DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 55.4 - - 61.0 - - 54.6 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 9 - - 113 - - -16 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 368 - - 368 - - 2248 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 725 - - 1567 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1028 - - 1028 - - 2908 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 820 - - 1763 - - 1341 - - 2834 - - 226 Hgt.Variab. W* 61 - - 63 - - 259 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 309 - - 358 - - 027 - - 077 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 103 - - 90 - - 113 - - -824 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 925 - - 939 - - 2795 - - 1566 - - 741 sfcLCL ODpotential -2193 - - -183 - - -154 - - -2024 - - -2752 ODpotential blCL 3221 - - 1211 - - 3062 - - 2765 - - 3493 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 96 - - 88 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 55.4 - - 61.0 - - 54.6 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.4 - - 53.9 - - 51.4 - - 50.5 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.0 - - 55.4 - - 60.2 - - 56.5 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.2 - - 53.7 - - 50.9 - - 50.5 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 9 - - 113 - - -16 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 368 - - 368 - - 2248 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 84 - - 53 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96064 29 239 25 256 26 255 26 250 33 254 96064 88906 18 246 24 243 23 251 28 249 24 258 88906 83419 16 261 22 235 22 241 28 258 19 270 83419 78883 20 266 24 230 25 247 30 269 23 258 78883 74959 23 256 26 243 27 260 28 273 27 258 74959 71480 31 262 23 274 25 261 24 258 26 268 71480 68333 34 255 29 260 27 267 32 262 35 274 68333 65449 32 265 34 264 37 265 35 261 42 256 65449 62768 42 272 38 270 40 264 35 269 33 260 62768 60168 44 271 46 269 47 264 43 274 45 277 60168 57470 48 269 49 266 56 274 57 279 56 280 57470 54672 53 266 58 275 66 275 68 274 62 278 54672 51986 57 267 69 276 70 272 71 272 65 275 51986 49550 64 270 73 271 73 270 72 271 69 276 49550 47351 71 271 72 267 75 271 72 276 74 276 47351 45339 74 268 71 267 78 272 75 280 76 275 45339 43485 74 265 70 267 78 270 80 280 77 273 43485 41772 72 267 70 266 75 267 82 275 73 272 41772 40190 74 266 70 266 71 267 79 268 69 274 40190 38724 80 262 70 264 71 267 70 267 66 283 38724 37360 88 257 71 261 71 265 68 277 74 296 37360 36054 99 253 72 258 65 265 72 287 84 300 36054 34729 107 251 73 254 61 266 72 290 81 300 34729 33348 103 249 73 253 60 267 67 288 76 301 33348 31913 86 251 70 255 63 268 63 279 69 300 31913 30413 73 257 64 260 65 268 63 270 61 294 30413 28834 71 260 60 265 66 270 64 269 57 284 28834 27174 68 263 57 269 65 274 64 274 58 280 27174 25432 60 269 54 269 62 278 60 280 58 284 25432 23610 53 270 48 266 56 282 53 286 53 291 23610 21715 44 271 43 266 48 287 47 291 48 295 21715 19737 37 277 36 270 41 283 42 290 42 298 19737 17671 35 279 30 275 36 280 37 284 38 291 17671 15561 27 278 28 283 32 284 34 276 37 283 15561 13527 21 275 26 284 29 285 30 276 33 276 13527 11672 20 263 25 288 21 286 24 281 28 274 11672 10019 21 260 24 267 15 271 15 272 22 278 10019 8553 18 258 21 229 21 261 11 262 13 258 8553 7257 19 246 21 220 22 246 12 287 7 289 7257 6117 26 233 21 228 21 233 13 302 5 328 6117 5118 29 237 20 239 17 235 12 295 7 013 5118 4241 31 244 17 261 14 249 9 285 12 030 4241 3468 31 246 16 290 8*284 7 308 14 033 3468 2776 27 244 16 301 6*341 8 342 12 030 2776 2164 23 231 15 304 6 355 9 002 9 026 2164 1654 20 225 12 304 6 360 10 013 7 053 1654 1264 14*221 10*305 6 002 10 020 10 082 1264 996 10*220 7*309 6 005 9 024 11 088 996 833 9 220 7 310 6 006 8*027 8 086 833 741 7 221 6 310 6 005 5*027 4*077 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography