DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 53.6 - - 52.1 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 465 - - 247 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6292 - - 8757 - - 7633 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5943 - - 8068 - - 6822 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7729 - - 10194 - - 9070 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1584 - - 1110 - - 1589 - - 6759 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 527 - - 650 - - 503 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 17 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 302 - - 312 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 13 - - 18 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 21 - - 782 - - 265 - - -6360 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7708 - - 9412 - - 8806 - - 7653 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1767 - - -120 - - -325 - - -12590 ODpotential blCL - - - 9496 - - 10314 - - 9395 - - 13883 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 76 - - 76 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 53.6 - - 52.1 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.3 - - 16.4 - - 17.8 - - 16.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 51.6 - - 50.9 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.3 - - 15.4 - - 17.0 - - 16.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 344 - - 465 - - 247 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6292 - - 8757 - - 7633 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97445 22 220 25 230 28 257 25 268 97445 90037 19 232 29 236 30 248 36 265 90037 84450 20 275 20 243 24 271 26 257 84450 79827 20 280 11 269 12 260 12 266 79827 75777 13 271 8 246 11 245 9 274 75777 72144 5 191 7 180 17 224 14 255 72144 68845 4 256 3 214 10 219 20 242 68845 65820 12 238 15 211 16 235 20 224 65820 63004 15 254 19 230 17 236 17 249 63004 60271 35 263 31 258 25 270 27 288 60271 57432 37 259 43 273 42 271 33 272 57432 54484 47 266 47 265 38 265 33 276 54484 51652 52 257 41 266 47 285 45 289 51652 49101 49 254 46 276 56 277 58 282 49101 46806 50 262 59 276 56 265 53 277 46806 44716 57 266 63 269 42 267 48 284 44716 42801 61 268 54 262 41 278 52 292 42801 41039 63 269 44 264 53 288 57 297 41039 39409 62 267 46 276 62 289 59 298 39409 37896 59 266 54 281 66 288 58 303 37896 36484 59 268 61 282 65 288 62 309 36484 35133 65 271 69 280 65 294 77 314 35133 33787 78 272 73 276 68 300 89 315 33787 32415 88 267 72 273 74 301 90 316 32415 31009 90 260 71 272 75 301 87 318 31009 29552 86 255 72 274 76 305 83 317 29552 28029 79 253 75 277 81 311 78 317 28029 26438 72 256 80 279 85 314 74 319 26438 24775 70 266 83 280 87 313 73 319 24775 23039 71 273 85 281 86 313 71 317 23039 21233 73 277 84 281 84 312 67 316 21233 19349 72 279 78 279 82 309 63 315 19349 17381 69 280 72 275 76 308 59 314 17381 15369 68 281 69 276 64 305 56 314 15369 13430 62 281 58 280 52 297 51 315 13430 11672 55 280 39*282 42 291 45 313 11672 10119 46 279 20*287 24*289 36 305 10119 8752 32*279 18 293 17*296 24 289 8752 7544 21*281 17 296 17 299 15 283 7544 6470 19 283 17 299 17 303 14 294 6470 5518 19 285 17 303 17 311 14 307 5518 4677 18 287 17 306 17 315 14 320 4677 3932 18 289 17 308 17 319 15 328 3932 3265 18 290 17 310 17 321 15 333 3265 2674 17 292 17 312 17 323 16 337 2674 2181 17 292 16 313 17 325 15 340 2181 1801 16 293 16 314 17 325 15 342 1801 1541 16 294 15 314 16 326 13 343 1541 1382 15 294 14 314 15 327 11*343 1382 1292 12 294 12 315 12 327 7*344 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography