DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.3 - - 96.5 - - - - - 86.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 272 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4895 - - 6399 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4099 - - 5137 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5555 - - 7059 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2699 - - 2805 - - - - - 2726 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 497 - - 491 - - - - - 22 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 156 - - - - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -242 - - -86 - - - - - -3637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5797 - - 7145 - - - - - 4380 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1107 - - -852 - - - - - -6090 ODpotential blCL - - - 6662 - - 7911 - - - - - 6833 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 82 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 2050 - - 1830 - - - - - 1820 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.3 - - 96.5 - - - - - 86.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.2 - - 67.6 - - - - - 69.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.9 - - 94.7 - - - - - 87.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 67.2 - - - - - 69.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 272 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4895 - - 6399 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 30 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98898 17 094 26 098 22 093 98898 91454 35 100 21 090 33 096 91454 85733 37 094 25 105 29 082 85733 80968 26 090 28 105 24 072 80968 76857 18 093 23 098 20 081 76857 73239 19 100 16 091 14 075 73239 69981 17 101 15 090 9 085 69981 66983 13 096 13 083 10 102 66983 64214 10 086 11 088 9 095 64214 61579 14 097 12 105 6 081 61579 58875 12 105 10 109 6 090 58875 56085 12 112 11 109 5 041 56085 53433 18 067 21 086 5 057 53433 51040 26 042 29 062 13 067 51040 48881 28 034 27 048 15 064 48881 46906 20 075 18 067 19 048 46906 45084 28 092 16 084 20 026 45084 43392 33 097 19 116 14 014 43392 41812 34 100 20 117 5 026 41812 40331 30 103 15 110 5 113 40331 38933 20 099 10 095 9 121 38933 37577 13 107 8 089 10 117 37577 36193 10 117 3 107 7 106 36193 34751 10 118 4 128 3 025 34751 33255 13 123 7 134 2 012 33255 31687 14 132 9 138 3 076 31687 30035 14 134 9 133 3 102 30035 28297 13 128 10 120 3 100 28297 26474 12 123 10 118 5 079 26474 24573 9 129 9 124 4 067 24573 22598 8 164 6 131 5 072 22598 20540 5 192 1 181 6 064 20540 18394 2 169 1 298 4 051 18394 16210 3 089 2 082 4 075 16210 14112 4 113 4 100 7 075 14112 12211 3 112 3 035 7 062 12211 10521 3 120 4 352 6 060 10521 9017 3 091 1 080 6 058 9017 7677 3 086 6*146 3 207 7677 6484 2*119 7*150 8 206 6484 5425 5*170 7 151 10 197 5425 4490 7 172 8 153 11 185 4490 3663 8 173 8 154 15 171 3663 2923 8 173 8 157 20 163 2923 2270 8 173 8 159 23 161 2270 1724 9 174 8 160 23 160 1724 1306 9 174 8 161 22 159 1306 1018 8 176 8 161 17 158 1018 844 8 176 8 162 15 157 844 743 8 175 7 161 9*157 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography