DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.9 - - 81.8 - - 84.7 - - 80.4 - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 147 - - 337 - - 196 - - -13 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1015 - - 3172 - - 4113 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2732 - - 3223 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1675 - - 3832 - - 4773 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1194 - - 1730 - - 1332 - - 4406 - - 88 Hgt.Variab. W* 216 - - 416 - - 381 - - 18 - - 8 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 194 - - 187 - - 157 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2258 - - -1792 - - -2739 - - -6664 - - -3752 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3933 - - 5625 - - 7513 - - 7408 - - 4495 sfcLCL ODpotential -8422 - - -8497 - - -8806 - - -13170 - - -11343 ODpotential blCL 10097 - - 12329 - - 13579 - - 13913 - - 12086 blCL maxRH 68 - - 93 - - 80 - - 35 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 74.9 - - 81.8 - - 84.7 - - 80.4 - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.3 - - 59.6 - - 54.3 - - 50.8 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.9 - - 79.8 - - 83.3 - - 82.1 - - 76.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.0 - - 59.2 - - 53.7 - - 50.0 - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 147 - - 337 - - 196 - - -13 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1015 - - 3172 - - 4113 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 73 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98230 4 179 5 239 8 208 9 231 14 303 98230 90851 9 019 7 156 7 168 3 048 3 054 90851 85166 8 040 9 137 8 153 7 037 9 069 85166 80459 9 078 8 129 7 127 2 031 12 036 80459 76393 9 080 13 126 8 137 4 169 7 024 76393 72780 7 063 10 093 9 127 7 121 5 115 72780 69509 3 082 3 106 1 248 3 047 7 089 69509 66514 2 305 2 317 5 297 4 313 7 062 66514 63744 3 303 4 312 5 329 3 281 6 017 63744 61076 4 332 5 300 6 277 6 300 5 277 61076 58325 4 320 7 306 5 277 10 280 7 265 58325 55513 9 288 12 274 13 285 14 279 11 266 55513 52855 18 273 19 261 29 271 29 270 22 267 52855 50470 36 278 39 263 41 260 40 259 35 255 50470 48338 38 272 35 261 37 265 41 257 40 251 48338 46398 35 280 39 273 40 272 41 258 43 249 46398 44608 43 281 47 273 45 266 41 257 44 247 44608 42940 49 272 48 268 47 260 44 257 45 249 42940 41379 53 265 53 263 49 258 47 257 46 251 41379 39908 50 260 51 256 47 254 44 255 48 249 39908 38518 44 258 44 249 44 249 41 252 46 245 38518 37170 31 256 34 243 41 246 37 250 42 242 37170 35794 22 261 21 235 35 245 34 249 39 242 35794 34360 23 263 18 228 27 239 32 246 36 243 34360 32873 24 262 24 234 24 237 28 243 32 243 32873 31318 27 262 26 244 26 237 26 243 29 239 31318 29684 28 258 25 247 26 237 25 240 29 234 29684 27970 25 249 22 246 23 238 25 243 30 234 27970 26176 17 236 19 239 23 240 22 250 25 234 26176 24301 15 234 20 232 25 238 21 242 22 234 24301 22348 14 234 18 219 22 223 21 228 21 228 22348 20314 9 224 14 204 18 201 20 221 18 226 20314 18194 9 222 14 209 15 223 17 232 12 248 18194 16030 14 225 14 220 15 236 11 248 7 257 16030 13942 13 233 12 220 16 228 11 241 5 248 13942 12043 11 239 11 221 15 227 12 224 6 234 12043 10359 9 239 9 223 11 226 8 233 6 251 10359 8868 7 227 7 219 7 209 8 225 8 271 8868 7546 5 211 6 205 8 199 8 221 12 267 7546 6372 5 215 5 227 6 214 7 234 13 250 6372 5333 7 217 5 260 7*199 8 225 11 226 5333 4416 8 208 5*236 8*191 8 207 12 192 4416 3606 10 200 8*200 9 187 8 186 16 178 3606 2881 14 202 9 195 9 186 9 170 17 173 2881 2239 16 205 10 193 9 187 9 163 15 169 2239 1704 15*205 10 192 9 187 9 162 13 161 1704 1294 13*205 10 193 9 188 8 162 11 152 1294 1012 12 204 10 192 9 188 8 162 11 141 1012 840 11 204 10 193 9 188 7 160 8*132 840 743 10 204 9 192 8 189 5*157 4*122 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography