DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.3 - - 63.5 - - - - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 70 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1090 - - 1391 - - - - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 725 - - 725 - - - - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1750 - - 2051 - - - - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 507 - - 731 - - - - - 1087 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 176 - - 187 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 7 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 045 - - 074 - - - - - 030 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -244 - - -519 - - - - - -561 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1994 - - 2570 - - - - - 1302 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9224 - - -8371 - - - - - -9846 ODpotential blCL - - - 10974 - - 10422 - - - - - 10587 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.3 - - 63.5 - - - - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.3 - - 54.9 - - - - - 54.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.8 - - 62.9 - - - - - 57.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 54.8 - - - - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 75 - - 70 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1090 - - 1391 - - - - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96340 40 263 41 258 48 264 96340 89210 30 247 36 256 38 272 89210 83758 28 259 25 255 32 280 83758 79227 27 263 24 256 21 262 79227 75303 24 261 23 272 16 267 75303 71842 30 272 24 271 19 275 71842 68732 25 283 19 292 18 272 68732 65904 17 284 22 295 17 310 65904 63298 15 272 24 288 21 313 63298 60770 25 298 28 285 28 311 60770 58126 34 290 37 293 39 305 58126 55375 41 285 42 290 47 292 55375 52735 49 284 44 284 45 283 52735 50329 52 280 48 284 41 290 50329 48143 54 279 53 287 46 301 48143 46143 57 279 59 287 48 302 46143 44302 55 276 61 283 47 300 44302 42601 46 273 57 277 46 291 42601 41025 30 287 46 271 47 283 41025 39560 36 306 31 283 41 274 39560 38190 42 305 32 310 28 259 38190 36867 45 297 37 320 18 245 36867 35521 40 291 36 324 13 264 35521 34122 35 299 34 323 16 258 34122 32670 25 305 31 319 18 252 32670 31147 19 334 26 310 19 277 31147 29538 28 347 18 296 17 270 29538 27844 28 348 12 300 19 253 27844 26064 22 334 11 302 23 245 26064 24198 24 326 9 267 24 251 24198 22248 18 304 14 248 23 261 22248 20211 17 290 21 244 24 277 20211 18085 20 280 22 251 19 281 18085 15914 20 279 18 273 18 271 15914 13822 19 280 14 303 17 272 13822 11922 16 280 15 332 15 282 11922 10237 10 278 12 333 11 256 10237 8742 5 272 10 317 11 250 8742 7414 7 242 10 302 12 244 7414 6235 5 207 5 276 13 239 6235 5196 11 130 10 142 16 192 5196 4293 10 128 15 129 20 163 4293 3502 10 123 15 129 15 148 3502 2798 13 090 14 109 12 120 2798 2177 15*068 11*091 16 090 2177 1662 14*048 8*076 16 078 1662 1269 13 044 8 074 14 067 1269 999 13 044 7 073 10 040 999 835 12 043 7 072 8 034 835 741 10 042 6 071 5*030 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography