DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.5 - - 63.2 - - - - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 249 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1818 - - 2348 - - - - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1707 - - 2009 - - - - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2478 - - 3008 - - - - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 770 - - 749 - - - - - 181 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 339 - - 338 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 343 - - 350 - - - - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2823 - - -3525 - - - - - -2791 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5301 - - 6533 - - - - - 3532 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13559 - - -13559 - - - - - -15214 ODpotential blCL - - - 16037 - - 16567 - - - - - 15955 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 51 - - - - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.5 - - 63.2 - - - - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.4 - - 37.6 - - - - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 61.7 - - - - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.0 - - 37.3 - - - - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 249 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1818 - - 2348 - - - - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96199 10 038 15 053 13 042 96199 89160 20 050 17 066 20 062 89160 83712 16 095 12 089 18 083 83712 79166 17 078 12 102 20 077 79166 75225 10 073 12 070 13 064 75225 71735 6 077 13 011 10 032 71735 68596 1 278 14 302 12 338 68596 65737 9 288 15 269 18 281 65737 63101 26 299 18 292 19 269 63101 60553 40 292 33 300 29 304 60553 57912 54 279 52 283 54 295 57912 55193 65 266 63 274 60 278 55193 52584 62 262 61 272 52 280 52584 50189 65 275 64 283 54 291 50189 48008 83 288 79 287 70 285 48008 46021 92 281 94 279 93 278 46021 44210 104 276 116 274 109 275 44210 42541 107 277 122 275 113 274 42541 40982 99 275 103 277 110 273 40982 39517 81 277 86 274 98 273 39517 38132 71 287 67 277 82 273 38132 36792 66 294 61 282 66 270 36792 35428 65 293 62 278 65 265 35428 34006 67 289 64 275 61 263 34006 32530 68 289 64 277 57 264 32530 30986 62 291 64 283 55 265 30986 29362 57 295 65 287 55 266 29362 27658 55 295 62 288 56 270 27658 25873 52 294 55 288 53 275 25873 24009 56 289 50 289 48 280 24009 22069 54 286 47 290 42 282 22069 20044 45 293 41 291 39 284 20044 17926 40 309 38 291 36 289 17926 15763 26 297 25 294 30 295 15763 13682 11 274 18 275 24 299 13682 11796 7 284 12 273 21 295 11796 10127 8 298 8 306 13 305 10127 8651 8 303 6 326 8 311 8651 7341 7 311 5 326 7 310 7341 6181 9 312 5 347 4 308 6181 5157 9 327 6 014 3 280 5157 4263 9 013 8 019 3 086 4263 3480 12 020 11*352 10 074 3480 2784 11*005 11*349 11 058 2784 2171 10*347 11 349 10 045 2171 1659 10 344 11 349 10 039 1659 1267 10 342 11 350 9 028 1267 997 9 341 11 351 7 008 997 834 9 341 10 350 5*349 834 741 8 340 9 350 4*339 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography