DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1329z - - 1559z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.8 - - 47.7 - - 46.9 - - 41.9 - - 36.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 40 - - 103 - - 27 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4252 - - 4672 - - 3677 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1273 - - 2724 - - 4061 - - 1273 - - 1272 Hcrit BL Top 1291 - - 5689 - - 6109 - - 5114 - - 1290 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4423 - - 1338 - - 1144 - - 998 - - 3402 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 238 - - 329 - - 199 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 17 - - 20 - - 19 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 269 - - 294 - - 296 - - 298 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 17 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 13 - - 13 - - 11 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -451 - - 2268 - - 1821 - - 1461 - - -1362 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1742 - - 3421 - - 4289 - - 3653 - - 2653 sfcLCL ODpotential -1948 - - 1171 - - 945 - - 793 - - -2151 ODpotential blCL 3239 - - 4518 - - 5164 - - 4321 - - 3441 blCL maxRH 94 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.8 - - 47.7 - - 46.9 - - 41.9 - - 36.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.8 - - 37.3 - - 32.8 - - 30.6 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 47.4 - - 46.4 - - 41.9 - - 37.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.6 - - 36.2 - - 31.3 - - 29.7 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 40 - - 103 - - 27 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4252 - - 4672 - - 3677 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96401 80 235 80 238 80 228 85 230 86 237 96401 88996 75 232 73 233 76 228 77 234 71 243 88996 83367 71 234 67 231 75 233 76 237 67 243 83367 78723 63 240 60 232 66 230 72 239 63 244 78723 74736 55 244 55 241 59 237 67 245 62 246 74736 71223 51 249 53 248 56 246 61 249 61 248 71223 68049 56 250 51 246 52 246 55 248 56 245 68049 65114 59 247 49 244 49 243 53 250 52 248 65114 62372 61 250 50 248 50 244 56 251 56 255 62372 59707 66 254 57 254 57 251 61 251 60 254 59707 56919 73 252 70 256 68 253 68 251 62 252 56919 54010 79 246 81 252 78 250 73 249 64 252 54010 51221 81 240 86 245 81 245 77 248 71 256 51221 48720 81 237 84 240 80 243 81 247 78 255 48720 46491 79 241 79 241 79 244 83 248 78 249 46491 44468 82 250 77 245 79 247 82 248 73 253 44468 42613 91 254 80 249 82 251 81 253 78 258 42613 40908 103 252 88 250 88 253 87 255 87 258 40908 39330 112 247 99 247 94 252 95 253 91 256 39330 37863 115 246 106 242 99 248 102 248 88 257 37863 36493 118 247 105 241 100 244 102 246 83 257 36493 35179 121 246 101 241 99 241 97 247 76 259 35179 33854 123 245 99 243 98 243 95 249 76 266 33854 32491 118 244 101 243 101 245 91 250 77 268 32491 31092 102 244 102 241 100 244 88 253 73 271 31092 29639 89 243 98 238 97 243 89 253 66 277 29639 28118 86 243 93 238 92 243 88 252 62 284 28118 26523 84 241 89 239 85 244 83 251 60 288 26523 24853 80 241 84 240 77 245 77 255 60 288 24853 23108 77 242 80 241 72 246 72 260 61 288 23108 21289 75 242 75 241 69 248 69 264 61 287 21289 19393 72 240 70 240 67 248 66 268 59 288 19393 17418 68 239 66 240 64 249 61 270 54 288 17418 15402 63 240 62 242 60 251 58 270 47 285 15402 13456 57 243 57 245 55 255 54 272 43 282 13456 11683 51 246 52 249 50 262 47 275 40 284 11683 10111 46 250 45 255 45 270 42 280 35 290 10111 8722 41 253 37 263 40 278 40 286 32 296 8722 7492 37 254 31 277 34 285 38 291 30 301 7492 6405 33 259 28*289 28*290 34 295 29 305 6405 5451 28 266 25*291 26*293 29*297 28 306 5451 4617 23 272 21 292 23 294 24*298 27 306 4617 3885 20 279 18 293 21 296 22 298 25 308 3885 3229 16 284 16 295 20 297 21 298 21 311 3229 2649 14 287 15 296 20 298 19 299 17 313 2649 2164 13 289 14 297 19 298 18 299 15 315 2164 1791 11 289 13 298 18 299 17 298 12 318 1791 1534 8 289 12 298 16 299 16 299 9 319 1534 1378 6*284 11 298 15 299 14 299 7*318 1378 1289 3*269 8 299 11 299 10 299 3*315 1289 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography