DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.6 - - 89.7 - - 87.2 - - 80.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 239 - - 20 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3865 - - 3544 - - 2304 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3224 - - 2908 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4525 - - 4204 - - 2964 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 902 - - 1127 - - 1799 - - 1914 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 430 - - 393 - - 166 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 182 - - 179 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -5 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1050 - - -1345 - - -1461 - - -1505 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5576 - - 5550 - - 4425 - - 2248 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4828 - - -5084 - - -5691 - - -6735 ODpotential blCL - - - 9353 - - 9288 - - 8655 - - 7478 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 64 - - 64 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 1330 - - 1890 - - 2540 - - 2690 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.6 - - 89.7 - - 87.2 - - 80.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.5 - - 67.6 - - 70.0 - - 72.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.8 - - 88.1 - - 87.2 - - 81.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 66.7 - - 69.5 - - 72.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 239 - - 20 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3865 - - 3544 - - 2304 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98467 11 205 8 197 7 300 10 342 98467 90953 6 146 3 146 3 341 4 037 90953 85164 8 120 4 117 4 054 8 031 85164 80385 15 090 11 131 6 094 7 045 80385 76305 13 055 13 101 7 093 9 062 76305 72727 5 045 12 054 8 082 8 075 72727 69521 11 066 13 050 10 060 8 087 69521 66600 10 047 7 057 10 020 14 057 66600 63912 8 070 9 061 3 354 11 000 63912 61324 9 015 9 027 2 091 3 318 61324 58605 10 306 7 312 9 348 3 017 58605 55757 22 257 17 280 18 295 14 312 55757 53047 29 245 26 257 27 262 27 272 53047 50619 29 252 32 258 32 251 30 258 50619 48438 34 263 35 256 32 254 32 255 48438 46456 38 262 38 252 34 257 33 252 46456 44639 40 258 40 249 37 254 35 249 44639 42959 41 256 41 243 40 250 38 246 42959 41389 40 254 42 238 40 246 37 245 41389 39912 38 250 50 235 42 242 36 241 39912 38516 36 244 58 235 45 238 35 240 38516 37164 36 242 56 238 49 236 35 240 37164 35787 37 242 44 238 47 240 31 239 35787 34356 36 243 38 232 36 241 26 235 34356 32872 31 248 41 231 33 233 24 231 32872 31319 26 258 37 231 31 232 24 233 31319 29688 19 256 28 232 21 230 23 241 29688 27980 7 227 23 234 15 231 17 247 27980 26191 7 172 16 236 10 233 8 231 26191 24322 6 157 4 236 3 134 4 184 24322 22379 3 128 1 179 9 097 9 097 22379 20361 6 190 5 216 1 076 6 056 20361 18259 11 253 11 251 8 299 8 344 18259 16114 18 257 18 268 12 300 10 325 16114 14047 13 234 21 274 11 320 6 352 14047 12163 7 197 14 285 9 340 8 015 12163 10482 5 166 9 306 5 354 7 053 10482 8981 7 156 3 315 1 026 5 138 8981 7640 10 183 2 207 4 159 6 148 7640 6445 10 210 6 196 9 175 7 156 6445 5388 12*224 8 209 12 178 12 180 5388 4460 11*202 10*193 14 174 17 176 4460 3641 11 192 11*187 16*173 20 169 3641 2908 12 188 12 182 16*175 21 169 2908 2259 12 187 13 181 16 178 21 173 2259 1717 12 185 13 181 16 179 20 180 1717 1302 11 185 13 181 15 181 17 185 1302 1016 11 184 12 181 15 181 14 186 1016 843 11 184 12 181 13 182 11 186 843 743 10 183 11 181 11 182 5*184 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography