DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.8 - - 71.3 - - 75.9 - - 73.1 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 86 - - 297 - - 250 - - -15 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 488 - - 1652 - - 3089 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1565 - - 2561 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1148 - - 2312 - - 3749 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 481 - - 364 - - 1209 - - 3667 - - 157 Hgt.Variab. W* 141 - - 320 - - 373 - - 15 - - 10 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 034 - - 081 - - 034 - - 027 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -907 - - -803 - - -512 - - -3234 - - -3439 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2055 - - 3115 - - 4261 - - 3978 - - 4181 sfcLCL ODpotential -7838 - - -5194 - - -3727 - - -5411 - - -7642 ODpotential blCL 8986 - - 7506 - - 7476 - - 6154 - - 8384 blCL maxRH 84 - - 84 - - 82 - - 60 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 480 - - 250 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.8 - - 71.3 - - 75.9 - - 73.1 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.2 - - 59.8 - - 59.6 - - 58.1 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.2 - - 69.5 - - 74.4 - - 74.0 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.1 - - 59.6 - - 59.3 - - 58.0 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 86 - - 297 - - 250 - - -15 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 488 - - 1652 - - 3089 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 37 - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96638 5 236 10 282 7 228 14 274 19 270 96638 89442 5 273 11 274 10 231 8 267 6 252 89442 83880 4 220 9 215 20 253 16 313 4 021 83880 79254 3 262 3 203 17 231 20 274 12 295 79254 75263 11 307 8 311 3 275 16 248 12 243 75263 71720 15 289 14 262 9 304 15 282 8 304 71720 68512 10 235 14 241 15 287 18 289 17 302 68512 65575 6 238 15 241 19 288 21 280 17 293 65575 62878 21 296 18 273 28 287 22 304 15 293 62878 60294 29 285 25 288 27 291 17 330 16 300 60294 57603 55 303 34 309 42 297 41 295 47 312 57603 54810 64 291 66 292 52 296 54 296 51 300 54810 52133 65 281 70 283 61 304 65 303 56 309 52133 49707 68 285 71 284 77 295 82 301 70 306 49707 47526 63 288 74 285 85 288 89 294 82 299 47526 45552 76 309 77 291 85 286 87 289 82 290 45552 43746 92 313 86 299 87 293 85 292 74 288 43746 42072 97 309 93 301 92 299 88 299 75 298 42072 40509 97 303 98 301 98 299 96 301 83 306 40509 39042 91 297 98 299 102 297 102 297 94 305 39042 37661 88 295 95 295 102 296 103 294 101 299 37661 36330 84 296 92 291 101 297 99 292 99 288 36330 34978 78 295 90 289 96 296 93 291 94 283 34978 33573 74 292 88 290 91 296 87 291 90 282 33573 32112 72 291 85 293 89 296 85 292 89 284 32112 30581 73 293 82 294 87 294 87 296 89 287 30581 28970 75 297 78 294 87 293 89 300 90 297 28970 27287 73 302 74 293 79 293 83 295 83 300 27287 25533 66 303 67 294 64 289 73 289 75 293 25533 23705 57 303 59 293 54 287 61 286 70 285 23705 21806 51 304 51 284 49 286 54 288 64 285 21806 19826 46 300 46 285 49 289 52 288 59 286 19826 17759 40 294 44 291 46 290 51 291 53 291 17759 15657 45 291 42 293 42 296 47 294 43 305 15657 13638 41 297 35 300 35 298 38 301 35 322 13638 11801 17 295 22 305 24 292 26 311 27 326 11801 10164 10 321 16 293 17 316 19 326 21 326 10164 8709 9 346 10 299 16 328 15 339 10 348 8709 7416 15 033 6 344 10 332 15 042 11 045 7416 6267 15 047 6 034 9 029 22 041 14 038 6267 5247 17 045 12 036 15 058 22 037 17 035 5247 4349 17 036 18 038 12*051 19 034 19 034 4349 3554 19 026 19 041 10*038 16 034 19 034 3554 2842 20 023 15*064 10 035 14 034 19 036 2842 2213 21 024 11*079 9 034 12 033 20 040 2213 1687 19 027 11 081 9 033 11 032 21 042 1687 1283 14*032 11 082 9 032 10 030 21 043 1283 1006 10*034 10 082 9 032 9 029 18 042 1006 838 10 034 10 083 8 031 8*028 13*040 838 742 8 034 9 082 8 031 6*027 6*037 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography