DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0658z - - 1008z - - 1332z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.1 - - 86.7 - - 95.1 - - 97.4 - - 91.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 142 - - 258 - - 140 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2345 - - 6034 - - 8243 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1275 - - 2615 - - 5637 - - 6983 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top 1293 - - 3782 - - 7471 - - 9680 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 704 - - 1799 - - 1611 - - 2067 - - 8720 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 295 - - 484 - - 444 - - 17 W* B/S 2 - - 31 - - 14 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 259 - - 307 - - 212 - - 258 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1341 - - -1492 - - 101 - - 1432 - - -5300 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2634 - - 5275 - - 7370 - - 8248 - - 6595 sfcLCL ODpotential -7818 - - -4539 - - -2499 - - 320 - - -6542 ODpotential blCL 9111 - - 8321 - - 9970 - - 9360 - - 7836 blCL maxRH 76 - - 64 - - 71 - - 74 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 920 - - 1140 - - 1720 - - 1630 - - 1720 CAPE Temp@2m 76.1 - - 86.7 - - 95.1 - - 97.4 - - 91.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.7 - - 67.8 - - 67.0 - - 65.4 - - 67.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.1 - - 86.1 - - 93.6 - - 96.3 - - 92.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.3 - - 67.1 - - 66.1 - - 64.5 - - 66.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 142 - - 258 - - 140 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2345 - - 6034 - - 8243 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99049 39 072 40 099 30 095 38 101 31 081 99049 91534 31 084 28 090 29 089 33 085 33 087 91534 85761 29 093 22 078 27 090 31 079 32 091 85761 81013 29 089 23 088 22 082 28 077 30 082 81013 76935 27 085 25 092 20 071 22 077 26 075 76935 73334 25 080 26 088 19 079 16 073 20 076 73334 70091 24 070 25 090 21 098 12 067 14 069 70091 67121 21 066 23 080 24 112 9 071 10 048 67121 64365 19 052 19 058 23 111 11 106 6 033 64365 61688 13 028 17 039 17 089 15 118 2 037 61688 58905 5 017 11 015 15 022 13 100 3 128 58905 56053 3 079 2 040 21 340 14 054 11 111 56053 53385 7 051 6 133 14 296 22 016 16 068 53385 51010 9 043 9 121 6 222 5 296 27 044 51010 48873 7 065 9 121 10 137 5 170 3 025 48873 46925 4 081 9 138 12 122 6 135 6 152 46925 45128 3 149 11 147 12 129 8 129 11 133 45128 43447 6 153 13 147 14 138 12 135 13 127 43447 41862 8 137 12 146 15 145 14 145 12 130 41862 40365 9 129 11 146 14 156 13 156 9 150 40365 38949 7 133 7 152 13 167 10 173 7 178 38949 37577 6 139 4 182 12 177 10 204 7 212 37577 36180 6 152 5 208 11 188 11 217 10 236 36180 34729 6 164 6 219 10 194 11 224 10 234 34729 33226 3 224 6 230 8 196 9 229 9 223 33226 31659 3 301 4 240 7 214 8 240 9 211 31659 30013 1 155 4 256 8 237 9 262 7 218 30013 28290 1 224 6 273 9 267 11 275 6 236 28290 26493 6 263 10 270 14 285 13 289 7 278 26493 24630 7 248 11 264 17 291 13 301 5 307 24630 22708 8 246 10 280 17 303 9 326 8 344 22708 20715 9 268 12 303 15 311 9 329 11 332 20715 18640 10 306 12 299 12 312 10 310 9 329 18640 16523 11 308 13 298 11 311 12 312 7 319 16523 14481 8 300 18 303 18 323 17 316 10 309 14481 12623 7 298 21 293 20 314 17 307 12 317 12623 10969 9 296 19 279 18 297 14*299 11 318 10969 9496 13 290 13 267 14 284 11*283 12 306 9496 8181 13 284 6 268 9*263 10 265 13 287 8181 7006 8 290 6 313 9*257 11 259 15 283 7006 5961 7 326 10 323 8 241 12 256 15 282 5961 5034 11 340 11 322 7 208 13 254 16 282 5034 4214 15 340 10*323 7 201 13 254 16 281 4214 3477 18 338 6*324 6 197 14 254 16 281 3477 2825 18 335 2 306 6 192 13 253 16 280 2825 2278 13 331 1 293 6 189 13 253 15 279 2278 1858 7 314 1 273 6 187 13 253 14 278 1858 1569 5 278 1 256 5 186 12 253 12 276 1569 1393 4*264 1 256 5 186 12 253 9*274 1393 1293 2*253 1 250 5 184 10 253 6*273 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography