DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/28 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.6 - - 72.8 - - 66.0 - - 61.3 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 44 - - 63 - - -31 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 797 - - 2851 - - 2622 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 1334 - - 1377 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1457 - - 3511 - - 3282 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2851 - - 1775 - - 1443 - - 4683 - - 3255 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 - - 230 - - 234 - - 25 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 26 - - 35 - - 16 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 226 - - 335 - - 350 - - 347 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 13 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - -3 - - -12 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 330 - - 1388 - - 1093 - - -2245 - - -3210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1127 - - 2123 - - 2189 - - 2987 - - 3951 sfcLCL ODpotential -390 - - 722 - - 721 - - -2864 - - -5402 ODpotential blCL 1847 - - 2789 - - 2561 - - 3605 - - 6143 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 2070 - - 600 - - 40 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 73.6 - - 72.8 - - 66.0 - - 61.3 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 70.5 - - 65.7 - - 58.9 - - 50.9 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.6 - - 72.5 - - 65.9 - - 62.1 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.0 - - 64.8 - - 58.3 - - 50.6 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 44 - - 63 - - -31 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 797 - - 2851 - - 2622 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 99 - - 101 - - 58 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 13 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97201 47 275 41 274 47 259 42 278 50 280 97201 90059 33 263 31 260 39 250 40 263 46 274 90059 84521 21 259 22 260 25 258 33 261 30 263 84521 79884 21 267 20 250 19 262 23 270 18 239 79884 75863 21 258 18 237 19 266 16 273 10 243 75863 72289 14 243 16 221 17 251 15 248 9 272 72289 69035 10 269 12 235 13 252 15 245 15 260 69035 66052 16 287 10 227 12 244 19 235 22 263 66052 63324 24 280 14 289 13 254 15 233 19 247 63324 60698 30 258 29 273 24 282 12 300 11 294 60698 57975 23 238 28 273 28 287 35 295 39 309 57975 55172 25 275 32 280 37 269 47 268 50 287 55172 52493 33 286 33 263 33 265 40 268 46 287 52493 50070 46 294 39 297 47 301 51 296 57 297 50070 47897 59 290 66 292 67 294 67 293 69 291 47897 45917 66 278 70 281 70 277 70 282 72 283 45917 44090 63 270 61 283 62 269 67 277 72 280 44090 42391 62 285 61 293 60 278 63 279 73 283 42391 40808 63 299 65 294 60 285 65 284 77 283 40808 39326 70 310 71 292 63 290 67 283 77 282 39326 37924 78 309 76 291 69 293 66 289 76 286 37924 36566 81 306 79 291 75 295 73 298 80 292 36566 35190 82 304 80 295 82 296 85 303 89 296 35190 33768 82 302 81 295 87 295 91 301 95 294 33768 32298 81 299 79 290 86 291 91 298 98 292 32298 30762 81 295 75 289 85 285 90 295 98 289 30762 29143 80 297 74 291 84 282 90 291 98 287 29143 27440 71 286 73 292 83 281 90 288 95 286 27440 25653 75 278 70 285 87 286 86 282 90 286 25653 23782 76 281 73 277 82 288 76 292 87 291 23782 21835 68 281 70 277 68 285 74 303 85 298 21835 19812 57 277 58 277 66 280 70 302 80 300 19812 17707 47 278 49 274 56 290 66 299 72 299 17707 15562 41 276 38 279 43 276 62 299 68 299 15562 13498 36 276 32 283 42 282 57 296 67 306 13498 11627 29 273 31 288 33 296 53 300 66 315 11627 9974 24 264 33 288 35 314 45 308 63 320 9974 8521 22 260 30 284 27 321 39 307 52 326 8521 7244 22 259 22 283 28 319 39 322 44 338 7244 6117 26 250 17 317 30 327 43 338 44 348 6117 5121 28 251 25 343 33 344 43 345 49 351 5121 4245 29 245 29 342 37 351 43 346 52 351 4245 3471 28 236 29*340 38*351 42 347 52 352 3471 2779 27 233 29*338 38*351 40 347 48 353 2779 2167 26 232 29 336 37 351 37 348 43 353 2167 1657 24*230 28 334 36 351 34 348 37 353 1657 1266 22*227 26 333 35 350 29 347 31 352 1266 997 20 226 24 332 32 350 25 347 25 351 997 835 19 226 21 332 28 349 21 347 21*351 835 741 13 225 17 331 21 349 16*347 15*351 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography