DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.2 - - 43.2 - - 46.7 - - 47.5 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 32 - - 32 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 511 - - 2165 - - 3117 - - 13 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9521 - - 11175 - - 12127 - - 9023 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1948 - - 1516 - - 1541 - - 1487 - - 2789 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 121 - - 199 - - 127 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 11 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 264 - - 266 - - 248 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 11 - - 18 - - 19 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 6 - - 6 - - 14 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5490 - - -1183 - - 1613 - - 2884 - - -443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12653 - - 10704 - - 9562 - - 9243 - - 9466 sfcLCL ODpotential -15878 - - -10239 - - -4762 - - -3593 - - -8703 ODpotential blCL 23040 - - 19760 - - 15937 - - 15720 - - 17726 blCL maxRH 78 - - 85 - - 92 - - 83 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.2 - - 43.2 - - 46.7 - - 47.5 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.7 - - 21.6 - - 29.7 - - 31.9 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 46.9 - - 50.4 - - 52.1 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 3.6 - - 20.5 - - 28.6 - - 30.8 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 32 - - 32 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 511 - - 2165 - - 3117 - - 13 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 41 - - 68 - - 32 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96314 21 293 17 280 24 286 26 296 24 291 96314 89202 18 295 17 283 25 285 27 292 32 301 89202 83786 13 319 14 284 23 286 22 287 19 291 83786 79249 27 320 20 301 26 288 28 304 23 291 79249 75297 30 305 25 295 29 288 37 304 36 305 75297 71826 34 298 29 291 33 289 41 291 43 303 71826 68689 37 288 33 297 36 282 39 281 40 291 68689 65781 39 287 39 307 40 294 43 291 42 298 65781 63066 49 300 50 303 47 295 51 296 54 293 63066 60430 62 297 54 299 53 295 58 298 57 292 60430 57681 70 291 61 299 63 296 63 300 62 304 57681 54845 66 294 69 298 61 296 70 307 75 304 54845 52149 72 300 72 301 81 306 88 308 81 298 52149 49717 79 300 86 308 101 305 103 304 85 303 49717 47534 88 297 100 304 107 301 108 300 102 307 47534 45560 85 296 100 295 97 297 102 294 109 299 45560 43757 90 301 84 293 83 300 85 296 102 295 43757 42090 121 310 89 310 95 313 91 313 89 306 42090 40544 158 313 110 317 116 313 112 320 92 316 40544 39109 159 312 108 316 114 309 102 313 90 313 39109 37768 131 309 93 310 114 309 87 303 88 306 37768 36485 113 299 81 300 116 309 91 301 87 299 36485 35199 120 297 84 297 110 309 95 302 88 294 35199 33884 119 298 90 291 99 307 97 303 91 292 33884 32544 109 305 91 289 93 301 97 301 95 292 32544 31168 90 307 87 290 91 297 96 298 99 294 31168 29748 73 298 62 278 87 294 96 298 97 295 29748 28291 63 288 54 282 81 295 97 301 92 296 28291 26801 58 280 50 296 64 290 95 302 81 296 26801 25288 56 275 48 290 50 284 86 298 70 293 25288 23752 53 274 50 278 43 284 76 293 64 293 23752 22187 47 277 53 276 42 288 59 287 64 294 22187 20589 40 281 48 278 43 286 47 283 64 293 20589 18991 35 281 39 278 39 282 44 283 58 287 18991 17472 34 278 33 277 35 280 43 281 51 279 17472 16100 33 275 30 275 32 279 41 279 45 274 16100 14878 33 275 28 275 30 279 37 276 41 272 14878 13781 31 276 28 275 29 278 33 273 38 268 13781 12790 27 277 27 275 27 278 28*268 36 264 12790 11890 24 279 25 276 25*277 23*261 34 261 11890 11073 20 279 23 276 21*274 19 253 30 260 11073 10335 17 277 19 275 17 270 16 246 26 261 10335 9667 15 273 16*273 13 264 13 241 22 263 9667 9055 12 267 13*269 10 260 11 239 18*265 9055 8502 9 258 9 265 9 259 10 242 13*268 8502 8032 5 251 6 259 7 259 8 245 9 269 8032 7665 2 254 4 259 6 260 6 249 5 273 7665 7408 2 019 3 263 5 260 6 252 1 342 7408 7252 4*022 2 267 5 259 5 254 2 056 7252 7162 3*016 1 261 4 260 4 254 3 064 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography