DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.3 - - 30.5 - - 31.5 - - 30.7 - - 26.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -58 - - 3 - - 0 - - -10 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 434 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 7162 - - 9444 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1265 - - 2568 - - 1193 - - 2415 - - 1700 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 17 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 14 - - 12 - - 18 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 352 - - 336 - - 281 - - 288 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 20 - - 19 - - 27 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg -36 - - -19 - - 9 - - -11 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -387 - - 2284 - - 1 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7160 - - 7550 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -6237 - - -7113 - - 148 - - -2485 - - -2648 ODpotential blCL 13398 - - 14275 - - 9296 - - 9647 - - 9810 blCL maxRH 79 - - 73 - - 95 - - 93 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.3 - - 30.5 - - 31.5 - - 30.7 - - 26.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.9 - - 22.8 - - 27.5 - - 29.9 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.3 - - 35.0 - - 36.2 - - 35.4 - - 33.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.2 - - 21.8 - - 27.1 - - 30.1 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -58 - - 3 - - 0 - - -10 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 434 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 0 - - 79 - - 72 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96606 41 092 39 080 47 081 45 078 39 084 96606 89443 33 089 28 083 29 068 26 058 31 067 89443 83883 24 062 22 077 19 051 23 045 22 047 83883 79252 21 036 14 050 19 027 24 013 18 013 79252 75258 18 020 10 023 12 012 12 347 16 349 75258 71721 9 360 17 000 20 023 19 006 17 354 71721 68507 17 326 30 339 31 354 23 342 18 343 68507 65544 18 316 21 314 28 325 31 319 19 324 65544 62794 10 337 14 300 27 324 27 333 19 311 62794 60129 42 329 28 308 31 309 34 326 24 309 60129 57356 51 326 46 309 35 299 42 310 40 304 57356 54493 54 328 53 316 42 317 45 319 46 313 54493 51757 53 329 64 328 61 318 61 312 59 312 51757 49286 67 332 79 325 64 314 59 304 67 310 49286 47061 79 324 80 320 63 314 60 308 71 310 47061 45030 79 323 78 319 65 316 67 313 73 311 45030 43162 82 328 76 318 68 320 77 320 77 316 43162 41439 81 330 68 319 73 326 98 330 90 324 41439 39850 79 334 67 332 93 333 123 331 112 326 39850 38380 85 340 87 343 120 334 129 327 124 324 38380 37019 94 343 116 342 141 337 127 328 123 321 37019 35728 104 344 155 342 150 338 130 330 120 321 35728 34441 116 345 165 339 150 335 128 330 120 323 34441 33132 130 345 160 338 151 333 130 330 120 324 33132 31804 140 345 148 340 145 334 133 329 121 325 31804 30448 139 346 132 341 128 334 130 328 123 325 30448 29056 123 347 115 339 113 329 123 327 125 325 29056 27631 103 346 106 335 113 327 111 326 120 325 27631 26177 91 344 98 332 108 325 101 322 112 324 26177 24699 86 344 92 330 97 325 94 318 106 321 24699 23208 83 343 84 333 89 327 86 316 101 317 23208 21701 81 341 73 333 79 333 77 315 95 313 21701 20168 80 340 69 338 63 339 72 314 91 311 20168 18635 75 341 65 344 56 335 69 311 84 308 18635 17178 65 341 58 345 54 324 65 308 73 305 17178 15858 56 338 50 343 48 320 59 306 59 302 15858 14675 50 333 44 341 41 318 52 305 57 304 14675 13609 46 331 40 337 37 313 47 303 55 307 13609 12642 44 330 38 333 36 307 44 302 54 310 12642 11764 41 330 36 330 35 303 42 302 52 309 11764 10968 39 330 35 327 33 300 41 302 50 305 10968 10248 36 332 33 326 30 297 40 300 47 299 10248 9597 34 334 31 326 25*294 37 297 44 295 9597 9000 33 337 28 327 21*290 34 293 39 292 9000 8462 30 340 23 330 16 285 29 291 31 289 8462 8005 27 343 18 336 12 279 23 289 24 285 8005 7649 22 346 13 339 10 273 17 287 17 283 7649 7400 17 350 10 341 7 263 12 284 11 280 7400 7248 12*353 7*342 5 256 8*282 5*281 7248 7161 6*357 4*343 3 241 3*271 1*308 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography