DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.9 - - 51.2 - - 40.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 116 - - 11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1693 - - 1284 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1961 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3130 - - 2721 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 983 - - 947 - - 1332 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 239 - - 102 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 15 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 041 - - 070 - - 113 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -46 - - -711 - - -1202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3176 - - 3432 - - 2494 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5942 - - -7484 - - -13214 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9072 - - 10205 - - 14506 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 85 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.9 - - 51.2 - - 40.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.5 - - 40.8 - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 51.1 - - 51.0 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.9 - - 40.3 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 116 - - 11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1693 - - 1284 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 63 - - 39 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95893 89 248 81 246 91 252 95893 88846 65 242 59 254 62 260 88846 83388 41 252 45 258 39 264 83388 78851 30 271 36 266 28 266 78851 74937 22 266 28 265 26 277 74937 71493 16 269 26 234 22 268 71493 68362 23 293 11 285 12 268 68362 65455 24 294 22 309 21 322 65455 62752 20 279 20 292 25 307 62752 60127 13 256 26 262 32 289 60127 57394 16 263 35 279 51 282 57394 54558 52 291 56 284 59 276 54558 51847 73 288 70 287 73 281 51847 49411 81 287 78 288 75 282 49411 47234 85 288 80 288 73 291 47234 45265 87 288 87 290 88 296 45265 43467 94 288 100 287 98 291 43467 41818 98 286 100 280 97 290 41818 40293 93 286 92 285 99 294 40293 38867 89 288 89 292 100 296 38867 37520 89 287 92 293 97 294 37520 36210 92 286 96 293 96 292 36210 34873 93 288 99 293 95 292 34873 33482 90 289 98 293 91 290 33482 32037 87 287 95 292 89 288 32037 30525 86 286 92 293 88 290 30525 28933 85 286 87 293 85 292 28933 27267 85 290 82 293 76 291 27267 25528 82 294 78 293 71 291 25528 23718 79 292 74 292 68 291 23718 21835 78 291 71 293 66 291 21835 19877 74 294 65 296 63 294 19877 17844 68 297 60 302 53 298 17844 15777 58 297 54 305 44 301 15777 13783 47 297 45 304 39 301 13783 11968 38 299 37 302 36 299 11968 10357 33 305 31 303 32 299 10357 8929 32 309 28 303 27 299 8929 7664 31 309 28 302 22 298 7664 6543 30 308 27 301 21 298 6543 5555 26 308 22 295 20 288 5555 4688 19 304 15 277 18 270 4688 3927 11 294 10 276 9 277 3927 3254 4*305 3*315 1 058 3254 2663 2*021 7*068 9 113 2663 2172 3 040 7 071 15 107 2172 1796 3 045 7 070 15 109 1796 1538 3 046 7 071 13 110 1538 1381 3 045 7 071 11*112 1381 1291 3 046 5 069 6*114 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography