DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.8 - - 42.7 - - 46.3 - - 41.5 - - 36.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 36 - - 53 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 324 - - 1895 - - 1604 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 9334 - - 10905 - - 10614 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2127 - - 1192 - - 1035 - - 1114 - - 3078 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 103 - - 211 - - 26 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 6 - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 144 - - 227 - - 260 - - 248 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 13 - - 17 - - 20 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg 14 - - 9 - - 15 - - 20 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -742 - - 626 - - 1555 - - 3326 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7906 - - 8708 - - 9350 - - 7288 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential -10046 - - -7463 - - -5292 - - -3964 - - -7465 ODpotential blCL 17209 - - 16797 - - 16197 - - 14578 - - 14628 blCL maxRH 78 - - 67 - - 89 - - 68 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.8 - - 42.7 - - 46.3 - - 41.5 - - 36.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.6 - - 29.7 - - 30.4 - - 34.6 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.2 - - 46.2 - - 49.6 - - 47.9 - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 28.6 - - 29.2 - - 33.3 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 36 - - 53 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 324 - - 1895 - - 1604 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 0 - - 57 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95824 32 291 37 291 41 287 36 285 42 288 95824 88936 29 292 29 290 29 287 28 285 32 290 88936 83582 22 303 17 304 20 289 20 289 22 291 83582 79083 15 289 17 304 15 296 18 283 20 303 79083 75147 7 302 13 261 18 261 21 263 20 300 75147 71642 17 302 9 315 8 252 16 278 18 295 71642 68477 32 258 29 298 13 332 15 298 21 299 68477 65571 31 247 36 267 27 279 22 318 16 306 65571 62842 21 244 32 250 33 266 31 300 20 302 62842 60158 21 256 29 247 38 262 42 278 37 283 60158 57372 38 268 38 257 45 263 47 270 51 273 57372 54535 57 262 48 261 51 266 50 272 56 268 54535 51859 61 261 55 261 54 266 53 271 51 263 51859 49454 61 260 50 257 51 263 51 268 48 262 49454 47301 52 267 46 280 48 270 54 273 53 270 47301 45363 57 285 62 282 56 276 63 272 62 273 45363 43605 66 280 68 273 65 273 66 272 66 275 43605 41989 57 267 63 266 69 271 72 279 69 277 41989 40478 45 261 58 264 69 272 73 281 68 274 40478 39054 42 270 56 265 68 271 69 279 68 272 39054 37715 45 275 54 266 64 268 67 277 69 271 37715 36434 48 273 54 267 62 267 66 273 69 272 36434 35150 50 269 55 266 63 268 66 271 69 273 35150 33840 51 267 54 264 65 268 64 271 70 274 33840 32508 52 269 52 262 64 265 63 272 70 276 32508 31144 52 272 50 261 62 261 62 271 69 277 31144 29741 52 273 50 263 59 257 63 270 67 277 29741 28301 52 273 51 267 58 257 62 267 63 275 28301 26827 51 271 53 269 58 258 61 262 60 271 26827 25326 48 267 53 266 59 260 60 259 59 267 25326 23799 48 262 52 259 60 261 60 258 59 267 23799 22244 50 260 53 255 59 260 59 260 59 268 22244 20653 52 262 55 256 58 260 58 263 58 270 20653 19052 52 262 55 256 57 260 57 265 55 270 19052 17523 49 258 53 255 55 259 55 267 52 269 17523 16135 47 253 51 253 53 259 53 269 49 267 16135 14897 46 250 49 252 51 260 50 271 45 267 14897 13785 44 250 45 252 47 260 46 272 42 268 13785 12783 40 250 41 253 43 261 41 272 39 268 12783 11876 36 251 36 254 37 263 35 271 36 268 11876 11057 31 252 31 256 30*265 27*269 31 266 11057 10319 27 252 26 259 22*266 20*265 26 264 10319 9652 22 249 20*259 15 263 15 258 21 260 9652 9042 16 238 14*253 11 258 12 250 16 253 9042 8492 10 210 9 240 10 256 10 243 12 243 8492 8025 10 164 5 204 9 256 9 235 9 231 8025 7660 9 145 4 185 8 254 7 224 6 213 7660 7407 7 136 3 183 7 254 5 207 3 186 7407 7251 4*120 3 185 6 252 4 190 2*146 7251 7162 2*093 2 179 5 252 3 183 1*112 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography