DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Truckee 7176ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0656z - - 0958z - - 1557z - - 1856z - - 2156z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.8 - - 59.9 - - 63.4 - - 58.9 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 316 - - 418 - - 202 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2837 - - 3820 - - 2254 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7176 - - 9024 - - 9868 - - 8446 - - 7176 Hcrit BL Top 7193 - - 10014 - - 10997 - - 9431 - - 7193 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 411 - - 1479 - - 1681 - - 979 - - 850 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 413 - - 501 - - 330 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 15 - - 13 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 215 - - 231 - - 245 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -23 - - -25 - - -36 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5261 - - -5901 - - -4277 - - -3381 - - -1467 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12455 - - 15916 - - 15275 - - 12813 - - 8660 sfcLCL ODpotential -13479 - - -12313 - - -9092 - - -8093 - - -8182 ODpotential blCL 20672 - - 22327 - - 20089 - - 17524 - - 15375 blCL maxRH 28 - - 32 - - 28 - - 39 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.8 - - 59.9 - - 63.4 - - 58.9 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.9 - - 15.3 - - 21.3 - - 27.9 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.4 - - 58.1 - - 61.0 - - 57.6 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.7 - - 14.6 - - 20.6 - - 27.5 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 316 - - 418 - - 202 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2837 - - 3820 - - 2254 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98241 5 067 8 108 6 126 4 121 2 045 98241 90907 10 066 9 102 9 095 8 090 6 083 90907 85259 12 061 12 080 11 097 8 072 10 085 85259 80572 9 064 8 084 10 101 7 097 11 069 80572 76533 11 058 11 078 9 092 6 069 10 065 76533 72965 5 066 6 034 10 112 7 125 7 064 72965 69730 6 121 4 170 1 095 4 088 5 040 69730 66755 4 316 4 178 7 228 6 259 4 257 66755 63997 10 257 6 238 10 215 12 226 6 250 63997 61319 18 255 14 245 13 240 15 247 21 249 61319 58533 30 248 27 239 28 243 24 247 27 242 58533 55645 39 243 36 242 37 244 31 247 30 249 55645 52881 46 247 46 245 47 247 41 254 40 257 52881 50392 53 246 55 245 56 248 54 252 52 256 50392 48163 57 246 59 245 62 247 62 250 61 254 48163 46142 62 248 62 246 67 246 68 251 68 251 46142 44290 64 248 65 247 68 245 71 250 75 250 44290 42579 65 248 65 248 66 246 72 250 81 249 42579 40983 65 247 64 249 66 248 73 251 84 250 40983 39489 65 246 63 249 67 249 75 252 87 250 39489 38090 64 246 62 249 66 250 76 253 88 251 38090 36757 62 245 60 248 64 252 73 253 87 251 36757 35430 57 245 60 245 61 252 66 253 84 251 35430 34083 50 244 58 244 56 250 57 253 76 250 34083 32724 44 244 55 244 53 251 54 253 67 248 32724 31343 39 244 49 244 53 250 52 253 56 246 31343 29932 36 242 44 242 52 244 49 255 47 241 29932 28488 33 239 40 239 50 238 48 258 44 239 28488 27012 32 237 38 237 48 235 48 258 44 243 27012 25503 30 238 37 236 45 234 47 254 44 245 25503 23966 28 239 35 236 40 235 42 250 42 249 23966 22400 24 238 31 237 35 237 33 245 36 250 22400 20804 22 237 27 237 30 237 27 240 27 244 20804 19206 20 236 24 236 26 236 23 235 21 234 19206 17681 19 234 22 234 23 236 20 231 18 223 17681 16294 19 232 21 231 21 236 17 227 17 214 16294 15052 20 227 20 229 18 232 15 220 17 207 15052 13932 21 221 19 226 17 224 14 212 16 203 13932 12919 22 214 19 220 17 213 14 208 16 202 12919 11998 23 206 19 215 17 204 17 206 17 205 11998 11162 25 199 20 211 17*203 20 207 19 208 11162 10409 25 192 20*209 17*204 21 210 22 212 10409 9728 24 187 19*209 14 219 20*216 25 215 9728 9105 23 186 18 211 13 234 17*234 24 219 9105 8544 23 188 15 217 13 238 16 245 21 228 8544 8068 21 194 14 219 13 240 16 247 16 244 8068 7699 20 196 13 220 12 241 15 248 15 254 7699 7441 18 200 12 221 12 242 14 248 13 256 7441 7283 15*203 10 221 10 242 12 249 10*256 7283 7193 6*212 8 221 8 241 9 248 5*253 7193 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography