DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.9 - - 31.4 - - 35.7 - - 29.3 - - 24.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 30 - - 1 - - -13 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 168 - - 335 - - 352 - - 79 - - 79 BL Depth Hcrit 722 - - 723 - - 723 - - 723 - - 723 Hcrit BL Top 828 - - 995 - - 1012 - - 739 - - 739 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 155 - - 200 - - 659 - - 530 - - 52 Hgt.Variab. W* 63 - - 88 - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 279 - - 313 - - 247 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -257 - - -374 - - -609 - - -275 - - -787 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1085 - - 1369 - - 1621 - - 1014 - - 1526 sfcLCL ODpotential 7 - - -15319 - - -14904 - - -16362 - - -18031 ODpotential blCL 821 - - 16314 - - 15916 - - 17101 - - 18770 blCL maxRH 100 - - 91 - - 85 - - 88 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.9 - - 31.4 - - 35.7 - - 29.3 - - 24.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.4 - - 28.6 - - 31.8 - - 28.1 - - 21.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.8 - - 31.1 - - 35.9 - - 32.9 - - 30.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.8 - - 28.1 - - 31.2 - - 31.0 - - 28.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 30 - - 1 - - -13 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 168 - - 335 - - 352 - - 79 - - 79 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 64 - - 41 - - 53 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96106 80 233 73 240 58 243 66 249 58 242 96106 88879 77 245 73 243 60 253 58 269 53 262 88879 83412 60 268 63 252 59 254 57 274 47 271 83412 78873 61 276 53 267 50 261 54 269 41 276 78873 74909 55 271 53 273 48 268 49 268 42 285 74909 71370 52 273 51 278 50 272 48 273 48 292 71370 68177 47 274 49 277 51 278 54 280 52 292 68177 65286 40 280 47 275 52 277 54 279 54 284 65286 62653 47 292 46 280 44 273 47 277 55 275 62653 60129 56 291 43 293 40 283 46 283 54 274 60129 57496 62 286 49 299 48 288 59 283 60 277 57496 54744 71 286 67 297 70 282 62 279 68 274 54744 52088 75 288 80 293 77 287 67 281 75 273 52088 49666 78 295 87 292 85 291 79 284 83 272 49666 47473 84 303 88 293 88 288 94 283 91 275 47473 45475 93 304 89 292 90 286 95 281 92 278 45475 43654 100 300 84 295 96 283 99 285 91 282 43654 41985 97 300 82 293 90 279 101 285 104 286 41985 40439 96 301 75 293 75 289 99 281 122 286 40439 38991 95 304 71 299 72 292 82 277 126 285 38991 37624 98 310 70 303 69 288 76 288 116 285 37624 36297 101 313 70 302 67 284 76 292 98 287 36297 34946 102 314 69 304 63 284 79 289 79 283 34946 33544 102 315 68 307 59 290 79 282 70 284 33544 32094 102 317 70 306 59 294 74 278 64 284 32094 30578 101 320 71 307 60 297 69 282 61 280 30578 28980 100 319 70 308 60 298 59 284 58 278 28980 27304 98 322 67 311 55 300 53 285 52 287 27304 25546 93 329 62 315 50 305 52 288 47 281 25546 23703 90 338 55 322 49 307 50 289 44 283 23703 21776 79 346 51 328 44 311 42 286 43 294 21776 19763 71 356 45 334 37 313 36 289 39 294 19763 17661 61 002 37 342 30 319 27 293 32 295 17661 15515 48 001 30 350 23 324 19 285 26 288 15515 13449 38 356 24 353 18 327 15 280 24 276 13449 11580 27 344 20 352 14 327 14 293 22 267 11580 9930 24 348 18 358 13 331 14 309 16 275 9930 8477 25 000 20 002 13 341 13 322 9 297 8477 7194 26 003 22 357 15 342 11 335 7 309 7194 6062 24 010 18 359 16 339 9 346 5 279 6062 5062 19 017 12 020 13 346 5 026 6 190 5062 4184 11 008 8 025 7 000 3 109 11 197 4184 3412 9 330 8 336 4 019 4 223 13 221 3412 2724 11 342 6 311 4 337 10 253 13 236 2724 2120 12 356 3 309 4 312 11 255 11 235 2120 1622 11 348 3 312 5 320 10 261 10 222 1622 1243 11 342 5*299 5*322 10 261 8 215 1243 984 12*330 5*282 3*315 10 255 7 216 984 828 11*329 5 278 3 313 8 249 5 201 828 739 8 328 4 278 3 310 5*247 1*178 739 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography