DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.4 - - 63.7 - - 67.7 - - 65.2 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 87 - - 251 - - 262 - - 13 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1232 - - 3419 - - 3666 - - 2553 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 2835 - - 3023 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1892 - - 4079 - - 4326 - - 3213 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2272 - - 730 - - 874 - - 1264 - - 936 Hgt.Variab. W* 202 - - 395 - - 405 - - 148 - - 18 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 118 - - 161 - - 184 - - 185 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - 2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3341 - - -2173 - - -2228 - - -1487 - - -1831 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5233 - - 6252 - - 6555 - - 4701 - - 2573 sfcLCL ODpotential -12851 - - -11332 - - -9996 - - -8373 - - -9952 ODpotential blCL 14743 - - 15411 - - 14322 - - 11586 - - 10694 blCL maxRH 51 - - 64 - - 56 - - 66 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.4 - - 63.7 - - 67.7 - - 65.2 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.4 - - 39.2 - - 41.8 - - 47.3 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.8 - - 62.2 - - 66.1 - - 65.0 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.2 - - 37.9 - - 40.6 - - 46.6 - - 49.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 87 - - 251 - - 262 - - 13 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1232 - - 3419 - - 3666 - - 2553 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97905 10 227 14 246 8 308 5 270 7 049 97905 90452 4 227 3 253 7 208 8 263 11 337 90452 84717 3 309 1 287 6 191 5 266 4 310 84717 79961 2 267 3 236 7 223 10 284 6 321 79961 75871 6 280 6 312 7 199 10 250 8 272 75871 72269 15 322 7 298 5 304 5 270 9 268 72269 69036 17 304 13 276 15 281 15 307 12 291 69036 66082 21 292 19 287 17 288 20 297 17 303 66082 63350 29 292 29 287 27 287 29 292 34 303 63350 60720 36 297 36 291 36 288 37 293 39 290 60720 57971 45 288 44 289 44 292 41 293 40 289 57971 55097 50 279 50 286 54 290 51 293 50 295 55097 52336 54 279 59 281 65 284 61 289 61 293 52336 49844 60 283 65 276 68 278 64 286 66 292 49844 47612 69 285 67 277 67 280 65 286 67 291 47612 45599 74 282 66 278 63 282 66 285 66 289 45599 43771 71 279 63 278 61 282 61 283 64 291 43771 42098 68 277 60 278 57 280 53 284 60 292 42098 40551 64 285 53 282 48 281 46 288 53 290 40551 39107 65 290 48 290 42 285 40 286 41 289 39107 37749 71 288 43 291 38 286 34 288 35 292 37749 36434 69 286 36 293 32 284 31 292 31 292 36434 35094 56 290 34 295 27 285 30 288 28 293 35094 33700 45 297 33 293 27 290 28 282 29 292 33700 32255 42 303 32 292 28 293 26 283 30 291 32255 30742 40 303 31 292 29 294 25 290 28 290 30742 29148 37 302 30 293 28 294 24 294 24 294 29148 27474 35 303 28 295 27 295 22 295 21 296 27474 25719 32 311 26 295 25 295 20 293 17 299 25719 23883 32 315 22 296 23 295 18 287 15 297 23883 21969 28 316 22 298 21 291 17 281 14 290 21969 19968 24 310 21 302 19 291 18 279 15 278 19968 17877 25 311 20 306 17 295 15 287 14 282 17877 15743 23 315 18 310 14 303 17 295 13 298 15743 13692 18 305 16 295 15 313 15 309 11 297 13692 11828 18 296 17 285 18 307 16 320 9 297 11828 10166 15 301 14 283 18 289 17 308 9 290 10166 8684 12 302 11 271 14 273 13 280 12 258 8684 7366 12 283 11 259 13 244 17 249 15 253 7366 6200 7 272 9 257 13 236 16 237 15 245 6200 5176 4 208 6 225 11*211 15 214 18 225 5176 4282 5 167 8*172 11*186 17 192 22 209 4282 3497 5 145 9*166 11 184 17*186 25 198 3497 2798 8 118 9 164 12 183 17*185 27 192 2798 2182 11*119 9 162 12 184 16 185 28 188 2182 1666 10*119 9 160 12 183 16 185 28 186 1666 1271 8 118 9 159 11 183 15 185 26 185 1271 1000 8 118 8 158 11 183 14 184 20 183 1000 835 7 118 8 158 10 183 13 185 16*182 835 742 7 118 8 158 10 183 10 184 9*180 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography