DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 7.0 - - 19.0 - - 24.3 - - 20.0 - - 12.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 50 - - 46 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 78 - - 611 - - 1044 - - 79 - - 79 BL Depth Hcrit 721 - - 722 - - 722 - - 722 - - 722 Hcrit BL Top 738 - - 1271 - - 1704 - - 739 - - 739 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 273 - - 466 - - 577 - - 1342 - - 62 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 127 - - 149 - - 0 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 354 - - 306 - - 295 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1275 - - -1121 - - -583 - - -821 - - -719 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2013 - - 2393 - - 2287 - - 1560 - - 1458 sfcLCL ODpotential -23080 - - -20129 - - -15254 - - -15867 - - -17573 ODpotential blCL 23818 - - 21400 - - 16958 - - 16606 - - 18312 blCL maxRH 69 - - 80 - - 81 - - 76 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 7.0 - - 19.0 - - 24.3 - - 20.0 - - 12.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.7 - - 11.9 - - 17.6 - - 16.6 - - 9.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 8.2 - - 18.8 - - 24.0 - - 22.9 - - 17.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.4 - - 10.9 - - 16.5 - - 17.4 - - 15.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 50 - - 46 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 78 - - 611 - - 1044 - - 79 - - 79 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 21 - - 24 - - 4 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96167 92 241 81 238 90 239 102 246 87 247 96167 89010 91 252 83 250 82 256 98 255 85 252 89010 83466 90 255 81 252 78 263 89 261 82 261 83466 78850 74 256 67 256 68 262 70 255 74 254 78850 74903 57 253 50 258 51 256 55 253 59 259 74903 71449 52 256 43 263 46 260 46 255 47 260 71449 68333 47 253 39 255 43 262 39 262 40 262 68333 65459 47 260 36 259 40 260 42 262 38 263 65459 62774 57 260 43 264 45 263 52 256 44 266 62774 60154 65 250 55 255 59 250 56 258 54 266 60154 57415 65 249 66 250 65 251 69 257 68 259 57415 54567 71 256 75 257 74 255 74 254 76 258 54567 51838 86 256 86 256 80 254 79 258 79 260 51838 49375 96 253 91 254 85 255 84 258 84 262 49375 47165 104 251 98 255 94 258 90 259 96 259 47165 45164 112 252 108 253 106 257 99 258 107 254 45164 43333 122 251 120 250 116 251 110 257 111 252 43333 41639 130 249 127 247 123 248 117 254 110 253 41639 40065 136 246 130 247 127 248 116 255 110 256 40065 38597 136 245 130 249 128 250 118 258 114 260 38597 37222 134 247 129 254 129 254 123 260 119 262 37222 35895 132 249 130 260 132 257 126 259 121 262 35895 34545 135 254 133 262 130 258 125 262 117 267 34545 33141 135 258 132 262 127 261 122 266 114 271 33141 31687 134 260 129 262 127 266 120 269 109 273 31687 30171 132 260 127 261 123 270 113 273 97 275 30171 28580 125 263 122 263 114 274 102 277 87 277 28580 26911 123 269 117 271 106 279 93 281 82 280 26911 25159 119 272 111 276 103 285 90 286 82 283 25159 23324 111 275 104 280 100 290 85 290 77 283 23324 21412 109 278 101 283 91 296 72 298 68 287 21412 19422 105 278 99 290 79 304 52 302 50 292 19422 17353 94 279 84 297 56 321 29 311 39 288 17353 15244 67 287 65 303 41 344 25 310 32 292 15244 13211 42 297 51 306 37 349 27 310 27 304 13211 11365 26 300 41 295 34 352 29 320 21 309 11365 9730 24 295 21 293 24 337 20 341 16 317 9730 8283 21 278 15 301 19 300 13 339 10 323 8283 7005 13 279 23 310 11 306 13 295 8 310 7005 5883 9 313 20 314 14 329 10 290 11 297 5883 4902 12 353 12 337 11 322 10 317 10 288 4902 4051 15 003 10 006 6 315 8 305 6 288 4051 3307 18 007 10 018 4 332 4 291 5 245 3307 2647 20 010 10 032 4 334 7 303 7 236 2647 2068 22 020 10 036 7*312 9 308 8 261 2068 1591 22 026 8*024 7*308 9 308 10 269 1591 1226 19 020 4*356 7 306 9 306 10 268 1226 976 14 002 4 354 6 306 8 303 8 268 976 825 11*355 4 352 6 304 6*299 6*265 825 739 5*345 3 353 5 304 4*295 4*268 739 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography