DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 85.6 - - 92.6 - - 94.9 - - 92.9 - - 80.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 290 - - 540 - - 459 - - 131 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2740 - - 5661 - - 5980 - - 4846 - - 607 BL Depth Hcrit 2349 - - 4842 - - 5034 - - 3512 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 3400 - - 6321 - - 6640 - - 5506 - - 1267 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2510 - - 1849 - - 2493 - - 2624 - - 2022 Hgt.Variab. W* 374 - - 587 - - 566 - - 349 - - 53 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 213 - - 205 - - 197 - - 191 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -5 - - -11 - - -11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -778 - - -365 - - -1035 - - -1246 - - -145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4179 - - 6687 - - 7675 - - 6752 - - 1412 sfcLCL ODpotential -1387 - - -1205 - - -1712 - - -2671 - - -1687 ODpotential blCL 4787 - - 7526 - - 8352 - - 8177 - - 2954 blCL maxRH 90 - - 76 - - 84 - - 82 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 1020 - - 730 - - 520 - - 840 - - 2260 CAPE Temp@2m 85.6 - - 92.6 - - 94.9 - - 92.9 - - 80.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.6 - - 65.7 - - 63.6 - - 65.8 - - 75.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.8 - - 89.7 - - 92.2 - - 91.9 - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.5 - - 65.6 - - 63.5 - - 65.7 - - 75.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 290 - - 540 - - 459 - - 131 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2740 - - 5661 - - 5980 - - 4846 - - 607 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 60 - - 3 - - 36 - - 30 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98984 41 081 38 090 32 097 28 094 35 079 98984 91505 34 087 25 091 35 091 35 087 33 069 91505 85778 33 092 24 089 30 086 35 074 36 081 85778 81027 33 095 27 095 24 090 28 074 35 083 81027 76926 29 093 28 097 21 091 23 083 25 069 76926 73328 23 082 26 095 19 096 21 088 21 072 73328 70096 19 072 25 102 15 111 16 080 21 080 70096 67126 16 073 22 104 15 107 12 081 19 079 67126 64377 16 087 21 089 19 091 14 099 17 078 64377 61740 21 099 24 075 22 093 19 097 17 090 61740 59021 23 083 23 070 24 082 22 077 20 081 59021 56230 23 051 20 072 24 062 26 061 26 066 56230 53583 22 033 22 067 24 061 27 050 26 057 53583 51205 16 036 24 067 21 077 23 050 25 057 51205 49061 14 060 19 065 16 076 16 050 21 050 49061 47094 11 073 15 060 11 067 11 064 16 041 47094 45272 11 101 11 061 8 059 9 094 11 024 45272 43573 13 114 8 076 5 089 10 099 2 262 43573 41979 16 103 9 107 9 117 10 102 8 200 41979 40477 25 086 15 115 12 121 10 114 6 221 40477 39055 20 084 19 119 11 126 9 091 10 297 39055 37677 14 089 19 135 10 154 6 071 21 278 37677 36275 12 079 22 147 12 177 3 078 26 263 36275 34815 15 073 16 141 11 186 3 075 28 262 34815 33297 12 085 13 148 8 194 3 049 27 267 33297 31709 7 079 11 165 9 216 2 021 18 270 31709 30042 4 081 7 157 8 218 2 280 7 241 30042 28298 2 086 2 105 6 195 3 274 2 213 28298 26475 2 043 4 354 4 169 3 239 1 321 26475 24574 1 034 5 309 1 163 1 143 6 000 24574 22597 3 172 5 265 3 221 1 357 6 348 22597 20536 5 191 5 261 1 243 1 122 3 347 20536 18392 10 182 5 225 2 336 5 086 5 084 18392 16213 12 155 5 169 1 119 9 051 9 080 16213 14110 11 129 8 131 5 118 6 071 11 072 14110 12192 9 110 9 122 6 139 6 199 10 071 12192 10488 7 122 8 155 9 178 10 200 8 077 10488 8975 8 168 10 190 10 201 9 200 6 102 8975 7631 10 208 14 218 12*209 10 201 8 144 7631 6438 15 229 14*215 13*205 12*200 12 151 6438 5381 17 237 14*212 13 202 14*196 15 158 5381 4451 17 237 14 210 14 199 15 194 17 178 4451 3631 16*232 15 206 15 196 15 192 21 187 3631 2899 14*224 15 204 16 195 15 190 24 190 2899 2253 13 214 15 203 16 194 15 189 23 191 2253 1714 13 211 15 201 16 193 15 189 22 192 1714 1300 12 210 15 200 16 193 15 189 20*192 1300 1015 12 208 14 200 15 192 15 188 17*192 1015 842 11 208 14 200 15 192 14 189 15 192 842 743 10 207 13 200 13 192 12 189 11 192 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography