DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.4 - - 40.5 - - 41.7 - - 38.2 - - 36.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 80 - - 221 - - 101 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2394 - - 5211 - - 4349 - - 1606 - - 894 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 11960 - - 11889 - - 9496 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 11404 - - 14221 - - 13359 - - 10616 - - 9904 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3174 - - 2861 - - 2880 - - 2451 - - 3486 Hgt.Variab. W* 171 - - 332 - - 428 - - 238 - - 46 W* B/S 5 - - 15 - - 14 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 15 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 011 - - 350 - - 313 - - 022 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 11 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 9 - - -10 - - -28 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 3367 - - 4968 - - 4778 - - 3455 - - 2743 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8037 - - 9253 - - 8581 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -1423 - - 1839 - - 1850 - - 1676 - - -1234 ODpotential blCL 12827 - - 12382 - - 11509 - - 8940 - - 11138 blCL maxRH 88 - - 98 - - 95 - - 96 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 80 - - 170 - - 270 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 36.4 - - 40.5 - - 41.7 - - 38.2 - - 36.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.4 - - 25.1 - - 29.2 - - 36.7 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.1 - - 43.5 - - 44.0 - - 41.0 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.3 - - 24.0 - - 28.1 - - 35.6 - - 30.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 80 - - 221 - - 101 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2394 - - 5211 - - 4349 - - 1606 - - 894 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 90 - - 80 - - 83 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97364 4 051 9 298 13 270 16 317 13 343 97364 90019 13 340 10 300 9 284 15 296 16 315 90019 84419 19 307 11 284 14 304 16 314 12 319 84419 79764 13 300 12 268 17 292 19 310 11 327 79764 75736 14 285 17 270 19 280 19 299 12 307 75736 72158 17 273 18 274 20 282 15 285 12 287 72158 68896 17 267 19 276 21 289 16 287 15 277 68896 65879 17 278 22 279 21 290 19 300 16 295 65879 63076 22 282 23 273 20 282 22 299 20 309 63076 60363 21 281 20 279 19 268 23 296 24 308 60363 57538 20 301 23 301 19 303 22 300 23 298 57538 54597 22 303 26 311 25 311 22 315 22 304 54597 51786 23 311 25 311 26 313 29 321 25 319 51786 49261 25 314 21 310 27 313 31 319 30 325 49261 46996 26 316 26 321 28 314 29 319 32 322 46996 44931 30 314 32 321 26 314 26 323 28 321 44931 43034 31 313 33 317 23 316 27 322 26 332 43034 41291 30 309 30 312 23 326 26 325 31 338 41291 39688 27 304 26 312 23 335 26 334 31 335 39688 38208 28 303 24 316 25 339 28 341 27 338 38208 36842 31 295 24 316 27 337 30 343 26 346 36842 35556 26 287 22 314 26 329 29 339 30 348 35556 34287 27 287 24 311 22 324 26 335 29 341 34287 33003 29 291 25 300 18 329 24 336 25 341 33003 31706 30 294 24 299 19 342 24 341 24 353 31706 30381 28 297 25 300 21 347 26 343 27 001 30381 29019 25 296 26 299 22 348 27 342 30 000 29019 27626 23 295 25 300 22 349 28 343 30 356 27626 26204 23 293 23 307 21 349 29 346 28 354 26204 24757 25 304 19 314 20 346 29 346 27 356 24757 23286 24 309 17 312 19 338 23 345 26 356 23286 21786 20 311 14 319 15 326 13 349 23 354 21786 20255 17 322 15 333 15 326 7 000 13 337 20255 18723 17 336 18 335 14 323 7 004 14 314 18723 17260 18 343 18 334 11 318 7 350 12 304 17260 15928 17 345 16 329 8 322 9 349 9 311 15928 14736 14 346 11*325 7 331 10 353 7 316 14736 13662 11 347 8*330 5*334 12 001 6 336 13662 12689 9 350 5 339 4*330 14 007 8 357 12689 11806 8*353 4 352 4 325 16 013 11 008 11806 11003 7*356 3 358 4 320 17*018 13 012 11003 10278 7 359 3 001 5 314 18*021 14*017 10278 9622 6 002 4 359 6 312 18 023 16*020 9622 9021 6 011 4 359 7 309 17 023 18 023 9021 8477 7 022 4 358 7 308 16 023 20 026 8477 8015 7 029 4 356 8 306 15 023 20 027 8015 7655 7 026 4 356 8 305 13 022 18 026 7655 7404 6 014 4 354 7 305 11 021 14 025 7404 7250 4 006 3 354 7 304 10 020 10 024 7250 7161 3 004 3 354 6 303 7 019 5 019 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography