DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 62.2 - - - - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 231 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3663 - - 4342 - - - - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3110 - - 3469 - - - - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4323 - - 5002 - - - - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 849 - - 771 - - - - - 3869 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 408 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 32 - - 31 - - - - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 005 - - - - - 005 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -4 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1687 - - -1399 - - - - - -2869 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6010 - - 6402 - - - - - 3611 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14398 - - -12839 - - - - - -16021 ODpotential blCL - - - 18721 - - 17841 - - - - - 16762 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 81 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 62.2 - - - - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.7 - - 37.1 - - - - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 61.2 - - - - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 36.5 - - - - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 231 - - - - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3663 - - 4342 - - - - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 25 - - - - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97823 32 275 31 263 32 282 97823 90546 29 244 29 261 19 273 90546 84943 16 237 21 240 13 286 84943 80240 2 270 18 208 15 253 80240 76191 1 040 9 199 13 233 76191 72631 4 212 3 245 6 229 72631 69411 8 187 4 308 4 236 69411 66463 7 167 5 262 6 208 66463 63755 10 233 13 253 10 308 63755 61155 14 231 15 240 16 317 61155 58455 11 240 13 257 22 295 58455 55667 20 244 24 266 25 273 55667 53015 30 247 33 255 38 286 53015 50635 37 239 36 261 50 284 50635 48499 38 247 50 261 52 273 48499 46543 52 250 51 252 51 265 46543 44729 45 244 41 254 50 266 44729 43033 35 247 36 267 50 275 43033 41445 34 269 39 277 52 281 41445 39953 46 281 49 280 51 284 39953 38546 55 275 55 280 50 285 38546 37186 55 271 56 274 54 279 37186 35802 47 266 54 275 55 274 35802 34360 45 256 53 271 49 281 34360 32860 44 251 50 264 42 275 32860 31288 40 253 47 260 41 269 31288 29631 37 251 43 256 37 274 29631 27886 33 264 38 259 45 299 27886 26056 37 285 37 291 30 305 26056 24152 38 296 32 305 12 308 24152 22177 33 294 31 296 14 009 22177 20119 21 293 30 312 19 007 20119 17972 20 292 24 321 20 358 17972 15779 20 291 19 336 19 351 15779 13664 22 295 17 338 18 350 13664 11739 24 301 23 333 22 002 11739 10036 25 324 26 330 29 015 10036 8546 24 341 22 343 30 025 8546 7241 23 350 29 019 28 032 7241 6094 35 007 34 019 28 035 6094 5090 36*008 32*008 31 030 5090 4216 33*006 32*007 34 023 4216 3448 33 006 32 006 34 017 3448 2761 33 005 32 005 34 014 2761 2155 32 005 32 005 33 012 2155 1650 31 005 31 004 31 009 1650 1262 31 005 30 004 28 008 1262 995 29 005 29 004 24 007 995 834 26 004 26 003 21 006 834 741 21 004 21 003 15*005 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography