DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.8 - - 50.7 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 7 - - -33 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3376 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4813 - - 1293 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1358 - - 4006 - - 1585 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 177 - - 18 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 278 - - 292 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 612 - - -1714 - - -976 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4201 - - 3007 - - 2269 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6127 - - -2578 - - -9085 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10940 - - 3871 - - 10378 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 79 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.8 - - 50.7 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 41.9 - - 42.2 - - 37.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.9 - - 52.1 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 40.7 - - 40.9 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 7 - - -33 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3376 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 35 - - 16 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96004 40 265 37 263 30 265 96004 88984 17 282 19 264 18 277 88984 83544 14 284 18 282 20 286 83544 79017 4 274 8 307 10 286 79017 75085 10 319 17 298 14 299 75085 71600 22 280 20 292 15 307 71600 68439 11 224 16 290 25 295 68439 65521 23 283 28 279 35 278 65521 62821 41 275 36 269 34 273 62821 60197 41 272 37 273 35 279 60197 57437 38 272 36 275 39 281 57437 54552 38 276 37 278 45 283 54552 51793 44 279 49 282 55 285 51793 49308 52 278 60 281 63 283 49308 47082 62 276 65 280 65 283 47082 45071 66 277 65 279 66 288 45071 43235 68 280 65 281 72 291 43235 41547 68 277 68 286 76 294 41547 39989 62 283 72 291 82 298 39989 38545 77 295 80 296 87 297 38545 37198 91 294 86 295 84 293 37198 35900 92 294 87 294 81 293 35900 34582 90 297 88 295 82 295 34582 33212 92 300 89 296 84 293 33212 31790 94 302 91 296 86 291 31790 30303 94 302 91 295 86 292 30303 28738 92 301 91 295 86 294 28738 27094 88 298 88 295 84 294 27094 25371 85 298 85 292 81 293 25371 23572 80 297 81 290 78 291 23572 21704 75 295 76 290 75 289 21704 19761 70 291 71 289 72 288 19761 17739 66 283 65 288 68 289 17739 15680 65 279 61 287 62 293 15680 13700 63 283 57 289 54 297 13700 11902 57 289 51 292 45 297 11902 10309 49 293 45 297 38 298 10309 8899 46 295 43 302 34 304 8899 7647 45 294 41 304 34 313 7647 6539 41 292 38 304 34 320 6539 5562 34*289 32 300 32 322 5562 4704 27*284 26 296 30 319 4704 3950 22 280 21 292 27 312 3950 3276 20 278 20 292 23 304 3276 2682 19 277 19 292 18 296 2682 2186 18 275 18 292 15 289 2186 1805 17 275 16 292 13 283 1805 1542 15 274 14 292 11 273 1542 1383 13 274 11*292 8*263 1383 1292 10 273 7*292 4*245 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography