DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.3 - - 99.0 - - - - - 86.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 267 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3259 - - 5123 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2827 - - 4145 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3919 - - 5783 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2546 - - 2878 - - - - - 218 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 432 - - 456 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 204 - - - - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -9 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4409 - - -5441 - - - - - -5951 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8328 - - 11225 - - - - - 6695 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9063 - - -10872 - - - - - -10616 ODpotential blCL - - - 12982 - - 16655 - - - - - 11360 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 51 - - - - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 0 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.3 - - 99.0 - - - - - 86.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.5 - - 52.4 - - - - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.1 - - 97.3 - - - - - 88.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 51.5 - - - - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 363 - - 267 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3259 - - 5123 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99062 32 100 35 102 36 066 99062 91573 35 093 30 094 36 072 91573 85800 36 098 29 093 38 079 85800 81045 37 099 29 093 38 086 81045 76972 34 091 29 090 30 091 76972 73386 27 077 28 085 21 092 73386 70138 19 077 20 080 17 073 70138 67142 11 078 13 071 15 063 67142 64364 9 112 9 083 16 059 64364 61694 13 112 14 118 10 051 61694 58933 14 093 14 120 1 346 58933 56103 6 034 5 114 11 145 56103 53439 7 274 2 012 9 142 53439 51062 14 192 5 194 4 213 51062 48929 20 172 12 182 11 217 48929 46981 22 165 17 185 22 201 46981 45184 21 160 22 185 28 201 45184 43506 18 154 23 182 31 201 43506 41929 17 144 23 185 30 197 41929 40439 17 121 21 184 27 196 40439 39029 18 103 15 156 23 193 39029 37660 17 105 13 123 18 193 37660 36265 14 106 12 113 10 199 36265 34813 13 096 11 102 3 202 34813 33307 16 089 14 094 2 123 33307 31733 16 088 17 090 6 111 31733 30078 13 089 16 088 4 107 30078 28343 8 102 11 083 2 105 28343 26528 6 117 4 088 4 079 26528 24636 3 213 4 031 7 070 24636 22672 5 265 4 019 5 057 22672 20622 3 197 2 142 4 339 20622 18477 3 177 5 211 8 329 18477 16290 4 248 4 259 4 331 16290 14186 5 242 6 259 3 027 14186 12274 5 243 7 235 2 014 12274 10572 5 196 8 231 6 005 10572 9057 6 152 10 242 10 356 9057 7707 5 146 10 236 8 351 7707 6506 4 187 9*229 4 337 6506 5441 6 216 9*220 5 245 5441 4502 10*222 9 215 10 226 4502 3672 10*218 9 207 12 214 3672 2929 11 216 10 201 14 200 2929 2273 11 213 10 198 17 193 2273 1726 11 211 10 196 20 190 1726 1307 11 210 10 195 21 187 1307 1018 11 209 10 194 18 184 1018 843 10 208 10 194 14*183 843 744 9 208 9 193 6*180 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography