DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 46.8 - - 45.5 - - 39.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 553 - - 435 - - 32 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4370 - - 4834 - - 3710 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3813 - - 4099 - - 724 - - 723 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5030 - - 5494 - - 4370 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 924 - - 970 - - 1563 - - 3583 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 540 - - 516 - - 199 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 21 - - 18 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 335 - - 333 - - 339 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -8 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3955 - - -5773 - - -6729 - - -8132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8985 - - 11268 - - 11099 - - 8872 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19338 - - -19730 - - -20324 - - -22103 ODpotential blCL - - - 24368 - - 25224 - - 24694 - - 22843 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 75 - - 70 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 46.8 - - 45.5 - - 39.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 5.9 - - -0.5 - - -0.7 - - 3.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 44.7 - - 45.3 - - 42.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.8 - - -0.9 - - -1.1 - - 3.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 553 - - 435 - - 32 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4370 - - 4834 - - 3710 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96972 44 254 37 242 47 254 43 269 96972 89677 31 258 33 245 36 258 34 268 89677 84055 27 248 31 269 29 262 27 280 84055 79403 21 256 24 283 18 283 19 267 79403 75381 10 273 5 292 14 291 15 287 75381 71827 11 009 5 032 9 309 12 359 71827 68624 12 014 12 009 10 002 17 013 68624 65689 12 358 13 021 9 355 15 012 65689 62968 18 339 15 005 14 002 13 358 62968 60312 21 329 21 341 18 358 21 337 60312 57503 24 310 26 322 31 337 30 325 57503 54558 31 300 36 311 46 325 42 305 54558 51740 34 301 43 301 48 312 44 305 51740 49218 37 303 50 297 47 302 40 308 49218 46976 45 304 51 291 48 298 41 313 46976 44951 51 310 51 294 49 293 46 307 44951 43106 64 314 56 297 50 292 50 299 43106 41408 76 299 63 292 52 295 49 294 41408 39836 76 296 76 278 59 295 46 294 39836 38376 82 296 85 273 69 289 45 296 38376 37016 87 293 83 273 74 283 48 301 37016 35710 83 290 77 278 72 280 54 303 35710 34386 79 289 74 285 63 279 58 297 34386 33009 79 289 69 290 58 283 59 291 33009 31579 80 290 65 292 55 286 55 291 31579 30082 80 291 65 291 49 287 48 294 30082 28502 81 291 68 287 48 293 45 300 28502 26840 84 287 70 287 51 301 46 302 26840 25091 86 284 71 288 54 303 50 304 25091 23260 85 286 70 289 54 305 53 309 23260 21350 82 289 69 292 54 305 51 314 21350 19359 78 295 68 296 54 304 49 315 19359 17283 75 302 68 297 54 302 46 321 17283 15167 73 307 62 304 52 303 42 322 15167 13135 67 326 55 318 46 312 41 320 13135 11304 57 331 51 327 42 320 41 323 11304 9699 51 330 50 332 42 328 41 336 9699 8287 46 332 48 334 40 333 41 340 8287 7039 42 336 39 335 38 340 34 342 7039 5939 36*338 23*331 27 338 25 340 5939 4972 25*335 22*331 21*335 20 337 4972 4125 24 334 22 332 20*336 18 339 4125 3377 24 334 22 332 19 338 16 343 3377 2708 24 335 22 333 19 339 15 347 2708 2118 24 335 21 334 18 340 13 350 2118 1625 23 335 21 334 18 341 11 351 1625 1247 22 335 20 335 17 341 9 351 1247 987 21 335 19 335 16 342 7 345 987 830 20 335 18 335 14 342 5*340 830 740 17 335 16 335 12 342 2*310 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography