DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 59.4 - - 57.0 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 82 - - 14 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1203 - - 1723 - - 1526 - - 376 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1863 - - 2383 - - 2186 - - 1036 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 558 - - 633 - - 693 - - 1094 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 214 - - 221 - - 127 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - 16 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 352 - - 010 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -7 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 734 - - 822 - - 705 - - -319 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1129 - - 1561 - - 1481 - - 1355 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 408 - - 415 - - 198 - - -8427 ODpotential blCL - - - 1455 - - 1968 - - 1988 - - 9463 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 390 - - 160 - - 10 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 59.4 - - 57.0 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.6 - - 55.2 - - 53.1 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 58.7 - - 56.9 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 54.1 - - 52.5 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 82 - - 14 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1203 - - 1723 - - 1526 - - 376 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 98 - - 100 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96299 36 249 52 262 56 271 49 274 96299 89176 29 264 36 260 46 274 37 281 89176 83687 26 264 33 273 36 268 34 283 83687 79128 25 264 33 282 27 279 25 287 79128 75219 18 274 20 262 22 267 21 286 75219 71772 14 268 12 287 13 249 15 260 71772 68648 18 242 20 265 15 247 17 269 68648 65787 24 215 18 250 20 241 19 257 65787 63152 17 230 24 236 22 247 22 251 63152 60617 22 215 28 236 27 239 30 246 60617 57973 30 246 33 234 32 241 22 262 57973 55168 42 247 36 243 32 254 30 279 55168 52438 58 245 54 247 54 257 56 266 52438 49970 67 240 65 242 74 251 80 253 49970 47752 65 238 71 239 79 249 85 249 47752 45731 64 240 72 239 79 248 85 248 45731 43883 66 244 72 245 80 250 84 248 43883 42187 68 246 77 250 83 252 81 252 42187 40624 70 248 80 251 84 251 80 254 40624 39176 72 251 75 246 79 247 80 250 39176 37822 72 250 66 240 73 245 81 245 37822 36511 71 247 61 235 70 244 77 244 36511 35170 62 239 62 229 67 244 71 246 35170 33771 56 233 64 222 66 247 65 247 33771 32318 53 230 62 217 66 249 62 246 32318 30794 49 224 59 216 65 250 59 245 30794 29188 45 216 56 217 63 249 58 246 29188 27501 40 213 54 217 59 244 56 244 27501 25731 42 224 52 219 53 234 53 236 25731 23880 43 225 47 220 50 223 54 231 23880 21951 39 221 39 223 49 222 53 229 21951 19942 31 222 33 235 47 238 53 239 19942 17854 25 227 36 249 51 259 55 257 17854 15732 22 230 37 254 40 265 46 266 15732 13687 17 237 31 264 20 262 28 271 13687 11825 16 240 25 261 23 265 20 259 11825 10164 12 252 17 242 27 261 20 252 10164 8686 10 258 15 213 29 255 19 258 8686 7371 9 250 13 200 29 241 20 265 7371 6203 7 238 8 187 20 233 16 241 6203 5171 6 201 4 262 10 211 8 138 5171 4268 7 164 6 331 7 123 17 110 4268 3475 7 123 6 036 12 065 17 097 3475 2772 7 065 10*003 17*022 13 060 2772 2158 13*010 12*354 17*012 16 011 2158 1651 14*007 12 353 17 010 16 001 1651 1263 13 005 12 352 16 009 15*357 1263 996 13 004 11 351 15 008 13*355 996 834 12 003 11 351 14 007 11 355 834 741 10 002 9 351 11 007 8 354 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography