DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.0 - - 63.9 - - 69.2 - - 67.5 - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 58 - - 138 - - 153 - - -23 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1017 - - 1981 - - 2233 - - 82 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1500 - - 1726 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1677 - - 2641 - - 2893 - - 742 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 489 - - 422 - - 525 - - 1861 - - 764 Hgt.Variab. W* 160 - - 265 - - 284 - - 16 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 21 - - 23 - - 26 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 199 - - 194 - - 190 - - 185 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -4 - - -3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 244 - - 422 - - 78 - - -1118 - - -716 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1433 - - 2219 - - 2815 - - 1860 - - 1459 sfcLCL ODpotential 61 - - 360 - - -7877 - - -9459 - - -8360 ODpotential blCL 1616 - - 2281 - - 10770 - - 10201 - - 9103 blCL maxRH 99 - - 98 - - 93 - - 85 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.0 - - 63.9 - - 69.2 - - 67.5 - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.3 - - 56.6 - - 59.1 - - 61.5 - - 61.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 63.2 - - 68.4 - - 68.2 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.0 - - 56.3 - - 58.9 - - 61.5 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 58 - - 138 - - 153 - - -23 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1017 - - 1981 - - 2233 - - 82 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 91 - - 73 - - 41 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96620 13 124 7 079 9 088 9 047 11 048 96620 89533 18 104 12 095 8 081 5 110 8 033 89533 84033 15 097 15 137 6 188 2 123 5 340 84033 79437 9 086 9 121 5 189 5 166 3 257 79437 75457 3 330 6 163 2 243 6 167 5 220 75457 71917 6 284 4 210 6 230 8 229 8 249 71917 68721 10 287 7 255 11 216 6 220 9 213 68721 65807 14 266 4 239 13 228 15 237 17 223 65807 63137 20 243 21 249 25 239 26 246 24 228 63137 60579 27 245 39 255 34 257 36 234 30 237 60579 57916 40 263 46 260 47 262 43 253 46 255 57916 55137 50 273 51 268 53 265 55 263 58 261 55137 52469 50 272 57 275 55 270 59 263 61 259 52469 50054 55 273 67 275 63 271 64 263 64 256 50054 47891 66 275 74 270 73 270 71 264 70 256 47891 45938 73 276 73 266 76 267 77 264 76 259 45938 44157 72 282 64 266 72 267 79 266 81 264 44157 42519 76 288 60 274 70 272 76 269 82 267 42519 40989 80 290 66 280 75 279 82 274 83 269 40989 39546 80 289 73 283 79 280 88 275 85 268 39546 38178 77 286 77 283 83 280 91 273 85 266 38178 36847 75 283 79 283 86 277 91 272 85 266 36847 35487 73 282 79 282 86 275 90 271 85 268 35487 34070 71 283 78 281 84 274 88 272 83 270 34070 32597 69 285 76 280 82 275 85 272 79 270 32597 31054 68 286 75 280 80 276 81 269 77 267 31054 29431 64 285 72 280 76 276 75 265 76 266 29431 27732 58 281 68 278 73 273 71 263 76 263 27732 25957 49 272 62 274 68 267 70 261 74 258 25957 24105 49 266 60 269 65 260 70 258 72 254 24105 22178 51 268 58 264 62 255 67 255 71 254 22178 20168 48 268 53 260 55 250 60 253 68 254 20168 18068 40 262 44 254 47 242 54 250 63 252 18068 15924 28 253 35 237 44 234 50 246 58 249 15924 13855 27 246 34 222 41 233 48 244 54 247 13855 11973 27 248 32 231 39 238 45 245 49 249 11973 10299 22 254 28 237 37 241 43 247 43 255 10299 8813 14 248 27 240 33 241 39 251 38 263 8813 7491 12 238 29 232 29 241 35 254 36 265 7491 6317 17 239 30 225 29 243 32 255 38 261 6317 5277 22 236 30 225 32 242 31 251 40 253 5277 4363 26 232 36 222 33 229 32 237 44 234 4363 3560 34 224 36 215 31*212 32 220 44 219 3560 2844 37 215 29*202 28*194 34 201 41 207 2844 2211 34*209 26*196 28 191 35 191 41 196 2211 1685 26*202 25 194 27 190 33 189 36 191 1685 1282 23 199 24 193 26 188 29 187 31 186 1282 1006 20 198 22 192 24 188 25 186 22 182 1006 838 18 197 20 191 22 188 21 186 19*181 838 743 14 196 16 192 17 187 15*185 12*180 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography