DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/18 Truckee 7178ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1008z - - 1331z - - 1557z - - 1856z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.7 - - 75.9 - - 80.1 - - 78.1 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 204 - - 290 - - 162 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3089 - - 4554 - - 3417 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7177 - - 9088 - - 10340 - - 9241 - - 7177 Hcrit BL Top 7194 - - 10267 - - 11732 - - 10595 - - 7194 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 419 - - 1749 - - 2006 - - 1968 - - 1847 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 376 - - 481 - - 362 - - 16 W* B/S 2 - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 298 - - 254 - - 266 - - 268 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -13 - - -15 - - -28 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4580 - - -4778 - - -4372 - - -3900 - - -4124 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11774 - - 15046 - - 16105 - - 14496 - - 11319 sfcLCL ODpotential -11924 - - -11481 - - -10406 - - -9256 - - -10073 ODpotential blCL 19118 - - 21748 - - 22138 - - 19851 - - 17267 blCL maxRH 43 - - 64 - - 85 - - 76 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 63.7 - - 75.9 - - 80.1 - - 78.1 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.5 - - 35.0 - - 34.5 - - 39.5 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.9 - - 74.4 - - 78.3 - - 77.0 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.5 - - 32.8 - - 31.9 - - 37.9 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 204 - - 290 - - 162 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3089 - - 4554 - - 3417 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 4 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99271 32 104 33 113 32 109 30 103 32 105 99271 91786 27 100 26 110 26 106 29 098 26 100 91786 85992 24 102 22 110 23 114 24 094 23 101 85992 81190 20 101 20 104 20 117 18 095 22 100 81190 77061 18 095 14 103 19 106 14 110 21 094 77061 73416 18 099 16 115 17 094 18 118 19 088 73416 70113 17 095 15 112 10 102 16 101 17 085 70113 67081 11 085 14 109 11 121 9 113 13 086 67081 64287 9 121 13 114 11 115 11 134 8 107 64287 61603 11 114 10 121 7 120 9 128 10 115 61603 58819 7 111 9 149 6 182 3 154 4 095 58819 55959 6 241 5 209 8 215 6 243 9 252 55959 53267 12 248 12 243 14 230 15 247 16 243 53267 50861 22 264 18 256 17 245 20 240 21 241 50861 48712 38 252 35 247 31 254 28 251 30 252 48712 46765 48 239 47 236 44 248 43 251 40 255 46765 44977 52 235 53 230 52 241 52 246 46 252 44977 43314 50 239 52 230 51 238 54 243 47 252 43314 41753 46 242 47 237 43 243 52 243 42 254 41753 40285 40 242 41 243 40 247 42 245 39 259 40285 38905 36 241 37 242 40 245 38 249 37 259 38905 37584 32 245 34 240 38 239 36 248 35 254 37584 36263 30 253 33 244 36 238 35 246 33 253 36263 34916 30 264 35 250 33 246 31 254 29 253 34916 33548 32 273 34 257 31 257 28 264 25 257 33548 32148 32 277 33 265 29 268 25 267 23 261 32148 30708 32 278 31 265 26 264 24 256 22 255 30708 29231 30 283 25 263 23 253 22 238 21 241 29231 27717 25 291 20 270 19 250 20 234 20 233 27717 26170 23 303 19 288 17 261 16 249 14 254 26170 24593 21 308 18 299 17 278 15 276 14 290 24593 22983 19 302 17 298 17 290 17 295 14 303 22983 21336 18 294 16 295 17 296 17 306 13 308 21336 19678 16 283 14 289 15 296 15 311 9 302 19678 18093 17 263 14 274 14 290 12 305 7 279 18093 16650 21 251 17 264 13 282 11 296 8 267 16650 15358 22 250 19 262 14 278 10 290 9 268 15358 14194 20 253 18 265 12 277 8 291 9 275 14194 13141 17 260 16 270 10 272 6 280 8 284 13141 12186 13 265 13 271 8*263 6 260 7 292 12186 11320 10 259 11 266 8*263 7*257 7 294 11320 10539 9 231 10*259 8 265 8*260 8 291 10539 9832 8 205 9*255 9 266 11 267 10 286 9832 9186 7 187 7 254 10 266 12 269 12 281 9186 8603 5 170 7 254 10 267 12 269 13 278 8603 8109 2 135 6 253 10 266 12 269 14 278 8109 7723 2 072 6 253 9 266 12 269 13 277 7723 7454 2 050 5 253 9 266 11 269 11 275 7454 7289 1*015 5 252 8 265 10 269 9*274 7289 7194 2*298 4 251 7 266 7 268 5*272 7194 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography