DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.9 - - 44.9 - - 43.0 - - 34.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 209 - - 37 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2042 - - 3004 - - 2542 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 3205 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3479 - - 4441 - - 3979 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1545 - - 753 - - 864 - - 1976 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 196 - - 349 - - 186 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 16 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 273 - - 282 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -342 - - -852 - - -1253 - - -1900 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3821 - - 5293 - - 5232 - - 3192 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -839 - - -9191 - - -9939 - - -12733 ODpotential blCL - - - 4318 - - 13632 - - 13918 - - 14025 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 77 - - 75 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.9 - - 44.9 - - 43.0 - - 34.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.6 - - 26.1 - - 24.5 - - 25.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 43.6 - - 42.7 - - 36.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.4 - - 25.7 - - 24.3 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 209 - - 37 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2042 - - 3004 - - 2542 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95221 90 241 85 252 77 253 86 244 95221 88127 49 256 50 260 42 251 48 257 88127 82662 39 272 33 275 28 262 25 260 82662 78102 46 281 47 283 43 292 39 297 78102 74188 47 280 44 280 51 294 51 305 74188 70771 46 300 33 298 44 304 51 310 70771 67682 55 304 38 309 43 304 49 308 67682 64825 62 300 52 308 44 299 46 298 64825 62152 62 296 56 303 42 293 44 290 62152 59532 61 294 58 298 47 296 43 289 59532 56767 62 292 59 291 56 291 50 288 56767 53880 68 290 61 285 67 285 60 285 53880 51126 73 286 67 283 77 280 69 280 51126 48659 75 286 75 285 81 280 76 279 48659 46462 83 288 85 287 87 283 80 279 46462 44478 94 284 95 282 95 281 85 278 44478 42670 101 281 106 279 102 277 88 273 42670 41017 107 281 114 277 105 273 84 272 41017 39494 113 282 115 274 104 271 81 273 39494 38076 118 282 117 272 101 275 82 275 38076 36742 121 283 118 272 101 275 83 275 36742 35447 122 282 115 274 99 274 83 272 35447 34126 123 283 110 275 96 272 87 269 34126 32751 121 284 105 276 95 270 88 270 32751 31327 116 285 102 278 92 270 82 271 31327 29841 110 285 101 279 89 272 77 270 29841 28282 105 284 101 277 88 275 73 270 28282 26651 105 284 100 275 87 279 69 275 26651 24946 102 284 97 277 87 282 67 281 24946 23169 96 283 92 278 84 285 64 282 23169 21325 92 283 89 278 81 286 62 281 21325 19417 89 286 85 280 78 285 62 282 19417 17439 84 288 80 282 75 284 62 283 17439 15424 76 286 74 284 71 285 61 284 15424 13480 73 283 68 285 65 287 57 284 13480 11713 72 282 65 285 60 288 51 284 11713 10146 68 280 62 285 57 289 46 283 10146 8757 62 280 58 286 55 290 42 284 8757 7524 57 281 50 287 50 290 39 284 7524 6432 48 284 42 286 43 288 36 285 6432 5468 37 286 32 283 34 283 34 286 5468 4623 26 285 21*276 26*278 31 287 4623 3881 19*282 17*272 18*277 27 291 3881 3223 15*281 17 273 16 280 23 297 3223 2645 12 280 16 273 16 281 18 304 2645 2162 11 281 16 273 15 283 15 311 2162 1791 10 282 15 273 15 284 14 316 1791 1535 9 283 14 274 14 285 12 325 1535 1380 9 283 13 273 12 285 9*332 1380 1291 7 284 11 273 9 286 5*339 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography