DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 86.0 - - 88.6 - - 84.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 90 - - 14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2494 - - 4189 - - 4266 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2224 - - 3784 - - 2342 - - 1279 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3931 - - 5626 - - 5703 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2068 - - 2196 - - 2609 - - 6864 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 328 - - 228 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 234 - - 220 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 320 - - 1136 - - 489 - - -2045 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3611 - - 4490 - - 5214 - - 3341 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1264 - - -36 - - -1214 - - -3968 ODpotential blCL - - - 5195 - - 5662 - - 6917 - - 5264 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 84 - - 82 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 1390 - - 2100 - - 2250 - - 3530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 86.0 - - 88.6 - - 84.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.8 - - 70.5 - - 70.0 - - 74.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.9 - - 85.3 - - 88.7 - - 87.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 69.1 - - 68.6 - - 72.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 90 - - 14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2494 - - 4189 - - 4266 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 34 - - 28 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99244 45 097 33 096 32 086 33 060 99244 91690 34 091 31 093 25 103 23 066 91690 85862 27 075 33 088 27 103 16 090 85862 81048 21 062 30 081 26 083 23 094 81048 76932 18 069 23 076 19 075 22 090 76932 73303 15 074 16 081 17 070 20 088 73303 70032 15 068 12 078 17 052 15 076 70032 67044 11 022 11 063 14 056 10 058 67044 64276 4 047 10 055 11 040 12 036 64276 61598 6 055 11 031 8 010 16 028 61598 58829 7 048 9 003 5 030 12 023 58829 55984 15 036 5 034 6 039 7 020 55984 53286 22 015 11 047 5 039 8 346 53286 50882 22 345 18 041 17 043 6 072 50882 48762 7 338 28 032 16 056 12 102 48762 46842 9 119 9 013 11 060 10 097 46842 45061 27 126 28 145 6 103 5 078 45061 43397 32 116 18 124 12 143 1 288 43397 41833 15 126 20 128 3 200 1 270 41833 40353 10 073 8 140 5 060 6 052 40353 38946 19 041 8 065 12 025 12 025 38946 37578 19 034 13 058 14 009 10 030 37578 36183 10 055 10 061 10 003 8 021 36183 34735 6 064 3 077 7 360 7 347 34735 33236 17 036 9 077 3 039 3 326 33236 31676 26 352 11 004 4 056 2 292 31676 30043 32 337 18 322 7 025 6 016 30043 28337 27 336 23 323 14 358 12 020 28337 26556 26 335 24 330 14 005 16 007 26556 24702 26 334 23 336 15 010 19 006 24702 22778 24 343 25 353 21 005 22 006 22778 20775 23 351 28 001 23 001 22 002 20775 18689 22 358 32 002 24 356 22 350 18689 16561 21 000 29 001 24 348 23 340 16561 14504 20 345 22 359 20 337 25 337 14504 12626 23 330 17 353 17 324 25 339 12626 10955 19 324 14 340 18 319 22 334 10955 9473 13 328 10 324 18 314 16 318 9473 8157 9 332 6 301 11 303 12 297 8157 6984 8 329 5 282 9 291 11 282 6984 5940 6 310 5*273 6*251 9 264 5940 5018 6 285 5*245 6*230 9 240 5018 4201 6*232 6 235 6 225 9 228 4201 3467 7*194 6 232 6 222 9 221 3467 2818 7 189 6 233 6 218 10 215 2818 2275 7 186 6 233 6 216 9 211 2275 1858 6 183 6 231 6 214 9 207 1858 1569 6 182 5 232 5 215 8 203 1569 1395 6 182 5 232 5 214 7*199 1395 1295 5 182 5 232 4 214 4*196 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography