DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.1 - - 31.9 - - 36.6 - - 34.8 - - 29.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - -10 - - 23 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 653 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7205 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7222 - - 7859 - - 7223 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 60 - - 787 - - 1175 - - 708 - - 683 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 14 - - 115 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 9 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 312 - - 322 - - 004 - - 253 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -9 - - -4 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1852 - - -1261 - - -780 - - -1031 - - -2842 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9074 - - 8483 - - 8640 - - 8254 - - 10065 sfcLCL ODpotential -9022 - - -6306 - - -5488 - - -5179 - - -8270 ODpotential blCL 16244 - - 13528 - - 13347 - - 12402 - - 15492 blCL maxRH 75 - - 81 - - 83 - - 91 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 24.1 - - 31.9 - - 36.6 - - 34.8 - - 29.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.3 - - 20.3 - - 24.2 - - 24.1 - - 11.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.0 - - 33.4 - - 36.5 - - 36.2 - - 35.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.0 - - 19.2 - - 22.9 - - 23.0 - - 10.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - -10 - - 23 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 653 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 23 - - 33 - - 63 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96434 13 045 17 075 15 077 17 088 14 067 96434 89323 16 064 13 091 15 081 13 074 15 062 89323 83796 15 083 13 101 15 065 10 066 12 074 83796 79171 13 097 9 096 15 044 9 062 9 060 79171 75169 9 100 9 048 9 031 7 042 7 064 75169 71626 7 064 11 021 8 005 5 009 7 066 71626 68407 8 019 11 349 13 331 14 335 12 006 68407 65444 16 347 12 331 12 318 16 318 16 345 65444 62694 21 325 18 329 11 313 16 312 15 335 62694 60015 21 308 21 326 13 325 18 313 17 323 60015 57208 24 304 24 317 19 321 22 324 22 316 57208 54296 28 302 28 305 25 307 23 318 27 315 54296 51520 31 297 27 294 28 301 23 316 28 318 51520 49022 32 293 26 296 29 303 27 318 28 317 49022 46784 33 294 29 300 33 303 28 318 25 308 46784 44752 33 296 29 299 31 299 27 321 22 322 44752 42896 31 297 29 296 27 299 37 329 34 335 42896 41204 27 303 29 296 27 310 38 327 41 333 41204 39653 27 316 31 295 30 315 36 336 38 341 39653 38217 28 320 32 293 32 318 42 348 50 003 38217 36887 26 321 33 292 29 319 51 354 64 008 36887 35627 26 318 33 294 31 320 56 356 79 011 35627 34371 24 313 32 293 37 320 59 357 88 010 34371 33090 22 317 30 289 37 318 61 359 87 008 33090 31788 20 321 28 287 34 315 63 359 82 009 31788 30457 20 322 27 288 25 302 61 358 77 011 30457 29088 19 320 26 293 19 310 55 355 75 010 29088 27685 18 322 25 297 22 317 44 349 72 009 27685 26249 16 329 23 300 24 320 41 337 68 007 26249 24787 15 337 20 309 25 323 47 330 57 003 24787 23308 16 345 17 317 25 316 44 334 45 352 23308 21810 17 350 13 334 21 310 33 332 39 339 21810 20289 15 354 11 348 18 311 26 331 34 332 20289 18765 13 000 11 356 16 321 19 336 30 329 18765 17306 13 002 12 009 16 333 18 323 30 329 17306 15977 13 002 12 015 15 342 19 317 28 329 15977 14788 13 002 13 015 16 348 20 320 23 329 14788 13716 12 002 13 012 16 353 22 324 19 331 13716 12744 11 002 13 008 17 357 23 327 15 332 12744 11861 10 001 14 005 17 360 23 329 12 333 11861 11060 10 001 14 002 17 003 22 331 11 337 11060 10335 10 001 14 000 17 007 20 335 10 345 10335 9680 10 359 13 358 17 010 18 341 10 354 9680 9078 11 356 13 356 17 011 14 351 9 002 9078 8536 11 352 13 352 15 011 11 007 9 008 8536 8074 11 346 12 348 14*008 7 028 9 011 8074 7714 12 341 11 344 11*005 5 049 9 012 7714 7464 10 333 9 338 10 004 2 062 8 010 7464 7310 9*330 7*333 8 004 0*082 6*001 7310 7222 5*312 4*322 5 004 1*253 4*344 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography