DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.1 - - 76.4 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3059 - - 3123 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2487 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4496 - - 4560 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2205 - - 2074 - - 2373 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 245 - - 162 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 102 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 0 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 027 - - 125 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 544 - - -579 - - -640 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3952 - - 5139 - - 1934 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -459 - - -5162 - - -1970 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4955 - - 9722 - - 3264 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.1 - - 76.4 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 58.3 - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.6 - - 76.6 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.8 - - 57.0 - - 64.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3059 - - 3123 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99272 19 084 14 065 21 081 99272 91818 19 085 17 091 17 070 91818 86042 18 087 19 095 15 085 86042 81263 17 074 18 092 15 079 81263 77154 15 076 16 088 12 085 77154 73517 9 084 14 071 11 083 73517 70216 11 135 5 108 3 095 70216 67169 10 131 5 147 1 076 67169 64345 6 157 4 161 4 204 64345 61621 9 204 8 193 12 212 61621 58793 13 214 15 250 12 227 58793 55872 19 237 26 240 19 241 55872 53096 35 231 31 222 33 247 53096 50625 47 233 48 237 47 241 50625 48440 54 227 63 227 53 227 48440 46470 48 220 62 223 55 224 46470 44667 45 212 62 224 58 223 44667 42996 39 218 60 221 61 224 42996 41431 39 229 54 218 65 225 41431 39956 42 233 49 216 64 226 39956 38560 46 230 48 216 60 225 38560 37205 48 227 47 220 59 219 37205 35822 50 228 51 228 57 220 35822 34384 52 229 56 226 55 223 34384 32896 52 231 55 221 54 223 32896 31343 44 235 50 217 50 218 31343 29713 43 235 39 221 44 212 29713 28004 44 235 36 220 39 217 28004 26218 42 238 37 219 38 223 26218 24359 36 238 36 223 36 231 24359 22433 30 238 36 230 30 242 22433 20431 27 247 34 232 23 246 20431 18347 26 248 31 231 19 247 18347 16231 25 243 29 230 20 250 16231 14199 21 245 26 230 17 248 14199 12351 16 250 22 244 15 239 12351 10708 13 251 24 260 16 234 10708 9248 11 248 26 266 14 226 9248 7951 8 253 18 274 11 229 7951 6799 5 256 6 291 8 244 6799 5780 3 254 1 069 5 237 5780 4881 1*255 3*116 4 187 4881 4089 0*050 5*119 6 167 4089 3381 1 046 6 123 7 159 3381 2756 1 040 6 125 8 155 2756 2234 0 025 6 127 7 149 2234 1833 0 007 6 128 6 141 1833 1558 1 357 6 127 6 138 1558 1389 0 346 6 128 5*138 1389 1293 0 349 5 130 3*138 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography