DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 Truckee 7177ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1331z - - 1557z - - 1858z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.6 - - 65.7 - - 69.8 - - 67.2 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 142 - - 180 - - 121 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2083 - - 2983 - - 1347 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7177 - - 8252 - - 9001 - - 7653 - - 7177 Hcrit BL Top 7194 - - 9260 - - 10161 - - 8524 - - 7194 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1218 - - 1995 - - 3042 - - 1656 - - 704 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 302 - - 369 - - 247 - - 18 W* B/S 5 - - 9 - - 15 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 199 - - 212 - - 248 - - 277 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -13 - - -14 - - -23 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1192 - - -662 - - -71 - - -234 - - -581 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8387 - - 9923 - - 10232 - - 8758 - - 7776 sfcLCL ODpotential -6486 - - -6306 - - -5047 - - -4176 - - -5916 ODpotential blCL 13680 - - 15566 - - 15208 - - 12700 - - 13110 blCL maxRH 51 - - 50 - - 63 - - 72 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 360 - - 850 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 57.6 - - 65.7 - - 69.8 - - 67.2 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.4 - - 46.7 - - 49.4 - - 53.0 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.4 - - 64.5 - - 68.5 - - 66.3 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.5 - - 44.3 - - 46.7 - - 51.4 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 142 - - 180 - - 121 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2083 - - 2983 - - 1347 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99037 37 107 37 099 40 111 35 108 32 114 99037 91620 33 104 33 105 29 113 32 108 29 117 91620 85897 32 103 30 112 24 117 27 112 26 107 85897 81125 25 108 26 105 22 120 21 113 25 101 81125 76997 21 099 21 120 19 117 19 116 23 108 76997 73343 14 102 20 119 17 119 14 117 18 113 73343 70041 13 112 14 127 15 129 10 107 15 118 70041 67022 12 105 12 138 13 135 8 112 12 117 67022 64240 5 160 5 115 10 128 9 136 8 121 64240 61557 6 194 3 196 4 119 8 132 10 148 61557 58764 6 193 8 225 5 237 3 198 6 163 58764 55874 6 229 11 216 12 235 10 244 7 223 55874 53133 16 259 15 236 17 240 15 249 14 245 53133 50690 26 257 25 246 25 243 23 244 21 244 50690 48510 31 256 32 251 32 249 29 244 29 245 48510 46532 31 254 34 252 38 252 36 244 34 246 46532 44718 27 254 32 252 39 254 40 245 39 246 44718 43035 25 255 29 252 36 253 40 245 37 245 43035 41460 22 259 27 251 32 251 37 246 34 245 41460 39979 22 264 26 249 28 250 34 247 31 247 39979 38591 21 264 24 248 25 246 32 246 28 247 38591 37267 20 262 22 244 23 238 28 243 25 248 37267 35947 20 262 21 236 21 226 25 237 21 247 35947 34604 21 267 20 244 19 231 22 228 19 247 34604 33243 21 271 20 257 20 244 21 242 18 244 33243 31852 20 275 21 264 21 250 22 250 20 240 31852 30420 19 272 22 268 22 254 23 253 21 241 30420 28949 18 270 22 273 20 258 20 266 19 250 28949 27440 16 270 19 277 17 256 15 275 15 260 27440 25899 11 280 13 280 11 247 11 266 9 248 25899 24334 9 305 7 293 4 236 7 244 7 219 24334 22740 9 320 5 318 1 175 4 188 6 183 22740 21114 6 317 5 303 4 239 3 198 7 166 21114 19483 3 308 5 263 7 241 7 226 7 188 19483 17926 3 316 3 245 6 217 8 216 8 202 17926 16510 7 280 2 265 5 189 11 188 13 193 16510 15243 13 245 3 249 6 174 13 176 20 188 15243 14101 17 223 7 220 8 178 14 168 20 182 14101 13066 18 209 11 202 10 180 13 156 16 168 13066 12126 17 197 13 185 9 166 11 146 13 151 12126 11273 15 191 13 174 8 150 8 138 10 138 11273 10502 13 192 12 172 7*146 5 133 7 130 10502 9804 12 199 10*178 4*161 4 132 4 130 9804 9164 10 205 8*191 3 227 2 211 2 130 9164 8586 7 208 7 210 5 259 9*277 2 263 8586 8096 4 198 6 217 6 260 11*279 7 283 8096 7714 2 179 6 219 6 259 11 277 9 286 7714 7449 2 174 6 220 6 260 10 276 9 285 7449 7287 2*186 5 221 6 259 9 276 7*284 7287 7194 1*199 4 219 5 257 7 276 5*282 7194 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography