DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 Truckee 7177ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1331z - - 1603z - - 1859z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.8 - - 51.7 - - 58.6 - - 60.3 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 166 - - 195 - - 53 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1693 - - 3012 - - 3478 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7175 - - 7996 - - 9018 - - 8569 - - 7176 Hcrit BL Top 7192 - - 8869 - - 10189 - - 10656 - - 7193 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 339 - - 811 - - 832 - - 951 - - 2067 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 287 - - 369 - - 258 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 21 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 11 - - 7 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 090 - - 107 - - 111 - - 043 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 14 - - 14 - - 12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -178 - - -1317 - - -1071 - - -711 - - -1702 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7371 - - 10186 - - 11260 - - 11368 - - 8895 sfcLCL ODpotential -10602 - - -9875 - - -8327 - - -6739 - - -9634 ODpotential blCL 17794 - - 18744 - - 18516 - - 17395 - - 16827 blCL maxRH 64 - - 50 - - 48 - - 52 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.8 - - 51.7 - - 58.6 - - 60.3 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.7 - - 32.1 - - 34.2 - - 35.4 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.4 - - 50.5 - - 57.2 - - 59.7 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.1 - - 30.4 - - 31.8 - - 33.5 - - 32.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 166 - - 195 - - 53 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1693 - - 3012 - - 3478 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98250 10 093 7 089 10 086 5 077 8 033 98250 90937 6 088 11 094 8 117 8 038 4 033 90937 85263 8 103 10 090 10 117 5 075 5 052 85263 80541 8 107 7 098 10 088 12 113 8 073 80541 76464 8 092 9 100 7 087 11 101 7 080 76464 72855 6 101 7 085 6 102 7 087 3 088 72855 69591 7 081 4 086 5 122 3 107 2 155 69591 66594 4 074 2 078 3 172 2 314 1 158 66594 63815 2 010 2 246 4 242 6 318 3 349 63815 61130 7 340 4 255 9 260 11 309 6 343 61130 58341 9 309 11 300 12 293 17 314 14 328 58341 55457 12 326 13 284 19 298 23 305 22 313 55457 52710 21 338 11 320 18 304 25 301 25 311 52710 50237 30 333 21 338 21 314 26 304 26 309 50237 48016 32 324 28 336 24 328 25 312 25 308 48016 46000 32 320 29 332 30 331 26 325 26 306 46000 44158 32 340 25 340 24 333 29 324 25 304 44158 42466 35 345 25 334 20 341 24 315 22 302 42466 40914 27 337 23 319 22 324 17 322 19 284 40914 39478 22 014 16 324 23 308 14 318 14 265 39478 38136 30 029 13 360 18 300 9 303 13 259 38136 36853 35 025 17 012 14 305 9 314 14 258 36853 35566 36 019 22 007 15 328 11 328 15 262 35566 34250 37 013 25 004 20 339 13 331 15 268 34250 32910 41 009 28 005 22 349 14 332 16 272 32910 31536 42 006 32 006 24 359 17 330 16 278 31536 30121 40 003 31 001 26 000 19 329 18 282 30121 28668 37 002 29 352 28 356 21 323 19 287 28668 27181 35 002 28 347 31 351 25 316 21 288 27181 25663 34 002 27 346 32 345 29 318 23 289 25663 24118 34 001 27 347 29 341 28 320 24 291 24118 22543 34 002 26 353 24 342 23 325 21 297 22543 20934 33 005 25 000 18 351 15 326 16 291 20934 19318 31 010 24 008 15 003 10 320 14 275 19318 17773 29 015 22 015 13 014 7 326 10 274 17773 16367 26 018 20 020 13 020 6 344 8 295 16367 15108 22 018 18 021 12 023 6 008 7 314 15108 13975 18 016 15 021 11 023 6 026 5 327 13975 12950 15 017 13 021 9 026 5 040 3 336 12950 12020 13 024 11 026 7 036 3 079 1 336 12020 11180 10 039 9 039 5 075 4*091 2 130 11180 10424 10 062 8 066 7*109 3*080 4 144 10424 9742 11 087 10 096 8*113 3 059 5 130 9742 9119 15 102 13*108 8 112 2 046 7 107 9119 8557 18 110 13*109 8 112 2 036 9 097 8557 8078 20 112 13 108 7 110 2 026 10 092 8078 7704 20 111 12 107 7 108 2 021 9 088 7704 7444 16 110 10 105 6 108 2 020 7 084 7444 7285 12*107 9 104 6 106 2 017 4*075 7285 7193 3*090 7 103 5 107 2 017 3*066 7193 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography