DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 61.9 - - 61.9 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 274 - - 4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1643 - - 2161 - - 272 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1583 - - 1910 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2303 - - 2821 - - 932 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 432 - - 362 - - 2170 - - 280 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 341 - - 45 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 036 - - 055 - - 083 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3898 - - -4288 - - -6244 - - -4293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6201 - - 7110 - - 7176 - - 5034 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15314 - - -13439 - - -15041 - - -14803 ODpotential blCL - - - 17617 - - 16260 - - 15973 - - 15544 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 63 - - 91 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 61.9 - - 61.9 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 33.5 - - 33.4 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 60.3 - - 62.4 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.1 - - 33.1 - - 33.0 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 274 - - 4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1643 - - 2161 - - 272 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 64 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96496 10 120 12 055 20 073 27 093 96496 89344 16 099 6 143 7 013 22 047 89344 83819 1 104 8 201 5 253 6 356 83819 79230 3 278 4 157 2 272 5 247 79230 75267 2 204 7 291 3 257 1 348 75267 71743 5 189 12 263 4 281 3 019 71743 68523 11 200 17 181 18 235 10 309 68523 65577 10 261 4 191 17 206 18 250 65577 62880 25 241 22 261 13 232 28 242 62880 60274 29 264 23 243 12 220 22 232 60274 57551 68 263 50 261 42 275 28 253 57551 54714 62 259 62 260 55 257 41 254 54714 51997 72 259 73 262 63 261 62 265 51997 49553 91 250 90 255 86 261 91 264 49553 47372 101 246 103 248 106 254 111 259 47372 45398 108 248 112 249 113 253 118 254 45398 43592 117 251 120 252 118 254 120 253 43592 41925 128 252 129 251 123 254 121 253 41925 40376 133 251 133 250 127 253 121 254 40376 38925 131 251 133 250 127 252 121 254 38925 37559 129 251 131 250 126 252 121 254 37559 36239 127 251 129 251 124 253 119 254 36239 34894 126 250 127 251 121 252 116 254 34894 33494 123 252 125 252 117 253 110 255 33494 32044 120 253 123 254 112 254 103 255 32044 30528 116 251 117 254 106 256 97 256 30528 28936 111 250 106 255 102 256 94 255 28936 27264 102 250 95 256 98 256 92 254 27264 25511 93 250 88 255 92 256 89 254 25511 23680 87 251 84 253 87 255 86 254 23680 21775 81 251 80 253 81 256 81 254 21775 19790 70 248 75 254 74 257 76 256 19790 17722 61 245 69 252 68 258 70 259 17722 15613 54 243 63 248 62 259 63 263 15613 13581 44 237 56 245 56 259 57 267 13581 11732 37 233 45 244 50 260 52 269 11732 10091 29 242 32 241 43 261 47 270 10091 8634 20 240 29 244 31 259 41 269 8634 7340 16 219 23 264 23 254 35 268 7340 6191 15 234 13 279 18 257 26 268 6191 5171 12 211 7 250 13 231 23 258 5171 4274 15 176 8 188 14 204 18 241 4274 3484 15 135 6*159 12 176 15 212 3484 2780 13*071 6*063 9 124 12 170 2780 2164 13*040 6 057 8 111 11 134 2164 1654 13 037 7 055 7 100 7 113 1654 1264 13 036 7 053 6 092 5 069 1264 996 13 035 7 051 6*087 7 024 996 834 12 035 6 052 5*084 6 016 834 741 11 035 6 050 4 083 4*016 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography