DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.3 - - 40.5 - - - - - 34.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 124 - - - - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1474 - - 1634 - - - - - 159 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7206 - - 7848 - - - - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8680 - - 8841 - - - - - 7365 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1417 - - 2151 - - - - - 1487 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 218 - - 256 - - - - - 63 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 235 - - - - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -27 - - -25 - - - - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1458 - - 1619 - - - - - 143 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7223 - - 7223 - - - - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 307 - - 581 - - - - - -60 ODpotential blCL - - - 8373 - - 8260 - - - - - 7425 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 99 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 120 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.3 - - 40.5 - - - - - 34.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 36.8 - - - - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 39.6 - - - - - 34.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 35.9 - - - - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 124 - - - - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1474 - - 1634 - - - - - 159 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 94 - - - - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97487 2 339 8 030 7 053 97487 90268 3 171 5 099 13 350 90268 84710 1 075 4 041 7 341 84710 80092 4 018 6 344 4 104 80092 76090 2 171 7 267 9 027 76090 72545 4 237 11 231 11 333 72545 69330 8 227 15 225 15 281 69330 66371 10 244 12 221 15 239 66371 63611 15 258 12 236 15 216 63611 60908 21 242 22 257 13 223 60908 58063 23 231 30 247 18 251 58063 55100 22 223 30 232 27 254 55100 52274 21 224 29 219 28 241 52274 49727 23 216 26 217 23 230 49727 47439 26 216 24 218 19 238 47439 45356 34 215 28 217 19 246 45356 43444 43 207 28 208 18 252 43444 41676 45 197 21 205 16 262 41676 40034 40 190 22 216 13 267 40034 38506 37 189 29 208 11 300 38506 37090 34 193 21 197 15 326 37090 35752 32 191 12 191 14 316 35752 34431 32 182 10 205 20 341 34431 33109 29 173 10 211 21 018 33109 31797 25 164 5 205 47 028 31797 30473 25 151 2 243 48 022 30473 29113 27 146 4 304 45 017 29113 27718 28 155 9 331 42 009 27718 26291 24 167 11 338 36 005 26291 24837 18 176 9 347 30 010 24837 23361 12 188 9 355 25 019 23361 21860 11 198 9 003 19 022 21860 20325 10 208 6 020 14 017 20325 18784 7 207 5 061 12 003 18784 17312 6 169 5 114 11 347 17312 15975 9 159 5 142 10 333 15975 14781 10 162 4 165 12 325 14781 13708 9 173 4 196 14 323 13708 12736 8 183 6 188 14 324 12736 11853 8 194 7 201 13 325 11853 11051 9 204 10 212 13 320 11051 10327 11 214 13 222 14 306 10327 9671 13 219 16 229 15 287 9671 9072 14*219 17*230 15 265 9072 8531 14*219 17*233 16 255 8531 8072 13 219 16 234 16 254 8072 7713 13 218 15 236 14 254 7713 7464 11 217 14 236 12*254 7464 7311 10 217 12 237 10*253 7311 7222 6 216 8 237 6 253 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography