DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.4 - - 35.8 - - 38.4 - - 35.4 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - -1 - - 8 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 121 - - 78 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9131 - - 9088 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1618 - - 2066 - - 1008 - - 1061 - - 1978 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 14 - - 46 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 119 - - 159 - - 180 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -11 - - 8 - - 11 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3595 - - -2134 - - 643 - - 1927 - - -298 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10758 - - 9297 - - 8488 - - 7161 - - 7461 sfcLCL ODpotential -12822 - - -10616 - - -6452 - - -4049 - - -4554 ODpotential blCL 19984 - - 17778 - - 15583 - - 13137 - - 11716 blCL maxRH 69 - - 82 - - 84 - - 92 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.4 - - 35.8 - - 38.4 - - 35.4 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 8.4 - - 20.5 - - 26.4 - - 29.5 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.5 - - 41.8 - - 43.6 - - 42.7 - - 40.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.4 - - 19.4 - - 25.2 - - 28.6 - - 27.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - -1 - - 8 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 121 - - 78 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 26 - - 36 - - 67 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96300 14 276 13 307 19 326 14 008 23 296 96300 89288 2 357 11 013 17 024 9 006 8 034 89288 83802 10 045 5 019 12 049 5 342 10 063 83802 79225 8 076 5 056 5 049 11 352 9 064 79225 75275 7 076 6 048 7 358 13 351 7 042 75275 71779 9 006 3 073 9 313 12 350 8 003 71779 68612 16 001 2 080 10 272 14 324 11 345 68612 65695 14 356 4 018 10 248 18 278 15 322 65695 62984 10 310 10 349 4 262 18 244 19 292 62984 60362 10 270 9 269 7 303 10 221 23 271 60362 57613 7 255 10 219 10 278 4 246 21 256 57613 54729 7 265 10 181 11 205 13 225 22 237 54729 51958 10 278 8 195 15 175 18 210 22 223 51958 49462 13 232 18 195 22 195 19 222 16 228 49462 47226 18 196 23 202 24 210 21 230 18 236 47226 45193 24 195 26 215 24 229 20 235 21 237 45193 43325 27 185 30 226 26 232 22 231 20 239 43325 41601 22 181 33 207 25 224 27 221 22 245 41601 40004 32 191 30 184 28 197 24 207 24 234 40004 38523 39 187 34 179 29 186 21 203 18 217 38523 37158 36 185 37 182 33 184 20 198 15 207 37158 35874 31 189 31 179 34 180 24 178 15 187 35874 34601 27 186 32 180 35 171 26 169 16 161 34601 33310 27 178 33 178 36 171 29 170 18 145 33310 32007 28 173 31 175 33 172 28 174 17 151 32007 30677 28 175 30 175 30 172 27 168 15 155 30677 29310 27 177 30 174 29 172 27 166 13 157 29310 27908 26 178 30 173 29 172 24 168 11 174 27908 26473 23 178 28 172 28 171 22 169 8 178 26473 25010 20 179 25 173 26 169 22 165 8 183 25010 23520 17 177 22 171 23 168 21 165 8 187 23520 21998 16 170 20 169 20 171 18 178 7 189 21998 20440 15 173 17 176 17 179 15 194 8 203 20440 18873 13 188 13 188 13 187 12 205 8 218 18873 17377 9 196 9 191 11 189 11 216 7 233 17377 16020 6 179 8 178 10 190 10 224 6 233 16020 14808 6 162 8 178 11 196 9 232 4 231 14808 13719 7 168 9 185 11 202 7 241 4 251 13719 12735 8 181 9 191 11 209 7 245 5 266 12735 11841 8 192 9 194 11 213 7 248 7 272 11841 11031 9 195 10 193 11 214 8 246 8 276 11031 10299 9 192 10 189 11 210 9 238 8 280 10299 9636 10 182 10 183 10*202 8*226 7 283 9636 9029 9 171 9 175 8*186 7*204 7 286 9029 8482 9 160 7 163 6 162 7 181 6 292 8482 8018 8 152 7 145 5 151 6 174 4 302 8018 7656 5 144 5 129 4 147 6 171 4 325 7656 7404 2 088 3 096 3 139 5 171 4 353 7404 7250 3*010 2*042 3 134 3 172 5*007 7250 7161 4*358 3*037 2 133 2 178 5*006 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography