DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 90.3 - - 87.5 - - 82.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 236 - - -15 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4047 - - 6076 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3430 - - 4811 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4707 - - 6736 - - 744 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1399 - - 1750 - - 7173 - - 3483 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 463 - - 461 - - 24 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 15 - - 7 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 181 - - 161 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -8 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -524 - - 190 - - -5220 - - -4110 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5231 - - 6546 - - 5964 - - 4853 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3174 - - -896 - - -6811 - - -6616 ODpotential blCL - - - 7881 - - 7632 - - 7555 - - 7359 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 81 - - 64 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 470 - - 240 - - 110 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 90.3 - - 87.5 - - 82.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.6 - - 63.9 - - 63.8 - - 64.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.1 - - 88.9 - - 88.4 - - 84.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.3 - - 63.5 - - 63.4 - - 63.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 236 - - -15 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4047 - - 6076 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 26 - - 0 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98066 3 164 14 212 16 254 13 267 98066 90730 3 033 5 144 7 296 10 050 90730 85081 5 104 7 090 3 023 9 061 85081 80394 11 130 9 086 9 075 9 061 80394 76365 7 131 6 085 9 086 8 051 76365 72817 4 160 6 085 9 072 10 070 72817 69607 4 150 5 102 6 065 11 062 69607 66665 7 082 4 109 4 098 8 045 66665 63964 11 051 6 077 9 109 6 046 63964 61376 15 047 8 056 8 086 7 022 61376 58714 15 017 14 027 8 047 9 022 58714 55984 21 326 27 331 23 334 21 337 55984 53386 29 328 21 323 28 300 31 293 53386 51031 38 345 30 353 23 335 18 293 51031 48885 56 334 52 328 44 332 31 328 48885 46918 61 325 61 316 61 318 50 324 46918 45102 58 322 62 312 57 313 54 315 45102 43408 54 323 60 311 56 311 57 303 43408 41818 51 324 56 310 54 310 62 299 41818 40316 51 324 50 310 52 310 59 304 40316 38894 43 321 46 308 48 307 51 310 38894 37515 34 311 35 305 44 301 46 306 37515 36107 28 300 24 292 34 294 41 303 36107 34644 26 298 19 280 28 265 28 298 34644 33130 15 307 19 263 23 265 23 276 33130 31549 1 047 15 236 19 278 24 264 31549 29889 12 232 17 226 21 270 24 268 29889 28148 21 225 22 240 21 256 24 269 28148 26323 24 243 24 255 23 254 24 273 26323 24421 22 257 26 257 30 261 23 276 24421 22447 18 253 23 254 26 245 21 271 22447 20398 12 242 17 238 15 220 20 248 20398 18264 7 183 12 204 16 224 20 220 18264 16086 8 156 13 185 16 238 14 218 16086 13990 11 170 13 187 15 221 6 220 13990 12092 11 193 12 198 12 197 7 181 12092 10412 13 197 13 195 13 190 9 186 10412 8920 15 179 17 174 16 181 12 189 8920 7595 17 166 17*176 17 169 16 178 7595 6415 19 174 17*176 19 161 18 169 6415 5369 18*181 16 177 19 157 21 160 5369 4446 17*182 16 178 18 156 27 155 4446 3630 17 182 16 180 17 157 31 155 3630 2900 17 183 16 183 16 158 32 159 2900 2253 17 183 15 184 15 159 32 161 2253 1714 17 183 15 186 14 160 30 161 1714 1299 16 183 14 187 13 161 27 161 1299 1015 15 184 14 187 12 161 21 159 1015 842 15 184 13 188 10*161 18 158 842 743 13 184 12 188 7*161 11*158 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography