DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.9 - - 97.0 - - 95.1 - - 85.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 279 - - 19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5961 - - 7721 - - 3501 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4927 - - 6203 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6621 - - 8381 - - 4161 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1581 - - 1446 - - 4877 - - 157 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 526 - - 531 - - 182 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 19 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 160 - - 188 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 10 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2120 - - -1422 - - -6014 - - -6207 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8741 - - 9803 - - 10176 - - 6952 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7082 - - -6607 - - -11488 - - -12987 ODpotential blCL - - - 13703 - - 14988 - - 15649 - - 13731 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 51 - - 42 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.9 - - 97.0 - - 95.1 - - 85.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.0 - - 56.4 - - 53.0 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.7 - - 95.2 - - 94.9 - - 88.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 55.5 - - 52.1 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 279 - - 19 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5961 - - 7721 - - 3501 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99004 41 105 39 094 36 088 39 089 99004 91552 40 091 39 100 32 093 34 083 91552 85816 41 084 37 098 29 089 32 078 85816 81055 35 087 35 096 28 081 36 077 81055 76968 29 093 31 097 28 080 35 078 76968 73381 24 092 23 096 26 093 28 079 73381 70153 18 088 19 097 24 096 20 091 70153 67183 20 089 15 100 17 086 17 086 67183 64421 17 093 14 121 13 094 15 072 64421 61755 13 091 18 102 14 105 11 088 61755 58988 18 103 18 085 14 085 15 095 58988 56136 20 054 20 069 17 067 20 077 56136 53446 18 045 15 043 14 040 19 047 53446 51050 16 042 9 033 9 022 10 025 51050 48902 14 015 9 019 10 011 6 018 48902 46940 11 354 7 005 10 002 5 004 46940 45126 8 348 3 353 8 359 5 354 45126 43433 8 348 2 332 6 352 6 360 43433 41846 9 349 3 348 5 347 7 357 41846 40350 10 354 6 031 4 015 6 344 40350 38934 13 014 9 032 8 035 4 008 38934 37561 16 024 13 038 13 042 9 056 37561 36167 19 032 17 043 18 056 16 056 36167 34716 19 047 20 049 20 059 16 056 34716 33212 20 059 19 048 16 046 16 036 33212 31640 17 054 16 047 16 031 16 033 31640 29990 10 043 13 046 14 038 12 035 29990 28259 6 047 10 037 10 044 9 041 28259 26447 11 052 9 052 10 056 8 051 26447 24553 12 065 9 074 7 077 9 062 24553 22578 8 059 7 046 6 059 4 067 22578 20514 2 196 5 347 8 351 6 030 20514 18362 5 182 3 286 10 325 10 006 18362 16179 6 088 2 010 7 335 10 003 16179 14082 11 082 8 068 6 020 11 023 14082 12174 9 089 9 075 4 053 8 029 12174 10480 7 081 3 066 1 340 5 026 10480 8983 5 055 3*146 4 196 3 219 8983 7653 8*050 4*151 6 165 12 169 7653 6467 5*067 4 152 7 159 14 160 6467 5412 3 113 5 153 8 158 13 159 5412 4481 4 164 5 157 8*164 12 159 4481 3657 4 172 5 161 8*171 11 161 3657 2919 5 176 5 164 9 182 11 165 2919 2267 5 178 5 167 9 189 11 170 2267 1723 5 181 6 168 9 192 11 177 1723 1305 5 183 5 170 10 194 11 179 1305 1018 5 183 5 170 9 194 9 179 1018 843 5 183 5 171 9 195 7*176 843 744 5 183 5 171 8 195 5*167 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography