DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.8 - - 37.4 - - 38.5 - - 35.9 - - 29.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -37 - - 91 - - 144 - - 66 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1084 - - 1413 - - 1335 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7782 - - 7206 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8290 - - 8620 - - 8541 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 501 - - 770 - - 845 - - 715 - - 1138 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 207 - - 260 - - 197 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 22 - - 25 - - 26 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 243 - - 241 - - 245 - - 247 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 18 - - 20 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -53 - - -68 - - -63 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1683 - - -187 - - 1236 - - 1319 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8906 - - 8477 - - 7384 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -8689 - - -6247 - - -4064 - - -3086 - - -6875 ODpotential blCL 15911 - - 14537 - - 12684 - - 11627 - - 14097 blCL maxRH 84 - - 88 - - 83 - - 98 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.8 - - 37.4 - - 38.5 - - 35.9 - - 29.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.4 - - 25.5 - - 31.2 - - 30.7 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.9 - - 36.9 - - 37.8 - - 35.6 - - 31.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.4 - - 24.3 - - 30.1 - - 29.9 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -37 - - 91 - - 144 - - 66 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1084 - - 1413 - - 1335 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 53 - - 31 - - 94 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97081 58 278 55 271 56 278 49 285 43 270 97081 89632 52 276 58 269 60 273 62 277 51 279 89632 83919 46 268 50 265 56 265 61 270 54 278 83919 79210 37 266 43 265 45 261 50 264 44 275 79210 75180 32 263 32 267 38 264 39 264 33 277 75180 71627 32 271 24 275 26 265 24 265 24 272 71627 68390 32 277 22 282 21 273 21 269 26 282 68390 65405 31 284 23 282 21 283 24 273 31 278 65405 62649 29 289 25 283 23 288 23 280 27 276 62649 59982 25 289 27 285 25 291 24 298 25 286 59982 57188 23 294 26 284 29 286 28 292 25 293 57188 54279 28 300 27 286 29 282 28 287 26 290 54279 51494 34 295 30 293 30 284 32 295 29 293 51494 48982 35 291 34 294 33 287 38 296 37 296 48982 46735 34 292 36 287 40 286 43 292 44 296 46735 44709 31 288 38 284 44 282 48 288 49 293 44709 42882 29 285 38 280 46 277 50 282 52 285 42882 41230 32 281 38 273 46 276 50 281 51 277 41230 39720 32 279 37 267 46 276 51 281 50 274 39720 38315 31 274 36 268 44 276 50 279 50 275 38315 37000 32 263 36 270 41 277 48 277 50 276 37000 35746 33 256 36 269 38 280 47 277 49 278 35746 34491 34 257 35 267 37 281 45 278 47 279 34491 33211 36 262 33 268 36 281 43 280 45 281 33211 31911 36 260 33 272 35 283 40 281 43 284 31911 30580 33 258 34 278 34 286 38 283 42 287 30580 29211 33 264 35 279 34 289 37 286 41 289 29211 27809 36 267 36 278 33 292 36 287 40 291 27809 26375 38 269 37 277 32 294 34 287 40 291 26375 24915 39 272 37 278 32 295 32 287 40 292 24915 23433 37 276 36 278 32 294 29 289 39 291 23433 21925 37 280 35 281 32 293 27 294 39 290 21925 20383 37 284 34 285 33 290 28 300 37 289 20383 18833 37 286 35 286 35 288 30 301 37 288 18833 17351 35 285 36 284 36 284 34 297 38 287 17351 16003 32 284 37 281 37 281 37 291 40 286 16003 14796 29 281 38 277 39 278 42 285 43 285 14796 13711 27 279 38 273 40 277 45 279 45 283 13711 12729 26 275 37 269 42 276 46 275 47 281 12729 11839 26 271 37 265 42 274 46 272 48 277 11839 11034 26 268 36 263 42 270 44 270 47 274 11034 10311 26 264 35 262 40 267 41 268 45 270 10311 9658 27 261 34 259 38 262 38 263 43 266 9658 9060 27 257 32 253 33*254 33*252 41 261 9060 8521 26 253 28*244 30*246 31*247 38 252 8521 8065 25 249 26*242 28 245 29 246 34 246 8065 7709 23 244 24 241 26 244 27 246 30 245 7709 7461 19 242 22 241 23 244 24 246 25 245 7461 7310 16*242 19 241 20 244 20 247 21*245 7310 7222 8*243 11 242 12 244 12 247 11*246 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography