DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 1009z - - 1333z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.5 - - 78.5 - - 85.0 - - 85.8 - - 79.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 148 - - 232 - - 100 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2016 - - 7396 - - 7053 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1274 - - 2395 - - 6647 - - 5833 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top 1292 - - 3453 - - 8833 - - 8490 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 565 - - 3045 - - 2494 - - 3970 - - 9005 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 283 - - 501 - - 381 - - 0 W* B/S 7 - - 11 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 11 - - 11 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 144 - - 281 - - 274 - - 274 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 13 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 7 - - 12 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1454 - - -2062 - - 1784 - - 572 - - -4328 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2747 - - 5515 - - 7050 - - 7919 - - 5621 sfcLCL ODpotential -5610 - - -4155 - - 675 - - -1564 - - -6550 ODpotential blCL 6902 - - 7608 - - 8158 - - 10054 - - 7843 blCL maxRH 76 - - 86 - - 77 - - 69 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 360 - - 700 - - 290 - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m 66.5 - - 78.5 - - 85.0 - - 85.8 - - 79.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.8 - - 58.7 - - 58.5 - - 55.5 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.6 - - 77.7 - - 83.5 - - 85.1 - - 82.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.6 - - 57.9 - - 57.2 - - 54.2 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 148 - - 232 - - 100 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2016 - - 7396 - - 7053 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 45 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98113 24 110 19 110 11 118 12 087 11 093 98113 90681 28 093 23 097 20 105 17 088 16 082 90681 84961 28 080 25 089 26 095 20 088 22 072 84961 80241 26 073 25 083 27 096 18 083 24 069 80241 76186 20 066 21 083 25 092 15 091 21 066 76186 72597 12 077 17 080 20 084 15 094 15 075 72597 69341 8 081 11 095 13 087 12 082 14 087 69341 66334 4 115 9 075 7 067 8 083 9 082 66334 63550 2 105 4 051 3 288 4 049 7 049 63550 60862 4 054 7 004 3 300 3 262 8 006 60862 58070 13 313 8 313 9 293 7 306 9 347 58070 55190 15 291 12 304 12 290 13 309 11 316 55190 52467 17 307 19 304 17 299 17 301 14 287 52467 50039 18 296 24 300 17 308 16 299 15 292 50039 47878 23 296 26 286 21 297 21 293 23 302 47878 45932 27 292 28 277 28 289 22 282 26 296 45932 44157 29 286 26 280 30 286 21 283 21 278 44157 42520 32 279 24 278 28 277 21 291 16 269 42520 40992 31 271 24 270 27 273 22 295 13 280 40992 39549 28 266 22 263 26 271 21 290 13 292 39549 38179 26 271 19 258 24 267 22 280 14 296 38179 36850 25 278 17 256 22 266 24 273 16 289 36850 35495 26 281 15 256 20 266 24 270 19 276 35495 34087 26 281 14 258 18 265 23 271 21 274 34087 32627 26 284 14 257 17 263 22 272 22 277 32627 31103 24 286 14 253 16 258 19 268 21 279 31103 29501 22 293 15 254 17 254 17 260 19 273 29501 27823 23 302 18 265 17 252 17 259 18 262 27823 26068 23 304 21 276 19 260 17 263 18 259 26068 24237 25 299 23 286 21 269 17 267 17 257 24237 22332 27 292 23 301 18 275 15 268 15 252 22332 20350 28 288 25 305 14 287 13 264 14 251 20350 18289 29 286 26 293 20 292 16 277 15 266 18289 16197 26 285 24 277 23 273 21 271 19 269 16197 14191 24 278 22 268 23 258 22 261 23 260 14191 12371 22 271 22 273 22 263 19 259 25 255 12371 10754 20 270 24 276 23 271 16 265 23 252 10754 9311 19 279 23 273 21*272 15*270 20 253 9311 8023 22 291 20 273 18*272 14*271 15 255 8023 6874 24 298 17 284 15 272 12 274 10 255 6874 5852 23 304 17 292 11 272 11 274 7 256 5852 4948 20 307 16 291 10 273 11 274 7 258 4948 4146 18 310 15*289 9 273 10 275 6 258 4146 3426 17 313 12*286 8 275 10 275 6 261 3426 2788 16 314 6 280 8 276 10 276 6 260 2788 2255 13 311 3 278 7 277 9 277 5 259 2255 1844 8 302 2 278 7 279 9 276 5 257 1844 1562 5 276 2 278 7 279 9 277 4 255 1562 1390 2*256 2 279 6 278 8 277 3*248 1390 1292 1*144 2 276 6 279 7 277 2*233 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography