DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 83.5 - - 78.7 - - 73.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 190 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3371 - - 3856 - - 1621 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2786 - - 3033 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4031 - - 4516 - - 2281 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1963 - - 2035 - - 3362 - - 1871 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 389 - - 373 - - 116 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 143 - - 132 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 579 - - 540 - - 447 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3452 - - 3977 - - 1834 - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 26 - - 156 - - -692 - - -801 ODpotential blCL - - - 4005 - - 4360 - - 2973 - - 1544 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 91 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 1150 - - 1330 - - 2220 - - 1330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 83.5 - - 78.7 - - 73.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.3 - - 68.3 - - 72.7 - - 72.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 82.1 - - 78.7 - - 73.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 67.6 - - 72.0 - - 72.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 190 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3371 - - 3856 - - 1621 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 66 - - 93 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 17 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98564 20 112 21 122 18 124 12 107 98564 91071 19 117 13 117 13 098 16 075 91071 85342 18 092 12 111 15 085 18 062 85342 80603 13 094 14 096 14 068 13 076 80603 76505 13 107 15 105 10 058 10 085 76505 72874 12 097 16 106 7 093 12 094 72874 69598 11 112 13 085 11 088 14 088 69598 66622 13 123 10 090 14 073 14 078 66622 63902 12 121 7 124 5 061 12 052 63902 61295 9 071 6 075 0 201 4 026 61295 58583 6 300 6 338 4 008 3 264 58583 55760 13 261 15 289 10 305 9 275 55760 53052 18 257 21 264 18 272 18 257 53052 50609 28 254 30 260 21 248 31 255 50609 48449 32 258 48 260 51 258 45 258 48449 46511 40 264 54 252 60 261 63 267 46511 44719 40 255 49 255 69 267 85 263 44719 43042 35 243 42 261 69 267 80 261 43042 41472 31 239 40 260 49 271 65 265 41472 39996 27 242 36 246 38 266 43 267 39996 38600 21 244 32 243 38 254 32 263 38600 37243 21 248 26 244 33 251 33 258 37243 35860 28 240 22 243 26 258 34 250 35860 34421 29 227 24 242 24 264 30 255 34421 32928 24 224 29 230 24 270 25 267 32928 31366 22 227 27 218 27 271 23 270 31366 29719 25 229 23 222 27 268 24 269 29719 27989 26 230 21 233 23 254 24 270 27989 26179 26 227 22 249 19 241 21 280 26179 24292 24 232 24 234 17 239 16 274 24292 22331 20 240 27 230 19 234 12 259 22331 20293 16 209 21 230 19 236 14 231 20293 18175 15 200 16 216 13 222 15 221 18175 16014 10 203 14 216 7 214 11 207 16014 13931 5 189 5 214 3 228 10 193 13931 12036 4 161 2 182 2 246 8 191 12036 10357 7 164 5 191 2 230 4 198 10357 8868 7 166 6 199 6 205 3 195 8868 7543 7 170 6 191 9 209 4 198 7543 6366 8 164 7 170 10 194 6 208 6366 5323 9 155 8*158 12 169 10 200 5323 4405 9*153 8*151 13 156 14 185 4405 3596 9*151 9 147 14 149 16 172 3596 2871 9 151 9 143 14*143 17 155 2871 2232 9 150 9 142 13*138 18 141 2232 1700 9 149 9 140 13 133 19 132 1700 1291 9 149 9 139 12 131 18 128 1291 1011 8 149 9 139 12 129 16 126 1011 840 8 149 8 139 11 129 14*125 840 743 7 149 8 139 9 128 9*124 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography