DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 40.2 - - 35.4 - - 31.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 44 - - -15 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1095 - - 1153 - - 80 - - 79 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 723 - - 724 - - 723 - - 723 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1755 - - 1813 - - 740 - - 739 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 530 - - 754 - - 1348 - - 1151 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 186 - - 156 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 338 - - 335 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 108 - - 83 - - -426 - - -232 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1648 - - 1730 - - 1166 - - 971 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7451 - - -4462 - - -5916 - - -6959 ODpotential blCL - - - 9206 - - 6275 - - 6656 - - 7698 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 87 - - 79 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 40.2 - - 35.4 - - 31.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.3 - - 35.7 - - 33.5 - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 39.9 - - 37.0 - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.0 - - 34.6 - - 33.1 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 44 - - -15 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1095 - - 1153 - - 80 - - 79 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 49 - - 14 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95878 45 249 49 237 50 262 61 250 95878 88708 51 258 54 258 52 276 50 261 88708 83251 40 257 51 265 48 277 39 269 83251 78698 31 269 41 260 40 272 36 271 78698 74739 28 275 33 266 39 274 36 282 74739 71236 28 290 32 271 40 282 40 289 71236 68078 30 290 35 276 39 277 43 290 68078 65175 32 282 32 282 43 286 40 275 65175 62465 35 280 39 295 50 282 50 299 62465 59850 41 278 48 284 49 280 74 292 59850 57134 51 278 52 285 55 287 66 281 57134 54281 61 280 61 284 69 282 59 280 54281 51517 67 273 68 276 62 272 62 294 51517 49015 68 267 60 272 58 278 74 302 49015 46766 66 273 65 282 65 289 89 301 46766 44719 75 278 73 283 81 293 99 294 44719 42840 87 277 80 282 84 289 97 288 42840 41113 95 275 85 279 80 284 78 286 41113 39515 106 271 92 276 76 284 57 296 39515 38023 108 267 107 271 75 281 58 310 38023 36626 109 267 115 267 73 277 63 311 36626 35286 113 268 111 264 65 278 58 310 35286 33936 117 268 98 263 60 282 55 310 33936 32547 115 270 85 266 54 291 53 311 32547 31124 106 270 78 273 52 298 55 315 31124 29652 96 271 79 280 55 301 54 312 29652 28113 82 279 71 284 58 302 55 311 28113 26501 68 287 63 288 61 303 61 310 26501 24811 61 292 56 290 60 304 60 307 24811 23039 57 295 55 299 55 309 54 306 23039 21187 49 300 54 307 53 313 50 312 21187 19249 45 300 51 309 49 314 49 320 19249 17222 41 303 46 309 47 318 49 322 17222 15150 41 308 42 309 47 321 49 324 15150 13155 40 315 41 320 47 322 49 329 13155 11350 42 326 43 330 44 331 51 335 11350 9755 45 336 43 337 48 342 52 338 9755 8341 41 346 45 342 47 347 51 338 8341 7084 32 350 39 342 43 348 48 339 7084 5967 26 345 34 340 40 343 39 343 5967 4978 23 348 28 338 39 350 33 343 4978 4112 23 356 22 342 35 358 25 005 4112 3354 23 005 17 358 21 356 21 010 3354 2682 20 009 14 359 13 352 19 006 2682 2095 16*000 12*347 12 352 20 018 2095 1609 13*350 11*342 12 351 19 020 1609 1238 12 348 10 339 12 348 17 018 1238 983 12 347 9 337 11 344 14 014 983 828 11 347 8 335 9*340 11 012 828 739 9 346 7 335 6*335 6*008 739 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography