DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 Truckee 7176ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1328z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.7 - - 36.1 - - 39.9 - - 35.4 - - 29.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -60 - - -27 - - -3 - - -38 - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7175 - - 7175 - - 7175 - - 7175 - - 7175 Hcrit BL Top 7192 - - 7192 - - 7192 - - 7192 - - 7192 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 42 - - 85 - - 216 - - 168 - - 54 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 14 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 213 - - 214 - - 232 - - 224 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -12 - - -11 - - -12 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2108 - - -2695 - - -3492 - - -2939 - - -1734 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9301 - - 9888 - - 10685 - - 10131 - - 8926 sfcLCL ODpotential -11919 - - -8736 - - -9045 - - -10037 - - -10485 ODpotential blCL 19111 - - 15928 - - 16237 - - 17229 - - 17677 blCL maxRH 61 - - 68 - - 57 - - 90 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.7 - - 36.1 - - 39.9 - - 35.4 - - 29.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.1 - - 18.5 - - 18.7 - - 16.7 - - 15.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.9 - - 37.9 - - 41.7 - - 39.4 - - 35.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.0 - - 16.2 - - 15.0 - - 13.8 - - 14.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -60 - - -27 - - -3 - - -38 - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 62 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96157 42 302 39 302 38 302 41 304 42 302 96157 89168 19 333 20 347 15 321 23 327 22 327 89168 83722 13 357 16 013 6 356 13 335 16 336 83722 79159 11 006 11 015 7 354 8 336 11 344 79159 75198 10 001 8 354 6 325 8 316 9 347 75198 71676 9 354 7 324 7 303 8 298 7 323 71676 68473 11 339 6 298 10 288 9 299 8 306 68473 65519 13 319 8 295 12 270 12 295 12 297 65519 62778 15 306 12 301 14 262 15 280 16 285 62778 60124 18 300 15 302 14 267 19 283 18 289 60124 57357 21 294 18 297 17 283 20 281 26 282 57357 54491 24 293 23 293 21 288 26 290 27 283 54491 51752 25 296 26 296 25 294 32 283 36 285 51752 49290 24 304 27 299 30 294 28 289 42 280 49290 47091 24 311 28 301 31 300 35 295 41 276 47091 45103 25 313 27 307 33 305 38 289 36 273 45103 43293 23 318 28 314 32 305 31 284 33 272 43293 41638 23 329 30 320 31 308 25 287 32 274 41638 40113 24 331 31 323 33 315 32 295 33 278 40113 38692 23 330 32 328 38 318 39 299 35 281 38692 37360 22 320 32 330 39 320 40 298 38 282 37360 36087 9 275 25 328 39 322 36 294 39 281 36087 34813 5 205 17 315 36 323 31 294 37 280 34813 33511 3 212 9 257 24 324 27 296 35 280 33511 32187 6 247 7 221 14 299 22 301 33 277 32187 30832 9 244 8 237 12 245 17 306 31 273 30832 29439 12 245 12 245 12 232 12 290 24 268 29439 28012 14 239 13 247 11 232 12 256 17 255 28012 26557 15 224 13 240 13 225 12 230 14 236 26557 25077 16 214 14 232 15 221 15 217 18 222 25077 23572 17 199 14 217 16 221 17 213 22 216 23572 22041 19 185 18 202 16 223 17 218 21 213 22041 20479 21 178 21 192 19 220 19 218 19 204 20479 18912 20 178 21 186 20 216 21 215 21 198 18912 17417 17 183 19 186 20 212 23 212 23 197 17417 16060 14 190 18 189 20 208 23 207 27 196 16060 14848 12 198 17 192 21 204 24 203 30 195 14848 13759 12 205 16 195 20 202 24 201 32 193 13759 12773 11 209 16 197 19 201 24 200 33 191 12773 11878 12 211 16 197 19 199 24 197 32 189 11878 11068 12 209 16 196 19 197 24 194 30 188 11068 10335 12 208 17 197 18 196 23 192 27 188 10335 9673 13 206 17 199 17 196 22 192 24 190 9673 9066 14 207 17 202 16 201 20 195 22 192 9066 8518 14 204 16 204 14 210 17 203 19 196 8518 8051 14 200 16 206 13 217 14 214 16 203 8051 7688 13 193 14 205 12 222 13 221 14 212 7688 7435 12 191 13 208 11 226 11 223 12 220 7435 7280 11*196 10*212 9*228 9*223 10*228 7280 7192 8*213 6*214 6*232 6*224 7*239 7192 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography