DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.5 - - 79.8 - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 93 - - 13 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2888 - - 1619 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2836 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4325 - - 3056 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2352 - - 3072 - - 3075 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 287 - - 149 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 15 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 113 - - 114 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 648 - - 253 - - -191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3677 - - 2803 - - 1486 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -726 - - -1100 - - -1106 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5051 - - 4156 - - 2401 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1200 - - 1690 - - 2140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.5 - - 79.8 - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.4 - - 71.5 - - 73.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.8 - - 79.8 - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.1 - - 70.3 - - 72.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 93 - - 13 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2888 - - 1619 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 43 - - 97 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99465 24 092 30 099 22 088 99465 91916 24 094 22 088 22 079 91916 86076 26 091 20 085 19 074 86076 81239 25 084 20 080 21 083 81239 77089 24 080 18 084 23 078 77089 73439 19 087 16 084 16 074 73439 70149 16 086 12 075 14 077 70149 67131 11 066 11 062 12 060 67131 64341 8 031 12 038 11 065 64341 61646 7 340 11 026 12 037 61646 58860 6 348 12 020 9 028 58860 55995 6 356 11 341 8 010 55995 53279 4 257 10 287 9 320 53279 50845 12 266 14 274 13 290 50845 48673 24 256 25 254 23 268 48673 46713 34 251 31 246 33 249 46713 44918 38 254 32 242 36 244 44918 43251 38 250 34 245 37 244 43251 41687 40 250 36 248 37 244 41687 40212 42 252 37 250 37 243 40212 38813 40 255 34 253 36 241 38813 37455 30 254 29 255 29 240 37455 36072 20 248 24 250 27 243 36072 34633 19 247 21 246 23 245 34633 33141 19 248 21 253 19 244 33141 31582 17 246 20 254 17 247 31582 29944 13 251 18 253 18 247 29944 28228 12 263 16 257 16 250 28228 26435 14 269 16 262 14 252 26435 24565 14 268 17 264 17 252 24565 22628 13 270 17 263 19 259 22628 20618 12 265 16 259 22 263 20618 18529 11 256 14 252 24 263 18529 16395 11 262 10 252 23 264 16395 14338 12 273 12 245 10 256 14338 12471 13 278 14 260 6 246 12471 10817 13 280 13 282 9 271 10817 9350 13 281 12 287 9 265 9350 8045 12 280 10 282 10 250 8045 6885 9 281 8 268 10 237 6885 5856 6 276 6 253 10 227 5856 4947 3*262 3 200 10 218 4947 4143 2*139 4 141 10 210 4143 3423 4 115 6*126 9 203 3423 2786 4 113 6*119 8 201 2786 2254 4 111 7 115 7 187 2254 1845 4 109 7 113 5 181 1845 1563 4 110 6 112 4 177 1563 1392 4 109 6 110 3*174 1392 1294 3 110 5 109 2*174 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography