DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 42.2 - - 38.5 - - 33.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 2 - - -10 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 680 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 9690 - - 7163 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2504 - - 1038 - - 2665 - - 1746 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 63 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 16 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 342 - - 326 - - 320 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 22 - - 24 - - 23 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -12 - - -20 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -46 - - 2241 - - 2 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7208 - - 7449 - - 7162 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7571 - - -3993 - - -5252 - - -7900 ODpotential blCL - - - 14733 - - 13683 - - 12415 - - 15063 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 82 - - 94 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 42.2 - - 38.5 - - 33.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.4 - - 34.5 - - 34.6 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.4 - - 47.1 - - 45.7 - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.4 - - 33.4 - - 34.4 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 2 - - -10 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 680 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 28 - - 78 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96555 7 160 8 246 5 284 9 294 96555 89507 3 101 5 260 6 309 5 320 89507 84044 6 045 5 026 6 043 6 008 84044 79490 6 048 6 081 5 063 4 309 79490 75551 9 028 9 009 11 027 10 020 75551 72072 5 060 4 305 9 318 7 005 72072 68905 15 011 7 016 8 319 8 358 68905 65976 8 328 17 344 17 345 15 357 65976 63262 3 043 8 313 17 330 17 344 63262 60640 22 360 22 337 21 324 11 329 60640 57889 44 358 40 331 33 334 24 342 57889 55021 61 355 49 344 51 334 48 331 55021 52307 73 345 60 341 60 335 53 335 52307 49886 84 337 74 341 70 339 62 341 49886 47729 89 335 91 334 80 335 72 335 47729 45791 88 337 88 328 79 333 72 331 45791 44025 92 348 76 338 74 339 71 331 44025 42388 107 355 81 348 78 345 76 331 42388 40852 118 353 94 345 88 339 83 327 40852 39407 114 347 96 334 96 332 83 322 39407 38046 111 339 94 331 93 329 80 321 38046 36743 108 336 88 332 87 329 78 323 36743 35436 99 336 86 331 84 331 74 327 35436 34101 93 338 84 330 82 332 69 328 34101 32744 83 337 77 328 82 331 66 328 32744 31353 72 328 69 329 82 331 65 328 31353 29920 69 325 62 334 76 331 66 327 29920 28448 68 332 56 332 63 329 67 324 28448 26944 67 342 53 327 53 324 67 321 26944 25413 66 345 51 327 48 319 65 319 25413 23863 64 342 48 329 47 318 62 319 23863 22288 63 340 41 327 46 318 59 319 22288 20683 61 341 37 322 45 317 56 319 20683 19073 56 341 37 320 42 313 54 319 19073 17538 50 336 37 322 38 309 52 319 17538 16148 46 332 38 326 36 307 51 319 16148 14908 44 332 37 329 36 308 51 320 14908 13795 43 334 37 332 35 310 52 321 13795 12790 42 339 36 333 35 312 51 323 12790 11881 40 343 35 334 35 315 50 324 11881 11059 39 345 33 333 35 317 49 326 11059 10319 37 346 30*332 35 318 47 327 10319 9651 34 347 27*331 33 319 44 328 9651 9040 29 347 23 330 30 320 40 328 9040 8490 23 346 17 327 25 321 33 329 8490 8023 16 344 14 323 19 321 25 329 8023 7659 12 341 12 319 15 320 17 329 7659 7405 7 335 9 312 11 319 10 326 7405 7250 5*329 7 306 7*317 6*318 7250 7162 2*308 4 296 3*319 1*304 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography