DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.2 - - 47.0 - - 49.6 - - 42.8 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 183 - - 152 - - -11 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 984 - - 2156 - - 3291 - - 80 - - 1575 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1752 - - 2468 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1644 - - 2816 - - 3951 - - 740 - - 2235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1373 - - 652 - - 598 - - 2990 - - 1301 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 297 - - 321 - - 10 - - 109 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 14 - - 15 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 017 - - 358 - - 351 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 170 - - -299 - - 19 - - -1692 - - 257 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1474 - - 3115 - - 3932 - - 2432 - - 1979 sfcLCL ODpotential -169 - - -10363 - - -89 - - -1951 - - 120 ODpotential blCL 1813 - - 13179 - - 4040 - - 2691 - - 2115 blCL maxRH 100 - - 92 - - 92 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 130 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.2 - - 47.0 - - 49.6 - - 42.8 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.7 - - 36.2 - - 35.2 - - 35.1 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.3 - - 45.9 - - 48.7 - - 43.4 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.3 - - 36.1 - - 35.0 - - 35.1 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 183 - - 152 - - -11 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 984 - - 2156 - - 3291 - - 80 - - 1575 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 68 - - 68 - - 87 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96379 7 314 7 037 11 227 18 286 17 331 96379 89221 5 281 5 278 8 278 12 302 12 324 89221 83696 4 298 5 224 8 315 12 295 15 314 83696 79123 7 326 10 320 7 348 6 285 8 290 79123 75176 9 329 11 316 13 352 4 330 7 288 75176 71671 13 304 11 306 20 323 14 313 17 311 71671 68521 20 285 14 289 18 301 18 297 20 305 68521 65642 22 285 24 272 25 291 21 277 17 270 65642 62958 25 252 31 252 27 262 22 272 19 266 62958 60340 28 278 33 266 32 267 25 287 27 261 60340 57599 46 279 51 271 43 272 39 287 29 271 57599 54741 64 255 72 258 61 264 54 269 46 272 54741 52029 66 256 80 256 74 264 72 266 62 266 52029 49617 84 253 94 249 89 254 87 255 76 260 49617 47462 87 243 95 242 95 242 90 246 83 252 47462 45506 83 251 81 242 80 235 79 246 87 250 45506 43713 99 260 85 259 74 257 85 251 90 247 43713 42060 114 256 112 263 93 265 94 253 92 246 42060 40527 116 252 117 255 105 254 101 250 99 241 40527 39090 114 250 113 252 106 253 106 246 109 238 39090 37726 115 248 111 248 107 252 107 243 106 241 37726 36399 115 247 101 244 108 252 104 243 103 243 36399 35041 111 247 98 242 108 250 100 247 104 242 35041 33624 105 248 99 243 105 245 97 244 100 242 33624 32151 101 248 99 245 97 239 91 239 93 241 32151 30608 97 245 100 246 91 240 95 245 93 241 30608 28977 90 240 102 250 91 247 102 256 97 247 28977 27266 88 236 99 252 91 255 97 262 100 261 27266 25476 90 253 91 252 82 253 85 260 88 262 25476 23605 80 252 86 247 78 246 74 252 77 255 23605 21666 76 244 82 243 78 245 72 251 69 254 21666 19655 66 241 70 245 76 249 68 256 58 257 19655 17563 53 233 59 246 64 250 63 259 56 260 17563 15425 44 233 52 244 55 247 58 259 56 260 15425 13364 38 242 44 246 51 252 55 262 54 261 13364 11495 36 250 40 249 46 264 52 263 52 261 11495 9846 36 245 36 255 31 268 42 271 49 267 9846 8396 32 226 26 275 19 282 28 284 35 274 8396 7117 26 221 19 274 19 301 16 317 26 294 7117 5986 15 224 12 274 12 310 11 334 14 307 5986 4990 5 321 10 350 10 354 10 340 5 272 4990 4122 16 049 12 041 14*358 9 009 7 317 4122 3370 25 053 14*045 15*358 14 008 9 356 3370 2702 25 042 14*023 15 358 16 001 10*009 2702 2113 23*030 14 017 16 357 17 356 10*012 2113 1623 20*022 14 016 15 358 17 354 10 013 1623 1246 19 020 14 016 15 357 16 352 9 014 1246 987 17 018 13 015 15 357 14 351 9 014 987 830 15 017 13 015 14 357 12 351 8 014 830 740 12 016 11 015 12 358 9*351 7 015 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography