DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 48.4 - - 51.5 - - 49.3 - - 39.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 92 - - 115 - - 20 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4116 - - 6295 - - 4396 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 11346 - - 13102 - - 9877 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 13126 - - 15305 - - 13406 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3089 - - 2634 - - 2290 - - 3419 - - 2334 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 333 - - 412 - - 227 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 279 - - 278 - - 295 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 13 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 6 - - 5 - - -16 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2014 - - 3285 - - 5624 - - 4387 - - -421 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9177 - - 9842 - - 9681 - - 9019 - - 7585 sfcLCL ODpotential -8062 - - -1743 - - 842 - - -1609 - - -5636 ODpotential blCL 15224 - - 14869 - - 14463 - - 15015 - - 12799 blCL maxRH 60 - - 64 - - 62 - - 65 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 350 - - 300 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 48.4 - - 51.5 - - 49.3 - - 39.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.6 - - 30.2 - - 33.9 - - 34.6 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.3 - - 51.3 - - 54.3 - - 53.1 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.6 - - 29.0 - - 32.7 - - 33.4 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 92 - - 115 - - 20 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4116 - - 6295 - - 4396 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96250 18 304 14 288 22 268 26 291 21 297 96250 89097 17 294 12 284 19 292 25 299 22 322 89097 83652 13 297 16 300 22 298 26 307 21 329 83652 79128 20 329 17 316 19 303 26 304 25 314 79128 75208 25 313 23 313 26 308 26 304 27 302 75208 71731 23 301 27 301 34 305 32 308 34 311 71731 68564 29 310 31 301 36 298 35 304 38 309 68564 65629 38 305 35 300 34 296 38 300 37 302 65629 62879 44 299 37 300 38 293 39 294 38 299 62879 60188 45 296 42 297 42 291 40 294 40 296 60188 57361 46 289 45 294 45 294 42 295 41 294 57361 54419 44 286 45 287 48 292 45 296 44 296 54419 51611 39 288 43 285 47 289 47 295 45 294 51611 49097 38 289 40 287 43 287 46 292 42 292 49097 46859 39 287 38 290 40 287 45 288 42 295 46859 44841 40 286 38 290 38 287 43 285 44 295 44841 43004 41 286 37 284 37 287 39 284 42 290 43004 41322 38 285 36 281 37 290 37 287 38 288 41322 39777 38 283 38 283 40 294 38 292 34 291 39777 38356 39 282 42 280 42 292 39 294 33 298 38356 37041 38 281 44 276 44 287 37 295 30 304 37041 35792 38 280 42 277 46 285 36 298 29 312 35792 34544 37 279 39 282 46 285 35 299 30 316 34544 33270 37 281 37 283 44 287 35 297 32 319 33270 31975 37 282 35 285 40 287 34 294 32 320 31975 30647 37 283 33 286 35 286 33 293 30 313 30647 29281 37 282 33 286 31 287 32 293 26 307 29281 27880 36 280 33 287 29 289 30 295 23 305 27880 26447 35 274 33 288 28 292 27 294 22 304 26447 24987 33 271 31 287 26 296 22 292 22 302 24987 23504 30 275 28 287 25 297 19 293 21 300 23504 21996 25 283 25 289 24 295 19 295 21 298 21996 20457 21 289 23 292 23 296 21 296 22 295 20457 18907 19 290 21 294 22 298 20 296 21 295 18907 17424 18 287 18 293 19 300 18 297 19 295 17424 16073 17 288 17 290 16*297 15 294 18 296 16073 14864 16 292 16 285 14*288 13 286 17 297 14864 13773 16 296 15*283 13 280 13*281 16 300 13773 12784 16 298 14*282 13 278 13*278 15 304 12784 11886 15 296 12 283 11 273 13 278 14 308 11886 11071 13 290 11 283 9 271 13 283 14 313 11071 10334 11 280 10 281 9 271 13 288 14 317 10334 9666 9 269 8 276 8 272 13 295 14 322 9666 9054 7 253 6 272 8 273 12 303 14 326 9054 8501 5 236 3 264 7 277 11 312 14 331 8501 8030 2 214 2 259 7 282 10 320 13 337 8030 7663 1 061 2 260 6 284 9 325 11 344 7663 7408 4 020 1 261 6 285 8 329 10 352 7408 7251 5*020 1 259 6 287 7 330 7*355 7251 7162 3*016 1 264 5 287 6 331 4*360 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography