DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 83.9 - - 90.7 - - 93.0 - - 91.3 - - 84.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 252 - - 485 - - 404 - - 93 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3028 - - 4037 - - 4872 - - 4681 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 2517 - - 3517 - - 4113 - - 3154 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 3688 - - 4697 - - 5532 - - 5341 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 598 - - 1174 - - 1970 - - 2351 - - 3910 Hgt.Variab. W* 371 - - 508 - - 510 - - 311 - - 13 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 17 - - 17 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 194 - - 186 - - 180 - - 172 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 2 - - -6 - - -8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -130 - - -1022 - - -1048 - - -1075 - - -3782 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3819 - - 5720 - - 6580 - - 6416 - - 4526 sfcLCL ODpotential -4203 - - -3651 - - -3821 - - -3819 - - -6238 ODpotential blCL 7891 - - 8348 - - 9353 - - 9160 - - 6982 blCL maxRH 86 - - 72 - - 63 - - 61 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 890 - - 1100 - - 1030 - - 660 - - 750 CAPE Temp@2m 83.9 - - 90.7 - - 93.0 - - 91.3 - - 84.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 69.5 - - 68.0 - - 66.5 - - 65.6 - - 67.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 82.4 - - 88.0 - - 90.6 - - 90.6 - - 86.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 69.3 - - 67.7 - - 66.2 - - 65.3 - - 67.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 252 - - 485 - - 404 - - 93 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3028 - - 4037 - - 4872 - - 4681 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98876 25 113 29 101 38 104 18 093 20 059 98876 91368 24 091 24 100 33 105 27 099 26 090 91368 85607 28 085 25 092 27 100 30 091 28 090 85607 80829 30 093 24 095 22 099 24 079 30 084 80829 76715 33 095 24 107 21 091 22 082 25 087 76715 73107 31 085 27 111 21 094 22 085 19 086 73107 69875 22 067 28 098 22 104 19 089 19 080 69875 66916 17 063 19 073 20 107 15 097 18 080 66916 64171 13 084 10 055 16 103 15 111 12 089 64171 61522 12 098 8 083 10 117 14 110 11 110 61522 58788 6 072 13 101 8 113 6 093 9 114 58788 55990 4 075 7 075 6 083 6 100 6 131 55990 53352 11 105 4 100 10 114 5 110 5 141 53352 50992 9 108 8 111 12 125 6 175 4 190 50992 48867 4 130 5 122 11 117 10 156 6 186 48867 46917 6 141 3 158 6 111 11 139 6 170 46917 45111 9 125 5 157 4 135 11 126 7 170 45111 43424 9 109 6 127 5 145 9 113 9 175 43424 41841 7 099 7 112 5 141 7 121 12 172 41841 40350 5 067 5 113 3 168 4 135 10 163 40350 38940 5 057 7 147 7 212 3 201 5 178 38940 37572 5 073 10 154 12 203 6 207 5 206 37572 36177 6 120 13 163 15 193 11 199 10 205 36177 34724 9 143 13 166 15 190 16 201 14 200 34724 33217 9 151 13 178 15 193 16 196 16 191 33217 31640 7 149 16 188 17 194 15 192 16 185 31640 29981 9 152 15 186 18 197 15 191 13 185 29981 28243 10 163 13 177 17 190 17 190 12 192 28243 26428 12 183 14 180 18 184 18 191 12 187 26428 24534 12 196 14 184 14 181 17 193 11 196 24534 22565 9 197 11 179 7 185 9 192 5 223 22565 20516 7 173 11 171 2 293 2 132 6 071 20516 18381 12 157 16 172 9 183 6 179 6 122 18381 16205 16 149 19 165 17 172 12 182 10 155 16205 14105 19 151 19 159 19 168 14 179 11 151 14105 12189 16 153 17 156 17 169 14 180 9 163 12189 10488 12 166 14 151 15 166 14 175 9 176 10488 8982 12 186 11 167 11 168 12 176 15 191 8982 7645 15 194 11 184 12 181 14 175 22 190 7645 6459 18 188 14 190 15*183 18 170 24 181 6459 5406 21 192 16*190 16*180 19*168 24 172 5406 4477 22*197 17*187 16 180 19*168 25 169 4477 3655 21*196 17 187 17 180 18 169 24 168 3655 2918 20 195 18 186 17 180 18 171 23 167 2918 2267 20 194 18 186 17 180 18 173 22 168 2267 1723 19 193 17 186 17 181 17 174 20 168 1723 1305 18 193 17 186 17 182 17 175 17 169 1305 1017 17 193 16 186 16 182 16 176 14 167 1017 843 16 192 16 187 15 182 15 176 11*165 843 744 14 192 14 186 14 182 13 176 5*160 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography