DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.9 - - 54.8 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 62 - - -5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1016 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2453 - - 1293 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 966 - - 3527 - - 679 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 165 - - 12 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 193 - - 212 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 109 - - -1142 - - -647 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2344 - - 2435 - - 1940 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1388 - - -2050 - - -7633 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3841 - - 3343 - - 8926 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 96 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.9 - - 54.8 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.2 - - 48.8 - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 51.4 - - 55.4 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.6 - - 48.0 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 62 - - -5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1016 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 86 - - 83 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95768 53 277 41 277 39 257 95768 88756 38 273 36 276 37 280 88756 83368 27 272 36 271 35 291 83368 78910 26 286 31 277 31 293 78910 75039 26 287 27 290 28 295 75039 71582 21 277 26 292 29 297 71582 68438 16 286 26 286 29 289 68438 65548 25 302 28 289 28 285 65548 62868 32 291 30 284 28 282 62868 60259 31 276 30 280 30 277 60259 57508 37 284 37 281 37 284 57508 54640 51 283 54 284 57 293 54640 51936 60 285 75 285 78 277 51936 49538 77 286 83 274 78 262 49538 47387 88 277 82 268 67 265 47387 45423 81 271 74 266 70 282 45423 43619 75 280 68 280 86 288 43619 41954 83 289 83 292 101 289 41954 40407 100 291 109 295 110 287 40407 38964 107 289 121 293 114 283 38964 37610 105 289 125 289 109 280 37610 36300 104 289 126 286 105 277 36300 34961 104 288 121 286 105 277 34961 33565 96 286 112 288 106 281 33565 32118 87 283 102 289 95 284 32118 30610 77 273 92 285 83 281 30610 29026 73 270 71 280 80 274 29026 27362 72 272 65 273 74 268 27362 25622 67 270 61 268 62 266 25622 23813 65 277 55 273 56 275 23813 21933 57 281 57 284 53 281 21933 19972 48 275 52 280 51 287 19972 17925 47 278 46 272 44 280 17925 15844 43 277 45 271 36 274 15844 13847 34 276 40 273 41 278 13847 12035 29 279 32 277 47 285 12035 10429 30 282 31 284 40 288 10429 9004 30 283 35 290 29 290 9004 7737 27 280 35 290 29 295 7737 6614 24 275 32 287 35 292 6614 5622 20 268 26 279 33 286 5622 4752 16 259 19 270 23 274 4752 3987 15 251 15 262 16 253 3987 3302 13 242 13 255 16 249 3302 2697 9*220 9 237 13 227 2697 2193 6*197 7 223 13 190 2193 1808 5 193 6 218 14 163 1808 1543 5 192 5 215 12 145 1543 1383 4 191 4*213 10*140 1383 1292 4 191 3*212 6*130 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography