DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 54.9 - - 51.4 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 225 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1210 - - 2123 - - 624 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1235 - - 1806 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1870 - - 2783 - - 1284 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 467 - - 720 - - 1118 - - 644 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 315 - - 29 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 53 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 225 - - 180 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5290 - - -4372 - - -2910 - - -2120 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7155 - - 4194 - - 2860 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15638 - - -12155 - - -10577 - - -11502 ODpotential blCL - - - 17508 - - 14938 - - 11861 - - 12242 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 87 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 54.9 - - 51.4 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.4 - - 26.5 - - 36.1 - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 53.5 - - 51.5 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 26.4 - - 36.1 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 225 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1210 - - 2123 - - 624 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 49 - - 101 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95974 22 268 16 268 18 266 24 251 95974 88956 8 260 8 264 16 292 16 234 88956 83477 10 229 13 281 17 275 13 305 83477 78902 12 244 18 267 20 267 19 297 78902 74974 17 266 21 246 25 266 19 260 74974 71476 20 267 22 260 23 265 18 261 71476 68301 25 268 27 265 30 270 26 281 68301 65418 28 268 29 270 35 261 32 274 65418 62752 37 274 34 279 35 261 36 268 62752 60156 47 275 48 279 43 272 43 269 60156 57440 55 272 56 277 52 275 51 272 57440 54624 61 271 60 273 61 275 59 272 54624 51935 69 267 69 264 72 270 66 269 51935 49505 72 261 75 257 77 261 71 264 49505 47313 75 262 75 260 75 257 71 260 47313 45314 79 264 77 263 73 258 70 262 45314 43476 83 267 78 266 74 263 72 264 43476 41784 91 261 87 264 80 265 80 261 41784 40225 96 260 95 260 89 262 88 258 40225 38777 107 262 100 259 96 259 97 256 38777 37417 108 261 103 259 98 257 103 254 37417 36103 104 261 99 256 96 256 104 253 36103 34762 102 265 97 260 94 262 98 257 34762 33366 101 265 93 262 92 262 94 260 33366 31917 95 265 91 264 93 262 91 262 31917 30399 87 266 85 268 88 265 86 264 30399 28802 81 265 79 266 86 268 80 266 28802 27124 75 266 72 265 79 268 76 270 27124 25367 71 267 64 269 73 267 68 272 25367 23531 64 269 60 272 65 269 62 272 23531 21626 58 273 57 273 58 272 53 272 21626 19646 58 276 56 274 54 274 49 272 19646 17584 53 278 52 277 51 274 46 271 17584 15481 39 278 42 276 44 273 42 269 15481 13451 32 269 34 268 36 266 39 269 13451 11603 29 259 31 263 30 257 36 268 11603 9960 24 247 30 256 25 256 35 264 9960 8505 18 246 24 245 23 244 32 254 8505 7225 18 254 18 234 25 236 31 238 7225 6097 17 250 20 223 27 233 32 233 6097 5097 18 234 24 224 27 232 32 231 5097 4213 22 237 22 233 24 223 33 222 4213 3436 22 239 16*240 21 211 30 204 3436 2746 13 245 8*232 19 203 30 189 2746 2140 2*243 7 226 15 190 26 184 2140 1637 1*250 6 223 13*181 22 189 1637 1253 1 256 6 224 11*180 17 196 1253 990 1 264 6 223 10 180 12 198 990 831 1 266 6 222 9 180 8 198 831 740 1 265 6 223 7 180 5*198 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography