DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 69.4 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 66 - - -10 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3179 - - 2728 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2720 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4616 - - 4165 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1588 - - 2668 - - 3436 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 259 - - 124 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 318 - - 351 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 523 - - 290 - - -1240 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4093 - - 3875 - - 2534 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -406 - - -1093 - - -2374 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5022 - - 5258 - - 3668 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.9 - - 69.4 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.3 - - 56.8 - - 56.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.3 - - 69.9 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.0 - - 55.6 - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 66 - - -10 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3179 - - 2728 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 94 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97994 10 242 17 290 10 285 97994 90728 8 230 6 272 16 291 90728 85080 2 336 4 257 10 288 85080 80370 5 344 4 251 9 299 80370 76326 6 297 6 268 7 309 76326 72776 3 304 8 264 5 325 72776 69572 2 229 8 260 8 322 69572 66616 7 209 8 246 9 296 66616 63859 8 189 9 217 10 263 63859 61186 8 169 11 197 13 244 61186 58404 7 176 9 219 9 224 58404 55519 6 204 9 222 8 239 55519 52764 11 223 10 239 9 257 52764 50284 10 225 13 231 11 248 50284 48058 12 250 14 221 12 240 48058 46031 17 249 13 227 16 230 46031 44167 18 243 13 242 16 220 44167 42445 20 232 16 248 12 227 42445 40848 22 226 20 237 11 248 40848 39361 21 223 23 224 14 248 39361 37969 15 212 21 217 12 239 37969 36633 8 210 14 210 7 256 36633 35282 10 204 5 222 7 318 35282 33880 8 203 4 201 7 317 33880 32425 8 257 5 306 4 284 32425 30903 10 254 7 294 6 260 30903 29303 12 245 11 268 9 264 29303 27625 7 266 9 262 9 266 27625 25872 6 287 6 279 8 273 25872 24046 7 286 9 294 9 285 24046 22148 9 295 10 300 12 294 22148 20173 9 312 9 315 11 290 20173 18118 11 336 9 318 10 309 18118 16025 11 347 10 332 8 322 16025 14012 9 348 10 331 8 346 14012 12186 6 350 9 329 9 335 12186 10564 8 349 9 335 7 315 10564 9122 8 343 9 336 6 293 9122 7841 6 334 9 319 7 271 7841 6707 7 304 10 287 9 254 6707 5707 7 295 10 292 8 249 5707 4826 7*296 9*317 5 284 4826 4048 6*302 9*341 7 324 4048 3352 5 311 10 348 9 337 3352 2736 4 319 10 351 12 344 2736 2221 4 324 10 353 12 347 2221 1826 4 330 10 354 12 349 1826 1554 4 332 9 354 10 350 1554 1388 4 331 9 355 9*350 1388 1293 3 332 7 355 5*350 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography