DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 76.6 - - 71.2 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 180 - - -14 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1817 - - 3218 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1681 - - 2513 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2477 - - 3878 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1625 - - 2935 - - 3913 - - 422 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 339 - - 12 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 14 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 179 - - 185 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1282 - - -958 - - -2266 - - -834 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3759 - - 4836 - - 3008 - - 1576 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2610 - - -1752 - - -3713 - - -3250 ODpotential blCL - - - 5087 - - 5630 - - 4455 - - 3992 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 94 - - 77 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 340 - - 290 - - 350 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 76.6 - - 71.2 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.9 - - 57.9 - - 60.5 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.2 - - 75.3 - - 72.0 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 57.8 - - 60.5 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 180 - - -14 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1817 - - 3218 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 9 - - 77 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96355 10 126 3 134 4 319 12 094 96355 89309 11 077 8 081 6 075 14 066 89309 83861 14 125 5 128 7 040 12 064 83861 79302 10 066 7 117 7 070 7 053 79302 75340 6 088 7 111 6 059 11 034 75340 71822 7 118 6 065 4 174 10 342 71822 68639 2 347 4 340 1 017 5 276 68639 65731 15 296 11 294 15 279 10 271 65731 63071 22 281 17 270 23 265 20 261 63071 60508 25 265 22 269 19 267 23 265 60508 57816 35 258 33 272 35 269 33 264 57816 55003 47 253 49 258 46 263 49 261 55003 52300 51 250 62 248 64 255 70 256 52300 49853 64 260 73 251 76 251 84 254 49853 47655 85 265 85 255 88 252 92 255 47655 45661 101 263 100 256 102 255 100 257 45661 43837 112 262 112 256 115 256 109 258 43837 42157 115 262 114 256 122 256 113 257 42157 40605 110 262 109 259 118 258 110 258 40605 39163 105 264 106 262 113 261 103 260 39163 37808 103 267 104 264 111 263 100 261 37808 36494 100 269 102 266 106 264 98 262 36494 35153 98 270 101 266 102 265 94 262 35153 33758 95 272 102 266 98 267 85 264 33758 32313 94 272 100 267 93 269 78 266 32313 30799 93 271 97 268 88 269 77 266 30799 29205 91 271 89 268 82 268 76 267 29205 27527 87 272 81 266 78 266 77 266 27527 25767 79 275 74 268 77 263 77 263 25767 23925 70 278 71 274 76 259 76 261 23925 22005 67 280 59 282 64 257 73 263 22005 20001 64 278 53 282 50 267 67 261 20001 17909 54 270 52 275 47 281 55 251 17909 15783 35 262 46 268 42 280 24 249 15783 13738 27 286 27 253 36 266 17 256 13738 11872 20 276 19 303 19 237 13 222 11872 10210 9 258 19 285 10 298 4 185 10210 8733 7 151 12 223 11 322 4 212 8733 7421 12 154 17 200 12 227 11 220 7421 6263 13 152 19 177 19 187 20 196 6263 5241 11 153 15 177 22 170 24 189 5241 4342 9 191 15*179 23 165 25 184 4342 3547 15 207 15*178 22 165 26 180 3547 2837 16*206 15 178 21 168 26 177 2837 2208 15*205 15 178 20 173 25 177 2208 1684 14 203 15 179 18 178 24 178 1684 1282 14 203 14 179 15 181 22 179 1282 1005 13 202 14 179 12 183 16 177 1005 837 13 202 13 180 10 184 13*176 837 742 11 202 12 180 7*185 5*166 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography