DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.7 - - 63.4 - - 69.5 - - 63.1 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 321 - - 217 - - -59 - - -68 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 296 - - 1901 - - 2383 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1764 - - 1984 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 956 - - 2561 - - 3043 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 639 - - 574 - - 1230 - - 1137 - - 516 Hgt.Variab. W* 80 - - 343 - - 325 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 29 - - 28 - - 14 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 190 - - 197 - - 195 - - 181 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2358 - - -2589 - - -2123 - - -2599 - - -2446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3314 - - 5151 - - 5166 - - 3342 - - 3189 sfcLCL ODpotential -10078 - - -7794 - - -5621 - - -6727 - - -7445 ODpotential blCL 11034 - - 10355 - - 8664 - - 7469 - - 8187 blCL maxRH 66 - - 63 - - 63 - - 60 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.7 - - 63.4 - - 69.5 - - 63.1 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.0 - - 43.5 - - 49.3 - - 51.1 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.7 - - 62.0 - - 68.4 - - 64.7 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.0 - - 43.5 - - 49.3 - - 51.0 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 321 - - 217 - - -59 - - -68 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 296 - - 1901 - - 2383 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96402 28 290 16 305 9 267 16 300 28 274 96402 89260 17 286 18 260 13 267 20 292 18 296 89260 83743 11 272 15 248 13 246 16 268 8 317 83743 79134 11 267 17 283 16 276 20 271 16 294 79134 75149 17 260 18 273 18 265 14 273 17 274 75149 71621 13 279 12 296 12 265 13 272 15 275 71621 68427 23 279 21 275 20 281 22 282 24 273 68427 65501 25 273 27 276 25 281 30 272 26 266 65501 62790 29 274 28 281 23 278 25 271 30 277 62790 60163 36 265 32 269 25 284 29 279 37 273 60163 57424 43 263 45 260 39 271 39 272 45 263 57424 54579 47 264 48 259 45 263 49 266 50 264 54579 51849 50 267 51 259 51 261 56 264 53 264 51849 49380 54 267 55 259 55 262 57 264 54 262 49380 47158 59 266 55 260 57 263 57 265 53 261 47158 45138 60 267 53 262 56 262 57 264 53 264 45138 43290 58 267 50 265 53 264 55 264 56 267 43290 41596 56 264 46 267 51 269 54 267 60 271 41596 40036 52 259 44 267 50 270 54 272 65 274 40036 38590 49 254 42 266 49 268 57 275 68 276 38590 37239 48 252 42 265 48 268 58 275 70 276 37239 35938 50 253 46 266 48 269 57 274 71 275 35938 34616 53 255 50 267 49 269 55 274 68 276 34616 33240 54 255 53 268 50 269 51 274 63 277 33240 31812 53 254 54 269 53 268 50 273 58 276 31812 30318 50 253 54 271 54 268 49 273 53 276 30318 28746 50 253 52 273 54 269 49 273 48 275 28746 27096 50 254 49 273 53 269 47 273 46 274 27096 25365 45 258 46 271 50 267 44 271 45 271 25365 23555 36 254 44 269 46 265 40 268 42 269 23555 21672 37 254 42 267 43 267 36 266 38 264 21672 19712 40 256 42 261 42 268 34 266 34 262 19712 17671 39 252 46 253 41 265 35 266 29 265 17671 15587 40 251 44 253 40 261 37 266 29 266 15587 13574 39 251 40 254 40 263 38 265 29 262 13574 11739 33 241 39 253 41 263 39 264 30 261 11739 10110 29 235 37 247 41 260 38 264 34 265 10110 8665 24 235 35 240 39 254 37 260 35 265 8665 7379 23 229 33 236 39 246 38 252 34 263 7379 6232 24 224 33 240 38 241 37 246 34 258 6232 5213 28 229 35 243 36 236 36 238 34 247 5213 4314 34 231 36 235 32 222 34 225 35 239 4314 3521 39 221 38 218 32*211 35 215 38 224 3521 2813 44 211 37*205 31*201 36 207 45 211 2813 2190 45 205 33*199 30 197 38 198 46 205 2190 1671 40 200 31 197 29 194 37 192 42 200 1671 1273 32 195 30 196 28 192 33 189 37 196 1273 1001 25*191 28 196 26 191 26 184 26 192 1001 836 22*191 26 195 24 191 22 183 23*191 836 742 17 190 21 195 19 190 14*181 14*190 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography