DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 86.3 - - 93.1 - - 95.2 - - 92.7 - - 85.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 156 - - 315 - - 194 - - -15 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2123 - - 5735 - - 6489 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 1658 - - 4686 - - 5017 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 2783 - - 6395 - - 7149 - - 744 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2815 - - 2836 - - 3798 - - 9309 - - 654 Hgt.Variab. W* 281 - - 496 - - 442 - - 27 - - 20 W* B/S 6 - - 10 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 179 - - 131 - - 125 - - 131 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1320 - - 1 - - -224 - - -6791 - - -5030 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4103 - - 6394 - - 7373 - - 7535 - - 5773 sfcLCL ODpotential -2700 - - -475 - - -890 - - -7933 - - -7768 ODpotential blCL 5483 - - 6870 - - 8039 - - 8677 - - 8511 blCL maxRH 73 - - 82 - - 82 - - 75 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 1740 - - 1420 - - 1140 - - 310 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 86.3 - - 93.1 - - 95.2 - - 92.7 - - 85.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 70.8 - - 67.6 - - 65.5 - - 62.5 - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 85.2 - - 91.0 - - 93.8 - - 93.6 - - 86.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.6 - - 67.2 - - 65.0 - - 62.0 - - 62.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 156 - - 315 - - 194 - - -15 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2123 - - 5735 - - 6489 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 28 - - 30 - - 1 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 14 - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98727 28 089 28 089 30 097 12 089 25 060 98727 91297 34 094 29 082 29 094 26 082 24 071 91297 85584 31 105 19 075 19 081 32 076 34 089 85584 80883 18 095 18 104 18 072 30 067 35 082 80883 76847 21 081 28 116 22 085 22 067 29 068 76847 73265 29 083 32 097 26 100 19 094 18 065 73265 70016 25 082 26 075 22 093 18 101 18 079 70016 67040 15 075 17 075 18 078 14 084 18 087 67040 64286 15 099 17 093 15 091 10 088 12 089 64286 61615 16 094 14 104 11 103 11 107 12 126 61615 58852 13 087 9 087 10 085 10 092 10 102 58852 56040 10 079 11 089 13 093 10 094 10 069 56040 53402 9 143 8 117 9 109 9 089 12 090 53402 51040 14 160 16 167 11 164 2 130 9 092 51040 48919 22 144 21 156 19 159 11 170 6 151 48919 46983 21 136 24 140 22 147 16 157 9 151 46983 45194 20 158 20 151 19 145 16 151 11 136 45194 43526 28 173 22 162 17 155 15 174 13 170 43526 41960 32 177 26 166 18 166 16 194 15 189 41960 40480 31 181 27 169 21 170 17 198 16 194 40480 39077 32 179 27 169 23 171 19 203 20 194 39077 37715 31 173 27 165 26 165 20 205 23 197 37715 36327 32 170 28 162 27 164 22 200 21 204 36327 34881 32 174 28 160 28 162 23 191 19 199 34881 33377 30 184 29 161 28 162 21 184 17 179 33377 31801 27 191 27 166 26 166 21 171 22 166 31801 30145 26 193 25 174 22 172 22 173 27 171 30145 28409 25 186 22 184 21 179 21 178 26 172 28409 26593 23 182 22 192 21 182 18 188 19 180 26593 24694 18 184 19 189 17 191 13 202 7 202 24694 22713 11 193 15 187 12 206 9 219 3 302 22713 20651 8 202 8 172 7 204 6 233 1 002 20651 18497 4 200 7 174 3 189 2 270 3 020 18497 16293 3 084 6 164 3 197 2 301 5 348 16293 14165 8 071 6 131 4 150 4 173 9 248 14165 12235 15 081 9 101 7 116 4 093 6 227 12235 10531 15 079 9 101 10 113 8 072 11 093 10531 9023 12 104 8 109 10 115 11 092 18 083 9023 7680 12 138 13 128 10*119 11 105 18 085 7680 6484 15 140 13*129 10*122 10 115 15 094 6484 5422 14 142 10*130 10 123 10 123 13 108 5422 4486 15 153 10 130 10 124 11 127 11 122 4486 3659 15 161 10 130 10 125 11 129 11 139 3659 2919 13*171 10 131 10 125 11 131 14 153 2919 2266 12*177 9 131 9 126 12 131 18 161 2266 1722 9 179 9 131 9 125 12 131 20 164 1722 1304 9 180 8 131 9 126 11 131 20 164 1304 1017 8 179 8 131 9 125 10 131 16 167 1017 843 8 179 8 132 8 126 9 131 13 168 843 743 7 180 7 132 8 126 7*131 6*168 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography