DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 78.5 - - 75.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 369 - - 255 - - -30 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2839 - - 4186 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2508 - - 3401 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3499 - - 4846 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1292 - - 1251 - - 4852 - - 225 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 413 - - 418 - - 29 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 23 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 195 - - 184 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -9 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1197 - - -1599 - - -4293 - - -2540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4697 - - 6445 - - 5037 - - 3283 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5189 - - -7646 - - -9499 - - -9951 ODpotential blCL - - - 8688 - - 12492 - - 10242 - - 10693 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 58 - - 62 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 78.5 - - 75.3 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.9 - - 52.9 - - 55.9 - - 55.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.8 - - 77.1 - - 76.3 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 52.1 - - 55.5 - - 55.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 369 - - 255 - - -30 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2839 - - 4186 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97015 51 260 49 259 59 267 46 275 97015 89629 40 257 37 258 47 268 38 266 89629 84014 29 253 33 242 39 269 28 264 84014 79406 25 270 24 250 27 266 22 285 79406 75445 19 267 22 267 21 264 18 281 75445 71956 14 267 19 261 19 272 16 286 71956 68795 14 272 15 263 17 265 16 285 68795 65878 18 269 15 283 14 258 15 257 65878 63191 21 268 18 269 15 267 16 264 63191 60617 23 267 22 259 20 269 21 281 60617 57948 22 266 22 259 24 265 24 281 57948 55175 20 272 24 257 28 254 31 261 55175 52517 25 273 27 262 29 251 32 253 52517 50098 29 267 30 269 32 256 31 252 50098 47903 34 264 35 261 38 257 36 250 47903 45895 37 257 38 255 43 255 42 248 45895 44046 35 259 39 247 42 254 45 249 44046 42345 34 259 34 244 37 250 39 252 42345 40780 34 255 27 255 33 251 31 257 40780 39329 28 239 25 244 26 258 22 252 39329 37969 24 243 21 240 23 261 15 258 37969 36652 24 249 20 245 20 249 16 270 36652 35309 25 245 24 243 22 239 19 250 35309 33912 26 242 26 246 24 240 19 239 33912 32465 27 244 27 252 22 252 18 239 32465 30952 26 247 28 260 22 263 15 251 30952 29356 24 245 27 266 24 264 18 262 29356 27678 24 239 24 259 26 260 22 264 27678 25917 23 231 24 247 27 260 23 269 25917 24075 23 229 23 250 24 265 21 277 24075 22158 17 231 21 249 19 261 19 277 22158 20159 12 263 14 268 11 259 11 266 20159 18072 10 293 11 308 9 314 6 302 18072 15933 11 324 13 342 11 339 8 322 15933 13860 10 343 14 340 10 359 4 315 13860 11965 2 346 1 211 1 356 6 214 11965 10284 14 241 13 214 10 220 13 235 10284 8797 20 239 18 229 13 226 16 240 8797 7475 24 220 23 227 18 227 20 229 7475 6307 27 210 24 214 23 215 24 214 6307 5276 29 205 24*201 26 205 26 208 5276 4370 28 205 24*198 27 199 28 203 4370 3569 23*201 24 196 27 195 30 197 3569 2853 22*198 23 195 27 192 31 192 2853 2219 21 197 23 194 26 190 30 189 2219 1691 20 196 23 193 25 188 29 188 1691 1285 20 196 22 193 23 187 27 186 1285 1007 19 196 21 193 20 186 21 182 1007 838 18 195 20 193 17*185 17 181 838 742 15 195 17 193 13*184 8*177 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography