DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 Truckee 7176ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1331z - - 1559z - - 1858z - - 2159z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.9 - - 50.7 - - 53.0 - - 46.4 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -71 - - 70 - - 212 - - 25 - - -74 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 744 - - 2118 - - 1002 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7176 - - 7176 - - 8363 - - 7176 - - 7175 Hcrit BL Top 7192 - - 7921 - - 9294 - - 8178 - - 7192 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 77 - - 1492 - - 1744 - - 1087 - - 474 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 163 - - 328 - - 125 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 13 - - 17 - - 16 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 212 - - 222 - - 231 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 17 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -24 - - -40 - - -40 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3222 - - -3864 - - -3407 - - -1556 - - -1244 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10415 - - 11785 - - 12702 - - 9734 - - 8436 sfcLCL ODpotential -10251 - - -9103 - - -8033 - - -6532 - - -6607 ODpotential blCL 17443 - - 17024 - - 17327 - - 14710 - - 13799 blCL maxRH 85 - - 85 - - 89 - - 86 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.9 - - 50.7 - - 53.0 - - 46.4 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.0 - - 24.3 - - 22.6 - - 28.9 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.3 - - 50.2 - - 51.7 - - 46.1 - - 41.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.2 - - 23.3 - - 22.0 - - 28.8 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -71 - - 70 - - 212 - - 25 - - -74 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 744 - - 2118 - - 1002 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 40 - - 55 - - 42 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96792 61 280 55 271 54 268 61 264 67 279 96792 89595 36 280 34 266 39 268 45 268 42 288 89595 84043 27 284 19 271 29 270 26 281 28 292 84043 79446 19 294 10 302 19 271 16 281 19 294 79446 75483 13 309 10 329 10 274 12 274 16 298 75483 71978 10 303 11 311 8 285 11 290 16 290 71978 68816 9 299 12 298 9 285 14 299 12 300 68816 65907 11 293 13 283 12 288 16 295 13 307 65907 63200 13 281 14 271 18 284 18 294 15 300 63200 60569 14 287 16 271 20 281 19 279 18 299 60569 57815 18 296 14 270 22 277 22 271 24 284 57815 54954 19 291 21 268 29 268 25 269 28 268 54954 52220 23 276 29 252 33 256 32 265 31 260 52220 49754 27 276 27 246 35 243 36 251 32 255 49754 47537 33 275 29 249 35 245 36 247 31 257 47537 45523 40 272 38 252 40 253 39 252 32 263 45523 43680 44 264 41 250 45 253 43 253 34 264 43680 41976 46 258 40 247 47 247 44 249 36 265 41976 40391 43 254 38 249 45 242 43 250 38 261 40391 38916 37 246 37 250 42 241 42 248 38 255 38916 37552 33 238 39 246 43 244 40 245 36 254 37552 36269 36 235 40 242 45 247 41 245 36 249 36269 34998 40 233 43 239 49 246 44 246 33 245 34998 33707 44 232 46 237 50 244 46 246 31 246 33707 32395 46 231 47 236 50 244 44 246 32 249 32395 31050 49 229 44 238 46 244 41 248 32 251 31050 29663 49 229 42 237 40 244 38 251 32 254 29663 28239 45 232 43 235 38 244 36 253 31 255 28239 26780 39 237 44 235 38 242 34 250 31 256 26780 25291 37 241 44 237 39 239 36 245 30 255 25291 23775 36 236 38 234 40 235 40 241 29 254 23775 22229 34 228 34 228 41 231 41 237 28 252 22229 20647 30 221 32 220 39 226 39 232 28 248 20647 19060 26 216 30 212 32 215 36 227 30 241 19060 17547 23 217 27 205 27 206 33 223 29 237 17547 16176 21 218 25 200 25 202 30 219 26 235 16176 14950 19 217 22 197 25 200 27 217 23 235 14950 13845 18 216 20 194 24 199 26 215 21 235 13845 12845 17 214 19 193 24 199 25 213 20 235 12845 11936 16 213 19 194 25 201 25 213 20 234 11936 11112 15 214 19 198 27 203 27 211 21 232 11112 10369 15 216 20 201 27 205 30 210 23 228 10369 9697 15 219 21 204 27*207 31 210 26 224 9697 9083 16 223 21 207 25*210 30 210 29 219 9083 8529 16 225 21 210 21 218 25*217 33 214 8529 8058 16 226 20*211 17 226 20*227 33 211 8058 7692 16 227 18*212 15 228 18 231 29 212 7692 7437 16 226 14 212 14 230 16 232 23 214 7437 7282 14 228 11 213 12 230 13 233 18*217 7282 7192 7*231 7 213 9 230 9 234 10*220 7192 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography