DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 59.9 - - 50.8 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 260 - - 157 - - -38 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1819 - - 1594 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1642 - - 1279 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2479 - - 2254 - - 741 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 626 - - 684 - - 320 - - 170 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 315 - - 255 - - 0 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 18 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 189 - - 173 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -5 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7442 - - -5418 - - -3533 - - -3631 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9922 - - 7672 - - 4274 - - 4371 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -20578 - - -17492 - - -16674 - - -18019 ODpotential blCL - - - 23057 - - 19746 - - 17415 - - 18759 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 41 - - 46 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 59.9 - - 50.8 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.7 - - 29.5 - - 35.2 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 59.0 - - 53.4 - - 49.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.7 - - 29.5 - - 35.1 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 260 - - 157 - - -38 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1819 - - 1594 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96527 29 251 31 260 31 255 32 261 96527 89350 11 255 16 224 23 255 30 278 89350 83807 16 262 16 209 17 255 15 251 83807 79201 17 229 16 266 13 262 7 231 79201 75239 12 205 12 267 9 236 10 236 75239 71723 16 242 12 278 4 255 7 204 71723 68518 27 236 20 256 18 254 18 278 68518 65600 17 213 26 237 29 241 28 265 65600 62943 20 250 26 241 24 249 22 249 62943 60379 34 263 31 271 28 286 25 272 60379 57709 36 274 36 277 34 272 41 270 57709 54952 41 270 32 274 35 273 41 263 54952 52316 35 283 26 271 32 277 33 266 52316 49921 45 298 31 288 36 285 39 279 49921 47760 54 288 41 284 39 280 45 286 47760 45808 50 278 44 274 42 279 44 283 45808 44033 34 286 38 270 41 268 40 269 44033 42393 31 310 31 280 34 260 28 256 42393 40859 42 318 35 291 24 299 20 267 40859 39417 47 314 41 297 28 316 21 274 39417 38055 48 312 42 293 28 312 23 273 38055 36733 47 310 42 289 27 298 25 258 36733 35382 45 305 42 290 31 285 31 254 35382 33972 42 299 41 294 37 279 35 261 33972 32508 37 292 39 291 39 273 36 269 32508 30975 35 285 39 286 40 270 37 274 30975 29360 35 282 42 284 42 272 36 275 29360 27665 37 286 43 279 42 278 35 279 27665 25887 39 288 42 280 40 283 36 286 25887 24028 39 287 36 281 37 283 34 296 24028 22092 38 289 31 282 33 282 33 302 22092 20074 35 294 29 285 30 285 31 298 20074 17968 32 293 28 286 27 290 29 284 17968 15819 30 290 25 289 25 291 28 279 15819 13746 29 286 24 292 24 290 27 278 13746 11858 30 279 26 281 22 289 26 277 11858 10180 25 280 26 266 25 272 24 274 10180 8692 25 278 23 256 27 250 22 266 8692 7369 29 261 22 255 24 241 22 254 7369 6198 31 250 28 252 25 247 24 254 6198 5163 26 240 34 242 30 248 29 250 5163 4260 18 223 31 230 33 235 34 238 4260 3472 13 203 25 208 31 217 39 224 3472 2774 13*185 22*191 31 200 38 207 2774 2161 13*181 20*188 30 192 38 196 2161 1651 13 181 19 188 28 188 36 192 1651 1261 13 181 19 188 25 185 30 184 1261 993 12 181 18 189 19 180 21 175 993 832 12 181 16 189 15*177 18 173 832 740 10 181 14 189 7*173 8*169 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography