DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 89.2 - - 85.9 - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 234 - - -12 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3129 - - 3913 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2658 - - 3152 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3789 - - 4573 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1624 - - 1563 - - 4838 - - 448 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 398 - - 396 - - 23 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 061 - - 067 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2735 - - -3221 - - -6696 - - -5046 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6525 - - 7795 - - 7439 - - 5789 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5562 - - -6405 - - -10675 - - -10344 ODpotential blCL - - - 9351 - - 10978 - - 11418 - - 11087 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 88 - - 42 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 89.2 - - 85.9 - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.5 - - 57.7 - - 56.1 - - 57.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.6 - - 87.6 - - 86.8 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 57.2 - - 55.6 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 234 - - -12 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3129 - - 3913 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 51 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98485 23 134 13 150 6 133 10 084 98485 91073 21 135 18 125 13 119 15 099 91073 85355 16 116 14 109 17 104 16 104 85355 80610 16 106 9 110 15 100 13 106 80610 76533 14 092 11 123 8 101 9 092 76533 72944 8 073 11 107 6 118 11 070 72944 69701 5 095 11 092 8 111 8 075 69701 66732 4 145 10 111 5 089 7 082 66732 63998 1 184 9 114 1 109 7 063 63998 61386 1 039 4 078 5 158 3 130 61386 58699 5 305 8 284 4 290 2 027 58699 55942 5 273 8 298 13 277 14 267 55942 53346 17 276 16 273 26 263 25 255 53346 51008 11 270 12 281 16 265 21 252 51008 48880 36 305 28 305 29 312 39 299 48880 46924 60 290 58 300 63 295 63 286 46924 45113 69 282 56 282 62 283 65 279 45113 43427 73 279 61 274 60 274 61 274 43427 41847 61 278 44 273 50 272 53 267 41847 40358 29 256 37 265 44 283 41 262 40358 38948 26 253 36 257 43 286 40 268 38948 37577 26 259 31 248 35 274 39 274 37577 36178 28 258 33 249 39 267 38 269 36178 34721 25 258 38 249 43 264 40 262 34721 33211 27 252 40 252 41 261 37 265 33211 31634 31 250 37 255 35 257 32 269 31634 29975 27 250 33 256 31 257 32 258 29975 28235 26 247 29 254 30 259 31 249 28235 26413 27 239 28 253 30 259 31 242 26413 24510 26 234 28 253 31 257 31 241 24510 22528 22 236 25 248 28 248 28 245 22528 20462 18 232 19 233 24 244 23 250 20462 18312 12 233 13 235 14 230 18 260 18312 16121 4 213 8 228 8 247 12 275 16121 14016 5 211 6 246 6 293 6 307 14016 12110 6 109 3 119 1 004 3 344 12110 10422 10 081 10 090 6 103 2 122 10422 8921 8 065 10 070 5 070 3 062 8921 7587 8 053 9 056 5 034 4 038 7587 6402 7 028 8 039 6 035 4 046 6402 5353 4 002 6*035 8 063 6 087 5353 4431 3*290 7*054 9 080 11 122 4431 3618 1*213 7 058 10 081 13 121 3618 2890 2 173 8 060 10 078 15 118 2890 2246 2 161 8 061 10 075 16 116 2246 1709 2 155 8 063 10 072 17 114 1709 1296 3 152 8 063 9 069 16 113 1296 1013 3 148 8 065 9 068 13 111 1013 841 3 148 8 064 7 067 8 109 841 743 2 147 7 064 6*067 4*109 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography