DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.1 - - 96.8 - - 94.9 - - 86.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 282 - - 52 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5498 - - 6429 - - 3375 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4559 - - 5189 - - 1682 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6158 - - 7089 - - 4035 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1872 - - 1927 - - 3812 - - 977 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 511 - - 501 - - 238 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 20 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 188 - - 189 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -3 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 408 - - 162 - - -3076 - - -4340 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5751 - - 6927 - - 7111 - - 5084 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1413 - - -1476 - - -7109 - - -9333 ODpotential blCL - - - 7571 - - 8565 - - 11144 - - 10077 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 72 - - 63 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 1980 - - 1560 - - 650 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.1 - - 96.8 - - 94.9 - - 86.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.1 - - 68.7 - - 66.1 - - 67.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.9 - - 94.9 - - 94.4 - - 88.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.6 - - 68.0 - - 65.5 - - 66.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 282 - - 52 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5498 - - 6429 - - 3375 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99050 34 094 36 103 33 089 30 062 99050 91535 41 092 41 095 35 104 34 089 91535 85748 36 087 38 089 36 101 39 096 85748 80983 25 086 29 080 31 081 39 090 80983 76896 21 097 22 079 27 071 35 081 76896 73291 23 103 19 091 21 071 28 080 73291 70044 22 103 21 095 20 077 24 074 70044 67078 22 105 19 098 18 085 19 074 67078 64347 27 090 24 094 23 086 19 091 64347 61725 32 077 27 085 26 077 22 081 61725 59013 31 078 24 088 23 080 22 073 59013 56215 27 091 21 095 18 093 21 080 56215 53556 30 101 23 101 21 107 23 088 53556 51175 36 108 30 109 27 108 23 099 51175 49045 36 114 33 111 27 111 25 106 49045 47100 37 115 33 111 29 121 24 103 47100 45297 34 109 32 109 29 115 22 102 45297 43612 30 107 31 108 27 112 21 099 43612 42030 24 110 25 102 25 114 19 094 42030 40538 20 112 20 097 23 122 16 104 40538 39123 17 115 20 099 20 115 17 118 39123 37744 16 119 20 105 19 109 20 117 37744 36334 16 121 20 107 18 109 22 115 36334 34867 19 121 20 111 17 107 21 114 34867 33347 23 118 21 117 17 105 17 102 33347 31757 24 122 20 120 16 104 14 093 31757 30087 22 125 17 127 12 103 10 083 30087 28336 21 133 14 145 9 105 7 094 28336 26506 11 133 6 176 4 050 9 102 26506 24600 2 170 4 275 6 001 12 084 24600 22627 3 134 2 303 7 354 12 057 22627 20579 4 124 1 077 2 050 7 040 20579 18442 4 317 6 351 5 016 6 044 18442 16263 8 289 8 316 10 352 7 017 16263 14163 6 296 6 302 7 336 7 344 14163 12250 4 256 7 269 6 328 5 349 12250 10546 8 231 10 249 6 286 7 357 10546 9030 10 234 6 261 5 280 7 331 9030 7683 7 226 2*259 3 281 5 312 7683 6487 4*229 2*218 2 222 3 294 6487 5426 4*236 2 195 4 193 3 227 5426 4490 4 238 3 184 6*187 7 211 4490 3663 4 233 5 184 7*187 9 202 3663 2923 4 230 5 184 9 188 11 189 2923 2269 5 227 6 187 10 189 13 183 2269 1724 5 224 6 188 10 189 16 188 1724 1305 5 220 7 188 10 190 19 190 1305 1018 5 219 7 189 10 190 16 189 1018 844 5 218 7 189 10 191 13*187 844 744 5 219 6 189 9 192 6*185 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography