DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1335z - - 1600z - - 1900z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.0 - - 56.0 - - 58.3 - - 53.0 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 370 - - 482 - - 219 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2027 - - 2489 - - 1936 - - 370 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 8484 - - 8897 - - 8271 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 9234 - - 9696 - - 9143 - - 7577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 862 - - 684 - - 862 - - 935 - - 1482 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 388 - - 454 - - 321 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 26 - - 28 - - 29 - - 19 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 233 - - 240 - - 238 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 18 - - 18 - - 21 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -55 - - -63 - - -68 - - -42 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4512 - - -4605 - - -5506 - - -3160 - - 354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11735 - - 13840 - - 15203 - - 12303 - - 7223 sfcLCL ODpotential -14019 - - -12479 - - -12764 - - -11217 - - -8247 ODpotential blCL 21242 - - 21713 - - 22460 - - 20360 - - 15824 blCL maxRH 48 - - 56 - - 57 - - 89 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.0 - - 56.0 - - 58.3 - - 53.0 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.4 - - 20.9 - - 17.1 - - 24.4 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.6 - - 54.1 - - 56.0 - - 51.9 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.3 - - 20.7 - - 17.0 - - 24.3 - - 37.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 370 - - 482 - - 219 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2027 - - 2489 - - 1936 - - 370 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 56 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98331 14 274 12 272 16 252 13 265 14 269 98331 90938 7 270 11 262 14 257 15 264 11 290 90938 85209 7 283 9 275 7 236 11 253 9 288 85209 80454 5 261 6 257 7 216 12 249 4 281 80454 76364 3 214 6 259 10 223 10 276 4 284 76364 72742 5 225 8 262 10 231 13 282 7 322 72742 69451 7 254 7 255 11 257 15 271 11 289 69451 66428 10 259 9 230 13 271 10 281 5 276 66428 63618 11 252 11 244 16 266 14 279 10 283 63618 60913 11 252 12 248 20 235 23 265 21 280 60913 58120 11 266 12 250 20 238 21 258 13 270 58120 55204 12 249 21 248 22 258 21 254 19 252 55204 52413 17 245 25 241 28 248 30 258 38 249 52413 49936 23 258 25 247 35 240 40 252 50 251 49936 47750 27 252 30 252 40 239 48 249 56 251 47750 45784 25 240 34 240 44 238 55 247 60 247 45784 43992 26 248 32 238 45 238 52 241 58 238 43992 42345 27 253 35 249 46 253 48 242 52 232 42345 40810 25 254 35 248 47 256 47 241 49 233 40810 39366 24 254 33 239 44 247 45 239 49 234 39366 38008 25 259 31 241 39 238 44 240 47 233 38008 36709 27 265 32 243 37 234 44 239 46 231 36709 35408 28 261 35 239 39 233 44 235 45 231 35408 34081 30 253 36 238 39 231 44 229 45 232 34081 32735 31 251 35 237 37 229 45 226 45 235 32735 31357 30 250 33 232 36 227 42 226 47 239 31357 29940 29 244 32 231 35 224 38 229 49 242 29940 28487 28 242 30 233 32 223 37 234 50 245 28487 27002 27 242 27 233 31 228 38 239 51 247 27002 25488 22 232 24 228 31 234 40 241 52 250 25488 23950 18 219 22 224 32 239 41 241 53 253 23950 22382 17 224 22 226 34 241 41 241 54 255 22382 20782 18 237 23 233 36 241 42 242 53 256 20782 19174 22 248 28 239 39 243 44 244 52 256 19174 17639 26 251 33 242 42 245 46 247 51 255 17639 16244 30 249 38 243 45 247 48 248 52 253 16244 14997 33 246 41 243 47 248 49 249 52 251 14997 13875 34 244 42 243 47 248 49 250 52 249 13875 12863 34 242 42 244 46 247 48 251 51 249 12863 11949 33 241 41 244 44 247 46 250 49 248 11949 11124 33 240 39 245 41 244 44 248 46 244 11124 10382 32 239 37 241 36 241 42 243 44 240 10382 9713 32 237 34*236 33*240 38*238 42 239 9713 9103 33 234 30*233 32*240 34*238 38 240 9103 8554 34 230 29 233 31 240 32 238 36 240 8554 8087 34 227 27 233 30 241 30 239 33 240 8087 7723 30 226 26 233 28 241 28 239 30*240 7723 7469 25 227 23 233 25 241 25 239 25*240 7469 7313 20*228 20 233 22 241 22 239 21 239 7313 7223 10*229 12 233 13 241 13 239 12 240 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography