DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 78.8 - - 75.9 - - 72.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 76 - - 39 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1386 - - 3261 - - 2040 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 3009 - - 1278 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2823 - - 4698 - - 3477 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2278 - - 2146 - - 2276 - - 3509 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 106 - - 286 - - 199 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 057 - - 090 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 717 - - 1172 - - 770 - - -436 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2106 - - 3526 - - 2707 - - 1731 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -57 - - 71 - - -228 - - -1254 ODpotential blCL - - - 2880 - - 4627 - - 3705 - - 2549 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 90 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 710 - - 1170 - - 1130 - - 950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 78.8 - - 75.9 - - 72.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.7 - - 67.5 - - 68.2 - - 68.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 78.2 - - 75.5 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 66.1 - - 67.0 - - 68.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 76 - - 39 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1386 - - 3261 - - 2040 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 59 - - 91 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99347 48 088 47 085 42 092 36 085 99347 91836 37 081 38 085 38 086 33 090 91836 86047 29 074 36 088 30 083 29 079 86047 81245 21 082 25 078 25 086 21 065 81245 77117 19 087 15 089 20 058 20 070 77117 73465 20 083 14 107 10 056 18 051 73465 70168 15 075 12 075 12 070 14 058 70168 67151 12 058 11 075 10 059 16 053 67151 64368 11 057 13 061 9 063 13 029 64368 61681 18 027 11 028 9 034 11 020 61681 58876 17 327 12 327 10 342 11 346 58876 55967 21 286 16 306 11 314 15 320 55967 53196 28 279 25 290 22 296 22 303 53196 50714 37 279 33 281 29 289 25 283 50714 48503 38 272 36 269 32 279 28 278 48503 46503 40 266 39 259 37 267 32 269 46503 44681 44 261 41 256 40 259 37 261 44681 43002 48 260 41 254 40 257 42 260 43002 41436 46 260 38 254 41 256 44 259 41436 39966 44 256 30 253 38 252 40 259 39966 38582 42 253 31 260 30 250 34 257 38582 37243 43 258 35 250 27 256 26 257 37243 35877 43 257 32 247 31 257 23 272 35877 34454 41 254 30 246 32 255 21 273 34454 32977 43 255 28 248 29 260 20 264 32977 31431 39 263 25 252 30 266 18 261 31431 29805 30 262 21 264 26 279 11 263 29805 28103 19 271 12 289 10 293 4 286 28103 26322 9 275 3 265 6 297 4 358 26322 24462 7 274 4 296 6 327 4 349 24462 22528 7 290 4 319 6 342 5 334 22528 20518 6 319 4 011 4 010 4 341 20518 18428 7 316 5 037 3 020 5 358 18428 16301 5 308 4 031 3 016 5 011 16301 14254 6 332 5 017 5 019 6 060 14254 12395 8 317 7 349 6 005 6 060 12395 10746 8 314 5 333 7 354 6 062 10746 9284 6 325 4 331 7 003 7 064 9284 7986 4 354 4 348 7 030 10 073 7986 6832 5 047 4 016 7 054 12 087 6832 5810 8 059 5 042 7 067 12 097 5810 4910 9 062 6*049 8 078 12 101 4910 4114 9 064 6*053 9*085 11 101 4114 3401 9*063 6 055 10*087 11 101 3401 2771 8*063 6 058 10 089 11 101 2771 2244 6 060 5 059 10 090 10 104 2244 1839 5 061 5 059 9 091 9 107 1839 1560 5 061 5 059 9 090 8 109 1560 1391 4 061 5 058 8 091 7*111 1391 1294 3 059 4 058 6 091 4*111 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography