DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 82.7 - - 83.3 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 302 - - 80 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2124 - - 5797 - - 6605 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2608 - - 5507 - - 5248 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3561 - - 7234 - - 8042 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2245 - - 2840 - - 3001 - - 2837 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 322 - - 496 - - 340 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 229 - - 233 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 17 - - 21 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4350 - - -1669 - - -511 - - -4621 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7911 - - 8904 - - 8554 - - 5916 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6598 - - -3546 - - -1472 - - -6846 ODpotential blCL - - - 10159 - - 10780 - - 9514 - - 8141 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 84 - - 98 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 82.7 - - 83.3 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.9 - - 48.1 - - 50.3 - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.6 - - 81.0 - - 82.7 - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 47.1 - - 49.6 - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 302 - - 80 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2124 - - 5797 - - 6605 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 38 - - 92 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97724 8 188 4 033 13 270 11 308 97724 90326 5 090 10 233 9 266 6 353 90326 84641 9 033 7 243 4 312 6 016 84641 79934 13 049 8 193 8 313 8 355 79934 75888 11 052 7 119 2 325 7 313 75888 72315 11 360 13 049 4 142 6 277 72315 69079 14 347 14 004 6 342 11 344 69079 66109 18 340 16 352 8 339 14 321 66109 63363 21 354 20 347 14 349 15 320 63363 60709 31 323 24 331 23 330 20 311 60709 57935 26 307 26 314 20 323 19 310 57935 55035 29 299 27 299 24 308 21 299 55035 52266 29 300 28 295 26 293 26 284 52266 49805 28 305 28 291 33 277 33 283 49805 47632 29 303 29 286 32 281 39 286 47632 45686 34 297 29 289 31 294 25 274 45686 43930 29 304 25 296 24 288 13 274 43930 42315 28 319 19 300 18 279 27 275 42315 40804 29 319 18 305 18 281 30 273 40804 39376 27 318 19 311 22 278 31 275 39376 38021 25 317 21 305 24 274 27 271 38021 36705 22 311 24 287 26 269 18 268 36705 35366 21 299 24 276 27 268 17 280 35366 33974 21 292 22 277 26 267 20 288 33974 32531 23 302 22 291 21 270 23 293 32531 31020 25 312 27 301 17 285 24 292 31020 29430 22 312 30 304 18 283 24 288 29430 27761 19 300 25 298 22 282 30 280 27761 26015 17 286 17 277 25 273 30 271 26015 24194 16 282 16 272 27 260 30 258 24194 22300 15 273 18 267 27 262 30 255 22300 20328 9 272 19 263 26 263 30 259 20328 18276 7 288 17 251 22 260 26 261 18276 16186 15 305 18 261 21 266 23 268 16186 14170 18 301 16 275 24 278 27 274 14170 12339 14 276 14 272 26 279 30 272 12339 10717 14 241 17 267 24 274 29 270 10717 9276 13 244 21 270 21*267 27 268 9276 7988 16 251 19*264 20*259 25 267 7988 6840 18 255 17*251 19 254 24 264 6840 5820 21 258 16 240 17 243 22 257 5820 4918 22 259 16 230 17 232 21 247 4918 4120 21*256 16 227 17 223 20 231 4120 3406 17*250 16 223 16 219 22 215 3406 2774 15 242 16 221 16 217 23 207 2774 2246 14 240 15 220 16 215 22 202 2246 1840 13 240 15 219 15 214 20 198 1840 1561 12 239 14 219 15 214 16 194 1561 1391 11 239 13 219 13 213 12*192 1391 1294 9 238 11 219 11 213 7*187 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography