DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.7 - - 71.6 - - 74.2 - - 71.7 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 209 - - 318 - - 74 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4802 - - 6961 - - 4324 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 10388 - - 12277 - - 9370 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 12011 - - 14169 - - 11532 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 76 - - 3122 - - 2102 - - 5516 - - 1127 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 428 - - 557 - - 294 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 10 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 222 - - 234 - - 217 - - 260 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -25 - - -12 - - -11 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4475 - - -4208 - - -3034 - - -4800 - - -5404 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11699 - - 16220 - - 17203 - - 16333 - - 12628 sfcLCL ODpotential -11638 - - -8627 - - -6689 - - -8166 - - -10788 ODpotential blCL 18862 - - 20638 - - 20858 - - 19698 - - 18012 blCL maxRH 96 - - 97 - - 79 - - 88 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.7 - - 71.6 - - 74.2 - - 71.7 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.3 - - 25.5 - - 23.7 - - 25.2 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.2 - - 70.0 - - 72.2 - - 71.0 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.1 - - 25.1 - - 23.2 - - 24.8 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 209 - - 318 - - 74 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4802 - - 6961 - - 4324 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 86 - - 15 - - 51 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97788 10 243 7 243 13 253 10 298 4 345 97788 90589 0 229 6 095 1 099 4 300 7 002 90589 85021 4 093 5 065 9 026 6 069 6 034 85021 80400 15 046 10 073 8 046 8 051 9 015 80400 76427 14 028 16 056 8 062 11 038 11 008 76427 72921 10 042 18 036 13 046 15 041 13 037 72921 69746 12 027 17 028 15 050 12 043 13 037 69746 66824 8 022 8 020 10 028 12 012 11 012 66824 64111 6 002 4 023 4 317 11 338 10 348 64111 61474 7 325 4 298 7 262 10 301 11 335 61474 58714 7 279 5 274 6 253 11 272 12 295 58714 55843 18 254 14 272 14 273 18 271 20 289 55843 53109 27 240 25 259 26 269 31 273 31 283 53109 50660 32 244 37 257 39 266 38 269 36 280 50660 48460 45 243 47 253 49 265 43 271 42 278 48460 46450 51 242 51 250 53 262 46 271 47 274 46450 44593 52 239 52 246 52 256 50 268 49 270 44593 42870 49 235 53 243 52 250 54 263 49 269 42870 41266 47 234 54 238 52 245 54 259 48 268 41266 39772 46 233 51 232 51 240 51 251 49 263 39772 38378 42 229 47 225 47 233 46 241 50 256 38378 37054 35 219 41 219 42 223 40 232 48 246 37054 35745 32 212 37 214 39 216 38 224 44 231 35745 34422 29 214 34 212 39 214 39 216 42 216 34422 33084 26 221 29 212 39 212 41 213 41 210 33084 31708 25 232 23 208 36 206 41 214 40 209 31708 30288 20 234 19 200 31 200 37 209 39 204 30288 28829 16 231 20 197 25 191 36 194 37 197 28829 27338 15 219 22 196 24 179 34 184 34 192 27338 25819 16 202 24 196 25 182 31 185 31 194 25819 24273 17 191 26 199 26 191 29 192 28 198 24273 22693 18 187 24 202 27 192 28 197 26 204 22693 21075 18 190 23 198 26 195 26 201 26 208 21075 19450 19 192 22 196 23 197 26 197 30 206 19450 17898 19 194 21 194 21 195 17 164 27 187 17898 16489 19 197 20 193 18 189 15 126 19 145 16489 15230 17 202 19 194 15*186 15 121 19 121 15230 14095 16 207 18 200 10*194 13 122 17 109 14095 13067 15 212 17 207 10 203 10 129 15 102 13067 12132 14 217 15*216 10 208 6*143 12 093 12132 11284 12 222 14*223 10 215 3*182 9 081 11284 10517 12 228 13 230 10 221 4 242 6 058 10517 9823 11 232 13 235 11 224 6 261 4 013 9823 9188 12 239 13 237 11 226 7 265 5 324 9188 8614 13 237 13 238 11 228 7 268 8 308 8614 8126 13 231 12 239 11 230 7 268 10 304 8126 7745 13 216 12 238 10 231 8 269 11 301 7745 7480 11 206 11 238 10 230 7 268 9 299 7480 7318 10*208 9 238 9 231 7 269 8*295 7318 7224 6*222 7 237 7 231 5 269 5*289 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography