DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1001z - - 1335z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.2 - - 44.1 - - 50.5 - - 43.6 - - 35.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -30 - - 120 - - 152 - - -5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 442 - - 1705 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 7147 - - 9770 - - 7148 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 7165 - - 9452 - - 10715 - - 7166 - - 7165 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 927 - - 1081 - - 1366 - - 3115 - - 2082 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 160 - - 272 - - 0 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 243 - - 264 - - 222 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 12 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 9 - - 12 - - 11 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2156 - - -2504 - - -2205 - - -3759 - - -1759 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9322 - - 11957 - - 12921 - - 10925 - - 8924 sfcLCL ODpotential -12835 - - -9425 - - -7496 - - -9221 - - -9230 ODpotential blCL 20000 - - 18877 - - 18211 - - 16387 - - 16395 blCL maxRH 70 - - 83 - - 85 - - 84 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.2 - - 44.1 - - 50.5 - - 43.6 - - 35.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.2 - - 17.2 - - 19.1 - - 21.1 - - 21.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.3 - - 47.4 - - 53.3 - - 49.6 - - 46.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.1 - - 17.0 - - 18.9 - - 20.9 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -30 - - 120 - - 152 - - -5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 442 - - 1705 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 32 - - 39 - - 36 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96282 60 274 57 265 72 268 62 269 75 276 96282 89241 39 285 40 266 49 272 47 272 51 276 89241 83781 31 281 23 282 28 276 33 278 32 281 83781 79234 22 291 15 300 17 272 25 283 23 298 79234 75303 17 305 12 305 14 279 22 284 24 312 75303 71817 15 306 13 296 18 293 18 288 23 311 71817 68652 16 303 16 293 20 298 17 295 24 309 68652 65734 17 306 19 294 21 295 18 297 25 300 65734 63019 19 311 19 291 23 288 21 295 24 292 63019 60381 21 311 19 289 24 288 21 296 26 290 60381 57620 23 305 20 289 28 291 29 298 25 287 57620 54760 24 299 25 288 32 287 34 292 31 282 54760 52038 26 289 25 289 31 289 36 287 31 284 52038 49589 27 285 29 288 34 288 37 285 40 278 49589 47388 29 283 34 280 38 287 39 281 41 269 47388 45382 29 275 36 277 41 286 41 277 39 263 45382 43540 25 271 37 280 43 281 41 272 38 262 43540 41842 25 273 44 281 44 274 37 268 39 260 41842 40272 28 269 42 269 41 263 36 261 40 254 40272 38817 28 265 36 263 35 258 38 255 36 252 38817 37467 29 259 33 261 33 268 37 254 32 250 37467 36187 30 256 33 264 41 266 38 255 31 251 36187 34915 31 260 33 271 46 257 39 252 32 251 34915 33622 32 265 36 273 42 261 40 250 31 247 33622 32310 30 268 34 276 35 268 40 250 28 247 32310 30968 25 271 32 273 30 273 37 250 27 250 30968 29585 22 275 33 264 26 270 35 249 27 251 29585 28164 21 277 32 260 28 260 31 248 28 253 28164 26707 23 278 27 258 32 254 26 261 30 254 26707 25222 25 279 23 257 31 248 26 278 30 256 25222 23712 27 282 22 265 25 244 26 271 29 259 23712 22175 29 284 22 277 21 248 20 251 27 264 22175 20603 29 287 23 284 20 253 14 234 25 266 20603 19024 29 289 23 286 20 257 13 240 23 263 19024 17513 29 293 22 288 20 261 16 250 21 261 17513 16140 28 297 20 292 19 266 18 257 19 260 16140 14912 26 300 18 295 18 269 19 260 17 258 14912 13807 24 302 17 296 17 272 19 264 16 255 13807 12806 21 302 15 294 17 274 18 268 15 252 12806 11899 19 301 14 292 16 277 17 274 15 250 11899 11077 16 299 12 288 15*281 16 281 14 248 11077 10336 14 296 10 282 13*284 14 287 13 245 10336 9665 11 289 9*273 11 285 11 292 12 241 9665 9052 9 281 7*265 8 278 7 296 10 234 9052 8499 7 272 6 257 6 249 4 284 7 226 8499 8029 6 264 4 239 6 234 3 240 4 214 8029 7664 4 277 3 219 5 226 4 212 2 198 7664 7409 4 323 3 210 5 222 5 198 1 099 7409 7254 6*350 3 205 5 219 5*190 3*030 7254 7164 6*352 3 202 5 217 4*186 3*025 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography