DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.5 - - 84.0 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 115 - - 49 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6608 - - 7669 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5691 - - 5778 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8045 - - 9106 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1519 - - 1916 - - 7227 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 404 - - 332 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 212 - - 221 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 422 - - 113 - - -4173 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7623 - - 8993 - - 5468 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2890 - - -1823 - - -5987 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10935 - - 10929 - - 7282 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 84 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.5 - - 84.0 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.6 - - 49.1 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.7 - - 83.8 - - 80.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.3 - - 47.8 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 115 - - 49 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6608 - - 7669 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 17 - - 38 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99111 25 078 25 086 29 071 99111 91604 29 084 27 091 23 073 91604 85817 25 082 27 093 20 080 85817 81015 19 077 25 085 21 087 81015 76891 17 077 23 079 22 099 76891 73255 15 095 17 071 15 096 73255 69959 13 108 9 096 7 074 69959 66923 11 128 7 158 4 019 66923 64115 5 143 4 182 5 285 64115 61400 7 202 11 248 10 258 61400 58570 10 249 15 262 14 253 58570 55645 23 293 23 270 18 274 55645 52861 42 256 38 265 35 281 52861 50375 45 246 41 261 47 268 50375 48168 45 252 40 279 47 258 48168 46178 65 278 74 275 58 273 46178 44376 73 262 82 259 69 268 44376 42720 64 250 73 245 66 265 42720 41172 57 246 59 251 61 268 41172 39718 51 258 60 278 64 280 39718 38345 55 288 62 287 73 287 38345 37015 68 297 68 288 72 280 37015 35658 68 298 77 284 71 274 35658 34245 56 290 78 286 68 273 34245 32778 48 272 71 290 67 275 32778 31242 48 258 55 288 69 278 31242 29627 51 256 44 265 67 284 29627 27932 48 261 51 257 57 282 27932 26161 40 258 54 258 45 265 26161 24314 41 248 49 257 47 260 24314 22394 40 251 45 255 47 263 22394 20401 35 254 41 259 40 266 20401 18329 29 255 31 254 39 266 18329 16224 24 257 25 252 36 269 16224 14203 20 255 26 264 30 276 14203 12372 19 259 26 269 26 277 12372 10746 16 260 21 266 23 268 10746 9301 10*245 13*241 20 252 9301 8012 8*217 11*228 16 246 8012 6863 8 215 11 226 13 233 6863 5842 8 213 11 224 13 225 5842 4939 7 211 11 221 12 211 4939 4138 7 211 11 219 13 207 4138 3421 7 210 10 218 13 203 3421 2785 7 209 10 216 13 200 2785 2253 6 210 10 216 12 198 2253 1844 6 209 9 215 12 196 1844 1563 6 210 9 215 11 194 1563 1392 5 210 8 215 8*192 1392 1294 5 211 7 215 5*189 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography