DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 55.8 - - 48.4 - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 88 - - 38 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1708 - - 1003 - - 906 - - 890 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3145 - - 2440 - - 2343 - - 2327 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2183 - - 670 - - 1090 - - 1172 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 166 - - 183 - - 137 - - 99 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 18 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 354 - - 018 - - 016 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -546 - - 270 - - 723 - - 514 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3692 - - 2170 - - 1620 - - 1814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1595 - - -186 - - 348 - - 15 ODpotential blCL - - - 4740 - - 2626 - - 1995 - - 2312 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 30 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.6 - - 55.8 - - 48.4 - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.8 - - 50.7 - - 45.9 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.3 - - 55.2 - - 48.2 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 50.4 - - 45.4 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 88 - - 38 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1708 - - 1003 - - 906 - - 890 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 102 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96527 36 255 40 249 44 246 47 259 96527 89227 26 236 29 234 37 249 32 253 89227 83647 23 243 31 236 39 243 31 257 83647 79027 19 241 28 224 37 241 40 258 79027 75068 24 263 22 240 32 229 36 239 75068 71582 27 246 27 244 29 248 29 230 71582 68420 27 256 35 249 37 259 35 251 68420 65509 43 264 43 262 45 256 46 261 65509 62820 44 269 47 270 50 254 54 257 62820 60241 41 280 49 274 51 257 57 255 60241 57565 49 279 52 272 53 261 54 254 57565 54777 54 275 56 268 56 260 62 262 54777 52085 57 276 61 261 59 259 65 261 52085 49626 60 278 63 256 61 261 71 269 49626 47406 62 278 62 258 68 270 78 270 47406 45389 64 278 64 268 78 270 81 264 45389 43548 67 278 70 271 77 263 79 256 43548 41857 71 276 72 269 75 257 77 259 41857 40299 74 273 69 269 75 266 86 271 40299 38855 77 274 66 269 81 268 91 270 38855 37496 69 257 65 269 82 264 89 266 37496 36179 67 248 63 267 81 262 88 262 36179 34835 68 250 62 264 78 262 87 260 34835 33439 68 252 62 262 76 262 86 257 33439 31992 66 253 66 259 76 261 85 257 31992 30481 62 256 68 256 76 259 85 259 30481 28892 60 262 67 258 75 258 86 258 28892 27227 60 268 65 265 77 263 85 258 27227 25488 63 273 66 267 80 265 78 257 25488 23680 65 273 68 262 75 259 76 259 23680 21807 63 267 70 257 72 252 75 262 21807 19856 64 258 73 254 73 258 71 259 19856 17819 64 251 74 253 76 266 66 258 17819 15745 61 246 73 253 71 259 61 265 15745 13755 61 249 70 253 60 248 56 262 13755 11949 58 257 55 250 44 244 52 250 11949 10343 52 269 28 246 30 254 50 250 10343 8918 46 277 25 255 32 273 44 259 8918 7656 37 280 23 253 32 277 37 273 7656 6541 27 281 18 252 27 272 29 286 6541 5559 20 285 14 257 21 267 23 293 5559 4698 15 291 9 272 15 286 18 303 4698 3943 12 300 7 319 12 334 14 324 3943 3270 8*317 12 011 12 011 12 357 3270 2677 6*348 19*020 13*019 12*022 2677 2183 6 354 19*019 13*018 11*025 2183 1803 6 356 19 018 13 016 11 025 1803 1542 6 358 19 017 12 015 10 024 1542 1383 5 358 17 017 10 014 8 024 1383 1292 5 358 13 015 8 012 6 022 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography