DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 62.9 - - 62.0 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 43 - - -26 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 430 - - 1511 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1867 - - 2948 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 760 - - 995 - - 3405 - - 179 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 184 - - 20 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 358 - - 354 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3629 - - -2089 - - -2879 - - -1206 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5496 - - 5038 - - 4173 - - 2499 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14826 - - -7563 - - -6905 - - -8661 ODpotential blCL - - - 16693 - - 10511 - - 8199 - - 9954 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 54 - - 50 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.7 - - 62.9 - - 62.0 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 45.7 - - 48.5 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 62.6 - - 63.5 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 44.4 - - 47.3 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 43 - - -26 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 430 - - 1511 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97481 10 235 14 251 17 279 19 288 97481 90221 10 269 9 262 18 271 9 259 90221 84649 10 272 9 272 15 254 11 264 84649 80011 6 300 8 278 11 267 15 286 80011 76007 12 296 8 285 7 286 13 298 76007 72476 15 266 11 290 8 307 13 314 72476 69282 8 292 10 294 12 297 15 313 69282 66353 7 303 7 309 13 291 15 305 66353 63650 8 318 12 324 15 304 13 326 63650 61039 14 311 18 322 19 315 20 322 61039 58315 17 307 19 313 20 304 24 302 58315 55483 17 300 18 301 22 296 27 302 55483 52777 17 300 18 294 23 297 27 307 52777 50336 18 302 19 293 21 298 25 314 50336 48134 20 306 21 305 22 310 25 319 48134 46121 23 311 26 310 26 313 27 319 46121 44262 25 307 29 310 27 318 28 320 44262 42531 23 302 30 308 28 319 28 322 42531 40908 22 302 28 305 27 318 27 325 40908 39384 21 290 22 303 26 313 26 327 39384 37953 19 289 19 294 22 297 25 323 37953 36579 16 291 17 296 16 291 20 316 36579 35204 14 280 20 304 15 324 12 318 35204 33796 16 277 24 311 21 337 12 348 33796 32349 16 281 21 312 23 346 18 354 32349 30836 15 299 14 293 17 350 18 003 30836 29245 16 301 7 317 10 352 11 350 29245 27581 13 293 6 300 6 002 6 358 27581 25842 9 303 4 276 4 352 4 041 25842 24029 10 310 3 298 3 346 4 041 24029 22142 10 322 2 321 3 355 5 060 22142 20176 8 320 2 356 3 018 7 069 20176 18120 7 329 3 030 4 004 5 056 18120 16017 9 333 4 032 4 344 7 046 16017 13988 10 355 6 353 9 348 10 031 13988 12148 15 002 12 355 13 008 14 035 12148 10521 18 006 17 005 14 026 15 036 10521 9083 19 009 21 005 17 026 15 032 9083 7808 18 012 22 003 19 019 17 026 7808 6678 17 016 22 005 22 013 18 025 6678 5680 17 021 22 007 24 011 19 024 5680 4802 19 024 22 010 23 008 21 017 4802 4028 21 021 22 010 21 004 22 012 4028 3336 23 019 20*006 18 000 22 012 3336 2724 23 016 15*359 16 359 21 012 2724 2212 20*013 14 358 15 359 18 011 2212 1819 14*006 13 357 14 359 16 006 1819 1549 11 004 12 357 12 357 11 357 1549 1386 10 002 11 356 9*356 7*344 1386 1292 7 001 9 356 6*354 4*347 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography