DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1002z - - 1600z - - 1859z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.8 - - 88.2 - - 91.0 - - 90.2 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 77 - - 222 - - 143 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 865 - - 3873 - - 5016 - - 70 - - 69 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 3124 - - 3762 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 1525 - - 4533 - - 5676 - - 730 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1867 - - 2484 - - 2673 - - 7778 - - 896 Hgt.Variab. W* 172 - - 395 - - 376 - - 23 - - 14 W* B/S 5 - - 9 - - 20 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 255 - - 241 - - 255 - - 249 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - -11 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -962 - - -104 - - 133 - - -4923 - - -3168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2487 - - 4637 - - 5543 - - 5653 - - 3897 sfcLCL ODpotential -3444 - - -1508 - - -1262 - - -5901 - - -5396 ODpotential blCL 4969 - - 6041 - - 6938 - - 6631 - - 6125 blCL maxRH 85 - - 94 - - 98 - - 81 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 1580 - - 1400 - - 1380 - - 1020 - - 750 CAPE Temp@2m 81.8 - - 88.2 - - 91.0 - - 90.2 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.9 - - 70.1 - - 69.0 - - 67.8 - - 68.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.3 - - 87.0 - - 90.2 - - 90.6 - - 85.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 72.3 - - 69.4 - - 68.3 - - 66.7 - - 67.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 77 - - 222 - - 143 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 865 - - 3873 - - 5016 - - 70 - - 69 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 77 - - 90 - - 24 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98209 19 100 22 092 20 117 9 135 10 115 98209 90819 17 093 18 102 17 119 14 102 14 100 90819 85138 15 090 14 109 10 118 16 085 16 103 85138 80447 17 100 14 103 8 113 11 084 16 103 80447 76421 17 100 15 101 11 098 9 100 15 100 76421 72872 15 098 14 100 13 093 10 090 16 092 72872 69671 12 094 13 103 13 098 11 081 16 084 69671 66748 12 097 15 108 14 105 11 097 15 079 66748 64060 18 108 17 111 14 102 13 107 14 086 64060 61481 22 109 20 116 13 099 14 103 13 095 61481 58815 20 110 22 119 13 114 12 114 12 098 58815 56069 17 109 22 118 17 128 14 136 12 114 56069 53455 14 099 21 112 22 125 22 134 17 128 53455 51096 11 120 17 110 21 120 23 123 20 131 51096 48964 13 133 15 113 17 120 16 113 16 117 48964 47005 11 119 13 109 12 120 9 090 12 084 47005 45186 9 092 9 098 11 104 10 103 10 083 45186 43482 9 079 8 097 10 083 12 107 10 103 43482 41876 8 072 7 092 8 072 11 090 10 094 41876 40359 7 037 10 047 13 047 14 051 17 056 40359 38926 10 028 17 044 21 047 23 049 26 054 38926 37539 15 036 22 044 28 046 26 049 31 053 37539 36126 19 032 24 039 26 042 25 050 30 051 36126 34656 19 019 22 035 24 038 24 051 28 050 34656 33135 17 013 19 032 20 035 22 045 25 048 33135 31546 15 014 18 032 18 033 21 042 20 045 31546 29877 14 004 17 021 18 024 19 040 17 034 29877 28134 13 320 16 345 17 003 15 020 11 022 28134 26322 11 306 18 319 15 325 10 355 10 014 26322 24445 7 354 8 316 12 306 10 327 9 350 24445 22493 7 351 8 015 6 322 8 328 7 340 22493 20453 3 356 6 039 3 036 6 038 6 035 20453 18321 4 064 4 074 1 067 5 051 4 057 18321 16145 4 018 3 094 2 123 1 119 2 133 16145 14053 1 030 4 199 5 217 5 221 6 182 14053 12152 4 196 8 223 6 206 6 213 10 192 12152 10462 6 186 8 220 6 192 8 218 10 197 10462 8959 4 163 8 221 6 183 6 208 9 209 8959 7624 1 194 8 220 6 178 7 194 5 234 7624 6440 3 234 8 223 5*180 8 195 6 239 6440 5388 6 239 8*224 5*184 8 195 6 204 5388 4459 7 230 8*227 3 213 7 199 6 190 4459 3638 8 221 8 232 4 250 6 205 7 188 3638 2902 10 230 8 239 4 265 5 214 8 187 2902 2251 10 235 8 243 4 274 4 223 9 185 2251 1707 9*250 8 248 5 279 3 235 10 181 1707 1290 8*253 8 250 5 282 3 243 9 176 1290 1003 7 255 7 251 5 283 3 247 8 166 1003 829 6 256 7 252 5 284 3*249 6 154 829 729 5 257 7 253 4 286 2*249 4*143 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography