DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 28.9 - - 31.0 - - 29.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 25 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 382 - - 444 - - 127 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1819 - - 1881 - - 1564 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 943 - - 897 - - 1226 - - 469 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 77 - - 92 - - 20 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 111 - - 144 - - 129 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 62 - - 121 - - -77 - - -210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1757 - - 1761 - - 1642 - - 1502 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10996 - - -9019 - - -8470 - - -10027 ODpotential blCL - - - 12815 - - 10900 - - 10034 - - 11319 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 28.9 - - 31.0 - - 29.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.2 - - 26.0 - - 28.6 - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.8 - - 28.7 - - 31.2 - - 29.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.6 - - 25.5 - - 28.1 - - 27.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 25 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 382 - - 444 - - 127 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 90 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96221 13 292 9 275 7 319 7 326 96221 89063 5 344 3 279 10 290 11 302 89063 83521 6 357 2 005 10 222 16 278 83521 78922 12 250 15 276 11 283 14 298 78922 74955 11 238 24 262 22 298 16 279 74955 71434 22 289 23 261 25 289 19 267 71434 68244 31 273 28 264 30 280 24 270 68244 65319 32 266 33 265 31 270 33 273 65319 62614 34 268 33 265 32 265 39 271 62614 59988 47 275 38 268 36 265 41 265 59988 57231 57 273 47 273 38 270 43 267 57231 54342 60 265 57 269 50 274 54 268 54342 51571 63 255 67 262 64 269 68 264 51571 49076 67 254 76 254 77 264 76 260 49076 46843 76 258 81 253 85 259 80 258 46843 44821 93 259 93 255 98 256 87 258 44821 42969 119 252 114 252 112 253 100 260 42969 41262 121 248 131 247 118 253 116 255 41262 39687 128 250 139 248 135 253 133 253 39687 38227 145 252 159 246 159 251 151 250 38227 36855 143 250 165 245 171 250 150 248 36855 35529 141 248 165 246 176 251 149 250 35529 34185 142 248 166 248 170 252 155 251 34185 32793 144 249 167 251 166 254 152 251 32793 31359 145 254 165 253 151 252 141 249 31359 29868 133 255 145 251 140 246 137 245 29868 28303 116 246 124 239 135 243 138 243 28303 26663 120 243 128 240 129 242 139 246 26663 24948 118 244 122 245 123 248 129 255 24948 23165 111 249 110 248 114 251 106 258 23165 21321 105 250 101 248 106 252 79 260 21321 19410 103 253 92 253 98 252 69 259 19410 17423 87 250 76 253 86 255 63 256 17423 15397 62 241 65 249 69 254 56 256 15397 13446 43 243 53 249 51 251 48 258 13446 11682 43 256 37 247 32 257 38 260 11682 10121 27 251 29 254 23 260 26 263 10121 8737 23 247 26 254 21 261 19 267 8737 7507 22 237 23 243 23 265 16 266 7507 6416 24 228 22 238 24 267 15 270 6416 5457 22 216 23 231 23 267 16 278 5457 4616 20 201 20 214 21 261 16 277 4616 3877 18 180 16 193 15 244 12 262 3877 3218 15 153 13 179 10 227 10 232 3218 2638 11 131 9 170 6 231 9 216 2638 2155 8*119 6*158 3 221 7 207 2155 1785 5*112 4*144 2*144 7 182 1785 1532 4 110 4 143 2*132 7 149 1532 1378 3 111 3 145 2 128 5*134 1378 1291 3 108 3 144 2 127 3*132 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography