DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1334z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 53.4 - - 57.7 - - 54.1 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 271 - - 198 - - -54 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 379 - - 1835 - - 2777 - - 67 - - 67 BL Depth Hcrit 709 - - 1668 - - 2236 - - 711 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top 1039 - - 2495 - - 3437 - - 727 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 461 - - 469 - - 627 - - 2695 - - 1066 Hgt.Variab. W* 104 - - 321 - - 333 - - 13 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 27 - - 30 - - 16 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 174 - - 178 - - 179 - - 163 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 17 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2751 - - -3410 - - -1666 - - -1391 - - -731 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3790 - - 5905 - - 5103 - - 2118 - - 1458 sfcLCL ODpotential -17755 - - -15735 - - -12876 - - -2587 - - -11587 ODpotential blCL 18794 - - 18230 - - 16313 - - 3314 - - 12314 blCL maxRH 60 - - 49 - - 64 - - 87 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 53.4 - - 57.7 - - 54.1 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.1 - - 30.5 - - 38.1 - - 47.4 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.5 - - 52.2 - - 56.9 - - 54.6 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.0 - - 30.0 - - 37.7 - - 47.4 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 271 - - 198 - - -54 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 379 - - 1835 - - 2777 - - 67 - - 67 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 49 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95833 51 267 54 259 54 247 52 254 49 262 95833 88467 43 266 47 257 50 247 50 260 44 255 88467 82954 34 260 39 254 37 250 40 266 34 260 82954 78448 24 249 30 243 30 252 29 261 28 265 78448 74591 22 257 26 243 29 248 24 264 23 267 74591 71180 21 264 26 243 27 241 23 272 23 262 71180 68096 21 266 25 236 26 233 34 251 33 255 68096 65293 24 271 20 243 29 226 40 237 29 253 65293 62678 28 266 20 263 34 240 38 236 36 266 62678 60116 34 258 38 259 42 255 40 245 54 254 60116 57443 42 255 46 259 46 263 50 255 60 252 57443 54669 55 260 58 265 58 265 61 258 63 255 54669 52015 65 263 68 265 69 263 68 257 68 254 52015 49630 66 266 70 265 73 261 69 257 71 253 49630 47505 67 273 67 267 72 261 69 259 70 251 47505 45589 69 282 65 272 70 262 69 257 68 247 45589 43838 70 285 66 276 67 264 66 253 68 244 43838 42212 71 285 65 276 65 266 62 253 68 243 42212 40684 70 285 64 274 65 266 62 254 68 244 40684 39235 69 284 64 271 67 263 65 253 69 243 39235 37859 72 282 67 269 71 260 69 250 72 239 37859 36519 76 280 71 267 72 259 71 249 77 238 36519 35151 77 278 73 268 72 260 73 250 78 238 35151 33728 76 276 73 269 72 259 75 251 78 241 33728 32256 76 275 73 269 73 258 77 251 78 243 32256 30720 74 274 72 268 75 256 78 248 78 243 30720 29108 73 273 71 268 74 255 78 246 77 242 29108 27419 71 274 71 268 72 256 76 247 75 242 27419 25653 68 275 70 271 67 259 71 250 68 246 25653 23808 61 274 62 273 59 264 61 252 62 251 23808 21888 53 270 52 270 51 266 53 250 58 247 21888 19886 46 265 49 263 47 267 46 251 56 244 19886 17800 38 260 45 253 46 266 43 257 53 246 17800 15671 32 261 39 244 44 261 42 261 49 251 15671 13616 27 263 32 243 42 257 43 261 43 257 13616 11746 24 258 31 249 37 254 41 260 38 261 11746 10084 22 245 31 250 33 250 37 254 34 259 10084 8607 25 235 30 242 32 241 35 238 31 251 8607 7294 25 227 28 228 32 228 34 230 29 237 7294 6128 26 222 29 218 35 217 38 223 30 232 6128 5104 34 218 37 213 41 209 45 214 42 218 5104 4216 39 209 42 200 41*197 45 202 48 199 4216 3443 38 200 40 188 38*188 43 188 52 186 3443 2753 35 191 38*186 35 182 41 177 53 181 2753 2143 34 183 34*183 31 177 38 172 49 177 2143 1635 32 181 28 178 29 175 35 169 40 170 1635 1248 28*178 26 176 27 174 31 167 35 168 1248 981 21*175 24 176 25 173 26 165 27 165 981 819 18 174 22 175 23 173 22 164 23*165 819 727 13 173 17 175 18 172 16*163 16*164 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography