DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 21.8 - - 23.4 - - 27.9 - - 29.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 38 - - -9 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 475 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7143 - - 7143 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9485 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 622 - - 2195 - - 1756 - - 1809 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 120 - - 37 - - 2 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 8 - - 14 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 188 - - 259 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 10 - - 23 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 17 - - 11 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2325 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7160 - - 7160 - - 7160 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8623 - - -10083 - - -3514 - - -2394 ODpotential blCL - - - 18108 - - 17244 - - 10675 - - 9556 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 97 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 21.8 - - 23.4 - - 27.9 - - 29.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.9 - - 21.4 - - 26.7 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.2 - - 26.9 - - 32.6 - - 34.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.0 - - 20.8 - - 26.8 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 38 - - -9 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 475 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 89 - - 101 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96329 15 065 9 041 18 036 20 062 96329 89296 16 056 16 048 15 049 12 054 89296 83765 11 008 12 003 10 030 2 096 83765 79132 10 010 9 351 17 006 14 028 79132 75134 10 025 15 306 21 328 23 350 75134 71603 28 349 17 300 21 314 24 327 71603 68398 39 316 22 302 19 312 17 312 68398 65431 32 274 26 318 30 324 28 324 65431 62674 21 323 45 305 45 307 45 312 62674 60007 36 304 42 302 50 302 48 299 60007 57226 44 303 48 307 54 302 50 295 57226 54331 56 302 59 299 59 298 53 300 54331 51573 61 298 58 295 63 298 60 296 51573 49105 63 305 57 304 69 304 63 303 49105 46896 83 313 76 311 84 307 81 307 46896 44899 103 308 103 310 105 302 100 299 44899 43088 102 299 124 298 114 293 106 289 43088 41443 91 303 116 291 108 290 103 285 41443 39924 107 318 94 296 99 292 101 288 39924 38503 115 319 102 312 97 294 100 292 38503 37168 111 316 104 313 96 299 103 296 37168 35892 106 314 100 308 95 301 103 296 35892 34612 106 311 100 303 96 300 92 298 34612 33305 107 309 102 299 90 299 96 294 33305 31976 106 306 102 299 85 298 103 290 31976 30616 106 305 99 299 92 297 106 289 30616 29218 105 304 95 299 102 297 104 290 29218 27788 103 303 93 300 105 295 101 290 27788 26329 100 302 92 301 102 295 96 289 26329 24845 95 299 90 301 96 294 93 289 24845 23340 91 295 88 300 91 294 90 290 23340 21812 91 293 86 299 88 292 89 289 21812 20259 91 294 84 297 86 289 87 289 20259 18707 85 295 81 294 82 288 85 288 18707 17230 74 294 80 291 78 289 81 288 17230 15892 65 287 80 290 74 290 77 288 15892 14696 58 280 79 289 70 293 73 287 14696 13620 52 274 75 288 68 295 69 285 13620 12647 47 268 68 284 67 294 66 283 12647 11765 41 260 59 279 65 291 63 280 11765 10968 34 250 48 271 61 286 59 276 10968 10249 28 235 38 261 55 282 54 272 10249 9599 23*221 28 250 49 278 50 269 9599 9002 19*210 19 235 43 275 46 265 9002 8463 15 201 13 215 35 271 39 262 8463 8006 12 191 9 188 26 267 31 258 8006 7649 9 182 8 179 17 261 22 253 7649 7400 8 179 7 174 10 252 14 244 7400 7248 7 177 7*171 6*244 8*231 7248 7161 6 173 5*167 3*226 4*208 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography