DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.4 - - 91.5 - - 88.7 - - 82.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 161 - - -8 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4533 - - 5197 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3798 - - 3928 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5193 - - 5857 - - 744 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1205 - - 2143 - - 6663 - - 224 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 477 - - 387 - - 25 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 183 - - 178 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -12 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -901 - - -1633 - - -5627 - - -4235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6095 - - 7490 - - 6372 - - 4978 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4596 - - -7442 - - -7979 - - -7880 ODpotential blCL - - - 9789 - - 13299 - - 8723 - - 8623 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 81 - - 70 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 560 - - 260 - - 440 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.4 - - 91.5 - - 88.7 - - 82.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.1 - - 61.2 - - 63.3 - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.3 - - 90.4 - - 89.2 - - 84.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 60.7 - - 62.9 - - 62.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 355 - - 161 - - -8 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4533 - - 5197 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 11 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98359 13 101 8 081 8 152 3 055 98359 90957 20 076 5 093 13 040 13 052 90957 85260 17 074 7 100 13 017 21 046 85260 80577 14 063 10 065 12 032 20 050 80577 76562 17 075 12 058 12 037 20 048 76562 73008 19 066 14 059 8 065 17 035 73008 69788 14 041 15 058 11 085 11 040 69788 66834 4 061 11 044 12 061 8 051 66834 64097 7 098 5 008 11 009 5 041 64097 61444 10 059 4 265 9 330 6 305 61444 58692 1 267 7 270 7 316 9 301 58692 55874 6 253 6 287 11 323 13 322 55874 53214 2 254 3 333 9 302 15 310 53214 50829 6 302 3 045 7 273 11 296 50829 48685 17 269 10 308 12 281 15 311 48685 46733 20 236 15 292 11 288 17 299 46733 44931 22 221 16 269 10 318 14 299 44931 43252 22 223 18 237 14 309 14 295 43252 41682 22 212 20 223 16 304 14 290 41682 40206 22 207 22 214 18 306 14 301 40206 38809 24 209 22 214 18 308 16 309 38809 37451 21 217 20 222 15 311 15 314 37451 36064 20 212 17 241 11 304 12 322 36064 34617 17 228 15 249 16 243 14 339 34617 33113 15 240 12 237 19 229 13 306 33113 31545 14 246 13 227 12 220 15 229 31545 29904 14 238 17 213 15 213 16 205 29904 28186 15 215 18 209 16 219 12 217 28186 26389 16 219 17 213 15 226 13 226 26389 24511 17 221 15 206 16 216 16 220 24511 22555 12 207 11 199 12 201 12 212 22555 20514 7 184 6 193 7 174 8 195 20514 18379 6 153 5 155 7 147 7 177 18379 16193 10 143 5 173 4 175 2 234 16193 14083 9 159 4 216 3 324 4 016 14083 12166 9 168 5 215 4 316 5 043 12166 10467 10 176 14 191 10 222 10 242 10467 8964 10 177 14 181 9 207 8 232 8964 7630 10 165 7 200 6 232 4 234 7630 6444 7 173 7*199 6 230 5 199 6444 5392 6*188 7*187 6 202 10 177 5392 4464 6*189 8 182 8 181 14 172 4464 3644 7 188 8 181 10 175 15 172 3644 2910 7 186 8 181 10 174 15 174 2910 2260 7 185 8 182 11 175 15 175 2260 1718 8 185 9 183 10 176 15 177 1718 1302 8 184 8 185 10 177 15 177 1302 1016 7 184 8 185 10 178 13 176 1016 842 7 183 8 185 9*178 11 175 842 743 7 184 7 186 7*178 4*168 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography