DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 83.7 - - 78.1 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 134 - - -27 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2683 - - 3166 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2252 - - 2358 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3343 - - 3826 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1800 - - 2065 - - 3850 - - 403 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 353 - - 313 - - 20 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 21 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 185 - - 175 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1442 - - -1792 - - -3352 - - -2611 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4785 - - 5618 - - 4096 - - 3354 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4160 - - -6558 - - -7891 - - -8661 ODpotential blCL - - - 7503 - - 10384 - - 8634 - - 9404 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 67 - - 64 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 83.7 - - 78.1 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.0 - - 61.7 - - 62.8 - - 63.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.9 - - 83.0 - - 80.0 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 61.0 - - 62.4 - - 62.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 134 - - -27 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2683 - - 3166 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98030 36 277 37 279 26 303 28 290 98030 90692 18 272 18 266 23 284 25 300 90692 84993 6 277 9 281 17 286 23 306 84993 80276 2 340 10 298 11 322 14 333 80276 76251 1 238 9 272 7 304 12 344 76251 72713 3 101 6 254 7 264 6 306 72713 69534 9 326 5 328 5 316 2 093 69534 66636 13 298 7 326 5 003 10 099 66636 63970 8 275 5 268 8 317 6 030 63970 61407 1 268 5 264 8 289 6 340 61407 58762 11 304 11 276 12 288 12 311 58762 56044 13 289 13 293 12 300 15 309 56044 53457 20 292 15 283 19 283 20 285 53457 51117 22 290 19 290 19 283 17 294 51117 48995 30 302 25 302 23 299 21 307 48995 47045 39 301 29 311 25 307 24 306 47045 45241 41 301 33 310 27 311 27 306 45241 43558 38 297 33 300 32 309 28 307 43558 41974 35 291 29 292 32 301 27 304 41974 40476 33 285 27 290 30 290 27 297 40476 39055 33 284 27 288 32 283 30 295 39055 37674 34 289 32 286 33 284 32 293 37674 36267 37 299 37 283 35 285 31 289 36267 34801 37 298 40 277 40 281 31 287 34801 33277 34 292 40 273 44 272 34 283 33277 31681 31 280 38 268 40 265 36 276 31681 30000 31 277 37 265 35 258 31 268 30000 28241 25 275 31 261 29 253 27 264 28241 26405 20 264 21 251 20 246 20 256 26405 24492 18 259 17 243 19 239 17 244 24492 22506 17 249 18 240 20 238 19 244 22506 20445 14 246 19 238 21 233 22 246 20445 18304 15 241 20 244 19 239 20 244 18304 16121 17 232 19 240 16 244 16 242 16121 14014 18 220 19 224 16 237 15 256 14014 12100 17 209 21 216 19 212 16 262 12100 10406 23 209 22 209 22 210 17 230 10406 8907 26 204 27 199 22 218 17 225 8907 7575 22 207 30 203 26 215 20 224 7575 6395 16 201 33 203 28 202 24 214 6395 5351 17 201 30 193 28 196 25 205 5351 4431 20 202 27*187 27 195 25 200 4431 3617 20*203 24*185 26 194 25 194 3617 2888 19*203 23 185 25 192 26 185 2888 2243 19 202 22 185 24 190 29 178 2243 1706 18 202 21 185 23 188 30 173 1706 1294 17 201 20 185 20 186 28 171 1294 1011 16 201 19 186 16 180 20 167 1011 841 15 200 18 186 13 178 17 166 841 743 13 200 15 186 7*175 8*163 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography