DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.5 - - 84.0 - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - -26 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4624 - - 3928 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3769 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6061 - - 5365 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3424 - - 4524 - - 2479 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 296 - - 184 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 218 - - 223 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 362 - - -472 - - -1579 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5699 - - 5838 - - 2875 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1805 - - -2627 - - -3998 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7866 - - 7992 - - 5293 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 73 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 330 - - 410 - - 1600 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.5 - - 84.0 - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.0 - - 62.9 - - 69.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.3 - - 85.3 - - 80.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.7 - - 61.6 - - 68.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - -26 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4624 - - 3928 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 21 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99146 17 114 13 064 15 049 99146 91724 17 094 18 077 15 067 91724 85964 21 084 17 106 16 045 85964 81169 17 074 15 092 14 038 81169 77037 11 101 9 069 9 046 77037 73396 8 102 7 048 6 057 73396 70109 6 155 8 347 6 058 70109 67102 4 144 5 319 4 359 67102 64336 2 302 6 278 6 322 64336 61664 5 352 4 308 9 324 61664 58882 6 305 10 309 16 308 58882 55998 8 295 7 287 13 300 55998 53242 18 305 19 310 19 318 53242 50790 20 289 22 297 26 301 50790 48618 19 268 23 272 21 272 48618 46649 17 300 17 290 18 275 46649 44852 17 295 19 282 22 287 44852 43198 21 273 22 276 21 290 43198 41648 20 268 20 290 16 294 41648 40183 19 292 21 311 23 312 40183 38796 20 294 19 321 22 321 38796 37451 19 291 18 327 19 321 37451 36080 20 298 15 323 17 309 36080 34650 23 304 18 311 7 314 34650 33164 20 298 18 312 12 291 33164 31609 13 275 15 309 18 296 31609 29974 19 270 13 303 17 299 29974 28263 21 285 14 303 17 303 28263 26473 15 287 15 298 15 297 26473 24606 13 270 14 273 15 281 24606 22662 22 258 19 261 14 276 22662 20642 24 254 24 264 12 288 20642 18543 19 266 21 273 12 319 18543 16410 16 272 17 277 17 328 16410 14355 13 263 14 265 17 320 14355 12490 13 254 15 262 15 293 12490 10842 14 255 18 283 18 275 10842 9381 12 256 16 283 19 276 9381 8080 11 244 14 276 15 279 8080 6920 12*229 11 262 10 279 6920 5888 12*222 9*235 8 279 5888 4975 12 220 9*229 7 276 4975 4166 11 218 9 226 6 268 4166 3441 11 217 9 223 6 256 3441 2799 11 216 9 222 6 240 2799 2262 10 215 9 220 6 226 2262 1850 10 215 8 220 6 216 1850 1566 10 215 8 220 6 207 1566 1393 9 216 7 220 6*199 1393 1294 7 215 6 220 4*186 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography