DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.1 - - 59.0 - - 51.7 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 95 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1835 - - 2644 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1350 - - 1727 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2495 - - 3304 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1278 - - 1434 - - 1951 - - 183 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 259 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 107 - - 058 - - 048 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4200 - - -3633 - - -2736 - - -2101 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6695 - - 6938 - - 3477 - - 2842 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15742 - - -13930 - - -13289 - - -13554 ODpotential blCL - - - 18237 - - 17234 - - 14030 - - 14295 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 65 - - 49 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.1 - - 59.0 - - 51.7 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.9 - - 31.6 - - 39.6 - - 38.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 58.3 - - 53.8 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 30.6 - - 38.5 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 95 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1835 - - 2644 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96271 44 293 25 278 29 251 42 284 96271 89158 20 269 18 276 18 276 24 291 89158 83657 13 249 19 270 14 301 13 292 83657 79079 13 273 16 283 16 287 14 301 79079 75128 14 268 15 287 16 283 15 287 75128 71630 18 271 21 292 19 300 13 276 71630 68452 22 271 27 285 25 300 16 313 68452 65521 25 272 32 273 32 286 26 302 65521 62802 32 280 37 274 36 277 35 285 62802 60181 37 281 39 278 40 282 41 285 60181 57455 41 285 45 286 48 291 46 292 57455 54630 46 281 53 289 53 293 52 294 54630 51934 52 281 56 288 56 294 56 295 51934 49515 58 282 60 292 59 294 57 299 49515 47353 59 289 63 291 56 293 63 299 47353 45400 66 296 62 297 53 294 64 293 45400 43622 69 293 63 303 54 294 61 292 43622 41993 62 294 60 296 55 291 62 293 41993 40489 59 300 53 295 51 282 63 290 40489 39079 60 302 52 297 47 280 60 285 39079 37743 62 297 53 300 47 279 59 287 37743 36443 64 293 56 299 52 280 58 289 36443 35114 63 293 60 298 58 285 58 285 35114 33727 62 298 59 296 61 288 54 275 33727 32287 63 304 57 297 60 290 52 275 32287 30776 64 305 57 298 56 289 51 276 30776 29179 64 304 60 306 54 293 47 279 29179 27496 64 304 67 310 56 298 46 287 27496 25729 63 310 69 310 59 296 49 292 25729 23877 57 316 66 312 57 301 49 290 23877 21941 51 306 54 314 50 305 41 296 21941 19917 49 297 44 305 44 300 40 301 19917 17801 50 298 46 296 44 300 40 304 17801 15642 42 316 41 310 40 308 34 306 15642 13567 37 321 35 328 31 324 23 307 13567 11689 34 325 31 327 25 332 17 308 11689 10031 25 318 22 323 21 320 16 308 10031 8565 18 316 15 335 13 322 11 306 8565 7268 10 321 12 347 8 352 4 332 7268 6123 7 317 6 339 6 013 2 037 6123 5114 7 310 4 322 2 027 2 192 5114 4231 3 295 1 290 2 098 3 150 4231 3455 2 152 2*119 4 116 6 124 3455 2765 6*118 2*094 6 110 9 119 2765 2156 6*111 2 070 7 100 10 115 2156 1650 6 108 2 057 7 087 10 110 1650 1262 6 105 3 049 7 071 9 101 1262 995 6 104 3 044 7 060 8 092 995 833 5 103 3 043 6*053 6*080 833 741 5 103 3 042 4*048 4*070 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography