DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.0 - - 34.6 - - 38.1 - - 35.7 - - 32.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -36 - - 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 306 - - 208 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9316 - - 9218 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 405 - - 2132 - - 1358 - - 1655 - - 3100 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 17 - - 45 - - 13 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 002 - - 316 - - 285 - - 258 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 12 - - 14 - - 11 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg -25 - - -9 - - -2 - - 6 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3244 - - -3416 - - -966 - - -483 - - -2428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10407 - - 10579 - - 10282 - - 9701 - - 9591 sfcLCL ODpotential -14337 - - -12860 - - -8585 - - -7194 - - -9382 ODpotential blCL 21499 - - 20022 - - 17901 - - 16412 - - 16544 blCL maxRH 80 - - 88 - - 89 - - 91 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.0 - - 34.6 - - 38.1 - - 35.7 - - 32.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.7 - - 13.8 - - 18.4 - - 18.6 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.8 - - 39.6 - - 42.9 - - 42.9 - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.3 - - 12.8 - - 17.3 - - 17.4 - - 15.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -36 - - 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 306 - - 208 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 22 - - 51 - - 54 - - 65 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96555 14 103 10 136 6 201 7 084 12 149 96555 89360 5 090 5 052 5 163 3 292 1 070 89360 83766 5 036 5 241 5 319 11 315 13 355 83766 79086 6 340 4 179 7 297 16 309 20 325 79086 75079 12 310 17 333 9 358 12 323 24 326 75079 71574 40 314 41 318 38 326 34 334 34 324 71574 68417 42 306 37 310 37 314 37 318 35 308 68417 65504 42 312 31 320 37 307 41 315 38 306 65504 62782 47 315 36 318 42 301 45 307 41 305 62782 60128 52 311 42 307 45 300 49 303 44 304 60128 57338 55 300 51 300 49 300 53 300 46 306 57338 54429 60 301 57 295 54 300 58 296 55 300 54429 51650 74 292 67 292 63 291 64 295 59 296 51650 49153 73 286 76 290 67 292 65 289 65 294 49153 46919 75 295 82 291 76 283 69 286 68 290 46919 44900 85 295 84 287 73 282 71 283 72 289 44900 43058 92 290 83 284 73 284 73 282 75 289 43058 41364 88 285 81 281 80 275 75 280 80 284 41364 39804 76 284 76 283 76 271 76 276 77 281 39804 38362 70 287 78 280 63 269 72 274 74 282 38362 37026 72 289 76 275 53 265 62 272 71 281 37026 35761 71 288 72 278 52 263 50 266 60 277 35761 34503 69 287 68 279 51 265 45 261 49 272 34503 33220 69 286 65 279 48 265 43 261 39 268 33220 31918 65 289 60 286 43 270 40 265 28 269 31918 30585 56 299 57 291 42 279 36 267 23 272 30585 29214 54 300 53 284 46 275 37 267 23 273 29214 27808 51 294 52 281 48 264 39 269 28 272 27808 26373 52 293 47 286 47 259 42 271 39 271 26373 24909 48 291 42 288 39 260 46 274 45 269 24909 23422 44 292 37 288 29 269 49 278 45 272 23422 21905 42 296 34 289 24 269 49 276 41 278 21905 20354 40 301 32 289 24 268 45 264 38 289 20354 18796 38 304 32 287 27 270 25 254 33 290 18796 17308 36 305 31 287 28 274 19 270 27 274 17308 15961 34 303 30 287 27 277 20 280 15 252 15961 14761 33 301 28 288 25 279 21 278 8 253 14761 13681 32 300 27 289 23 280 20 275 9 265 13681 12702 32 300 26 291 23 281 19 275 12 272 12702 11813 32 301 25 292 22 281 18 275 15 274 11813 11007 32 303 24 294 21 283 17 275 17 275 11007 10279 31 306 23 296 19 285 15 274 17 274 10279 9622 30 310 21 298 16*288 13*270 16 272 9622 9020 28 314 19 300 13*291 10*267 14 267 9020 8477 25 320 16 303 9 292 8 263 11 261 8477 8015 21 327 12 305 5 283 5 257 9 255 8015 7654 16 339 7 311 2 260 3 244 6 251 7654 7403 12 353 4 330 1 222 2 213 2 248 7403 7250 8*004 2*022 1 174 1 138 1*081 7250 7161 3*000 2*040 1 158 1 113 3*074 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography