DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 66.1 - - 63.5 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 60 - - -13 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 271 - - 4379 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 3450 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1708 - - 5816 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1171 - - 1902 - - 6001 - - 117 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 277 - - 14 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 11 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 146 - - 213 - - 219 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 10 - - 0 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2429 - - -348 - - -3895 - - -2318 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4138 - - 6165 - - 5189 - - 3612 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7557 - - -4110 - - -5471 - - -6383 ODpotential blCL - - - 9265 - - 9926 - - 6765 - - 7677 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 80 - - 61 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 66.1 - - 63.5 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 43.5 - - 45.3 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.3 - - 65.8 - - 65.1 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 42.3 - - 44.0 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 60 - - -13 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 271 - - 4379 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96543 81 251 86 244 70 251 67 250 96543 89242 43 251 53 245 56 265 49 263 89242 83648 30 269 32 250 40 259 36 268 83648 79017 26 279 21 260 30 255 29 264 79017 75022 21 274 19 265 25 270 24 257 75022 71484 21 267 18 257 23 274 22 262 71484 68283 25 275 21 266 26 268 23 277 68283 65339 29 275 28 274 27 261 28 283 65339 62597 38 271 34 274 27 267 35 265 62597 59943 45 264 38 264 36 270 38 254 59943 57188 48 257 43 258 45 255 40 260 57188 54321 50 256 55 256 51 252 44 264 54321 51568 53 259 61 251 60 256 49 263 51568 49084 61 262 62 253 65 252 61 257 49084 46866 68 259 65 256 66 248 71 249 46866 44865 67 252 73 254 67 246 74 245 44865 43039 66 247 74 250 69 247 70 245 43039 41362 60 248 67 244 72 249 71 245 41362 39813 55 250 58 244 69 247 73 241 39813 38374 51 251 53 248 62 245 68 238 38374 37029 43 247 43 253 50 243 65 242 37029 35732 35 247 39 252 44 254 63 245 35732 34413 33 248 34 244 42 257 62 246 34413 33044 34 249 35 241 41 254 61 248 33044 31627 36 248 35 242 39 256 59 249 31627 30145 34 248 34 244 38 255 57 249 30145 28590 31 244 32 245 36 250 55 248 28590 26961 29 251 29 239 33 241 52 244 26961 25260 28 252 29 236 34 239 49 241 25260 23489 30 252 30 237 35 244 45 241 23489 21651 32 254 30 238 36 249 41 241 21651 19742 31 254 30 238 35 250 37 243 19742 17754 30 254 28 239 34 251 34 248 17754 15727 28 253 26 240 32 251 31 253 15727 13772 25 255 22 241 29 248 30 254 13772 11993 23 260 21 247 25 243 28 255 11993 10412 21 261 21 251 22 244 24 257 10412 9010 21 256 22 250 19 249 19 258 9010 7764 20 247 21 245 18 248 16 255 7764 6657 16 243 17*231 15 234 14 247 6657 5673 12 252 13*213 12 215 13 236 5673 4804 10 250 12 212 12 215 11 227 4804 4033 9 223 12 212 11 216 10 216 4033 3342 10 195 11 212 11 216 10 209 3342 2729 10 178 10 213 10 218 9 203 2729 2216 8 167 10 213 10 218 8 193 2216 1822 5*158 9 214 9 219 8 184 1822 1551 3*146 9 215 8 219 7 174 1551 1387 3 146 8 215 6*218 6*157 1387 1293 2 147 7 215 4*219 5*140 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography