DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 87.8 - - 85.8 - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 279 - - 27 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4233 - - 5927 - - 4193 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3532 - - 4788 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4893 - - 6587 - - 4853 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1328 - - 1584 - - 1862 - - 379 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 453 - - 485 - - 207 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 31 - - 58 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 104 - - 115 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 17 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 275 - - 294 - - -1659 - - -2961 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4618 - - 6293 - - 6513 - - 3705 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2342 - - -661 - - -4670 - - -7456 ODpotential blCL - - - 7235 - - 7248 - - 9523 - - 8199 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 76 - - 62 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 2280 - - 1960 - - 1110 - - 1450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 87.8 - - 85.8 - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.7 - - 62.5 - - 59.6 - - 63.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.0 - - 86.0 - - 85.5 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 61.9 - - 59.1 - - 63.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 279 - - 27 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4233 - - 5927 - - 4193 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97770 10 262 8 292 7 273 12 244 97770 90334 6 212 14 237 15 275 12 311 90334 84623 4 239 9 242 11 307 6 306 84623 79906 9 256 7 261 7 316 2 166 79906 75847 10 234 10 257 14 290 9 326 75847 72286 5 222 8 217 11 268 9 291 72286 69086 7 295 10 268 14 265 9 254 69086 66133 16 276 18 267 19 283 14 299 66133 63387 26 266 26 264 29 268 28 281 63387 60736 36 262 33 268 32 263 36 269 60736 57984 45 264 42 269 39 269 39 268 57984 55133 52 264 50 268 47 269 44 265 55133 52407 59 260 57 263 52 264 48 259 52407 49952 61 257 59 260 54 260 48 257 49952 47759 63 255 59 259 53 259 47 259 47759 45784 65 252 62 256 54 259 50 259 45784 43983 66 250 63 254 55 258 51 257 43983 42322 66 249 62 258 53 258 49 259 42322 40774 64 247 62 261 44 262 45 258 40774 39320 63 247 61 262 42 271 38 261 39320 37948 61 247 55 259 45 268 35 266 37948 36618 53 245 40 261 42 263 33 270 36618 35265 36 252 28 274 32 270 32 274 35265 33857 26 276 22 293 29 282 33 277 33857 32400 18 295 17 304 29 283 34 278 32400 30878 14 298 15 301 31 278 34 276 30878 29278 12 316 17 287 30 274 32 278 29278 27599 12 337 18 282 28 270 27 284 27599 25842 15 332 18 286 25 284 23 293 25842 24006 18 333 18 303 24 296 21 297 24006 22094 17 341 22 314 26 301 22 300 22094 20104 15 333 22 311 28 298 23 300 20104 18032 11 318 19 304 26 294 27 305 18032 15919 13 346 16 310 24 301 29 305 15919 13878 17 347 13 332 16 317 20 307 13878 12015 17 344 13 332 14 329 15 316 12015 10354 19 007 13 337 16 317 13 311 10354 8875 9 346 10 349 10 340 7 322 8875 7556 11 319 3*333 6 359 5 335 7556 6383 9 325 0*111 1 305 3 336 6383 5343 3*326 1 118 3*172 5 178 5343 4426 3*331 1 116 4*154 12 166 4426 3615 3 334 2 111 5 128 15 162 3615 2888 3 335 2 102 6 117 15 154 2888 2245 3 338 2 100 6 110 16 144 2245 1708 3 337 2 097 7 107 16 138 1708 1296 3 339 2 097 7 104 16 133 1296 1013 3 340 2 098 7 103 14 132 1013 841 2 338 2 097 6 103 11*131 841 743 2 339 2 097 6 103 5*130 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography