DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.6 - - 78.6 - - 82.2 - - 80.3 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 64 - - 52 - - 80 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1288 - - 2298 - - 2895 - - 1745 - - 355 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 727 - - 1975 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1948 - - 2958 - - 3555 - - 2405 - - 1015 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1363 - - 1298 - - 2308 - - 2178 - - 2539 Hgt.Variab. W* 190 - - 223 - - 275 - - 111 - - 44 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 8 - - 8 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 190 - - 211 - - 157 - - 161 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 743 - - 1121 - - 1078 - - 849 - - 8 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1205 - - 1837 - - 2477 - - 1556 - - 1007 sfcLCL ODpotential 377 - - 271 - - 310 - - -78 - - -664 ODpotential blCL 1571 - - 2687 - - 3245 - - 2483 - - 1679 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 94 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 1610 - - 1480 - - 2090 - - 2850 - - 2360 CAPE Temp@2m 76.6 - - 78.6 - - 82.2 - - 80.3 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 73.4 - - 72.7 - - 73.5 - - 75.4 - - 75.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.0 - - 78.2 - - 81.5 - - 80.3 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 72.6 - - 71.5 - - 72.2 - - 74.8 - - 74.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 64 - - 52 - - 80 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1288 - - 2298 - - 2895 - - 1745 - - 355 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 93 - - 77 - - 84 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99163 44 097 53 094 41 097 32 104 32 093 99163 91619 43 101 39 093 34 090 35 097 43 085 91619 85839 41 091 35 093 31 098 34 079 45 083 85839 81081 38 084 34 093 34 102 31 080 38 080 81081 77000 35 089 34 096 33 092 28 096 30 084 77000 73396 29 086 32 102 27 091 26 097 26 087 73396 70125 22 082 25 103 22 097 25 096 24 084 70125 67124 20 097 18 095 17 099 22 093 22 086 67124 64358 20 106 17 089 14 088 18 078 20 079 64358 61696 20 090 18 093 12 092 12 066 15 059 61696 58931 22 064 20 081 18 097 11 086 11 058 58931 56073 21 052 21 071 22 079 15 080 15 083 56073 53355 22 064 20 092 15 085 14 069 19 077 53355 50912 24 065 23 094 17 103 13 092 12 075 50912 48721 21 072 19 091 13 102 10 099 8 069 48721 46754 14 093 17 084 8 103 4 173 6 229 46754 44974 15 170 3 240 6 270 6 177 2 232 44974 43319 20 171 13 209 14 203 7 118 3 282 43319 41762 21 167 6 211 6 153 4 280 14 227 41762 40291 17 174 9 273 2 191 13 246 10 211 40291 38893 12 246 24 254 16 254 13 233 11 177 38893 37532 31 262 23 250 17 244 12 222 13 190 37532 36139 33 259 19 240 15 242 13 201 14 199 36139 34686 30 266 18 232 16 238 12 187 14 193 34686 33175 15 259 15 231 17 232 10 184 12 185 33175 31591 16 261 14 233 18 224 9 204 14 190 31591 29926 16 250 16 228 18 215 9 209 16 196 29926 28181 14 233 22 216 18 203 12 195 14 204 28181 26359 8 203 23 213 21 205 13 193 12 202 26359 24456 7 209 13 215 22 209 18 204 14 199 24456 22476 3 265 14 187 18 199 21 202 17 204 22476 20418 3 269 18 182 24 194 21 207 15 211 20418 18279 10 198 22 188 27 193 28 216 20 222 18279 16102 12 193 25 175 32 198 31 209 23 218 16102 14008 14 189 27 173 32 198 27 211 21 210 14008 12107 18 190 29 182 27 195 27 216 21 205 12107 10420 23 193 28 188 21 195 25 211 21 203 10420 8920 25 198 24 192 23 196 23 207 21 198 8920 7585 24 197 21 196 24 193 22 202 21 189 7585 6400 23 200 20 200 20 187 21 196 20 181 6400 5351 22 205 19 200 16 178 19 189 21 176 5351 4429 21 202 16 208 13 174 17 180 19 171 4429 3615 18 198 13*221 9*167 17 170 16 167 3615 2887 17 197 11*221 8*162 16*163 14 165 2887 2244 17*196 9 216 8 159 15*162 14 168 2244 1707 14*193 7 208 8 157 13 161 12 160 1707 1296 12 190 7 205 8 155 13 161 11*151 1296 1013 11 189 6 203 7 154 12 161 9*144 1013 841 11 189 6 203 7 154 11 160 9 142 841 743 9 188 5 201 6 154 8 161 6 139 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography