DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.9 - - 63.0 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -1 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1294 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1139 - - 913 - - 759 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 010 - - 360 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1293 - - 1293 - - 1293 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -343 - - -5840 - - -5076 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1637 - - 7134 - - 6370 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 340 - - 450 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.9 - - 63.0 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.2 - - 62.1 - - 61.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.0 - - 63.2 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.1 - - 62.0 - - 61.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -1 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97596 30 273 31 268 30 276 97596 90372 22 263 18 266 25 275 90372 84782 18 263 20 272 20 287 84782 80131 17 284 20 277 20 299 80131 76122 11 286 17 291 17 301 76122 72588 13 297 20 288 17 305 72588 69398 12 303 16 280 14 305 69398 66486 14 310 18 295 21 305 66486 63811 19 286 20 301 23 298 63811 61234 22 269 21 285 22 293 61234 58540 26 258 21 261 25 285 58540 55743 26 251 25 267 30 264 55743 53077 24 251 31 252 32 259 53077 50669 35 250 35 239 39 249 50669 48504 44 227 40 236 40 235 48504 46531 61 213 46 231 44 229 46531 44703 68 210 54 226 49 222 44703 42989 73 208 59 223 52 221 42989 41380 78 205 67 219 61 221 41380 39866 82 202 77 216 70 218 39866 38442 82 200 84 212 78 213 38442 37068 80 198 86 207 84 209 37068 35673 78 197 86 204 84 206 35673 34224 77 194 83 202 82 204 34224 32726 76 196 79 202 78 204 32726 31164 74 200 79 201 75 204 31164 29530 69 199 76 202 74 204 29530 27822 63 196 72 203 67 207 27822 26050 59 194 69 203 49 210 26050 24217 58 196 61 202 36 216 24217 22317 52 200 50 203 31 214 22317 20334 43 206 46 203 29 212 20334 18267 40 209 43 197 31 203 18267 16164 40 202 41 193 30 201 16164 14146 34 191 40 187 25 191 14146 12317 29 183 38 183 21 172 12317 10691 33 184 34 180 16 159 10691 9242 34 186 27 181 15 165 9242 7947 34 184 22 187 14 173 7947 6795 31 171 19 190 13 177 6795 5774 27 152 18 188 12 175 5774 4874 21 130 17 179 10 167 4874 4080 18 110 15 158 8 155 4080 3370 15 086 13 131 6 132 3370 2743 16 057 13 102 5 088 2743 2223 15 036 12 072 7 036 2223 1826 13 026 8 040 9 355 1826 1553 11 019 6 015 6 323 1553 1388 9*016 5*003 5*305 1388 1293 5*010 4*357 3*285 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography