DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 78.8 - - 82.7 - - 72.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 80 - - 24 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1222 - - 3342 - - 5041 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 2917 - - 1278 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2659 - - 4779 - - 6478 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1148 - - 2073 - - 4223 - - 272 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 143 - - 271 - - 221 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 20 - - 26 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 221 - - 215 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 11 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1387 - - -1245 - - -908 - - -3112 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4046 - - 6024 - - 7387 - - 4407 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4856 - - -3122 - - -2049 - - -5925 ODpotential blCL - - - 7515 - - 7901 - - 8527 - - 7220 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 86 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 490 - - 490 - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.3 - - 78.8 - - 82.7 - - 72.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.8 - - 56.7 - - 54.6 - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 78.4 - - 82.7 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 56.2 - - 54.1 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 80 - - 24 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1222 - - 3342 - - 5041 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 100 - - 45 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96317 11 270 11 264 24 286 16 313 96317 89275 3 225 5 253 14 272 8 289 89275 83832 7 336 7 234 10 265 12 277 83832 79303 7 306 5 271 3 142 4 265 79303 75377 13 253 17 274 6 335 4 315 75377 71885 10 229 15 244 14 263 17 288 71885 68740 9 290 9 288 11 216 17 257 68740 65855 22 281 19 293 20 262 15 258 65855 63154 33 256 34 253 29 254 25 263 63154 60536 31 254 27 240 27 247 31 253 60536 57822 32 258 24 254 34 262 32 248 57822 55002 53 250 48 252 45 246 48 247 55002 52288 64 253 52 259 64 258 59 254 52288 49821 75 263 74 264 72 260 78 257 49821 47608 86 265 86 260 85 259 88 254 47608 45610 80 262 84 256 84 255 87 249 45610 43798 63 258 69 250 71 247 73 240 43798 42136 54 258 49 263 55 243 61 242 42136 40591 50 257 51 273 53 254 62 251 40591 39145 59 262 55 275 69 267 72 257 39145 37786 66 262 54 267 69 270 79 257 37786 36471 67 260 58 257 61 263 75 249 36471 35133 58 261 53 257 59 255 69 245 35133 33741 51 263 50 257 60 253 64 243 33741 32298 51 272 49 253 58 247 59 241 32298 30789 50 274 45 250 52 250 53 240 30789 29202 48 272 45 252 47 263 50 237 29202 27539 46 265 46 255 49 257 48 233 27539 25801 45 258 48 253 53 249 45 229 25801 23989 46 255 50 250 52 251 43 234 23989 22107 43 255 45 249 51 253 46 250 22107 20154 35 252 41 251 53 252 63 252 20154 18126 32 247 43 246 59 253 71 248 18126 16063 38 251 45 246 58 247 69 246 16063 14078 37 248 49 250 54 240 61 244 14078 12277 30 247 51 249 51 240 53 241 12277 10676 31 245 47 240 47 240 49 237 10676 9247 32 239 40 235 41 235 43 231 9247 7972 30 233 37 235 34 227 38 230 7972 6833 29 231 37 235 30*220 37 234 6833 5819 29 235 34 234 30*218 36 237 5819 4922 29 242 26*227 29 217 35 238 4922 4126 29 244 23*223 28 216 33 237 4126 3412 27 243 22 221 27 215 31 232 3412 2778 22*238 21 221 26 214 27 224 2778 2248 17*231 20 221 25 214 24 215 2248 1841 16 230 19 221 24 214 22 208 1841 1561 14 230 18 221 22 213 16 199 1561 1391 12 229 16 221 19 213 13*193 1391 1294 9 228 12 221 14 212 6*182 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography