DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.9 - - 66.9 - - 68.4 - - 64.3 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 59 - - 166 - - 23 - - 6 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 777 - - 3353 - - 3066 - - 1065 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2621 - - 726 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1437 - - 4013 - - 3726 - - 1725 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1953 - - 983 - - 930 - - 2331 - - 2756 Hgt.Variab. W* 157 - - 346 - - 186 - - 92 - - 21 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 160 - - 138 - - 216 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -3 - - -13 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2623 - - -2708 - - -4258 - - -3263 - - -2730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4060 - - 6721 - - 7985 - - 4988 - - 3472 sfcLCL ODpotential -10435 - - -9524 - - -11854 - - -8343 - - -8675 ODpotential blCL 11872 - - 13537 - - 15580 - - 10068 - - 9417 blCL maxRH 63 - - 101 - - 100 - - 98 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.9 - - 66.9 - - 68.4 - - 64.3 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.1 - - 40.4 - - 36.5 - - 45.5 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.5 - - 65.8 - - 68.3 - - 64.4 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.8 - - 39.2 - - 35.3 - - 44.7 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 59 - - 166 - - 23 - - 6 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 777 - - 3353 - - 3066 - - 1065 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 102 - - 101 - - 92 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97578 25 269 21 248 28 249 22 277 27 287 97578 90238 16 265 18 268 18 258 22 285 23 300 90238 84562 9 267 14 266 14 277 19 279 17 307 84562 79850 8 302 11 276 11 266 12 274 11 292 79850 75795 11 299 13 302 12 305 5 293 10 245 75795 72215 9 253 10 255 17 309 15 322 11 280 72215 68993 11 289 14 234 18 273 20 296 20 299 68993 66069 25 315 12 279 17 252 25 272 22 284 66069 63376 27 304 23 303 16 306 17 287 12 275 63376 60777 28 283 26 293 25 306 21 302 15 309 60777 58082 27 278 27 278 25 284 25 286 20 302 58082 55294 33 298 29 282 31 274 32 271 28 282 55294 52626 47 299 35 283 37 274 39 272 37 273 52626 50206 51 295 44 282 43 278 42 270 42 269 50206 48012 58 289 51 285 50 278 42 271 49 263 48012 45999 66 283 59 282 56 277 47 273 49 263 45999 44136 71 277 67 273 65 271 55 269 53 266 44136 42401 70 272 68 263 70 263 63 262 57 262 42401 40783 64 272 64 260 66 258 65 257 58 259 40783 39276 61 273 58 264 57 259 59 257 54 261 39276 37876 59 269 52 268 50 265 53 261 52 265 37876 36535 52 268 47 270 45 273 48 269 51 264 36535 35177 45 271 40 273 49 275 41 276 45 259 35177 33772 45 271 36 277 52 271 38 272 36 255 33772 32324 46 269 37 283 48 270 38 261 30 249 32324 30811 46 269 38 287 41 274 37 251 26 245 30811 29215 46 269 37 286 37 278 36 244 26 244 29215 27534 46 269 34 280 34 276 35 240 26 247 27534 25767 47 269 31 270 29 278 34 240 24 250 25767 23921 46 266 32 261 26 285 33 239 23 254 23921 21996 47 269 41 254 26 271 30 239 24 259 21996 19987 37 286 39 251 33 255 25 242 25 263 19987 17891 18 302 24 283 36 261 21 246 25 259 17891 15750 9 330 6 013 28 270 15 238 23 259 15750 13685 9 347 5 110 3 080 2 163 16 271 13685 11809 5 300 5 202 3 086 5 150 8 259 11809 10148 6 260 8 275 4 194 6 166 8 228 10148 8671 6 305 5 294 9 183 9 166 10 204 8671 7359 3 300 5 196 10 197 11 169 13 186 7359 6196 4 197 9 166 7 202 7 214 14 173 6196 5173 10 182 11 145 7 160 5 214 21 168 5173 4280 12 176 12*151 11*142 11 167 21 171 4280 3497 17 171 11*156 13*139 12 170 19 175 3497 2799 20 167 11 159 12 138 12 178 19 176 2799 2183 20 165 10 160 12 138 11*190 19 174 2183 1668 19*164 10 161 11 137 11*208 18 172 1668 1272 14*162 10 162 10 136 11 217 15 171 1272 1001 13 161 9 162 10 136 10 219 10 170 1001 836 11 161 9 162 9 137 10 220 8*171 836 742 10 161 8 162 8 138 8 220 4*172 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography