DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 74.1 - - 67.7 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 170 - - -32 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2318 - - 2439 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1891 - - 1919 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2978 - - 3099 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1015 - - 1103 - - 1591 - - 402 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 302 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 199 - - 178 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -10 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 235 - - -305 - - -1310 - - -167 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2743 - - 3404 - - 2052 - - 909 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 428 - - -3262 - - -6536 - - -4022 ODpotential blCL - - - 2550 - - 6361 - - 7278 - - 4764 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 89 - - 82 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 74.1 - - 67.7 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.6 - - 61.7 - - 61.3 - - 62.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.9 - - 72.9 - - 69.2 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 61.6 - - 61.3 - - 62.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 170 - - -32 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2318 - - 2439 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 54 - - 27 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96097 42 248 49 269 44 271 44 284 96097 88973 27 277 32 254 42 272 39 284 88973 83504 29 276 21 277 32 267 33 278 83504 78977 31 280 25 304 22 279 24 288 78977 75082 28 280 28 304 25 297 21 314 75082 71660 23 287 26 298 23 304 21 313 71660 68595 19 289 24 290 21 315 17 312 68595 65812 20 300 24 289 23 321 18 316 65812 63268 22 300 20 297 21 313 19 308 63268 60814 18 287 21 301 20 307 19 303 60814 58240 22 285 24 282 24 293 27 290 58240 55543 31 278 33 271 31 277 34 275 55543 52938 36 277 38 271 38 269 40 270 52938 50559 41 286 44 284 38 280 41 280 50559 48402 44 290 48 292 39 291 39 286 48402 46428 43 289 47 292 40 291 34 288 46428 44609 37 284 39 284 36 288 34 291 44609 42924 25 283 31 279 32 289 33 297 42924 41356 15 285 27 297 29 301 33 307 41356 39893 19 331 24 320 26 325 26 314 39893 38518 24 336 18 336 28 339 20 319 38518 37185 18 342 12 340 27 332 16 328 37185 35822 9 354 12 314 19 326 16 320 35822 34397 4 015 8 301 13 309 21 310 34397 32914 2 099 4 295 8 284 21 312 32914 31356 7 158 4 265 6 277 13 303 31356 29713 13 164 7 198 4 242 7 295 29713 27986 14 168 10 189 12 190 4 247 27986 26177 10 181 10 210 16 205 11 216 26177 24294 9 226 11 238 11 240 10 222 24294 22339 10 250 11 249 10 265 8 249 22339 20303 10 266 8 274 9 273 9 265 20303 18183 14 234 9 248 7 256 8 280 18183 16017 16 211 14 220 7 243 7 303 16017 13924 15 195 12 218 7 276 6 309 13924 12016 13 197 12 217 8 284 7 284 12016 10321 16 209 14 222 9 258 10 249 10321 8820 18 212 19 223 13 228 10 233 8820 7490 18 211 21 224 17 221 17 223 7490 6314 17 215 20 227 18 225 16 226 6314 5276 16 220 15 227 18 229 13 240 5276 4364 14 222 14 219 19 228 13 241 4364 3561 14*212 15*209 18 221 17 230 3561 2844 15*201 15*203 19 208 22 220 2844 2212 15 198 15 200 22 194 24 210 2212 1685 15 198 16 199 23 187 26 202 1685 1282 15 198 15 199 22 183 26 199 1282 1005 14 197 15 198 18 181 18 194 1005 838 14 198 14 198 15 179 15 193 838 742 12 198 12 197 8*178 7*189 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography