DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.3 - - 83.2 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 36 - - -21 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2102 - - 1608 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3539 - - 3045 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1859 - - 2782 - - 238 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 210 - - 123 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 078 - - 134 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2873 - - -2755 - - -2294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6412 - - 5800 - - 3589 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6821 - - -7109 - - -7853 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10360 - - 10154 - - 9148 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 62 - - 65 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.3 - - 83.2 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.0 - - 62.5 - - 62.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.0 - - 84.4 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.7 - - 61.2 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 36 - - -21 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2102 - - 1608 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99052 20 113 10 113 5 133 99052 91691 20 092 9 099 10 065 91691 85989 20 091 9 106 15 034 85989 81237 14 091 11 089 13 048 81237 77131 12 096 11 073 12 074 77131 73501 14 106 10 091 8 094 73501 70228 12 099 10 112 7 114 70228 67229 8 097 6 102 5 123 67229 64448 7 106 4 148 1 113 64448 61762 3 095 3 146 2 142 61762 58983 2 247 2 310 3 321 58983 56153 4 268 9 313 12 325 56153 53513 5 171 10 294 8 326 53513 51157 14 065 8 051 11 005 51157 49030 16 031 13 021 17 344 49030 47086 19 012 10 021 5 348 47086 45293 13 004 10 012 5 067 45293 43626 6 359 10 354 7 043 43626 42061 6 020 8 356 10 039 42061 40580 9 036 7 026 13 041 40580 39173 11 043 11 055 13 053 39173 37805 10 047 11 059 15 073 37805 36409 9 037 8 067 12 077 36409 34957 9 007 6 051 4 089 34957 33451 9 342 7 355 3 058 33451 31876 9 321 10 319 4 355 31876 30217 8 310 12 302 6 327 30217 28479 7 303 14 296 9 322 28479 26665 8 296 15 292 13 320 26665 24777 11 293 15 297 15 323 24777 22818 13 298 14 304 15 322 22818 20781 13 305 13 301 13 317 20781 18663 15 303 10 304 12 310 18663 16509 16 291 12 318 12 317 16509 14441 15 269 16 312 13 320 14441 12566 11 247 14 297 12 320 12566 10902 7 234 10 281 11 327 10902 9421 4 282 7 297 9 340 9421 8102 9 348 9 324 9 343 8102 6928 15 356 11 328 9 335 6928 5887 17 359 9 327 8 323 5887 4967 15 001 7 332 4 309 4967 4155 11*009 3 349 4 221 4155 3430 5*040 3*128 9 189 3430 2789 4 083 4*135 11 171 2789 2255 4 087 5 134 13 159 2255 1845 3 090 5 134 13 148 1845 1563 3 092 5 134 12 141 1563 1392 3 092 4 135 9*134 1392 1294 3 092 4 135 5*130 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography