DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1006z - - 1336z - - 1607z - - 1903z - - 2204z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.8 - - 47.8 - - 53.2 - - 53.8 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 155 - - 222 - - 78 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 161 - - 5029 - - 6332 - - 5956 - - 726 BL Depth Hcrit 7148 - - 12235 - - 13410 - - 12398 - - 7148 Hcrit BL Top 9171 - - 14039 - - 15342 - - 14966 - - 9736 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3122 - - 973 - - 798 - - 585 - - 2940 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 401 - - 482 - - 334 - - 24 W* B/S 1 - - 13 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 049 - - 344 - - 326 - - 356 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 19 - - 14 - - 10 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 15 - - 34 - - 20 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1931 - - 5103 - - 4715 - - 3929 - - 2327 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7240 - - 8937 - - 10627 - - 11038 - - 7409 sfcLCL ODpotential -1536 - - 2828 - - 2699 - - 1658 - - -1220 ODpotential blCL 10707 - - 11211 - - 12643 - - 13308 - - 10956 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 100 - - 91 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.8 - - 47.8 - - 53.2 - - 53.8 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 33.6 - - 31.5 - - 30.4 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.7 - - 50.7 - - 55.6 - - 56.9 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.4 - - 32.6 - - 30.8 - - 30.0 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 155 - - 222 - - 78 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 161 - - 5029 - - 6332 - - 5956 - - 726 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 79 - - 99 - - 65 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98174 3 011 9 287 13 319 8 004 7 309 98174 90905 7 341 1 083 6 287 9 317 6 335 90905 85270 9 340 8 073 5 226 11 299 7 345 85270 80567 5 350 8 024 4 097 7 317 6 001 80567 76492 5 026 6 003 8 078 4 331 6 030 76492 72881 4 036 1 017 5 053 2 327 6 021 72881 69613 4 018 2 115 0 192 2 185 3 345 69613 66601 5 341 3 119 3 242 2 280 3 341 66601 63798 4 287 2 308 9 238 9 277 7 292 63798 61076 5 262 8 257 8 249 8 274 8 273 61076 58233 10 260 11 272 11 277 10 287 13 290 58233 55284 10 289 13 293 14 297 13 312 14 298 55284 52470 10 302 9 288 16 289 18 316 16 311 52470 49935 19 325 16 333 18 303 24 324 21 324 49935 47670 22 330 22 330 22 318 29 321 28 326 47670 45634 24 340 22 351 25 339 28 328 31 333 45634 43793 28 349 35 357 30 351 29 339 34 342 43793 42117 34 351 40 353 36 358 37 352 40 350 42117 40572 34 001 43 006 46 004 47 356 52 351 40572 39134 51 021 59 015 56 005 55 356 59 349 39134 37788 76 021 71 015 61 005 57 355 60 349 37788 36500 85 016 73 014 60 007 55 356 55 350 36500 35212 82 013 71 011 58 008 51 357 48 350 35212 33897 77 013 67 011 57 007 46 357 41 349 33897 32562 75 018 63 012 55 005 44 356 38 348 32562 31194 75 019 61 013 53 004 43 355 34 347 31194 29788 74 017 61 012 52 004 43 354 31 347 29788 28345 71 017 61 011 52 004 43 353 30 347 28345 26868 63 018 60 011 52 005 43 352 30 344 26868 25360 53 014 56 013 52 007 43 352 30 341 25360 23828 46 007 50 014 50 008 42 354 30 339 23828 22267 41 002 44 011 46 009 41 357 30 339 22267 20673 33 001 40 008 41 009 39 001 31 340 20673 19072 25 352 31 005 34 005 35 003 31 343 19072 17542 23 339 23 358 28 000 30 004 30 350 17542 16153 21 335 20 347 21*355 22*005 28 355 16153 14916 17 335 19*340 15*350 15*009 24 356 14916 13807 14 332 17*342 11 341 10 010 17 355 13807 12810 12 328 14 344 9 334 9 005 12 005 12810 11907 9 322 11 348 8 330 9 000 10 013 11907 11089 6 314 7 351 7 323 9 356 10 009 11089 10349 3 305 4 351 6 316 9 350 11*358 10349 9679 1*308 2 343 6 309 9 347 13*348 9679 9065 2*076 1 305 5 304 9 346 14 341 9065 8510 5 064 1 226 5 298 9 344 14 335 8510 8038 8 052 1 202 5 293 8 344 12 331 8038 7669 11 045 2 189 4 289 8 343 10 330 7669 7412 10 040 2 189 4 287 8 342 6 331 7412 7255 8 036 2 188 4 284 7 342 4 339 7255 7165 5 031 2 187 3 281 6 342 3 353 7165 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography