DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 64.5 - - 64.9 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 10 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 535 - - 376 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1195 - - 1036 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1773 - - 1496 - - 1948 - - 649 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 66 - - 13 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 8 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 205 - - 240 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 453 - - 294 - - -37 - - -1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 742 - - 742 - - 779 - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 115 - - 93 - - -1239 - - -2700 ODpotential blCL - - - 1080 - - 943 - - 1981 - - 3442 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 90 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 460 - - 610 - - 990 - - 870 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 64.5 - - 64.9 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.2 - - 63.7 - - 63.4 - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 64.4 - - 65.4 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 63.6 - - 62.9 - - 58.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 10 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 535 - - 376 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 61 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96430 3 196 6 295 10 346 17 039 96430 89358 10 098 8 104 4 025 11 049 89358 83879 12 087 8 106 2 199 7 051 83879 79296 9 067 6 097 3 249 6 050 79296 75326 4 002 5 034 2 221 4 019 75326 71816 3 169 3 038 3 207 9 029 71816 68649 4 334 6 010 2 094 6 020 68649 65767 11 288 11 295 12 334 13 339 65767 63123 10 241 17 243 20 273 14 300 63123 60558 25 304 12 269 12 272 16 240 60558 57846 40 283 37 293 38 296 27 293 57846 55010 54 272 53 276 54 278 48 276 55010 52303 51 268 51 267 50 271 50 279 52303 49871 53 267 50 268 50 277 51 275 49871 47681 60 266 57 269 60 269 44 269 47681 45663 63 263 67 262 57 265 39 285 45663 43790 64 261 66 255 53 271 56 290 43790 42051 68 257 64 257 60 271 67 284 42051 40428 74 253 71 255 63 262 59 275 40428 38903 81 251 73 248 67 257 62 262 38903 37466 87 249 69 242 67 249 60 254 37466 36078 89 247 69 238 64 244 53 254 36078 34667 88 247 69 233 62 241 45 254 34667 33208 72 245 69 229 60 228 40 252 33208 31705 60 240 73 229 59 216 39 247 31705 30149 57 233 75 226 56 217 35 235 30149 28530 57 234 67 222 54 214 31 219 28530 26851 58 236 63 217 55 197 32 183 26851 25114 59 236 57 214 50 180 41 170 25114 23317 58 233 52 212 48 187 48 173 23317 21455 56 229 49 218 45 196 47 179 21455 19515 54 227 56 221 45 202 40 200 19515 17492 58 227 56 225 47 211 31 240 17492 15432 53 227 52 225 41 217 28 269 15432 13450 40 225 44 221 35 224 22 289 13450 11646 32 211 34 222 27 274 18 311 11646 10038 31 209 27 224 27 308 19 308 10038 8607 30 209 24 231 25 309 23 296 8607 7334 29 204 22 240 24 299 26 299 7334 6200 30 198 21 241 25 294 27 300 6200 5194 30 191 19 236 28 288 25 294 5194 4305 30 186 18 227 28 285 20 291 4305 3518 27 183 18 220 25 282 15 288 3518 2812 24 183 17 218 21 281 13 280 2812 2189 22 186 17 219 16 279 12 267 2189 1670 20 186 14 215 12 277 13 249 1670 1273 17*186 12*211 8 273 13 224 1273 1001 15*185 10*206 5 265 10 213 1001 836 13 185 9 205 4 257 8*210 836 742 11 185 7 204 2*240 4*207 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography