DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.1 - - 83.9 - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 101 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4050 - - 4663 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3735 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5487 - - 6100 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3411 - - 3746 - - 7138 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 333 - - 218 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 354 - - 346 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -15 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 179 - - 214 - - -2517 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5308 - - 5886 - - 3812 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1270 - - -1710 - - -4151 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6757 - - 7810 - - 5446 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 86 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1240 - - 1340 - - 1920 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.1 - - 83.9 - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.0 - - 62.3 - - 67.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.3 - - 84.1 - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.6 - - 61.0 - - 66.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 101 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4050 - - 4663 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 22 - - 45 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 11 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99375 43 084 40 087 33 081 99375 91842 32 092 30 075 35 066 91842 86062 29 092 25 073 32 072 86062 81283 28 089 24 085 23 081 81283 77160 25 084 23 086 15 084 77160 73510 22 080 21 083 16 097 73510 70201 20 079 15 080 16 081 70201 67166 16 066 12 098 13 071 67166 64366 13 049 9 061 12 027 64366 61666 15 016 13 018 12 358 61666 58859 17 352 17 352 17 347 58859 55944 19 340 23 340 21 327 55944 53162 32 333 35 337 30 342 53162 50671 39 319 41 329 49 336 50671 48441 39 315 48 324 53 333 48441 46400 39 319 49 325 64 330 46400 44514 44 328 55 332 67 331 44514 42772 51 328 59 332 67 335 42772 41171 53 326 59 331 65 342 41171 39689 53 325 56 329 70 348 39689 38297 51 321 54 331 74 341 38297 36956 47 314 55 333 68 336 36956 35594 41 312 57 334 63 337 35594 34178 37 319 56 333 54 336 34178 32711 37 320 54 332 48 331 32711 31178 37 320 53 331 48 323 31178 29567 36 319 48 330 44 320 29567 27879 36 320 39 326 38 322 27879 26113 39 322 34 323 39 327 26113 24272 40 325 32 322 36 326 24272 22362 36 326 31 326 32 316 22362 20376 31 323 32 330 31 313 20376 18312 30 325 32 331 29 324 18312 16219 25 325 31 332 28 333 16219 14213 21 336 31 333 31 333 14213 12390 22 349 31 337 31 329 12390 10767 24 354 26 344 24 331 10767 9320 23 351 19 344 18 321 9320 8030 20 344 15 342 12 305 8030 6880 16 341 10*341 8 310 6880 5858 12*342 8*342 5 322 5858 4953 9*348 7 345 2 346 4953 4151 7 352 6 347 1 006 4151 3431 7 355 6 348 1 029 3431 2793 6 356 5 347 0 115 2793 2259 6 356 5 349 0 187 2259 1848 5 356 5 347 1 194 1848 1565 5 356 4 347 1 196 1565 1393 5 357 4 347 1*195 1393 1294 4 356 4 348 1*194 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography