DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 83.7 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 103 - - 13 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4628 - - 3568 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4172 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6065 - - 5005 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2320 - - 4914 - - 4701 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 351 - - 209 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 63 - - 41 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 329 - - 022 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -20 - - -16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -443 - - -2156 - - -2524 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6508 - - 7161 - - 3819 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6903 - - -3682 - - -4846 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12968 - - 8687 - - 6141 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 69 - - 83 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 110 - - 480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 83.7 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.3 - - 56.8 - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.7 - - 83.8 - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.9 - - 55.4 - - 63.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 103 - - 13 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4628 - - 3568 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 33 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98817 32 088 15 092 27 053 98817 91314 26 086 16 075 16 086 91314 85584 21 090 18 077 12 097 85584 80840 18 094 17 095 10 081 80840 76731 13 092 15 090 13 063 76731 73091 11 079 15 089 13 059 73091 69808 9 081 13 090 9 056 69808 66802 7 083 7 097 6 042 66802 64023 4 109 4 155 3 350 64023 61345 1 324 1 237 4 260 61345 58569 7 266 9 307 5 299 58569 55699 21 260 19 271 17 284 55699 52962 26 249 30 266 31 276 52962 50509 33 251 40 261 40 271 50509 48342 40 246 52 261 62 272 48342 46396 37 242 61 248 62 250 46396 44600 31 275 49 238 53 236 44600 42922 59 307 41 286 40 264 42922 41351 88 304 69 301 47 289 41351 39881 89 296 64 293 54 282 39881 38496 86 291 61 277 56 274 38496 37151 84 291 64 274 60 265 37151 35778 70 287 67 273 62 264 35778 34347 60 278 68 272 61 262 34347 32865 55 262 72 275 57 262 32865 31317 61 260 65 275 54 268 31317 29692 55 268 66 276 55 269 29692 27990 44 265 59 278 52 277 27990 26211 40 256 46 273 45 289 26211 24362 36 260 41 269 32 286 24362 22446 31 261 35 269 28 277 22446 20457 27 258 29 271 28 274 20457 18388 23 259 26 261 21 272 18388 16279 20 271 24 264 19 260 16279 14248 19 279 21 269 20 271 14248 12401 19 275 20 265 21 287 12401 10764 20 267 19 270 17 286 10764 9314 19 260 12 264 10 239 9314 8024 12 265 11 265 9 237 8024 6872 6*270 9 264 6 240 6872 5848 4*277 7*265 3 259 5848 4943 2 295 4*268 2 349 4943 4142 1 334 1 280 5 018 4142 3423 1 003 1 036 8 022 3423 2787 1 012 2 051 10 022 2787 2254 1 015 2 054 11 023 2254 1845 1 025 2 055 11 023 1845 1563 1 020 2 055 10 023 1563 1393 1 020 2 057 8*024 1393 1294 1 019 2 054 5*025 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography