DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0957z - - 1332z - - 1600z - - 1859z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.4 - - 34.8 - - 44.9 - - 45.2 - - 34.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 93 - - 150 - - 2 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 798 - - 1648 - - 1611 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1271 - - 1272 - - 2096 - - 1273 - - 1272 Hcrit BL Top 1289 - - 2235 - - 3085 - - 3048 - - 1289 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 485 - - 519 - - 828 - - 1367 - - 155 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 172 - - 258 - - 80 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 129 - - 221 - - 218 - - 215 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1656 - - -3275 - - -4184 - - -3848 - - -2145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2945 - - 5510 - - 7269 - - 6896 - - 3434 sfcLCL ODpotential -18986 - - -16734 - - -15761 - - -14207 - - -12348 ODpotential blCL 20275 - - 18969 - - 18846 - - 17255 - - 13637 blCL maxRH 53 - - 88 - - 83 - - 79 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.4 - - 34.8 - - 44.9 - - 45.2 - - 34.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.7 - - 15.8 - - 18.0 - - 19.9 - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.1 - - 34.2 - - 44.0 - - 45.4 - - 37.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.4 - - 14.5 - - 16.3 - - 18.3 - - 23.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 93 - - 150 - - 2 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 798 - - 1648 - - 1611 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 52 - - 30 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97622 32 191 32 204 28 187 25 197 18 202 97622 90256 24 193 25 191 24 194 19 210 14 202 90256 84547 15 205 19 183 19 197 19 220 9 230 84547 79776 26 227 15 217 22 228 26 233 20 256 79776 75666 32 242 24 234 26 235 26 242 23 243 75666 72023 34 252 23 249 23 238 28 243 26 248 72023 68723 29 258 23 257 24 249 29 241 28 248 68723 65702 32 262 28 257 33 258 32 246 29 250 65702 62913 40 261 33 260 34 254 34 254 33 253 62913 60219 43 258 38 266 35 266 35 263 31 257 60219 57405 43 257 42 268 42 266 42 265 40 265 57405 54491 44 256 46 260 51 256 55 257 52 264 54491 51729 46 254 53 256 59 252 62 252 64 259 51729 49267 57 259 67 253 71 254 69 251 72 254 49267 47076 69 256 76 249 80 252 77 249 78 251 47076 45093 78 259 78 251 84 252 81 249 83 250 45093 43277 86 261 87 258 89 252 86 252 88 252 43277 41595 95 260 100 258 95 251 95 254 92 253 41595 40029 103 259 107 255 99 251 102 253 96 253 40029 38569 116 255 109 252 103 249 109 251 103 249 38569 37204 114 246 107 250 102 246 108 248 107 246 37204 35892 114 246 103 248 98 244 103 246 104 244 35892 34558 115 249 102 248 98 245 98 248 101 246 34558 33170 114 256 101 249 97 248 95 250 100 250 33170 31734 95 253 98 250 96 251 92 249 97 250 31734 30234 82 251 90 248 91 251 88 248 88 247 30234 28660 76 251 80 240 83 248 82 249 78 243 28660 27009 72 245 79 238 77 246 77 250 75 245 27009 25279 73 241 80 241 73 247 75 249 72 245 25279 23472 73 239 79 237 70 248 71 249 68 246 23472 21596 72 239 74 240 64 246 64 248 63 247 21596 19650 72 240 69 240 59 243 56 244 55 246 19650 17632 70 238 65 243 62 241 52 241 48 246 17632 15583 63 237 59 246 58 242 52 240 43 243 15583 13615 53 237 54 243 50 243 49 241 41 235 13615 11833 44 237 48 240 47 244 40 247 37 235 11833 10252 35 236 42 236 47 244 35 248 33 239 10252 8850 26 236 36 229 45 240 37 245 35 238 8850 7606 21 236 28 218 39 231 38 239 36 234 7606 6503 20 232 20 211 31 222 34 230 33 232 6503 5530 21 224 16 216 25 218 28 225 26 234 5530 4676 22 221 16 227 21 224 22 226 20 240 4676 3925 22 222 19 231 17 232 18 226 15 247 3925 3255 21 225 20 228 16*231 13*224 13 249 3255 2664 20 229 19*227 14*226 9*217 12 240 2664 2172 18 234 16*226 11 218 8 216 11 228 2172 1794 14 238 10 220 10 216 8 214 10 212 1794 1535 8 229 8 218 9 215 7 214 9 194 1535 1378 4*200 7 217 8 214 6 213 7*175 1378 1288 4*129 6 215 7 214 5 212 5*164 1288 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography