DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.3 - - 42.7 - - 45.5 - - 43.1 - - 36.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -64 - - -3 - - 30 - - -5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 264 - - 912 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7470 - - 8118 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 149 - - 1028 - - 1126 - - 1186 - - 79 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 56 - - 141 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 251 - - 259 - - 273 - - 264 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -22 - - -22 - - -9 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -1602 - - 178 - - -96 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7223 - - 9073 - - 7941 - - 7320 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -8609 - - -8208 - - -5286 - - -5243 - - -7258 ODpotential blCL 15832 - - 15678 - - 13404 - - 12466 - - 14481 blCL maxRH 62 - - 87 - - 78 - - 81 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.3 - - 42.7 - - 45.5 - - 43.1 - - 36.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.7 - - 28.4 - - 35.9 - - 36.3 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.2 - - 42.7 - - 45.3 - - 44.4 - - 42.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.0 - - 27.2 - - 34.7 - - 35.3 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -64 - - -3 - - 30 - - -5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 264 - - 912 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 46 - - 13 - - 23 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96686 22 077 10 103 9 123 13 044 10 100 96686 89565 13 089 13 112 8 116 9 049 6 077 89565 84032 8 079 11 095 6 099 3 020 12 044 84032 79404 8 051 12 042 7 038 8 007 18 010 79404 75427 12 009 10 353 18 010 12 001 19 357 75427 71939 18 346 14 335 19 353 11 356 15 339 71939 68801 23 334 18 328 29 317 24 329 22 314 68801 65931 32 315 25 312 36 305 34 319 33 322 65931 63259 42 299 27 315 42 308 42 311 40 313 63259 60650 52 301 49 299 48 300 46 306 40 310 60650 57909 53 309 53 304 51 296 55 297 52 300 57909 55049 68 303 72 299 67 292 63 291 62 295 55049 52320 82 282 75 285 80 283 76 290 74 290 52320 49871 77 278 73 281 84 275 84 282 81 286 49871 47685 76 286 79 281 85 275 86 278 89 282 47685 45712 89 285 86 278 85 276 86 277 87 277 45712 43915 95 282 88 277 82 277 84 279 81 276 43915 42259 90 281 86 279 82 281 87 283 81 279 42259 40724 82 282 86 282 87 281 91 282 86 282 40724 39290 81 283 91 283 88 281 91 280 86 281 39290 37945 86 290 89 282 87 281 89 280 83 280 37945 36657 89 292 83 281 84 281 86 279 81 277 36657 35367 83 292 78 283 82 279 83 277 77 275 35367 34048 75 288 76 285 82 279 81 277 74 276 34048 32708 72 285 75 284 75 279 79 280 72 276 32708 31337 73 285 75 282 67 279 75 283 69 278 31337 29926 73 287 75 281 65 281 64 282 64 281 29926 28482 69 289 69 286 65 283 55 284 60 284 28482 27004 64 291 62 288 58 284 53 289 57 286 27004 25498 61 292 55 286 49 284 51 289 50 285 25498 23966 56 293 51 283 44 284 44 286 43 285 23966 22405 49 293 47 283 41 285 38 283 39 290 22405 20812 45 296 41 290 39 287 35 286 38 292 20812 19212 40 299 32 299 34 290 34 291 35 295 19212 17683 31 302 26 303 29 292 31 295 32 299 17683 16292 23 304 23 300 26 293 28 296 27 303 16292 15047 20 305 24 294 26 293 26 297 24 307 15047 13927 20 304 24 290 27 295 26 298 22 312 13927 12915 21 301 24 288 27 298 25 301 21 316 12915 11998 22 299 22 287 25 301 25 304 20 320 11998 11168 23 298 20 288 23 303 24 308 20 322 11168 10420 24 294 19 289 21 303 22 312 19 325 10420 9743 25 291 18 290 19 300 20 316 17 327 9743 9126 26 286 18 289 17 294 17 315 15 329 9126 8568 25 280 18 284 15*287 15 307 13 328 8568 8095 24 274 16 278 12*278 13 291 12 319 8095 7726 21 262 14*267 9 272 10 272 11 302 7726 7470 18 252 11*260 8 271 8 267 9 285 7470 7313 14*250 9 258 7 270 7*265 8*274 7313 7223 6*251 5 258 5 270 4*264 5*269 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography