DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 74.7 - - - - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 411 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3696 - - 4367 - - - - - 379 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9720 - - 10333 - - - - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10904 - - 11576 - - - - - 7587 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2910 - - 3249 - - - - - 955 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 455 - - 525 - - - - - 40 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 220 - - - - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -18 - - - - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2190 - - -1926 - - - - - -4040 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13094 - - 13503 - - - - - 11628 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5717 - - -5223 - - - - - -8815 ODpotential blCL - - - 16621 - - 16799 - - - - - 16402 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 62 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 40 - - - - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 74.7 - - - - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.8 - - 40.4 - - - - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.3 - - 72.2 - - - - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 39.2 - - - - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 315 - - 411 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3696 - - 4367 - - - - - 379 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 0 - - - - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99664 35 112 32 115 32 102 99664 92093 33 112 28 103 30 099 92093 86263 32 101 24 088 27 107 86263 81457 28 100 20 098 23 098 81457 77333 22 096 22 116 21 084 77333 73684 18 093 22 113 19 091 73684 70389 14 091 16 103 16 095 70389 67367 12 109 17 126 15 105 67367 64568 9 124 15 114 19 099 64568 61874 7 080 9 142 6 110 61874 59083 15 215 14 188 7 227 59083 56210 29 192 25 202 23 223 56210 53488 36 201 45 213 34 220 53488 51045 45 218 55 216 48 217 51045 48865 63 216 64 212 63 216 48865 46892 69 216 65 215 69 217 46892 45070 71 217 69 222 63 225 45070 43366 72 218 72 221 68 232 43366 41766 74 220 76 219 74 232 41766 40260 75 221 79 223 79 235 40260 38845 75 221 78 225 82 236 38845 37494 74 220 73 221 86 239 37494 36141 72 219 73 217 83 238 36141 34762 67 219 70 219 74 234 34762 33368 60 218 61 221 65 230 33368 31951 54 215 55 222 59 228 31951 30502 52 216 52 224 55 231 30502 29024 52 221 50 227 52 232 29024 27516 48 221 47 225 50 231 27516 25981 45 217 46 223 42 227 25981 24423 41 213 43 224 34 217 24423 22837 37 212 37 221 32 205 22837 21215 35 211 34 214 32 198 21215 19582 35 212 34 208 31 197 19582 18019 34 211 34 204 29 191 18019 16595 32 205 32 200 27 182 16595 15319 31 197 30 193 25 176 15319 14169 30 189 25 181 23 173 14169 13126 27 185 19 174 21 173 13126 12178 23 183 15*172 20 178 12178 11318 18*185 10*181 20 183 11318 10542 14*193 9 190 19 192 10542 9841 11 202 8 211 18 203 9841 9199 11 210 9 230 15 215 9199 8620 10 214 10 234 12 239 8620 8129 10 216 10 237 11 260 8129 7748 9 218 10 238 11*264 7748 7481 9 219 10 239 10*264 7481 7318 8 219 9 239 8 264 7318 7224 6 218 7 239 5 263 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography