DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 75.0 - - 68.7 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 100 - - -36 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2189 - - 2937 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1710 - - 1952 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2849 - - 3597 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 915 - - 542 - - 1450 - - 816 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 270 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 21 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 207 - - 189 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 476 - - 232 - - -762 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2373 - - 3366 - - 1505 - - 742 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 534 - - -4656 - - -6677 - - -6805 ODpotential blCL - - - 2315 - - 8253 - - 7420 - - 7547 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 90 - - 87 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 75.0 - - 68.7 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.5 - - 62.7 - - 64.4 - - 64.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.5 - - 74.3 - - 70.4 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.4 - - 62.6 - - 64.4 - - 64.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 100 - - -36 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2189 - - 2937 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 61 - - 46 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96076 58 260 47 273 45 266 48 275 96076 88952 33 258 33 272 35 271 38 276 88952 83494 23 283 31 268 27 280 31 279 83494 78948 25 304 26 282 24 293 18 289 78948 75020 20 307 23 296 17 296 20 283 75020 71579 17 292 20 295 16 326 12 272 71579 68510 11 280 19 275 25 295 16 312 68510 65718 11 292 14 274 22 262 20 285 65718 63147 11 279 17 291 24 269 23 267 63147 60678 25 264 25 273 33 276 35 264 60678 58102 31 255 28 261 37 264 41 262 58102 55398 33 263 35 263 38 257 47 264 55398 52782 44 267 43 268 43 258 53 264 52782 50405 50 269 45 265 44 257 53 261 50405 48258 49 266 46 262 47 259 52 258 48258 46296 44 264 46 264 47 264 50 258 46296 44485 39 262 44 270 43 267 42 262 44485 42806 36 272 42 273 40 274 36 271 42806 41241 38 282 41 274 38 277 34 281 41241 39776 40 286 40 278 38 282 31 286 39776 38395 43 288 44 284 36 286 28 286 38395 37056 37 286 46 287 35 286 24 286 37056 35691 34 278 40 285 34 284 25 278 35691 34271 30 274 35 276 32 282 27 276 34271 32799 23 284 32 267 32 277 26 275 32799 31257 16 275 23 257 31 278 26 273 31257 29631 14 273 18 252 27 271 26 276 29631 27921 11 267 15 252 20 263 24 269 27921 26127 7 269 12 239 18 264 24 271 26127 24255 6 204 13 230 17 273 21 287 24255 22308 7 242 10 269 15 286 19 298 22308 20277 15 271 15 286 16 272 16 298 20277 18157 19 240 21 261 18 274 17 287 18157 15994 18 237 20 262 18 287 18 293 15994 13911 14 238 15 247 16 293 18 295 13911 12018 13 245 17 248 21 271 18 287 12018 10338 16 255 23 253 27 259 22 272 10338 8846 19 257 26 257 29 256 26 260 8846 7518 17 255 22 258 26 256 25 255 7518 6340 14 250 18 255 22 258 21 254 6340 5297 14 251 17 248 20 254 18 257 5297 4379 18 244 21*227 23 237 19 255 4379 3569 22*224 22*211 26 217 26 244 3569 2849 21*221 22 209 26 210 29 229 2849 2215 21 219 22 207 26 208 32 219 2215 1687 18 214 21 206 24 204 32 210 1687 1283 17 213 20 205 22 199 28 205 1283 1006 16 212 19 205 17 193 21 200 1006 838 15 212 18 205 14*191 18*199 838 742 13 212 14 204 8*189 11*198 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography