DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/28 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.9 - - 72.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 69 - - -2 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5392 - - 5389 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4563 - - 1277 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6829 - - 6826 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1621 - - 1492 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 342 - - 220 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 17 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 326 - - 330 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 10 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1472 - - 1534 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5357 - - 5292 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -332 - - -686 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7161 - - 7512 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 76 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 30 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.9 - - 72.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.9 - - 53.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.6 - - 72.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.6 - - 52.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 69 - - -2 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5392 - - 5389 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98263 2 082 13 054 98263 90853 11 080 15 041 90853 85184 13 057 13 055 85184 80473 10 051 10 049 80473 76376 11 043 13 045 76376 72752 6 032 14 019 72752 69483 6 005 8 002 69483 66490 9 018 11 331 66490 63717 12 335 10 312 63717 61013 16 318 27 314 61013 58198 25 298 33 290 58198 55306 32 293 36 286 55306 52556 40 285 43 287 52556 50088 51 290 56 289 50088 47895 75 279 72 283 47895 45926 91 271 82 273 45926 44129 92 273 86 274 44129 42459 94 280 92 281 42459 40895 99 284 99 286 40895 39423 101 285 102 287 39423 38032 103 283 102 285 38032 36684 103 282 103 284 36684 35309 102 280 104 285 35309 33877 100 278 104 283 33877 32393 96 280 100 286 32393 30851 85 281 89 288 30851 29247 72 290 76 290 29247 27581 67 299 67 298 27581 25842 67 301 67 305 25842 24027 65 301 67 306 24027 22137 58 304 60 313 22137 20166 53 302 53 315 20166 18111 49 300 51 310 18111 16020 45 303 49 310 16020 14013 41 307 43 316 14013 12192 36 311 38 318 12192 10576 33 314 35 320 10576 9144 31 316 29 320 9144 7876 28*318 22*319 7876 6751 25*319 19*323 6751 5751 24 320 19 326 5751 4866 20 324 18 329 4866 4082 17 327 18 331 4082 3379 16 329 17 333 3379 2755 16 331 17 334 2755 2234 15 332 16 335 2234 1833 14 333 15 336 1833 1557 14 333 14 336 1557 1390 13 334 13 336 1390 1294 10 334 10 336 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography