DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.7 - - 61.7 - - 63.2 - - 62.5 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 78 - - 26 - - 45 - - 8 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1528 - - 1096 - - 1544 - - 1054 - - 710 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 2188 - - 1756 - - 2204 - - 1714 - - 1370 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 331 - - 706 - - 539 - - 1121 - - 1444 Hgt.Variab. W* 205 - - 131 - - 174 - - 91 - - 79 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 9 - - 15 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 027 - - 353 - - 020 - - 008 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 2 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -1 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 408 - - 495 - - 625 - - 506 - - 443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1781 - - 1261 - - 1579 - - 1208 - - 927 sfcLCL ODpotential 36 - - 173 - - 184 - - 144 - - 140 ODpotential blCL 2152 - - 1583 - - 2020 - - 1570 - - 1230 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 2280 - - 1780 - - 2250 - - 1510 - - 960 CAPE Temp@2m 60.7 - - 61.7 - - 63.2 - - 62.5 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.4 - - 58.5 - - 58.6 - - 59.6 - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 61.5 - - 62.9 - - 62.6 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.8 - - 58.1 - - 58.1 - - 59.3 - - 59.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 78 - - 26 - - 45 - - 8 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1528 - - 1096 - - 1544 - - 1054 - - 710 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97702 25 240 23 239 24 241 24 259 25 277 97702 90228 18 256 23 231 26 257 21 278 16 273 90228 84521 10 273 17 244 19 259 16 278 15 268 84521 79811 11 315 8 277 7 223 8 263 9 285 79811 75773 2 327 8 323 3 015 5 296 8 316 75773 72216 1 119 8 342 12 005 6 003 6 347 72216 69005 5 039 5 340 6 339 12 313 11 357 69005 66072 7 076 9 227 11 244 15 284 17 298 66072 63371 15 310 8 274 13 256 17 286 11 275 63371 60770 25 281 35 301 33 297 30 288 26 277 60770 58052 35 252 39 288 45 292 43 291 42 289 58052 55220 41 259 50 264 46 265 56 276 60 282 55220 52509 56 267 63 257 66 264 70 270 70 276 52509 50062 70 265 74 262 76 263 75 267 74 273 50062 47882 77 266 78 266 82 271 78 271 76 272 47882 45925 86 277 82 275 82 273 75 277 75 276 45925 44146 98 280 91 277 78 280 84 285 103 289 44146 42506 104 279 93 281 88 286 93 285 118 289 42506 40971 105 278 100 286 98 285 96 283 114 287 40971 39523 104 281 100 285 100 280 97 282 112 286 39523 38148 104 286 98 283 97 278 98 283 111 285 38148 36810 100 287 94 280 96 279 99 282 109 282 36810 35441 85 281 90 274 91 279 99 279 105 279 35441 34013 82 276 93 274 88 277 101 277 99 275 34013 32527 86 273 93 272 92 278 102 279 98 273 32527 30970 87 271 90 270 94 277 94 282 106 278 30970 29336 81 270 84 268 90 274 80 277 85 278 29336 27628 75 270 77 262 80 270 82 271 76 275 27628 25839 69 269 74 260 70 265 83 270 75 274 25839 23974 59 268 70 259 71 266 74 267 70 276 23974 22040 57 270 59 260 70 267 65 267 63 280 22040 20034 58 264 44 264 64 264 52 275 58 283 20034 17948 52 262 50 266 64 262 48 285 52 287 17948 15819 39 266 39 269 60 263 44 282 44 278 15819 13763 27 276 26 265 29 264 42 273 38 266 13763 11890 22 265 21 267 22 262 37 270 36 269 11890 10224 23 275 21 267 19 266 31 268 29 266 10224 8743 22 278 21 256 21 260 23 268 22 257 8743 7424 17 261 21 245 20 259 19 262 20 262 7424 6248 15 239 19 238 16 254 19 255 20 267 6248 5209 13 240 13 225 10 237 14 245 12 259 5209 4300 9 239 9 189 5 196 6 203 4 242 4300 3506 2 036 7 138 6 081 6 042 9 053 3506 2803 21*050 8 044 17*033 13 027 13 036 2803 2183 20*034 8*343 18*024 14*017 14 018 2183 1668 18 027 9*352 16 021 14*011 14*016 1668 1273 18 025 9 354 15 019 13 008 12*010 1273 1001 17 025 9 354 14 019 12 007 11 009 1001 836 16 024 9 354 13 017 11 006 10 008 836 742 12 023 7 353 10 017 9 005 8 007 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography