DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 49.9 - - 54.7 - - 56.0 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 52 - - 54 - - -4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1802 - - 5366 - - 6762 - - 1012 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 11950 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 10812 - - 14376 - - 15772 - - 10022 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2316 - - 3531 - - 2122 - - 2029 - - 6928 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 213 - - 320 - - 192 - - 34 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 13 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 178 - - 193 - - 204 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 11 - - 14 - - 20 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 14 - - 20 - - 20 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5296 - - 37 - - 2340 - - 3265 - - -2934 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12460 - - 10776 - - 12036 - - 12507 - - 12957 sfcLCL ODpotential -12331 - - -6646 - - -5540 - - -6564 - - -10684 ODpotential blCL 19494 - - 17458 - - 19916 - - 22336 - - 20706 blCL maxRH 63 - - 74 - - 88 - - 78 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 49.9 - - 54.7 - - 56.0 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.5 - - 27.7 - - 26.9 - - 26.1 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.6 - - 53.8 - - 58.5 - - 60.8 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.6 - - 26.6 - - 25.7 - - 25.1 - - 17.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 52 - - 54 - - -4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1802 - - 5366 - - 6762 - - 1012 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 54 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96888 18 262 28 261 27 286 27 285 27 296 96888 89620 12 292 18 260 24 265 30 280 27 288 89620 84060 16 280 13 276 21 262 27 290 20 300 84060 79453 12 273 13 284 18 273 19 296 11 305 79453 75477 8 270 11 273 18 278 17 296 14 295 75477 71948 10 294 12 281 13 288 12 289 15 289 71948 68742 16 292 15 282 13 286 15 257 15 270 68742 65787 19 274 16 291 10 288 12 278 13 299 65787 63031 19 271 20 264 21 268 19 261 19 288 63031 60352 25 273 18 252 18 245 17 254 20 269 60352 57551 33 264 19 270 21 273 16 269 22 253 57551 54641 36 251 31 260 26 261 22 267 18 251 54641 51867 32 251 34 258 31 265 31 260 17 281 51867 49375 29 261 35 260 38 255 35 256 27 270 49375 47160 34 269 36 258 32 253 31 258 35 251 47160 45191 38 269 33 268 32 274 31 269 33 245 45191 43426 40 275 45 284 49 282 37 272 33 246 43426 41807 53 278 60 284 53 279 43 265 36 244 41807 40294 60 273 67 284 52 277 46 262 36 247 40294 38870 54 270 65 282 54 278 47 266 37 250 38870 37531 48 269 56 276 55 279 46 271 39 252 37531 36250 40 265 50 265 52 279 45 274 37 251 36250 34970 34 261 45 259 45 276 43 275 34 253 34970 33664 32 261 42 254 39 270 39 274 34 257 33664 32336 32 261 39 251 39 264 38 270 35 260 32336 30975 31 262 37 254 37 257 36 266 35 260 30975 29575 30 262 34 257 37 252 34 262 33 258 29575 28142 28 260 29 256 39 252 32 257 31 258 28142 26680 27 257 26 252 39 253 32 253 28 256 26680 25193 25 252 29 246 37 250 32 252 26 252 25193 23683 24 248 31 239 37 244 33 251 28 247 23683 22149 26 245 31 238 36 239 34 248 32 246 22149 20585 27 240 28 241 33 238 34 246 35 246 20585 19018 25 230 25 245 27 239 34 243 34 242 19018 17524 24 221 22 243 22 238 31 240 31 235 17524 16166 22 217 20 232 19 235 27*233 29 226 16166 14950 18 222 19 218 19*230 23*224 26 221 14950 13853 15 231 17 208 18*219 20 215 24 217 13853 12857 12 237 16 204 18 208 18 208 21 214 12857 11951 11 231 15 203 16 195 15 202 18 210 11951 11128 12 224 15*205 15 186 14 199 15 206 11128 10383 10 220 14*205 14 184 13 197 13*202 10383 9707 8 219 11 197 13 182 12 195 10*199 9707 9086 5 209 9 176 12 182 11 194 8 196 9086 8525 5 161 8 162 11 182 10 192 6 189 8525 8047 7 135 8 158 11 181 9 189 4 181 8047 7674 6 123 7 158 9 181 8 188 2 151 7674 7413 4 092 6 160 8 182 6 186 3 074 7413 7254 4*063 5 162 7 182 5 183 4 049 7254 7162 2*027 4 163 6 182 4 182 3 039 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography