DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.9 - - 60.5 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 221 - - 110 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3455 - - 5557 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3573 - - 4707 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4892 - - 6994 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1200 - - 1512 - - 4209 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 376 - - 349 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 293 - - 294 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 18 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1336 - - -270 - - -3352 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6228 - - 7265 - - 4647 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4644 - - -1704 - - -6367 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9536 - - 8698 - - 7661 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 91 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.9 - - 60.5 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 32.2 - - 33.2 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.6 - - 59.6 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 31.0 - - 32.3 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 221 - - 110 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3455 - - 5557 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 42 - - 65 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96651 8 229 16 220 17 266 96651 89460 9 158 10 265 9 296 89460 83938 12 137 11 222 4 299 83938 79355 5 134 7 207 5 324 79355 75381 6 152 5 249 4 295 75381 71854 10 338 5 344 3 014 71854 68647 15 299 7 338 11 354 68647 65699 18 289 20 315 17 335 65699 62968 22 290 18 309 20 331 62968 60286 23 299 22 310 29 317 60286 57455 27 298 27 305 32 305 57455 54491 28 297 28 296 33 297 54491 51641 35 289 35 291 37 289 51641 49068 37 274 39 284 38 282 49068 46764 31 273 39 282 33 284 46764 44681 31 284 36 287 35 288 44681 42783 34 294 34 293 36 284 42783 41040 38 292 32 290 33 285 41040 39427 37 281 32 291 32 295 39427 37926 34 275 35 294 35 303 37926 36530 33 272 37 292 39 307 36530 35199 35 270 36 290 40 307 35199 33868 35 273 33 293 39 306 33868 32506 38 280 33 298 36 308 32506 31111 42 282 30 295 33 315 31111 29663 49 282 33 296 32 323 29663 28149 51 281 42 288 30 320 28149 26570 43 281 42 278 31 314 26570 24924 36 277 33 279 29 304 24924 23208 31 276 28 281 29 292 23208 21419 28 277 25 288 29 296 21419 19552 23 281 23 303 27 315 19552 17599 19 285 24 310 28 325 17599 15601 21 287 22 303 27 327 15601 13669 24 286 20 293 27 325 13669 11907 24 284 19 298 26 321 11907 10339 20 286 21 306 24 316 10339 8945 17 291 20 310 22 316 8945 7704 17 300 16*302 18 317 7704 6602 16 302 13*295 12 317 6602 5625 11*292 12 295 8 326 5625 4763 8*288 11 294 8 335 4763 3999 7 289 9 294 8 336 3999 3316 6 292 8 293 8 334 3316 2710 6 294 7 294 7 334 2710 2204 5 298 6 294 6 336 2204 1815 5 301 6 295 4 339 1815 1547 5 300 6 296 3 344 1547 1385 4 301 5 296 2*356 1385 1293 4 302 5 296 1*004 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography