DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1005z - - 1335z - - 1606z - - 1903z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 79.4 - - 88.4 - - 92.0 - - 88.7 - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 51 - - 239 - - 141 - - -44 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1803 - - 5415 - - 6913 - - 70 - - 69 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 4324 - - 5181 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 2463 - - 6075 - - 7573 - - 730 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1764 - - 1794 - - 1916 - - 8434 - - 2991 Hgt.Variab. W* 188 - - 450 - - 417 - - 31 - - 26 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 18 - - 16 - - 9 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 184 - - 176 - - 160 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 2 - - 9 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 565 - - 1266 - - 1488 - - -4844 - - -2475 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1898 - - 4809 - - 6086 - - 5574 - - 3205 sfcLCL ODpotential 171 - - 634 - - 831 - - -5858 - - -4615 ODpotential blCL 2292 - - 5441 - - 6742 - - 6588 - - 5344 blCL maxRH 99 - - 89 - - 83 - - 88 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 1270 - - 1010 - - 820 - - 460 - - 520 CAPE Temp@2m 79.4 - - 88.4 - - 92.0 - - 88.7 - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 73.2 - - 69.7 - - 67.6 - - 66.7 - - 69.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.1 - - 87.0 - - 90.9 - - 89.5 - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 72.9 - - 69.0 - - 66.8 - - 66.1 - - 69.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 51 - - 239 - - 141 - - -44 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1803 - - 5415 - - 6913 - - 70 - - 69 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 57 - - 32 - - 53 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97959 27 073 23 083 25 090 21 071 22 105 97959 90709 29 094 21 085 24 076 24 069 25 085 90709 85074 29 094 26 095 20 084 23 074 24 075 85074 80384 26 084 27 089 20 093 19 084 20 072 80384 76340 25 082 25 086 19 098 17 090 20 084 76340 72763 19 088 22 095 16 105 14 097 22 091 72763 69532 16 098 17 104 16 112 12 109 23 102 69532 66591 13 106 12 115 14 105 10 114 20 114 66591 63909 9 126 7 131 12 121 7 112 13 131 63909 61337 14 157 6 178 8 149 1 077 11 161 61337 58677 13 188 12 197 15 196 13 220 14 208 58677 55957 14 215 15 223 16 222 19 221 19 233 55957 53391 16 201 19 213 18 225 21 225 22 238 53391 51080 18 222 19 241 18 245 21 238 23 240 51080 48986 23 250 27 261 26 260 25 255 25 250 48986 47053 26 257 28 258 30 256 28 256 30 260 47053 45257 24 250 26 258 30 256 28 254 34 260 45257 43574 23 261 25 264 31 261 28 260 35 254 43574 41988 29 277 25 272 28 263 26 267 37 249 41988 40486 36 282 28 277 26 267 23 264 33 254 40486 39061 38 281 32 270 26 271 21 261 26 257 39061 37680 34 277 32 262 28 269 24 270 24 259 37680 36274 28 276 23 263 27 246 28 270 29 263 36274 34809 27 278 20 260 25 242 29 270 28 254 34809 33289 26 280 17 252 21 240 24 243 23 239 33289 31699 23 281 16 240 17 235 20 218 24 233 31699 30026 17 276 16 237 17 248 17 213 23 226 30026 28272 14 262 19 237 20 251 19 227 22 216 28272 26439 15 246 18 235 21 240 22 234 21 211 26439 24530 14 217 18 225 20 224 23 242 20 221 24530 22549 14 205 20 216 21 223 24 249 18 238 22549 20489 14 202 20 211 22 221 23 245 17 246 20489 18343 14 207 17 212 20 216 19 225 17 234 18343 16158 13 207 12 215 16 211 17 207 15 221 16158 14058 8 217 7 220 10 199 12 192 13 205 14058 12150 9 214 10 222 8 204 8 204 10 188 12150 10453 12 194 12 199 13 190 15 202 10 198 10453 8946 15 194 14 192 17 190 17 192 12 208 8946 7609 19 200 18 196 18*188 18 186 13 207 7609 6421 21 196 22*194 18*185 18 181 16 193 6421 5369 23 200 22*192 17 180 19 172 20 184 5369 4441 24 198 21 189 17 178 19 169 24 176 4441 3622 25 189 19 184 17 175 20 166 30 171 3622 2889 25*178 18 181 16 174 19 165 33 165 2889 2242 23*174 17 180 16 173 19 163 32 163 2242 1701 21 173 16 179 15 171 18 162 30 161 1701 1286 19 172 16 179 15 171 17 161 27 159 1286 1001 17 172 15 178 14 170 15 160 22 158 1001 828 15 172 14 178 13 170 13*160 19*157 828 729 12 172 12 177 11 170 9*160 12*157 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography