DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 77.7 - - 79.6 - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 87 - - -15 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2367 - - 2461 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1344 - - 1625 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3027 - - 3121 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1641 - - 2279 - - 5257 - - 2062 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 256 - - 30 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 26 - - 16 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 184 - - 184 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -18 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 679 - - 131 - - -2789 - - -1627 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2348 - - 2990 - - 3532 - - 2370 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 409 - - -957 - - -3989 - - -3565 ODpotential blCL - - - 2618 - - 4078 - - 4732 - - 4308 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - 97 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 1120 - - 1200 - - 1500 - - 1340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 77.7 - - 79.6 - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.8 - - 66.7 - - 66.2 - - 66.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.5 - - 77.4 - - 80.0 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 66.0 - - 66.0 - - 66.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 87 - - -15 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2367 - - 2461 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 82 - - 90 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97466 21 310 21 310 23 317 23 326 97466 90180 21 290 28 323 19 324 18 327 90180 84591 16 342 11 305 18 333 23 347 84591 79912 19 010 12 012 9 280 19 321 79912 75870 3 310 14 348 9 357 4 300 75870 72321 8 220 13 219 8 303 9 025 72321 69091 12 264 18 210 11 229 12 274 69091 66127 11 246 7 223 14 231 19 225 66127 63409 12 219 14 218 20 243 14 248 63409 60793 28 255 22 245 24 247 28 256 60793 58071 36 241 26 234 28 236 34 226 58071 55239 40 261 40 265 35 259 34 242 55239 52530 65 257 65 259 58 267 55 262 52530 50084 79 250 77 251 73 255 71 257 50084 47892 86 251 82 249 84 248 84 245 47892 45927 95 255 90 254 92 249 96 247 45927 44142 108 259 103 259 103 255 107 252 44142 42488 117 260 115 261 112 256 114 254 42488 40937 115 260 119 260 118 255 118 254 40937 39472 102 256 117 260 118 256 117 255 39472 38086 91 250 107 258 113 255 113 254 38086 36743 88 245 94 252 103 251 106 251 36743 35378 84 244 88 246 94 245 97 246 35378 33962 82 244 85 243 87 241 89 243 33962 32496 79 244 82 243 83 240 85 244 32496 30965 74 244 78 244 77 242 79 244 30965 29357 70 245 71 246 72 245 73 244 29357 27672 64 244 59 248 66 246 67 246 27672 25908 59 240 58 250 61 246 61 251 25908 24065 55 240 52 247 59 249 55 255 24065 22149 49 244 45 240 57 255 47 257 22149 20153 42 246 49 242 52 257 37 255 20153 18073 41 248 48 242 43 253 31 254 18073 15948 31 235 41 237 38 238 29 247 15948 13895 27 226 32 219 40 227 33 237 13895 12019 26 222 29 219 41 227 37 239 12019 10346 24 228 29 230 37 241 35 250 10346 8857 20 228 32 236 33 250 29 266 8857 7530 20 222 30 229 30 240 24 268 7530 6353 26 220 31 206 32 216 29 234 6353 5315 29 203 33 188 35 201 35 214 5315 4401 29 198 33 183 37 192 40 201 4401 3595 28*190 33*183 37 190 42 196 3595 2872 28*188 31*183 36 188 42 190 2872 2233 25 185 29 184 34 187 42 184 2233 1701 24 184 27 184 31 186 38 182 1701 1292 23 184 24 185 27 185 33 180 1292 1011 21 183 22 185 23 185 26 179 1011 840 19 183 20 185 20 185 23 178 840 743 15 183 16 185 16*184 15*178 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography