DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.5 - - 37.9 - - 39.5 - - 37.1 - - 33.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 36 - - 35 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1528 - - 3001 - - 3826 - - 2881 - - 1444 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 9915 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 10538 - - 12011 - - 12836 - - 11891 - - 10454 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1430 - - 936 - - 720 - - 1203 - - 1560 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 212 - - 230 - - 42 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 217 - - 207 - - 212 - - 199 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 3377 - - 4850 - - 5370 - - 4730 - - 3293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7162 - - 7466 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential 1322 - - 2158 - - 2151 - - 2114 - - 1516 ODpotential blCL 9216 - - 9853 - - 10685 - - 9777 - - 8938 blCL maxRH 92 - - 99 - - 98 - - 97 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.5 - - 37.9 - - 39.5 - - 37.1 - - 33.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.8 - - 32.4 - - 31.7 - - 33.5 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.9 - - 41.3 - - 42.8 - - 42.2 - - 39.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 31.4 - - 30.6 - - 32.7 - - 32.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 36 - - 35 - - -5 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1528 - - 3001 - - 3826 - - 2881 - - 1444 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 94 - - 91 - - 89 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96837 21 092 18 056 22 055 22 064 8 078 96837 89777 17 081 14 082 15 075 18 069 15 061 89777 84254 18 067 14 070 9 092 13 052 15 039 84254 79648 14 064 12 056 8 076 9 026 15 028 79648 75667 12 066 11 036 8 076 7 351 13 012 75667 72129 12 059 4 023 9 046 6 351 9 358 72129 68909 12 030 1 106 7 024 8 011 6 004 68909 65934 10 327 3 060 5 025 7 001 5 352 65934 63165 7 300 2 326 6 334 7 342 7 317 63165 60480 7 272 5 273 8 294 10 323 10 315 60480 57669 10 290 8 289 8 287 13 317 10 329 57669 54734 15 293 10 305 10 319 16 322 18 339 54734 51924 13 302 13 313 12 327 18 325 27 336 51924 49399 12 306 13 317 14 338 17 325 28 331 49399 47137 12 302 15 320 18 339 18 333 26 333 47137 45085 15 294 17 312 20 336 22 331 24 337 45085 43202 15 264 14 302 18 327 22 323 23 344 43202 41459 6 253 10 306 16 317 19 313 25 339 41459 39841 9 338 12 302 13 309 17 303 25 321 39841 38343 13 289 9 272 14 319 13 306 20 312 38343 36958 16 214 11 283 18 311 9 310 15 318 36958 35655 14 190 13 261 18 292 10 331 12 321 35655 34371 8 190 9 263 14 264 12 301 10 306 34371 33078 2 219 3 283 11 260 12 276 9 270 33078 31778 4 230 3 292 9 270 12 273 11 268 31778 30453 12 242 6 292 9 292 10 271 13 257 30453 29092 19 228 8 271 9 294 9 256 15 242 29092 27694 21 220 11 235 9 271 10 251 15 235 27694 26265 21 217 15 219 12 247 12 250 16 236 26265 24812 22 216 17 211 14 239 14 241 17 239 24812 23337 21 216 19 206 16 225 15 238 17 240 23337 21836 19 219 19 208 18 217 16 239 15 249 21836 20301 16 221 19 213 17 217 14 249 11 269 20301 18757 14 229 17 221 16 230 11 267 9 285 18757 17279 11 244 14 231 14 245 9 282 7 299 17279 15933 8 258 11 239 12 254 8 284 6 307 15933 14730 7 268 8 244 9 252 9 272 6 306 14730 13649 7 266 8 251 8*247 8 257 4 307 13649 12674 7 255 9*253 7*249 6*255 2 317 12674 11790 9 245 9*243 7 243 3*253 1 308 11790 10990 10*238 9 229 6 236 3 235 1*160 10990 10268 9*231 9 213 6 228 3 228 2*166 10268 9615 8 228 9 203 5 203 4 203 2 169 9615 9016 7 223 8 196 5 183 5 190 2 176 9016 8475 5 211 6 186 5 176 6 184 2 195 8475 8014 3 185 5 178 5 172 6 180 3 202 8014 7654 3 149 5 174 5 172 6 179 2 199 7654 7404 2 108 5 174 5 171 6 179 2 207 7404 7250 2 036 4 174 5 170 4 178 1 267 7250 7161 2 007 4 174 4 169 3 178 1 305 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography