DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 101.4 - - 103.2 - - 102.0 - - 94.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 298 - - 43 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6093 - - 7182 - - 6077 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5019 - - 5810 - - 3386 - - 728 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6753 - - 7842 - - 6737 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1842 - - 2331 - - 3725 - - 4339 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 525 - - 529 - - 273 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 14 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 031 - - 051 - - 061 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -14 - - -13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1020 - - 114 - - -1011 - - -4851 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7773 - - 7728 - - 7748 - - 5595 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3521 - - -2152 - - -2704 - - -8298 ODpotential blCL - - - 10274 - - 9994 - - 9441 - - 9042 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 66 - - 73 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 2000 - - 3040 - - 2710 - - 2370 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 101.4 - - 103.2 - - 102.0 - - 94.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.6 - - 71.5 - - 70.3 - - 71.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 99.1 - - 101.1 - - 101.5 - - 95.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 70.9 - - 69.9 - - 71.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 298 - - 43 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6093 - - 7182 - - 6077 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99029 27 096 47 089 50 085 51 088 99029 91590 31 092 35 105 37 094 40 096 91590 85869 41 097 28 110 29 092 36 089 85869 81136 45 098 30 103 27 094 36 077 81136 77048 33 099 32 096 23 101 29 080 77048 73411 28 104 27 085 23 085 24 083 73411 70118 25 084 27 092 21 088 24 075 70118 67119 21 069 28 097 25 103 22 084 67119 64378 18 072 22 097 22 096 19 096 64378 61748 23 078 19 090 20 089 22 086 61748 59037 20 069 20 076 20 085 22 081 59037 56273 18 080 21 068 20 067 20 083 56273 53674 17 062 18 066 18 046 22 059 53674 51330 13 056 9 055 14 025 19 041 51330 49200 10 065 5 027 8 002 19 020 49200 47241 3 078 5 356 5 307 10 353 47241 45430 3 315 9 352 5 326 6 332 45430 43743 6 010 7 022 2 023 2 286 43743 42157 10 003 8 070 4 107 2 131 42157 40658 10 346 9 072 5 078 2 098 40658 39237 8 351 7 058 7 036 7 032 39237 37856 3 042 6 070 8 027 11 019 37856 36447 10 080 8 061 7 036 9 029 36447 34983 15 070 12 055 12 049 11 046 34983 33465 9 062 10 054 13 054 12 041 33465 31879 6 056 10 019 8 040 11 034 31879 30212 7 037 11 003 12 031 15 048 30212 28469 10 078 7 068 18 034 21 046 28469 26647 16 068 12 090 9 031 20 047 26647 24742 14 071 10 082 7 044 15 069 24742 22760 12 092 9 081 10 035 12 046 22760 20696 16 102 11 099 9 053 14 022 20696 18549 20 093 16 093 12 089 9 042 18549 16364 22 085 17 088 13 084 11 067 16364 14258 21 079 15 074 11 057 12 058 14258 12339 18 076 16 061 12 046 12 050 12339 10630 15 076 18 052 15 039 12 050 10630 9110 17 054 19*050 15 046 11 044 9110 7755 17*052 17*049 14*056 9 034 7755 6550 12*038 15 050 14*062 7 043 6550 5479 9 031 14 051 14 063 9 066 5479 4534 9 030 14 052 14 062 14 082 4534 3699 9 029 14 052 14 061 18 088 3699 2952 9 030 13 052 13 060 22 091 2952 2290 9 031 13 052 13 059 24 093 2290 1738 9 031 13 052 13 059 24 094 1738 1314 9 032 12 052 12 058 22 095 1314 1022 8 033 12 052 12 058 16 094 1022 845 8 033 12 052 11 058 14 093 845 744 8 033 10 052 10 057 9*093 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography