DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.5 - - 59.4 - - 58.3 - - 52.7 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 42 - - 310 - - 213 - - -36 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 623 - - 4840 - - 5480 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 3970 - - 4276 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1283 - - 5500 - - 6140 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1210 - - 1678 - - 1749 - - 6436 - - 5330 Hgt.Variab. W* 120 - - 462 - - 425 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 26 - - 29 - - 29 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 349 - - 349 - - 352 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear 14 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -10 - - -9 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3125 - - -372 - - 41 - - -4500 - - -3786 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4408 - - 5872 - - 6099 - - 5241 - - 4527 sfcLCL ODpotential -7123 - - -1522 - - -102 - - -5170 - - -5025 ODpotential blCL 8406 - - 7022 - - 6242 - - 5911 - - 5766 blCL maxRH 64 - - 74 - - 87 - - 91 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.5 - - 59.4 - - 58.3 - - 52.7 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.1 - - 36.4 - - 34.2 - - 32.6 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.4 - - 58.0 - - 57.3 - - 53.7 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.1 - - 36.2 - - 34.1 - - 32.5 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 42 - - 310 - - 213 - - -36 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 623 - - 4840 - - 5480 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 48 - - 63 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96070 17 248 25 318 13 287 20 312 15 322 96070 89077 15 028 7 008 2 353 16 347 24 010 89077 83692 22 035 13 052 9 016 12 010 23 020 83692 79219 23 042 19 048 14 037 15 030 20 045 79219 75316 25 031 20 049 19 027 15 047 20 061 75316 71813 22 026 19 042 16 021 21 023 19 035 71813 68629 24 027 16 038 18 028 15 018 15 016 68629 65712 26 002 22 012 18 355 14 038 19 017 65712 62997 23 342 21 337 21 352 31 347 15 357 62997 60322 23 338 21 338 40 338 28 328 18 005 60322 57507 41 324 42 328 45 316 34 338 43 339 57507 54597 46 301 47 301 43 297 49 317 51 330 54597 51820 40 290 48 279 46 301 45 310 53 325 51820 49318 43 311 45 307 46 302 45 324 52 326 49318 47068 58 316 52 307 46 317 56 323 59 333 47068 45024 64 305 48 307 60 322 63 323 69 332 45024 43156 61 300 57 317 72 316 69 322 68 325 43156 41432 68 300 73 314 78 310 70 321 64 330 41432 39829 78 290 91 298 79 303 66 320 69 343 39829 38328 82 280 100 283 74 301 62 321 81 347 38328 36921 71 278 98 273 67 310 60 332 87 344 36921 35567 64 287 84 271 69 317 68 341 84 342 35567 34201 72 295 72 285 76 314 70 338 82 343 34201 32803 78 289 75 297 81 313 69 334 83 344 32803 31376 82 286 84 299 84 315 72 332 86 346 31376 29896 84 287 91 297 85 323 75 332 91 350 29896 28342 85 289 94 295 89 328 75 334 98 354 28342 26708 87 291 95 293 92 333 77 338 100 355 26708 24992 87 293 99 294 84 334 80 336 95 351 24992 23194 86 295 101 295 78 331 86 340 91 346 23194 21316 87 299 98 301 77 325 81 344 91 343 21316 19351 83 305 87 312 71 327 70 338 88 345 19351 17299 75 314 68 320 58 332 66 329 76 342 17299 15210 65 322 51 330 50 336 60 334 65 335 15210 13205 54 322 46 335 46 339 50 340 61 337 13205 11393 50 314 43 338 44 342 47 342 51 345 11393 9789 48 303 40 341 41 345 46 340 43 347 9789 8365 44 323 39 342 37 348 41 336 42 346 8365 7108 44 338 39 347 30*348 33 333 41 341 7108 6005 45 346 36*350 30*348 32 339 35 345 6005 5033 46 351 31*349 30 348 32 345 33 350 5033 4175 48 353 31 349 30 349 33 349 33 353 4175 3418 46 357 30 349 30 349 33 351 32 354 3418 2740 46 358 30 349 29 350 33 352 32 356 2740 2140 45 357 29 349 29 350 32 352 31 357 2140 1639 38*353 28 349 28 350 30 353 28 358 1639 1255 32*351 27 349 28 350 27 352 25 357 1255 992 27 350 26 349 26 350 22 352 18 353 992 832 24 350 24 349 24 350 19*352 15*352 832 741 18 350 20 349 20 350 14*352 8*349 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography