DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.9 - - 72.0 - - 80.6 - - 78.4 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 41 - - 116 - - 280 - - -9 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 924 - - 1952 - - 3575 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 1359 - - 2967 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1584 - - 2612 - - 4235 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1906 - - 1947 - - 833 - - 4159 - - 1307 Hgt.Variab. W* 136 - - 248 - - 406 - - 20 - - 6 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 16 - - 16 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 212 - - 214 - - 181 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -9 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -125 - - 471 - - -147 - - -2610 - - -207 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1709 - - 2141 - - 4382 - - 3353 - - 950 sfcLCL ODpotential -557 - - 173 - - -4026 - - -4428 - - -7031 ODpotential blCL 2141 - - 2439 - - 8261 - - 5171 - - 7774 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 84 - - 80 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 270 - - 880 - - 1380 - - 1800 - - 1490 CAPE Temp@2m 67.9 - - 72.0 - - 80.6 - - 78.4 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.8 - - 64.9 - - 63.7 - - 65.9 - - 68.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.8 - - 71.4 - - 78.9 - - 78.6 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.7 - - 64.7 - - 63.4 - - 65.9 - - 67.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 41 - - 116 - - 280 - - -9 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 924 - - 1952 - - 3575 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 97 - - 34 - - 21 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 13 - - 12 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96759 28 273 33 271 35 257 46 274 37 280 96759 89440 23 254 32 259 32 266 36 268 30 278 89440 83883 23 259 27 260 21 268 27 261 22 261 83883 79313 21 280 23 250 14 262 22 254 18 244 79313 75383 19 291 16 248 16 251 18 261 13 241 75383 71901 11 250 15 264 14 241 13 265 10 231 71901 68758 14 211 12 238 14 232 14 238 13 234 68758 65888 6 237 11 216 12 217 14 218 15 217 65888 63247 13 317 6 067 10 217 16 232 18 224 63247 60704 24 264 26 263 31 265 22 249 21 233 60704 58041 40 246 39 239 40 249 31 246 33 248 58041 55257 42 241 40 237 50 239 46 244 49 247 55257 52578 50 245 53 237 60 240 57 246 61 247 52578 50143 59 256 60 245 60 244 60 251 61 246 50143 47944 77 262 70 259 65 256 70 256 69 253 47944 45945 89 261 86 256 80 255 80 253 75 251 45945 44111 86 260 87 254 81 251 78 252 77 253 44111 42419 76 259 81 259 79 257 80 255 83 256 42419 40860 73 262 85 263 89 262 88 256 88 254 40860 39413 85 269 90 264 96 263 91 254 87 250 39413 38052 95 270 87 266 88 263 88 254 81 249 38052 36732 92 267 77 268 79 264 88 257 74 249 36732 35385 82 262 70 267 74 264 90 261 67 250 35385 33981 78 257 68 264 71 266 85 263 63 250 33981 32522 79 257 69 264 67 267 71 265 59 254 32522 30992 82 263 69 266 58 263 59 265 51 261 30992 29379 72 267 64 266 53 264 55 261 50 259 29379 27684 56 265 57 259 52 263 48 265 40 255 27684 25913 45 267 47 253 53 261 46 269 40 280 25913 24065 42 265 35 251 48 262 41 264 28 280 24065 22141 40 260 35 258 43 260 36 257 31 263 22141 20145 40 258 38 265 43 257 33 257 38 245 20145 18070 35 264 39 265 40 257 34 257 38 237 18070 15948 28 267 32 263 39 262 36 260 36 239 15948 13894 30 249 29 256 40 274 32 264 32 243 13894 12018 32 241 31 245 29 264 28 269 29 264 12018 10346 30 245 31 241 28 241 22 261 18 251 10346 8858 26 250 28 250 28 244 23 246 20 244 8858 7531 26 252 24 262 25 261 22 250 17 256 7531 6351 27 252 22 268 18 267 19 250 14 258 6351 5307 28 249 23 249 17 261 20 231 13 231 5307 4390 27 242 23 230 17*224 23 213 16 216 4390 3582 25 235 23 228 17*220 24 205 20 211 3582 2861 24 233 22*226 17 216 24 195 29 206 2861 2224 21 228 19*218 17 213 24 188 34 202 2224 1694 18*220 16 212 16 212 23 185 31 197 1694 1288 14*211 15 210 16 211 21 183 27 193 1288 1009 12 210 15 210 15 211 20 182 20 190 1009 839 11 209 14 209 14 210 17 181 17*189 839 743 10 208 12 209 13 210 13*181 11*187 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography