DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 9.9 - - 17.5 - - 25.6 - - 19.3 - - 18.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 1 - - 26 - - -9 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 989 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 7143 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 7161 - - 9999 - - 7162 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1375 - - 2141 - - 913 - - 2930 - - 1169 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 13 - - 132 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 13 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 293 - - 263 - - 250 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 16 - - 18 - - 21 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -10 - - 19 - - 8 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - -123 - - 1943 - - 2 - - -185 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7160 - - 7285 - - 8057 - - 7161 - - 7346 sfcLCL ODpotential -5788 - - -6545 - - -4717 - - -6401 - - -5310 ODpotential blCL 12949 - - 13706 - - 14716 - - 13563 - - 12471 blCL maxRH 82 - - 71 - - 69 - - 75 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 9.9 - - 17.5 - - 25.6 - - 19.3 - - 18.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.3 - - 11.1 - - 15.7 - - 13.7 - - 11.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 19.7 - - 23.1 - - 29.2 - - 27.5 - - 26.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.9 - - 11.8 - - 14.6 - - 14.4 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 1 - - 26 - - -9 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 989 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 28 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95982 18 322 24 298 24 313 25 331 27 319 95982 89020 18 329 17 307 23 318 20 301 21 317 89020 83527 11 334 8 338 12 311 19 311 22 313 83527 78925 13 327 14 316 15 303 20 318 22 329 78925 74938 10 328 10 308 11 268 16 314 34 304 74938 71433 20 319 16 319 18 323 25 295 29 272 71433 68279 23 295 22 308 17 308 19 300 18 267 68279 65325 11 291 20 319 25 303 26 306 29 318 65325 62552 30 307 35 290 47 289 50 293 58 296 62552 59871 47 293 52 289 56 289 55 291 62 293 59871 57070 60 291 63 287 63 291 64 294 67 289 57070 54159 71 287 70 285 72 290 72 292 70 285 54159 51383 72 282 73 288 78 289 78 287 73 284 51383 48884 71 289 79 292 83 290 80 287 72 288 48884 46643 81 295 87 292 89 289 83 291 75 295 46643 44612 92 293 94 289 92 288 89 292 85 296 44612 42754 98 288 94 286 93 286 95 292 97 295 42754 41046 99 286 92 286 94 287 102 289 109 291 41046 39474 99 286 94 289 97 288 105 286 109 287 39474 38028 103 288 99 289 102 287 108 287 115 296 38028 36696 110 288 104 286 105 286 112 289 141 302 36696 35432 118 288 107 285 108 287 118 290 149 301 35432 34166 126 288 110 285 114 289 124 289 141 300 34166 32875 129 287 112 285 121 290 124 287 132 296 32875 31566 127 286 112 284 124 289 120 287 126 289 31566 30226 119 286 112 284 122 289 117 287 124 284 30226 28847 112 287 112 285 117 288 115 286 121 283 28847 27437 106 287 110 286 112 287 113 286 116 285 27437 25997 102 287 105 289 106 288 112 286 111 287 25997 24534 96 289 97 291 97 290 109 289 107 291 24534 23056 93 292 88 291 85 291 97 292 99 295 23056 21561 91 295 81 291 75 288 78 292 77 295 21561 20045 88 297 75 291 67 283 64 285 56 283 20045 18527 81 297 69 291 62 279 59 279 52 265 18527 17078 73 295 63 290 59 276 56 276 53 260 17078 15764 66 291 59 288 56 276 53 276 52 261 15764 14590 62 287 54 285 54 277 49 274 49 261 14590 13535 60 285 51 283 50 278 45 272 47 260 13535 12581 58 284 49 281 46 278 42 269 47 259 12581 11714 56 284 46 280 42 279 40 267 45 258 11714 10926 52 285 42 280 36 278 37 266 42 257 10926 10213 47 286 37 280 30*276 34 265 39 257 10213 9568 41 287 33 281 23*273 29 264 34 258 9568 8977 34 287 27 282 17 268 24 263 29 260 8977 8444 28 289 21 283 13 261 18 262 22 262 8444 7992 21 291 14 285 10 255 12 257 14 267 7992 7640 15 297 9 292 9 253 7 243 5 284 7640 7396 10 309 5 300 8 250 3 201 3 023 7396 7246 5*339 3*310 7 248 3*151 4*049 7246 7160 5*068 2*082 5 245 3*104 4*047 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography