DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1555z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 85.4 - - 79.2 - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 127 - - -8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2722 - - 4623 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2262 - - 3386 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3382 - - 5283 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2897 - - 1778 - - 4780 - - 144 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 349 - - 350 - - 18 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 183 - - 187 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3471 - - -2342 - - -4970 - - -3142 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6853 - - 7625 - - 5713 - - 3885 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6830 - - -5529 - - -9014 - - -8902 ODpotential blCL - - - 10212 - - 10812 - - 9757 - - 9645 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 52 - - 40 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 85.4 - - 79.2 - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 54.5 - - 57.0 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.8 - - 84.4 - - 81.9 - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 53.5 - - 56.1 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 127 - - -8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2722 - - 4623 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98142 27 247 30 256 37 269 26 283 98142 90783 19 254 23 250 24 273 23 292 90783 85065 15 235 17 250 9 274 15 280 85065 80305 12 212 12 239 5 272 9 285 80305 76241 10 218 5 243 3 247 8 234 76241 72691 9 231 5 249 5 282 6 222 72691 69498 7 229 9 237 11 278 5 323 69498 66575 6 227 12 240 17 254 8 289 66575 63873 12 236 12 248 16 256 6 276 63873 61265 16 249 12 263 16 266 14 287 61265 58572 17 252 14 250 17 261 23 274 58572 55805 14 260 16 265 17 271 23 269 55805 53166 19 285 23 286 25 290 27 286 53166 50783 23 292 29 293 33 294 38 284 50783 48632 29 297 33 300 39 294 44 287 48632 46654 33 300 36 308 43 295 50 290 46654 44818 35 302 42 313 46 299 56 293 44818 43107 37 303 46 310 50 299 61 293 43107 41505 39 300 46 306 52 300 63 296 41505 39996 40 295 46 305 53 303 65 300 39996 38569 40 293 45 305 56 303 63 305 38569 37188 40 300 44 305 58 301 59 307 37188 35784 44 306 44 307 52 301 54 307 35784 34327 45 305 44 307 48 303 54 308 34327 32820 45 305 43 306 45 303 52 307 32820 31247 43 307 42 301 42 303 46 306 31247 29599 37 310 41 307 41 305 42 308 29599 27874 23 310 37 313 41 309 37 311 27874 26070 12 310 27 314 37 311 33 317 26070 24190 10 302 15 319 29 311 29 322 24190 22244 14 290 13 319 19 303 22 316 22244 20224 14 278 15 306 16 297 16 299 20224 18120 10 226 13 281 12 301 11 289 18120 15972 9 175 11 240 13 276 10 292 15972 13904 8 148 8 213 13 251 12 272 13904 12023 6 130 5 207 9 225 12 234 12023 10350 4 132 6 217 4 216 8 213 10350 8863 3 103 5 197 4 207 7 212 8863 7542 2 136 7 175 11 199 12 218 7542 6372 7 176 10 177 16 187 16 220 6372 5334 11 179 10*178 17 179 18 218 5334 4418 10 180 10*178 17 177 18 215 4418 3608 8*175 10 179 16 178 18 210 3608 2882 7*166 10 181 15 181 17 206 2882 2240 7 162 10 184 14 184 18 203 2240 1705 7 160 10 186 13 186 18 199 1705 1294 7 158 10 187 11 187 17 195 1294 1011 6 158 10 188 10 188 13 186 1011 840 6 156 9 188 7 187 8*171 840 743 6 157 9 189 4*187 4*144 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography