DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 86.8 - - 85.2 - - 80.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 255 - - 171 - - 1 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3249 - - 4333 - - 1245 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2721 - - 3365 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3909 - - 4993 - - 1905 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 988 - - 1789 - - 3514 - - 2720 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 393 - - 382 - - 101 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 186 - - 172 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -18 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 284 - - 565 - - -2236 - - -957 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3625 - - 4429 - - 4142 - - 1701 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4373 - - -982 - - -5055 - - -2760 ODpotential blCL - - - 8282 - - 5975 - - 6960 - - 3504 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 75 - - 66 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 840 - - 770 - - 640 - - 2290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 86.8 - - 85.2 - - 80.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.9 - - 69.6 - - 69.4 - - 74.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.0 - - 85.6 - - 85.3 - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 68.6 - - 68.6 - - 74.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 255 - - 171 - - 1 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3249 - - 4333 - - 1245 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 0 - - 0 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98721 27 105 22 120 18 116 10 096 98721 91161 16 111 19 081 25 102 16 105 91161 85350 16 101 19 082 25 081 22 082 85350 80592 18 082 22 098 23 071 26 076 80592 76548 15 087 24 088 22 085 25 079 76548 72997 16 110 21 078 20 089 26 076 72997 69789 17 117 13 079 17 076 22 080 69789 66856 21 108 12 116 13 072 14 082 66856 64171 26 104 14 127 10 087 9 086 64171 61594 23 101 17 122 9 119 12 107 61594 58912 19 111 13 135 6 117 8 106 58912 56135 8 176 10 144 10 147 5 160 56135 53485 20 222 17 242 14 259 11 271 53485 51106 24 237 24 245 24 257 27 258 51106 48974 21 247 23 256 27 260 32 257 48974 47018 25 269 26 264 31 263 33 267 47018 45205 26 274 23 273 29 266 28 274 45205 43513 26 282 23 288 26 271 26 278 43513 41921 26 283 28 293 26 283 26 287 41921 40417 29 283 31 288 33 285 34 291 40417 38992 35 282 34 281 40 283 38 287 38992 37611 37 280 38 275 41 280 42 283 37611 36207 33 279 34 274 35 277 41 284 36207 34752 27 280 26 275 28 275 35 282 34752 33247 19 281 20 276 25 276 27 276 33247 31677 15 277 16 271 21 272 22 275 31677 30025 17 273 17 266 18 263 19 274 30025 28289 17 267 17 269 16 258 14 265 28289 26467 13 236 15 264 14 257 12 258 26467 24562 15 217 14 240 17 247 14 255 24562 22580 13 223 14 230 18 232 18 247 22580 20519 8 221 11 219 15 238 16 250 20519 18377 5 217 6 190 7 230 10 252 18377 16192 8 209 6 203 6 234 8 231 16192 14085 14 189 12 198 9 210 10 190 14085 12168 14 177 14 181 17 190 14 181 12168 10468 13 187 16 176 20 184 17 181 10468 8964 15 186 17 178 19 187 18 179 8964 7628 17 187 16 189 19 188 20 185 7628 6441 18 192 17 193 19 186 20 190 6441 5390 19 195 17*192 19 181 20 186 5390 4463 16*194 17*188 19 178 21 174 4463 3644 15*192 17 187 20 176 23 167 3644 2910 15 191 17 186 20 174 25 165 2910 2261 15 190 17 186 19*173 27 164 2261 1719 15 188 17 186 17*172 27 163 1719 1302 14 188 16 186 16 172 25 162 1302 1016 13 187 16 186 15 171 19 159 1016 843 13 187 15 186 13 171 16*158 843 744 11 187 13 186 10 171 9*157 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography