DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.8 - - 58.6 - - 61.7 - - 53.1 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 227 - - 127 - - -24 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 80 - - 1289 - - 1624 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1223 - - 1172 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 740 - - 1949 - - 2284 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 417 - - 757 - - 666 - - 342 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 269 - - 240 - - 12 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 15 - - 17 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 200 - - 202 - - 177 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -7 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5453 - - -5226 - - -5046 - - -3488 - - -3833 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6193 - - 7175 - - 7330 - - 4229 - - 4574 sfcLCL ODpotential -20237 - - -17333 - - -16677 - - -16236 - - -17408 ODpotential blCL 20977 - - 19282 - - 18961 - - 16977 - - 18149 blCL maxRH 47 - - 39 - - 39 - - 47 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.8 - - 58.6 - - 61.7 - - 53.1 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.2 - - 30.4 - - 32.7 - - 37.6 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.9 - - 57.4 - - 61.0 - - 55.3 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 30.3 - - 32.7 - - 37.6 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 227 - - 127 - - -24 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 80 - - 1289 - - 1624 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96219 67 267 63 276 59 274 55 280 52 271 96219 89058 38 293 39 293 35 280 34 293 33 291 89058 83534 29 304 29 288 28 288 30 290 30 287 83534 78997 29 294 26 293 26 303 25 294 24 299 78997 75106 22 298 25 291 25 303 21 293 23 307 75106 71652 17 319 20 290 25 291 25 288 21 299 71652 68501 18 330 16 308 23 290 24 289 21 282 68501 65593 15 321 16 302 22 292 24 282 24 279 65593 62900 15 294 21 274 26 296 25 286 23 275 62900 60304 23 310 25 277 34 291 32 287 25 282 60304 57606 41 302 40 295 37 299 37 288 36 284 57606 54808 48 288 50 296 50 301 42 291 40 284 54808 52133 51 287 52 288 51 296 44 292 43 285 52133 49725 52 293 49 286 48 292 43 290 44 288 49725 47574 51 294 48 289 47 292 42 286 41 287 47574 45628 54 295 49 297 45 296 38 293 42 278 45628 43844 51 294 49 296 46 300 37 301 36 277 43844 42203 42 300 39 285 48 293 32 303 30 280 42203 40685 41 307 34 290 42 287 32 314 26 280 40685 39262 42 309 33 296 37 287 34 313 27 278 39262 37914 44 309 34 299 34 295 33 304 25 278 37914 36603 44 307 34 298 32 298 33 297 23 286 36603 35263 44 304 33 297 33 298 33 289 27 295 35263 33865 42 307 33 299 35 296 35 283 31 292 33865 32412 40 318 36 298 36 299 37 282 34 282 32412 30892 39 323 39 298 36 300 37 287 34 280 30892 29292 33 324 37 286 37 302 35 293 32 280 29292 27610 26 308 30 278 38 307 35 293 33 281 27610 25845 28 296 31 284 35 305 36 287 34 285 25845 23998 31 296 34 283 35 297 37 284 35 286 23998 22071 37 298 34 284 36 292 33 283 35 284 22071 20060 40 304 32 292 32 292 30 282 27 282 20060 17960 36 301 29 298 25 293 25 288 21 298 17960 15811 28 294 25 298 24 287 23 292 19 315 15811 13732 23 303 21 298 21 285 22 293 17 305 13732 11840 21 311 18 305 18 281 18 286 18 288 11840 10160 15 300 17 284 21 281 18 292 18 284 10160 8674 16 298 20 268 23 278 24 269 17 278 8674 7361 23 281 18 274 19 270 21 240 19 274 7361 6198 25 262 18 273 15 253 19 223 20 267 6198 5174 23 257 20 265 16 248 18 225 22 255 5174 4275 19 256 21 256 20 250 19 236 24 245 4275 3487 15 238 18 233 22 244 23 239 25 229 3487 2787 14 207 20 209 21*220 23 227 26 216 2787 2171 17 181 19*201 19*208 23 213 29 206 2171 1658 21 176 17*200 18 202 23 204 30 198 1658 1265 21 178 16 200 17 200 22 199 29 195 1265 996 18 181 15 200 17 199 16 190 20 192 996 833 14 182 14 200 16 198 13 186 15*190 833 741 9*184 12 200 13 198 6*177 7*183 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography