DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 43.8 - - 40.0 - - 35.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -41 - - -12 - - -56 - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 85 - - 525 - - 188 - - 59 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 21 - - 17 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 191 - - 229 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - -8 - - -15 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4681 - - -3920 - - -4053 - - -4072 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11905 - - 11143 - - 11276 - - 11295 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15113 - - -11970 - - -13012 - - -14068 ODpotential blCL - - - 22336 - - 19193 - - 20235 - - 21291 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 26 - - 20 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.8 - - 43.8 - - 40.0 - - 35.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.3 - - 20.9 - - 16.8 - - 12.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.5 - - 45.5 - - 45.0 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.5 - - 19.8 - - 15.7 - - 11.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -41 - - -12 - - -56 - - -56 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97229 48 094 43 102 48 094 43 110 97229 90019 40 110 35 106 42 096 38 103 90019 84396 38 108 33 094 39 085 36 089 84396 79740 39 093 36 088 36 085 31 082 79740 75730 32 095 30 085 25 086 30 074 75730 72169 26 097 20 089 17 072 29 062 72169 68931 26 083 19 087 10 067 22 054 68931 65957 25 065 18 069 11 050 18 036 65957 63223 24 038 21 044 17 047 15 022 63223 60592 26 018 25 025 24 033 18 023 60592 57850 27 005 24 007 29 003 25 359 57850 55005 30 000 25 001 30 355 27 348 55005 52295 35 351 29 354 32 351 32 354 52295 49856 36 348 31 348 35 341 39 349 49856 47667 38 343 36 342 42 338 46 346 47667 45678 38 340 39 340 43 336 45 342 45678 43854 35 334 37 340 39 334 40 338 43854 42172 25 325 33 332 33 332 34 334 42172 40612 12 356 25 314 27 327 28 329 40612 39162 6 029 7 273 21 301 27 301 39162 37817 5 214 7 222 19 261 27 271 37817 36543 13 191 14 217 17 236 27 261 36543 35272 14 180 18 206 17 218 24 258 35272 33975 15 172 16 203 18 220 23 244 33975 32657 13 172 14 209 18 217 23 234 32657 31309 11 171 12 214 17 224 22 235 31309 29921 9 166 11 211 17 233 20 242 29921 28496 9 161 11 212 16 239 18 253 28496 27035 8 161 9 211 14 242 16 258 27035 25542 6 148 9 209 11 237 14 255 25542 24021 7 130 10 214 11 230 14 248 24021 22467 7 141 12 226 13 238 16 252 22467 20875 6 166 12 237 13 249 15 261 20875 19273 6 189 10 245 11 258 11 272 19273 17738 6 203 9 253 10 269 8 291 17738 16341 6 216 8 263 8 280 7 311 16341 15089 7 228 7 273 8 288 8 318 15089 13962 6 238 6 280 7 288 9 315 13962 12943 6 247 5 284 7 282 9 308 12943 12020 6 251 5 281 7 276 9 300 12020 11186 5 247 5 274 7 273 9 291 11186 10433 5 237 5 267 9 265 10 285 10433 9754 5 214 6 249 12 255 10 278 9754 9132 7 181 9 226 16 246 11 270 9132 8572 12 163 11 202 19 236 12 257 8572 8097 15 153 11 180 20 227 14 241 8097 7726 17 148 12 172 17 223 16 229 7726 7470 15 157 10 177 14 222 14 224 7470 7313 12*169 9*182 11*223 11*227 7313 7223 5*209 4*191 5*229 7*238 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography