DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.9 - - 102.2 - - - - - 92.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 275 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7245 - - 8240 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5888 - - 6606 - - - - - 728 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7905 - - 8900 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1463 - - 1595 - - - - - 1241 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 540 - - 540 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 42 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 321 - - 006 - - - - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 23 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -870 - - -192 - - - - - -4507 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8776 - - 9092 - - - - - 5251 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3487 - - -2470 - - - - - -7281 ODpotential blCL - - - 11392 - - 11370 - - - - - 8025 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 70 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 280 - - 790 - - - - - 2040 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.9 - - 102.2 - - - - - 92.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.8 - - 64.7 - - - - - 71.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 97.8 - - 100.4 - - - - - 93.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 63.9 - - - - - 71.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 275 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7245 - - 8240 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99117 31 122 38 105 32 082 99117 91651 39 097 41 113 29 097 91651 85865 39 098 41 098 34 102 85865 81042 35 090 34 088 37 095 81042 76914 36 091 24 086 38 092 76914 73290 29 098 14 095 34 087 73290 70032 25 101 18 101 26 079 70032 67066 27 098 27 090 21 079 67066 64342 31 087 26 089 18 068 64342 61728 27 071 21 093 15 071 61728 59025 19 064 21 070 22 059 59025 56252 16 064 19 056 23 063 56252 53631 12 108 8 057 23 048 53631 51275 12 127 7 136 17 038 51275 49151 13 126 9 154 13 025 49151 47203 18 105 10 153 6 030 47203 45396 24 085 11 131 5 142 45396 43706 19 070 15 105 9 129 43706 42121 13 061 16 090 10 106 42121 40627 13 079 16 084 9 080 40627 39212 13 090 15 083 8 099 39212 37838 12 088 16 087 12 107 37838 36435 10 077 18 085 13 103 36435 34973 12 084 18 082 13 094 34973 33455 15 095 19 078 14 093 33455 31868 18 094 20 082 16 091 31868 30200 21 101 21 094 17 089 30200 28452 24 098 19 094 15 088 28452 26621 19 092 18 082 12 080 26621 24710 14 090 16 073 10 059 24710 22726 13 089 13 064 11 054 22726 20661 12 093 9 054 15 055 20661 18511 8 051 7 027 18 056 18511 16324 12 020 12 033 20 052 16324 14220 12 029 14 029 19 038 14220 12310 10 025 14 009 20 011 12310 10612 8 025 11 357 21 005 10612 9098 7*013 6*345 19 011 9098 7747 7*003 5*342 15 020 7747 6542 6 346 4 345 11 030 6542 5474 5 318 3 351 9 036 5474 4531 5 315 2 003 5 047 4531 3697 5 309 2 016 3 095 3697 2949 4 305 2 031 5 155 2949 2287 4 302 2 043 8 178 2287 1736 4 299 2 054 10 194 1736 1312 4 297 2 062 14 202 1312 1021 4 297 2 061 13 203 1021 845 4 297 2 063 10 203 845 744 3 296 2 065 4*206 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography