DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.0 - - 37.2 - - 36.6 - - 35.5 - - 34.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - 44 - - 63 - - 9 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 632 - - 170 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7837 - - 7376 - - 7222 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1448 - - 935 - - 1582 - - 1465 - - 1183 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 135 - - 96 - - 23 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 26 - - 16 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 255 - - 246 - - 254 - - 244 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 18 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -62 - - -36 - - -17 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 615 - - 154 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -595 - - -3738 - - -99 - - -292 - - -588 ODpotential blCL 7817 - - 11575 - - 7475 - - 7514 - - 7810 blCL maxRH 100 - - 90 - - 99 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.0 - - 37.2 - - 36.6 - - 35.5 - - 34.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 34.1 - - 36.0 - - 35.0 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.7 - - 37.0 - - 36.3 - - 35.5 - - 35.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.4 - - 33.6 - - 35.7 - - 35.0 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - 44 - - 63 - - 9 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 632 - - 170 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 62 - - 96 - - 96 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96366 5 008 15 314 18 320 13 332 20 286 96366 89306 11 064 7 355 13 001 8 024 9 303 89306 83784 2 018 9 007 14 336 14 355 16 339 83784 79197 4 009 5 008 7 302 6 321 14 008 79197 75246 15 342 19 334 17 310 18 341 29 349 75246 71775 19 329 14 323 24 290 31 308 27 312 71775 68644 9 263 18 205 10 231 13 278 17 272 68644 65743 28 306 20 317 5 310 10 269 23 302 65743 63035 54 303 49 298 35 310 34 297 33 289 63035 60394 66 290 61 284 54 290 50 288 39 293 60394 57639 67 279 64 278 61 283 61 288 59 289 57639 54783 65 287 66 285 67 285 68 283 66 281 54783 52038 79 295 74 291 65 284 67 286 70 279 52038 49555 86 293 79 292 74 294 76 292 74 281 49555 47332 93 289 88 293 86 295 87 295 77 287 47332 45317 98 282 99 288 95 289 95 294 91 295 45317 43481 89 275 100 277 97 282 101 288 101 286 43481 41806 77 283 90 271 93 272 97 278 98 278 41806 40266 89 297 80 277 84 271 89 275 85 274 40266 38833 101 297 81 295 75 283 80 283 76 276 38833 37490 101 297 93 303 79 291 81 293 78 275 37490 36206 93 297 94 298 82 295 79 293 80 274 36206 34923 86 294 93 293 85 297 77 286 81 273 34923 33615 83 289 94 292 86 294 80 283 80 276 33615 32288 82 285 94 293 86 290 82 283 77 280 32288 30932 82 283 91 292 91 289 82 283 75 282 30932 29537 81 279 82 286 89 291 76 282 74 284 29537 28104 83 278 79 281 81 288 74 279 72 285 28104 26639 81 280 83 280 77 283 73 280 67 283 26639 25147 75 279 77 283 77 280 62 275 62 282 25147 23636 69 271 68 284 76 279 59 272 59 280 23636 22100 65 265 61 282 72 277 60 275 56 278 22100 20531 59 270 59 276 68 273 60 275 51 277 20531 18958 55 283 61 278 64 271 59 270 47 279 18958 17457 53 294 63 285 58 274 56 266 46 279 17457 16095 52 297 63 293 52 283 50 268 47 273 16095 14878 51 296 59 296 47 292 43 276 48 264 14878 13782 50 293 55 296 43 297 37 284 49 256 13782 12791 48 289 50 291 40 297 32 287 48 250 12791 11893 45 280 48 284 39 289 29 283 45 249 11893 11079 44 270 47 278 40 281 28 274 41 249 11079 10346 44 263 46 273 42 275 28 267 38 247 10346 9684 43 259 44 269 41 271 28 261 34 244 9684 9080 41 257 41 262 38 264 28 252 32 236 9080 8537 39 256 37 253 35 258 28 247 30 227 8537 8075 35 255 35*248 33 256 27 246 26 222 8075 7715 30 255 32*246 30 255 24 245 22 220 7715 7464 25 255 28 246 26*255 20 245 17 218 7464 7311 20 255 24 245 22*254 17 244 14 217 7311 7222 11*255 14 245 13 255 10*244 7*217 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography