DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.0 - - 34.8 - - 31.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 155 - - 20 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4506 - - 3278 - - 3473 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4177 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5943 - - 4715 - - 4910 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1602 - - 3552 - - 2067 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 366 - - 171 - - 68 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 27 - - 28 - - 28 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 322 - - 318 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 17 - - 22 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1360 - - 79 - - 601 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4583 - - 4636 - - 4310 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 474 - - -634 - - 44 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5469 - - 5349 - - 4866 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.0 - - 34.8 - - 31.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 19.4 - - 19.0 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 34.4 - - 34.7 - - 31.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 18.3 - - 18.4 - - 16.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 155 - - 20 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4506 - - 3278 - - 3473 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96582 15 095 11 101 7 050 96582 89421 11 111 9 103 7 099 89421 83823 9 119 6 129 2 070 83823 79149 9 128 6 187 4 264 79149 75114 7 153 4 142 6 231 75114 71528 2 221 2 354 7 229 71528 68270 7 240 9 231 11 230 68270 65267 8 277 6 266 11 222 65267 62463 23 263 19 266 14 257 62463 59732 25 262 21 253 20 257 59732 56863 24 264 21 257 24 251 56863 53854 28 266 27 265 26 252 53854 50961 33 260 35 265 30 266 50961 48360 33 255 38 261 36 270 48360 46038 31 260 35 256 36 268 46038 43931 33 270 33 264 35 272 43931 42004 36 274 34 271 36 272 42004 40229 37 275 34 275 33 275 40229 38584 36 273 33 276 32 283 38584 37054 32 270 31 275 31 289 37054 35626 26 272 29 279 31 295 35626 34264 26 281 28 282 30 297 34264 32900 26 286 24 298 24 303 32900 31508 24 295 25 304 27 312 31508 30095 21 300 22 302 29 317 30095 28646 11 306 14 304 29 314 28646 27153 8 108 5 273 15 302 27153 25611 10 118 5 152 11 310 25611 24002 5 315 12 323 17 318 24002 22319 15 005 13 352 19 333 22319 20566 20 014 21 018 12 332 20566 18741 19 005 20 004 12 334 18741 16838 13 332 13 305 14 311 16838 14894 15 309 21 304 25 307 14894 13020 19 306 20 305 25 306 13020 11326 17 306 14 313 21 306 11326 9827 15 329 17 329 22 322 9827 8500 23 343 23 328 29 326 8500 7327 27 336 27 322 34 322 7327 6290 29*326 31 319 35 318 6290 5372 29*323 31*319 35*317 5372 4562 29 323 30*318 34*316 4562 3844 29 322 30 318 33 315 3844 3200 28 322 30 318 31 315 3200 2629 28 322 29 318 28 313 2629 2152 27 322 28 318 26 313 2152 1785 26 322 26 318 24 311 1785 1532 24 322 24 318 21 311 1532 1379 21 322 20 318 18 310 1379 1291 16 322 15 318 13 310 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography