DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.2 - - 36.8 - - 42.7 - - 39.9 - - 34.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -3 - - 9 - - -2 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 305 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7223 - - 7512 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 126 - - 817 - - 1888 - - 2667 - - 332 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 10 - - 71 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 347 - - 303 - - 126 - - 306 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -13 - - -3 - - -6 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4392 - - -3593 - - -2397 - - -1039 - - -1305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11615 - - 10817 - - 9909 - - 8262 - - 8529 sfcLCL ODpotential -11980 - - -9190 - - -6247 - - -4526 - - -6095 ODpotential blCL 19202 - - 16413 - - 13759 - - 11749 - - 13318 blCL maxRH 85 - - 79 - - 82 - - 89 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.2 - - 36.8 - - 42.7 - - 39.9 - - 34.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.6 - - 15.2 - - 24.6 - - 29.0 - - 22.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.6 - - 39.5 - - 42.9 - - 42.7 - - 39.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.5 - - 14.3 - - 23.6 - - 28.0 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -3 - - 9 - - -2 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 305 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 38 - - 14 - - 28 - - 57 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95365 14 077 11 314 25 314 27 339 6 313 95365 88606 26 039 8 063 14 350 21 001 10 026 88606 83351 19 036 17 036 19 030 21 017 11 048 83351 78934 11 045 18 024 18 041 18 018 15 031 78934 75083 18 033 18 032 15 045 12 007 19 013 75083 71666 22 022 18 032 17 031 11 009 16 007 71666 68553 21 015 17 027 19 015 18 016 12 002 68553 65669 20 357 19 016 20 008 23 014 13 002 65669 62989 21 340 23 357 19 001 22 002 13 006 62989 60388 24 336 27 341 20 341 21 344 19 359 60388 57669 29 342 30 336 26 326 24 329 25 346 57669 54842 35 342 31 337 29 324 29 323 30 337 54842 52121 35 331 32 330 32 332 30 328 28 329 52121 49643 31 328 31 324 33 333 30 331 26 326 49643 47399 28 331 28 324 31 331 30 327 26 324 47399 45348 25 336 24 331 27 327 29 322 27 323 45348 43455 22 340 22 339 22 322 27 317 25 322 43455 41693 21 349 22 340 19 316 26 315 26 325 41693 40049 22 357 20 337 17 318 25 316 29 334 40049 38526 21 002 16 343 17 334 22 323 26 339 38526 37124 17 005 14 006 18 347 20 344 28 001 37124 35812 15 008 12 026 16 352 25 002 37 010 35812 34522 11 019 9 040 10 359 25 358 45 015 34522 33224 9 026 16 030 12 013 19 348 44 014 33224 31917 8 056 13 025 16 009 17 343 41 007 31917 30588 7 076 6 064 15 010 17 335 37 000 30588 29226 9 103 7 114 11 018 18 339 29 002 29226 27830 13 115 8 115 7 034 20 340 24 004 27830 26403 14 115 7 127 6 049 18 342 21 002 26403 24948 11 110 8 142 3 053 12 336 20 357 24948 23469 5 075 6 143 1 318 10 347 19 353 23469 21964 4 040 4 127 2 061 11 003 17 353 21964 20425 4 159 3 103 2 036 12 009 16 355 20425 18879 9 174 3 154 3 271 13 006 15 358 18879 17402 12 180 7 196 6 236 12 357 14 359 17402 16059 13 183 8 198 4 266 11 347 13 357 16059 14859 13 179 6 197 3 296 11 345 12 354 14859 13778 13 170 4 175 2 287 10 352 10 349 13778 12798 12 159 4 132 1 267 8 357 9 342 12798 11908 9 136 4 105 1 219 6 342 9 334 11908 11100 8 110 5 092 1 178 5 340 10 331 11100 10369 8 084 6 085 1 142 4 350 10 329 10369 9707 8 063 7 082 3 125 3 357 10 329 9707 9100 9 053 8 080 5 118 2 002 10 329 9100 8552 9 047 9 082 6 118 1 344 9 326 8552 8085 9 043 10 086 6 119 2 291 8 317 8085 7721 8 038 9 091 5*120 2 292 8 307 7721 7468 7 030 7 093 3*124 2 298 7 295 7468 7312 6*021 5*090 2 127 3*306 6*284 7312 7223 4*347 2*303 1 127 2*306 5*277 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography