DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.6 - - 92.2 - - 89.9 - - 84.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 280 - - 27 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3947 - - 4987 - - 3952 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3352 - - 4053 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4607 - - 5647 - - 4612 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1619 - - 2333 - - 3005 - - 3487 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 459 - - 456 - - 201 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 173 - - 172 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -318 - - -106 - - -318 - - -2799 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4925 - - 5753 - - 4930 - - 3544 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1664 - - -695 - - -1082 - - -5392 ODpotential blCL - - - 6271 - - 6342 - - 5694 - - 6136 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 87 - - 90 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 1290 - - 1390 - - 1630 - - 1330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.6 - - 92.2 - - 89.9 - - 84.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.2 - - 69.2 - - 70.6 - - 71.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.4 - - 90.4 - - 89.7 - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 68.9 - - 70.3 - - 71.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 280 - - 27 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3947 - - 4987 - - 3952 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 46 - - 59 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98914 21 117 15 092 13 089 20 058 98914 91440 21 089 18 101 10 086 24 075 91440 85698 21 083 17 096 16 099 24 081 85698 80946 19 086 16 094 19 088 16 082 80946 76843 17 090 14 105 17 086 14 082 76843 73217 18 089 15 105 16 099 15 085 73217 69954 15 076 16 094 12 088 19 095 69954 66990 10 064 17 092 11 071 18 093 66990 64276 3 073 13 097 8 081 10 070 64276 61659 6 139 8 080 8 084 6 045 61659 58943 7 108 7 071 11 061 10 079 58943 56152 10 083 8 071 11 044 13 060 56152 53506 15 085 14 084 14 074 14 065 53506 51127 20 084 18 079 18 071 18 064 51127 48985 24 079 21 082 19 080 16 064 48985 47025 26 070 23 084 20 082 16 082 47025 45216 27 058 27 090 18 090 17 099 45216 43530 29 058 27 081 20 101 17 105 43530 41949 29 061 23 077 24 093 14 111 41949 40455 27 062 21 079 21 099 14 123 40455 39038 25 064 19 077 21 125 17 135 39038 37663 25 068 18 102 21 132 18 147 37663 36260 29 067 23 122 18 124 16 146 36260 34799 31 065 22 130 17 129 13 134 34799 33279 29 064 17 134 19 128 14 130 33279 31687 24 063 13 124 15 142 10 137 31687 30012 19 063 10 119 7 146 4 115 30012 28256 16 069 7 085 4 145 1 018 28256 26424 11 068 9 050 4 069 3 061 26424 24519 13 073 9 054 7 056 6 043 24519 22548 14 093 8 083 7 066 6 039 22548 20503 12 099 9 097 6 075 9 043 20503 18373 12 121 8 114 4 071 12 046 18373 16198 13 140 7 129 3 074 12 051 16198 14098 9 154 7 123 6 087 13 062 14098 12187 3 082 5 102 9 103 13 079 12187 10490 7 056 7 112 8 129 13 110 10490 8985 10 050 9 123 8 147 14 126 8985 7648 7 077 9 139 11 155 15 131 7648 6458 7 157 10*154 13 155 13 144 6458 5404 12*175 11*161 13*157 11 166 5404 4475 13*176 11 165 14*160 12 185 4475 3653 14 177 11 170 14 166 14 189 3653 2918 14 179 12 174 14 171 15 186 2918 2266 14 182 12 177 13 176 15 181 2266 1723 14 184 12 179 13 178 16 176 1723 1305 13 186 12 180 13 179 15 173 1305 1017 13 188 11 181 12 180 12 172 1017 843 12 188 11 181 12 181 10*173 843 744 11 188 10 182 10 181 5*172 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography