DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Truckee 7205ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.0 - - 31.5 - - 30.9 - - 22.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 81 - - 31 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 1161 - - 1318 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7928 - - 8367 - - 8523 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2091 - - 2287 - - 2602 - - 1998 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 150 - - 200 - - 154 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 24 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 209 - - 202 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 16 - - 23 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -24 - - -26 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 707 - - 1145 - - 1301 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -42 - - 385 - - 59 - - -804 ODpotential blCL - - - 7970 - - 7982 - - 8464 - - 8026 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 98 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.0 - - 31.5 - - 30.9 - - 22.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.9 - - 29.4 - - 27.4 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 29.7 - - 31.2 - - 30.7 - - 24.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 28.5 - - 26.8 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 81 - - 31 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 1161 - - 1318 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 91 - - 98 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96715 31 095 27 101 31 099 35 111 96715 89570 23 104 19 116 22 114 25 106 89570 83996 19 101 20 116 18 122 18 076 83996 79344 10 115 10 111 5 124 7 061 79344 75311 8 174 3 118 2 320 1 351 75311 71729 5 205 6 282 8 284 7 239 71729 68477 6 140 4 220 9 192 6 195 68477 65458 25 248 24 247 21 228 19 220 65458 62635 33 233 31 222 25 229 24 229 62635 59883 21 217 23 215 22 240 28 236 59883 56989 21 230 26 226 27 251 30 250 56989 53957 35 238 34 248 37 251 41 256 53957 51048 42 243 45 247 48 245 48 254 51048 48434 48 237 54 240 52 240 53 251 48434 46099 48 235 53 237 50 240 54 249 46099 43992 54 234 51 239 50 243 55 247 43992 42074 57 228 56 236 55 244 53 243 42074 40314 60 225 62 228 59 241 49 241 40314 38685 63 225 63 225 60 236 45 244 38685 37171 63 231 64 227 61 230 47 244 37171 35766 70 239 74 228 58 223 48 242 35766 34440 88 237 86 223 54 221 50 241 34440 33133 109 231 88 220 55 219 49 238 33133 31824 116 227 80 216 60 212 43 232 31824 30521 105 226 69 213 68 205 39 228 30521 29218 89 226 67 212 76 201 32 225 29218 27907 80 226 66 211 76 201 25 238 27907 26582 74 226 63 210 61 204 22 249 26582 25237 66 225 60 208 50 205 22 248 25237 23869 57 220 58 206 44 204 24 242 23869 22482 51 215 55 205 40 205 28 239 22482 21071 48 212 51 204 39 207 33 238 21071 19632 46 212 47 203 43 209 36 237 19632 18188 44 214 47 203 43 208 36 237 18188 16809 42 215 49 204 41 207 33 240 16809 15555 41 215 50 206 40 207 30 245 15555 14433 41 213 51 207 40 206 29 250 14433 13421 40 211 51 207 40 205 29 253 13421 12503 39 209 51 206 41 205 28 259 12503 11667 40 205 49 203 42 204 27 268 11667 10907 40 202 46 201 42 202 28 273 10907 10217 38 200 42 201 41 201 29 273 10217 9591 35 199 38 202 40 201 29 268 9591 9015 31 199 34 203 37*201 30 263 9015 8493 27 200 30*206 33*201 29 258 8493 8048 23*201 26*208 28 202 27 255 8048 7700 20*202 23 209 24 202 24 253 7700 7457 18 202 20 210 21 202 20 253 7457 7307 15 202 16 210 17 202 17*253 7307 7222 9 202 10 210 10 202 9*253 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography