DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.1 - - 60.2 - - 58.2 - - 57.7 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 151 - - 31 - - 15 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 947 - - 2602 - - 1361 - - 996 - - 437 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2037 - - 725 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1607 - - 3262 - - 2021 - - 1656 - - 1097 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 914 - - 801 - - 2528 - - 2051 - - 1134 Hgt.Variab. W* 125 - - 309 - - 152 - - 110 - - 45 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 18 - - 11 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 071 - - 067 - - 063 - - 126 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 393 - - 255 - - 367 - - 22 - - -170 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1215 - - 3007 - - 1654 - - 1634 - - 1267 sfcLCL ODpotential 1 - - -3679 - - -200 - - -741 - - -2192 ODpotential blCL 1606 - - 6941 - - 2221 - - 2397 - - 3289 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.1 - - 60.2 - - 58.2 - - 57.7 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.3 - - 49.6 - - 53.5 - - 53.1 - - 53.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.9 - - 59.4 - - 57.9 - - 57.7 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.8 - - 48.3 - - 52.6 - - 52.4 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 151 - - 31 - - 15 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 947 - - 2602 - - 1361 - - 996 - - 437 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 100 - - 88 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97771 28 233 22 252 26 251 21 254 18 268 97771 90326 21 241 30 228 25 236 23 252 20 252 90326 84579 17 240 24 240 22 238 24 245 20 243 84579 79812 14 243 18 246 16 246 18 259 12 228 79812 75735 4 299 10 252 14 236 14 277 7 255 75735 72175 7 281 5 314 7 229 12 266 13 275 72175 68973 7 230 7 286 3 358 8 260 7 291 68973 66036 9 322 10 226 9 279 16 266 18 306 66036 63319 29 303 13 283 17 275 18 263 22 273 63319 60672 47 261 29 278 29 269 19 266 20 264 60672 57893 42 244 42 272 40 271 42 277 42 271 57893 55009 55 274 49 269 67 270 51 267 52 265 55009 52257 71 275 68 264 70 259 56 269 58 266 52257 49776 83 262 77 254 64 258 68 270 63 266 49776 47541 79 263 79 256 66 262 75 265 68 264 47541 45510 84 267 79 260 70 260 76 258 72 260 45510 43659 92 262 83 259 78 254 74 253 75 257 43659 41966 97 255 90 253 84 250 75 254 75 256 41966 40399 97 252 92 250 86 250 78 258 77 258 40399 38937 95 250 95 249 87 251 81 259 77 259 38937 37560 94 247 93 247 91 251 80 258 75 260 37560 36225 93 244 88 245 91 250 78 258 75 263 36225 34863 93 243 83 241 78 250 74 258 77 266 34863 33446 92 240 78 237 53 245 66 256 78 268 33446 31977 91 235 72 234 49 240 62 254 79 269 31977 30443 82 232 64 228 50 240 48 248 75 269 30443 28837 72 229 59 224 48 240 36 217 63 271 28837 27158 75 241 59 223 47 240 39 226 53 271 27158 25402 66 243 61 222 45 239 39 233 46 264 25402 23573 57 239 61 221 44 238 38 243 40 256 23573 21667 56 253 61 230 44 236 35 258 38 258 21667 19679 56 260 61 245 43 232 33 270 37 269 19679 17607 53 264 55 252 43 228 35 273 32 278 17607 15496 55 253 55 245 40 225 33 269 27 284 15496 13463 49 238 48 243 27 230 27 276 24 279 13463 11619 24 259 20 270 12 295 18 289 14 292 11619 9985 13 322 8 005 16 017 7 318 15 355 9985 8542 10 025 9 052 16 030 9 347 29 027 8542 7266 9 066 6 048 15 026 20 029 29 032 7266 6133 7 066 6 032 21 033 31 041 27 043 6133 5133 10 052 14 052 24 039 31 045 27 056 5133 4251 18 061 21 061 23 041 26 051 26 063 4251 3473 23 063 21*061 21 043 20 060 24 067 3473 2777 26 065 20*063 18 048 14 071 19 072 2777 2164 25 067 19 066 15*055 10 087 14 085 2164 1655 23*068 19 068 13*061 8*105 9 102 1655 1265 18*070 18 069 12 063 7*122 5*114 1265 997 17 071 17 069 11 065 7 126 3*120 997 835 15 072 16 070 10 065 6 128 3 120 835 741 11 072 13 070 9 065 6 129 2 120 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography