DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.9 - - 74.2 - - 82.4 - - 78.5 - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 84 - - 310 - - 207 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 725 - - 1925 - - 3908 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1778 - - 3096 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1385 - - 2585 - - 4568 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 649 - - 560 - - 883 - - 4612 - - 105 Hgt.Variab. W* 160 - - 343 - - 381 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 21 - - 18 - - 12 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 211 - - 207 - - 224 - - 173 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1772 - - -3419 - - -4011 - - -6624 - - -3797 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3157 - - 6005 - - 8579 - - 7367 - - 4540 sfcLCL ODpotential -11877 - - -10631 - - -10030 - - -12989 - - -12069 ODpotential blCL 13262 - - 13216 - - 14598 - - 13732 - - 12811 blCL maxRH 72 - - 53 - - 61 - - 31 - - 34 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.9 - - 74.2 - - 82.4 - - 78.5 - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.5 - - 50.5 - - 47.2 - - 48.8 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.6 - - 72.5 - - 81.0 - - 81.0 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.4 - - 50.2 - - 47.0 - - 48.7 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 84 - - 310 - - 207 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 725 - - 1925 - - 3908 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96502 11 237 12 266 13 243 15 287 16 275 96502 89310 9 215 6 197 9 229 11 268 9 314 89310 83763 11 239 10 237 12 247 14 253 8 314 83763 79145 7 261 9 234 13 250 15 256 14 307 79145 75154 11 320 7 290 10 263 9 250 10 266 75154 71609 14 292 14 284 16 298 13 317 4 294 71609 68408 10 277 7 247 11 274 14 291 13 294 68408 65500 15 334 9 321 9 280 19 291 17 284 65500 62833 23 310 21 296 20 286 24 281 23 272 62833 60281 22 274 30 321 20 321 22 310 23 334 60281 57640 53 311 48 302 45 305 44 305 33 316 57640 54879 56 297 51 295 51 301 48 300 42 284 54879 52205 49 297 58 309 58 309 57 305 50 302 52205 49779 55 316 68 314 65 307 65 304 60 299 49779 47608 70 327 74 314 69 307 69 305 72 303 47608 45648 83 327 75 315 74 313 76 310 78 305 45648 43870 83 326 74 316 80 316 81 308 79 304 43870 42246 71 322 71 315 78 316 75 305 75 302 42246 40735 60 314 65 313 71 312 69 304 67 302 40735 39306 57 307 59 312 66 311 66 307 64 301 39306 37949 57 304 56 311 65 313 66 308 62 300 37949 36628 57 304 55 309 66 314 65 306 61 298 36628 35280 55 303 54 307 65 311 63 302 62 296 35280 33874 54 301 53 307 63 308 61 299 63 295 33874 32414 53 301 51 304 61 307 58 297 63 296 32414 30886 51 302 50 302 56 303 57 298 63 299 30886 29278 48 302 50 301 54 301 56 301 62 300 29278 27590 47 302 51 303 54 302 56 305 62 301 27590 25819 45 302 50 307 51 302 55 306 61 303 25819 23970 44 303 48 308 47 300 53 304 56 307 23970 22045 40 305 42 305 43 295 50 301 48 306 22045 20043 32 305 34 297 40 291 47 297 40 296 20043 17955 25 300 30 286 37 284 42 290 38 285 17955 15824 24 282 30 288 35 286 39 287 37 291 15824 13770 28 288 25 293 27 286 36 298 32 304 13770 11904 27 282 19 283 19 271 26 303 27 315 11904 10248 25 273 15 286 14 285 22 295 24 302 10248 8774 21 265 17 284 15 288 20 298 22 301 8774 7463 18 259 23 262 22 284 18 305 19 298 7463 6297 16 250 30 242 24 277 16 279 16 289 6297 5266 14 256 27 242 18*257 15 245 19 259 5266 4360 19 274 22 253 14*235 13 245 21 242 4360 3561 30 269 21 251 14 233 11 240 14 233 3561 2845 34 252 20*233 13 227 9 230 7 245 2845 2214 34 232 19*210 12 221 9 211 7 288 2214 1688 29*220 19 208 11 217 8 196 10 309 1688 1284 25*213 18 207 11 214 8 187 12 313 1284 1007 22 211 18 206 11 213 8 182 11 310 1007 838 20 211 17 206 10 212 7*177 7 302 838 742 16 210 14 205 9 212 4*173 4*295 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography