DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.7 - - 43.7 - - 45.2 - - 43.8 - - 38.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 33 - - 46 - - 46 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 277 - - 1895 - - 3349 - - 2241 - - 647 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 10240 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 9287 - - 10905 - - 12359 - - 11251 - - 9657 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1876 - - 1872 - - 1697 - - 1523 - - 1312 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 188 - - 250 - - 215 - - 39 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 12 - - 14 - - 17 - - 19 BL Wind Direction 308 - - 303 - - 292 - - 304 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear 21 - - 11 - - 9 - - 15 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 11 - - -11 - - -17 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1201 - - 3074 - - 4816 - - 4090 - - 2496 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8086 - - 7832 - - 7543 - - 7162 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -4254 - - -477 - - 2287 - - 966 - - -1725 ODpotential blCL 13541 - - 11382 - - 10072 - - 10285 - - 11382 blCL maxRH 96 - - 101 - - 100 - - 93 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.7 - - 43.7 - - 45.2 - - 43.8 - - 38.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.3 - - 34.3 - - 37.0 - - 37.4 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 - - 47.2 - - 48.6 - - 47.3 - - 43.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.1 - - 33.1 - - 35.7 - - 36.2 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 33 - - 46 - - 46 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 277 - - 1895 - - 3349 - - 2241 - - 647 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 102 - - 99 - - 70 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97747 10 042 6 159 6 031 6 182 5 325 97747 90340 10 025 4 097 3 286 7 021 4 032 90340 84683 6 100 3 029 4 174 6 005 8 047 84683 80003 5 071 2 160 5 114 2 207 7 003 80003 75945 2 323 3 244 5 040 2 010 3 323 75945 72333 4 195 10 261 7 310 7 340 4 258 72333 69051 2 309 12 270 10 279 8 301 7 264 69051 66026 9 282 15 269 13 255 11 285 9 273 66026 63206 12 262 18 260 17 257 16 268 13 281 63206 60458 15 265 16 257 17 262 18 268 17 287 60458 57586 16 270 13 262 17 265 18 273 18 288 57586 54619 12 279 12 252 17 265 18 283 17 280 54619 51802 14 300 10 274 12 266 18 304 15 282 51802 49276 15 322 17 296 21 292 25 312 17 297 49276 47016 17 324 17 295 19 286 24 304 24 317 47016 44970 19 326 16 314 13 257 23 296 25 312 44970 43096 20 331 20 324 18 300 23 303 25 311 43096 41376 19 325 28 318 26 302 28 307 27 311 41376 39802 14 312 27 306 28 302 36 296 32 306 39802 38365 14 343 25 308 39 305 43 288 35 295 38365 37044 20 357 27 314 38 300 44 280 36 288 37044 35792 24 353 27 318 34 296 39 279 37 282 35792 34542 26 350 23 322 30 293 35 281 38 280 34542 33265 21 347 19 323 27 292 33 283 39 279 33265 31966 18 344 16 317 26 293 31 285 38 280 31966 30636 17 341 15 303 25 292 31 287 35 284 30636 29266 16 338 14 296 25 287 30 288 31 291 29266 27861 16 338 11 297 23 279 28 287 30 297 27861 26422 17 340 12 300 24 281 28 287 29 297 26422 24956 19 347 14 304 26 289 28 285 28 293 24956 23466 19 352 17 305 28 292 29 284 28 287 23466 21948 18 348 21 306 27 285 26 284 27 282 21948 20397 17 332 24 304 24 275 24 281 27 279 20397 18840 19 324 24 297 23 275 23 279 27 278 18840 17352 18 324 19 290 22 284 23 280 27 279 17352 16000 15 319 15 287 22 291 23 284 27 281 16000 14791 12 310 13 288 21 292 24 289 26 284 14791 13704 10 305 12 292 19 291 25 293 25 287 13704 12719 11 305 13 297 17*290 25 297 25 293 12719 11826 13 306 15 301 16*289 24*299 24 302 11826 11018 16 306 16*304 16 290 22*302 24 313 11018 10290 20 306 17*305 16 291 20 304 24*324 10290 9631 22*306 16 305 15 292 19 305 25*331 9631 9028 22*306 14 304 15 293 18 306 25 334 9028 8483 19 307 12 303 14 293 16 305 23 335 8483 8019 14 308 10 300 13 293 15 305 20 336 8019 7658 9 311 10 299 12 293 13 305 16 336 7658 7405 5 318 9 298 11 293 12 304 12 334 7405 7251 3 326 8 297 10 292 10 304 9 332 7251 7161 1 337 6 296 7 292 7 304 4 333 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography