DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.1 - - 33.9 - - 30.4 - - 25.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - 3 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1358 - - 2346 - - 1892 - - 1172 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 9 - - 19 - - 4 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 016 - - 282 - - 300 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 13 - - 9 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 3 - - -1 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2346 - - -2335 - - -956 - - -2679 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9509 - - 9497 - - 8118 - - 9842 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12484 - - -11182 - - -8490 - - -11448 ODpotential blCL - - - 19646 - - 18344 - - 15652 - - 18610 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 74 - - 77 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.1 - - 33.9 - - 30.4 - - 25.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.5 - - 18.1 - - 20.5 - - 9.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.2 - - 38.7 - - 38.5 - - 36.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.4 - - 16.9 - - 19.6 - - 13.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - 3 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96024 42 347 45 010 53 034 47 039 96024 89171 31 359 34 002 45 021 42 028 89171 83815 24 002 29 002 33 010 39 017 83815 79300 25 015 22 004 26 009 35 019 79300 75377 23 015 18 357 25 021 27 008 75377 71879 18 025 18 002 28 018 25 003 71879 68682 19 006 21 028 18 351 28 352 68682 65720 20 346 24 352 16 356 17 359 65720 62950 22 321 20 325 20 005 13 021 62950 60252 22 323 24 335 20 340 24 346 60252 57435 22 323 26 320 27 335 27 335 57435 54516 27 330 30 319 38 329 36 335 54516 51745 36 323 33 316 39 326 35 333 51745 49265 39 315 34 318 39 327 37 334 49265 47055 37 310 35 316 41 328 40 327 47055 45063 37 312 35 313 42 322 36 323 45063 43247 41 316 38 323 35 313 35 333 43247 41590 41 314 43 335 24 334 39 344 41590 40086 40 317 50 345 39 356 31 357 40086 38699 43 322 50 344 56 005 34 005 38699 37398 49 318 44 344 55 003 43 006 37398 36151 50 309 39 354 36 006 39 013 36151 34901 47 308 40 006 31 002 25 029 34901 33624 43 305 39 004 33 360 18 039 33624 32324 39 303 37 359 33 000 12 018 32324 30991 37 301 35 353 29 354 11 343 30991 29619 35 299 33 347 27 341 19 329 29619 28208 32 296 30 345 27 334 27 323 28208 26759 31 295 27 338 24 326 26 317 26759 25277 30 296 29 327 20 321 25 313 25277 23765 29 299 31 316 18 318 25 313 23765 22219 28 300 29 307 19 313 27 316 22219 20636 25 298 25 304 21 306 29 319 20636 19043 23 296 23 306 21 303 29 320 19043 17519 22 298 22 309 21 306 28 320 17519 16134 20 301 22 313 21 312 25 320 16134 14896 19 301 20 314 21 318 21 321 14896 13782 18 295 18 312 22 324 18 324 13782 12776 18 286 16 306 21 327 16 325 12776 11864 18 277 15 298 20 330 15 323 11864 11040 19 270 15 290 19 331 13 318 11040 10299 19 266 15 283 18 332 10 311 10299 9631 18 264 15 278 16 332 8 304 9631 9022 15 263 14 276 14 331 5 294 9022 8475 10 262 11 277 11 330 3 279 8475 8011 4 266 6 281 7 328 3 261 8011 7651 1 332 2 295 4 315 2 258 7651 7401 4 011 1 080 2 260 1 288 7401 7249 5*020 2*096 3*207 2*345 7249 7161 4*013 2*097 3*193 2*351 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography