DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 61.8 - - 58.3 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 139 - - 50 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1595 - - 1647 - - 1681 - - 1553 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1208 - - 1250 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2255 - - 2307 - - 2341 - - 2213 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 359 - - 511 - - 604 - - 768 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 245 - - 248 - - 177 - - 120 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 16 - - 20 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 356 - - 358 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - -8 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -515 - - -670 - - -149 - - -372 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2770 - - 2977 - - 2490 - - 2585 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9095 - - -8374 - - -8894 - - -9560 ODpotential blCL - - - 11350 - - 10681 - - 11235 - - 11773 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 760 - - 670 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 61.8 - - 58.3 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 51.3 - - 49.9 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.8 - - 61.0 - - 58.0 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 51.1 - - 49.8 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 139 - - 50 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1595 - - 1647 - - 1681 - - 1553 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98019 8 233 6 256 16 317 8 314 98019 90630 10 209 8 218 11 309 10 002 90630 84887 7 216 14 202 15 228 13 324 84887 80105 6 222 10 208 18 214 23 242 80105 76016 11 222 9 262 11 246 15 232 76016 72445 14 234 14 258 14 286 10 300 72445 69236 19 238 17 264 17 273 10 302 69236 66290 19 243 22 254 15 272 14 255 66290 63571 23 253 23 245 23 263 18 265 63571 60948 24 281 17 253 32 239 20 246 60948 58206 24 244 23 252 32 243 33 234 58206 55328 40 251 37 269 46 262 36 246 55328 52570 66 254 69 258 66 263 67 268 52570 50121 83 249 90 253 84 262 92 261 50121 47959 91 247 100 249 98 254 104 254 47959 46013 99 252 107 250 108 251 112 251 46013 44222 114 255 116 252 115 251 117 251 44222 42555 121 255 122 253 120 253 122 253 42555 40993 121 254 123 252 122 253 125 253 40993 39520 120 253 121 252 120 252 123 252 39520 38126 119 251 118 251 118 250 119 250 38126 36774 118 249 114 248 116 248 115 247 36774 35399 115 247 111 245 113 246 110 245 35399 33970 110 246 107 243 110 246 106 243 33970 32488 106 247 102 242 105 246 104 242 32488 30936 99 246 98 241 99 245 102 243 30936 29303 91 244 95 242 94 244 96 247 29303 27594 88 247 90 246 88 246 87 250 27594 25808 86 249 82 249 81 249 82 253 25808 23949 81 248 81 250 77 250 76 255 23949 22016 80 247 79 249 75 248 67 253 22016 20003 74 246 75 249 74 246 61 252 20003 17904 63 244 68 248 69 249 56 255 17904 15762 55 242 57 245 58 255 52 260 15762 13699 48 237 51 242 45 254 47 264 13699 11824 29 231 36 230 39 248 40 262 11824 10157 23 241 20 230 27 256 34 258 10157 8677 21 245 23 263 25 273 26 272 8677 7363 19 242 25 261 22 276 18 270 7363 6195 18 238 25 258 20 286 17 276 6195 5163 20 235 23 258 14 310 13 300 5163 4260 15 245 17 272 9 327 10 340 4260 3473 7 300 6 345 10 019 16 013 3473 2777 12*009 12*002 16*359 23*017 2777 2165 12*005 13*356 17*358 23*017 2165 1657 12 004 13 356 16 358 22 017 1657 1267 12 004 13 355 16 358 21 017 1267 998 11 003 12 356 15 358 18 016 998 835 11 003 12 356 14 358 16 016 835 742 9 002 10 355 11 358 12 016 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography