DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 74.9 - - 71.7 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 253 - - -14 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2586 - - 3517 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2267 - - 2881 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3246 - - 4177 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 552 - - 752 - - 4479 - - 206 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 379 - - 390 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 20 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 187 - - 203 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -329 - - -455 - - -2290 - - -747 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3575 - - 4633 - - 3034 - - 1489 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5037 - - -5160 - - -3156 - - -3756 ODpotential blCL - - - 8283 - - 9337 - - 3899 - - 4498 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 79 - - 89 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 170 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 74.9 - - 71.7 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.1 - - 57.1 - - 60.9 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 73.4 - - 72.3 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 56.9 - - 60.8 - - 60.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 318 - - 253 - - -14 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2586 - - 3517 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 14 - - 55 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96484 23 234 20 247 25 258 23 278 96484 89273 17 248 22 237 24 274 17 288 89273 83761 15 257 14 249 12 255 4 229 83761 79153 14 255 11 259 16 264 12 268 79153 75170 11 246 10 252 16 264 18 292 75170 71693 12 302 10 302 7 278 8 300 71693 68555 20 306 24 316 20 315 19 322 68555 65680 26 318 31 323 28 317 29 320 65680 63033 37 307 39 309 32 315 33 326 63033 60463 36 303 41 299 34 311 33 315 60463 57778 43 303 45 296 39 309 43 314 57778 54996 50 301 51 297 49 307 47 308 54996 52334 57 303 58 301 56 306 50 313 52334 49919 61 303 60 301 58 305 56 312 49919 47734 64 300 60 298 57 298 58 305 47734 45738 64 296 59 296 56 294 58 300 45738 43914 63 294 58 299 55 295 51 296 43914 42243 62 300 58 302 52 299 44 297 42243 40708 57 304 54 302 50 306 39 308 40708 39284 51 301 45 306 47 309 36 315 39284 37944 45 294 42 314 44 311 36 315 37944 36640 44 295 41 312 42 314 36 305 36640 35306 43 300 41 306 39 316 34 297 35306 33913 45 305 43 308 37 316 34 295 33913 32465 45 302 44 314 34 310 36 297 32465 30945 40 299 44 315 32 304 36 301 30945 29343 40 301 44 312 35 305 36 301 29343 27656 41 302 43 307 38 308 36 298 27656 25887 41 300 43 305 40 308 37 299 25887 24036 41 300 41 305 42 307 36 303 24036 22109 39 302 37 305 38 303 34 298 22109 20099 34 303 35 300 33 291 34 288 20099 18007 29 303 30 293 31 283 32 287 18007 15874 24 289 24 280 30 275 28 287 15874 13816 15 277 18 267 25 265 25 283 13816 11939 10 258 19 250 24 258 23 268 11939 10268 14 224 22 239 23 260 21 272 10268 8778 16 198 22 225 22 244 21 252 8778 7456 15 180 20 208 23 219 27 237 7456 6290 13 172 21 197 31 210 30 217 6290 5264 11 180 25 196 29 189 27 197 5264 4360 17 196 22*188 27 186 24 192 4360 3562 21*191 21*187 25 190 23 184 3562 2847 22*191 21 187 22 194 22 180 2847 2215 22 191 21 187 20 199 21 177 2215 1688 22 190 20 187 18 201 19 175 1688 1284 21 191 19 187 16 202 15 170 1284 1007 20 191 18 187 14 203 11 162 1007 838 19 191 17 187 12*203 7*151 838 742 16 191 15 188 9*203 5*138 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography