DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.8 - - 33.7 - - 34.9 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 1 - - -23 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2334 - - 2171 - - 2271 - - 3508 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 17 - - 28 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 158 - - 165 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 14 - - 18 - - 32 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 38 - - 33 - - 45 - - 64 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1129 - - -217 - - -711 - - -839 ODpotential blCL - - - 8291 - - 7379 - - 7873 - - 8001 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.8 - - 33.7 - - 34.9 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 33.6 - - 34.9 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 37.7 - - 40.7 - - 42.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 33.8 - - 36.8 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 1 - - -23 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 102 - - 101 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95849 33 329 26 340 34 335 25 360 95849 88872 26 332 24 321 34 323 21 335 88872 83449 24 314 21 318 27 305 25 310 83449 78944 30 307 26 297 25 314 24 316 78944 75032 29 279 31 283 33 287 33 296 75032 71561 16 269 21 288 22 275 28 269 71561 68400 21 271 21 296 22 287 23 269 68400 65463 40 258 40 253 34 255 37 246 65463 62725 50 237 39 237 33 227 27 232 62725 60068 43 226 35 231 24 255 17 259 60068 57248 34 234 42 243 44 268 44 260 57248 54296 48 252 58 240 85 240 87 246 54296 51505 77 245 81 232 102 227 109 235 51505 49011 94 238 85 229 87 221 96 226 49011 46793 94 237 77 239 72 235 87 225 46793 44795 100 241 102 248 108 242 97 232 44795 42970 114 241 132 242 129 235 111 233 42970 41285 125 238 143 235 132 228 120 230 41285 39719 131 238 144 233 130 226 126 227 39719 38259 136 239 138 233 131 225 129 225 38259 36903 136 240 119 232 130 225 133 224 36903 35621 126 239 102 229 123 224 137 224 35621 34351 107 234 93 228 113 222 134 224 34351 33065 96 229 90 225 107 221 125 222 33065 31765 91 227 86 222 103 221 110 215 31765 30438 89 229 74 215 95 220 89 207 30438 29072 82 229 74 213 89 219 85 206 29072 27674 71 227 76 215 87 219 81 209 27674 26246 72 225 75 215 87 221 77 214 26246 24793 75 224 72 212 85 222 73 219 24793 23317 72 225 66 211 82 220 71 222 23317 21815 66 227 60 213 78 218 69 223 21815 20281 61 226 54 213 74 217 66 222 20281 18742 56 222 50 214 68 216 62 221 18742 17272 51 216 48 216 60 217 58 220 17272 15938 46 214 49 221 51 218 53 219 15938 14746 44 218 51 226 48 218 49 219 14746 13673 47 223 53 225 47 218 47 219 13673 12701 49 225 50 221 46 215 47 218 12701 11817 46 224 45 214 45 211 47 216 11817 11015 40 219 40 205 44 205 47 213 11015 10290 34 210 36 198 43 199 46 210 10290 9633 32 197 33 193 42 193 45 207 9633 9030 31 188 29 187 40 188 43 205 9030 8485 28 182 24 179 37 183 40 202 8485 8021 22 173 20 169 31 176 35 198 8021 7658 18 160 16 158 25 168 28 192 7658 7405 13 149 12 152 19 163 22 188 7405 7250 11*145 10*149 14*162 17*186 7250 7161 6*143 6*148 7*162 9*182 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography