DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1335z - - 1601z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 91.7 - - 99.6 - - 102.0 - - 99.6 - - 91.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 290 - - 541 - - 454 - - 120 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1825 - - 6986 - - 8371 - - 6231 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 1680 - - 5912 - - 6955 - - 4462 - - 728 Hcrit BL Top 2485 - - 7646 - - 9031 - - 6891 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3095 - - 2454 - - 2440 - - 4042 - - 6484 Hgt.Variab. W* 327 - - 630 - - 631 - - 368 - - 9 W* B/S 5 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 12 - - 9 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 205 - - 176 - - 173 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - -5 - - -15 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4662 - - -2000 - - -1423 - - -3429 - - -6643 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7147 - - 9647 - - 10455 - - 10320 - - 7388 sfcLCL ODpotential -6839 - - -3564 - - -2940 - - -5360 - - -9661 ODpotential blCL 9324 - - 11210 - - 11971 - - 12251 - - 10405 blCL maxRH 67 - - 67 - - 64 - - 58 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 400 - - 360 - - 450 - - 120 - - 540 CAPE Temp@2m 91.7 - - 99.6 - - 102.0 - - 99.6 - - 91.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 63.0 - - 59.6 - - 58.4 - - 56.7 - - 61.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 89.9 - - 96.5 - - 99.4 - - 98.6 - - 92.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.9 - - 59.5 - - 58.3 - - 56.7 - - 61.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 290 - - 541 - - 454 - - 120 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1825 - - 6986 - - 8371 - - 6231 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98442 32 075 29 109 27 103 33 087 36 087 98442 91024 28 094 25 097 22 095 19 086 21 087 91024 85323 23 097 26 092 21 099 13 091 18 092 85323 80571 20 098 24 095 20 093 14 104 18 073 80571 76485 16 104 16 092 16 081 17 096 14 066 76485 72883 19 094 15 097 15 081 23 080 14 092 72883 69638 23 096 17 100 16 094 23 074 24 097 69638 66674 21 102 18 099 17 094 16 078 25 092 66674 63943 15 108 16 106 15 093 13 085 20 088 63943 61314 13 107 12 115 13 107 11 098 12 073 61314 58588 12 113 9 113 12 111 11 119 6 060 58588 55790 12 123 6 126 6 101 7 099 7 093 55790 53157 14 107 5 133 4 074 6 056 9 090 53157 50798 17 094 11 114 6 114 5 112 11 090 50798 48678 14 096 13 098 10 127 11 141 14 098 48678 46743 14 113 11 084 12 108 15 126 19 103 46743 44956 17 123 9 097 13 095 16 104 23 098 44956 43288 19 125 11 120 12 094 18 091 23 094 43288 41719 20 127 18 132 10 118 18 096 23 104 41719 40238 22 122 24 128 22 125 20 102 24 113 40238 38834 24 114 23 120 24 122 20 108 25 118 38834 37473 24 113 20 115 24 121 19 115 27 119 37473 36086 22 112 19 112 24 117 19 119 26 115 36086 34641 20 110 20 106 23 108 21 114 25 108 34641 33141 20 108 20 106 23 107 22 109 24 103 33141 31573 18 110 19 109 20 108 23 108 22 101 31573 29924 17 110 14 120 13 105 18 103 21 104 29924 28194 13 120 11 134 9 127 12 109 17 093 28194 26387 10 119 9 142 10 160 7 144 10 089 26387 24502 9 118 7 145 9 181 5 180 5 087 24502 22541 9 133 6 141 6 180 3 182 5 098 22541 20501 11 125 6 139 6 164 4 168 4 109 20501 18374 12 115 7 125 5 155 4 166 6 093 18374 16207 11 130 9 143 5 169 3 186 5 074 16207 14119 8 159 9 152 5 178 2 193 4 097 14119 12220 4 174 9 161 6 156 4 174 4 108 12220 10529 4 173 7 175 6*153 10 157 4 127 10529 9026 6 193 6 205 7*168 13 152 8 157 9026 7688 11 194 9*210 7 171 13*150 13 164 7688 6496 13 181 10*209 8 172 13*153 17 167 6496 5437 13 191 11 208 9 173 13 157 19 167 5437 4502 13 206 12 207 10 175 13 163 20 167 4502 3675 14 219 12 206 10 177 13 170 20 167 3675 2933 16*233 12 204 11 179 13 180 20 167 2933 2277 15*233 13 203 11 181 13 186 20 167 2277 1729 13 232 13 202 12 182 13 188 19 166 1729 1309 13 231 13 202 12 183 13 189 16 164 1309 1020 12 230 12 201 11 184 13 191 13 162 1020 844 11 230 12 201 11 184 13 191 10*159 844 744 10 229 11 201 10 184 11 191 6*153 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography