DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1337z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.8 - - 40.7 - - 40.7 - - 37.2 - - 35.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 57 - - 76 - - 179 - - 92 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1972 - - 4568 - - 2295 - - 234 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 11436 - - 10285 - - 7147 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 10982 - - 13578 - - 11305 - - 9244 - - 7165 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1853 - - 1337 - - 2414 - - 1764 - - 4364 Hgt.Variab. W* 213 - - 310 - - 325 - - 121 - - 3 W* B/S 4 - - 15 - - 12 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 195 - - 196 - - 256 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 5 - - 1 - - 5 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - 16 - - 15 - - 6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 3605 - - 5718 - - 4141 - - 2080 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7377 - - 7861 - - 7164 - - 7164 - - 7164 sfcLCL ODpotential -10 - - 3089 - - 1758 - - 1372 - - -1602 ODpotential blCL 10992 - - 10489 - - 9547 - - 7872 - - 8767 blCL maxRH 88 - - 101 - - 99 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 70 - - 150 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 36.8 - - 40.7 - - 40.7 - - 37.2 - - 35.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.4 - - 31.1 - - 36.8 - - 36.3 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.2 - - 43.9 - - 43.4 - - 40.5 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.2 - - 29.8 - - 35.7 - - 35.9 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 57 - - 76 - - 179 - - 92 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1972 - - 4568 - - 2295 - - 234 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 102 - - 97 - - 99 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98204 31 102 31 105 29 106 28 089 29 097 98204 90724 31 102 29 109 21 111 22 091 26 097 90724 84999 27 102 25 112 20 114 15 103 24 099 84999 80262 24 092 22 107 19 120 11 121 21 100 80262 76169 16 098 17 105 20 128 11 152 17 100 76169 72542 14 111 10 124 18 121 16 139 12 110 72542 69242 12 112 12 148 11 134 15 124 11 118 69242 66190 8 141 13 135 13 156 12 147 10 139 66190 63340 11 189 9 149 16 170 14 141 11 162 63340 60566 16 192 12 194 17 175 11 171 16 168 60566 57655 15 189 18 206 13 175 11 182 12 166 57655 54616 11 189 21 205 15 198 17 203 17 203 54616 51720 9 199 22 201 20 209 21 203 21 202 51720 49127 11 233 18 192 22 218 19 208 20 205 49127 46814 16 246 9 203 24 224 20 221 24 209 46814 44741 18 250 8 264 21 221 23 225 21 207 44741 42870 16 255 17 279 14 233 21 231 17 245 42870 41163 12 276 21 273 13 276 24 250 29 246 41163 39595 14 314 20 271 21 287 23 256 23 245 39595 38146 19 306 14 277 26 290 22 276 24 256 38146 36807 10 347 14 293 27 290 23 286 25 253 36807 35548 14 348 15 286 28 289 25 283 25 253 35548 34299 10 322 13 300 25 289 29 276 31 255 34299 33024 4 353 15 306 20 285 31 278 33 256 33024 31727 9 050 13 294 16 280 31 283 33 261 31727 30399 9 055 9 262 12 300 31 285 33 262 30399 29031 8 098 9 206 15 305 27 284 31 263 29031 27627 12 135 9 183 17 292 21 282 22 277 27627 26192 11 148 7 169 15 283 17 283 14 312 26192 24731 7 148 5 160 11 272 14 286 6 325 24731 23251 3 096 5 145 9 264 10 281 6 222 23251 21749 4 039 5 128 9 264 8 274 13 217 21749 20220 4 051 2 132 10 274 6 267 14 220 20220 18686 3 030 3 334 10 282 6 219 12 223 18686 17222 6 352 7 000 6 301 11 218 11 228 17222 15892 8 341 9 360 4 312 12 225 8 221 15892 14704 9 334 8 342 5 259 13 230 6 207 14704 13638 10 318 6*308 4 254 12 238 8 208 13638 12673 9 292 4*263 3 240 11 244 11 210 12673 11795 7*269 4 224 3*216 10 253 12 213 11795 10999 3*273 4 204 3*200 8 261 13 216 10999 10278 4 004 4 191 4 195 7 264 13 218 10278 9624 8 020 4 183 5 195 7*267 13 219 9624 9024 12 024 4 181 5 197 6*266 12 220 9024 8481 15 027 4 178 5 197 4 264 10 221 8481 8018 15 026 4 177 6 196 3 258 7 222 8018 7657 14 026 4 177 6 197 3 249 2 217 7657 7406 12 025 4 177 5 196 2 232 2 049 7406 7252 11 025 4 178 5 197 2 223 2*043 7252 7164 8 025 4 176 5 199 2 218 2*036 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography