 273 59 269 55 270 60 281 49063 46843 58 271 59 282 58 281 68 288 46843 44834 57 280 69 290 67 290 73 292 44834 43004 68 287 76 289 79 294 78 293 43004 41333 74 283 79 286 87 291 85 289 41333 39803 68 274 78 282 89 287 88 286 39803 38384 61 271 72 278 84 289 89 286 38384 37052 57 271 66 277 84 289 89 288 37052 35761 59 272 65 276 83 284 87 288 35761 34446 60 267 64 273 81 282 85 288 34446 33076 65 256 63 273 78 282 83 289 33076 31655 64 252 58 274 76 281 79 288 31655 30169 62 251 54 271 73 278 71 286 30169 28609 59 252 56 265 68 273 64 278 28609 26976 55 253 57 263 64 271 63 275 26976 25269 51 258 56 268 58 271 59 273 25269 23488 49 265 52 272 51 271 54 274 23488 21635 48 272 42 267 46 272 50 270 21635 19703 52 278 33 262 40 270 44 260 19703 17688 54 271 34 261 33 260 35 256 17688 15632 51 255 37 262 30 254 31 264 15632 13653 49 246 41 259 28 255 32 270 13653 11856 46 240 43 249 29 258 31 267 11856 10260 40 236 41 241 31 257 29 265 10260 8843 28 235 36 243 32 253 29 266 8843 7587 13 235 32 241 31 240 32 261 7587 6474 10 250 25 226 27 217 31 251 6474 5495 11 228 14 210 23 195 25 227 5495 4641 7 198 9*188 16 189 20 196 4641 3894 6 144 9*163 10 175 16 168 3894 3231 7*114 10 154 8 145 15 149 3231 2648 7*096 10 150 7*128 13 137 2648 2163 7 094 10 147 7*124 12*132 2163 1791 7 093 10 146 7 123 9*129 1791 1535 7 092 9 146 6 122 8 129 1535 1380 6 093 9 145 6 122 7 129 1380 1291 5 092 8 146 5 122 5 131 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography