DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.0 - - 102.1 - - 97.9 - - 87.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 267 - - 4 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5798 - - 7761 - - 1972 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4774 - - 6209 - - 727 - - 728 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6458 - - 8421 - - 2632 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2082 - - 2660 - - 6138 - - 280 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 512 - - 524 - - 114 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 13 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 169 - - 194 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -9 - - -14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2575 - - -2108 - - -7084 - - -5414 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9033 - - 10530 - - 9716 - - 6159 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4880 - - -4326 - - -10226 - - -9539 ODpotential blCL - - - 11338 - - 12747 - - 12858 - - 10283 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 52 - - 46 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 550 - - 290 - - 80 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.0 - - 102.1 - - 97.9 - - 87.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.9 - - 58.3 - - 58.0 - - 63.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 97.0 - - 100.4 - - 98.0 - - 89.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 57.5 - - 57.3 - - 63.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 338 - - 267 - - 4 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5798 - - 7761 - - 1972 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99076 32 119 29 122 25 076 33 071 99076 91615 37 104 35 107 30 100 30 090 91615 85852 36 100 32 101 31 104 27 092 85852 81047 28 096 30 094 25 091 26 087 81047 76922 23 094 28 084 22 089 25 079 76922 73301 20 090 23 082 21 085 22 090 73301 70037 15 079 15 078 19 071 20 091 70037 67040 13 077 12 093 15 069 17 068 67040 64265 10 091 11 107 10 079 12 051 64265 61591 14 092 12 107 7 091 8 056 61591 58843 15 060 9 080 8 094 10 060 58843 56032 13 046 11 040 12 079 14 054 56032 53369 13 089 5 028 11 042 11 047 53369 50989 6 079 5 132 5 348 6 353 50989 48857 1 094 7 160 3 163 3 192 48857 46914 6 229 5 183 6 159 9 178 46914 45124 14 211 8 214 7 181 10 182 45124 43456 20 196 13 201 9 188 12 189 43456 41890 19 194 13 206 8 192 12 186 41890 40409 19 192 12 209 6 193 6 189 40409 39004 16 188 11 200 5 198 2 186 39004 37640 7 187 6 181 5 190 1 085 37640 36248 3 211 4 165 6 162 2 101 36248 34797 1 183 6 168 9 168 1 007 34797 33292 3 183 5 177 8 187 4 335 33292 31717 2 274 2 301 2 270 6 353 31717 30061 2 356 1 344 1 338 4 357 30061 28322 3 022 2 017 1 224 2 297 28322 26501 6 065 4 026 2 045 0 159 26501 24607 9 060 5 017 7 015 5 050 24607 22640 12 021 8 007 11 017 8 056 22640 20590 13 352 8 353 12 010 9 040 20590 18453 7 337 10 337 9 349 10 013 18453 16275 2 095 3 339 5 353 8 353 16275 14175 6 092 1 002 4 046 5 007 14175 12265 4 079 3 090 6 075 6 049 12265 10567 5 079 4 093 4 093 6 050 10567 9055 7 097 3*140 3 168 2 065 9055 7709 9 119 5*156 6 180 4 164 7709 6511 6*154 6 157 8 180 8 169 6511 5447 5*202 7 161 9 179 11 173 5447 4508 6 221 7 165 10 182 14 179 4508 3677 6 223 8 170 11 185 15 184 3677 2934 6 223 8 174 12*189 17 191 2934 2277 6 223 9 177 12*192 20 198 2277 1729 6 221 9 178 12 193 22 201 1729 1308 6 220 9 180 12 194 22 200 1308 1019 6 219 9 181 12 195 18 200 1019 844 6 218 8 181 11 195 15*198 844 744 6 218 8 181 9 195 7*196 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography