DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.6 - - 78.6 - - 77.7 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 28 - - -33 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3004 - - 1579 - - 83 - - 281 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2442 - - 727 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3664 - - 2239 - - 743 - - 941 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1625 - - 3344 - - 1724 - - 2947 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 353 - - 169 - - 43 - - 39 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 118 - - 136 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 1 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 346 - - 338 - - -967 - - -196 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3318 - - 1901 - - 1710 - - 1137 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2500 - - -780 - - -5097 - - -881 ODpotential blCL - - - 6164 - - 3019 - - 5840 - - 1822 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 100 - - 78 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 2820 - - 2910 - - 2980 - - 2030 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.6 - - 78.6 - - 77.7 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.2 - - 72.3 - - 72.2 - - 71.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.4 - - 78.4 - - 78.6 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.1 - - 71.4 - - 71.6 - - 70.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 192 - - 28 - - -33 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3004 - - 1579 - - 83 - - 281 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 102 - - 10 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 17 - - 17 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98103 8 262 8 245 8 327 7 339 98103 90685 5 147 1 121 3 104 8 335 90685 84996 14 129 5 095 8 125 4 155 84996 80278 18 098 9 133 9 102 11 120 80278 76224 9 042 14 117 4 096 10 089 76224 72643 5 023 12 109 4 109 8 093 72643 69414 1 289 4 141 3 034 9 066 69414 66450 11 174 17 203 8 220 7 349 66450 63699 16 180 26 168 19 199 13 224 63699 61065 13 194 15 177 12 178 17 173 61065 58338 11 214 20 233 13 215 12 194 58338 55495 23 210 27 223 27 223 29 231 55495 52775 36 185 44 223 43 223 43 217 52775 50326 36 184 53 219 51 223 45 222 50326 48137 43 221 50 220 54 225 45 224 48137 46167 59 231 55 219 55 226 42 227 46167 44369 61 230 59 217 54 227 46 241 44369 42701 56 231 58 220 52 226 53 243 42701 41145 55 233 52 222 47 224 58 232 41145 39691 55 234 43 221 42 219 54 222 39691 38323 48 232 37 221 36 213 50 217 38323 36995 37 229 29 215 31 207 50 218 36995 35637 36 225 22 213 27 203 49 220 35637 34217 41 217 23 219 23 193 43 221 34217 32742 35 212 25 219 20 179 32 227 32742 31197 29 214 24 214 17 175 21 232 31197 29569 23 200 26 208 14 177 15 205 29569 27861 21 206 27 207 15 188 11 189 27861 26071 25 224 27 202 18 206 11 188 26071 24203 25 230 25 190 22 214 14 214 24203 22259 14 250 21 201 20 223 18 251 22259 20240 8 229 15 217 17 243 22 292 20240 18144 7 237 16 223 17 268 25 330 18144 16005 6 246 19 273 24 282 26 323 16005 13934 6 238 21 287 30 298 22 314 13934 12042 6 222 22 294 24 303 17 313 12042 10356 5 182 21 290 18 315 10 341 10356 8858 7 166 18 274 21 336 4 052 8858 7528 11 164 15 252 24 349 9 094 7528 6351 15 167 10 237 23 356 10 123 6351 5311 17 170 5 193 18 010 13 140 5311 4395 17*170 5 156 14 033 16 157 4395 3588 15*168 7 139 11 068 16 158 3588 2867 13 166 8 131 18 119 14 156 2867 2230 12 165 9*127 29 132 13 153 2230 1699 12 166 11*119 30 134 12 152 1699 1291 11 164 11 118 28 134 10 147 1291 1011 10 164 11 118 25 135 8*145 1011 840 10 164 11 118 21 136 8*144 840 743 9 164 10 118 15*136 6 142 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography