DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 14.0 - - 18.3 - - 25.1 - - 19.8 - - 9.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 5 - - 36 - - -6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1684 - - 787 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7143 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 7161 - - 10694 - - 9797 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1187 - - 2649 - - 2093 - - 1890 - - 1878 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 19 - - 175 - - 26 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 11 - - 14 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 345 - - 028 - - 021 - - 020 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 13 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -7 - - 17 - - -15 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1675 - - -1850 - - 1629 - - 1924 - - -713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8837 - - 9011 - - 9065 - - 7874 - - 7875 sfcLCL ODpotential -8774 - - -8184 - - -3024 - - -4254 - - -4850 ODpotential blCL 15935 - - 15345 - - 13718 - - 14051 - - 12011 blCL maxRH 88 - - 87 - - 55 - - 55 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 14.0 - - 18.3 - - 25.1 - - 19.8 - - 9.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.1 - - 4.4 - - 10.8 - - 10.9 - - 1.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.8 - - 24.1 - - 28.6 - - 25.8 - - 18.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.2 - - 3.4 - - 9.8 - - 9.8 - - 7.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 5 - - 36 - - -6 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1684 - - 787 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 47 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94519 42 313 46 300 47 290 51 293 64 290 94519 88026 32 339 29 305 41 305 45 314 45 305 88026 82901 29 347 21 327 32 315 41 323 35 323 82901 78549 25 335 22 333 24 323 33 327 33 321 78549 74727 23 325 23 336 21 331 28 330 28 319 74727 71302 23 328 27 334 25 336 28 325 30 327 71302 68169 24 330 30 331 29 329 33 321 31 321 68169 65261 25 330 30 321 29 320 35 320 32 312 65261 62541 31 326 32 315 30 315 36 318 33 314 62541 59887 37 316 34 312 34 314 41 311 38 316 59887 57104 40 313 40 316 37 311 43 302 43 314 57104 54201 44 318 45 317 41 310 44 305 47 313 54201 51415 48 318 47 317 47 310 48 309 47 308 51415 48888 49 319 48 317 51 314 48 310 44 304 48888 46603 51 318 50 316 53 313 46 310 42 305 46603 44513 52 319 51 315 53 308 47 311 45 309 44513 42591 52 320 52 314 50 309 48 314 46 314 42591 40815 52 320 50 314 47 315 46 317 45 318 40815 39171 52 318 47 316 46 321 44 320 47 326 39171 37646 49 317 47 318 47 323 46 325 50 329 37646 36236 47 321 48 321 49 324 48 326 53 329 36236 34908 46 325 48 322 49 325 49 327 54 329 34908 33599 45 324 49 322 46 322 46 330 54 332 33599 32284 42 318 49 321 42 322 43 334 54 333 32284 30971 40 313 50 317 41 324 43 338 51 332 30971 29652 41 313 50 311 39 323 44 338 50 330 29652 28311 42 312 50 306 36 323 43 333 50 328 28311 26946 40 309 50 304 33 324 38 330 50 329 26946 25555 39 308 50 304 31 325 35 330 49 333 25555 24141 38 308 49 306 30 326 35 332 48 336 24141 22710 37 308 45 306 29 325 34 333 45 338 22710 21257 36 309 40 308 28 323 33 334 40 338 21257 19776 33 310 35 311 27 321 30 335 37 338 19776 18291 28 312 30 314 27 321 27 337 34 338 18291 16874 27 317 26 318 26 324 25 340 31 338 16874 15588 27 321 23 322 25 329 23 342 28 338 15588 14437 25 323 20 327 23 334 21 344 25 339 14437 13402 21 325 17 335 20 338 20 346 21 341 13402 12465 18 329 14 343 17 343 18 349 18 344 12465 11614 15 335 12 351 14 349 16 353 16 347 11614 10842 14 342 10 002 13*358 16 358 15 352 10842 10146 13 349 9 013 12*008 15*003 15 359 10146 9515 13 355 8 025 12 016 16*009 15 007 9515 8938 13 359 8 035 12 021 16 016 17 016 8938 8417 13 003 8 039 12 024 16 020 19 024 8417 7975 11 004 8 038 11 027 15 024 19 030 7975 7631 9 004 6 031 9 030 12 027 16 031 7631 7391 6 358 4 016 8 031 9 029 12 027 7391 7244 3*344 2*349 7 032 6 029 8*018 7244 7160 2*312 1*320 5 033 3 026 4*001 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography