DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.8 - - 80.2 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 26 - - -29 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2994 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4431 - - 1296 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1921 - - 4969 - - 2481 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 221 - - 23 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 273 - - 280 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 15 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 545 - - -1983 - - -740 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3886 - - 3279 - - 2035 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1707 - - -3213 - - -3471 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6138 - - 4509 - - 4766 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1170 - - 1230 - - 540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.8 - - 80.2 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.7 - - 69.8 - - 69.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.7 - - 81.7 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.4 - - 68.7 - - 68.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 26 - - -29 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2994 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 98 - - 102 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98809 11 108 4 023 13 046 98809 91399 14 093 6 102 13 052 91399 85670 15 079 7 093 5 054 85670 80892 9 074 10 088 4 097 80892 76759 1 023 8 092 2 105 76759 73120 5 282 4 011 1 175 73120 69867 6 235 8 260 5 310 69867 66889 5 227 12 218 15 305 66889 64116 6 223 6 242 13 265 64116 61437 10 191 12 255 11 247 61437 58671 13 236 16 235 18 238 58671 55844 26 256 24 252 23 240 55844 53182 34 224 36 235 34 236 53182 50800 35 213 42 225 46 228 50800 48672 38 218 53 221 53 222 48672 46736 43 217 55 216 56 219 46736 44944 45 212 50 215 54 217 44944 43270 43 224 48 216 52 215 43270 41699 40 233 49 219 51 214 41699 40217 37 232 43 222 49 216 40217 38817 37 232 40 222 45 220 38817 37459 38 237 42 224 46 220 37459 36073 36 240 43 230 46 225 36073 34632 32 245 40 235 46 233 34632 33139 32 250 36 240 46 239 33139 31580 32 252 36 243 47 244 31580 29942 33 255 39 246 44 251 29942 28224 35 259 41 252 43 250 28224 26427 36 255 43 258 43 249 26427 24555 37 246 43 258 42 254 24555 22611 40 245 41 257 40 253 22611 20589 40 246 38 256 38 254 20589 18492 37 252 38 259 32 252 18492 16367 32 256 36 260 32 262 16367 14322 28 258 31 255 30 271 14322 12460 26 262 23 252 26 272 12460 10804 24 266 15 253 24 264 10804 9335 20 273 14 264 22 263 9335 8032 17 276 14 274 16 250 8032 6873 17 275 15 283 13 247 6873 5845 17 270 15 291 12 261 5845 4939 16*268 15 292 12 274 4939 4137 16*268 14 291 12 288 4137 3419 15 270 13 288 13 295 3419 2783 14 273 13 286 13 292 2783 2252 13 275 12 285 12 285 2252 1844 12 277 11 284 11 279 1844 1563 11 278 10 283 9 277 1563 1392 10 278 9*281 6*277 1392 1294 8 279 6*280 2*278 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography