DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 66.4 - - 63.9 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 304 - - 9 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2960 - - 3450 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2589 - - 2906 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3620 - - 4110 - - 742 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1072 - - 1372 - - 4462 - - 587 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 414 - - 413 - - 41 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 19 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 052 - - 037 - - 034 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -13 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2747 - - -2620 - - -4641 - - -2723 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6367 - - 6731 - - 5383 - - 3464 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11620 - - -9544 - - -10859 - - -9812 ODpotential blCL - - - 15240 - - 13654 - - 11601 - - 10553 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 83 - - 54 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 66.4 - - 63.9 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.2 - - 39.8 - - 43.3 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 64.8 - - 63.7 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.0 - - 38.8 - - 42.8 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 304 - - 9 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2960 - - 3450 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97104 44 259 42 266 47 277 48 281 97104 89798 27 275 29 257 37 274 39 283 89798 84182 19 281 22 259 25 279 23 290 84182 79516 17 267 19 284 19 297 16 316 79516 75499 11 234 15 282 15 291 18 306 75499 71977 10 329 11 288 10 276 13 290 71977 68811 16 318 15 319 10 319 10 313 68811 65915 19 305 18 299 15 306 13 313 65915 63244 17 306 20 280 23 297 21 319 63244 60670 22 311 27 297 32 294 31 298 60670 57986 33 284 32 298 36 293 36 286 57986 55177 35 275 36 287 37 283 37 280 55177 52452 36 275 40 276 40 276 41 282 52452 49959 44 276 44 273 45 276 47 281 49959 47697 47 274 48 271 48 277 49 280 47697 45640 48 274 53 267 50 275 52 279 45640 43782 53 277 58 266 58 271 58 272 43782 42101 77 266 69 260 73 258 70 260 42101 40563 100 246 94 244 95 239 86 240 40563 39130 96 245 93 233 92 228 89 224 39130 37774 87 248 88 234 84 226 80 220 37774 36456 70 248 83 236 80 229 77 218 36456 35107 69 251 74 240 78 229 77 220 35107 33700 64 257 71 245 77 233 68 224 33700 32239 57 260 61 247 70 241 63 225 32239 30713 50 263 55 251 61 249 58 237 30713 29108 44 259 51 257 56 253 55 248 29108 27422 43 257 48 263 48 264 52 252 27422 25650 45 260 44 264 41 274 45 264 25650 23802 41 269 43 266 35 275 29 278 23802 21881 26 281 37 274 27 279 20 285 21881 19879 22 280 30 286 19 294 12 303 19879 17792 22 290 22 311 9 316 6 311 17792 15662 16 291 18 319 10 336 6 347 15662 13608 13 302 16 318 13 358 12 018 13608 11741 12 324 16 331 15 357 17 015 11741 10084 18 004 15 003 16 004 17 018 10084 8615 35 026 20 035 15 031 16 039 8615 7316 43 030 30 041 23 046 21 051 7316 6167 42 033 35 039 29 043 26 051 6167 5157 39 041 33 039 28 037 24 047 5157 4272 34*050 25*039 24 032 21 042 4272 3492 25*053 21*038 22 029 20 036 3492 2795 20 052 20 038 21 030 21 034 2795 2178 18 051 20 037 19 032 22 034 2178 1664 17 051 19 037 18 033 22 034 1664 1270 17 051 19 037 17 034 21 033 1270 999 16 050 18 037 16 034 16 029 999 835 15 050 17 037 14*034 13 028 835 741 13 050 15 036 11*034 6*024 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography