DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 58.7 - - 51.7 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 203 - - 117 - - -16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1511 - - 1636 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1342 - - 1108 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2171 - - 2296 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 351 - - 659 - - 1097 - - 595 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 274 - - 234 - - 8 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 13 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 195 - - 144 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1640 - - -654 - - -435 - - -237 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3811 - - 2950 - - 1176 - - 978 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10316 - - -6926 - - -8468 - - -9118 ODpotential blCL - - - 12487 - - 9222 - - 9209 - - 9859 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 85 - - 91 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 58.7 - - 51.7 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.2 - - 48.4 - - 49.1 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 58.0 - - 52.8 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 48.2 - - 49.1 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 203 - - 117 - - -16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1511 - - 1636 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 40 - - 63 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96455 7 260 10 287 7 293 5 268 96455 89345 9 155 6 218 9 242 13 297 89345 83861 4 205 5 187 9 215 11 283 83861 79271 7 256 11 174 6 282 3 315 79271 75296 6 265 9 205 8 294 4 285 75296 71782 11 236 13 282 5 265 12 295 71782 68597 19 229 19 258 18 240 20 268 68597 65676 26 255 25 249 21 255 26 263 65676 62986 36 258 33 267 31 257 25 260 62986 60377 42 249 53 260 44 262 25 272 60377 57643 59 243 60 245 53 258 48 252 57643 54790 68 242 63 243 61 254 58 259 54790 52048 78 246 72 247 75 254 77 256 52048 49588 89 243 88 243 92 244 94 250 49588 47416 92 241 97 240 99 243 103 245 47416 45478 90 242 99 243 108 245 107 245 45478 43715 92 245 105 244 113 242 110 244 43715 42086 97 247 105 244 113 240 113 243 42086 40564 99 248 107 249 110 242 112 243 40564 39127 98 250 110 253 104 247 104 245 39127 37763 99 253 111 254 102 253 105 252 37763 36439 100 253 110 255 107 258 109 255 36439 35086 101 250 108 254 108 258 108 253 35086 33676 100 247 105 253 100 252 104 248 33676 32209 97 245 101 253 95 245 99 251 32209 30673 96 247 97 251 95 245 92 253 30673 29058 86 254 93 250 95 252 89 251 29058 27362 76 250 86 250 88 253 87 251 27362 25589 77 247 78 248 78 247 84 250 25589 23741 77 249 75 249 75 249 80 250 23741 21820 72 254 69 255 71 258 74 255 21820 19818 66 255 63 256 65 257 66 257 19818 17732 61 255 61 255 60 255 59 255 17732 15610 55 257 57 255 53 254 50 254 15610 13570 50 260 50 252 43 248 39 247 13570 11717 47 259 45 244 39 239 37 239 11717 10068 45 257 40 244 35 235 33 240 10068 8602 43 256 37 255 27 231 22 241 8602 7300 33 241 34 258 21 242 15 225 7300 6144 28 239 30 241 21 252 14 247 6144 5126 28 251 27 241 18 249 11 250 5126 4239 29 250 23 254 14 261 8 296 4239 3463 31 235 21 247 12 256 8 304 3463 2770 28*222 18*229 8 233 6 263 2770 2157 22*207 14*202 9 191 6 226 2157 1647 19 197 14 196 14 166 7 170 1647 1259 18 195 14 194 15 154 10 141 1259 993 17 194 13 193 13 150 10 131 993 832 16 194 12 191 11 146 8*128 832 741 14 193 11 191 6*144 5*125 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography