DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/31 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 82.2 - - - - - 73.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 268 - - - - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3568 - - 4819 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3079 - - 3908 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4228 - - 5479 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 739 - - 1679 - - - - - 2022 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 452 - - 446 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 21 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 190 - - - - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -10 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -861 - - -521 - - - - - -1978 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5090 - - 6000 - - - - - 2722 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4277 - - -2972 - - - - - -4519 ODpotential blCL - - - 8505 - - 8451 - - - - - 5262 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 93 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 280 - - 820 - - - - - 1350 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 82.2 - - - - - 73.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.2 - - 58.3 - - - - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.1 - - 80.6 - - - - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 57.7 - - - - - 63.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 268 - - - - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3568 - - 4819 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 72 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97017 45 246 53 248 55 278 97017 89702 40 261 39 257 37 267 89702 84091 37 266 34 266 28 264 84091 79442 27 253 30 266 18 278 79442 75448 14 243 22 261 18 298 75448 71918 11 293 17 266 19 291 71918 68730 15 301 15 295 18 280 68730 65824 15 297 18 306 18 288 65824 63148 23 294 21 288 16 272 63148 60545 30 281 25 282 27 284 60545 57811 38 265 36 267 34 279 57811 54961 41 256 43 258 38 277 54961 52226 43 257 49 252 34 279 52226 49749 47 262 49 251 40 285 49749 47528 43 251 45 250 45 280 47528 45534 30 250 40 253 41 279 45534 43733 29 268 27 244 34 275 43733 42096 31 270 18 257 23 295 42096 40587 27 260 22 267 23 315 40587 39170 28 259 23 271 25 326 39170 37825 30 253 24 268 27 320 37825 36516 21 252 25 265 31 316 36516 35177 19 253 27 262 26 323 35177 33783 19 261 27 265 19 298 33783 32335 19 260 27 266 21 287 32335 30821 18 254 27 264 24 283 30821 29227 14 256 26 264 26 282 29227 27552 14 258 23 261 23 274 27552 25800 17 259 21 255 20 260 25800 23968 18 254 19 252 20 263 23968 22058 19 242 16 253 19 260 22058 20064 16 224 16 257 15 261 20064 17989 13 209 15 254 16 288 17989 15878 1 096 7 276 4 037 15878 13838 8 031 8 001 7 354 13838 11970 10 063 8 048 12 344 11970 10301 7 165 7 233 11 354 10301 8815 15 208 13 215 2 329 8815 7499 20 216 15 209 17 220 7499 6335 20 217 21*196 24 206 6335 5302 23 211 22*192 25 196 5302 4391 22*199 22 190 27 191 4391 3585 22*196 22 190 31 188 3585 2864 22 195 22 189 35 186 2864 2228 22 194 22 189 37 182 2228 1697 22 194 21 190 35 180 1697 1290 21 194 20 189 31 180 1290 1010 20 194 19 190 24 178 1010 840 19 194 18 189 21*178 840 743 16 194 16 190 13*178 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography