DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 58.0 - - 56.4 - - 47.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 220 - - 34 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3758 - - 5769 - - 5299 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3542 - - 5322 - - 3109 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5195 - - 7206 - - 6736 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1328 - - 1622 - - 2145 - - 4875 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 328 - - 445 - - 240 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 18 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 274 - - 285 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 13 - - 12 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1600 - - -739 - - -701 - - -4324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6796 - - 7946 - - 7437 - - 5618 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5472 - - -3041 - - -2651 - - -8613 ODpotential blCL - - - 10667 - - 10247 - - 9387 - - 9906 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 67 - - 67 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 58.0 - - 56.4 - - 47.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.3 - - 27.5 - - 28.2 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.9 - - 56.9 - - 56.1 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.3 - - 26.4 - - 27.3 - - 27.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 220 - - 34 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3758 - - 5769 - - 5299 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97169 41 233 52 252 51 250 43 243 97169 89891 34 240 40 238 43 248 37 245 89891 84313 23 247 37 225 40 235 35 243 84313 79680 17 255 21 214 29 226 27 244 79680 75657 20 254 13 230 17 238 18 231 75657 72061 20 238 18 237 16 249 14 236 72061 68781 8 255 11 235 16 250 21 254 68781 65773 10 242 6 202 16 226 15 262 65773 62973 17 244 5 163 14 191 7 232 62973 60258 35 257 30 279 28 280 39 279 60258 57457 35 236 39 240 43 252 40 259 57457 54548 21 209 29 204 31 232 35 251 54548 51742 28 267 15 250 15 243 42 265 51742 49206 47 264 53 274 49 275 53 269 49206 46942 55 258 73 259 69 264 61 266 46942 44892 57 257 68 253 69 260 63 264 44892 43013 66 265 68 267 71 268 69 271 43013 41286 83 265 86 267 84 268 81 268 41286 39690 94 257 96 258 93 263 85 264 39690 38200 92 254 94 257 92 260 89 265 38200 36802 93 257 98 260 94 263 92 267 36802 35459 100 258 103 261 100 265 96 269 35459 34101 107 257 107 262 104 266 99 269 34101 32700 113 256 112 263 107 268 98 269 32700 31258 113 256 116 263 108 269 96 269 31258 29761 110 258 117 264 109 268 95 269 29761 28196 102 259 114 264 108 268 90 269 28196 26569 91 258 106 264 101 267 75 268 26569 24880 81 255 97 261 90 266 56 267 24880 23129 73 254 91 260 78 267 37 268 23129 21314 63 255 78 262 61 269 30 278 21314 19421 53 256 59 265 45 274 29 283 19421 17455 45 259 45 265 40 276 27 283 17455 15457 42 262 40 263 38 275 27 280 15457 13533 43 265 39 266 37 273 30 275 13533 11781 43 268 41 272 37 274 33 272 11781 10223 42 272 41 277 37 278 35 273 10223 8842 40 277 37 279 34 281 35 275 8842 7617 39 281 27*278 25*281 34 276 7617 6531 35 283 20*273 19*282 30 278 6531 5569 27*281 20 273 18 283 24 281 5569 4718 20*278 19 273 18 284 20 285 4718 3966 17 276 19 274 18 285 19 287 3966 3291 16 275 19 274 18 286 18 288 3291 2693 15 274 18 274 17 287 18 289 2693 2193 14 274 18 275 17 287 16 290 2193 1809 13 274 17 275 16 288 14 289 1809 1544 13 274 16 275 15 288 11 288 1544 1383 12 274 15 275 14 288 8*287 1383 1292 9 273 12 275 11 289 4*279 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography