DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.5 - - 32.5 - - 31.4 - - 26.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 32 - - 2 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 125 - - 1951 - - 2119 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9135 - - 10961 - - 11129 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1978 - - 1704 - - 1148 - - 3596 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 58 - - 177 - - 83 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 15 - - 11 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 283 - - 280 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 10 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 7 - - 9 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1944 - - 3801 - - 3968 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7191 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1794 - - 876 - - 1370 - - -1353 ODpotential blCL - - - 10929 - - 10085 - - 9759 - - 8515 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 90 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.5 - - 32.5 - - 31.4 - - 26.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.3 - - 27.6 - - 27.7 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 35.9 - - 35.3 - - 32.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.3 - - 26.5 - - 27.2 - - 27.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 32 - - 2 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 125 - - 1951 - - 2119 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 60 - - 75 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96775 28 080 38 075 30 097 29 082 96775 89684 26 093 25 066 27 089 27 079 89684 84135 24 089 18 074 17 083 23 063 84135 79498 17 077 16 063 13 081 14 042 79498 75476 8 058 10 043 9 059 8 026 75476 71903 8 051 4 031 5 005 6 006 71903 68661 6 009 3 346 5 299 4 353 68661 65670 3 326 7 303 9 295 5 319 65670 62885 8 296 11 289 13 285 12 288 62885 60175 16 278 16 278 17 287 15 281 60175 57329 20 271 20 275 22 285 19 284 57329 54367 22 270 24 272 24 273 21 279 54367 51541 21 271 25 272 22 271 20 280 51541 48999 19 274 26 273 23 289 17 284 48999 46726 16 274 23 272 25 285 16 291 46726 44668 14 288 17 274 21 270 17 285 44668 42788 17 295 14 279 17 267 16 282 42788 41058 15 282 14 278 16 265 14 288 41058 39462 10 270 11 301 8 262 12 281 39462 37983 7 270 10 337 11 353 7 343 37983 36623 4 061 12 039 18 019 16 028 36623 35353 21 068 21 063 25 035 24 048 35353 34102 27 065 24 062 27 038 29 056 34102 32835 30 064 26 063 25 040 30 054 32835 31551 32 067 28 062 26 052 29 056 31551 30236 32 068 30 059 30 059 29 060 30236 28883 33 076 31 055 31 062 29 066 28883 27497 29 084 29 053 29 059 27 068 27497 26082 20 075 25 060 25 054 23 063 26082 24640 14 056 20 071 22 058 19 059 24640 23174 6 035 14 081 16 066 14 059 23174 21682 3 311 5 076 6 052 6 036 21682 20159 4 270 2 310 5 331 5 341 20159 18632 3 286 6 298 10 305 12 319 18632 17173 6 322 7 302 11 300 14 307 17173 15846 8 319 7 307 10 297 13 301 15846 14659 7 317 6 314 10 297 12 299 14659 13590 5 318 5 324 9 298 10 295 13590 12623 3 320 4 335 7 308 10 292 12623 11746 1 323 4*347 6*339 8 291 11746 10951 1 134 4*353 6*359 6 293 10951 10235 2 135 4 343 5 356 2 298 10235 9587 2*130 4 323 3 334 2 350 9587 8994 2*130 3 292 2 270 1 002 8994 8458 1 135 3 248 3 221 1 326 8458 8002 1 088 4 219 5 205 1 240 8002 7647 2 042 4 212 5 200 1 221 7647 7400 2 018 4 208 5 196 1 196 7400 7248 2 012 4 205 4 194 1*127 7248 7161 1 015 3 203 3 192 1*103 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography