DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 52.1 - - 50.1 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 296 - - 294 - - 155 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7277 - - 8171 - - 5469 - - 2641 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14309 - - 15015 - - 12544 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16287 - - 17181 - - 14479 - - 11651 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 944 - - 1969 - - 3714 - - 3943 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 557 - - 576 - - 407 - - 42 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 323 - - 294 - - 292 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -9 - - -13 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 5549 - - 5970 - - 4502 - - 3032 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10739 - - 11211 - - 9978 - - 8620 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2808 - - 3430 - - 1937 - - -897 ODpotential blCL - - - 13479 - - 13751 - - 12542 - - 12548 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 99 - - 96 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 150 - - 180 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 52.1 - - 50.1 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.3 - - 27.9 - - 31.2 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.3 - - 54.0 - - 52.7 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.1 - - 27.0 - - 30.7 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 296 - - 294 - - 155 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7277 - - 8171 - - 5469 - - 2641 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 96 - - 85 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98251 9 150 10 112 13 092 7 111 98251 90801 9 140 8 149 8 118 7 112 90801 85083 6 113 7 111 4 137 7 089 85083 80338 7 111 8 104 3 122 8 086 80338 76242 10 121 6 100 5 107 7 090 76242 72612 8 106 4 120 2 011 9 068 72612 69310 4 117 4 175 3 283 6 028 69310 66256 3 222 6 232 6 283 6 344 66256 63411 3 272 4 271 5 304 5 315 63411 60646 5 268 7 273 9 303 7 304 60646 57761 8 326 5 293 9 314 7 304 57761 54765 14 314 13 320 18 336 18 336 54765 51899 15 308 18 308 24 318 24 324 51899 49338 17 318 18 310 24 320 22 330 49338 47068 24 323 23 325 28 331 29 346 47068 45020 29 319 28 325 34 328 39 335 45020 43155 28 328 30 329 32 326 40 337 43155 41446 33 334 36 331 41 349 48 347 41446 39871 36 332 40 330 65 352 60 350 39871 38415 39 334 42 332 76 345 77 350 38415 37066 43 329 44 329 60 338 88 348 37066 35788 46 318 43 323 50 341 89 345 35788 34516 45 313 42 324 47 342 85 346 34516 33225 43 322 44 327 44 341 78 346 33225 31918 44 329 44 327 39 333 72 345 31918 30583 43 330 42 328 36 322 69 345 30583 29214 41 325 41 329 38 313 64 347 29214 27812 41 321 40 329 40 310 51 346 27812 26381 38 320 38 327 39 313 35 334 26381 24922 35 320 37 324 36 315 33 321 24922 23439 30 320 33 322 32 316 36 318 23439 21930 25 321 26 319 29 314 38 315 21930 20390 21 325 24 313 26 309 35 312 20390 18843 17 329 19 306 22 302 30 309 18843 17366 13*328 11*305 15 294 25 308 17366 16024 11*325 10*299 13 288 17 307 16024 14823 11 325 10 293 12*282 12 305 14823 13741 11 325 10 292 11*279 11 303 13741 12760 10 324 10 293 11 282 12 302 12760 11867 10 324 10 293 12 286 14*304 11867 11057 11 324 11 295 12 290 16*307 11057 10324 11 323 11 294 13 295 17 312 10324 9660 11 322 11 294 14 297 18 316 9660 9052 11 322 11 294 14 298 19 317 9052 8501 10 321 11 294 14 299 18 318 8501 8032 10 319 11 293 14 299 17 317 8032 7665 9 318 10 293 13 299 15 316 7665 7409 9 317 10 292 12 298 12 315 7409 7252 8 317 9 292 11 298 9 314 7252 7162 7 318 7 292 9 298 4 311 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography