DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/18 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.3 - - 69.9 - - 74.0 - - 65.3 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 240 - - 335 - - 158 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4211 - - 10912 - - 1658 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 10007 - - 15507 - - 7960 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 11419 - - 18120 - - 8865 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 403 - - 5175 - - 1978 - - 908 - - 643 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 432 - - 663 - - 275 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 14 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 13 - - 9 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 269 - - 150 - - 175 - - 262 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 9 - - 9 - - -35 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6114 - - -4326 - - 1262 - - -3820 - - -3292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13339 - - 15745 - - 16859 - - 12685 - - 10517 sfcLCL ODpotential -12513 - - -7318 - - -794 - - -6584 - - -7509 ODpotential blCL 19737 - - 18737 - - 18914 - - 15449 - - 14733 blCL maxRH 85 - - 83 - - 83 - - 93 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 54.3 - - 69.9 - - 74.0 - - 65.3 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.8 - - 25.8 - - 24.7 - - 34.7 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.8 - - 68.3 - - 72.0 - - 64.1 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.1 - - 25.0 - - 23.7 - - 34.4 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 240 - - 335 - - 158 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4211 - - 10912 - - 1658 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 33 - - 33 - - 72 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97998 10 070 6 060 9 162 6 226 8 307 97998 90689 8 063 9 116 8 194 2 009 3 003 90689 85069 5 095 7 120 3 118 7 072 2 098 85069 80393 5 085 7 092 7 106 7 073 6 059 80393 76359 7 054 9 071 9 100 9 105 6 058 76359 72800 3 049 10 046 10 093 11 115 7 075 72800 69586 5 100 3 003 8 028 9 069 7 071 69586 66630 6 076 3 112 2 342 7 009 10 031 66630 63887 4 039 6 068 5 130 1 056 4 352 63887 61239 4 325 5 085 6 145 5 191 6 225 61239 58492 8 278 1 151 3 226 4 230 6 207 58492 55643 14 255 10 268 11 269 10 269 7 253 55643 52918 17 246 18 257 17 258 17 261 15 253 52918 50464 17 245 22 252 24 251 24 247 20 250 50464 48258 22 248 28 244 32 243 29 242 25 252 48258 46244 28 246 31 236 36 237 35 239 30 248 46244 44389 29 246 32 235 35 236 35 240 34 239 44389 42673 30 244 32 238 32 236 34 239 30 232 42673 41083 32 235 32 234 32 233 31 231 26 227 41083 39607 35 230 31 226 34 214 39 213 32 203 39607 38235 39 231 33 223 44 204 39 197 38 180 38235 36926 40 227 39 223 47 196 39 200 34 184 36926 35614 36 222 40 214 39 210 39 200 36 186 35614 34274 31 223 38 218 32 207 38 201 33 193 34274 32912 28 227 32 225 31 200 32 197 29 201 32912 31518 27 223 22 221 28 205 22 197 24 202 31518 30082 23 207 21 211 22 214 15 203 16 189 30082 28611 23 184 22 193 19 213 11 211 15 176 28611 27108 19 182 22 182 18 210 13 183 9 153 27108 25579 16 178 23 176 16 178 14 197 4 162 25579 24031 15 186 18 184 17 157 16 194 7 213 24031 22464 13 200 14 192 13 149 21 148 14 181 22464 20872 13 207 12 195 10 144 20 109 25 136 20872 19282 13 203 10 195 10*150 18 095 26 116 19282 17766 12 195 9 186 9*166 18 097 20 100 17766 16387 11 184 9 172 8 175 17 097 16 098 16387 15149 10 176 11 171 8 176 16 096 13 108 15149 14031 9 173 12 174 8 179 13 092 10 119 14031 13016 9 169 12 175 9 178 9 083 8 123 13016 12092 9 157 13*171 9 178 7 067 6 122 12092 11253 11 143 13*164 9 176 5 044 5 113 11253 10493 13 132 14 155 9 175 4 006 3 092 10493 9804 14 126 14 150 9 174 5 306 2 067 9804 9173 15 123 14 148 9 173 13*269 1 334 9173 8602 15 122 14 147 9 172 16*263 4 290 8602 8117 14 120 13 147 9 172 16 262 10 274 8117 7739 12 116 13 146 8 171 16 262 14 272 7739 7477 8 117 12 145 8 170 15 261 13 271 7477 7316 5*116 10 145 7 170 13 261 11*270 7316 7224 2*269 8 144 6 169 9 261 5*269 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography