DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.1 - - 57.7 - - 60.0 - - 58.6 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 118 - - 274 - - 156 - - -10 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1138 - - 2020 - - 2180 - - 81 - - 1037 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1803 - - 1690 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1798 - - 2680 - - 2840 - - 741 - - 1697 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 574 - - 410 - - 533 - - 2755 - - 1592 Hgt.Variab. W* 207 - - 332 - - 282 - - 0 - - 91 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 16 - - 17 - - 9 - - 19 BL Wind Direction 117 - - 122 - - 117 - - 105 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2747 - - -4134 - - -3839 - - -5266 - - -4490 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4545 - - 6814 - - 6680 - - 6008 - - 6187 sfcLCL ODpotential -11385 - - -11857 - - -9799 - - -11946 - - -12165 ODpotential blCL 13183 - - 14537 - - 12639 - - 12687 - - 13862 blCL maxRH 85 - - 93 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 40 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m 52.1 - - 57.7 - - 60.0 - - 58.6 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.2 - - 30.9 - - 33.7 - - 35.3 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.4 - - 56.2 - - 59.0 - - 59.1 - - 56.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.2 - - 30.9 - - 33.7 - - 35.2 - - 32.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 118 - - 274 - - 156 - - -10 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1138 - - 2020 - - 2180 - - 81 - - 1037 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 70 - - 100 - - 90 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96934 59 245 60 255 72 250 59 264 59 261 96934 89523 32 250 40 254 45 257 42 266 36 258 89523 83876 23 255 29 259 32 260 35 258 29 273 83876 79236 20 262 22 264 22 271 25 250 24 281 79236 75260 16 280 17 263 18 280 18 263 23 284 75260 71749 14 294 18 270 22 285 20 280 20 291 71749 68580 18 291 21 278 21 281 21 289 22 303 68580 65665 22 284 23 294 21 289 27 290 32 283 65665 62964 26 277 29 282 23 297 28 279 29 278 62964 60334 27 274 29 274 25 280 21 289 26 288 60334 57579 33 278 40 276 38 280 41 282 42 273 57579 54739 44 260 45 262 46 260 46 271 41 274 54739 52023 31 264 35 275 35 246 46 283 42 281 52023 49563 37 290 45 296 69 275 64 279 51 277 49563 47358 58 274 54 276 70 255 73 257 54 273 47358 45355 64 267 55 256 51 236 60 253 53 277 45355 43512 62 256 55 241 36 251 51 263 55 282 43512 41806 56 252 52 240 46 279 58 271 63 282 41806 40224 48 274 44 258 66 276 56 271 67 279 40224 38753 47 276 46 266 70 267 51 274 68 280 38753 37376 45 268 49 266 65 261 48 278 68 283 37376 36049 50 267 52 264 47 269 48 280 65 283 36049 34705 45 272 48 262 44 280 45 281 60 282 34705 33314 34 273 28 270 44 281 43 284 57 280 33314 31875 31 243 31 266 34 270 41 284 56 279 31875 30372 25 259 34 262 25 259 38 282 55 280 30372 28792 23 269 27 268 31 258 37 278 53 279 28792 27134 25 263 25 272 36 255 37 272 45 272 27134 25398 25 258 24 275 34 255 36 275 38 265 25398 23582 21 253 19 262 28 251 34 281 36 265 23582 21685 15 239 19 235 25 250 32 273 36 265 21685 19704 13 236 20 234 27 251 31 255 31 266 19704 17640 12 236 17 237 35 246 25 250 28 259 17640 15540 13 228 20 240 38 231 22 238 26 253 15540 13515 16 231 20 226 33 209 23 253 19 260 13515 11668 18 231 19 218 23 200 22 240 19 248 11668 10029 13 230 15 215 16 196 18 218 21 225 10029 8573 6 233 14 212 17 196 18 210 24 208 8573 7280 6 251 13 196 17 189 24 212 26 198 7280 6132 9 242 13 187 16 183 23 198 26 194 6132 5116 10 222 13 191 17 189 18 182 24 179 5116 4225 13 195 14 175 17 178 18 159 25 159 4225 3448 15 143 19 154 17*145 21 132 28 151 3448 2759 23 126 18*129 17*121 21 120 28 143 2759 2153 24*122 17*123 17 118 20 116 26*134 2153 1649 20*119 17 122 17 117 19 113 23*125 1649 1262 18 117 17 121 17 116 17 109 21 123 1262 995 17 117 16 121 16 115 15 107 19 121 995 834 16 117 15 121 15 115 13 106 16 121 834 741 13 116 13 120 13 115 9*105 12 121 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography