DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 78.8 - - - - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 173 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3912 - - 2931 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3197 - - 2311 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4572 - - 3591 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2026 - - 2184 - - - - - 2060 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 410 - - 330 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 24 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 184 - - - - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 7 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 613 - - 702 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3959 - - 2889 - - - - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -42 - - -147 - - - - - -638 ODpotential blCL - - - 4614 - - 3738 - - - - - 1381 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 98 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1130 - - 2290 - - - - - 1630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 78.8 - - - - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.1 - - 68.3 - - - - - 69.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.9 - - 77.9 - - - - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.7 - - 67.8 - - - - - 69.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 173 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3912 - - 2931 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 90 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 14 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97342 36 243 37 243 45 273 97342 89979 36 249 36 246 27 269 89979 84359 25 254 28 244 24 266 84359 79718 12 247 18 242 16 260 79718 75711 3 277 9 241 6 230 75711 72157 4 344 3 163 0 348 72157 68956 4 294 1 186 4 358 68956 66022 11 248 11 270 7 290 66022 63302 13 192 11 240 15 278 63302 60690 8 274 13 284 19 276 60690 57980 33 283 32 286 27 270 57980 55173 47 280 47 284 34 273 55173 52481 48 278 48 276 40 277 52481 50031 52 279 49 274 47 279 50031 47823 59 271 54 272 56 278 47823 45827 56 265 57 269 62 273 45827 44025 49 265 52 263 59 266 44025 42384 49 263 46 256 56 256 42384 40864 52 257 49 254 54 247 40864 39433 49 253 49 250 51 241 39433 38076 48 255 45 250 43 238 38076 36755 44 256 40 254 39 236 36755 35406 41 255 36 251 39 239 35406 33998 38 252 33 248 38 240 33998 32535 35 242 36 245 37 241 32535 31002 33 233 40 240 36 243 31002 29388 33 235 40 236 34 246 29388 27693 35 238 35 231 33 248 27693 25917 34 240 38 239 31 255 25917 24062 29 235 36 239 33 269 24062 22131 21 217 30 232 30 266 22131 20119 19 206 29 231 31 259 20119 18024 24 218 28 236 31 266 18024 15890 27 222 23 241 21 279 15890 13831 27 218 21 233 21 290 13831 11957 25 216 24 227 29 261 11957 10292 16 209 23 231 28 237 10292 8810 21 220 18 235 24 219 8810 7491 25 222 18 217 25 201 7491 6321 28 198 22 208 26 193 6321 5286 30*194 25 200 27 194 5286 4375 30*193 26*194 28 189 4375 3571 28 191 26*188 30 181 3571 2853 27 188 25 186 31 174 2853 2220 26 187 25 184 29 169 2220 1692 25 187 24 183 25 168 1692 1287 25 186 23 182 21 167 1287 1009 23 186 22 182 17 167 1009 839 22 186 21 182 15*167 839 743 18 186 17 181 10*167 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography