DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1010z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.7 - - 74.0 - - 82.2 - - 85.6 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 65 - - 6 - - 171 - - 26 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 700 - - 747 - - 3254 - - 4316 - - 70 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 713 - - 2567 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 1360 - - 1407 - - 3914 - - 4976 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1184 - - 2347 - - 2034 - - 2895 - - 1314 Hgt.Variab. W* 148 - - 75 - - 347 - - 214 - - 11 W* B/S 4 - - 3 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 207 - - 190 - - 182 - - 160 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - -4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 346 - - 46 - - 452 - - 230 - - -1429 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1014 - - 1362 - - 3462 - - 4747 - - 2159 sfcLCL ODpotential 126 - - -889 - - -1184 - - -764 - - -3761 ODpotential blCL 1234 - - 2296 - - 5098 - - 5740 - - 4491 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 87 - - 89 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 820 - - 1420 - - 1830 - - 1840 - - 1860 CAPE Temp@2m 71.7 - - 74.0 - - 82.2 - - 85.6 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.3 - - 70.1 - - 69.2 - - 67.1 - - 69.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.1 - - 74.0 - - 81.2 - - 85.3 - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.9 - - 69.7 - - 68.3 - - 66.5 - - 69.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 65 - - 6 - - 171 - - 26 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 700 - - 747 - - 3254 - - 4316 - - 70 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 80 - - 48 - - 56 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 16 - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98183 5 146 12 172 6 159 10 241 6 031 98183 90780 8 090 12 145 6 150 7 112 4 045 90780 85054 8 105 8 116 6 144 9 067 2 155 85054 80325 10 115 5 084 7 124 5 060 4 142 80325 76277 8 104 5 082 6 083 4 091 4 079 76277 72714 5 084 5 078 6 026 7 100 4 031 72714 69509 3 067 5 071 4 014 7 079 3 053 69509 66586 2 221 4 041 3 067 5 048 6 082 66586 63891 5 219 2 305 5 014 2 057 3 035 63891 61302 7 217 10 226 9 297 2 026 1 212 61302 58611 8 216 17 216 20 232 15 262 7 245 58611 55810 13 237 19 229 25 214 25 233 19 231 55810 53129 23 242 26 242 26 231 30 235 23 226 53129 50702 29 237 31 236 28 238 30 235 24 228 50702 48520 31 235 31 233 28 241 23 242 26 226 48520 46540 28 234 30 234 26 235 19 251 24 219 46540 44733 24 234 28 228 20 231 13 253 15 206 44733 43073 22 221 20 220 12 243 8 282 7 189 43073 41527 15 209 14 211 8 254 10 302 4 113 41527 40070 11 224 6 183 5 249 9 309 6 018 40070 38692 8 245 7 065 2 103 10 313 11 012 38692 37355 8 253 2 093 5 101 8 298 10 012 37355 35989 6 246 6 200 8 189 7 239 4 172 35989 34562 4 231 11 185 11 187 7 196 17 166 34562 33078 2 145 13 166 13 184 8 175 13 160 33078 31522 5 149 13 171 10 186 9 161 9 175 31522 29882 4 157 11 170 7 175 8 148 7 219 29882 28156 2 116 9 148 7 160 6 145 8 247 28156 26347 1 027 6 149 6 172 5 151 7 258 26347 24455 2 291 3 193 5 243 2 170 6 261 24455 22486 5 235 5 248 7 278 2 324 3 237 22486 20434 4 227 5 241 6 263 4 328 1 138 20434 18299 3 258 3 220 4 212 5 299 5 025 18299 16127 1 226 2 191 4 197 4 286 6 014 16127 14035 1 099 3 168 2 197 4 272 4 297 14035 12133 2 091 2 203 2 181 5 225 8 260 12133 10444 3 236 5 254 3 219 4 217 7 249 10444 8942 10 223 7 245 3 226 4 230 2 235 8942 7604 11 199 6 212 5 189 6 224 1 150 7604 6414 11 198 7 198 7 192 6 204 2 192 6414 5361 12 206 8 199 8 203 7*181 3 175 5361 4433 14 204 9 201 8*199 9*166 6 156 4433 3615 15 204 9 208 8*193 10 164 11 153 3615 2883 15 206 8 212 8 186 10 160 12 150 2883 2237 13 206 8 208 7 183 10 159 12 147 2237 1698 10*207 7*200 7 179 10 157 12 144 1698 1285 8*207 6*193 7 177 10 156 12 142 1285 1001 8 207 6 190 7 174 10 155 10 139 1001 828 7 206 5 188 7 174 10 155 9*136 828 730 6 207 4 187 6 173 9 155 4*126 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography