DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 72.4 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 251 - - 117 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6121 - - 5868 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5678 - - 5024 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7558 - - 7305 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3040 - - 3992 - - 3536 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 478 - - 369 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 241 - - 239 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -81 - - -385 - - -5224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7639 - - 7690 - - 6518 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -900 - - -1326 - - -7409 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8458 - - 8631 - - 8703 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 91 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 140 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 72.4 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 41.2 - - 43.0 - - 44.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.2 - - 71.8 - - 70.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 40.1 - - 42.1 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 251 - - 117 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6121 - - 5868 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 56 - - 63 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97788 15 211 11 242 16 308 97788 90441 13 242 9 246 13 250 90441 84762 12 230 10 241 11 251 84762 80009 21 224 21 248 11 253 80009 75891 17 210 22 218 13 227 75891 72231 12 224 18 224 18 214 72231 68905 14 225 18 232 16 223 68905 65841 17 256 18 236 15 225 65841 62994 28 254 23 248 18 260 62994 60239 34 238 29 245 28 255 60239 57370 33 239 36 249 30 252 57370 54391 39 253 39 251 36 258 54391 51559 41 252 37 256 37 263 51559 49029 37 246 37 261 41 263 49029 46778 39 259 44 266 43 260 46778 44746 44 262 50 265 42 260 44746 42896 51 262 50 265 42 267 42896 41208 52 261 46 263 44 265 41208 39658 47 263 39 269 34 261 39658 38223 45 272 37 277 28 275 38223 36878 46 276 37 280 35 283 36878 35581 48 274 43 276 40 280 35581 34268 50 280 51 270 44 274 34268 32912 54 284 52 266 46 270 32912 31517 55 286 53 266 42 270 31517 30066 53 286 57 264 40 277 30066 28543 51 278 55 264 42 277 28543 26946 49 274 45 269 40 268 26946 25272 37 272 42 272 40 269 25272 23523 29 265 40 274 40 273 23523 21702 30 264 36 276 33 278 21702 19803 30 262 33 278 31 288 19803 17827 29 261 32 278 37 292 17827 15815 27 265 34 282 40 289 15815 13876 29 274 36 288 38 284 13876 12108 33 278 32 286 34 274 12108 10530 30 277 29 278 33 268 10530 9121 27 273 27 270 30 260 9121 7863 23*264 23*259 26 249 7863 6741 20*252 21*251 24 246 6741 5743 20 245 20 242 22 245 5743 4861 19 242 19 240 21 243 4861 4078 19 240 19 238 20 240 4078 3375 19 239 18 237 19 236 3375 2753 19 238 18 236 17 231 2753 2232 18 236 17 235 16 226 2232 1832 17 236 16 235 14 219 1832 1556 17 236 16 234 12 211 1556 1389 15 235 14 234 9*203 1389 1293 12 235 11 234 5*192 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography