DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 83.5 - - 92.7 - - 98.3 - - 91.4 - - 83.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 203 - - 454 - - 403 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1420 - - 5619 - - 9002 - - 2906 - - 69 BL Depth Hcrit 1272 - - 4743 - - 7409 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 2080 - - 6279 - - 9662 - - 3566 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2402 - - 3419 - - 3466 - - 7099 - - 1263 Hgt.Variab. W* 267 - - 553 - - 623 - - 146 - - 16 W* B/S 5 - - 19 - - 13 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 341 - - 322 - - 002 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -8 - - -7 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2682 - - -1874 - - -444 - - -2688 - - -1897 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4762 - - 8153 - - 10106 - - 6254 - - 2626 sfcLCL ODpotential -4648 - - -3440 - - -733 - - -4781 - - -4142 ODpotential blCL 6728 - - 9719 - - 10395 - - 8347 - - 4871 blCL maxRH 97 - - 87 - - 75 - - 92 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 810 - - 480 - - 360 - - 1500 - - 2980 CAPE Temp@2m 83.5 - - 92.7 - - 98.3 - - 91.4 - - 83.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.1 - - 59.5 - - 56.3 - - 66.4 - - 73.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 82.4 - - 91.3 - - 96.3 - - 91.5 - - 84.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 65.0 - - 59.3 - - 56.0 - - 64.4 - - 72.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 203 - - 454 - - 403 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1420 - - 5619 - - 9002 - - 2906 - - 69 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 87 - - 46 - - 1 - - 69 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 10 - - 9 - - 12 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98712 47 090 55 090 45 102 39 109 34 094 98712 91329 35 092 37 084 35 085 36 092 38 088 91329 85635 31 099 28 093 25 084 33 080 37 081 85635 80901 30 091 28 094 23 100 28 086 33 088 80901 76832 28 086 27 090 24 101 24 093 33 093 76832 73240 25 097 21 094 22 094 20 091 31 088 73240 69988 24 110 16 106 16 093 16 088 25 078 69988 67001 21 103 16 117 10 102 12 089 19 066 67001 64238 15 092 16 097 13 131 8 120 11 064 64238 61572 11 087 9 092 12 111 10 136 4 083 61572 58802 5 083 4 101 5 145 3 174 4 220 58802 55927 6 237 9 255 7 278 4 235 7 282 55927 53193 14 254 17 260 19 270 13 268 16 261 53193 50740 15 269 17 254 21 258 13 297 11 288 50740 48544 26 289 27 295 33 293 30 303 23 312 48544 46569 42 269 41 268 35 271 28 297 28 316 46569 44770 29 274 27 288 25 278 21 308 27 316 44770 43106 27 314 29 312 22 309 17 317 24 309 43106 41549 44 312 31 324 23 340 16 316 22 302 41549 40083 47 309 28 322 26 346 18 313 22 300 40083 38694 43 306 25 327 26 337 20 313 21 297 38694 37345 40 301 26 327 27 332 20 316 20 290 37345 35966 36 300 27 322 25 329 18 312 21 281 35966 34530 28 298 26 316 21 317 18 312 20 275 34530 33037 21 296 24 306 19 308 14 311 16 272 33037 31472 21 294 23 298 20 298 11 293 14 269 31472 29820 20 296 22 296 22 295 12 286 16 287 29820 28086 19 303 19 288 23 296 15 295 17 311 28086 26271 19 312 16 285 23 293 17 300 16 318 26271 24382 20 318 16 290 22 286 19 301 16 312 24382 22421 23 319 18 294 16 286 18 298 18 296 22421 20381 27 323 21 301 12 300 15 288 16 292 20381 18258 26 333 24 304 17 319 11 290 13 297 18258 16100 32 342 22 332 20 326 10 294 15 326 16100 14022 31 350 22 345 17 318 10 297 18 344 14022 12131 27 350 20 339 15 320 12 287 16 338 12131 10447 26 336 23 325 14*318 10 278 12 318 10447 8952 23 330 21 315 13*317 7 294 7 310 8952 7621 19 314 19 314 13 318 7 311 3 321 7621 6436 16 299 15*310 9 322 7 326 3 337 6436 5385 12 305 12*309 8 323 8 337 3 008 5385 4456 8 315 7 321 8 323 9 344 3 032 4456 3635 7 331 5 350 7 323 10*349 4 045 3635 2899 9 348 4 358 7 324 10*355 3 047 2899 2249 11*018 4 003 7 324 10 359 3 051 2249 1706 11*029 4 007 7 323 10 004 1 057 1706 1289 11 030 4 009 6 325 10 005 1 165 1289 1003 10 031 4 010 6 324 9 007 3 189 1003 829 9 030 4 010 6 325 8 008 3 192 829 729 8 031 4 009 6 325 7 010 2*194 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography