DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 82.5 - - 88.4 - - 91.7 - - 90.0 - - 84.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 206 - - 278 - - 254 - - 31 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2360 - - 4344 - - 4733 - - 3364 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 1964 - - 3568 - - 3835 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 3020 - - 5004 - - 5393 - - 4024 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 954 - - 1853 - - 2568 - - 2715 - - 3779 Hgt.Variab. W* 323 - - 439 - - 441 - - 209 - - 22 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 14 - - 16 - - 18 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 221 - - 202 - - 195 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -8 - - -11 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -132 - - 479 - - -370 - - -1050 - - -2664 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3153 - - 4525 - - 5763 - - 5074 - - 3408 sfcLCL ODpotential -3143 - - -87 - - -1738 - - -3346 - - -4554 ODpotential blCL 6163 - - 5091 - - 7131 - - 7370 - - 5298 blCL maxRH 88 - - 87 - - 72 - - 84 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 1390 - - 2150 - - 1830 - - 2130 - - 2440 CAPE Temp@2m 82.5 - - 88.4 - - 91.7 - - 90.0 - - 84.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 70.8 - - 70.9 - - 68.8 - - 70.1 - - 71.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.1 - - 86.7 - - 90.2 - - 89.7 - - 85.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 70.4 - - 70.2 - - 68.0 - - 69.5 - - 71.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 206 - - 278 - - 254 - - 31 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2360 - - 4344 - - 4733 - - 3364 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 48 - - 0 - - 36 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 16 - - 14 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98644 45 090 42 100 38 106 31 097 35 085 98644 91207 41 088 36 091 34 096 29 085 33 080 91207 85504 33 078 31 091 29 092 30 086 29 083 85504 80770 26 088 25 091 26 093 32 091 27 082 80770 76686 24 107 23 090 25 088 27 090 26 086 76686 73088 23 111 20 098 23 098 22 088 24 094 73088 69842 22 098 19 105 19 105 17 090 20 086 69842 66871 19 097 16 103 14 096 14 105 14 058 66871 64137 17 101 17 108 8 105 11 130 9 072 64137 61495 18 078 14 089 9 126 5 161 3 075 61495 58753 15 051 10 050 8 093 5 087 2 086 58753 55932 12 017 11 030 10 054 14 033 10 046 55932 53252 9 339 9 019 13 013 11 009 18 356 53252 50849 14 324 8 349 14 354 17 338 22 350 50849 48697 13 295 13 299 17 325 21 323 26 329 48697 46747 5 261 15 267 19 303 14 287 19 281 46747 44961 3 073 11 245 17 274 19 267 27 258 44961 43300 11 357 9 260 17 263 16 248 31 247 43300 41741 14 333 8 269 13 261 16 264 30 242 41741 40265 14 327 8 279 11 252 19 263 26 238 40265 38864 15 335 9 284 11 258 18 258 23 239 38864 37499 13 348 10 287 11 267 16 249 22 239 37499 36104 9 338 7 302 7 273 18 233 20 238 36104 34652 7 342 7 294 7 248 18 224 16 241 34652 33145 3 346 4 256 13 237 16 248 15 250 33145 31567 4 281 5 208 16 246 18 267 18 248 31567 29906 7 267 7 216 12 254 16 253 19 245 29906 28169 9 253 9 231 9 257 14 250 17 257 28169 26356 10 232 8 225 8 229 13 252 14 265 26356 24467 8 196 8 201 10 219 13 245 12 258 24467 22502 8 172 8 201 10 221 13 240 10 248 22502 20457 7 175 9 216 8 239 10 265 6 267 20457 18328 7 184 7 238 5 273 6 293 1 004 18328 16159 5 191 7 260 3 307 2 357 8 087 16159 14071 5 171 7 245 5 246 1 314 7 055 14071 12173 4 155 8 223 8 246 4 323 8 005 12173 10486 4 167 7 200 6 258 4 354 7 343 10486 8984 4 175 4 184 4 270 1 205 3 326 8984 7647 7 184 3 225 4 254 5 198 5 209 7647 6458 10 220 8 237 7 227 11 212 10 202 6458 5404 14 237 12*231 13*212 18 209 14 199 5404 4474 19 235 13*228 15*207 19*204 17 196 4474 3652 22*228 14 224 16 205 19*201 19 194 3652 2915 20*222 14 222 17 203 19 196 23 196 2915 2264 19 217 14 220 17 201 18 194 27 196 2264 1721 18 215 14 218 17 200 18 193 29 195 1721 1304 17 214 14 217 17 200 17 192 26 193 1304 1017 16 214 13 217 16 199 16 192 21 190 1017 843 15 213 13 217 15 199 15 191 19*190 843 744 13 213 11 216 14 199 12 192 10*188 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography