DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.4 - - 43.7 - - 33.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -4 - - -24 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1292 - - 1293 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 975 - - 3049 - - 2811 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 8 - - 17 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 206 - - 310 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -199 - - -1058 - - -533 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1491 - - 2351 - - 1825 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7796 - - -1802 - - -1457 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9088 - - 3095 - - 2749 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 81 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 40.4 - - 43.7 - - 33.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 38.3 - - 37.9 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 40.9 - - 44.6 - - 35.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 37.8 - - 36.9 - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -4 - - -24 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 25 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96215 9 287 17 030 13 045 96215 89094 7 289 4 006 10 343 89094 83569 6 348 6 316 10 322 83569 78991 9 025 5 030 2 014 78991 75017 13 346 10 027 4 037 75017 71466 8 286 14 293 12 304 71466 68239 8 254 22 254 23 267 68239 65286 18 274 21 254 27 242 65286 62548 35 264 34 264 29 252 62548 59879 45 260 42 256 47 267 59879 57100 51 257 45 256 58 259 57100 54225 61 253 59 255 56 250 54225 51478 70 254 66 254 53 252 51478 49001 80 252 78 253 59 259 49001 46778 88 247 86 245 72 254 46778 44762 91 242 84 240 82 245 44762 42911 92 240 83 240 77 241 42911 41193 94 241 92 243 79 246 41193 39595 98 239 102 245 96 252 39595 38110 102 234 108 244 114 250 38110 36722 105 232 103 241 106 244 36722 35387 106 231 98 238 90 239 35387 34030 107 230 96 237 80 241 34030 32624 111 228 94 236 78 251 32624 31180 110 226 90 235 83 253 31180 29683 102 220 83 237 83 252 29683 28121 97 213 79 240 83 249 28121 26491 95 209 79 240 82 249 26491 24794 93 209 83 234 77 252 24794 23036 87 211 83 231 69 256 23036 21220 85 216 80 230 59 256 21220 19332 86 225 78 230 54 248 19332 17363 79 230 73 232 52 248 17363 15353 67 234 62 234 50 256 15353 13413 56 235 51 238 48 261 13413 11647 51 232 45 246 43 263 11647 10080 47 233 42 257 38 266 10080 8694 42 229 37 263 32 274 8694 7468 38 228 28 268 27 288 7468 6386 35 238 24 280 26 304 6386 5433 34 251 25 291 28 316 5433 4600 32 259 25 298 31 317 4600 3871 29 264 24 302 32 314 3871 3220 24 269 22 305 30 312 3220 2643 19 270 21 307 27 311 2643 2161 14 261 20 308 23 311 2161 1790 10 248 18 309 20 309 1790 1535 7 237 16 310 15 309 1535 1380 4*229 13*310 11*308 1380 1291 2*183 9*310 5*307 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography