DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 1009z - - 1332z - - 1557z - - 1857z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.9 - - 74.5 - - 78.9 - - 80.1 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 146 - - 195 - - 86 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 130 - - 3579 - - 5534 - - 5699 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1274 - - 3521 - - 5131 - - 4770 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top 1567 - - 5016 - - 6971 - - 7136 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1165 - - 1242 - - 911 - - 1366 - - 6633 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 344 - - 436 - - 346 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 15 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 348 - - 347 - - 359 - - 356 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 10 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - -11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1843 - - -1164 - - -314 - - -561 - - -4179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3410 - - 6180 - - 7285 - - 7697 - - 5473 sfcLCL ODpotential -9805 - - -9226 - - -7671 - - -7327 - - -5871 ODpotential blCL 11372 - - 14242 - - 14642 - - 14463 - - 7164 blCL maxRH 74 - - 55 - - 58 - - 55 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.9 - - 74.5 - - 78.9 - - 80.1 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.4 - - 51.9 - - 51.4 - - 50.8 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.2 - - 73.6 - - 77.6 - - 79.5 - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.3 - - 50.2 - - 49.1 - - 48.5 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 146 - - 195 - - 86 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 130 - - 3579 - - 5534 - - 5699 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99090 40 075 36 088 35 078 39 085 28 083 99090 91569 32 075 32 079 31 079 33 078 29 080 91569 85778 26 085 26 081 28 082 29 076 30 075 85778 80994 23 080 22 079 23 077 26 080 27 071 80994 76889 18 079 19 081 19 079 19 078 24 078 76889 73264 17 089 18 080 16 094 13 080 17 065 73264 69976 14 079 14 076 14 092 9 100 11 069 69976 66952 8 065 12 075 7 090 5 087 5 061 66952 64149 3 050 9 057 5 099 3 077 1 357 64149 61443 1 120 2 039 2 261 2 354 2 325 61443 58624 11 295 8 317 4 301 4 294 9 304 58624 55714 22 271 22 272 16 271 17 279 22 285 55714 52969 28 240 29 266 27 271 27 271 25 272 52969 50507 28 267 36 261 37 257 30 259 29 271 50507 48297 47 267 39 261 38 261 38 268 37 270 48297 46292 52 258 46 267 49 267 47 268 40 267 46292 44455 57 257 53 264 56 262 50 266 43 267 44455 42759 64 258 57 259 56 257 52 262 46 266 42759 41185 64 255 56 255 54 251 54 257 47 264 41185 39713 60 252 52 253 50 248 55 253 47 262 39713 38328 58 250 49 252 46 248 54 253 48 262 38328 36989 58 254 47 254 43 252 51 255 51 261 36989 35626 55 257 46 258 43 257 49 258 53 260 35626 34207 50 258 45 261 44 261 49 262 52 263 34207 32734 46 258 45 262 45 265 48 264 51 267 32734 31195 47 261 45 262 46 266 46 267 47 270 31195 29578 46 267 45 264 45 267 45 269 44 273 29578 27883 43 271 45 267 45 267 44 270 43 276 27883 26110 40 273 43 272 45 268 43 272 41 277 26110 24263 36 276 39 278 42 272 41 276 37 280 24263 22344 29 276 30 273 37 276 37 278 32 284 22344 20356 24 260 30 257 34 271 33 278 25 288 20356 18291 29 264 30 274 32 280 27 287 18 287 18291 16189 33 269 24 284 21 298 17 301 13 300 16189 14162 27 275 20 284 15 313 12 317 11 316 14162 12318 23 287 18 285 12 319 10 326 10 323 12318 10680 23 288 16 286 11 317 9 331 10 327 10680 9230 22 277 16 282 9 315 9 329 10 311 9230 7947 21 272 15 283 9*343 10*327 12 302 7947 6808 17 281 15 313 9*358 10*330 11 319 6808 5796 17 311 19*335 9 359 9 346 10 339 5796 4901 22 332 19*344 9 360 9 355 10 359 4901 4109 24 348 18 347 9 359 9 359 11 009 4109 3398 25 357 16 348 9 360 9 002 11 016 3398 2768 26 357 15 348 8 360 8 004 11 020 2768 2242 24 354 14 349 8 359 8 006 11 023 2242 1837 19*351 13 349 8 357 8 006 10 025 1837 1558 13*348 12 348 7 357 7 007 9 026 1558 1388 11 347 11 348 7 357 7 008 7*029 1388 1292 6 348 9 348 6 356 6 008 4*031 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography