DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/25 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.8 - - 33.7 - - 31.7 - - 30.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 6 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 873 - - 1885 - - 834 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9883 - - 10895 - - 9844 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3629 - - 2538 - - 2894 - - 4300 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 57 - - 102 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 217 - - 198 - - 213 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 20 - - 23 - - 24 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 12 - - 29 - - 35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2722 - - 3734 - - 2683 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1286 - - 2100 - - 1026 - - -1093 ODpotential blCL - - - 8597 - - 8795 - - 8818 - - 8255 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 98 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 160 - - 130 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.8 - - 33.7 - - 31.7 - - 30.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.1 - - 32.5 - - 31.2 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 37.7 - - 36.7 - - 35.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.1 - - 32.3 - - 31.9 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 6 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 873 - - 1885 - - 834 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 92 - - 102 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95781 32 324 41 330 32 335 35 341 95781 88782 29 325 30 327 32 335 30 330 88782 83355 26 314 33 312 32 326 25 325 83355 78838 21 318 28 285 35 308 23 319 78838 74934 23 314 21 299 31 307 26 308 74934 71456 27 297 24 290 26 289 25 302 71456 68286 25 289 20 286 17 271 30 282 68286 65357 27 284 26 288 11 303 22 298 65357 62592 44 262 35 300 25 272 22 308 62592 59844 56 239 58 244 55 227 49 253 59844 56952 53 238 58 234 54 222 55 233 56952 53972 52 243 52 244 44 241 42 240 53972 51148 57 246 53 249 40 258 29 255 51148 48599 63 243 58 242 47 268 45 278 48599 46298 66 238 59 239 67 256 78 256 46298 44228 67 235 66 243 86 244 92 243 44228 42359 71 235 76 243 91 238 92 242 42359 40651 80 235 82 238 88 238 93 239 40651 39084 86 234 84 235 87 241 87 235 39084 37638 86 233 83 233 87 241 81 247 37638 36297 84 234 81 232 85 240 97 254 36297 35030 81 235 78 230 81 238 111 253 35030 33778 78 234 71 230 74 235 112 252 33778 32508 73 232 66 230 68 235 108 252 32508 31223 69 231 65 230 65 237 102 251 31223 29913 66 233 67 231 66 237 94 249 29913 28574 65 236 69 232 71 233 84 246 28574 27208 64 237 71 233 70 226 71 240 27208 25816 58 237 70 234 63 223 63 235 25816 24401 51 236 61 233 56 222 56 232 24401 22967 46 237 49 232 50 224 53 229 22967 21510 44 239 43 231 47 229 52 227 21510 20021 43 239 38 232 53 233 49 225 20021 18523 43 239 37 234 57 236 47 225 18523 17088 42 239 38 237 49 237 47 227 17088 15783 41 239 39 238 36 229 47 229 15783 14614 40 240 39 239 37 232 46 230 14614 13561 38 240 37 236 37 233 45 230 13561 12606 35 238 33 230 35 231 43 231 12606 11739 32 237 30 226 33 227 41 231 11739 10951 29 237 27*227 30 222 38 229 10951 10239 26*237 24*227 27*218 35 226 10239 9593 22*234 20 224 24*213 33 222 9593 9000 18 229 17 219 22 209 31 219 9000 8464 14 221 15 214 18 202 28 216 8464 8006 11 209 12 207 14 190 24 214 8006 7650 9 194 10 200 11 176 18 212 7650 7401 8 183 9 196 9 160 14 210 7401 7249 6 176 7 193 7 152 10*209 7249 7161 4 173 5 190 4 146 4*202 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography