DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/05 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.2 - - 34.6 - - 35.7 - - 36.2 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -57 - - 61 - - 86 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 310 - - 332 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7516 - - 7538 - - 7222 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1404 - - 1326 - - 1173 - - 1574 - - 2439 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 116 - - 134 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 25 - - 23 - - 12 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 222 - - 210 - - 222 - - 229 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 18 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -24 - - -39 - - -41 - - -18 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 294 - - 316 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7223 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -1872 - - -149 - - -12 - - -526 - - -256 ODpotential blCL 9094 - - 7665 - - 7550 - - 7748 - - 7478 blCL maxRH 89 - - 98 - - 99 - - 101 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 50 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.2 - - 34.6 - - 35.7 - - 36.2 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.3 - - 33.3 - - 34.5 - - 35.5 - - 33.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.5 - - 34.4 - - 35.3 - - 36.4 - - 34.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 33.0 - - 34.1 - - 35.6 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -57 - - 61 - - 86 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 310 - - 332 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 91 - - 97 - - 102 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96719 8 011 13 332 10 331 6 336 11 009 96719 89583 6 314 12 313 14 313 7 321 12 342 89583 84060 8 312 7 314 10 306 14 336 14 318 84060 79481 12 299 10 298 17 300 13 305 12 321 79481 75519 6 241 2 092 7 223 7 321 5 317 75519 71999 19 269 17 295 15 298 16 329 14 319 71999 68810 14 260 20 254 18 261 15 298 15 305 68810 65869 8 273 9 192 11 138 8 349 9 294 65869 63118 30 268 25 262 7 303 8 062 12 104 63118 60411 56 255 55 261 59 261 51 261 45 272 60411 57630 64 249 55 247 61 241 59 246 59 253 57630 54819 60 244 47 222 42 228 40 243 44 257 54819 52138 55 234 37 212 29 256 45 290 51 281 52138 49697 48 225 32 238 38 279 53 290 54 281 49697 47489 44 241 46 256 55 282 57 282 55 283 47489 45472 66 254 65 261 69 274 58 279 58 288 45472 43617 87 250 78 258 76 270 63 282 63 291 43617 41898 91 246 85 257 80 271 70 284 69 292 41898 40299 88 247 91 260 84 274 77 285 79 291 40299 38813 88 252 96 263 91 276 87 287 93 289 38813 37437 93 255 102 265 99 278 106 288 107 290 37437 36139 104 256 112 267 107 278 122 285 119 288 36139 34851 110 254 118 265 114 276 127 280 123 284 34851 33543 106 251 117 263 118 275 126 278 124 281 33543 32214 100 249 114 261 117 274 123 277 125 282 32214 30852 97 246 111 259 113 270 123 278 125 283 30852 29449 97 244 108 257 108 265 123 279 122 283 29449 28009 101 241 104 255 105 261 118 280 116 283 28009 26537 105 241 101 254 100 261 111 275 112 283 26537 25036 103 243 98 253 98 260 110 269 109 281 25036 23512 94 245 96 254 97 258 106 268 105 282 23512 21964 85 247 91 253 94 256 96 266 98 281 21964 20389 80 246 80 246 83 256 89 262 90 278 20389 18815 79 242 77 242 69 249 83 257 81 274 18815 17319 78 239 77 242 65 237 77 249 73 268 17319 15967 76 236 75 243 66 233 70 241 67 261 15967 14763 73 231 68 244 67 234 63 240 63 255 14763 13684 70 226 63 244 63 238 59 241 59 249 13684 12712 68 223 63 243 57 241 56 241 56 246 12712 11834 67 222 63 240 55 241 54 240 54 245 11834 11038 67 221 62 235 55 238 52 238 53 244 11038 10319 67 218 61 225 55 234 50 235 53 243 10319 9668 66 215 59 215 54 230 48 233 52 243 9668 9071 64 213 57 210 50 224 46 232 51 242 9071 8532 59 213 54 209 47 222 43 231 49 241 8532 8072 51 214 47 208 42 221 39 230 46 240 8072 7713 42 217 40*209 35*221 33 229 41 240 7713 7464 34 219 33*209 29*221 27 229 35 239 7464 7311 28*220 27 210 24 222 22*229 28*239 7311 7222 15*222 15 211 14 223 12*229 15*239 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography