DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.9 - - 24.6 - - 28.5 - - 28.5 - - 27.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 133 - - 310 - - 213 - - 34 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1918 - - 2072 - - 1999 - - 1610 - - 79 BL Depth Hcrit 1420 - - 1882 - - 1707 - - 723 - - 722 Hcrit BL Top 2578 - - 2732 - - 2659 - - 2270 - - 739 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 425 - - 502 - - 337 - - 592 - - 1863 Hgt.Variab. W* 257 - - 350 - - 306 - - 158 - - 48 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 13 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 011 - - 020 - - 034 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - -5 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -54 - - -399 - - -876 - - -794 - - -1564 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2632 - - 3131 - - 3535 - - 3064 - - 2303 sfcLCL ODpotential -17022 - - -16647 - - -15754 - - -14892 - - -14871 ODpotential blCL 19600 - - 19379 - - 18413 - - 17162 - - 15610 blCL maxRH 85 - - 79 - - 72 - - 76 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.9 - - 24.6 - - 28.5 - - 28.5 - - 27.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.7 - - 14.1 - - 16.1 - - 18.2 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.2 - - 23.1 - - 27.3 - - 28.3 - - 27.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.7 - - 13.2 - - 15.2 - - 17.3 - - 19.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 133 - - 310 - - 213 - - 34 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1918 - - 2072 - - 1999 - - 1610 - - 79 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 14 - - 0 - - 3 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96031 61 230 60 236 64 239 74 254 62 257 96031 88861 54 249 48 254 51 255 52 266 49 259 88861 83372 49 264 39 265 47 261 45 268 41 259 83372 78772 44 262 38 277 41 277 37 275 37 265 78772 74783 36 277 36 280 35 278 35 275 30 273 74783 71261 49 286 42 295 36 303 25 287 29 279 71261 68088 48 279 48 299 48 302 39 312 30 316 68088 65189 32 301 52 290 54 287 55 299 37 325 65189 62497 41 292 46 279 52 283 54 293 43 310 62497 59886 33 306 39 281 53 289 54 293 49 305 59886 57154 46 325 50 310 57 296 56 298 54 307 57154 54298 83 307 69 310 63 303 65 294 65 303 54298 51555 86 302 80 306 65 304 63 292 71 297 51555 49084 88 305 83 306 71 312 64 304 73 300 49084 46871 91 305 89 305 85 314 80 311 79 306 46871 44874 95 305 96 302 96 307 94 309 89 304 44874 43067 96 303 94 301 98 300 101 304 96 300 43067 41422 87 306 91 305 94 300 103 298 97 295 41422 39900 85 317 95 309 90 304 97 295 93 297 39900 38474 95 325 101 308 91 306 87 298 94 303 38474 37130 106 326 101 307 93 304 86 305 97 308 37130 35828 112 324 100 309 93 302 88 309 98 310 35828 34499 115 323 98 311 89 304 86 309 96 309 34499 33112 108 326 95 311 84 308 82 309 93 308 33112 31668 102 331 93 311 84 311 80 309 91 306 31668 30152 100 336 90 313 84 311 78 310 89 306 30152 28554 99 334 86 313 82 310 78 313 87 308 28554 26875 98 329 78 312 80 310 75 316 82 312 26875 25114 90 333 74 313 78 310 71 317 77 312 25114 23273 83 333 72 316 75 312 72 314 70 309 23273 21357 83 327 68 321 63 316 71 313 68 309 21357 19370 78 326 61 330 56 318 58 312 58 324 19370 17306 72 329 58 336 49 324 51 313 47 331 17306 15201 65 330 55 335 45 332 46 324 44 327 15201 13178 59 332 50 335 42 331 40 318 38 322 13178 11345 57 333 48 337 41 328 35 313 39 311 11345 9722 51 342 43 335 40 327 30 308 35 308 9722 8286 39 340 34 337 35 326 31 309 30 307 8286 7013 33 344 26 352 24 332 26 312 24 310 7013 5891 28 360 21 005 15 344 12 324 11 305 5891 4909 26 017 16 022 11 006 4 022 3 281 4909 4054 23 025 14 037 8 033 4 074 4 195 4054 3307 20 015 13*021 9*026 4 046 3 174 3307 2648 19*010 13*013 9*021 6*034 1 004 2648 2073 19*009 13 011 10 020 7*034 4 003 2073 1596 19 009 13 011 10 019 7 034 5 006 1596 1231 18 009 13 010 10 020 7 034 5 008 1231 979 17 009 12 010 9 020 7 034 5 009 979 826 16 009 12 010 9 020 6 034 4*009 826 739 13 009 10 010 8 019 6 033 4*009 739 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography