DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.9 - - 81.2 - - 83.3 - - 78.8 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 86 - - 169 - - 110 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1284 - - 3307 - - 4680 - - 1164 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2622 - - 3391 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1944 - - 3967 - - 5340 - - 1824 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1305 - - 1672 - - 2242 - - 4086 - - 2412 Hgt.Variab. W* 207 - - 353 - - 345 - - 82 - - 9 W* B/S 15 - - 22 - - 15 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 107 - - 107 - - 106 - - 114 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1039 - - -133 - - 927 - - -197 - - -791 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2983 - - 4100 - - 4413 - - 2021 - - 1535 sfcLCL ODpotential -4541 - - -2588 - - -144 - - -1412 - - -2895 ODpotential blCL 6485 - - 6555 - - 5484 - - 3236 - - 3638 blCL maxRH 76 - - 78 - - 86 - - 95 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 780 - - 1330 - - 1870 - - 3380 - - 2850 CAPE Temp@2m 75.9 - - 81.2 - - 83.3 - - 78.8 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.2 - - 65.6 - - 66.3 - - 72.1 - - 71.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.2 - - 80.0 - - 82.3 - - 79.1 - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.0 - - 64.3 - - 65.0 - - 71.3 - - 70.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 86 - - 169 - - 110 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1284 - - 3307 - - 4680 - - 1164 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 11 - - 46 - - 81 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 17 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98338 12 130 12 111 12 080 15 084 9 107 98338 90920 13 097 9 129 6 144 2 291 9 041 90920 85192 13 054 12 118 10 138 8 005 14 064 85192 80431 8 067 5 069 12 093 8 077 18 064 80431 76346 7 089 7 066 11 078 14 097 18 065 76346 72752 6 098 6 101 8 085 9 063 12 082 72752 69507 6 110 5 135 4 063 7 030 8 089 69507 66528 7 148 2 023 5 175 3 311 4 100 66528 63765 3 125 1 229 7 172 4 228 2 153 63765 61086 3 244 10 198 10 201 11 211 6 243 61086 58292 9 239 13 222 15 223 13 213 10 240 58292 55403 22 229 19 249 19 244 14 243 16 237 55403 52657 25 227 26 245 22 249 18 244 17 243 52657 50194 21 228 28 231 25 243 20 237 19 256 50194 47992 19 244 26 225 25 231 23 235 22 247 47992 46005 25 250 23 230 23 222 26 233 24 235 46005 44196 27 242 20 237 16 218 27 213 28 221 44196 42532 23 241 17 246 10 223 23 197 30 206 42532 40985 22 248 18 248 12 224 18 192 28 188 40985 39531 24 250 20 238 16 216 17 194 24 180 39531 38155 25 245 20 236 19 207 17 189 22 181 38155 36819 24 236 19 240 19 198 17 183 21 179 36819 35456 22 224 17 233 19 194 17 179 20 175 35456 34038 14 205 13 199 19 187 17 178 18 165 34038 32567 13 175 12 159 18 177 16 182 17 152 32567 31027 7 166 9 164 18 170 15 185 16 151 31027 29405 5 147 8 202 18 169 12 180 15 161 29405 27706 5 042 11 218 13 188 10 176 12 170 27706 25931 12 002 10 182 11 217 9 173 6 161 25931 24080 15 351 6 112 8 209 7 166 5 049 24080 22153 10 323 3 039 5 168 6 166 2 147 22153 20146 9 306 4 343 1 037 6 157 7 180 20146 18056 10 308 6 334 2 213 10 167 6 179 18056 15924 8 312 8 316 8 200 8 201 6 247 15924 13871 6 319 6 305 12 207 2 289 8 300 13871 12005 4 308 8 309 9 211 4 293 8 340 12005 10342 3 313 7 308 5 201 4 265 4 325 10342 8861 3 013 1 290 4 154 1 278 2 241 8861 7542 2 045 2 123 4 133 1 164 3 172 7542 6371 2 024 1 182 4*126 3 154 6 136 6371 5333 6 241 5 244 4*121 6 144 9 132 5333 4418 7 241 1*184 4 115 7 138 10 129 4418 3609 3 261 3*111 4 110 7 133 11 127 3609 2884 0 038 3 108 4 104 7 128 11 126 2884 2242 1*117 3 106 4 102 6*122 11 126 2242 1707 2*108 3 105 4 098 6*116 10 129 1707 1296 3 109 3 106 4 097 6 114 9 131 1296 1013 3 107 3 106 4 096 5 114 7 131 1013 841 3 105 3 107 4 094 5 112 5 130 841 743 3 108 3 106 4 095 4 113 2*129 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography