DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2152z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.7 - - 89.4 - - 91.5 - - 87.2 - - 79.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 136 - - 320 - - 217 - - -20 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1045 - - 4772 - - 5773 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 727 - - 3942 - - 4533 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1705 - - 5432 - - 6433 - - 744 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2347 - - 2028 - - 3230 - - 8655 - - 329 Hgt.Variab. W* 212 - - 469 - - 441 - - 23 - - 22 W* B/S 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 198 - - 158 - - 132 - - 099 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 8 - - 13 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2178 - - -1562 - - -960 - - -6066 - - -5249 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3884 - - 6994 - - 7394 - - 6810 - - 5992 sfcLCL ODpotential -4586 - - -4743 - - -1835 - - -7285 - - -11112 ODpotential blCL 6291 - - 10175 - - 8268 - - 8029 - - 11855 blCL maxRH 75 - - 56 - - 66 - - 72 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 800 - - 350 - - 670 - - 210 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 80.7 - - 89.4 - - 91.5 - - 87.2 - - 79.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 66.2 - - 61.2 - - 61.6 - - 60.1 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.8 - - 87.4 - - 89.9 - - 88.6 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.0 - - 60.7 - - 61.1 - - 59.6 - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 136 - - 320 - - 217 - - -20 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1045 - - 4772 - - 5773 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98230 4 157 9 173 14 222 8 283 3 030 98230 90896 5 188 3 174 7 198 5 181 1 309 90896 85236 3 201 2 050 3 071 2 071 5 113 85236 80521 4 132 4 150 3 110 2 326 9 084 80521 76462 8 138 10 160 6 147 1 185 7 065 76462 72887 6 133 9 156 6 170 4 128 6 065 72887 69659 5 138 6 152 1 242 3 080 6 090 69659 66705 3 162 4 132 2 164 1 114 7 126 66705 63974 9 170 9 181 9 182 6 206 7 131 63974 61335 8 182 13 191 14 197 15 203 11 197 61335 58598 14 216 15 207 15 205 15 196 15 207 58598 55783 20 217 19 223 18 237 13 246 19 213 55783 53111 26 227 29 230 30 238 24 244 23 215 53111 50702 31 245 34 241 37 234 36 233 29 229 50702 48536 36 246 38 242 39 233 39 227 36 231 48536 46557 33 242 37 243 36 239 38 228 39 228 46557 44739 28 240 38 245 39 243 38 231 35 229 44739 43060 27 248 39 245 40 245 38 238 29 234 43060 41490 28 252 38 247 40 250 39 246 33 241 41490 40014 27 253 34 246 40 253 39 251 37 245 40014 38627 23 253 29 251 34 245 36 248 36 249 38627 37285 19 256 26 266 30 239 30 245 31 250 37285 35915 16 257 21 269 27 247 28 248 24 249 35915 34486 17 262 19 267 23 251 27 254 20 243 34486 33002 18 264 18 260 19 252 26 253 24 241 33002 31445 15 258 16 255 16 245 24 247 26 241 31445 29806 13 261 15 238 15 248 22 245 25 246 29806 28085 12 277 16 241 18 257 24 250 23 257 28085 26283 19 274 18 262 22 266 21 255 22 251 26283 24399 17 271 21 274 21 274 15 270 17 246 24399 22440 9 270 12 262 17 272 12 269 13 259 22440 20400 5 334 7 254 8 260 9 240 9 246 20400 18269 1 239 7 231 4 244 5 195 6 195 18269 16088 6 136 7 180 6 218 4 165 5 155 16088 13991 9 124 9 152 8 188 5 154 4 141 13991 12091 12 140 15 137 13 143 11 119 8 132 12091 10406 15 140 18 125 16 124 11 133 9 126 10406 8913 15 147 17 129 14 132 13 148 8 120 8913 7588 13 154 14 143 11 135 13 147 7 119 7588 6411 14 164 12*155 11*136 13 142 10 121 6411 5366 15 164 10*157 10*135 13 134 13 122 5366 4444 14 166 10 157 10 134 14 126 17 124 4444 3628 12 172 10 157 10 133 14 120 19 125 3628 2897 11 171 9 158 9 131 14 115 22 125 2897 2251 8 197 9 159 9 131 13 111 25 125 2251 1712 7*204 9 159 9 130 13 107 26 125 1712 1298 6*201 9 160 8 130 12 105 26 125 1298 1014 6 198 8 160 8 130 11 103 21 123 1014 841 5 197 8 160 8 130 9*101 18*123 841 743 5 196 8 160 7 130 6*099 9*121 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography