DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.9 - - 38.8 - - 43.9 - - 43.9 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -41 - - -35 - - -8 - - -2 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 45 - - 60 - - 367 - - 948 - - 71 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 12 - - 14 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 260 - - 270 - - 255 - - 249 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -17 - - -7 - - -6 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5138 - - -5156 - - -3471 - - -2929 - - -2789 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12362 - - 12379 - - 10694 - - 10152 - - 10012 sfcLCL ODpotential -16747 - - -15327 - - -10453 - - -9329 - - -10548 ODpotential blCL 23970 - - 22550 - - 17676 - - 16552 - - 17771 blCL maxRH 82 - - 91 - - 87 - - 91 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.9 - - 38.8 - - 43.9 - - 43.9 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.5 - - 11.1 - - 22.9 - - 25.2 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.8 - - 44.3 - - 46.1 - - 46.5 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.5 - - 9.9 - - 21.8 - - 23.9 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -41 - - -35 - - -8 - - -2 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 27 - - 62 - - 49 - - 63 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96542 42 058 24 048 25 069 26 054 9 035 96542 89613 30 083 27 082 23 088 19 074 12 061 89613 84191 29 112 30 092 29 104 19 102 18 081 84191 79613 26 120 25 103 25 107 19 105 16 102 79613 75646 18 115 19 103 16 108 16 094 10 109 75646 72145 9 101 14 090 7 118 6 105 1 330 72145 68979 9 105 5 061 3 276 3 344 2 246 68979 66073 10 066 2 212 11 279 12 320 14 318 66073 63393 7 002 4 255 15 280 16 300 17 291 63393 60811 8 332 4 273 14 265 18 285 25 279 60811 58132 16 313 14 277 22 283 28 286 34 278 58132 55349 24 306 26 288 31 284 36 283 38 285 55349 52668 33 301 36 285 35 281 44 284 47 285 52668 50231 30 300 33 284 36 287 46 289 47 297 50231 48020 33 311 35 300 54 306 54 298 53 301 48020 45993 47 315 51 309 56 301 57 301 63 304 45993 44120 57 313 57 301 54 303 66 305 73 302 44120 42381 46 309 51 299 62 307 75 302 80 299 42381 40763 33 317 49 310 64 306 71 298 81 297 40763 39263 46 324 62 312 64 302 63 292 75 295 39263 37884 55 321 68 308 69 295 62 291 73 298 37884 36589 53 318 46 297 61 291 64 291 75 302 36589 35306 44 318 42 293 54 286 63 290 77 302 35306 34005 37 318 42 296 52 283 63 293 78 301 34005 32686 33 316 40 297 50 283 63 294 75 299 32686 31332 32 310 41 295 51 286 60 292 70 298 31332 29935 31 307 38 292 49 292 56 291 65 297 29935 28497 32 301 32 293 46 293 51 292 62 298 28497 27023 34 301 30 296 43 291 48 292 62 295 27023 25516 34 301 27 291 41 291 48 295 62 294 25516 23985 30 299 24 279 34 292 43 298 57 300 23985 22426 28 298 23 280 29 294 33 296 48 301 22426 20832 29 301 23 295 25 293 25 289 40 292 20832 19230 29 303 22 304 23 292 23 287 36 284 19230 17700 28 304 20 306 23 292 24 290 33 282 17700 16309 25 303 19 307 22 292 24 296 30 282 16309 15065 23 303 19 305 21 291 24 300 26 284 15065 13945 21 304 19 303 19 292 22 304 21 285 13945 12932 18 305 20 301 18 294 20 306 18 287 12932 12014 16 305 19 299 18 296 18 307 15 290 12014 11182 14 304 18 297 17 300 16 309 13 291 11182 10432 13 302 17 296 16 304 14 311 12 292 10432 9754 13 301 15 293 15 309 13 315 11 292 9754 9134 13 298 15 290 15 312 11 320 10 293 9134 8574 13 293 15 286 15 311 10 326 9 293 8574 8099 13 284 15 282 14 305 9 329 8 296 8099 7728 13 273 15 277 13 297 8 325 6 301 7728 7471 11 260 13 272 10 287 6 315 5 297 7471 7314 10*255 11*268 8*283 5*307 4*290 7314 7223 5*260 6*270 3*255 1*249 4*275 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography