DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.5 - - 33.0 - - 35.1 - - 35.1 - - 29.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 65 - - 88 - - 19 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2738 - - 2788 - - 3820 - - 3475 - - 190 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 9981 - - 10982 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 11748 - - 11798 - - 12830 - - 12485 - - 9200 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1275 - - 1472 - - 895 - - 829 - - 1988 Hgt.Variab. W* 134 - - 246 - - 302 - - 181 - - 21 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 22 - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 300 - - 269 - - 252 - - 223 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear 19 - - 6 - - 12 - - 15 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg -25 - - 6 - - 7 - - 18 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 4587 - - 4637 - - 5016 - - 4389 - - 2040 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7814 - - 8096 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential 845 - - 2275 - - 2253 - - 2087 - - -1893 ODpotential blCL 10903 - - 9523 - - 10577 - - 10398 - - 11093 blCL maxRH 79 - - 96 - - 99 - - 95 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.5 - - 33.0 - - 35.1 - - 35.1 - - 29.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.7 - - 28.1 - - 25.9 - - 24.7 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.4 - - 36.3 - - 38.4 - - 39.0 - - 36.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.7 - - 27.4 - - 25.0 - - 23.8 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 65 - - 88 - - 19 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2738 - - 2788 - - 3820 - - 3475 - - 190 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 84 - - 95 - - 80 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97163 26 270 40 252 41 260 39 270 53 274 97163 89967 26 261 29 277 25 267 30 270 31 282 89967 84386 23 259 22 280 21 286 20 269 22 274 84386 79732 16 264 20 258 17 274 18 263 24 261 79732 75737 8 286 20 253 15 231 16 243 21 259 75737 72214 18 298 16 257 17 232 14 255 13 254 72214 68994 20 282 14 243 16 235 18 266 7 222 68994 65985 18 262 14 234 17 227 20 257 13 238 65985 63158 27 252 23 232 20 222 25 241 23 227 63158 60403 28 242 20 214 22 226 23 237 22 228 60403 57520 27 242 24 241 30 250 27 247 23 252 57520 54521 37 248 34 240 35 245 35 243 31 259 54521 51653 40 241 36 240 37 245 37 243 35 252 51653 49079 41 245 38 243 37 248 36 245 41 248 49079 46787 44 247 41 249 40 254 38 252 42 246 46787 44718 43 248 47 252 45 253 41 253 43 249 44718 42828 44 253 51 249 48 252 43 253 45 251 42828 41089 45 256 49 249 50 254 47 254 46 251 41089 39483 47 267 50 258 53 252 50 248 46 247 39483 37994 53 272 50 263 49 256 45 249 42 243 37994 36619 52 276 51 264 52 264 48 257 44 249 36619 35333 49 278 49 270 50 266 53 257 52 248 35333 34077 44 289 45 272 49 270 52 253 54 248 34077 32807 41 301 37 280 49 272 49 252 56 252 32807 31518 40 321 39 288 48 266 49 252 58 250 31518 30198 45 326 40 283 51 260 51 251 60 243 30198 28840 44 325 42 279 51 261 53 251 61 243 28840 27448 42 322 44 279 51 262 54 253 61 244 27448 26027 41 320 45 281 51 262 55 255 60 245 26027 24580 39 319 45 284 51 261 55 255 59 246 24580 23113 38 317 44 287 50 260 56 255 57 247 23113 21621 41 313 43 290 48 260 55 255 54 248 21621 20099 42 313 41 292 45 260 51 255 51 249 20099 18574 41 316 38 295 41 262 46 252 46 247 18574 17118 35 319 33 298 38 262 43 250 43 245 17118 15798 29 319 28 298 35 262 40 250 41 244 15798 14621 24 314 23 293 33 263 38 249 40 239 14621 13564 22 305 19 283 25*264 33 246 39 233 13564 12607 23*299 14*270 19*257 27*243 36 229 12607 11738 25*298 12*267 17 254 20*237 32 227 11738 10949 25 298 13 269 17 253 16 229 28 225 10949 10235 25 299 14 272 16 253 15 226 24 223 10235 9589 24 301 15 272 16 252 15 223 19*221 9589 8997 23 303 15 272 15 252 14 219 14*213 8997 8461 22 304 14 269 14 251 14 217 10 193 8461 8005 18 303 13 266 13 250 13 215 9 176 8005 7649 15 300 12 264 12 250 13 213 8 163 7649 7400 12 298 11 262 11 249 12 212 7 145 7400 7249 10 297 9 261 10 248 10 211 6 130 7249 7161 6 295 7 259 7 247 7 209 3 123 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography