DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.7 - - 55.9 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 123 - - -5 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2364 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2484 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3801 - - 1293 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1285 - - 3712 - - 227 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 271 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 336 - - 015 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4660 - - -7308 - - -5600 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8461 - - 8602 - - 6893 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13000 - - -15119 - - -14228 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16801 - - 16412 - - 15521 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 62 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.7 - - 55.9 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 24.4 - - 23.2 - - 23.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.8 - - 56.3 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 23.4 - - 22.2 - - 23.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 123 - - -5 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2364 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 27 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95776 63 248 65 246 66 252 95776 88545 53 250 53 257 53 265 88545 83060 38 250 49 260 48 269 83060 78601 25 244 33 243 29 254 78601 74721 31 277 27 274 20 262 74721 71253 35 289 40 290 34 287 71253 68147 34 286 40 275 40 285 68147 65309 40 247 35 252 39 282 65309 62643 14 234 27 287 36 300 62643 60035 46 310 42 306 47 305 60035 57320 80 306 69 305 63 296 57320 54515 99 296 87 298 74 292 54515 51837 100 293 95 297 85 291 51837 49414 97 298 103 299 88 295 49414 47222 103 302 112 300 97 299 47222 45229 111 301 117 299 104 300 45229 43408 113 299 117 299 107 300 43408 41730 112 301 119 301 112 301 41730 40174 114 305 124 300 119 297 40174 38725 118 308 128 296 129 292 38725 37364 119 308 124 296 132 289 37364 36045 115 307 119 298 125 291 36045 34704 113 304 112 298 115 294 34704 33310 113 301 103 297 108 292 33310 31864 112 300 100 298 103 288 31864 30357 106 297 99 297 98 288 30357 28784 97 291 96 295 94 294 28784 27143 92 292 92 295 87 297 27143 25427 92 296 93 297 82 300 25427 23636 90 296 92 299 81 305 23636 21775 84 297 83 299 78 306 21775 19841 77 300 73 301 72 303 19841 17828 63 302 69 309 64 300 17828 15776 53 304 60 316 59 304 15776 13794 47 306 49 313 55 315 13794 11987 43 308 45 303 49 321 11987 10380 40 310 40 301 43 319 10380 8956 36 314 33 305 36 312 8956 7695 32 322 26 312 26 306 7695 6583 30 332 20 323 12 296 6583 5602 27 339 16 333 6 255 5602 4741 23 341 12 334 8 225 4741 3979 15*337 8 332 9 220 3979 3298 11*335 5 346 5 207 3298 2697 10 335 5 000 4 150 2697 2195 10 336 5 006 7 118 2195 1809 9 336 5 010 9 108 1809 1545 9 336 5 012 9 106 1545 1384 8 336 4*013 7*108 1384 1292 7 336 4*015 4*109 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography