DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1336z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.4 - - 75.6 - - 74.9 - - 75.3 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 11 - - 15 - - 16 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 747 - - 672 - - 655 - - 644 - - 69 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1407 - - 1332 - - 1315 - - 1304 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2135 - - 1584 - - 1243 - - 1039 - - 890 Hgt.Variab. W* 81 - - 89 - - 95 - - 96 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 22 - - 21 - - 17 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 180 - - 173 - - 180 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 12 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 9 - - 2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 305 - - 583 - - 586 - - 575 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1102 - - 749 - - 729 - - 729 - - 729 sfcLCL ODpotential -529 - - -38 - - 133 - - 46 - - -3869 ODpotential blCL 1936 - - 1370 - - 1182 - - 1258 - - 4598 blCL maxRH 97 - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 2990 - - 3680 - - 3520 - - 3610 - - 3920 CAPE Temp@2m 75.4 - - 75.6 - - 74.9 - - 75.3 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.2 - - 73.7 - - 73.5 - - 73.7 - - 73.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.7 - - 75.6 - - 74.9 - - 75.2 - - 74.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.8 - - 73.5 - - 73.3 - - 73.4 - - 73.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 11 - - 15 - - 16 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 747 - - 672 - - 655 - - 644 - - 69 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 104 - - 102 - - 97 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 18 - - 18 - - 18 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97795 13 112 17 116 18 130 15 140 14 108 97795 90309 21 117 17 101 16 112 16 079 22 101 90309 84644 25 106 18 106 20 089 18 086 24 096 84644 79988 26 093 25 116 20 079 19 106 21 089 79988 75970 22 094 25 110 15 096 16 096 15 090 75970 72417 17 110 16 109 14 112 11 090 12 091 72417 69207 14 124 12 124 10 127 8 113 13 089 69207 66250 12 117 12 136 9 171 7 156 9 092 66250 63509 4 096 11 132 10 164 11 191 8 199 63509 60865 3 196 9 180 8 200 12 206 11 212 60865 58124 13 239 13 238 11 231 13 232 23 247 58124 55283 23 236 26 252 17 238 24 227 24 240 55283 52528 29 235 27 241 27 242 17 233 17 267 52528 50031 41 246 42 247 38 248 32 258 59 257 50031 47844 59 241 55 243 54 241 69 252 56 244 47844 45900 63 235 64 237 60 237 62 242 40 238 45900 44111 62 233 65 233 58 241 45 236 40 244 44111 42442 62 233 58 229 53 224 41 221 45 252 42442 40885 62 233 50 233 37 183 33 218 51 264 40885 39426 64 232 50 237 33 198 30 246 64 280 39426 38050 65 230 50 233 29 206 37 265 74 285 38050 36718 63 227 45 226 28 204 45 271 74 282 36718 35362 61 229 43 222 29 213 48 267 69 277 35362 33950 55 232 44 223 35 222 49 263 64 275 33950 32487 51 236 44 223 39 226 51 270 59 274 32487 30957 48 238 44 222 42 229 53 271 56 271 30957 29347 46 240 47 227 44 228 55 259 56 267 29347 27656 44 241 46 232 47 225 59 254 56 262 27656 25881 43 242 46 235 49 231 58 259 56 257 25881 24023 41 240 46 237 51 233 49 254 56 257 24023 22090 41 237 46 239 53 227 45 238 50 252 22090 20083 43 234 47 238 55 233 49 236 44 233 20083 17995 40 216 45 226 57 236 50 240 43 228 17995 15865 39 205 43 206 56 226 48 238 42 241 15865 13814 37 200 45 204 49 214 48 231 44 256 13814 11956 39 200 46 206 41 214 46 237 39 261 11956 10309 39 203 41 214 37 227 39 242 34 263 10309 8842 38 212 41 218 34 232 32 247 31 264 8842 7534 36 215 45 211 33 226 27 242 28 263 7534 6369 37 210 43 205 34 218 27 228 25 259 6369 5334 41 202 42 199 37 214 25 232 24 259 5334 4418 45 195 41 196 37 210 24 237 24 263 4418 3605 46 188 39 193 35 206 24 229 24 262 3605 2876 42 182 35 189 33 202 23 215 25 246 2876 2231 37 175 32 185 29 195 22 205 26 218 2231 1693 32*171 28*182 26*188 20*196 27 205 1693 1281 28*169 25*180 21*179 16*183 24 199 1281 998 24 168 22 180 18 172 14 180 17 194 998 827 21 167 20 180 16 169 13 179 14*192 827 729 15 166 13 179 12 166 10 177 8*190 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography