DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.9 - - 96.4 - - 94.2 - - 85.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 290 - - 20 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4773 - - 6828 - - 2610 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4027 - - 5515 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5433 - - 7488 - - 3270 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2411 - - 3034 - - 6548 - - 792 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 503 - - 515 - - 167 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 179 - - 187 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -9 - - -15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -848 - - -1240 - - -4882 - - -4049 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6281 - - 8729 - - 8152 - - 4793 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4025 - - -4069 - - -6828 - - -6819 ODpotential blCL - - - 9458 - - 11557 - - 10098 - - 7562 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 69 - - 63 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 1540 - - 320 - - 380 - - 1900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.9 - - 96.4 - - 94.2 - - 85.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.8 - - 60.6 - - 61.1 - - 67.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.5 - - 94.6 - - 94.0 - - 87.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.3 - - 59.9 - - 60.5 - - 67.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 290 - - 20 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4773 - - 6828 - - 2610 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - 11 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99081 37 090 37 103 43 086 49 090 99081 91664 42 093 43 097 37 092 44 084 91664 85935 38 094 46 092 35 098 33 087 85935 81165 33 089 36 095 34 097 32 090 81165 77056 30 085 29 099 25 094 31 083 77056 73427 27 093 26 099 27 093 26 079 73427 70152 22 094 20 095 25 087 24 086 70152 67158 16 093 13 092 18 084 22 083 67158 64391 15 095 12 088 13 079 19 075 64391 61715 13 077 10 088 11 082 13 057 61715 58943 7 077 6 083 11 037 11 044 58943 56098 11 102 9 090 4 012 6 047 56098 53406 14 058 14 045 8 028 9 049 53406 50990 11 016 13 030 12 014 14 014 50990 48825 12 011 12 030 10 020 14 011 48825 46849 12 359 12 041 12 045 17 032 46849 45017 18 340 23 335 25 016 25 030 45017 43309 20 335 20 317 27 350 26 006 43309 41720 19 346 8 342 21 330 22 332 41720 40239 20 359 14 355 9 317 14 299 40239 38844 21 359 17 341 7 026 6 288 38844 37489 21 004 14 344 11 006 5 334 37489 36106 20 002 13 347 11 338 12 320 36106 34665 19 005 8 010 12 326 11 324 34665 33170 16 010 7 352 9 328 11 332 33170 31609 12 011 7 343 7 349 10 326 31609 29969 7 046 4 082 3 026 7 325 29969 28245 8 069 3 080 4 068 4 324 28245 26436 8 055 3 020 6 033 4 350 26436 24547 8 068 6 008 10 031 9 027 24547 22585 10 083 3 001 13 022 15 040 22585 20542 11 081 5 050 13 020 22 037 20542 18409 13 072 7 046 12 027 24 036 18409 16231 17 068 12 049 14 036 24 034 16231 14126 15 073 11 056 13 051 20 046 14126 12211 8 089 7 108 4 073 10 051 12211 10518 2 066 6 133 6 177 3 168 10518 9017 3 105 6 157 11 174 10 169 9017 7679 4 099 7*165 12 172 13 161 7679 6486 7*171 11*174 13 173 14 164 6486 5428 10*192 12 175 13 174 15 172 5428 4493 10 194 12 176 13 178 16 181 4493 3667 11 194 12 178 13*180 17 188 3667 2927 11 193 13 180 13*183 18 192 2927 2273 11 193 13 181 13 185 21 195 2273 1727 11 192 13 183 13 187 24 198 1727 1307 11 192 13 183 12 188 24 198 1307 1018 11 191 12 184 12 188 20 196 1018 843 11 191 12 184 11 189 17 195 843 743 10 191 11 184 9 189 7*194 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography