DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.9 - - 80.2 - - 82.5 - - 82.1 - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 52 - - 277 - - 239 - - 15 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1444 - - 3812 - - 4487 - - 4725 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 3164 - - 3604 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 2104 - - 4472 - - 5147 - - 5385 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1741 - - 627 - - 1221 - - 1925 - - 2922 Hgt.Variab. W* 181 - - 421 - - 420 - - 185 - - 18 W* B/S 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 22 - - 22 - - 22 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 166 - - 184 - - 180 - - 159 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - -16 - - -14 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 703 - - 699 - - 808 - - 884 - - -1678 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1401 - - 3773 - - 4340 - - 4501 - - 2421 sfcLCL ODpotential 293 - - 298 - - 80 - - -146 - - -3815 ODpotential blCL 1811 - - 4174 - - 5067 - - 5531 - - 4558 blCL maxRH 98 - - 91 - - 84 - - 98 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 1930 - - 1790 - - 2160 - - 1950 - - 1380 CAPE Temp@2m 72.9 - - 80.2 - - 82.5 - - 82.1 - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.0 - - 65.9 - - 65.8 - - 64.7 - - 65.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.7 - - 78.8 - - 81.2 - - 82.2 - - 74.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.4 - - 65.2 - - 65.3 - - 64.4 - - 65.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 52 - - 277 - - 239 - - 15 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1444 - - 3812 - - 4487 - - 4725 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 64 - - 35 - - 92 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 13 - - 13 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97870 10 196 16 243 11 280 16 253 17 276 97870 90346 7 235 9 231 6 243 10 268 12 292 90346 84601 5 010 5 186 11 198 3 002 8 319 84601 79878 5 069 6 126 6 174 6 016 7 008 79878 75818 7 074 8 107 7 071 5 061 7 031 75818 72249 11 064 6 091 6 134 5 058 8 082 72249 69043 4 129 10 077 10 153 6 213 3 010 69043 66097 13 190 4 164 5 194 9 182 10 194 66097 63388 14 215 15 187 8 199 9 189 13 209 63388 60779 20 227 24 228 16 235 14 256 19 234 60779 58049 34 245 34 234 32 226 28 245 27 213 58049 55197 34 233 37 238 35 221 29 222 24 223 55197 52448 33 244 44 242 44 245 46 255 44 247 52448 49976 54 249 55 244 64 246 70 246 66 245 49976 47769 69 249 59 243 65 243 71 243 72 243 47769 45775 69 250 58 245 60 248 64 246 69 246 45775 43967 63 248 55 250 57 249 55 250 59 250 43967 42317 55 244 53 252 50 246 45 251 47 251 42317 40788 49 240 52 244 48 240 38 252 38 251 40788 39351 46 240 53 236 48 229 35 255 33 252 39351 37991 45 244 54 229 50 224 35 255 31 255 37991 36671 49 247 57 220 52 221 36 250 31 257 36671 35324 53 245 57 212 54 215 38 242 32 258 35324 33921 53 242 58 214 56 207 41 237 33 255 33921 32464 52 241 58 221 54 213 44 235 34 249 32464 30938 51 243 54 229 51 222 47 235 36 243 30938 29332 47 249 50 235 48 229 48 235 39 238 29332 27647 38 247 46 241 48 233 43 236 41 238 27647 25884 28 244 36 242 42 241 46 236 42 240 25884 24046 27 246 32 247 37 250 41 239 43 242 24046 22133 29 238 29 257 28 257 36 243 41 243 22133 20139 21 204 24 254 21 260 29 243 36 241 20139 18057 21 185 20 228 19 212 26 242 31 228 18057 15925 26 205 25 189 22 195 22 223 29 218 15925 13863 25 203 28 184 20 215 27 203 25 215 13863 11986 23 189 28 182 23 201 23 193 26 205 11986 10317 23 198 28 187 26 195 23 191 26 184 10317 8831 29 231 31 192 25 195 25 186 22 190 8831 7509 32 238 34 195 25 194 26 187 18 189 7509 6337 31 240 34 191 25 189 25*180 15 175 6337 5300 27 233 27*185 25*185 24*170 18 162 5300 4387 22 213 23*182 25*184 24 165 25 162 4387 3584 19 200 23 182 24 182 23 160 28 157 3584 2864 19 197 23 184 23 180 22 157 28 148 2864 2228 16*185 23 185 22 178 21 155 28 142 2228 1698 13*173 22 185 21 178 20 153 26 137 1698 1290 11 165 22 185 21 178 19 153 23 133 1290 1010 11 163 21 186 20 178 17 152 18 127 1010 840 10 162 19 186 18 178 16 152 15*126 840 743 9 161 16 186 16 178 12 151 10*124 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography