DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.7 - - 56.4 - - 57.7 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 23 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 163 - - 980 - - 1352 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1600 - - 2417 - - 2789 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1761 - - 981 - - 1189 - - 2430 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 31 - - 122 - - 123 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 014 - - 034 - - 046 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -294 - - 330 - - 516 - - -598 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1895 - - 2087 - - 2273 - - 1892 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -824 - - -146 - - -52 - - -1349 ODpotential blCL - - - 2424 - - 2563 - - 2841 - - 2643 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.7 - - 56.4 - - 57.7 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.2 - - 52.0 - - 52.5 - - 52.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 56.3 - - 57.7 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 51.5 - - 51.9 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 23 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 163 - - 980 - - 1352 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98557 9 151 4 176 6 174 3 171 98557 91153 13 115 8 182 8 220 5 343 91153 85429 9 090 4 149 6 207 4 332 85429 80678 7 108 8 097 4 055 3 129 80678 76592 2 119 5 093 1 144 3 099 76592 72987 1 196 5 107 6 240 8 349 72987 69729 3 013 5 038 3 190 10 341 69729 66746 6 003 5 348 5 004 10 329 66746 64000 5 335 6 357 9 327 10 330 64000 61349 7 323 9 322 12 324 12 324 61349 58581 9 299 8 277 15 297 15 293 58581 55710 9 284 10 252 15 248 13 258 55710 52967 19 293 16 274 17 278 12 271 52967 50498 30 267 28 272 24 280 17 279 50498 48287 31 251 31 259 26 271 22 284 48287 46274 29 240 32 249 29 257 32 270 46274 44421 32 247 33 246 31 246 33 252 44421 42704 37 243 36 245 32 245 31 240 42704 41102 43 233 43 238 35 246 30 241 41102 39599 49 230 47 231 41 243 32 247 39599 38183 56 227 47 226 43 232 38 238 38183 36817 60 222 46 223 42 228 41 225 36817 35430 57 219 46 218 42 224 42 223 35430 33999 50 215 43 216 41 220 41 221 33999 32528 45 209 40 217 38 220 37 222 32528 31000 43 211 38 216 35 222 36 227 31000 29400 43 215 34 218 34 223 33 230 29400 27724 42 218 30 221 30 225 27 236 27724 25970 37 225 26 230 25 228 20 242 25970 24139 28 238 25 244 20 237 15 241 24139 22235 21 253 22 259 15 259 10 238 22235 20253 18 257 14 263 11 276 8 232 20253 18186 17 274 8 264 8 273 6 254 18186 16078 12 293 4 351 1 224 7 262 16078 14047 6 298 5 359 3 014 6 354 14047 12200 3 317 3 356 5 032 6 352 12200 10558 3 315 0 021 4 011 6 322 10558 9102 5 229 4 110 2 342 3 020 9102 7809 4 167 7 102 3 087 9 071 7809 6668 8 104 9 096 10 065 12 057 6668 5664 12 082 15 082 15 053 18 062 5664 4785 19 074 21 075 19 060 26 070 4785 4012 22 067 23 071 21 058 29 068 4012 3322 20 055 21 063 19*052 27 063 3322 2713 16 041 16*047 16*048 22 057 2713 2206 13 026 13*037 14 046 16 048 2206 1816 11*020 12 035 12 046 11 036 1816 1548 9*016 11 033 11 046 9 028 1548 1386 8 014 10 032 9 046 7*024 1386 1293 6 010 7 030 7 044 4*015 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography