DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 10.6 - - 23.5 - - 31.7 - - 32.6 - - 24.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - -3 - - 24 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1983 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1273 - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top 1290 - - 1291 - - 3420 - - 1292 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 68 - - 2153 - - 860 - - 2960 - - 410 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 11 - - 154 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 5 - - 12 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 232 - - 269 - - 240 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 7 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1219 - - -1273 - - -102 - - -1471 - - -1386 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2509 - - 2564 - - 3522 - - 2763 - - 2678 sfcLCL ODpotential -15171 - - -12169 - - -10336 - - -2529 - - -12037 ODpotential blCL 16461 - - 13460 - - 13756 - - 3821 - - 13329 blCL maxRH 83 - - 83 - - 80 - - 77 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 10.6 - - 23.5 - - 31.7 - - 32.6 - - 24.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.6 - - 17.2 - - 21.0 - - 25.3 - - 17.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 15.7 - - 24.2 - - 31.7 - - 33.9 - - 30.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.3 - - 16.6 - - 19.9 - - 24.3 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - -3 - - 24 - - -7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1983 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 31 - - 21 - - 7 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96241 22 268 33 272 17 265 19 259 23 267 96241 89109 23 259 22 256 16 267 16 235 16 248 89109 83522 15 255 19 237 24 259 26 251 23 260 83522 78885 21 241 25 215 24 249 24 244 24 247 78885 74894 26 256 20 241 22 243 26 246 25 250 74894 71353 25 256 16 220 20 200 23 234 27 238 71353 68104 24 233 24 275 18 270 18 249 25 241 68104 65086 35 258 48 275 48 276 43 274 42 275 65086 62307 48 259 44 254 52 259 53 263 50 273 62307 59634 48 243 35 232 45 241 50 252 53 264 59634 56854 39 224 30 234 39 240 49 250 54 264 56854 53954 27 226 40 264 43 258 50 261 61 263 53954 51176 43 267 62 275 55 268 60 268 70 261 51176 48684 72 276 79 273 67 271 69 271 78 265 48684 46456 90 274 84 274 74 275 77 276 81 269 46456 44429 93 272 91 279 83 280 88 277 81 270 44429 42567 94 276 101 278 95 278 91 275 79 270 42567 40856 100 279 106 273 102 274 90 274 78 272 40856 39283 105 280 105 273 102 274 87 276 82 275 39283 37834 106 282 104 278 103 278 90 282 93 280 37834 36489 104 286 108 283 106 279 98 283 105 280 36489 35195 100 290 109 285 108 281 103 280 109 276 35195 33882 98 291 107 285 107 284 102 279 106 277 33882 32519 96 291 105 286 104 285 101 279 99 280 32519 31110 90 289 104 286 101 284 101 283 93 277 31110 29643 83 290 100 284 99 282 99 286 87 276 29643 28106 78 291 93 281 97 281 94 286 85 278 28106 26498 77 292 85 280 88 283 85 284 81 280 26498 24819 77 291 79 282 78 286 77 284 76 281 24819 23069 76 290 71 284 72 288 72 285 74 279 23069 21247 73 292 66 288 69 288 67 284 69 280 21247 19349 68 297 65 293 61 287 60 282 61 283 19349 17370 65 303 64 300 52 289 52 282 52 281 17370 15357 62 302 58 304 49 293 46 284 45 281 15357 13419 56 296 48 304 48 295 41 285 39 280 13419 11655 50 291 40 302 43 297 36 285 32 277 11655 10089 46 291 36 302 36 301 32 287 28 276 10089 8708 45 294 35 303 31 306 28 293 25 281 8708 7487 46 298 35 304 27 311 24 301 22 290 7487 6409 45 302 34 306 25 314 21 306 19 297 6409 5456 41 305 30 307 22 312 18 306 16 298 5456 4617 36 305 25 306 17 303 14 298 12 292 4617 3878 28 304 20 300 14*287 11 283 9 283 3878 3220 19 299 14 286 13*273 11 268 9 271 3220 2639 13 289 13 270 13 269 10 261 12 259 2639 2157 11 278 12 257 12 269 9 255 14 251 2157 1787 9 255 12 244 11 267 8 250 13 245 1787 1533 10 232 12 237 11 267 7 246 10 237 1533 1379 9*215 9*234 10 267 6*244 6*225 1379 1291 6*198 5*232 7 266 3*240 4*147 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography