DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 73.1 - - 72.9 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 372 - - 153 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7584 - - 8134 - - 8476 - - 5595 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14304 - - 15106 - - 14850 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16594 - - 17144 - - 17486 - - 14605 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2436 - - 2055 - - 2502 - - 2766 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 488 - - 622 - - 471 - - 37 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 228 - - 245 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 21 - - 20 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 23 - - 15 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1377 - - 2918 - - 3240 - - 2262 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15218 - - 14226 - - 14247 - - 12344 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1043 - - 750 - - 771 - - -2091 ODpotential blCL - - - 17637 - - 16394 - - 16715 - - 16696 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 88 - - 74 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 30 - - 70 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 73.1 - - 72.9 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.8 - - 35.3 - - 35.0 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 74.7 - - 75.6 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.0 - - 34.4 - - 34.3 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 191 - - 372 - - 153 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7584 - - 8134 - - 8476 - - 5595 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 52 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99475 15 118 14 090 16 073 16 070 99475 91962 12 101 11 094 11 068 15 060 91962 86154 14 097 10 086 10 056 10 071 86154 81331 17 091 7 115 8 048 12 086 81331 77176 14 080 11 102 7 089 12 069 77176 73510 8 120 10 072 11 100 7 077 73510 70186 12 122 3 046 7 062 10 075 70186 67121 13 102 5 160 3 313 9 042 67121 64286 7 088 7 150 2 278 7 347 64286 61551 3 015 2 120 6 054 4 011 61551 58709 3 283 2 139 5 259 4 294 58709 55771 19 276 17 292 7 265 12 251 55771 52982 28 246 26 258 21 255 23 250 52982 50487 32 249 34 250 33 253 33 252 50487 48256 41 249 43 243 46 245 43 250 48256 46229 47 246 47 245 51 241 48 243 46229 44365 50 245 54 245 52 242 48 241 44365 42648 54 244 64 243 55 244 51 239 42648 41063 59 242 65 244 62 244 61 238 41063 39592 60 245 69 247 71 238 67 237 39592 38219 62 248 72 245 71 235 67 235 38219 36911 65 250 69 242 66 238 66 235 36911 35603 63 248 66 243 60 240 57 237 35603 34270 59 247 63 247 53 240 48 239 34270 32916 53 249 58 250 47 242 45 238 32916 31531 46 248 47 249 42 243 42 237 31531 30109 41 244 41 244 38 240 41 236 30109 28650 38 240 38 236 36 237 41 238 28650 27158 37 239 35 233 35 238 37 242 27158 25639 35 235 33 232 32 241 33 246 25639 24099 32 238 31 239 30 245 30 250 24099 22535 28 247 29 247 28 251 27 254 22535 20940 25 255 28 258 27 258 26 256 20940 19337 26 253 28 266 27 263 26 258 19337 17802 25*249 27*271 25*269 25 264 17802 16405 24*250 21*277 22*274 21 269 16405 15156 21 252 14 264 14 270 14*275 15156 14029 18 252 12 242 12 263 10*281 14029 13007 14 246 13 226 12 261 10 277 13007 12078 11 232 13 223 11 243 10 266 12078 11233 10 216 14 219 10 235 11 254 11233 10468 10 208 14 215 11 228 11 246 10468 9775 10 201 14 210 11 223 12 240 9775 9138 11 196 15 208 11 219 12 235 9138 8562 11 193 15 206 11 215 12 230 8562 8072 11 191 14 204 10 213 12 226 8072 7689 11 190 14 203 10 212 11 221 7689 7421 11 189 13 202 10 210 8 213 7421 7258 10 188 12 200 9 210 6 208 7258 7163 8 188 10 199 8 209 4 204 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography