DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.3 - - 32.1 - - 34.0 - - 31.7 - - 32.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 75 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9085 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1534 - - 2564 - - 836 - - 2838 - - 4194 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 11 - - 28 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 9 - - 14 - - 18 BL Wind Direction 121 - - 193 - - 156 - - 162 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 19 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - 15 - - 18 - - 33 - - 42 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 1924 - - 1 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -4211 - - -4171 - - -2521 - - -679 - - -381 ODpotential blCL 11373 - - 11333 - - 11606 - - 7841 - - 7543 blCL maxRH 88 - - 87 - - 91 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m 25.3 - - 32.1 - - 34.0 - - 31.7 - - 32.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.5 - - 28.0 - - 29.6 - - 31.6 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.2 - - 37.1 - - 38.5 - - 35.7 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 27.3 - - 28.8 - - 31.7 - - 33.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - -1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 75 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 47 - - 63 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95800 24 318 29 290 34 308 25 309 32 288 95800 88834 23 312 18 301 28 303 14 320 22 294 88834 83431 17 293 15 306 24 302 11 307 17 292 83431 78915 10 305 16 307 22 307 13 303 21 298 78915 74988 10 306 14 298 19 303 14 288 21 296 74988 71484 14 271 16 286 17 306 12 284 22 298 71484 68280 14 273 17 286 19 297 16 283 26 281 68280 65315 13 285 18 290 17 288 16 273 23 266 65315 62552 18 267 25 274 20 294 14 285 23 269 62552 59862 16 256 22 265 21 273 19 287 29 274 59862 57036 6 299 34 268 41 256 48 255 40 264 57036 54090 37 265 54 244 47 245 47 238 46 233 54090 51299 44 245 46 236 40 236 25 226 25 219 51299 48791 37 248 30 252 20 247 13 267 34 275 48791 46515 42 261 40 272 38 258 48 257 43 275 46515 44433 53 259 62 250 62 248 72 248 58 257 44433 42535 56 256 60 246 76 243 78 241 68 248 42535 40801 61 255 62 244 79 235 82 235 72 246 40801 39206 72 255 67 245 79 235 84 233 76 245 39206 37735 85 252 76 246 85 240 88 236 82 242 37735 36381 89 249 79 245 93 241 96 238 87 237 36381 35114 79 247 75 244 92 239 101 237 92 230 35114 33869 66 248 71 242 84 234 101 233 105 221 33869 32607 59 250 69 241 79 231 95 230 112 215 32607 31327 57 252 69 240 79 233 91 231 111 216 31327 30017 57 250 69 239 79 235 89 232 104 220 30017 28677 56 247 67 239 78 236 85 235 92 225 28677 27309 56 243 64 239 75 237 78 240 85 227 27309 25912 55 242 63 240 74 238 68 240 83 228 25912 24488 55 243 63 242 73 238 57 234 80 228 24488 23043 55 246 62 245 70 237 50 229 77 228 23043 21573 54 247 60 246 63 233 49 228 66 229 21573 20072 48 245 56 242 56 228 48 228 57 229 20072 18565 42 240 50 235 52 225 48 229 59 231 18565 17125 40 235 45 227 49 227 47 230 52 231 17125 15814 40 233 42 221 47 228 47 231 50 231 15814 14640 40 233 39 219 45 227 46 232 48 230 14640 13584 38 232 37 222 41 223 44 230 48 229 13584 12627 35 231 34 227 36 218 40 228 46 229 12627 11758 32 228 31 233 32 215 35 224 44 228 11758 10968 29 224 30 238 29 214 29 216 42 226 10968 10252 27 221 27 241 24 213 25 206 39 223 10252 9603 25 218 25 240 20*210 21 193 37 220 9603 9007 20 212 19 236 14*199 19 178 35 216 9007 8468 13 201 12 226 10 171 18 168 31 209 8468 8009 11 165 7 200 11 142 16 162 26 199 8009 7651 10 138 5 172 11 136 14 159 21 193 7651 7402 9 123 4 152 10 133 11 158 17 190 7402 7249 6*108 3*131 8 132 9*158 14*189 7249 7161 3*036 2*124 5 132 5*160 8*189 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography