DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 52.6 - - 50.7 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 61 - - 24 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2774 - - 2643 - - 3020 - - 1721 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10178 - - 9904 - - 7145 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11784 - - 11653 - - 12030 - - 10731 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1769 - - 3253 - - 2377 - - 1905 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 264 - - 244 - - 191 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 024 - - 169 - - 168 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 4 - - 7 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 17 - - 9 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3636 - - 4491 - - 4868 - - 3569 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8149 - - 7163 - - 7162 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -187 - - 1852 - - 1731 - - 422 ODpotential blCL - - - 11971 - - 9801 - - 10299 - - 10309 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 98 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 380 - - 1230 - - 880 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 52.6 - - 50.7 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.4 - - 49.8 - - 48.0 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 55.7 - - 54.1 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 48.9 - - 47.3 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 61 - - 24 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2774 - - 2643 - - 3020 - - 1721 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 90 - - 91 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98809 4 012 11 023 7 357 10 351 98809 91468 4 075 9 337 9 357 4 323 91468 85785 5 319 3 282 11 333 11 328 85785 81049 8 298 11 285 14 315 19 324 81049 76981 9 270 16 288 14 295 16 313 76981 73378 5 268 12 299 16 312 13 314 73378 70095 17 275 14 287 17 301 14 301 70095 67066 9 260 16 269 21 289 16 291 67066 64258 10 288 15 265 24 277 17 291 64258 61539 18 259 19 260 24 262 22 286 61539 58703 19 253 21 249 22 259 27 272 58703 55761 23 249 21 249 24 261 24 268 55761 52957 21 242 21 252 28 267 28 273 52957 50441 23 245 22 258 25 273 25 273 50441 48185 28 239 25 264 26 282 25 288 48185 46132 32 235 31 258 28 286 31 294 46132 44240 35 232 34 246 29 285 34 294 44240 42479 36 225 34 229 28 281 34 294 42479 40830 38 219 34 216 26 270 34 296 40830 39285 44 214 35 209 27 260 31 289 39285 37842 53 204 39 198 29 244 27 281 37842 36473 62 194 40 185 26 215 20 284 36473 35121 63 188 36 175 25 190 13 276 35121 33761 64 185 32 171 31 160 13 231 33761 32404 63 184 29 169 38 151 14 160 32404 31040 61 182 27 170 38 136 25 132 31040 29649 60 180 28 174 37 129 27 120 29649 28221 58 182 30 174 37 131 24 107 28221 26759 50 185 32 172 33 141 21 107 26759 25270 43 189 34 173 23 163 16 133 25270 23758 38 193 34 175 17 178 10 156 23758 22219 37 195 35 179 14 187 5 144 22219 20643 35 197 35 181 13 197 5 073 20643 19057 32 199 36 183 12 204 7 071 19057 17541 27 201 33 184 12 204 4 065 17541 16163 22 197 28 185 12 203 3 052 16163 14930 19 184 22 187 14 203 3 022 14930 13822 18 168 15 192 14 202 3 355 13822 12821 14 156 11 200 12*199 3 332 12821 11914 8*136 10*201 10*192 3 292 11914 11093 6*098 9*192 8 186 2*273 11093 10352 5 074 8 175 7 178 2*279 10352 9681 5 043 8 165 6 161 1 305 9681 9066 6 022 9 163 5 152 1 324 9066 8510 7 003 9 165 6 150 1 352 8510 8037 8 357 9 165 6 149 2 005 8037 7668 7 355 9 165 6 151 3 359 7668 7411 7 353 9 165 5 153 3 351 7411 7253 6 353 8 164 5 154 2 342 7253 7162 5 352 7 163 4 154 2 340 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography