DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.6 - - 34.9 - - 37.4 - - 36.4 - - 28.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 12 - - 17 - - -4 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2089 - - 3493 - - 2885 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 11099 - - 12503 - - 11895 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3430 - - 2250 - - 1917 - - 2328 - - 2930 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 134 - - 182 - - 52 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 291 - - 353 - - 008 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 3 - - 7 - - 11 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 5 - - -9 - - 20 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 3938 - - 5342 - - 4734 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -1455 - - 759 - - 2086 - - 1366 - - -3370 ODpotential blCL 8617 - - 10340 - - 10417 - - 10529 - - 10532 blCL maxRH 100 - - 95 - - 90 - - 90 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 90 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.6 - - 34.9 - - 37.4 - - 36.4 - - 28.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.5 - - 29.0 - - 31.0 - - 30.4 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.2 - - 38.7 - - 40.9 - - 41.5 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.4 - - 28.0 - - 29.8 - - 29.4 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 12 - - 17 - - -4 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2089 - - 3493 - - 2885 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 80 - - 62 - - 60 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96113 9 272 14 278 18 265 17 292 14 273 96113 89009 12 265 16 276 23 297 23 304 21 299 89009 83529 21 300 26 289 29 301 25 299 25 311 83529 78967 32 295 29 292 32 294 32 298 27 305 78967 75029 32 300 30 298 37 291 34 296 33 302 75029 71549 35 306 33 296 39 291 40 304 42 305 71549 68398 40 304 33 292 44 293 50 298 47 302 68398 65493 46 299 36 293 49 291 51 286 48 296 65493 62787 48 290 42 294 49 289 50 288 47 292 62787 60146 47 288 46 296 49 289 53 291 52 292 60146 57366 54 291 54 293 54 288 61 290 57 287 57366 54453 62 290 62 288 63 288 60 285 62 287 54453 51648 68 286 65 282 65 284 60 283 67 285 51648 49115 67 282 64 280 65 280 63 280 66 280 49115 46842 67 278 65 277 64 281 61 282 53 283 46842 44776 65 275 67 272 58 283 57 290 53 296 44776 42879 61 269 62 269 54 283 54 291 52 299 42879 41132 56 268 52 270 51 281 45 291 48 298 41132 39516 53 267 44 267 43 273 38 293 41 293 39516 38024 51 259 39 262 34 267 32 288 32 316 38024 36657 45 249 36 257 25 273 19 305 30 330 36657 35374 38 242 27 252 20 277 18 354 22 344 35374 34107 36 240 22 258 11 264 20 015 23 006 34107 32825 32 240 20 256 2 326 17 030 27 021 32825 31531 26 241 16 259 9 254 5 024 27 026 31531 30217 25 241 24 256 33 227 4 272 21 002 30217 28873 26 236 46 238 49 207 33 214 9 244 28873 27499 29 233 51 231 45 202 36 213 10 204 27499 26096 30 235 47 229 35 206 33 215 4 215 26096 24665 26 239 39 226 29 215 23 222 8 245 24665 23207 21 245 26 226 32 222 16 216 11 275 23207 21719 15 255 26 239 28 233 10 219 8 338 21719 20198 14 256 25 247 17 249 1 149 9 046 20198 18673 15 249 18 239 7 248 5 112 9 052 18673 17216 17 247 11 231 5 196 4 105 9 039 17216 15891 15 249 7 249 1 145 5 054 9 032 15891 14704 13 236 7 276 3 023 7 033 11 037 14704 13633 13 223 7 281 4 356 9 035 13 044 13633 12663 11 219 6 281 6*353 10*034 15 047 12663 11782 5 230 6*283 8*005 10*029 18 047 11782 10983 3 278 5*284 8 013 11 023 20 043 10983 10261 4 285 6 287 8 011 10 018 22 037 10261 9609 5 288 7 291 8 004 10 013 24 031 9609 9011 6 289 9 294 6 350 9 003 24 027 9011 8471 7 287 9 297 5 328 9 356 23 023 8471 8011 6 284 8 295 5 314 8 346 21 019 8011 7652 6 283 6 291 4 302 6 335 17 012 7652 7402 5 293 4 283 4 298 5 321 13 003 7402 7249 4*324 4 278 4 296 3 306 9*353 7249 7161 3*342 3 272 3 293 2 288 4*337 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography