DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.0 - - 64.8 - - 61.5 - - 56.6 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 74 - - 189 - - -26 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 2293 - - 1651 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1226 - - 1414 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 741 - - 2953 - - 2311 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2398 - - 2590 - - 1473 - - 2414 - - 177 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 231 - - 276 - - 15 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 15 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 288 - - 008 - - 014 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -7 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -503 - - 658 - - -293 - - -3224 - - -1821 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1244 - - 2295 - - 2605 - - 3965 - - 2562 sfcLCL ODpotential -1251 - - 158 - - -1417 - - -8240 - - -8286 ODpotential blCL 1992 - - 2795 - - 3728 - - 8981 - - 9027 blCL maxRH 100 - - 96 - - 93 - - 54 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 440 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.0 - - 64.8 - - 61.5 - - 56.6 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.1 - - 57.3 - - 52.8 - - 42.2 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.0 - - 64.2 - - 60.4 - - 58.0 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.1 - - 56.5 - - 52.3 - - 42.1 - - 40.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 74 - - 189 - - -26 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 2293 - - 1651 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 83 - - 72 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96378 36 235 41 263 43 249 32 275 35 287 96378 89162 39 252 42 262 39 255 32 267 34 261 89162 83664 32 270 27 266 30 255 31 255 30 269 83664 79108 24 285 18 275 25 249 25 266 26 295 79108 75146 22 281 14 266 21 255 28 279 25 289 75146 71624 21 276 13 266 17 256 24 263 22 266 71624 68444 23 268 16 296 15 283 19 283 19 255 68444 65531 30 269 28 292 27 283 22 282 18 271 65531 62839 34 272 34 259 34 282 31 281 28 288 62839 60233 38 275 37 254 44 276 42 272 40 283 60233 57498 47 264 46 268 53 273 49 269 53 266 57498 54647 54 264 56 269 59 267 58 264 64 258 54647 51922 63 271 66 265 66 264 69 266 74 261 51922 49463 70 269 74 262 75 264 78 267 83 260 49463 47242 78 266 76 263 79 264 81 266 84 262 47242 45214 83 267 79 264 81 265 80 267 83 267 45214 43348 87 267 83 265 84 267 82 269 87 272 43348 41619 88 267 85 268 88 266 90 271 93 276 41619 40008 84 268 85 272 89 267 98 273 99 280 40008 38502 82 271 86 275 89 270 100 273 104 281 38502 37091 83 272 88 275 89 273 96 273 106 278 37091 35743 84 274 86 271 90 276 91 273 110 275 35743 34386 85 275 83 270 89 276 87 274 107 274 34386 32994 82 273 79 270 90 275 84 276 92 271 32994 31569 78 271 77 269 91 273 83 278 74 272 31569 30089 75 271 77 269 91 272 81 279 69 278 30089 28531 74 272 75 267 89 272 69 277 66 277 28531 26896 70 272 69 265 72 274 54 282 62 277 26896 25180 62 272 63 270 55 278 53 289 59 279 25180 23385 55 270 55 276 44 280 51 287 54 283 23385 21515 49 271 46 277 39 289 49 288 48 282 21515 19562 45 278 42 279 33 294 40 285 43 275 19562 17518 38 286 37 282 30 294 34 274 42 274 17518 15429 32 296 28 285 26 290 33 284 38 287 15429 13423 33 284 22 280 21 299 29 308 25 300 13423 11601 28 269 24 276 16 311 18 312 18 288 11601 9976 11 252 22 257 12 320 15 317 16 301 9976 8530 1 267 11 236 13 341 13 339 18 338 8530 7249 4 305 4 275 9 326 13 354 19 357 7249 6115 12 292 6 319 4 322 12 009 20 010 6115 5113 18 272 8 304 4 311 14 018 22 022 5113 4233 20 254 8 293 6 332 19 024 25 025 4233 3459 20 237 8*290 10 352 21 025 26 023 3459 2769 20 230 8*288 15*007 21 023 28 026 2769 2160 20 224 7 288 15*008 20 021 26 029 2160 1652 19 215 7 287 15 008 19 020 23 030 1652 1262 17 208 6 289 15 008 18 018 19 028 1262 995 12 197 6 288 15 008 15 015 15 021 995 833 11 195 6 289 14 008 13 015 12*018 833 741 7*192 5 288 12 007 8*014 6*014 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography