DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 72.8 - - 71.6 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 21 - - -15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2557 - - 1756 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1887 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3217 - - 2416 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2264 - - 2115 - - 2182 - - 1147 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 152 - - 27 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 16 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 194 - - 177 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 179 - - 600 - - -288 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3038 - - 1816 - - 1031 - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -44 - - -62 - - -1073 - - -3697 ODpotential blCL - - - 3261 - - 2478 - - 1816 - - 4440 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 1440 - - 2070 - - 2560 - - 2240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 72.8 - - 71.6 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.5 - - 67.0 - - 69.2 - - 68.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 72.7 - - 72.2 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.4 - - 66.5 - - 69.0 - - 68.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 21 - - -15 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2557 - - 1756 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 73 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 14 - - 16 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96615 39 272 37 257 33 265 38 271 96615 89412 31 257 31 256 32 265 30 271 89412 83902 29 251 29 267 25 263 25 274 83902 79316 17 233 22 263 22 280 16 279 79316 75392 6 215 11 246 17 286 9 282 75392 71973 1 003 7 234 11 293 4 271 71973 68909 1 106 9 241 10 286 5 282 68909 66094 8 315 10 280 11 302 7 291 66094 63469 17 322 14 310 15 307 17 307 63469 60921 17 321 16 309 19 303 22 292 60921 58249 27 315 27 308 25 304 20 279 58249 55439 37 302 34 297 33 298 21 282 55439 52713 43 291 40 291 39 288 32 284 52713 50228 46 280 43 282 41 275 42 279 50228 47981 47 275 47 273 41 264 48 274 47981 45932 50 274 50 267 41 260 50 270 45932 44049 52 270 50 264 41 259 48 269 44049 42310 52 266 47 265 41 262 45 267 42310 40692 51 262 45 264 43 268 43 265 40692 39185 50 258 47 265 47 271 41 258 39185 37793 46 246 51 264 46 261 33 244 37793 36476 43 236 53 256 38 244 26 241 36476 35142 42 233 41 243 39 239 28 246 35142 33751 41 238 40 242 40 236 30 251 33751 32306 40 244 42 245 39 238 32 252 32306 30790 40 247 44 246 38 240 34 253 30790 29192 40 252 42 245 38 242 33 254 29192 27515 39 250 39 244 37 244 32 255 27515 25755 35 240 36 243 36 246 33 256 25755 23915 30 242 35 245 33 246 31 257 23915 21997 29 247 30 246 29 246 27 255 21997 19998 26 239 22 243 28 248 23 249 19998 17918 21 233 18 242 31 248 20 249 17918 15802 20 224 20 243 31 248 19 264 15802 13767 21 215 21 242 26 238 18 270 13767 11917 20 216 22 236 24 231 16 258 11917 10271 16 227 26 225 24 236 17 243 10271 8805 16 223 27 222 25 243 18 234 8805 7496 24 218 26 218 25 246 19 227 7496 6331 23 212 27 210 24 252 20 212 6331 5298 22 205 26 205 23 256 21 198 5298 4386 22 203 24 200 23 230 24 189 4386 3580 22*195 21 195 26 209 28 185 3580 2859 20*186 19*193 27 195 35 181 2859 2222 19 185 18*194 27 188 37 177 2222 1692 19 186 17 194 25 183 33 177 1692 1286 18 186 16 194 23 180 26 176 1286 1008 17 185 15 195 20 178 19 174 1008 839 16 185 14 195 18*177 17*174 839 743 13 186 11 194 13*177 11*172 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography