DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 54.0 - - 51.5 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 24 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 67 - - 654 - - 66 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1504 - - 2091 - - 1503 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 711 - - 962 - - 1497 - - 3313 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 51 - - 107 - - 19 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 11 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 014 - - 011 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 4 - - 570 - - -175 - - -55 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1501 - - 1521 - - 1678 - - 1348 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1864 - - 53 - - -2479 - - -954 ODpotential blCL - - - 3368 - - 2038 - - 3982 - - 2247 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 54.0 - - 51.5 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.7 - - 51.7 - - 48.6 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 53.9 - - 51.7 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.2 - - 51.2 - - 48.1 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 24 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 67 - - 654 - - 66 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95923 41 250 31 277 35 261 38 251 95923 88896 21 294 21 279 23 284 20 285 88896 83472 14 270 15 257 21 278 17 283 83472 78938 14 271 11 265 19 274 21 296 78938 75024 20 283 18 274 29 285 27 295 75024 71594 17 284 17 263 24 276 22 282 71594 68480 15 279 15 270 9 266 15 278 68480 65590 28 294 28 297 24 302 26 295 65590 62913 38 293 35 283 38 287 34 281 62913 60325 37 293 35 274 37 268 35 276 60325 57608 42 279 37 265 38 263 40 268 57608 54767 46 269 37 265 37 260 43 258 54767 52037 44 264 37 268 48 270 52 269 52037 49555 45 265 51 266 62 263 64 263 49555 47314 48 260 59 261 64 260 72 258 47314 45273 55 259 60 261 66 259 73 255 45273 43400 59 263 66 261 70 258 71 256 43400 41669 67 268 74 259 73 259 71 261 41669 40064 77 268 80 256 79 259 74 261 40064 38573 85 262 85 251 83 256 69 260 38573 37180 90 253 83 250 76 258 65 263 37180 35843 84 250 77 257 75 264 70 269 35843 34494 80 254 77 263 75 267 72 273 34494 33107 85 253 79 263 66 265 58 272 33107 31685 87 250 68 264 49 272 43 268 31685 30209 85 250 48 272 41 270 34 270 30209 28661 79 249 38 282 38 271 31 272 28661 27040 76 248 37 290 40 274 29 266 27040 25342 74 249 38 293 39 277 31 267 25342 23568 69 251 39 292 32 280 28 268 23568 21719 65 250 40 291 26 281 28 257 21719 19791 63 250 40 290 23 278 28 250 19791 17776 57 252 39 282 25 271 28 249 17776 15716 53 256 40 276 29 268 31 251 15716 13727 51 258 41 276 32 270 31 258 13727 11921 51 260 42 274 36 276 28 270 11921 10326 50 266 39 271 37 281 24 280 10326 8921 44 273 29 273 29 280 21 265 8921 7678 36 278 25 279 17 271 17 241 7678 6576 34 281 21 284 14 271 12 252 6576 5600 35 285 18 286 14 276 11 283 5600 4740 31 286 14 287 11 282 12 311 4740 3982 25 284 10 293 8 298 13 331 3982 3303 17 282 7 326 7 338 14 343 3303 2701 9 281 10 011 7 018 13 356 2701 2199 4 290 12*017 7 023 10 012 2199 1812 1 033 12*015 6 019 8 029 1812 1546 1*106 12 015 6*015 6 041 1546 1385 1*125 11 014 5*012 5*048 1385 1292 0 140 8 012 4 010 3*049 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography