DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.0 - - 76.7 - - 81.2 - - 75.5 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 141 - - 300 - - 191 - - -19 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1241 - - 2389 - - 3253 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 939 - - 2110 - - 2578 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1901 - - 3049 - - 3913 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 582 - - 711 - - 1001 - - 2526 - - 449 Hgt.Variab. W* 229 - - 365 - - 350 - - 23 - - 20 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 15 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 9 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 136 - - 147 - - 126 - - 092 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4777 - - -5249 - - -4815 - - -5638 - - -4634 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6678 - - 8298 - - 8728 - - 6381 - - 5376 sfcLCL ODpotential -13051 - - -11768 - - -10343 - - -11690 - - -12267 ODpotential blCL 14952 - - 14817 - - 14256 - - 12433 - - 13009 blCL maxRH 69 - - 72 - - 48 - - 42 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.0 - - 76.7 - - 81.2 - - 75.5 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 43.4 - - 45.9 - - 50.6 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.1 - - 74.8 - - 79.8 - - 76.8 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.4 - - 42.4 - - 44.9 - - 50.0 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 141 - - 300 - - 191 - - -19 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1241 - - 2389 - - 3253 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97978 21 097 17 108 5 126 10 089 13 066 97978 90579 18 068 21 083 21 093 14 114 11 081 90579 84904 19 072 21 076 23 086 14 085 19 085 84904 80197 20 101 12 094 17 085 14 067 23 078 80197 76145 18 083 13 102 14 090 15 084 18 074 76145 72581 12 084 9 095 9 077 12 084 14 082 72581 69362 9 074 9 077 9 074 7 084 11 084 69362 66414 7 063 5 075 9 051 5 097 8 075 66414 63701 7 101 6 148 1 248 1 280 5 028 63701 61086 10 085 7 142 8 200 6 228 2 305 61086 58376 9 021 4 122 5 217 4 225 3 248 58376 55586 10 346 0 221 6 241 6 252 8 250 55586 52935 19 310 8 308 7 276 9 257 14 258 52935 50546 27 298 17 303 13 291 12 271 14 268 50546 48392 34 290 29 298 21 292 19 291 19 275 48392 46423 35 284 34 287 26 286 23 290 21 279 46423 44602 31 299 32 286 27 282 28 284 29 290 44602 42905 35 305 34 284 29 279 33 276 36 285 42905 41308 41 299 37 283 34 284 37 277 40 283 41308 39800 42 295 38 287 38 288 37 285 39 291 39800 38379 37 298 39 290 39 288 35 292 41 295 38379 37008 32 302 34 292 32 295 30 293 35 297 37008 35620 28 307 27 293 27 301 24 305 29 295 35620 34184 25 319 23 303 25 308 23 326 20 300 34184 32703 25 324 20 317 24 314 21 333 17 326 32703 31159 26 321 20 320 20 324 20 340 21 340 31159 29536 27 317 21 313 19 329 21 346 21 340 29536 27833 24 324 21 311 17 332 21 349 20 344 27833 26045 22 333 20 313 16 343 20 347 19 348 26045 24173 14 325 16 302 18 306 18 348 20 350 24173 22222 9 325 17 301 17 290 20 327 21 345 22222 20193 7 329 12 308 16 319 17 318 18 358 20193 18092 8 348 11 335 19 335 17 329 15 012 18092 15957 10 351 12 006 12 345 21 340 18 004 15957 13891 10 015 12 005 12 357 13 347 15 350 13891 12004 11 028 9 022 10 337 15 351 12 006 12004 10322 9 021 8 016 5 314 14 327 15 356 10322 8828 12 328 13 343 9 355 9 327 12 322 8828 7502 18 301 15 316 14 344 6 349 8 289 7502 6325 19 287 12 317 12 337 7 336 5 313 6325 5281 17 277 11 297 9 309 8 325 2 356 5281 4363 14 255 10 254 2*267 4 341 2 123 4363 3557 16 202 10*190 4*139 7 111 11 138 3557 2840 19 175 9*152 4 131 12 109 17 123 2840 2209 21*145 9 149 4 127 13 102 20 110 2209 1684 18*137 9 147 4 122 13 098 23 102 1684 1282 18 136 9 145 4 120 12 097 23 098 1282 1005 17 136 8 144 4 119 11 094 18 096 1005 838 16 135 8 143 4 118 9*093 15 096 838 742 13 135 7 143 4 117 6*092 7*094 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography