DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.4 - - 69.8 - - 72.3 - - 70.1 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 51 - - 337 - - 431 - - 254 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 609 - - 3473 - - 4248 - - 2758 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 9571 - - 10256 - - 8940 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7816 - - 10681 - - 11456 - - 9966 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1180 - - 1586 - - 1369 - - 1325 - - 1867 Hgt.Variab. W* 138 - - 456 - - 530 - - 386 - - 16 W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 245 - - 225 - - 229 - - 240 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -29 - - -35 - - -46 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4659 - - -3777 - - -3459 - - -5217 - - -5278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12476 - - 14458 - - 14916 - - 15183 - - 12503 sfcLCL ODpotential -12040 - - -9836 - - -9946 - - -11952 - - -12145 ODpotential blCL 19856 - - 20517 - - 21402 - - 21918 - - 19369 blCL maxRH 67 - - 30 - - 30 - - 35 - - 29 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.4 - - 69.8 - - 72.3 - - 70.1 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 31.5 - - 31.9 - - 28.7 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.1 - - 67.9 - - 70.1 - - 68.6 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 30.3 - - 30.7 - - 27.5 - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 51 - - 337 - - 431 - - 254 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 609 - - 3473 - - 4248 - - 2758 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99539 49 099 38 107 39 111 32 118 27 106 99539 92003 38 099 35 110 33 104 34 110 29 104 92003 86195 34 105 35 111 28 105 30 101 30 100 86195 81384 30 111 30 111 27 115 25 099 27 104 81384 77242 25 100 27 103 29 115 21 108 21 101 77242 73581 19 105 23 093 22 119 22 110 22 111 73581 70278 14 112 17 101 26 114 17 105 22 114 70278 67261 17 132 16 151 12 126 10 132 13 102 67261 64486 17 118 14 154 13 165 13 137 12 120 64486 61794 7 147 11 159 16 171 10 179 8 128 61794 58987 11 193 16 187 15 192 12 166 11 164 58987 56085 20 199 22 200 20 211 16 200 11 181 56085 53318 21 191 23 204 28 213 31 217 30 211 53318 50835 24 218 30 208 37 213 42 218 38 211 50835 48610 36 227 34 210 42 214 46 220 45 227 48610 46588 43 234 40 219 45 218 52 221 60 233 46588 44731 49 230 47 218 51 216 56 219 62 230 44731 43018 52 221 53 213 56 214 56 220 58 225 43018 41431 52 218 55 211 57 213 57 220 59 223 41431 39951 52 222 52 215 57 215 54 220 59 220 39951 38567 50 225 47 221 53 218 54 222 55 217 38567 37248 46 225 43 224 49 222 51 222 53 218 37248 35930 42 223 41 222 43 224 46 221 51 214 35930 34585 41 222 39 222 39 222 42 215 52 209 34585 33215 41 222 38 223 39 219 43 211 52 214 33215 31813 41 224 36 224 39 218 43 217 48 219 31813 30372 38 227 33 225 36 218 39 220 42 220 30372 28897 35 232 31 223 32 216 36 217 39 216 28897 27388 32 235 30 220 29 214 34 213 40 212 27388 25852 31 234 30 221 29 213 36 206 43 211 25852 24297 31 235 31 226 31 213 37 205 43 212 24297 22714 32 237 31 228 31 214 33 205 36 207 22714 21096 30 231 31 222 32 214 28 208 30 199 21096 19469 28 221 30 216 32 215 25 213 28 191 19469 17913 29 210 29 215 30 217 22 209 30 183 17913 16498 34 201 26 213 25 219 19 199 32 179 16498 15231 36 195 25 209 21 218 18 189 31 177 15231 14089 33 190 26 203 18 215 17 187 27 179 14089 13054 30 184 26 200 18 211 17 192 23 185 13054 12115 28 180 26 200 17*216 18 202 22 197 12115 11265 27 182 22*204 17*221 18 214 24 210 11265 10498 25 192 19*212 17 224 18*228 27 218 10498 9807 23 206 17 221 17 227 18*235 27 225 9807 9174 20 223 16 225 18 230 19 239 24 233 9174 8604 17 239 16 228 18 231 19 240 21 244 8604 8121 15*245 16 229 18 232 18 242 19 249 8121 7743 13*246 15 229 17 233 18 242 18 251 7743 7479 10 244 14 230 16 233 17 242 15 252 7479 7317 8 244 12 230 14 233 15 242 12*251 7317 7224 6 244 9 229 10 234 10 243 7*251 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography