DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.7 - - 82.1 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 77 - - 31 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2920 - - 3481 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2676 - - 2296 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4357 - - 4918 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2589 - - 2346 - - 3551 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 265 - - 231 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 76 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 062 - - 091 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 571 - - 61 - - -1301 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3787 - - 4857 - - 2596 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -488 - - -1322 - - -3035 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4845 - - 6240 - - 4330 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 93 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 30 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.7 - - 82.1 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.4 - - 65.2 - - 69.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.1 - - 81.9 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.2 - - 63.8 - - 69.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 77 - - 31 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2920 - - 3481 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 87 - - 73 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99412 41 092 32 080 30 068 99412 91946 39 077 35 079 34 074 91946 86186 35 068 36 078 31 077 86186 81389 31 067 26 076 25 070 81389 77244 20 060 21 081 19 065 77244 73585 12 057 12 082 16 050 73585 70278 9 042 6 076 12 049 70278 67240 5 059 6 067 5 072 67240 64443 2 111 10 015 6 037 64443 61775 1 010 7 307 7 354 61775 59021 7 009 9 316 10 343 59021 56179 10 316 17 320 18 332 56179 53501 15 272 20 284 25 310 53501 51122 23 279 24 280 27 302 51122 49001 35 308 31 299 33 306 49001 47068 41 305 36 307 38 300 47068 45276 37 299 35 315 26 312 45276 43599 33 295 35 314 27 328 43599 42023 32 304 39 318 35 329 42023 40531 34 311 40 322 40 327 40531 39118 34 309 36 311 34 325 39118 37747 33 305 32 308 32 315 37747 36348 33 304 28 301 36 314 36348 34891 30 307 26 300 31 311 34891 33380 25 303 22 302 27 303 33380 31800 25 296 21 292 29 298 31800 30141 26 290 23 291 28 296 30141 28404 26 288 27 296 27 301 28404 26589 25 295 29 296 32 298 26589 24703 25 301 27 293 33 296 24703 22749 26 306 28 295 30 302 22749 20720 29 307 30 302 27 301 20720 18610 29 304 28 303 27 299 18610 16463 31 302 29 304 29 303 16463 14397 32 302 31 304 31 306 14397 12521 34 311 32 308 31 306 12521 10854 32 322 30 315 26 309 10854 9373 20 323 23 317 19 309 9373 8059 12 317 18 303 16 300 8059 6895 9 308 12 303 11 296 6895 5863 8 311 5 324 7 307 5863 4953 4*320 3*063 3 323 4953 4148 1*009 4*083 0 059 4148 3427 1 046 4 087 3 134 3427 2789 1 060 4 091 6 134 2789 2256 1 085 4 093 7 131 2256 1846 1 095 4 095 7 130 1846 1564 1 112 4 096 7 129 1564 1392 0 128 4 097 6*127 1392 1294 0 143 3 095 4*128 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography