DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 76.1 - - - - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 43 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1935 - - 2127 - - - - - 739 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 727 - - 726 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2595 - - 2787 - - - - - 1399 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2768 - - 3423 - - - - - 1379 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 169 - - 198 - - - - - 70 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 19 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 120 - - 150 - - - - - 065 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -1 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 705 - - 319 - - - - - 581 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1890 - - 2468 - - - - - 818 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 161 - - -345 - - - - - 146 ODpotential blCL - - - 2434 - - 3132 - - - - - 1253 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1390 - - 1620 - - - - - 1170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 76.1 - - - - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.0 - - 67.5 - - - - - 68.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 75.7 - - - - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 66.7 - - - - - 67.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 43 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1935 - - 2127 - - - - - 739 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 85 - - - - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97983 11 146 11 146 6 046 97983 90603 10 096 3 169 2 008 90603 84947 8 086 8 076 6 086 84947 80263 7 108 10 067 12 083 80263 76211 6 108 6 127 12 068 76211 72603 3 086 6 162 8 062 72603 69333 5 167 4 212 5 111 69333 66342 3 173 8 224 5 215 66342 63586 8 195 14 217 6 228 63586 60921 15 225 17 216 13 264 60921 58129 16 218 22 243 21 280 58129 55225 33 234 39 231 34 231 55225 52456 39 214 36 213 37 215 52456 49977 33 219 28 231 29 225 49977 47771 38 236 42 248 34 238 47771 45786 52 241 55 238 43 233 45786 43983 72 225 76 205 44 222 43983 42326 88 209 82 200 44 211 42326 40788 86 205 77 196 43 207 40788 39346 83 209 71 199 44 205 39346 37980 78 210 68 203 45 203 37980 36653 71 213 66 207 47 203 36653 35299 59 221 61 213 49 206 35299 33888 51 216 52 217 45 212 33888 32424 41 205 43 214 38 212 32424 30895 32 196 36 212 28 201 30895 29284 30 198 33 213 24 200 29284 27594 41 225 31 219 19 206 27594 25824 41 243 27 235 17 213 25824 23973 27 242 26 229 19 219 23973 22046 18 215 16 228 19 230 22046 20039 16 200 13 205 19 242 20039 17948 13 196 13 197 20 241 17948 15817 15 195 12 203 22 244 15817 13766 11 187 15 192 21 253 13766 11903 10 163 12 196 20 263 11903 10247 9 154 10 184 19 264 10247 8773 12 148 10 175 17 263 8773 7461 13 150 9 171 11 268 7461 6296 12 156 7 169 3 330 6296 5265 10 156 6 175 5 067 5265 4358 8 151 4 176 6 099 4358 3558 6 141 3 176 6 100 3558 2843 5*135 2*174 7 076 2843 2212 5*130 2*166 7 064 2212 1687 4 122 2 156 7*064 1687 1284 4 116 2 146 7*064 1284 1007 4 113 2 139 6 066 1007 839 4 114 2 139 6 066 839 743 3 112 2 133 5 067 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography