DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 3.9 - - 25.0 - - 27.1 - - 21.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -21 - - 23 - - -19 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1174 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1272 - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1290 - - 2611 - - 1292 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 417 - - 1861 - - 4313 - - 4403 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 130 - - 14 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 18 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 236 - - 241 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 10 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2004 - - -1722 - - -1952 - - -1144 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3294 - - 4333 - - 3245 - - 2435 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18547 - - -13539 - - -2664 - - -2146 ODpotential blCL - - - 19837 - - 16150 - - 3956 - - 3437 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 64 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 3.9 - - 25.0 - - 27.1 - - 21.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -5.5 - - 10.7 - - 17.7 - - 15.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 7.3 - - 25.0 - - 28.3 - - 23.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -5.9 - - 9.6 - - 16.9 - - 15.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -21 - - 23 - - -19 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1174 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 61 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96473 106 210 77 217 97 215 84 229 96473 89179 110 221 105 231 105 227 98 225 89179 83578 108 234 107 229 101 230 94 223 83578 78895 97 242 100 233 92 236 88 227 78895 74821 78 241 88 236 85 236 78 228 74821 71203 65 240 72 231 75 229 71 237 71203 67929 54 243 60 232 61 233 69 243 67929 64942 53 253 55 246 57 244 66 237 64942 62176 63 255 60 257 59 253 68 242 62176 59489 78 249 73 256 70 255 76 249 59489 56677 83 243 86 251 82 252 82 254 56677 53740 83 242 90 244 89 251 89 256 53740 50919 83 246 90 243 93 252 95 254 50919 48368 88 251 92 247 97 252 96 253 48368 46076 96 253 96 249 98 251 98 254 46076 43998 102 253 98 248 103 252 104 256 43998 42106 106 255 97 249 108 251 112 256 42106 40372 111 256 100 253 105 250 115 255 40372 38771 114 256 105 255 103 255 113 253 38771 37288 114 258 105 255 101 257 110 254 37288 35913 112 258 102 255 99 258 110 256 35913 34605 103 258 99 257 100 257 110 259 34605 33291 98 260 95 260 97 254 112 260 33291 31939 96 262 98 263 96 256 112 259 31939 30547 94 262 98 264 95 258 107 259 30547 29098 92 261 92 265 94 260 105 263 29098 27578 91 260 86 268 95 261 105 265 27578 25986 90 261 84 268 96 262 104 265 25986 24318 90 262 83 264 95 261 104 267 24318 22576 89 263 82 263 93 262 106 267 22576 20762 85 262 81 266 92 264 106 268 20762 18875 78 261 80 268 92 266 104 270 18875 16914 70 260 78 268 91 267 100 272 16914 14923 63 260 74 266 88 267 95 273 14923 13018 56 258 68 264 84 268 84 275 13018 11302 51 256 60 263 80 271 69 279 11302 9788 48 256 56 263 74 272 62 282 9788 8449 45 256 54 264 67 273 60 283 8449 7267 43 256 53 264 59 273 58 281 7267 6228 40 256 51 263 50 269 52 277 6228 5318 37 257 46 262 40 262 45 273 5318 4518 37 260 38 261 31 255 41 272 4518 3810 37 265 30 255 29 252 38 271 3810 3174 37 267 25*248 27 250 34 269 3174 2610 32 265 22*242 25 248 29 266 2610 2140 23 256 20 237 22 246 25 264 2140 1777 17 243 18 234 19 244 20 262 1777 1529 13 231 16 231 16 243 15 259 1529 1377 9*223 13 229 13*242 11*258 1377 1290 5*212 10 227 9*241 4*252 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography