DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.5 - - 52.8 - - 54.7 - - 42.9 - - 41.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 169 - - 270 - - 30 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2748 - - 4290 - - 930 - - 156 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 8760 - - 10108 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 9956 - - 11498 - - 8137 - - 7362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 659 - - 3466 - - 3371 - - 1766 - - 1763 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 331 - - 449 - - 134 - - 31 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 13 - - 15 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 334 - - 124 - - 111 - - 151 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 15 - - 30 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -728 - - -451 - - 1073 - - 914 - - 140 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7951 - - 10407 - - 10425 - - 7223 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -5489 - - -2392 - - -554 - - 153 - - -496 ODpotential blCL 12712 - - 12348 - - 12052 - - 7984 - - 7858 blCL maxRH 92 - - 85 - - 88 - - 101 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 140 - - 150 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 40.5 - - 52.8 - - 54.7 - - 42.9 - - 41.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.9 - - 32.2 - - 33.9 - - 40.3 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.9 - - 51.6 - - 53.1 - - 42.6 - - 41.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.8 - - 32.1 - - 33.8 - - 39.6 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 169 - - 270 - - 30 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2748 - - 4290 - - 930 - - 156 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 39 - - 54 - - 103 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97531 9 349 10 303 11 292 13 315 16 285 97531 90292 5 287 8 310 9 303 8 355 6 358 90292 84706 6 224 6 322 5 287 7 331 11 358 84706 80057 2 144 2 343 5 275 4 278 11 347 80057 76051 11 288 2 156 8 204 10 246 7 322 76051 72516 11 213 5 228 9 206 10 258 1 333 72516 69308 7 179 12 225 12 242 14 261 10 328 69308 66333 5 246 12 190 15 227 17 252 14 251 66333 63559 13 220 11 204 16 225 17 230 15 224 63559 60859 27 213 16 226 16 220 17 220 19 238 60859 58020 32 190 27 205 23 219 21 226 28 231 58020 55061 26 200 34 203 34 206 30 221 30 220 55061 52238 38 206 46 202 32 205 31 217 32 225 52238 49703 42 198 43 192 37 212 39 221 42 221 49703 47435 41 209 39 211 48 207 51 213 54 209 47435 45382 57 212 52 214 53 200 56 201 58 198 45382 43508 68 204 60 202 54 194 52 196 56 196 43508 41783 65 197 59 192 50 191 47 198 57 197 41783 40186 65 201 52 189 43 195 55 203 60 202 40186 38698 74 205 51 199 48 205 69 200 64 206 38698 37313 85 203 65 207 69 206 71 198 66 206 37313 36002 89 201 77 206 85 200 68 195 66 204 36002 34706 86 201 71 197 81 191 61 193 63 202 34706 33397 77 202 60 188 66 179 57 185 60 202 33397 32081 64 202 59 190 59 174 54 176 57 201 32081 30744 56 197 60 185 55 174 47 170 52 193 30744 29377 56 191 61 179 51 176 43 162 43 178 29377 27974 53 185 61 173 51 178 32 147 33 164 27974 26538 47 177 57 169 55 176 27 149 31 158 26538 25071 44 171 52 168 56 170 25 161 30 154 25071 23577 41 170 46 168 53 161 25 170 32 149 23577 22055 37 169 40 168 47 156 25 174 32 146 22055 20500 33 168 35 168 38 150 25 175 30 146 20500 18938 30 165 32 167 31 152 26 175 28 152 18938 17446 28 162 28 164 26 163 28 175 29 158 17446 16091 26 161 24 161 23 174 27 172 27 161 16091 14880 23 160 21 155 18 179 26 168 24 165 14880 13792 21 156 18 148 12 177 24 162 20 171 13792 12807 18 150 17 139 8 161 22 154 18 176 12807 11914 16 144 17 133 8*138 20 152 17 178 11914 11104 14 137 17 129 10*122 17 145 15 176 11104 10373 13 125 17*128 12 117 14 142 13 170 10373 9710 11 111 16*127 15 112 11 141 11 159 9710 9102 11 095 15 125 16 110 8 141 9 145 9102 8553 10 080 14 124 17 109 6*143 7 127 8553 8086 9 070 13 123 17 109 5*147 5 098 8086 7722 8 071 12 122 16 109 4 149 4 063 7722 7468 6 074 11 121 15 108 3 154 4*043 7468 7312 4*074 10 120 14 107 3 154 4*038 7312 7223 1*334 7 119 10 106 2 158 3 035 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography