DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.1 - - 41.6 - - 44.3 - - 41.5 - - 38.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - -5 - - -7 - - -8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 240 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7163 - - 9250 - - 7163 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 556 - - 2102 - - 1284 - - 2509 - - 1691 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 14 - - 37 - - 9 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 13 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 024 - - 300 - - 304 - - 313 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 18 - - 26 - - 16 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -8 - - -10 - - -9 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4548 - - -4018 - - -2133 - - -3697 - - -4754 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11711 - - 11181 - - 11383 - - 10860 - - 11917 sfcLCL ODpotential -17650 - - -15557 - - -13170 - - -14164 - - -15942 ODpotential blCL 24812 - - 22720 - - 22420 - - 21327 - - 23105 blCL maxRH 62 - - 69 - - 73 - - 70 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.1 - - 41.6 - - 44.3 - - 41.5 - - 38.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.2 - - 18.3 - - 20.0 - - 19.6 - - 12.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 48.4 - - 51.1 - - 50.2 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.0 - - 17.2 - - 18.9 - - 18.4 - - 11.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - -5 - - -7 - - -8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 240 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96500 7 269 15 277 16 289 11 288 11 276 96500 89482 8 024 5 217 7 250 13 333 5 341 89482 84042 3 308 5 142 5 198 5 339 7 277 84042 79517 4 330 2 182 5 197 4 270 4 256 79517 75577 2 304 3 209 5 200 13 270 8 340 75577 72062 3 311 4 296 3 270 16 264 12 314 72062 68863 7 303 1 354 4 251 7 275 11 328 68863 65923 8 317 8 326 16 303 23 310 21 312 65923 63232 23 309 23 299 23 301 23 313 25 311 63232 60647 16 315 13 314 22 332 25 327 27 329 60647 57941 25 337 46 328 39 336 36 330 33 325 57941 55119 51 325 60 317 53 324 47 324 41 320 55119 52426 62 320 62 309 60 313 54 319 47 319 52426 49999 61 309 67 306 62 306 56 313 49 317 49999 47817 58 305 72 308 62 307 58 313 53 316 47817 45846 68 308 79 308 67 311 70 311 60 316 45846 44059 80 308 85 308 75 309 80 303 63 309 44059 42419 86 308 88 306 71 312 72 299 67 300 42419 40886 88 308 86 304 73 323 64 307 62 302 40886 39445 86 305 84 303 82 323 63 316 67 309 39445 38094 82 304 81 305 80 313 66 315 71 308 38094 36799 80 304 77 308 73 309 71 311 65 307 36799 35500 80 306 75 309 74 308 74 307 61 304 35500 34170 79 307 75 310 77 310 73 303 64 300 34170 32813 75 308 78 310 79 311 69 302 67 298 32813 31422 70 309 80 310 78 310 67 303 69 299 31422 29990 68 309 82 309 75 308 70 305 71 299 29990 28527 69 308 82 307 75 306 72 308 75 302 28527 27036 73 307 82 306 80 306 75 310 79 307 27036 25519 77 307 81 307 84 307 78 312 80 311 25519 23976 76 308 77 308 85 309 81 314 77 315 23976 22403 67 311 69 308 80 308 81 314 71 317 22403 20793 59 312 60 306 69 306 76 312 65 314 20793 19174 54 311 52 303 59 301 67 307 62 308 19174 17630 51 309 48 302 54 298 60 303 59 303 17630 16230 50 309 46 302 52 296 56 300 55 299 16230 14981 50 308 45 302 49 295 53 298 51 295 14981 13861 49 309 43 302 47 294 50 297 48 292 13861 12849 48 309 41 302 44 293 48 295 46 290 12849 11932 46 310 39 301 41 293 45 293 44 289 11932 11103 44 309 37 300 39 294 42 293 42 289 11103 10356 42 309 35 299 35 296 39 293 40 289 10356 9680 40 308 33 300 31*299 34 295 36 290 9680 9063 37 308 30 301 26*301 29 298 32 292 9063 8506 33 308 24 302 20 303 22 300 25 295 8506 8033 26 310 16 302 13 305 14 303 18 299 8033 7665 18 315 9 299 8 306 7 309 10 307 7665 7409 10 328 3 293 4 311 2 334 5 327 7409 7252 6*354 0*354 2 330 2*061 3*031 7252 7162 3*058 2*112 1 022 2*097 3*061 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography