DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 76.5 - - 70.0 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 112 - - -35 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2171 - - 2580 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1615 - - 1779 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2831 - - 3240 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2645 - - 2336 - - 1909 - - 349 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 270 - - 268 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 16 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 193 - - 178 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -8 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 125 - - -148 - - -1185 - - -164 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2706 - - 3388 - - 1927 - - 906 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -318 - - -529 - - -3281 - - -3587 ODpotential blCL - - - 3149 - - 3769 - - 4023 - - 4329 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 88 - - 87 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 490 - - 400 - - 110 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 76.5 - - 70.0 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.5 - - 64.2 - - 64.1 - - 63.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 75.7 - - 71.5 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 64.1 - - 64.1 - - 63.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 112 - - -35 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2171 - - 2580 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 50 - - 49 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96114 26 279 34 265 42 260 34 272 96114 88923 21 276 26 265 32 265 31 277 88923 83435 27 263 25 270 29 270 29 275 83435 78920 36 273 29 274 30 278 24 279 78920 75036 36 274 26 282 31 287 25 288 75036 71627 29 273 20 286 29 291 24 302 71627 68574 24 276 18 267 28 283 23 307 68574 65794 23 257 24 266 23 265 20 290 65794 63233 24 243 29 263 21 268 20 281 63233 60758 28 248 31 267 20 286 20 280 60758 58170 33 259 37 263 30 285 29 286 58170 55464 34 264 41 256 43 274 42 280 55464 52854 36 265 41 254 46 263 46 276 52854 50477 35 261 35 253 42 257 40 269 50477 48324 33 263 33 253 37 259 36 267 48324 46356 31 266 33 256 33 263 35 264 46356 44545 27 263 29 258 29 269 30 268 44545 42862 22 263 22 260 26 272 28 275 42862 41284 20 272 19 264 21 273 22 282 41284 39806 18 270 15 282 17 320 22 336 39806 38421 12 305 10 311 19 334 20 352 38421 37081 6 037 2 127 6 053 8 026 37081 35717 14 086 10 131 12 103 14 108 35717 34298 22 072 18 107 17 081 17 101 34298 32822 24 063 20 090 20 074 15 048 32822 31272 17 072 16 093 21 081 14 085 31272 29637 9 085 10 086 13 100 17 107 29637 27921 7 084 9 064 10 109 10 104 27921 26128 9 053 12 049 10 092 11 107 26128 24258 12 037 11 051 11 095 12 105 24258 22308 4 072 8 084 9 107 12 114 22308 20278 2 228 3 098 5 106 7 106 20278 18166 3 237 0 130 4 111 8 123 18166 16011 4 236 2 242 4 150 7 150 16011 13929 7 218 5 230 5 210 5 178 13929 12030 10 212 8 228 7 224 4 207 12030 10340 11 211 10 228 8 211 5 205 10340 8838 11 208 12 226 10 211 6 242 8838 7504 11 207 12 230 13 234 14 238 7504 6328 14 216 17 230 16 234 17 230 6328 5291 17 219 18 219 17 230 17 228 5291 4380 20 220 19 217 18 223 20 224 4380 3575 21 219 18*213 19 212 24 217 3575 2855 21*216 17*203 22 199 27 211 2855 2219 19*209 17 193 26 190 30 207 2219 1690 18 205 17 191 26 186 30 203 1690 1284 18 204 17 190 24 184 28 201 1284 1006 17 203 16 189 19 181 19 196 1006 838 16 202 15 189 16 180 16 195 838 742 14 202 13 189 10*178 7*193 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography