DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 60.5 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 30 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 673 - - 772 - - - - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 725 - - 725 - - - - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1333 - - 1432 - - - - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 885 - - 935 - - - - - 1145 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 115 - - 118 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 185 - - - - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 142 - - 369 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1191 - - 1063 - - - - - 742 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 73 - - 173 - - - - - -310 ODpotential blCL - - - 1260 - - 1259 - - - - - 1052 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 60.5 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 58.2 - - - - - 59.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 60.3 - - - - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 58.0 - - - - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 30 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 673 - - 772 - - - - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96405 34 267 25 268 27 278 96405 89296 9 258 15 218 16 299 89296 83794 4 299 8 240 10 299 83794 79234 8 298 7 297 4 232 79234 75307 6 199 10 307 6 207 75307 71824 7 204 9 256 10 245 71824 68674 13 266 11 252 13 255 68674 65776 18 263 21 282 13 239 65776 63075 17 259 25 265 19 298 63075 60476 20 291 24 275 39 283 60476 57807 21 288 25 251 35 269 57807 55035 31 308 19 282 22 246 55035 52343 53 305 51 306 38 282 52343 49896 54 302 57 300 52 288 49896 47715 48 305 50 304 48 293 47715 45730 45 299 47 306 50 287 45730 43889 41 282 46 290 52 278 43889 42168 28 289 34 279 49 272 42168 40550 24 334 19 316 36 270 40550 39028 27 342 33 350 27 275 39028 37597 20 345 34 349 28 298 37597 36231 12 296 20 334 39 314 36231 34868 18 283 18 296 45 315 34868 33473 20 302 25 304 41 316 33473 32036 16 346 22 313 36 323 32036 30534 17 007 7 328 28 314 30534 28956 14 352 10 024 23 309 28956 27301 13 339 17 019 20 321 27301 25564 15 337 17 024 14 316 25564 23745 14 326 15 000 11 332 23745 21845 11 318 15 334 11 335 21845 19860 8 287 11 316 10 339 19860 17786 8 235 10 287 10 329 17786 15667 9 254 12 259 11 322 15667 13623 15 249 13 248 10 315 13623 11766 24 243 19 244 8 278 11766 10120 21 248 21 244 18 248 10120 8661 19 252 18 249 24 240 8661 7363 17 233 18 237 23 231 7363 6212 18 225 27 204 32 222 6212 5196 20 222 28 201 33 218 5196 4300 18 220 22 203 27 212 4300 3511 12 216 17 198 28 207 3511 2806 10 216 15 192 27 202 2806 2184 11 204 15 193 25 198 2184 1668 11*199 14*192 22 195 1668 1272 8*194 10*186 18 194 1272 1000 7 193 9 186 14 193 1000 836 7 192 9 185 12*193 836 742 6 193 7 184 8*193 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography