DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.3 - - 96.5 - - 94.4 - - 87.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 322 - - 56 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3870 - - 4837 - - 4973 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3331 - - 4003 - - 2932 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4530 - - 5497 - - 5633 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 694 - - 797 - - 1094 - - 4376 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 473 - - 475 - - 276 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 17 - - 19 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 074 - - 067 - - 083 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1281 - - -1296 - - -473 - - -3386 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5811 - - 6794 - - 6106 - - 4130 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5530 - - -4516 - - -3943 - - -7860 ODpotential blCL - - - 10060 - - 10013 - - 9576 - - 8604 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 71 - - 81 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 750 - - 1160 - - 1390 - - 1270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.3 - - 96.5 - - 94.4 - - 87.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.2 - - 69.0 - - 70.0 - - 71.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.8 - - 94.5 - - 94.1 - - 88.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 68.5 - - 69.6 - - 71.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 322 - - 56 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3870 - - 4837 - - 4973 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99052 42 094 37 099 35 080 45 090 99052 91579 42 092 38 100 38 086 40 079 91579 85826 42 096 34 100 35 096 35 077 85826 81057 40 094 31 091 36 094 40 081 81057 76964 34 096 33 084 37 086 41 082 76964 73363 30 090 30 086 30 081 35 077 73363 70123 26 077 24 095 19 098 23 074 70123 67165 21 092 24 104 20 103 16 086 67165 64436 21 094 26 091 23 091 18 089 64436 61812 18 088 21 086 20 082 23 082 61812 59107 15 100 18 108 18 091 19 081 59107 56333 20 069 18 088 19 072 19 079 56333 53708 18 040 19 047 15 035 18 044 53708 51351 13 031 12 019 15 009 19 022 51351 49222 9 015 6 358 16 356 19 017 49222 47268 12 327 6 322 15 341 16 017 47268 45458 14 309 8 297 11 320 14 022 45458 43769 12 299 8 287 6 312 7 016 43769 42185 10 302 5 303 2 099 11 151 42185 40689 7 322 6 002 10 115 25 135 40689 39267 8 354 9 351 15 109 33 122 39267 37882 9 004 8 346 14 104 30 121 37882 36469 8 009 5 003 14 104 19 121 36469 34997 7 055 4 056 12 094 13 099 34997 33474 10 072 6 048 11 082 13 060 33474 31884 13 057 10 028 10 057 15 043 31884 30214 16 050 14 031 12 031 17 033 30214 28466 20 044 17 045 15 036 17 042 28466 26638 19 034 16 051 15 044 16 046 26638 24730 15 037 14 044 15 035 13 043 24730 22745 11 056 12 048 12 032 9 040 22745 20676 11 073 10 054 10 036 5 066 20676 18519 11 072 8 042 10 034 6 060 18519 16321 13 049 12 029 14 029 16 040 16321 14205 15 042 14 051 12 034 18 030 14205 12280 18 051 18 068 14 076 13 032 12280 10569 22 061 22 068 20 083 15 072 10569 9047 23 065 23 064 22 069 21 070 9047 7692 22 054 23 064 23 066 24 070 7692 6488 23 047 20*069 19*076 23 081 6488 5424 20*064 17*069 19*082 22 093 5424 4491 13*074 17 068 19 082 23 100 4491 3666 12 074 17 068 19 083 23 104 3666 2927 12 074 17 067 19 083 23 106 2927 2273 12 074 17 066 19 083 23 107 2273 1727 12 073 16 065 19 083 22 108 1727 1307 12 072 16 065 18 083 19 109 1307 1019 11 073 15 064 17 083 15 109 1019 844 11 072 15 063 16 082 12*109 844 744 10 072 13 064 13 082 8*109 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography