DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.0 - - 56.9 - - 61.9 - - 62.4 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 140 - - 167 - - 13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2002 - - 3183 - - 3280 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1275 - - 2329 - - 3274 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top 1293 - - 3439 - - 4620 - - 4717 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 382 - - 1043 - - 988 - - 1351 - - 2627 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 272 - - 340 - - 176 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 22 - - 17 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 352 - - 015 - - 023 - - 033 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 9 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -46 - - -169 - - -493 - - -312 - - -1578 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1339 - - 3608 - - 5113 - - 5029 - - 2872 sfcLCL ODpotential -8045 - - -7195 - - -8251 - - -9058 - - -10016 ODpotential blCL 9338 - - 10634 - - 12871 - - 13775 - - 11310 blCL maxRH 90 - - 82 - - 90 - - 92 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.0 - - 56.9 - - 61.9 - - 62.4 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.0 - - 45.9 - - 44.3 - - 45.2 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.9 - - 56.1 - - 61.0 - - 62.4 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.6 - - 44.9 - - 43.1 - - 44.1 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 140 - - 167 - - 13 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2002 - - 3183 - - 3280 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 29 - - 59 - - 68 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97996 11 071 16 069 14 103 7 053 5 066 97996 90645 11 088 10 087 13 067 3 061 10 035 90645 84986 15 087 11 075 14 063 6 083 17 038 84986 80299 7 079 14 071 12 069 15 083 14 051 80299 76255 8 060 12 072 10 088 13 076 11 059 76255 72683 7 057 13 084 5 079 8 033 6 085 72683 69448 2 327 6 089 10 166 5 256 4 212 69448 66470 6 280 5 156 7 200 6 214 4 225 66470 63710 11 256 2 260 6 205 9 253 6 306 63710 61056 12 269 11 291 6 195 11 243 12 289 61056 58312 20 266 24 279 11 279 10 249 11 257 58312 55472 32 238 31 249 25 259 26 258 20 262 55472 52770 33 243 33 249 32 250 32 247 31 255 52770 50349 44 256 43 254 42 254 43 251 42 251 50349 48183 62 258 56 251 60 249 60 247 59 247 48183 46217 80 253 71 243 74 237 71 238 71 237 46217 44411 93 246 82 237 85 231 84 231 86 227 44411 42737 103 236 92 229 100 226 102 222 101 218 42737 41164 112 226 102 221 109 219 108 215 98 213 41164 39679 114 221 111 217 111 214 102 211 91 209 39679 38274 116 219 113 214 104 209 98 212 86 207 38274 36909 115 221 112 212 107 206 96 211 87 206 36909 35512 107 229 109 220 106 209 99 210 86 209 35512 34059 86 240 96 225 96 222 96 215 85 217 34059 32555 67 253 73 236 78 231 77 226 77 224 32555 30989 54 260 54 251 55 241 58 239 65 233 30989 29360 47 267 42 271 35 255 34 249 36 247 29360 27672 41 271 34 280 30 268 20 279 10 297 27672 25914 34 263 27 285 26 277 16 293 10 302 25914 24077 30 263 21 304 14 299 8 340 4 306 24077 22166 25 283 19 326 10 351 13 013 5 049 22166 20179 23 301 24 001 19 009 20 019 13 037 20179 18114 22 324 32 023 24 024 24 033 16 046 18114 16012 24 354 33 028 29 040 25 046 18 056 16012 13986 24 010 28 033 29 045 25 049 20 050 13986 12142 22 028 24 042 22 043 22 050 22 051 12142 10507 24 036 23 048 18 040 19 047 22 052 10507 9063 24 040 24 050 18 045 18 048 22 055 9063 7787 22 042 24 049 20 049 21 055 23 062 7787 6660 22 043 24 047 21 047 21 050 23 061 6660 5664 22 045 25 043 20 039 19 039 21 050 5664 4790 23 043 26 036 18*029 18*037 20 041 4790 4020 25 035 26*025 18*027 18*036 20 039 4020 3331 28 026 23*017 18 025 17 034 20 040 3331 2720 30 021 23 016 17 024 17 033 19 040 2720 2210 28 017 23 015 17 023 16 032 18 039 2210 1819 21 011 21 014 16 022 16 031 16 036 1819 1549 15 003 20 014 15 020 14 030 12 032 1549 1386 10*000 18 013 14 019 12 030 9*028 1386 1293 4*352 13 012 11 019 9 028 4*021 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography