DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.8 - - 44.3 - - 49.7 - - 47.3 - - 36.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -56 - - 175 - - 289 - - 44 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1298 - - 3033 - - 1552 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7745 - - 9171 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8505 - - 10239 - - 8758 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 172 - - 1198 - - 1511 - - 1410 - - 223 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 262 - - 409 - - 176 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 235 - - 257 - - 267 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -14 - - -11 - - -16 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2008 - - -5265 - - -4412 - - -4800 - - -3518 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9230 - - 13770 - - 14652 - - 13558 - - 10740 sfcLCL ODpotential -11539 - - -12071 - - -9872 - - -9835 - - -10785 ODpotential blCL 18761 - - 20576 - - 20111 - - 18593 - - 18007 blCL maxRH 40 - - 51 - - 51 - - 53 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.8 - - 44.3 - - 49.7 - - 47.3 - - 36.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.2 - - 9.5 - - 10.7 - - 13.3 - - 15.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.4 - - 43.0 - - 47.8 - - 46.8 - - 41.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.7 - - 8.4 - - 10.2 - - 13.1 - - 15.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -56 - - 175 - - 289 - - 44 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1298 - - 3033 - - 1552 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96703 24 286 35 274 25 274 29 273 41 271 96703 89520 13 260 25 269 24 269 25 277 26 272 89520 84002 9 294 11 264 20 263 17 272 19 254 84002 79409 16 306 7 257 14 269 11 241 19 245 79409 75426 16 281 17 243 22 255 22 247 19 268 75426 71903 12 250 16 230 24 250 25 257 16 275 71903 68693 14 262 16 264 22 247 23 266 14 269 68693 65711 23 276 20 280 22 248 23 260 18 262 65711 62928 25 266 24 270 22 254 25 254 22 252 62928 60223 25 261 25 259 24 258 26 260 22 250 60223 57396 28 263 25 251 32 256 29 267 23 257 57396 54461 31 267 26 255 34 249 32 267 26 262 54461 51661 34 268 28 266 32 256 34 264 29 265 51661 49152 36 267 33 266 36 260 35 259 33 262 49152 46931 41 268 36 265 35 258 35 254 36 257 46931 44950 42 270 36 275 32 264 31 260 36 259 44950 43159 41 270 41 279 39 277 38 274 38 263 43159 41522 41 270 48 269 50 272 49 272 44 266 41522 40015 45 273 54 263 60 270 58 264 55 261 40015 38611 50 278 55 264 68 267 63 265 62 259 38611 37293 53 285 55 270 66 267 62 264 64 253 37293 36029 56 291 56 275 62 269 66 276 60 257 36029 34764 62 294 57 277 62 274 69 279 58 261 34764 33471 61 293 58 281 61 273 63 275 58 262 33471 32158 51 287 58 286 59 274 62 278 59 271 32158 30814 40 280 51 283 56 278 58 276 50 274 30814 29432 34 280 44 276 48 276 52 273 45 263 29432 28014 30 282 36 275 41 273 45 269 45 263 28014 26565 28 283 30 275 36 269 43 266 44 266 26565 25091 26 284 25 276 30 267 39 268 40 265 25091 23599 26 285 22 283 24 271 32 267 34 264 23599 22081 24 289 20 291 21 279 25 269 29 269 22081 20530 22 292 19 293 21 289 22 277 25 278 20530 18970 20 289 18 296 20 297 21 284 22 287 18970 17478 20 284 17 300 19 303 18 290 19 296 17478 16122 20 283 16 304 17 308 17 295 17 303 16122 14909 19 286 15 308 14 313 15 298 15 307 14909 13816 18 293 14 312 10 315 13 299 14 309 13816 12826 16 298 12 315 7 314 9 297 12 308 12826 11928 12 297 10 319 4 305 5 292 9 302 11928 11114 10 286 7 319 3 281 2 286 6 279 11114 10379 8 269 5 312 4*262 1 281 5 222 10379 9714 7 249 4 276 6*258 2 279 6 180 9714 9105 10 233 6 246 7 258 4*270 6 154 9105 8556 15 224 9*237 8 257 6*269 6 140 8556 8087 20 218 9*235 8 257 6 267 6 138 8087 7722 19 217 9 235 8 257 7 267 4 148 7722 7468 15 221 8 235 8 256 6 266 3 177 7468 7312 11*226 7 235 7 256 6 266 3 214 7312 7222 6*234 5 234 6 256 4 264 2*245 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography