DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.1 - - 79.7 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 132 - - 25 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3154 - - 2258 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3185 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4591 - - 3695 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1815 - - 2673 - - 3216 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 324 - - 191 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 076 - - 106 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 252 - - 324 - - -722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4339 - - 3372 - - 2017 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1207 - - -947 - - -1541 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5798 - - 4642 - - 2836 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 320 - - 780 - - 630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.1 - - 79.7 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.3 - - 69.0 - - 69.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.1 - - 79.5 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.0 - - 67.8 - - 69.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 132 - - 25 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3154 - - 2258 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 48 - - 76 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99415 32 081 32 085 24 096 99415 91932 31 080 30 090 26 093 91932 86156 28 083 26 095 26 076 86156 81368 30 088 22 089 25 068 81368 77259 31 089 22 087 23 070 77259 73634 25 084 22 083 21 072 73634 70353 20 081 17 088 18 073 70353 67337 16 075 17 090 14 082 67337 64545 13 070 12 072 15 091 64545 61854 6 071 7 058 10 080 61854 59058 5 098 8 113 4 098 59058 56173 6 069 10 098 8 127 56173 53442 4 085 3 100 2 126 53442 51001 2 158 6 206 5 191 51001 48824 18 212 19 220 11 215 48824 46857 32 182 32 189 20 199 46857 45049 26 195 29 185 21 187 45049 43359 35 211 32 207 25 193 43359 41777 47 210 42 211 38 202 41777 40292 50 204 44 205 46 201 40292 38890 52 198 43 197 47 197 38890 37528 52 195 44 193 44 195 37528 36138 53 191 44 189 43 191 36138 34692 54 188 45 187 41 184 34692 33194 54 189 47 187 35 180 33194 31628 52 194 47 192 34 184 31628 29983 42 202 41 196 32 189 29983 28260 22 199 25 199 26 181 28260 26457 20 169 15 204 22 166 26457 24579 18 163 15 180 19 160 24579 22633 13 145 17 168 13 162 22633 20613 12 116 16 152 9 176 20613 18513 13 094 15 135 9 191 18513 16376 7 099 12 123 7 152 16376 14323 6 146 9 132 11 127 14323 12458 7 153 5 124 12 121 12458 10800 7 153 4 110 12 113 10800 9329 6 147 3 140 11 108 9329 8022 6 142 4 159 9 111 8022 6862 6 131 4 147 8 105 6862 5834 6 104 4 118 8 099 5834 4928 6*079 5 109 8 104 4928 4128 6*075 7*104 9 109 4128 3411 6 074 7*105 9 112 3411 2778 6 076 8 106 9 113 2778 2249 6 076 8 106 9 113 2249 1842 6 076 7 107 9 114 1842 1562 6 076 7 108 8 114 1562 1392 5 077 6 108 7*114 1392 1294 5 076 5 109 5*114 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography