DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 84.8 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 82 - - 0 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3785 - - 4727 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3454 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5222 - - 6164 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3703 - - 4415 - - 4116 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 311 - - 208 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 173 - - 186 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 14 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 568 - - 278 - - -1151 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4654 - - 5886 - - 2447 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -838 - - -1566 - - -2772 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6060 - - 7730 - - 4067 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 79 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 780 - - 750 - - 1730 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.4 - - 84.8 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.2 - - 63.3 - - 70.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.9 - - 85.2 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.8 - - 62.0 - - 70.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 82 - - 0 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3785 - - 4727 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 43 - - 16 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 11 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99422 44 090 35 103 21 080 99422 91925 33 082 31 089 25 084 91925 86114 25 085 28 077 29 085 86114 81275 21 089 23 074 28 079 81275 77121 17 091 19 069 24 070 77121 73464 15 102 12 092 14 072 73464 70162 11 093 13 085 13 089 70162 67131 9 092 7 043 11 044 67131 64339 10 090 5 102 4 328 64339 61641 15 002 9 027 5 037 61641 58843 17 326 15 337 15 349 58843 55968 17 314 21 309 25 313 55968 53247 24 320 20 302 17 275 53247 50815 36 321 27 319 38 312 50815 48638 44 315 46 310 49 307 48638 46648 46 315 50 313 40 314 46648 44806 42 312 52 325 46 339 44806 43101 39 308 53 330 70 338 43101 41521 33 303 52 327 71 332 41521 40044 29 305 46 317 59 332 40044 38651 28 311 38 310 49 336 38651 37298 27 313 31 314 48 333 37298 35917 25 312 29 320 51 324 35917 34478 24 305 29 320 52 324 34478 32985 26 299 28 316 38 338 32985 31430 28 299 27 309 24 328 31430 29803 28 304 27 300 24 311 29803 28103 26 305 24 307 25 306 28103 26331 24 300 21 313 25 300 26331 24486 23 298 18 305 20 297 24486 22570 21 295 18 298 14 288 22570 20573 19 292 17 297 14 285 20573 18490 18 292 15 287 13 276 18490 16367 13 293 11 274 14 263 16367 14321 9 274 9 240 20 267 14321 12462 9 262 14 246 21 267 12462 10814 13 266 20 252 19 263 10814 9353 14 247 20 252 15 255 9353 8052 15 240 16 247 12 239 8052 6891 14 237 11*232 12 213 6891 5863 12*226 9*213 14 192 5863 4954 9*204 8 205 15 183 4954 4151 8 187 7 189 15 180 4151 3430 8 169 7 179 15 181 3430 2791 8 164 6 173 15 182 2791 2258 8 160 6 168 14 181 2258 1847 7 159 6 165 13 181 1847 1564 7 158 6 164 10 181 1564 1393 7 157 5 163 7*183 1393 1294 6 156 5 162 4*193 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography