DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 31.8 - - 26.6 - - 24.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 31 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 390 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7161 - - 9400 - - 7162 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2311 - - 978 - - 2220 - - 1523 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 100 - - 4 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 299 - - 245 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 10 - - 8 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3389 - - -454 - - -1775 - - -1445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10550 - - 9854 - - 8937 - - 8606 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15033 - - -11088 - - -11980 - - -11716 ODpotential blCL - - - 22194 - - 20488 - - 19142 - - 18877 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 78 - - 94 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 31.8 - - 26.6 - - 24.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.9 - - 14.2 - - 13.0 - - 12.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.2 - - 35.5 - - 33.4 - - 31.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.9 - - 13.1 - - 11.8 - - 11.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 31 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 390 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 13 - - 76 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97202 73 070 71 066 67 061 70 067 97202 89990 60 065 57 066 49 054 54 052 89990 84437 49 066 42 067 37 048 45 037 84437 79771 39 059 33 056 30 037 37 024 79771 75696 28 052 30 034 27 028 26 024 75696 72046 22 048 21 034 23 039 19 024 72046 68709 20 035 16 028 22 029 15 022 68709 65638 15 021 16 014 20 011 15 019 65638 62794 7 058 12 358 16 358 13 005 62794 60050 12 050 8 002 11 345 13 355 60050 57201 21 015 16 356 16 353 17 353 57201 54271 23 355 25 342 28 339 28 344 54271 51506 25 352 29 343 31 331 28 340 51506 49039 31 348 35 343 33 334 30 331 49039 46844 44 347 44 336 41 328 36 322 46844 44854 46 332 47 328 40 327 34 305 44854 43031 51 339 53 328 47 323 47 313 43031 41359 65 338 63 325 55 316 56 310 41359 39819 72 335 68 323 57 318 63 310 39819 38391 73 334 75 323 65 318 67 307 38391 37064 73 334 70 323 68 312 60 313 37064 35803 72 333 60 323 62 310 62 319 35803 34545 69 334 57 325 59 312 67 321 34545 33260 63 341 55 324 58 311 66 317 33260 31953 58 349 52 322 55 309 63 313 31953 30614 54 354 51 323 51 309 60 308 30614 29237 51 357 51 326 48 314 57 304 29237 27827 49 359 50 329 50 318 55 303 27827 26386 48 359 48 330 51 320 54 303 26386 24917 48 359 45 329 49 321 52 307 24917 23424 47 360 41 331 46 321 48 311 23424 21902 46 000 37 335 43 320 46 315 21902 20346 44 000 33 335 40 318 45 317 20346 18782 41 000 31 337 38 316 45 320 18782 17287 37 001 30 341 36 318 44 320 17287 15929 31 358 28 342 34 322 43 319 15929 14716 25 351 24 339 30 326 40 315 14716 13628 20 343 22 335 26 330 35 310 13628 12647 18 335 20 331 23 332 30 306 12647 11761 17 329 19 328 20 333 26 304 11761 10959 16 326 18 327 18 332 24 304 10959 10238 16 325 17 326 16 330 22 305 10238 9586 16 325 14*324 14 327 22 307 9586 8991 16 325 11*322 12 322 22 309 8991 8454 15 325 7 311 9 313 21 312 8454 7999 12 325 5 291 6 293 18 315 7999 7645 8 321 4 279 4 257 13 321 7645 7398 5 312 4 261 3 218 8 329 7398 7247 3*307 3 257 3*179 4*343 7247 7160 2*299 2 254 3*165 1*046 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography