DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.6 - - 42.4 - - 46.8 - - 40.9 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - -29 - - -13 - - -34 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 51 - - 370 - - 1032 - - 114 - - 70 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 20 - - 27 - - 16 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 264 - - 248 - - 258 - - 261 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -15 - - -12 - - -14 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6761 - - -3821 - - -3750 - - -2988 - - -7623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13984 - - 11044 - - 10974 - - 10211 - - 14847 sfcLCL ODpotential -17679 - - -11237 - - -9428 - - -10011 - - -15475 ODpotential blCL 24902 - - 18460 - - 16651 - - 17234 - - 22698 blCL maxRH 54 - - 46 - - 49 - - 33 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.6 - - 42.4 - - 46.8 - - 40.9 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.1 - - 19.9 - - 24.4 - - 22.0 - - 3.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.2 - - 44.8 - - 47.4 - - 44.6 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 0.0 - - 18.9 - - 23.4 - - 20.7 - - 2.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - -29 - - -13 - - -34 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96333 30 087 25 084 27 079 25 100 22 082 96333 89291 16 081 15 077 11 081 15 072 18 087 89291 83798 11 077 8 061 4 106 6 018 11 061 83798 79206 8 066 2 352 9 011 1 052 9 043 79206 75236 7 055 6 325 8 332 7 327 10 012 75236 71732 14 039 7 331 8 343 7 317 10 353 71732 68568 17 360 13 303 21 333 13 350 13 354 68568 65659 17 323 12 293 25 305 21 341 15 349 65659 62954 16 309 16 322 22 309 26 326 21 338 62954 60319 20 325 24 325 25 317 29 312 26 320 60319 57566 29 313 26 323 23 319 31 302 28 305 57566 54711 29 308 32 324 27 317 33 294 32 296 54711 51987 34 307 38 316 34 314 33 296 32 297 51987 49537 33 297 37 308 37 307 35 298 35 301 49537 47346 26 301 30 298 34 299 35 289 32 295 47346 45383 30 314 24 300 23 293 32 268 28 286 45383 43614 32 307 24 306 18 292 13 258 22 249 43614 41987 26 292 20 299 16 270 4 319 19 231 41987 40469 20 276 15 321 13 257 12 215 15 216 40469 39046 11 290 11 342 7 231 28 210 22 210 39046 37714 19 358 9 352 8 202 35 204 29 205 37714 36445 25 359 8 358 11 196 31 194 33 198 36445 35173 22 359 4 348 16 194 30 190 32 195 35173 33872 18 357 1 320 18 189 29 186 30 201 33872 32548 13 345 3 264 19 186 31 190 30 221 32548 31196 12 323 9 243 20 190 33 199 29 237 31196 29807 15 283 19 221 23 196 41 211 30 238 29807 28382 22 258 31 233 29 210 42 220 29 236 28382 26922 26 253 36 236 40 226 35 228 27 233 26922 25429 22 256 33 238 40 234 28 232 29 230 25429 23909 22 253 31 245 36 243 28 235 27 235 23909 22362 32 253 33 252 32 253 25 243 19 244 22362 20782 36 265 31 264 26 267 18 255 14 258 20782 19193 32 282 26 282 21 284 15 269 14 270 19193 17672 30 295 24 301 19 297 15 280 17 279 17672 16288 29 303 24 309 20 306 17 291 19 290 16288 15050 29 308 24 312 21 311 20 301 21 300 15050 13934 27 311 22 311 22 314 21 310 21 308 13934 12925 25 313 20 309 23 316 22 316 20 315 12925 12009 22 313 17 305 22 317 22 319 19 319 12009 11179 20 312 16 300 20 315 21 321 18 322 11179 10430 17 311 15 294 19 312 19 323 16 322 10430 9753 14 309 15 288 18 306 17 323 14 321 9753 9134 13 307 14 281 18 297 16 321 12 319 9134 8574 11 302 13 275 18 286 16 313 11 315 8574 8099 10 295 12 269 16 275 15 303 10 308 8099 7729 10 286 11 263 14 265 14 290 10 298 7729 7471 8 275 10 252 11 260 11 276 9 289 7471 7313 7*269 9*247 9*259 9*268 8*283 7313 7223 5*264 4*248 6*258 5*261 5*275 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography