DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.7 - - 67.8 - - 76.4 - - 68.8 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 84 - - 169 - - -39 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 236 - - 778 - - 1766 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 726 - - 1447 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 896 - - 1438 - - 2426 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 305 - - 570 - - 1579 - - 1160 - - 97 Hgt.Variab. W* 84 - - 164 - - 272 - - 14 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 13 - - 15 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 217 - - 218 - - 201 - - 173 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4370 - - -5113 - - -6074 - - -3826 - - -1828 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5266 - - 6551 - - 8500 - - 4568 - - 2571 sfcLCL ODpotential -11765 - - -9940 - - -9349 - - -7938 - - -7446 ODpotential blCL 12661 - - 11378 - - 11775 - - 8680 - - 8188 blCL maxRH 48 - - 100 - - 84 - - 50 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.7 - - 67.8 - - 76.4 - - 68.8 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.0 - - 42.2 - - 42.0 - - 51.8 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.6 - - 67.2 - - 75.3 - - 70.7 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.9 - - 42.3 - - 42.0 - - 51.8 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 84 - - 169 - - -39 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 236 - - 778 - - 1766 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 100 - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96624 19 243 13 215 20 230 16 276 6 024 96624 89461 7 157 11 197 12 259 11 305 8 010 89461 83963 14 086 3 149 3 336 7 311 6 020 83963 79378 9 003 8 047 8 052 5 079 7 016 79378 75408 9 334 9 044 5 081 3 051 9 017 75408 71894 5 324 10 029 5 081 4 261 9 346 71894 68730 3 301 8 292 9 331 7 348 4 286 68730 65848 3 299 9 290 10 275 12 313 9 313 65848 63190 11 297 20 300 19 279 16 292 13 282 63190 60637 22 285 29 288 24 279 26 295 21 272 60637 57982 29 291 33 270 29 270 32 285 30 283 57982 55200 33 277 31 272 33 275 36 270 40 269 55200 52505 41 256 41 273 42 278 45 271 44 267 52505 50042 56 246 60 258 57 263 57 265 57 275 50042 47810 59 252 80 254 73 260 68 263 73 273 47810 45782 84 257 104 253 102 257 97 259 105 263 45782 43936 102 252 110 247 113 248 120 249 110 251 43936 42242 96 252 92 249 102 248 102 247 93 248 42242 40680 94 258 89 257 100 257 108 262 102 262 40680 39232 107 260 109 263 117 263 130 263 128 264 39232 37869 120 260 125 263 128 262 129 260 126 261 37869 36544 115 261 118 263 128 261 127 260 124 260 36544 35190 98 264 94 267 118 265 121 263 123 260 35190 33779 90 262 83 267 100 268 101 265 117 261 33779 32318 82 261 77 263 84 267 86 267 103 266 32318 30792 74 260 79 257 77 263 83 267 90 267 30792 29188 68 255 75 255 79 258 81 262 82 268 29188 27504 66 251 67 254 76 255 79 259 75 268 27504 25739 65 254 67 257 66 256 78 262 68 272 25739 23898 56 257 67 259 67 262 71 270 64 279 23898 21985 50 250 66 259 60 272 59 279 60 281 21985 19995 44 244 51 267 45 279 48 282 52 276 19995 17918 38 241 44 253 36 271 44 276 48 275 17918 15796 28 230 53 246 36 267 42 273 42 280 15796 13746 25 241 46 240 36 272 38 280 33 287 13746 11882 24 258 28 235 35 274 32 288 24 284 11882 10231 19 262 21 248 29 259 25 289 16 292 10231 8767 16 266 16 268 25 257 21 291 19 297 8767 7462 16 262 14 279 24 266 18 287 19 297 7462 6300 18 264 12 270 20 264 18 272 16 294 6300 5269 21 265 14 259 15 256 19 250 15 281 5269 4361 24 253 16 260 13 246 20 234 15 263 4361 3559 26 240 20 260 13 238 20 226 15 244 3559 2843 29 238 23 252 14*228 21 218 19 227 2843 2211 32 239 23 243 16*208 22 205 20 218 2211 1684 31 237 20*234 16 201 23 191 21 207 1684 1281 25 230 14*219 16 200 21 183 23 198 1281 1004 16*220 13 218 15 199 18 177 17 190 1004 837 14*218 12 217 15 198 15 175 11*182 837 742 11 217 10 216 13 197 9*173 5*165 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography