DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.8 - - 37.8 - - 32.9 - - 25.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - -4 - - -15 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1136 - - 2817 - - 2469 - - 739 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 15 - - 11 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 12 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 008 - - 356 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 19 - - 19 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -13 - - -17 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2071 - - -2215 - - -1349 - - -1947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9233 - - 9377 - - 8511 - - 9109 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10926 - - -10335 - - -9578 - - -11329 ODpotential blCL - - - 18088 - - 17497 - - 16740 - - 18491 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 42 - - 43 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.8 - - 37.8 - - 32.9 - - 25.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.1 - - 22.3 - - 21.2 - - 11.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 44.0 - - 41.3 - - 34.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.2 - - 21.2 - - 20.1 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - -4 - - -15 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96712 35 057 42 058 46 074 45 061 96712 89775 29 075 43 072 43 074 45 071 89775 84295 30 075 29 073 40 073 40 080 84295 79679 25 068 23 066 31 054 38 077 79679 75662 22 063 15 074 19 039 35 064 75662 72081 12 055 20 046 15 054 20 044 72081 68834 9 059 9 063 15 042 9 065 68834 65819 23 354 12 030 9 042 10 057 65819 63015 26 352 29 342 24 349 10 004 63015 60337 17 329 29 329 29 332 31 348 60337 57555 24 317 33 327 31 329 39 336 57555 54658 32 322 36 326 41 327 46 334 54658 51877 50 330 51 327 53 324 56 331 51877 49371 65 321 62 319 66 322 63 328 49371 47133 71 311 70 313 76 323 67 328 47133 45120 74 309 78 312 80 323 70 331 45120 43293 82 313 85 315 80 325 71 334 43293 41621 90 314 87 317 81 327 67 331 41621 40074 92 314 86 319 78 324 65 327 40074 38630 90 314 82 320 71 323 61 329 38630 37283 89 316 76 321 69 326 62 340 37283 36006 85 318 71 325 68 333 70 348 36006 34742 83 321 70 329 69 341 77 349 34742 33459 85 321 68 331 72 347 80 350 33459 32158 85 317 65 333 74 352 80 350 32158 30823 82 316 63 336 74 355 78 351 30823 29447 75 319 61 340 72 355 75 352 29447 28035 68 323 61 345 65 353 73 353 28035 26591 63 327 60 347 60 350 71 353 26591 25117 59 329 57 344 58 346 68 352 25117 23617 55 331 54 340 56 344 63 351 23617 22087 51 333 52 340 54 343 57 348 22087 20520 48 335 50 342 52 342 53 345 20520 18942 43 338 47 344 50 342 49 343 18942 17433 38 342 43 346 49 344 47 343 17433 16060 34 346 40 347 46 346 46 345 16060 14834 32 351 37 348 44 348 45 347 14834 13732 31 357 35 349 42 350 44 351 13732 12736 31 002 32 352 40 352 44 354 12736 11835 30 007 30 355 39 354 43 356 11835 11020 30 012 29 360 37 357 42 359 11020 10285 30 016 27 005 36 360 41 002 10285 9623 30 019 25 009 33 003 39 004 9623 9018 28 022 23 013 30 005 38 007 9018 8473 25 023 20 014 26 006 35 009 8473 8011 20 022 16 011 20 004 31 009 8011 7650 13 018 11 006 14 359 25 007 7650 7401 7 006 7 355 9 349 18 002 7401 7248 4*345 4*344 6*336 11*355 7248 7161 2*243 2*316 2*304 5*352 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography