DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.3 - - 93.2 - - 92.2 - - 85.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 407 - - 88 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5068 - - 5812 - - 5356 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4341 - - 4858 - - 3595 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5728 - - 6472 - - 6016 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1432 - - 1541 - - 2641 - - 2692 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 552 - - 542 - - 320 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 184 - - 177 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -12 - - -13 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -227 - - -531 - - -1208 - - -3815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5955 - - 7004 - - 7224 - - 4559 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3129 - - -3313 - - -5301 - - -5891 ODpotential blCL - - - 8857 - - 9785 - - 11317 - - 6635 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 64 - - 59 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 970 - - 630 - - 250 - - 1080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.3 - - 93.2 - - 92.2 - - 85.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.5 - - 64.9 - - 63.1 - - 68.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.6 - - 91.0 - - 91.7 - - 86.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 64.6 - - 62.8 - - 67.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 495 - - 407 - - 88 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5068 - - 5812 - - 5356 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99025 26 109 38 107 34 105 28 074 99025 91505 26 111 27 096 24 091 27 101 91505 85697 28 103 22 101 25 084 28 108 85697 80898 28 098 21 107 26 094 29 090 80898 76797 31 108 20 115 19 092 29 081 76797 73188 27 108 21 123 8 089 20 078 73188 69927 19 099 21 115 15 118 11 093 69927 66937 11 080 16 106 25 118 9 117 66937 64176 5 105 11 092 23 118 9 120 64176 61521 11 158 7 077 14 097 14 117 61521 58783 14 141 10 119 8 047 18 100 58783 55978 9 122 14 129 1 076 12 086 55978 53322 6 157 6 152 6 151 5 095 53322 50935 11 170 10 202 8 179 3 232 50935 48791 13 168 18 176 15 183 11 230 48791 46843 12 173 17 171 15 182 15 214 46843 45050 11 232 10 198 11 211 14 209 45050 43377 23 239 17 242 14 242 12 218 43377 41807 25 239 20 237 16 241 9 239 41807 40325 20 234 20 230 16 231 10 260 40325 38918 9 217 20 231 10 230 6 241 38918 37552 8 194 18 231 6 255 3 144 37552 36157 9 163 16 209 9 258 2 221 36157 34704 10 146 16 182 11 223 7 266 34704 33194 8 147 17 180 11 217 9 242 33194 31615 5 156 15 174 10 220 6 235 31615 29957 4 179 10 162 7 212 3 217 29957 28218 6 195 6 166 4 205 1 174 28218 26397 7 194 6 177 5 173 2 178 26397 24500 12 155 9 171 8 165 4 178 24500 22531 15 162 9 180 8 179 7 170 22531 20481 13 169 6 200 4 172 8 144 20481 18348 13 158 11 177 7 177 8 143 18348 16174 16 161 17 165 11 173 8 155 16174 14080 19 169 19 173 12 177 11 149 14080 12174 18 178 19 180 10 183 14 146 12174 10483 18 192 17 190 8 180 12 168 10483 8986 19 194 17 195 12 185 15 202 8986 7655 19 192 17*191 17 184 16 203 7655 6469 17*190 17*187 18*179 17 187 6469 5416 17*189 17 185 18*176 18 172 5416 4485 17 188 17 184 18 176 19 168 4485 3661 18 187 18 183 18 176 19 168 3661 2923 18 187 18 184 18 177 20 167 2923 2270 18 186 18 184 17 177 20 166 2270 1724 18 186 18 185 17 178 19 165 1724 1306 17 186 17 185 16 179 16 164 1306 1018 16 186 17 185 16 179 13 162 1018 843 16 186 16 185 15 179 10*160 843 744 14 185 14 185 12 180 5*151 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography