DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 60.5 - - 59.4 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 56 - - -15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 601 - - 2061 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2038 - - 3498 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1224 - - 1163 - - 2961 - - 169 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 118 - - 215 - - 17 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 112 - - 146 - - 125 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2002 - - -2313 - - -3709 - - -2319 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4040 - - 5811 - - 5003 - - 3612 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7521 - - -7653 - - -8003 - - -9399 ODpotential blCL - - - 9559 - - 11151 - - 9297 - - 10692 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 93 - - 92 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 60.5 - - 59.4 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 40.1 - - 42.6 - - 39.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 60.1 - - 60.7 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 38.9 - - 41.4 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 56 - - -15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 601 - - 2061 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 73 - - 68 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96592 92 250 104 246 104 249 86 243 96592 89457 65 247 67 250 72 255 61 255 89457 83939 46 249 41 257 51 261 47 269 83939 79398 34 264 25 254 35 255 43 269 79398 75487 26 279 21 269 26 260 29 270 75487 72010 25 285 24 283 21 276 23 282 72010 68840 27 280 25 284 22 284 25 288 68840 65920 25 277 28 284 23 285 27 287 65920 63197 23 277 29 276 24 280 25 286 63197 60538 25 277 29 278 25 280 29 290 60538 57763 27 280 30 272 31 279 34 286 57763 54901 36 285 31 274 33 280 35 279 54901 52178 40 268 37 270 37 277 36 280 52178 49725 37 262 39 262 38 270 39 278 49725 47533 38 265 37 262 39 262 39 273 47533 45561 42 252 40 263 43 255 41 262 45561 43776 38 247 46 248 47 253 37 252 43776 42149 43 254 45 247 42 260 28 267 42149 40648 49 255 46 253 41 263 35 284 40648 39241 46 256 45 253 34 258 43 268 39241 37906 44 257 43 254 30 268 44 261 37906 36606 44 252 39 267 31 282 44 261 36606 35275 45 255 42 286 36 286 37 262 35275 33887 38 254 47 292 38 287 31 254 33887 32445 36 260 45 288 37 290 30 248 32445 30933 34 261 42 279 36 292 29 251 30933 29339 34 260 41 276 37 294 25 261 29339 27663 34 266 38 279 36 293 23 269 27663 25905 34 271 35 281 33 292 26 276 25905 24070 29 274 30 275 29 289 27 278 24070 22159 23 271 26 272 28 290 25 275 22159 20168 8 291 20 289 24 285 22 284 20168 18093 6 021 10 283 13 288 14 283 18093 15985 6 355 2 247 5 258 8 295 15985 13968 7 318 5 346 2 006 4 298 13968 12141 7 334 7 348 5 337 5 312 12141 10520 9 354 9 010 5 000 5 337 10520 9081 10 359 11 012 7 020 5 012 9081 7802 11 360 8 021 6 029 6 042 7802 6667 10 356 3 068 3 076 4 075 6667 5665 6 355 3 164 3 143 4 143 5665 4785 1 244 5 185 4 188 5 190 4785 4012 6 129 8*160 5 169 6 183 4012 3321 12 123 8*150 7 146 10 160 3321 2712 12 120 9 147 8 136 13 150 2712 2205 10*114 8 146 8 133 14 145 2205 1815 7*111 8 145 7 130 13 142 1815 1547 6 111 8 145 7 130 12 140 1547 1384 5 113 7 144 6*127 8*136 1384 1292 4 114 6 145 4*125 5*129 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography