DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 66.8 - - 62.6 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 113 - - -8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1336 - - 1706 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1157 - - 1153 - - 725 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1996 - - 2366 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 465 - - 630 - - 1661 - - 1621 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 236 - - 17 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 115 - - 120 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -972 - - -2445 - - -2630 - - -1708 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2968 - - 4811 - - 3372 - - 2451 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8128 - - -8773 - - -9967 - - -8570 ODpotential blCL - - - 10124 - - 11139 - - 10709 - - 9312 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 180 - - 520 - - 1100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 66.8 - - 62.6 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.0 - - 48.6 - - 50.6 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 66.0 - - 63.3 - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 48.1 - - 50.4 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 113 - - -8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1336 - - 1706 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 78 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96497 26 265 27 266 36 271 39 279 96497 89315 20 269 15 273 17 286 17 262 89315 83827 13 281 15 271 19 270 11 258 83827 79279 13 256 19 262 19 291 9 274 79279 75352 9 270 12 235 17 288 6 271 75352 71880 5 329 7 259 10 282 4 270 71880 68743 5 256 7 292 6 264 7 287 68743 65882 9 300 5 271 4 232 8 274 65882 63230 15 267 9 256 9 278 7 260 63230 60655 15 244 13 275 20 260 16 247 60655 57970 29 249 27 262 22 252 26 253 57970 55176 40 248 38 258 37 246 44 244 55176 52487 52 247 45 254 42 254 51 251 52487 50053 61 252 57 255 58 259 57 259 50053 47869 70 254 66 252 68 256 62 256 47869 45880 73 253 70 250 71 253 64 250 45880 44051 70 257 70 253 71 251 66 244 44051 42358 62 261 65 254 68 248 66 243 42358 40788 56 261 59 251 62 246 63 242 40788 39325 54 259 57 249 59 245 60 243 39325 37955 54 257 58 248 58 245 60 245 37955 36630 54 256 60 247 58 245 62 244 36630 35282 56 255 63 246 59 245 65 241 35282 33879 57 253 65 245 60 246 68 240 33879 32423 59 249 66 246 62 247 67 241 32423 30897 59 246 65 247 64 247 63 244 30897 29292 53 246 61 247 62 248 58 247 29292 27608 43 250 51 248 57 248 54 249 27608 25844 36 250 41 250 52 250 53 250 25844 23999 28 247 36 247 48 252 51 249 23999 22076 27 242 34 242 45 251 47 247 22076 20071 28 237 35 241 39 246 43 245 20071 17978 26 242 35 249 36 244 41 240 17978 15843 25 248 33 260 34 246 41 239 15843 13782 21 235 24 267 28 249 38 237 13782 11904 15 231 25 254 24 244 32 230 11904 10230 13 234 22 242 26 230 30 213 10230 8739 13 240 14 230 18 222 26 204 8739 7416 14 249 16 217 17 215 20 197 7416 6247 14 252 14 209 18 209 22 195 6247 5213 11 249 9 192 17 195 21 190 5213 4306 4 215 11 170 16 182 23 187 4306 3511 3 165 12 148 16 167 20 181 3511 2805 8 104 10*129 15 138 19 160 2805 2185 8*100 9*119 14 127 22 142 2185 1669 8*098 9 117 13 127 21 133 1669 1273 8 097 8 114 13 126 18 130 1273 1001 7 095 8 113 12 124 14 129 1001 836 7 095 8 112 10*123 12 129 836 742 6 095 7 112 6*120 8*128 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography