DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.0 - - 23.1 - - 28.4 - - 24.6 - - 17.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - -6 - - 17 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 7161 - - 7162 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 974 - - 1645 - - 2444 - - 1895 - - 1152 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 10 - - 30 - - 7 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 346 - - 353 - - 217 - - 231 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -10 - - 3 - - 5 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5395 - - -5541 - - -1741 - - 2 - - -1375 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12557 - - 12704 - - 8903 - - 7161 - - 8536 sfcLCL ODpotential -14754 - - -15160 - - -8869 - - -6888 - - -8980 ODpotential blCL 21916 - - 22322 - - 16030 - - 14050 - - 16141 blCL maxRH 91 - - 80 - - 80 - - 75 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.0 - - 23.1 - - 28.4 - - 24.6 - - 17.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -11.4 - - -6.4 - - 14.8 - - 18.6 - - 5.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.7 - - 30.7 - - 32.1 - - 29.9 - - 26.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -9.4 - - -7.2 - - 13.8 - - 17.6 - - 9.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - -6 - - 17 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 20 - - 21 - - 1 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95015 27 349 29 328 32 322 37 320 33 331 95015 88384 22 000 17 336 23 330 28 339 27 357 88384 83135 20 007 21 356 29 348 31 347 24 353 83135 78699 23 002 22 353 31 346 29 348 28 343 78699 74847 19 354 14 358 21 343 23 356 27 349 74847 71419 13 352 22 009 20 354 23 351 27 345 71419 68291 24 346 31 341 26 343 26 348 28 336 68291 65396 33 349 36 338 30 342 31 351 26 341 65396 62693 39 341 42 341 40 345 33 350 29 355 62693 60057 43 333 48 339 48 342 41 347 38 356 60057 57289 46 331 51 335 52 336 50 344 44 349 57289 54397 49 332 52 333 54 332 54 337 48 338 54397 51617 52 334 53 335 55 332 54 331 49 329 51617 49101 56 334 56 337 58 331 56 327 52 324 49101 46838 60 333 59 336 59 328 58 325 56 324 46838 44779 62 333 60 333 60 329 62 326 61 327 44779 42883 60 331 61 329 61 329 67 326 68 327 42883 41122 58 326 62 325 61 327 67 322 69 323 41122 39481 56 327 62 322 59 325 62 318 63 317 39481 37958 58 328 60 318 60 323 56 319 55 314 37958 36558 60 321 57 315 59 316 53 320 49 317 36558 35253 61 312 56 312 55 308 51 317 50 319 35253 33976 66 304 57 310 52 306 52 311 54 310 33976 32697 66 299 57 309 53 306 55 305 56 300 32697 31416 64 301 57 309 55 308 54 303 57 300 31416 30110 63 302 61 309 55 309 52 309 55 301 30110 28768 60 303 63 308 53 311 54 319 53 303 28768 27392 57 306 61 306 51 311 56 321 51 302 27392 25985 55 309 57 305 49 308 54 317 48 300 25985 24550 52 310 53 308 50 305 51 313 46 303 24550 23091 49 310 48 311 49 303 49 311 43 308 23091 21605 46 311 45 311 46 302 45 310 41 312 21605 20088 42 316 42 309 42 301 42 308 38 313 20088 18563 38 321 37 305 38 301 39 307 35 312 18563 17106 35 325 32 303 35 300 36 308 32 313 17106 15783 31 327 29 303 33 298 33 309 29 315 15783 14601 28 326 26 303 31 298 30 309 27 319 14601 13538 25 325 23 303 28 299 28 310 24 322 13538 12577 22 322 21 302 25 299 25 312 21 322 12577 11706 20 318 18 300 21 299 23 313 18 323 11706 10917 17 315 15 298 18 299 21 314 16 324 10917 10206 15 312 12 296 15 299 19 314 15 327 10206 9562 13 311 9 296 12 300 16 315 14 331 9562 8974 12 313 6 300 9 299 13 314 13 333 8974 8442 10 317 4 307 7 296 9 310 12 335 8442 7991 9 324 3 323 4 281 6 294 10 334 7991 7639 8 331 2 340 2 224 3 247 7 331 7639 7395 6 342 2 355 2 178 4 198 4 329 7395 7246 4*349 2*358 2*173 4*171 2*325 7246 7160 3*349 2*360 2*172 3*164 1*325 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography