DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.8 - - 70.6 - - 75.6 - - 71.0 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 51 - - 131 - - 151 - - 8 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1462 - - 2466 - - 4340 - - 1629 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 1800 - - 3235 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 2122 - - 3126 - - 5000 - - 2289 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 981 - - 1461 - - 712 - - 2559 - - 508 Hgt.Variab. W* 170 - - 278 - - 353 - - 96 - - 10 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 10 - - 8 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 217 - - 221 - - 211 - - 175 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -6 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 279 - - 331 - - 701 - - -507 - - -2334 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1843 - - 2795 - - 4300 - - 2796 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential 186 - - 275 - - 546 - - -1095 - - -9200 ODpotential blCL 1936 - - 2851 - - 4454 - - 3384 - - 9942 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 110 - - 260 - - 230 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 65.8 - - 70.6 - - 75.6 - - 71.0 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.2 - - 60.8 - - 59.3 - - 61.1 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.4 - - 69.6 - - 74.4 - - 71.0 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.2 - - 60.7 - - 59.1 - - 61.0 - - 58.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 51 - - 131 - - 151 - - 8 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1462 - - 2466 - - 4340 - - 1629 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 100 - - 91 - - 95 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96362 22 259 34 262 26 263 31 267 24 265 96362 89196 17 277 17 248 17 248 26 261 23 274 89196 83686 18 270 12 256 14 242 21 250 20 272 83686 79096 17 258 17 282 12 272 8 286 10 253 79096 75136 7 245 11 279 15 259 13 306 12 304 75136 71687 15 319 11 323 10 297 8 315 13 303 71687 68599 21 316 20 319 20 328 12 339 7 318 68599 65761 21 302 25 317 32 326 27 332 21 334 65761 63136 24 312 26 309 31 320 30 329 21 333 63136 60583 30 319 20 308 27 309 26 314 25 319 60583 57916 32 319 30 314 27 301 36 299 42 308 57916 55154 46 311 39 305 41 301 45 297 49 302 55154 52507 56 304 47 301 50 302 50 293 48 298 52507 50100 56 300 50 301 50 294 49 290 48 297 50100 47923 56 302 52 299 49 293 51 293 54 292 47923 45938 59 304 57 301 56 297 55 292 56 282 45938 44111 63 304 65 302 59 295 56 290 52 278 44111 42416 64 304 66 301 58 293 57 291 51 281 42416 40834 59 302 62 297 57 291 57 292 51 284 40834 39350 44 298 55 291 55 292 52 292 51 287 39350 37956 38 294 41 291 52 292 51 294 51 289 37956 36619 34 289 38 296 43 291 53 292 54 289 36619 35275 32 287 37 296 38 291 51 289 52 288 35275 33887 32 286 35 293 36 287 45 291 46 287 33887 32448 32 285 33 289 34 280 37 293 40 290 32448 30940 32 285 30 293 31 278 32 296 35 290 30940 29350 32 283 29 296 30 282 32 291 29 289 29350 27675 32 282 27 297 28 288 31 277 25 290 27675 25916 29 282 26 291 25 291 29 277 25 283 25916 24075 25 279 28 282 26 281 25 285 27 271 24075 22158 21 274 27 271 28 265 24 289 30 266 22158 20156 22 268 24 263 26 260 26 291 31 268 20156 18061 20 268 21 256 23 267 21 283 28 268 18061 15919 9 281 13 242 18 252 16 272 23 269 15919 13849 4 322 6 207 15 209 22 249 20 271 13849 11964 2 241 7 203 16 210 22 249 24 261 11964 10288 7 202 9 224 18 225 21 252 25 254 10288 8798 11 203 16 225 23 229 22 240 24 234 8798 7475 8 239 16 207 21 218 24 220 22 216 7475 6304 10 253 11 188 14 206 20 203 21 214 6304 5273 11 261 8 224 9*224 13 202 26 207 5273 4367 14 262 11 237 9*224 12 195 26 195 4367 3567 17 237 12*236 8 221 13 185 23 180 3567 2851 17 226 11*233 8 211 15*177 23 171 2851 2218 16*224 11 222 8 207 15*175 25 165 2218 1690 13*219 10 219 8 205 15 175 25 162 1690 1286 12 217 10 218 8 204 15 175 24 159 1286 1007 11 216 10 216 8 203 14 175 18 155 1007 838 10 216 9 215 8 202 13 175 15 154 838 742 9 216 8 214 7 202 10 175 7*150 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography