DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1011z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 86.0 - - 95.3 - - 98.9 - - 96.4 - - 86.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 260 - - 521 - - 440 - - 111 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2412 - - 5356 - - 6863 - - 5968 - - 69 BL Depth Hcrit 2071 - - 4585 - - 5727 - - 4208 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 3072 - - 6016 - - 7523 - - 6628 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 701 - - 2126 - - 1903 - - 1587 - - 2347 Hgt.Variab. W* 346 - - 570 - - 586 - - 354 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 16 - - 15 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 201 - - 196 - - 192 - - 180 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 10 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1217 - - -1258 - - -1177 - - -1543 - - -4143 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4289 - - 7274 - - 8701 - - 8171 - - 4872 sfcLCL ODpotential -4283 - - -4251 - - -3443 - - -4666 - - -8569 ODpotential blCL 7355 - - 10267 - - 10966 - - 11294 - - 9298 blCL maxRH 76 - - 70 - - 72 - - 77 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 1090 - - 840 - - 620 - - 620 - - 850 CAPE Temp@2m 86.0 - - 95.3 - - 98.9 - - 96.4 - - 86.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.5 - - 65.7 - - 62.9 - - 63.0 - - 67.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 84.4 - - 92.7 - - 96.4 - - 95.6 - - 86.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.4 - - 65.4 - - 62.7 - - 62.8 - - 67.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 260 - - 521 - - 440 - - 111 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2412 - - 5356 - - 6863 - - 5968 - - 69 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98731 46 099 47 097 34 103 36 094 45 092 98731 91296 37 096 40 095 34 095 34 105 40 089 91296 85556 35 096 34 091 40 084 34 107 34 093 85556 80825 36 097 30 097 38 081 31 094 32 091 80825 76757 34 092 27 094 32 091 30 091 32 088 76757 73159 33 087 23 087 25 095 28 092 28 094 73159 69912 32 088 25 097 19 101 27 093 24 105 69912 66940 27 090 28 103 17 111 25 095 23 110 66940 64196 21 090 27 098 17 113 22 098 24 100 64196 61555 18 083 23 090 19 106 19 099 23 094 61555 58826 16 082 20 086 20 104 15 099 17 094 58826 56013 17 090 18 093 21 109 13 106 15 093 56013 53337 19 096 18 096 20 099 18 109 15 093 53337 50938 17 092 16 093 18 098 20 105 15 100 50938 48799 12 103 15 100 16 109 16 108 14 105 48799 46858 16 123 11 092 13 108 15 117 12 104 46858 45068 16 121 10 109 8 098 13 103 12 107 45068 43398 12 126 10 104 5 115 10 077 12 110 43398 41827 9 128 6 099 6 113 8 083 13 103 41827 40341 8 110 6 092 10 119 8 107 11 095 40341 38933 10 094 9 091 13 121 10 122 10 093 38933 37566 12 085 12 092 14 116 10 131 10 099 37566 36172 12 084 13 097 14 102 9 128 9 102 36172 34720 11 089 14 098 14 086 8 099 9 098 34720 33213 11 100 13 092 14 084 9 077 8 088 33213 31637 13 104 12 089 15 087 9 062 8 064 31637 29979 14 113 12 094 13 086 6 050 8 032 29979 28240 14 124 11 105 8 083 7 019 8 027 28240 26419 11 116 8 111 4 064 9 009 12 033 26419 24524 10 080 9 069 10 060 9 034 16 033 24524 22556 10 063 11 049 16 049 12 035 17 033 22556 20504 8 060 9 036 13 033 13 035 18 032 20504 18366 7 087 5 072 5 025 14 026 17 036 18366 16191 7 121 5 144 2 241 7 001 12 035 16191 14095 8 142 7 174 5 225 5 350 9 041 14095 12187 9 158 9 174 7 208 4 279 3 057 12187 10490 7 190 10 190 10 213 8 233 3 245 10490 8984 6 213 11 199 13 214 11 212 9 205 8984 7645 5 222 11 205 14*210 12*207 12 207 7645 6454 8 231 14*212 14*205 13*204 16 206 6454 5400 16 226 16*208 15 197 15 189 19 203 5400 4470 22 220 17 203 16 193 17 180 22 199 4470 3646 24*214 17 197 16 191 18 178 23 193 3646 2908 23*212 16 195 16 190 18 176 23 184 2908 2255 19 200 16 192 16 188 18 175 23 176 2255 1710 18 199 16 191 16 187 17 174 22 172 1710 1292 17 198 15 190 15 186 17 174 20 169 1292 1004 16 198 14 190 15 186 16 173 16 166 1004 829 15 198 14 189 14 186 15 174 13 165 829 729 12 198 12 190 13 186 13 173 7*161 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography