DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1006z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 67.7 - - 75.2 - - 75.9 - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 63 - - 86 - - -13 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 571 - - 2215 - - 1939 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 1276 - - 1277 - - 2270 - - 1278 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top 1293 - - 2008 - - 3652 - - 3376 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 245 - - 1035 - - 1419 - - 1868 - - 225 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 142 - - 252 - - 119 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 136 - - 230 - - 227 - - 224 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1790 - - -3166 - - -3022 - - -2630 - - -1842 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3083 - - 5174 - - 6675 - - 6006 - - 3136 sfcLCL ODpotential -11215 - - -9350 - - -8360 - - -7449 - - -7748 ODpotential blCL 12508 - - 11358 - - 12012 - - 10825 - - 9042 blCL maxRH 72 - - 65 - - 67 - - 58 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 120 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 67.7 - - 75.2 - - 75.9 - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.2 - - 49.8 - - 50.6 - - 54.1 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.3 - - 67.3 - - 74.7 - - 76.4 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.3 - - 48.5 - - 49.3 - - 52.8 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 63 - - 86 - - -13 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 571 - - 2215 - - 1939 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98230 16 268 17 291 10 286 17 258 19 268 98230 90853 11 267 9 294 13 269 17 272 14 291 90853 85181 4 332 8 338 6 279 9 267 12 305 85181 80464 9 338 8 008 6 318 7 302 12 326 80464 76384 8 334 9 008 1 056 7 313 10 334 76384 72766 8 346 6 009 2 137 4 244 9 319 72766 69484 6 304 1 024 2 227 8 247 8 302 69484 66462 11 273 10 304 2 238 8 260 7 292 66462 63660 12 252 15 286 7 295 6 293 4 277 63660 60952 12 251 14 278 13 276 12 291 11 298 60952 58151 13 267 11 284 12 261 13 267 15 277 58151 55264 26 293 17 295 15 281 14 273 12 270 55264 52514 34 284 26 294 21 284 18 285 16 295 52514 50050 31 275 27 285 21 284 20 281 21 276 50050 47847 29 280 25 284 22 284 21 279 19 285 47847 45841 32 280 28 283 26 281 26 293 22 293 45841 43997 33 278 31 277 30 276 28 297 32 304 43997 42290 34 285 32 277 30 276 31 299 37 304 42290 40708 38 289 33 284 29 279 30 296 34 306 40708 39238 41 286 36 289 28 279 27 293 28 313 39238 37867 39 283 39 287 28 279 24 302 28 325 37867 36549 34 285 37 282 26 277 25 324 30 328 36549 35212 31 289 30 281 23 272 26 330 31 326 35212 33824 27 300 26 285 20 271 23 318 30 323 33824 32386 23 309 26 288 19 277 20 305 24 325 32386 30882 25 299 26 290 18 276 20 297 20 328 30882 29302 31 288 28 289 18 272 19 293 19 327 29302 27648 30 281 30 288 19 274 19 287 18 303 27648 25920 28 281 30 286 20 280 17 278 20 277 25920 24119 27 286 28 285 19 286 15 270 18 270 24119 22247 28 292 27 289 20 285 17 276 17 278 22247 20297 28 300 27 291 22 278 20 283 18 291 20297 18264 31 316 27 292 23 272 22 279 20 282 18264 16188 34 322 27 295 22 271 22 275 20 270 16188 14182 31 326 24 292 21 271 21 275 20 272 14182 12352 21 326 19 277 22 266 20 275 22 277 12352 10718 17 299 19 268 23 270 20 276 25 280 10718 9263 19 280 21 271 22 280 21 277 27 282 9263 7968 13 260 19 266 19 289 22 278 28 281 7968 6816 9 235 14 251 18 288 24 279 28 279 6816 5796 7 221 12 239 18 278 22 276 27 273 5796 4897 7 220 11 228 18 265 18 266 24 262 4897 4104 8 231 11 223 16*250 15 248 21 245 4104 3393 9 249 12 228 13*234 14*226 21 235 3393 2764 8 263 13 237 12 227 13*225 20 226 2764 2239 6 271 12*237 12 226 13 224 20 216 2239 1835 6 261 9*233 11 226 12 223 16 208 1835 1558 8 235 7 229 11 225 11 223 12 197 1558 1390 5*220 6 228 10 225 10 222 8*181 1390 1293 3*136 5 227 8 226 7 222 5*164 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography