DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 27.5 - - 22.6 - - 17.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 8 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2027 - - 2430 - - 374 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7143 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11037 - - 11440 - - 9384 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1237 - - 1563 - - 2927 - - 4488 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 134 - - 20 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 34 - - 35 - - 17 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 261 - - 251 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 41 - - 42 - - 24 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 4 - - 23 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3877 - - 3753 - - 2224 - - -49 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7687 - - 7160 - - 7211 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 896 - - 150 - - 905 - - -2181 ODpotential blCL - - - 10141 - - 11290 - - 8479 - - 9342 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 90 - - 95 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.4 - - 27.5 - - 22.6 - - 17.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.3 - - 19.0 - - 20.9 - - 11.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.2 - - 31.6 - - 28.4 - - 27.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 18.0 - - 22.4 - - 18.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 8 - - -7 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2027 - - 2430 - - 374 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 62 - - 79 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95775 21 352 30 357 31 016 32 036 95775 88821 23 348 20 000 23 010 24 006 88821 83408 27 336 19 359 19 353 24 357 83408 78895 25 324 19 327 21 343 19 357 78895 74967 19 306 17 335 15 322 21 324 74967 71451 19 269 15 285 13 295 17 306 71451 68238 18 267 29 260 22 267 27 297 68238 65278 19 271 20 272 16 285 24 279 65278 62512 27 258 25 295 12 313 17 258 62512 59774 38 253 41 264 21 281 27 263 59774 56883 37 237 42 244 40 262 37 259 56883 53890 34 249 37 246 40 259 42 264 53890 51048 44 266 39 266 43 264 44 262 51048 48497 59 261 54 264 46 262 45 256 48497 46213 70 250 64 254 50 259 50 256 46213 44146 78 245 69 248 57 259 58 259 44146 42262 84 245 74 248 66 257 64 258 42262 40533 93 246 86 248 78 253 68 254 40533 38935 104 243 100 243 88 248 73 250 38935 37450 113 238 108 240 93 244 76 249 37450 36071 118 238 112 238 94 242 77 248 36071 34769 125 239 118 238 95 242 78 247 34769 33482 133 239 126 239 100 243 81 246 33482 32184 139 239 134 239 105 243 84 245 32184 30878 139 238 136 238 106 243 82 246 30878 29556 130 237 130 239 100 244 75 248 29556 28212 114 235 117 239 88 246 66 250 28212 26853 95 234 101 238 78 246 59 251 26853 25475 81 233 89 237 70 244 57 253 25475 24078 73 235 78 234 66 243 57 253 24078 22663 71 236 71 232 66 241 57 253 22663 21225 71 236 70 233 65 239 55 254 21225 19758 70 235 72 236 63 237 51 255 19758 18284 68 233 73 237 62 238 48 257 18284 16877 64 232 73 238 62 241 45 259 16877 15598 61 232 72 239 60 246 43 261 15598 14454 60 233 71 241 55 250 40 262 14454 13424 58 241 68 245 50 253 38 263 13424 12491 56 252 64 249 45 254 36 265 12491 11643 53*261 58*254 40 255 34 265 11643 10873 50*264 52*257 37 256 32 263 10873 10177 45 266 46 261 33 256 29 259 10177 9545 40 268 40 262 30*256 27 255 9545 8965 36 267 36 263 26*255 24 252 8965 8439 31 267 31 263 22 254 22 250 8439 7991 26 266 27 263 18 252 18 247 7991 7640 22 265 24 263 14 248 13 242 7640 7396 18 265 20 262 10 242 9 235 7396 7246 15 264 17 262 7 234 5*225 7246 7160 9 263 10 261 3 215 1*178 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography