DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.7 - - 92.4 - - 84.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 260 - - 108 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 9597 - - 8345 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 8446 - - 6849 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 11034 - - 9782 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2244 - - 3800 - - 7466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 563 - - 410 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 249 - - 233 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 16 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 700 - - -230 - - -6285 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 10335 - - 10012 - - 7581 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1321 - - -1743 - - -8552 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12355 - - 11525 - - 9848 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 66 - - 65 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 160 - - 280 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.7 - - 92.4 - - 84.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.8 - - 53.0 - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 91.1 - - 91.6 - - 86.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.5 - - 51.9 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 260 - - 108 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 9597 - - 8345 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98242 12 147 12 185 7 286 98242 90763 11 155 10 090 3 117 90763 85054 9 109 11 049 7 094 85054 80354 5 065 2 050 11 057 80354 76314 4 043 2 144 13 036 76314 72744 9 051 6 105 8 027 72744 69516 9 046 8 085 3 077 69516 66562 7 082 8 051 4 054 66562 63852 10 083 5 028 7 006 63852 61249 14 054 4 091 7 351 61249 58514 21 326 8 342 7 329 58514 55654 19 310 13 299 14 276 55654 52930 19 324 13 317 14 263 52930 50489 27 302 22 300 13 298 50489 48303 20 274 27 282 23 319 48303 46315 11 187 16 224 26 299 46315 44498 9 107 4 147 10 217 44498 42833 4 012 9 063 14 123 42833 41283 5 137 8 101 14 117 41283 39823 16 110 11 136 13 135 39823 38443 19 097 18 132 18 133 38443 37106 18 080 21 117 22 123 37106 35745 18 073 20 104 21 116 35745 34329 19 068 21 091 17 114 34329 32861 16 073 20 078 15 109 32861 31328 10 078 17 067 11 112 31328 29717 2 058 10 075 7 134 29717 28029 2 216 3 113 7 147 28029 26264 3 227 3 229 5 152 26264 24425 8 276 12 283 5 262 24425 22513 15 256 19 271 14 273 22513 20526 20 245 21 267 19 277 20526 18460 21 243 21 260 17 267 18460 16360 20 234 20 248 16 240 16360 14340 22 229 18 242 18 236 14340 12501 21*238 14 251 19 244 12501 10863 15*249 13*251 18 247 10863 9403 12 255 13*246 17 248 9403 8099 11 255 13 243 17 249 8099 6936 11 254 13 239 17 248 6936 5901 11 252 13 235 17 248 5901 4987 10 249 14 231 17 247 4987 4176 10 246 14 228 16 245 4176 3449 10 244 14 226 16 243 3449 2804 10 241 14 225 16 242 2804 2266 9 240 13 224 15 240 2266 1852 9 239 13 222 14 236 1852 1567 8 238 13 222 12 232 1567 1394 8 237 12 221 9*227 1394 1295 7 238 10 221 5*216 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography