DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.4 - - 69.4 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 14 - - -43 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4636 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2776 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6073 - - 1295 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1428 - - 5959 - - 532 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 236 - - 24 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 297 - - 308 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -658 - - -4660 - - -3120 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6731 - - 5956 - - 4414 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8077 - - -9501 - - -10929 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14150 - - 10796 - - 12223 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 59 - - 44 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.4 - - 69.4 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.4 - - 48.0 - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.4 - - 71.3 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.0 - - 46.7 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 14 - - -43 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4636 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98048 29 247 31 250 33 247 98048 90671 31 233 32 248 27 246 90671 84943 28 218 26 235 23 236 84943 80164 21 227 25 237 25 236 80164 76044 20 232 20 238 23 240 76044 72422 17 242 19 236 20 255 72422 69173 17 248 20 239 24 269 69173 66207 19 246 22 233 26 257 66207 63451 26 264 24 245 26 262 63451 60779 35 262 33 260 36 266 60779 58023 43 253 44 258 43 264 58023 55189 51 250 51 258 49 260 55189 52482 59 251 57 263 56 263 52482 50041 67 253 65 261 64 265 50041 47850 74 254 72 256 73 260 47850 45866 80 253 84 251 98 254 45866 44059 86 250 94 248 119 249 44059 42387 93 248 108 246 125 246 42387 40820 91 247 111 244 132 244 40820 39338 83 248 98 243 127 244 39338 37935 76 250 79 247 118 248 37935 36585 71 256 74 253 91 249 36585 35226 70 259 71 252 74 252 35226 33823 67 261 67 256 71 255 33823 32372 64 264 64 259 68 255 32372 30858 60 264 63 260 65 258 30858 29269 57 264 63 261 65 260 29269 27603 54 263 60 262 65 261 27603 25861 51 261 56 264 63 262 25861 24042 49 260 54 265 58 261 24042 22151 47 262 52 266 55 261 22151 20183 43 264 50 268 51 263 20183 18135 42 265 48 268 47 264 18135 16044 41 265 44 269 44 267 16044 14024 41 266 42 273 41 270 14024 12186 41 269 39 274 37 272 12186 10558 40 274 36 274 31 273 10558 9120 37 281 31 278 24 276 9120 7847 30 286 24 284 18 279 7847 6718 22*287 16 285 15 285 6718 5719 17*288 14 288 14 293 5719 4839 15 291 15 292 15 300 4839 4060 14 295 14 296 15 305 4060 3362 13 298 14 301 15 307 3362 2743 12 301 14 304 14 309 2743 2225 12 303 14 306 12 311 2225 1828 11 305 13 308 10 314 1828 1554 11 306 12 308 8 317 1554 1388 10 306 10*307 6*318 1388 1293 8 307 7*308 2*333 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography