DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.3 - - 37.5 - - 31.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 83 - - 21 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3142 - - 3256 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2716 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4579 - - 4693 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1142 - - 909 - - 2104 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 260 - - 166 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 23 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 243 - - 258 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -142 - - -136 - - -2098 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4721 - - 4829 - - 3390 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -700 - - -5761 - - -9810 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5279 - - 10454 - - 11102 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 91 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.3 - - 37.5 - - 31.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 19.1 - - 20.8 - - 21.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 34.9 - - 37.5 - - 34.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 19.0 - - 20.7 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 83 - - 21 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3142 - - 3256 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 65 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94898 92 216 103 220 107 223 94898 87620 91 222 102 224 106 233 87620 82046 98 231 93 228 87 231 82046 77418 106 231 90 236 78 239 77418 73425 99 238 91 240 77 250 73425 69925 88 246 84 242 80 253 69925 66796 80 251 73 252 68 249 66796 63932 73 253 63 255 56 243 63932 61262 65 252 57 261 48 260 61262 58665 58 254 63 269 62 273 58665 55961 60 256 69 266 72 271 55961 53153 66 257 69 259 72 272 53153 50454 67 257 66 259 74 275 50454 48006 63 261 66 267 77 277 48006 45803 64 273 70 274 79 276 45803 43799 73 282 73 276 77 276 43799 41965 83 279 77 276 76 276 41965 40280 87 270 81 271 77 273 40280 38723 82 262 78 261 73 275 38723 37278 71 264 64 267 76 285 37278 35931 66 279 68 285 82 291 35931 34642 72 289 77 292 83 291 34642 33340 77 290 81 292 78 289 33340 31994 79 289 82 291 75 287 31994 30604 83 289 81 291 73 285 30604 29157 87 289 78 290 70 284 29157 27646 87 290 77 289 69 283 27646 26073 82 290 75 287 68 283 26073 24434 77 289 71 287 68 285 24434 22724 73 289 69 284 67 287 22724 20942 71 288 69 279 64 286 20942 19087 69 286 64 278 59 282 19087 17156 66 286 59 280 56 278 17156 15187 61 285 57 280 55 278 15187 13288 54 284 53 280 54 281 13288 11560 49 286 50 280 51 281 11560 10026 48 287 48 281 47 278 10026 8664 47 287 47 282 44 274 8664 7452 42 283 46 280 43 272 7452 6379 35 276 43 274 45 269 6379 5433 28*267 37*268 47 265 5433 4605 22*254 29*262 45 260 4605 3876 19 245 25 258 39 256 3876 3224 19 243 24 257 34 253 3224 2645 18 242 23 257 29 249 2645 2162 18 241 21 256 25 245 2162 1791 17 239 20 256 19 241 1791 1535 16 239 18 255 13 236 1535 1380 14 238 15 255 8*225 1380 1291 11 237 11 254 4*181 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography