DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 68.1 - - 62.2 - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 59 - - 3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2842 - - 3221 - - 176 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 2559 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4279 - - 4658 - - 1613 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1540 - - 1658 - - 2154 - - 3252 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 152 - - 246 - - 40 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 046 - - 046 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 13 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -56 - - -352 - - -417 - - -2582 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4335 - - 5010 - - 2030 - - 3876 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3346 - - -4555 - - -1647 - - -7968 ODpotential blCL - - - 7625 - - 9213 - - 3260 - - 9262 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 68.1 - - 62.2 - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 50.8 - - 57.8 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 67.6 - - 62.3 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 49.8 - - 57.2 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 59 - - 3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2842 - - 3221 - - 176 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98241 8 138 15 089 14 137 1 248 98241 90870 12 137 11 085 13 095 4 095 90870 85199 10 096 15 087 8 058 12 068 85199 80515 11 072 14 091 3 039 15 033 80515 76483 10 057 7 102 7 044 11 001 76483 72918 6 064 5 118 10 035 4 015 72918 69689 5 054 4 085 7 064 6 046 69689 66703 2 097 3 109 6 055 6 059 66703 63933 4 096 7 149 2 329 2 124 63933 61269 4 176 5 138 5 195 2 294 61269 58497 11 193 4 164 8 183 7 201 58497 55620 15 159 6 185 9 168 13 157 55620 52872 11 135 14 192 12 189 8 170 52872 50392 9 172 22 178 19 188 9 211 50392 48165 14 166 22 163 18 175 12 190 48165 46146 17 140 13 150 11 159 10 166 46146 44298 16 107 11 148 9 151 6 189 44298 42594 14 071 18 132 11 139 11 173 42594 41017 15 056 24 112 17 126 21 122 41017 39548 20 064 31 082 24 087 18 076 39548 38171 26 081 26 070 26 063 18 065 38171 36841 35 084 22 074 22 054 17 065 36841 35486 33 077 23 082 19 065 14 085 35486 34075 34 072 23 090 18 075 14 099 34075 32609 35 074 24 097 17 083 17 091 32609 31074 34 079 23 092 16 092 14 092 31074 29463 30 078 23 082 14 094 9 071 29463 27776 29 065 21 078 17 080 8 086 27776 26012 25 065 21 083 19 059 5 110 26012 24171 19 067 21 090 16 063 5 092 24171 22259 14 088 19 092 15 066 6 080 22259 20271 16 093 15 089 12 065 6 064 20271 18200 16 103 13 075 11 066 10 063 18200 16092 15 113 13 077 11 072 10 052 16092 14066 16 117 15 093 10 084 11 045 14066 12227 16 116 16 098 12 087 13 065 12227 10593 13 092 15 101 13 085 15 085 10593 9142 16 071 10 106 13 077 15 079 9142 7852 23 049 7 073 13 066 15 072 7852 6711 26 041 19 040 15 049 16 047 6711 5707 26 043 18 033 18 037 20 031 5707 4824 22*046 14*032 18 032 21 031 4824 4047 17*046 11*037 18 030 19 034 4047 3351 14 046 8 042 16 029 18 034 3351 2735 13 046 7 048 14 031 16 033 2735 2221 12 046 6 052 11 034 15 032 2221 1826 11 047 5 054 6*039 13 032 1826 1553 10 046 5 056 4*045 9 033 1553 1388 9 046 4 056 3 046 7*034 1388 1293 7 046 4 057 3 048 3*041 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography