DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.3 - - 34.5 - - 36.8 - - 35.9 - - 30.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 7 - - 17 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 335 - - 500 - - 615 - - 118 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9345 - - 9510 - - 9625 - - 9128 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1834 - - 1473 - - 1592 - - 1362 - - 714 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 65 - - 99 - - 45 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 016 - - 175 - - 202 - - 205 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 10 - - 11 - - 16 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 12 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2421 - - -370 - - 561 - - 2320 - - 1967 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9583 - - 9716 - - 8950 - - 7306 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -9779 - - -7659 - - -5987 - - -3802 - - -2838 ODpotential blCL 16941 - - 17004 - - 15497 - - 13427 - - 11966 blCL maxRH 46 - - 52 - - 70 - - 73 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.3 - - 34.5 - - 36.8 - - 35.9 - - 30.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.2 - - 17.4 - - 22.9 - - 29.0 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.1 - - 39.0 - - 40.4 - - 40.5 - - 37.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.2 - - 16.3 - - 21.8 - - 27.9 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 7 - - 17 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 335 - - 500 - - 615 - - 118 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95969 18 266 20 273 32 282 22 302 19 314 95969 88905 22 306 20 290 28 279 25 298 18 326 88905 83464 31 294 28 296 24 307 24 328 19 330 83464 78951 31 299 34 295 34 301 31 318 29 332 78951 75063 36 297 37 300 34 308 36 303 27 322 75063 71611 41 297 39 297 41 299 41 296 38 305 71611 68471 39 281 42 292 43 285 45 291 37 293 68471 65555 45 295 41 287 44 281 49 292 37 296 65555 62816 51 288 38 279 52 280 55 292 45 298 62816 60139 46 280 42 276 57 279 61 284 54 289 60139 57327 44 281 52 278 59 277 60 279 60 280 57327 54399 57 284 57 279 59 280 59 278 64 275 54399 51602 68 285 63 280 65 280 62 275 66 271 51602 49085 70 284 70 278 66 278 61 274 59 272 49085 46835 64 288 66 284 58 284 57 279 54 280 46835 44809 64 300 65 294 56 289 54 283 52 287 44809 42978 62 304 60 295 53 285 50 283 45 294 42978 41318 50 310 39 298 44 282 48 284 37 301 41318 39796 40 341 33 332 31 288 42 286 33 311 39796 38390 44 356 47 341 39 315 42 299 39 312 38390 37084 50 359 53 342 46 320 46 303 43 310 37084 35839 52 358 48 346 42 319 43 299 42 307 35839 34593 49 001 43 348 37 318 35 298 35 301 34593 33319 46 006 39 348 38 324 30 302 31 294 33319 32023 43 011 41 345 35 329 29 306 29 290 32023 30694 41 016 33 355 27 320 28 310 28 292 30694 29323 39 017 26 016 24 316 26 315 28 296 29323 27914 35 018 21 034 18 315 19 313 27 298 27914 26473 32 025 18 035 14 315 19 289 18 289 26473 25001 28 028 15 024 11 320 21 281 16 273 25001 23503 24 023 15 018 9 328 20 287 21 267 23503 21977 21 020 14 022 7 335 16 289 22 265 21977 20416 18 023 12 032 6 342 10 280 19 259 20416 18848 17 024 6 031 3 004 7 249 16 255 18848 17350 16 021 3 003 1 208 8 236 14 264 17350 15990 14 016 2 332 5 226 10 245 14 275 15990 14776 12 012 2 346 7 223 12 246 13 276 14776 13684 10 012 1 015 9 213 14 241 13 269 13684 12697 7 018 1 097 11 208 17 236 15 259 12697 11803 4 034 3 177 13 209 18 232 17 251 11803 10994 2 078 6 186 15 210 19 229 18 245 10994 10266 2 158 9 188 15 212 17*224 18 238 10266 9609 4 182 10*188 14*213 15*219 16*228 9609 9009 5 192 11*183 12*212 12 212 12*211 9009 8469 4 203 10 177 8 213 8 206 9 191 8469 8010 3 160 7 175 3 199 4 192 7 173 8010 7652 3 087 4 173 2 166 2 154 5 150 7652 7402 5 047 3 155 2 157 2 130 4 116 7402 7249 5*009 2 143 2 153 2 117 4 081 7249 7161 4*357 2 140 2 149 2 105 2 062 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography