DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.6 - - 57.3 - - 55.2 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 19 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 109 - - 1013 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7207 - - 7207 - - 7207 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7316 - - 8220 - - 7224 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 859 - - 1845 - - 3070 - - 270 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 49 - - 135 - - 15 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 16 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 340 - - 038 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - 0 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1934 - - -1832 - - -1051 - - -1585 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9250 - - 10052 - - 8276 - - 8810 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8868 - - -6845 - - -5421 - - -9981 ODpotential blCL - - - 16184 - - 15065 - - 12645 - - 17205 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 58 - - 61 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.6 - - 57.3 - - 55.2 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 38.4 - - 43.8 - - 33.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 57.3 - - 57.3 - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.2 - - 37.3 - - 42.6 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 19 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 109 - - 1013 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96627 17 235 14 259 10 180 18 269 96627 89495 14 152 7 202 7 249 3 166 89495 84008 11 147 13 111 6 191 3 120 84008 79450 14 127 8 099 9 079 6 135 79450 75516 19 078 12 133 8 082 8 084 75516 72057 17 063 12 102 9 115 12 084 72057 68930 14 076 7 054 6 068 14 068 68930 66049 19 059 4 071 3 025 12 022 66049 63393 21 032 14 020 9 025 10 008 63393 60834 16 023 19 011 21 003 15 351 60834 58164 26 003 21 355 25 349 22 348 58164 55380 28 348 22 335 20 344 25 340 55380 52709 23 360 22 331 21 350 22 337 52709 50303 43 352 29 349 26 350 21 326 50303 48164 43 332 33 344 32 329 27 330 48164 46233 38 337 29 324 39 315 40 319 46233 44456 35 002 32 320 39 307 45 307 44456 42804 31 004 38 330 37 302 41 308 42804 41261 37 348 41 337 36 310 33 307 41261 39814 48 346 39 339 35 313 30 305 39814 38451 47 341 39 334 33 310 33 299 38451 37144 42 335 39 330 33 309 35 302 37144 35837 42 329 40 327 34 310 38 306 35837 34502 41 327 41 325 34 309 38 305 34502 33144 41 326 42 329 33 306 37 304 33144 31752 43 325 43 330 34 305 36 305 31752 30319 42 324 41 326 33 312 34 309 30319 28851 42 329 41 324 33 320 32 314 28851 27348 45 333 40 325 32 324 32 319 27348 25814 47 334 40 325 32 326 32 323 25814 24254 49 332 41 324 34 326 32 324 24254 22665 50 330 44 325 39 326 34 324 22665 21041 48 330 42 326 44 326 39 323 21041 19407 41 330 32 324 41 328 40 323 19407 17846 33 331 23 321 32 328 34 326 17846 16430 27 332 18 322 23 322 27 328 16430 15167 23 333 15 322 18 314 21 324 15167 14032 20 333 14 322 14 316 18 317 14032 13006 18 334 14 324 12 328 16 316 13006 12077 15 333 13 331 10 345 14 323 12077 11235 12 329 11 341 9 359 11 335 11235 10476 10 323 10 342 7 014 8 351 10476 9790 7 321 9 340 6 026 5 013 9790 9162 1 333 6 340 4 030 3 060 9162 8595 4 131 4*335 3 035 4 091 8595 8114 8 139 3*336 3 037 4 104 8114 7738 8 141 1 341 2 038 4 111 7738 7476 6*145 1 344 2 039 2 124 7476 7316 5*149 1 344 2*039 1*173 7316 7224 3 151 1 340 1*038 2*254 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography