DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/28 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1326z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 49.2 - - 56.0 - - 57.2 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 69 - - 177 - - 137 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1594 - - 3901 - - 5977 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1275 - - 1275 - - 3796 - - 5196 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top 1292 - - 3031 - - 5338 - - 7414 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2017 - - 1040 - - 1340 - - 1437 - - 5453 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 199 - - 363 - - 387 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 8 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 331 - - 322 - - 322 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 9 - - 10 - - 39 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1004 - - -719 - - -662 - - -2125 - - -6196 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2296 - - 3751 - - 6001 - - 9539 - - 7489 sfcLCL ODpotential -3811 - - -4407 - - -3836 - - -6572 - - -11014 ODpotential blCL 5103 - - 7438 - - 9174 - - 13986 - - 12307 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 91 - - 73 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 49.2 - - 56.0 - - 57.2 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 37.4 - - 34.2 - - 19.5 - - 19.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.2 - - 48.8 - - 54.9 - - 56.4 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.1 - - 36.6 - - 33.1 - - 18.3 - - 18.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 69 - - 177 - - 137 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1594 - - 3901 - - 5977 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 63 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97083 7 221 6 193 7 202 21 208 15 243 97083 89751 2 087 6 087 10 192 11 240 8 262 89751 84179 3 030 4 051 9 159 6 226 2 335 84179 79576 12 013 5 056 9 138 6 195 4 022 79576 75595 10 318 5 015 4 191 5 196 6 288 75595 72077 7 245 7 239 3 202 6 144 6 196 72077 68866 13 225 18 231 19 245 21 249 6 279 68866 65891 17 213 19 214 33 201 26 219 20 229 65891 63123 15 219 13 204 26 224 24 210 22 217 63123 60420 37 257 40 245 33 248 29 234 29 231 60420 57581 63 222 52 222 42 231 40 227 33 228 57581 54615 51 206 52 209 39 218 42 228 43 239 54615 51776 50 223 52 210 47 235 52 239 58 238 51776 49220 68 222 61 227 69 236 67 238 64 237 49220 46918 74 219 76 226 81 228 78 231 66 235 46918 44818 78 225 77 225 83 225 77 224 67 231 44818 42887 88 228 80 227 84 224 70 220 65 225 42887 41106 98 224 92 226 89 220 69 218 62 217 41106 39461 113 222 106 220 100 216 75 215 59 213 39461 37937 125 219 119 214 107 210 83 212 57 212 37937 36514 130 216 125 211 108 203 87 205 56 210 36514 35150 129 213 128 209 108 199 89 197 56 205 35150 33779 133 211 128 205 111 195 91 192 55 197 33779 32378 135 208 120 198 114 192 96 186 55 191 32378 30945 130 202 111 192 115 187 101 180 55 190 30945 29463 120 195 104 188 112 180 108 176 56 189 29463 27916 107 191 97 183 109 176 115 176 57 188 27916 26302 100 189 91 178 110 176 113 180 53 192 26302 24626 95 186 89 177 112 179 100 193 41 205 24626 22892 92 189 90 184 103 189 67 214 32 227 22892 21101 98 199 87 203 69 214 47 233 36 243 21101 19239 91 208 64 216 42 232 34 252 37 253 19239 17299 58 214 33 233 31 248 27 273 34 266 17299 15320 39 237 32 240 18 268 29 276 32 276 15320 13412 30 249 18 243 13 275 29 272 29 283 13412 11676 20 266 13 250 14 287 28 277 25 291 11676 10135 11 276 13 265 14 294 21 283 21 302 10135 8769 6 267 12 273 15 290 14 289 18 311 8769 7557 4 278 8 269 15 279 12*307 19 313 7557 6482 2 358 5 283 13 283 13*314 23 313 6482 5529 6 019 6 325 11*307 14 319 25 313 5529 4688 13 017 10 334 10*313 15 321 26 313 4688 3943 18 007 16 327 10 317 15 323 26 313 3943 3274 20 353 16*327 9 321 16 324 26 314 3274 2681 21 344 15*329 8 324 16 325 25 314 2681 2186 18 348 14 331 8 327 16 326 24 314 2186 1805 14 357 13 331 7 329 15 326 21 313 1805 1542 11 000 12 332 7 331 15 326 17 313 1542 1383 10*002 11 333 6 331 14 327 13*313 1383 1292 6*003 8 333 5 331 11 327 8*313 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography