DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 0959z - - 1334z - - 1603z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.1 - - 72.5 - - 78.8 - - 78.8 - - 72.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 76 - - 96 - - 50 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1839 - - 3725 - - 2841 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1277 - - 1766 - - 3448 - - 2350 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top 1294 - - 3276 - - 5162 - - 4278 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1737 - - 2386 - - 3247 - - 3915 - - 3226 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 226 - - 315 - - 241 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 018 - - 006 - - 034 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - -5 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 901 - - 743 - - 561 - - -1458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1293 - - 2375 - - 4419 - - 3717 - - 2753 sfcLCL ODpotential -1076 - - -35 - - -602 - - -909 - - -3335 ODpotential blCL 2370 - - 3311 - - 5764 - - 5187 - - 4630 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 82 - - 82 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 160 - - 350 - - 520 - - 1260 - - 650 CAPE Temp@2m 67.1 - - 72.5 - - 78.8 - - 78.8 - - 72.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.0 - - 66.1 - - 63.6 - - 66.5 - - 64.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.2 - - 72.0 - - 78.2 - - 78.4 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.2 - - 65.0 - - 62.2 - - 65.2 - - 64.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 76 - - 96 - - 50 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1839 - - 3725 - - 2841 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 82 - - 26 - - 30 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98693 30 078 29 091 25 094 31 084 28 077 98693 91186 18 087 27 081 26 098 24 084 28 086 91186 85405 20 072 30 076 26 100 17 102 19 078 85405 80630 23 076 32 076 28 094 19 118 13 068 80630 76540 24 084 25 083 24 087 18 110 15 075 76540 72947 25 087 19 093 20 088 17 086 19 077 72947 69715 23 083 17 089 21 098 17 088 17 081 69715 66750 19 082 17 087 22 099 14 108 11 074 66750 63993 14 071 17 096 12 093 12 118 6 103 63993 61314 11 081 11 100 8 135 8 106 3 187 61314 58522 12 087 7 154 6 184 5 055 4 193 58522 55628 7 015 3 101 8 213 8 304 3 124 55628 52878 16 303 15 299 20 283 25 290 26 312 52878 50431 14 289 15 273 27 251 37 291 35 295 50431 48252 11 321 27 324 36 291 39 293 41 292 48252 46265 37 331 45 314 39 299 47 307 46 303 46265 44433 57 316 50 305 56 314 61 307 54 305 44433 42731 59 309 56 303 65 306 66 303 61 302 42731 41140 54 302 62 299 68 302 66 299 64 298 41140 39646 51 300 63 295 69 297 65 298 65 296 39646 38237 55 301 67 290 70 293 64 298 65 297 38237 36881 55 299 62 286 65 295 67 298 63 301 36881 35508 47 301 62 305 65 301 64 299 61 304 35508 34087 71 318 67 312 70 304 60 303 58 304 34087 32622 69 316 65 306 68 311 58 304 56 305 32622 31092 52 309 63 301 58 301 56 301 56 305 31092 29482 44 301 60 296 62 293 57 301 50 308 29482 27798 42 306 59 293 62 300 50 305 41 311 27798 26041 37 309 57 298 51 314 40 317 38 320 26041 24211 36 311 43 306 41 320 38 331 36 328 24211 22311 32 316 32 311 33 317 37 336 34 330 22311 20337 29 324 26 311 33 314 35 333 32 330 20337 18281 23 322 32 319 31 308 32 328 29 333 18281 16185 23 312 32 326 28 314 29 331 25 341 16185 14167 18 314 25 317 22 331 26 333 24 352 14167 12332 13 325 23 307 18 322 22 330 22 357 12332 10703 15 319 21 316 19 315 15 332 17 358 10703 9257 16 316 20 323 17 328 14 331 13 347 9257 7969 15 322 20 334 17 334 15 328 14 330 7969 6824 14 348 19 345 17 335 15 329 16 327 6824 5807 17 007 17 353 17*338 13 335 15 332 5807 4907 20 007 16 355 14*348 10*354 12 344 4907 4112 22 003 16 357 13 357 9*019 8 005 4112 3400 21 000 14*002 11 010 9 031 6 025 3400 2770 20 000 11*012 11 012 9 036 6 066 2770 2244 18 360 10 019 10 013 9 039 6 081 2244 1839 15 359 9 020 10 013 9 040 6 085 1839 1560 10 356 9 021 9 014 8 041 6 090 1560 1391 7*352 8 021 9 014 8 041 5*091 1391 1294 3*335 7 020 7 013 7 041 4*094 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography