DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.9 - - 77.4 - - 74.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - 18 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3191 - - 1860 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2549 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4628 - - 3297 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2550 - - 2658 - - 3181 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 246 - - 157 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 170 - - 281 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 684 - - 656 - - -325 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3944 - - 2641 - - 1620 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -738 - - -345 - - -1210 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5366 - - 3642 - - 2505 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 910 - - 1330 - - 1590 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.9 - - 77.4 - - 74.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.7 - - 69.8 - - 71.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.5 - - 77.3 - - 74.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.4 - - 68.8 - - 70.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - 18 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3191 - - 1860 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 87 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98990 30 074 22 088 27 068 98990 91505 23 074 22 074 24 076 91505 85745 20 073 21 067 21 075 85745 80980 22 068 22 072 17 070 80980 76893 17 065 18 065 16 057 76893 73292 15 098 9 082 12 056 73292 70032 14 066 7 090 11 045 70032 67041 5 057 6 001 15 000 67041 64284 1 125 7 299 14 346 64284 61611 6 042 5 296 12 336 61611 58818 10 337 16 309 19 316 58818 55934 19 279 20 286 24 287 55934 53198 28 282 23 273 28 281 53198 50761 35 283 32 273 36 277 50761 48591 36 274 37 267 36 276 48591 46610 38 277 39 272 39 286 46610 44780 50 272 47 272 51 291 44780 43083 56 264 52 266 51 290 43083 41497 56 264 55 263 44 287 41497 40009 59 266 57 262 42 289 40009 38608 62 266 57 264 46 288 38608 37252 64 267 54 262 48 284 37252 35873 58 265 50 259 46 283 35873 34443 52 262 46 261 40 288 34443 32961 48 264 40 268 38 288 32961 31415 44 269 37 277 37 292 31415 29793 39 273 32 274 35 295 29793 28092 37 274 24 271 33 294 28092 26310 32 273 26 271 34 298 26310 24455 28 284 35 276 33 307 24455 22531 29 286 33 287 30 309 22531 20531 27 282 29 298 25 306 20531 18450 16 271 27 310 18 314 18450 16334 3 291 19 322 13 319 16334 14293 5 327 8 347 11 308 14293 12433 8 308 3 009 9 310 12433 10782 9 286 4 299 6 323 10782 9319 8 253 8 293 7 344 9319 8019 9 233 10 303 9 349 8019 6861 9 223 10 313 7 002 6861 5834 7 219 8 316 6 015 5834 4929 6*205 6 312 6 021 4929 4128 4*174 3 300 6 020 4128 3412 4 170 2*287 7 016 3412 2779 4 169 2*284 8 011 2779 2249 3 169 2 281 9 007 2249 1842 3 168 2 279 9 002 1842 1562 3 167 2 278 8 360 1562 1392 2 169 2 281 8*359 1392 1294 2 170 2 280 5*357 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography