DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.0 - - 78.7 - - 80.8 - - 72.8 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 68 - - 247 - - 135 - - -7 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 357 - - 3109 - - 4543 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2573 - - 3334 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1017 - - 3769 - - 5203 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 279 - - 2023 - - 955 - - 4146 - - 121 Hgt.Variab. W* 118 - - 373 - - 349 - - 6 - - 10 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 132 - - 161 - - 156 - - 115 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4604 - - -3400 - - -3215 - - -5399 - - -4966 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5621 - - 7169 - - 8419 - - 6141 - - 5708 sfcLCL ODpotential -14902 - - -12644 - - -11465 - - -14709 - - -15947 ODpotential blCL 15919 - - 16413 - - 16668 - - 15451 - - 16689 blCL maxRH 46 - - 57 - - 60 - - 47 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.0 - - 78.7 - - 80.8 - - 72.8 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.5 - - 50.0 - - 46.7 - - 48.9 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.5 - - 77.0 - - 79.8 - - 76.0 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.2 - - 49.4 - - 46.1 - - 48.4 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 68 - - 247 - - 135 - - -7 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 357 - - 3109 - - 4543 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97699 18 243 29 246 34 249 31 279 20 296 97699 90282 15 236 20 257 21 246 19 267 11 265 90282 84633 14 247 14 254 12 269 12 263 9 251 84633 79989 11 278 6 234 6 279 4 253 11 248 79989 75993 9 305 1 075 3 250 3 015 3 280 75993 72456 5 316 5 002 2 087 3 010 6 359 72456 69255 4 055 4 031 4 096 2 144 3 295 69255 66333 7 078 5 097 4 135 5 166 5 236 66333 63651 2 014 6 125 3 105 6 160 5 196 63651 61079 4 265 3 205 5 344 5 330 1 095 61079 58401 6 293 8 242 9 289 9 283 6 256 58401 55621 13 267 13 246 15 255 17 266 12 267 55621 52975 11 256 15 246 16 245 18 258 18 258 52975 50588 14 262 15 254 17 251 18 256 20 254 50588 48438 16 270 25 270 25 273 23 277 22 268 48438 46477 27 280 31 273 31 275 32 280 27 274 46477 44667 26 272 25 265 28 275 31 270 28 269 44667 42987 15 289 17 259 27 273 25 269 23 259 42987 41425 22 317 14 295 20 254 23 265 20 250 41425 39962 23 324 14 304 11 267 16 235 23 228 39962 38581 19 319 10 301 12 258 13 236 16 212 38581 37240 18 300 8 292 11 250 17 252 16 224 37240 35870 21 288 9 285 12 261 22 260 18 239 35870 34442 19 296 9 280 15 270 18 254 18 234 34442 32956 14 311 8 273 14 269 15 250 16 224 32956 31399 11 319 10 271 14 259 15 255 14 225 31399 29758 10 328 10 276 15 261 16 262 13 239 29758 28036 11 329 11 275 17 272 15 268 12 258 28036 26231 13 315 17 291 16 276 13 272 12 272 26231 24341 18 308 18 307 12 290 8 278 10 278 24341 22370 17 324 12 323 8 318 1 013 2 285 22370 20313 10 009 5 032 4 119 4 190 4 206 20313 18166 7 030 3 013 1 070 4 257 1 330 18166 15978 6 034 5 035 3 027 4 010 8 053 15978 13871 10 039 8 069 4 085 1 053 6 060 13871 11965 7 039 8 078 8 116 9 167 5 189 11965 10286 3 039 7 125 8 140 12 165 11 180 10286 8801 2 131 8 148 8 144 10 156 13 174 8801 7481 5 126 9 141 8 155 8 163 14 166 7481 6314 5 111 9 140 9 162 11 173 13 170 6314 5283 7 130 10 140 9*154 12 165 13 165 5283 4375 11 142 11*156 9*154 11 156 15 156 4375 3572 13 149 11*167 9 154 9 147 16 151 3572 2855 12 153 11 168 9 154 8 138 18 148 2855 2220 11 166 9 159 9 156 8 130 19 147 2220 1691 8 176 8 157 8 157 8 124 20 148 1691 1286 6*166 8 155 8 158 8 121 19 146 1286 1007 6*136 7 154 8 158 7 119 17 145 1007 838 5 130 7 152 8 159 6 116 13 145 838 742 4 130 7 153 7 159 4*115 5*138 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography