DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.3 - - 69.2 - - 64.9 - - 59.3 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 73 - - 58 - - -54 - - -75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 572 - - 2534 - - 2337 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 1602 - - 1121 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1232 - - 3194 - - 2997 - - 742 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 835 - - 1239 - - 1643 - - 3769 - - 3047 Hgt.Variab. W* 114 - - 251 - - 227 - - 36 - - 36 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 28 - - 15 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 274 - - 002 - - 009 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -13 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -462 - - 1064 - - 1273 - - -1768 - - -1593 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1694 - - 2130 - - 1724 - - 2510 - - 2334 sfcLCL ODpotential -6802 - - 358 - - 498 - - -2971 - - -7571 ODpotential blCL 8034 - - 2836 - - 2499 - - 3713 - - 8312 blCL maxRH 81 - - 92 - - 100 - - 71 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 430 - - 280 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.3 - - 69.2 - - 64.9 - - 59.3 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 61.1 - - 62.1 - - 59.8 - - 51.1 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.2 - - 68.6 - - 64.7 - - 60.7 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.0 - - 60.8 - - 58.8 - - 50.3 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 73 - - 58 - - -54 - - -75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 572 - - 2534 - - 2337 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 68 - - 101 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96648 20 227 28 274 36 257 38 280 34 282 96648 89343 24 253 23 266 25 258 25 274 29 280 89343 83805 28 259 18 247 19 271 19 278 22 270 83805 79241 13 269 22 239 15 284 21 285 22 271 79241 75333 7 291 15 240 18 258 18 270 17 279 75333 71874 15 280 11 264 12 254 13 263 11 299 71874 68724 15 279 17 270 19 274 21 267 21 275 68724 65845 9 268 19 271 23 255 22 257 26 270 65845 63191 9 222 22 275 14 262 24 255 33 261 63191 60610 19 266 27 264 28 261 39 257 36 258 60610 57887 26 235 23 231 48 253 50 248 45 260 57887 55045 39 209 53 241 63 247 59 250 52 254 55045 52332 60 235 76 244 72 236 60 251 52 250 52332 49883 73 240 86 237 74 237 63 243 52 248 49883 47665 83 234 87 231 76 237 59 239 56 257 47665 45641 84 228 80 230 67 229 48 241 64 261 45641 43796 75 227 71 227 54 226 41 248 54 270 43796 42107 65 225 65 221 45 231 33 246 58 285 42107 40546 61 224 59 215 42 226 27 260 57 282 40546 39092 65 221 57 209 38 226 20 309 41 282 39092 37727 72 219 59 208 36 219 21 318 32 313 37727 36406 78 216 63 209 36 208 29 339 35 326 36406 35058 80 214 68 209 33 211 45 359 44 319 35058 33650 81 214 75 208 27 218 53 005 52 318 33650 32184 79 214 81 205 22 230 54 007 57 320 32184 30646 76 213 84 201 18 250 53 004 57 319 30646 29027 74 212 82 198 17 266 55 358 55 317 29027 27329 72 210 82 199 22 243 55 355 51 317 27329 25553 68 210 77 199 35 216 52 354 47 320 25553 23703 63 213 69 200 41 204 36 345 42 327 23703 21781 56 216 60 202 36 201 23 320 41 337 21781 19777 50 218 54 203 30 207 17 314 47 333 19777 17687 47 221 46 206 21 220 15 318 45 334 17687 15557 44 228 31 222 13 272 18 322 36 335 15557 13505 39 239 23 239 16 296 19 304 24 324 13505 11641 36 255 20 260 12 296 22 303 26 334 11641 9989 36 264 14 267 9 348 22 309 27 343 9989 8529 30 277 9 305 9 353 19 319 23 345 8529 7237 19 275 12 329 10 350 20 006 33 358 7237 6096 13 256 17 328 12 349 32 022 38 009 6096 5092 15 267 15 322 19 357 38 012 39 012 5092 4215 17 260 8 306 25 001 41 005 43 011 4215 3447 18 233 5*276 30*003 41 006 46 010 3447 2762 14 201 5*273 31*003 40 007 45 009 2762 2155 14 184 5 272 31 002 38 009 43 008 2155 1650 11 194 5 274 30 002 34 010 39 006 1650 1262 9*223 5 275 28 001 30 010 33 004 1262 996 8*238 4 276 26 001 25 010 27 002 996 833 7 240 4 276 24 000 21*010 23*001 833 741 6 241 4 276 18 360 15*009 16*001 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography