DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 59.9 - - 60.4 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 83 - - -8 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 592 - - 2817 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 2613 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2029 - - 4254 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1068 - - 1054 - - 4424 - - 170 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 142 - - 263 - - 17 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 003 - - 189 - - 134 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1081 - - -781 - - -3601 - - -1120 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3110 - - 5035 - - 4895 - - 2413 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9267 - - -7975 - - -9514 - - -10041 ODpotential blCL - - - 11296 - - 12229 - - 10808 - - 11334 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 70 - - 71 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 59.9 - - 60.4 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.2 - - 42.9 - - 43.9 - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 59.3 - - 61.2 - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.3 - - 41.6 - - 42.7 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 83 - - -8 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 592 - - 2817 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97298 21 240 30 259 30 271 23 247 97298 90059 6 281 10 237 20 258 12 293 90059 84501 6 035 2 035 8 243 5 293 84501 79881 3 088 5 055 5 109 6 180 79881 75901 7 126 5 059 9 079 7 127 75901 72395 12 108 4 103 4 058 7 058 72395 69238 9 073 5 111 1 117 8 003 69238 66345 6 053 6 127 4 192 8 321 66345 63656 6 008 3 126 4 218 9 294 63656 61041 10 341 2 005 4 237 10 275 61041 58305 17 345 6 331 2 238 13 259 58305 55460 22 327 12 316 8 318 13 287 55460 52752 17 311 14 280 20 303 24 295 52752 50334 20 336 8 293 19 303 19 285 50334 48158 29 346 22 345 21 341 19 333 48158 46165 37 341 35 339 30 337 30 329 46165 44328 41 335 41 335 35 335 36 330 44328 42618 41 345 43 336 38 334 40 325 42618 41023 46 005 41 345 38 335 37 327 41023 39531 56 009 42 353 40 345 35 338 39531 38132 60 004 46 357 46 351 42 354 38132 36783 63 002 54 359 55 352 55 353 36783 35415 65 004 62 357 62 351 63 347 35415 33997 69 004 67 352 65 350 63 348 33997 32528 73 002 66 351 65 350 60 349 32528 30992 73 001 65 355 60 349 58 352 30992 29376 74 003 65 359 57 351 56 353 29376 27683 71 008 65 001 56 356 53 356 27683 25912 58 011 61 006 57 003 52 005 25912 24063 44 011 49 011 52 009 50 015 24063 22145 34 017 34 016 40 013 40 021 22145 20163 21 022 22 022 27 016 27 020 20163 18108 9 046 14 025 17 018 18 020 18108 16018 9 058 8 028 10 020 12 022 16018 14003 7 075 5 051 6 029 7 039 14003 12168 7 076 5 053 5 017 4 046 12168 10534 8 055 4 051 3 009 2 038 10534 9085 7 043 3 114 2 182 2 234 9085 7800 5 040 5 148 5 183 3 222 7800 6664 1 068 5 163 4 194 3 217 6664 5663 9 207 6 215 6 221 5 240 5663 4787 15 194 8*209 6 211 6 244 4787 4015 13 187 7*203 5 192 7 234 4015 3325 9 177 6 194 5 171 7 197 3325 2714 6 151 5 189 5 158 10 165 2714 2206 3*127 5 183 5 148 12 148 2206 1816 1*018 5 180 5 143 13 138 1816 1547 1 001 4 178 4 141 11 133 1547 1385 1 002 4 178 4*136 8*129 1385 1292 1 350 3 178 3*134 5*121 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography