DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z - - 1901z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.6 - - 54.8 - - 57.1 - - 50.1 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 273 - - 157 - - -8 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 399 - - 2829 - - 3397 - - 67 - - 66 BL Depth Hcrit 710 - - 2395 - - 2568 - - 710 - - 710 Hcrit BL Top 1059 - - 3489 - - 4057 - - 727 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 502 - - 635 - - 519 - - 2811 - - 104 Hgt.Variab. W* 123 - - 371 - - 329 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 12 - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 034 - - 048 - - 038 - - 029 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1824 - - -2240 - - -2260 - - -4235 - - -2908 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2883 - - 5730 - - 6317 - - 4963 - - 3634 sfcLCL ODpotential -12523 - - -12698 - - -12120 - - -14922 - - -14946 ODpotential blCL 13582 - - 16187 - - 16177 - - 15649 - - 15672 blCL maxRH 73 - - 56 - - 54 - - 50 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.6 - - 54.8 - - 57.1 - - 50.1 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.1 - - 32.7 - - 32.4 - - 31.5 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.3 - - 53.4 - - 56.2 - - 52.4 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.9 - - 32.1 - - 31.7 - - 31.3 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 273 - - 157 - - -8 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 399 - - 2829 - - 3397 - - 67 - - 66 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96602 58 256 65 249 68 254 68 253 67 259 96602 89218 50 262 46 257 51 251 55 260 50 261 89218 83620 46 267 38 270 35 260 40 265 39 263 83620 79030 38 266 35 272 30 277 30 264 29 267 79030 75091 33 268 32 266 32 278 31 269 24 278 75091 71605 32 270 31 264 35 273 35 275 27 284 71605 68448 32 269 31 267 36 269 34 281 30 284 68448 65543 32 267 32 273 37 268 37 282 33 280 65543 62844 34 267 36 272 38 266 38 269 35 275 62844 60223 38 267 40 269 40 268 40 263 40 269 60223 57483 44 268 46 268 44 273 42 268 43 266 57483 54637 51 267 52 268 52 278 47 274 47 264 54637 51919 56 265 58 264 62 269 55 272 51 263 51919 49475 57 262 62 259 66 260 61 268 58 264 49475 47293 55 268 59 262 63 261 68 264 66 265 47293 45330 64 278 63 273 67 268 70 261 72 265 45330 43545 77 277 78 275 76 270 73 264 75 266 43545 41904 83 274 84 273 83 271 77 265 77 266 41904 40378 82 273 84 276 85 272 78 265 80 266 40378 38948 80 276 86 280 86 274 77 269 83 267 38948 37599 77 278 87 282 88 276 82 272 87 268 37599 36291 75 279 85 283 88 276 86 273 86 267 36291 34956 72 280 80 283 83 275 86 271 84 266 34956 33563 70 282 73 282 77 275 82 271 82 267 33563 32115 68 283 66 280 72 273 76 272 79 268 32115 30597 61 278 60 281 66 272 68 272 75 268 30597 28998 48 273 60 282 60 272 63 271 68 269 28998 27318 36 276 51 282 56 276 56 273 61 272 27318 25558 31 280 34 283 49 281 48 274 51 273 25558 23718 28 282 29 286 37 277 41 276 44 274 23718 21800 27 283 29 285 26 271 34 273 37 272 21800 19799 27 285 29 282 24 272 29 270 32 270 19799 17710 26 289 26 284 25 275 25 269 29 270 17710 15578 25 295 24 288 22 283 22 273 27 271 15578 13522 21 295 23 293 21 295 19 289 22 272 13522 11653 17 305 20 292 19 299 17 303 17 283 11653 9997 16 321 16 308 13 312 14 302 13 290 9997 8531 17 330 14 322 11 329 9 316 7 282 8531 7233 17 345 12 341 9 350 6 340 4 256 7233 6089 16 005 13 005 11 005 8 359 1 246 6089 5081 18 023 14 023 11 022 11 024 5 052 5081 4199 20 033 15*047 10*032 12 039 11 056 4199 3425 20 039 15*050 10*035 12 043 13 054 3425 2739 18 041 14 050 10 036 11 042 11 049 2739 2134 17 043 11 047 10 038 11 039 10 053 2134 1630 18 043 10 046 10 039 10 038 11 061 1630 1244 18*041 10 046 9 039 10 036 12 068 1244 979 12*035 9 045 9 039 9 034 11 072 979 818 11 034 9 045 9 039 7*031 8 074 818 726 8 033 8 045 8 039 5*029 5*072 726 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography