DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 Truckee 7174ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1331z - - 1558z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.5 - - 21.0 - - 25.0 - - 24.3 - - 17.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 71 - - 118 - - 26 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1309 - - 2264 - - 2301 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7174 - - 7174 - - 8227 - - 7174 - - 7174 Hcrit BL Top 7191 - - 8484 - - 9439 - - 9475 - - 7191 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1622 - - 1623 - - 1867 - - 1667 - - 1512 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 195 - - 279 - - 171 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 17 - - 15 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 338 - - 356 - - 001 - - 012 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 14 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -11 - - -16 - - -13 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1294 - - 2249 - - 2285 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7191 - - 7191 - - 7191 - - 7191 - - 7191 sfcLCL ODpotential -724 - - 515 - - 1071 - - 844 - - -1637 ODpotential blCL 7915 - - 7969 - - 8368 - - 8631 - - 8828 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 99 - - 98 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.5 - - 21.0 - - 25.0 - - 24.3 - - 17.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.7 - - 19.1 - - 20.6 - - 19.1 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 18.9 - - 20.6 - - 24.2 - - 24.1 - - 19.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.8 - - 18.6 - - 19.5 - - 18.6 - - 16.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 71 - - 118 - - 26 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1309 - - 2264 - - 2301 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 99 - - 96 - - 93 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95462 29 311 25 307 21 312 24 271 32 314 95462 88270 14 342 12 317 6 302 12 294 23 333 88270 82875 16 003 6 344 7 277 13 320 18 355 82875 78442 21 341 9 037 7 283 16 326 22 353 78442 74640 22 331 14 006 7 300 15 341 17 005 74640 71262 18 324 16 343 11 308 13 332 18 357 71262 68180 14 321 18 333 18 322 17 344 16 341 68180 65314 16 326 20 328 23 333 16 355 15 007 65314 62603 24 322 23 327 26 329 26 353 28 358 62603 59942 30 318 26 322 29 325 41 332 38 342 59942 57154 32 314 29 320 34 318 46 319 40 331 57154 54246 35 314 35 327 35 322 40 322 43 328 54246 51451 44 316 43 334 42 338 43 342 46 330 51451 48925 52 314 53 334 52 342 50 347 49 338 48925 46659 55 314 61 330 61 340 57 349 56 347 46659 44609 57 315 65 329 68 339 68 349 67 349 44609 42748 58 317 67 329 74 338 79 345 77 348 42748 41047 58 320 68 330 77 338 84 341 89 345 41047 39476 58 323 69 333 79 339 79 342 95 337 39476 38015 57 326 69 336 80 342 84 350 88 350 38015 36664 57 329 71 340 83 347 95 355 117 007 36664 35394 57 331 74 344 92 351 110 000 138 010 35394 34134 57 334 78 346 101 352 130 003 140 007 34134 32854 58 336 82 347 103 352 141 005 134 004 32854 31558 59 337 83 347 100 353 144 006 127 001 31558 30231 62 335 80 346 97 354 143 005 121 358 30231 28864 56 330 75 344 95 355 139 001 119 357 28864 27460 47 330 68 340 92 356 136 358 118 358 27460 26021 42 329 58 337 84 356 140 003 114 002 26021 24553 30 335 41 331 68 353 129 007 110 009 24553 23063 25 341 24 315 52 347 105 005 103 012 23063 21549 25 338 18 305 39 342 80 357 89 011 21549 20009 23 335 21 309 31 339 53 350 75 008 20009 18473 23 335 23 325 29 342 35 353 65 002 18473 17016 25 337 24 345 29 345 29 357 53 358 17016 15703 28 340 25 354 28 346 28 356 39 357 15703 14536 31 344 26 355 28 346 28 354 29 002 14536 13488 32 346 26 354 26 346 28 354 25 012 13488 12540 31 348 26 353 25 347 26 356 25 021 12540 11680 30 349 26 355 23 349 24 001 25 028 11680 10901 29 350 26 358 22 353 23 006 25 034 10901 10198 28 353 26 001 21 358 22 008 24 037 10198 9563 27 357 26 004 20*000 20*010 24 039 9563 8983 27 001 25*004 18*001 19*011 24 038 8983 8459 26 360 22*000 17 001 19 011 24 037 8459 8014 23 355 19 357 15 001 18 012 23 035 8014 7666 19 348 17 355 14 001 16 012 21 035 7666 7424 16 344 15 355 13 001 15 012 18 034 7424 7276 12*341 12 354 11 001 12 013 13*033 7276 7191 7*338 8 354 8 002 8 013 7*034 7191 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography