DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/23 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0959z - - 1333z - - 1602z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.2 - - 62.8 - - 66.3 - - 65.9 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 274 - - 316 - - 204 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 293 - - 2996 - - 5239 - - 5117 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 9146 - - 10930 - - 10651 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7501 - - 10204 - - 12447 - - 12325 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2983 - - 3736 - - 5432 - - 4495 - - 3388 Hgt.Variab. W* 73 - - 408 - - 514 - - 444 - - 17 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 300 - - 277 - - 288 - - 282 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -20 - - -16 - - -18 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3038 - - -826 - - 1367 - - 664 - - -2599 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10539 - - 11030 - - 11081 - - 11662 - - 9823 sfcLCL ODpotential -6656 - - -3905 - - -776 - - -1628 - - -5918 ODpotential blCL 14157 - - 14109 - - 13223 - - 13953 - - 13142 blCL maxRH 91 - - 90 - - 86 - - 82 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 200 - - 400 - - 890 - - 420 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 58.2 - - 62.8 - - 66.3 - - 65.9 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.1 - - 39.4 - - 42.5 - - 39.6 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.2 - - 61.1 - - 64.4 - - 64.6 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.9 - - 38.1 - - 41.4 - - 38.4 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 274 - - 316 - - 204 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 293 - - 2996 - - 5239 - - 5117 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 59 - - 42 - - 29 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98790 36 097 38 104 30 121 27 102 28 088 98790 91283 33 102 26 101 27 108 23 093 29 096 91283 85524 29 101 26 114 18 113 24 095 28 100 85524 80758 22 094 27 106 19 117 22 101 21 105 80758 76650 16 102 20 092 21 108 20 099 18 109 76650 73019 14 111 11 102 15 097 19 093 20 110 73019 69736 15 103 12 109 11 128 8 070 15 094 69736 66726 11 100 12 114 8 132 7 143 9 075 66726 63946 8 115 9 116 6 163 2 121 5 088 63946 61263 3 210 3 212 2 167 3 200 3 152 61263 58469 5 245 10 215 9 259 10 252 7 287 58469 55574 8 286 11 257 11 260 15 261 15 272 55574 52816 12 294 16 268 20 271 19 274 20 274 52816 50332 19 306 16 282 21 269 25 276 25 277 50332 48099 20 304 18 293 23 276 29 274 30 284 48099 46069 16 304 20 296 26 286 30 280 35 287 46069 44208 13 315 21 300 27 292 29 288 35 288 44208 42501 11 318 18 306 25 299 28 301 28 296 42501 40923 13 350 18 334 23 313 29 314 25 315 40923 39457 23 003 22 351 25 331 29 329 28 326 39457 38092 30 008 27 000 27 340 29 346 28 331 38092 36791 35 013 35 009 31 359 28 355 27 341 36791 35492 38 018 41 010 36 357 26 359 27 347 35492 34168 39 024 39 015 38 357 28 004 27 349 34168 32826 42 025 39 021 37 360 30 002 28 358 32826 31453 42 025 38 022 35 004 29 355 28 005 31453 30040 39 036 34 022 33 006 26 352 25 001 30040 28590 36 040 31 023 30 006 23 353 22 348 28590 27108 30 036 28 026 27 007 21 354 21 342 27108 25599 22 032 24 028 26 009 22 355 21 341 25599 24068 17 037 21 016 24 013 23 358 20 344 24068 22508 13 054 17 002 20 012 19 002 18 350 22508 20913 9 078 11 032 19 353 15 005 15 357 20913 19312 10 078 11 070 15 355 12 001 11 008 19312 17783 13 057 13 062 12 021 10 006 8 014 17783 16395 13 043 14 052 12 032 9 017 6 012 16395 15151 11 041 13 042 10 027 8 019 5 014 15151 14030 10 049 12 031 8 015 6 010 4 005 14030 13013 9 051 11 022 6*356 5*325 4 343 13013 12088 9 049 10 012 6*332 7*304 5 327 12088 11248 9 040 9 002 8 303 9 290 7 308 11248 10489 10 026 7*343 9 293 12 282 10 291 10489 9802 9 010 8*303 11 284 13 281 14 282 9802 9173 10 354 10 279 11 282 13 280 16 277 9173 8604 11 342 11 275 12 281 13 280 17 277 8604 8120 12 328 11 274 12 280 13 279 16 277 8120 7743 11*309 11 272 12 279 13 279 15 276 7743 7479 9*302 10 272 11 279 12 279 13 275 7479 7317 7 300 9 272 10 278 11 279 11*274 7317 7224 5 299 7 272 8 277 8 278 6*273 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography