DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/27 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1007z - - 1337z - - 1601z - - 1902z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 61.7 - - 66.0 - - 63.6 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 261 - - 310 - - 38 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2502 - - 4081 - - 3779 - - 315 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 10547 - - 11803 - - 9755 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 11512 - - 13091 - - 12789 - - 9325 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2302 - - 1236 - - 1567 - - 1946 - - 3625 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 372 - - 463 - - 227 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 14 - - 18 - - 19 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 169 - - 222 - - 224 - - 221 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 19 - - 21 - - 23 - - 19 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 19 - - 18 - - 20 - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5773 - - -4081 - - -4103 - - -5043 - - -7009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12937 - - 15593 - - 17194 - - 17832 - - 16335 sfcLCL ODpotential -15519 - - -11605 - - -11718 - - -12165 - - -15518 ODpotential blCL 22682 - - 23117 - - 24809 - - 24954 - - 24843 blCL maxRH 44 - - 45 - - 37 - - 40 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 61.7 - - 66.0 - - 63.6 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.7 - - 18.5 - - 15.4 - - 10.3 - - 7.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 63.7 - - 67.8 - - 67.0 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.1 - - 18.0 - - 14.7 - - 9.7 - - 6.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 261 - - 310 - - 38 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2502 - - 4081 - - 3779 - - 315 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98220 15 256 13 268 7 205 13 266 18 270 98220 90886 10 267 7 235 8 225 8 258 6 289 90886 85198 7 241 7 210 7 246 7 275 1 357 85198 80448 5 161 7 181 9 236 11 280 1 049 80448 76344 3 207 7 185 13 221 9 241 4 321 76344 72702 11 252 6 240 10 247 8 213 8 273 72702 69396 10 241 7 250 9 240 5 237 9 262 69396 66366 10 203 14 234 10 232 8 276 5 242 66366 63563 10 209 19 223 14 235 14 243 6 229 63563 60850 9 232 16 219 20 232 14 220 14 247 60850 58035 14 240 15 223 26 219 21 238 18 237 58035 55143 21 250 17 228 25 209 29 233 22 236 55143 52410 22 251 23 238 25 221 27 231 29 227 52410 49969 23 249 27 232 33 224 31 227 34 227 49969 47789 24 250 29 237 32 227 37 227 40 228 47789 45816 25 242 35 239 34 240 35 231 44 223 45816 44011 21 233 35 226 38 238 36 236 40 219 44011 42344 20 249 28 213 40 217 38 229 39 226 42344 40791 25 262 26 221 35 204 40 214 42 227 40791 39335 27 251 29 230 32 211 42 202 45 212 39335 37972 33 236 32 230 30 223 33 206 44 192 37972 36672 35 233 35 231 33 231 29 213 43 187 36672 35370 33 241 35 231 35 229 31 216 40 192 35370 34041 33 250 33 233 34 222 33 215 37 203 34041 32694 33 253 32 232 34 219 34 213 38 210 32694 31317 32 249 32 228 34 215 35 212 39 210 31317 29901 31 242 33 224 36 212 37 214 40 209 29901 28450 31 237 32 224 37 212 39 215 40 209 28450 26966 30 234 31 226 37 212 40 215 40 210 26966 25452 29 233 30 226 36 213 39 216 41 214 25452 23916 28 233 31 224 35 219 38 221 42 219 23916 22354 27 233 32 226 36 226 39 226 43 224 22354 20761 28 236 33 230 38 231 40 228 46 226 20761 19164 30 239 35 233 39 233 41 229 48 227 19164 17639 31 240 36 233 40 234 42 230 48 227 17639 16255 32 239 36 233 39 234 42 231 46 225 16255 15019 32 240 35 235 37 235 41 230 45 221 15019 13906 32 242 33 238 34*235 38 227 43 219 13906 12898 31 244 30 241 30*235 35*225 39 222 12898 11983 30 244 27*243 24 234 31*224 34 227 11983 11152 28 245 24*241 18 226 27 223 31 232 11152 10402 25 244 19 236 17 221 22 223 28 233 10402 9722 22 243 15 227 16 219 18 221 24*231 9722 9097 17 242 12 216 16 218 16 220 20*224 9097 8533 11 236 12 208 16 216 16 220 15 213 8533 8052 6 210 11 206 15 215 15 219 13 199 8052 7676 4 171 11 203 15 214 15 218 11 188 7676 7415 3 132 10 201 14 213 14 218 8 176 7415 7255 2*101 9 201 13 213 12 217 6 166 7255 7163 1*084 8 199 10 211 8 217 3 152 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography