DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 54.4 - - 56.3 - - 50.0 - - 42.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 28 - - 336 - - 232 - - -38 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 216 - - 2812 - - 3561 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 2451 - - 2876 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 876 - - 3472 - - 4221 - - 741 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 326 - - 1192 - - 1107 - - 4454 - - 163 Hgt.Variab. W* 74 - - 396 - - 380 - - 9 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 28 - - 22 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 257 - - 011 - - 354 - - 347 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -10 - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3547 - - -2118 - - -2985 - - -6544 - - -4918 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4423 - - 5590 - - 7207 - - 7285 - - 5658 sfcLCL ODpotential -11883 - - -9851 - - -10539 - - -15583 - - -14793 ODpotential blCL 12759 - - 13323 - - 14760 - - 16324 - - 15533 blCL maxRH 54 - - 67 - - 72 - - 38 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 54.4 - - 56.3 - - 50.0 - - 42.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.3 - - 32.5 - - 27.2 - - 20.9 - - 20.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.7 - - 53.0 - - 55.0 - - 51.8 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 32.5 - - 27.1 - - 20.8 - - 20.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 28 - - 336 - - 232 - - -38 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 216 - - 2812 - - 3561 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96350 6 217 17 308 12 333 9 003 8 328 96350 89282 10 058 6 093 9 037 16 043 21 063 89282 83809 8 080 14 081 8 100 7 087 13 048 83809 79229 9 048 12 094 5 144 3 035 2 046 79229 75276 4 033 8 098 3 118 6 349 1 060 75276 71771 3 186 5 149 8 191 11 270 12 310 71771 68567 6 272 4 304 5 211 17 242 19 285 68567 65597 14 292 13 271 12 302 16 245 21 249 65597 62839 19 281 24 266 24 269 17 274 23 258 62839 60158 30 277 29 262 34 265 41 285 32 281 60158 57350 38 273 36 268 47 270 51 270 52 258 57350 54444 47 271 48 275 51 270 52 262 58 250 54444 51675 59 270 58 274 59 275 55 265 58 251 51675 49176 60 261 64 268 67 269 67 275 68 270 49176 46940 52 257 64 263 73 261 83 269 92 271 46940 44909 49 274 60 263 70 262 86 263 102 264 44909 43034 56 281 64 271 75 269 89 269 101 263 43034 41298 64 270 73 274 82 271 97 272 104 265 41298 39695 68 263 77 268 91 272 102 268 107 264 39695 38211 67 270 80 266 94 268 102 265 105 263 38211 36829 75 279 82 268 93 270 104 267 105 264 36829 35503 83 278 86 267 97 273 107 267 110 265 35503 34165 87 271 88 263 97 268 107 266 110 263 34165 32781 88 268 91 264 96 264 106 266 107 263 32781 31351 88 268 94 266 95 263 106 267 103 264 31351 29863 90 269 95 265 95 262 103 267 91 270 29863 28302 92 274 96 266 95 262 96 268 85 276 28302 26666 93 279 95 270 92 266 89 271 82 274 26666 24950 90 280 91 273 80 272 81 273 79 270 24950 23153 80 280 75 277 68 277 73 276 76 268 23153 21279 62 283 58 276 60 277 67 278 71 270 21279 19326 55 287 48 280 53 279 62 279 64 274 19326 17289 59 283 43 286 50 276 56 280 59 277 17289 15210 40 265 42 288 40 273 48 280 52 282 15210 13208 29 255 38 267 32 280 42 280 44 289 13208 11393 30 242 35 250 35 284 38 292 44 307 11393 9786 25 224 30 252 37 287 36 314 45 317 9786 8363 17 225 26 260 34 311 36 324 42 329 8363 7111 18 256 20 285 24 333 33 334 37 348 7111 6009 23 282 16 333 29 359 30 346 29 356 6009 5036 25 296 32 023 26*358 27 351 24 354 5036 4179 30 297 37*024 22*355 25 351 22 353 4179 3420 35 295 33*018 22 354 25 350 21 352 3420 2741 36 291 30 012 22 354 25 350 20 353 2741 2141 33 286 29 010 22 354 25 350 18 355 2141 1640 26 279 28 009 22 354 23 349 17 359 1640 1256 19 266 28 009 21 354 21 349 15 001 1256 992 13*258 26 008 20 354 17 349 12 360 992 831 12*258 24 008 19 354 14*348 9 354 831 740 9 257 20 008 16 354 8*347 5*340 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography