DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Truckee 7177ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0958z - - 1332z - - 1559z - - 1859z - - 2157z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.4 - - 71.3 - - 73.1 - - 70.7 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 270 - - 383 - - 229 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4259 - - 4646 - - 3548 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7176 - - 10070 - - 10499 - - 9462 - - 7177 Hcrit BL Top 7193 - - 11437 - - 11823 - - 10726 - - 7194 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 716 - - 1612 - - 1944 - - 1628 - - 2225 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 454 - - 524 - - 404 - - 11 W* B/S 19 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 8 - - 14 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 319 - - 231 - - 253 - - 255 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -10 - - -30 - - -36 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6206 - - -5093 - - -2637 - - -2914 - - -4577 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13399 - - 16530 - - 14460 - - 13640 - - 11771 sfcLCL ODpotential -13512 - - -11683 - - -7901 - - -7965 - - -10348 ODpotential blCL 20705 - - 23120 - - 19724 - - 18691 - - 17542 blCL maxRH 33 - - 32 - - 37 - - 37 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.4 - - 71.3 - - 73.1 - - 70.7 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.4 - - 23.9 - - 34.6 - - 35.9 - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.3 - - 69.5 - - 70.9 - - 69.2 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.0 - - 21.8 - - 33.0 - - 34.7 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 270 - - 383 - - 229 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4259 - - 4646 - - 3548 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99152 35 108 32 110 29 106 29 097 31 111 99152 91726 30 116 31 106 26 109 30 100 25 109 91726 85981 29 104 25 108 22 109 23 109 24 106 85981 81192 21 106 24 119 18 112 16 110 20 093 81192 77061 17 107 18 114 17 117 12 105 13 091 77061 73418 9 081 13 116 10 118 11 093 9 112 73418 70134 8 125 11 108 10 129 9 079 11 117 70134 67119 9 131 6 120 5 101 9 072 9 076 67119 64330 12 126 9 160 4 167 5 031 5 062 64330 61643 10 080 5 116 3 076 7 010 7 044 61643 58855 2 011 4 133 9 202 8 253 3 352 58855 55975 17 271 14 290 9 277 8 274 6 289 55975 53242 21 270 20 267 20 261 22 266 19 277 53242 50802 31 277 29 267 28 271 27 272 28 272 50802 48628 43 274 39 269 36 271 32 271 34 269 48628 46656 51 270 46 269 41 269 35 269 35 267 46656 44842 57 265 51 267 43 267 37 268 35 266 44842 43156 59 261 53 265 43 265 38 267 34 267 43156 41577 59 259 55 262 44 263 39 266 32 268 41577 40095 55 259 54 259 45 261 39 265 31 268 40095 38707 51 260 51 256 45 257 39 264 31 265 38707 37382 47 260 48 254 43 255 40 262 33 262 37382 36059 44 261 46 254 41 254 41 260 36 258 36059 34710 43 260 43 254 38 255 40 258 38 256 34710 33340 42 259 41 254 36 255 38 258 38 256 33340 31936 41 259 38 256 34 256 33 259 36 256 31936 30492 39 260 35 258 30 256 29 257 32 256 30492 29011 37 261 33 260 27 256 26 257 29 257 29011 27494 34 261 32 260 24 257 24 260 26 261 27494 25947 32 261 29 259 23 258 21 262 24 264 25947 24374 30 261 27 259 22 260 19 262 21 265 24374 22775 27 259 24 260 20 260 16 259 17 255 22775 21144 26 256 23 260 17 260 14 257 15 234 21144 19506 26 253 22 257 14 257 11 254 14 231 19506 17940 24 252 21 254 13 256 9 258 11 237 17940 16516 22 254 20 252 14 256 10 263 8 239 16516 15241 21 256 19 252 16 255 12 262 5 236 15241 14093 19 256 18 254 17 255 14 258 5 238 14093 13054 17 254 16 253 16 254 15 252 6 240 13054 12112 14 250 13*248 14*251 15 245 10 236 12112 11258 11 241 11*239 14*251 15*245 12 233 11258 10489 9 226 9 234 14 252 15*248 13 233 10489 9793 7 204 8 230 15 253 16 253 13 237 9793 9157 5 179 8 229 15 254 16 255 12 250 9157 8583 4 155 8 228 15 254 16 256 13 260 8583 8095 3 122 7 227 15 254 16 256 13 263 8095 7715 3 099 7 227 14 254 15 257 12 264 7715 7450 3 092 6 226 13 254 14 257 11 265 7450 7287 2*092 6 226 12 254 12 257 8*265 7287 7194 0*319 5 225 9 254 9 257 5*265 7194 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography