DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.2 - - 39.5 - - 36.0 - - 32.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 53 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1567 - - 3288 - - 1800 - - 338 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 10188 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10577 - - 12298 - - 10810 - - 9348 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2984 - - 2392 - - 2190 - - 2024 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 248 - - 43 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 202 - - 188 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3416 - - 4997 - - 3649 - - 2187 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7302 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1168 - - 2296 - - 1963 - - -317 ODpotential blCL - - - 9409 - - 10002 - - 8847 - - 9665 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 95 - - 96 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 190 - - 140 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.2 - - 39.5 - - 36.0 - - 32.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 32.3 - - 33.7 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 42.7 - - 40.4 - - 38.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 31.2 - - 33.4 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 53 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1567 - - 3288 - - 1800 - - 338 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 80 - - 84 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96731 18 096 24 081 26 025 22 056 96731 89727 17 099 26 076 24 072 20 073 89727 84241 18 099 19 081 18 078 19 087 84241 79627 20 091 5 094 11 053 15 066 79627 75619 16 074 6 105 4 045 16 037 75619 72066 12 041 7 061 4 075 11 018 72066 68846 8 001 5 036 3 013 4 017 68846 65871 7 347 4 025 3 036 2 064 65871 63095 7 339 5 356 8 343 5 041 63095 60407 8 330 9 320 14 305 11 339 60407 57610 9 350 10 328 14 291 16 300 57610 54718 19 344 16 336 12 312 14 265 54718 51940 28 337 25 354 23 023 8 033 51940 49439 29 333 44 329 44 324 34 320 49439 47227 39 333 38 320 49 300 39 290 47227 45220 38 348 21 357 15 349 7 277 45220 43359 51 002 43 036 19 055 5 108 43359 41610 53 002 48 021 25 057 4 097 41610 39967 57 005 65 357 40 003 30 004 39967 38448 67 005 81 344 62 350 50 350 38448 37060 68 003 79 342 67 344 50 351 37060 35763 62 008 75 353 61 352 48 007 35763 34483 51 005 77 003 62 004 50 021 34483 33185 45 351 70 012 60 012 50 026 33185 31867 44 344 66 020 58 017 50 026 31867 30518 29 339 72 022 57 023 49 026 30518 29129 11 300 79 018 59 025 47 028 29129 27705 23 242 84 019 60 022 44 030 27705 26251 35 232 76 024 59 026 43 033 26251 24770 35 230 29 012 53 027 42 036 24770 23264 31 232 23 262 38 016 41 036 23264 21732 27 236 41 245 24 355 37 029 21732 20178 25 241 37 243 20 331 25 024 20178 18636 23 244 29 240 14 293 4 024 18636 17179 21 244 25 237 19 249 9 222 17179 15860 19 243 22 235 22 241 15 225 15860 14682 17 240 20 234 21 238 18 224 14682 13619 16 234 18 233 20 236 19 224 13619 12653 15 224 15*231 18 233 19 225 12653 11776 14 212 12*225 16 229 18 227 11776 10979 15*205 10 219 14*224 17 227 10979 10259 14*204 9 215 11*217 16 225 10259 9607 11 200 7 206 9 207 15*221 9607 9010 9 189 6 191 7 188 11*211 9010 8470 7 173 6 176 7 177 7 190 8470 8011 6 169 6 171 8 171 7 152 8011 7652 5 170 6 171 8 170 7 136 7652 7403 5 172 6 170 7 170 6 131 7403 7249 4 173 6 168 6 169 4 128 7249 7161 3 173 5 167 4 169 3 136 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography