DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 58.5 - - 58.2 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 425 - - 185 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4730 - - 6577 - - 5577 - - 1613 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12335 - - 13908 - - 12737 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13740 - - 15587 - - 14587 - - 10623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1937 - - 1941 - - 2073 - - 2435 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 498 - - 606 - - 437 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 16 - - 14 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 322 - - 326 - - 339 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 17 - - 9 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - -20 - - -23 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 873 - - 1717 - - 1426 - - 405 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12868 - - 13870 - - 13162 - - 10219 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4540 - - -3685 - - -3233 - - -6318 ODpotential blCL - - - 18280 - - 19272 - - 17820 - - 16941 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 37 - - 46 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 58.5 - - 58.2 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.3 - - 22.4 - - 25.4 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 59.8 - - 60.7 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.1 - - 21.4 - - 24.4 - - 29.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 425 - - 185 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4730 - - 6577 - - 5577 - - 1613 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97620 4 209 6 336 4 081 1 357 97620 90238 4 134 6 192 4 050 7 114 90238 84556 6 131 6 126 5 066 9 067 84556 79846 9 098 5 120 2 087 8 041 79846 75796 3 110 9 111 2 185 10 025 75796 72224 3 148 3 067 3 073 2 052 72224 68982 1 206 4 309 9 002 6 071 68982 65991 1 358 1 178 8 326 9 032 65991 63219 7 015 4 008 8 339 13 012 63219 60544 11 357 6 346 11 338 9 015 60544 57759 16 330 12 000 11 351 11 346 57759 54875 16 324 16 322 21 321 22 324 54875 52131 15 331 18 304 21 301 23 302 52131 49658 22 320 23 315 20 307 22 300 49658 47426 27 314 28 315 29 314 27 308 47426 45407 33 310 32 311 37 318 42 321 45407 43590 36 310 37 314 49 326 46 333 43590 41934 42 315 46 327 62 337 64 347 41934 40398 48 321 60 338 78 347 81 340 40398 38965 53 326 74 341 95 344 85 337 38965 37623 56 330 79 340 98 343 82 338 37623 36342 55 329 78 342 95 343 78 341 36342 35061 51 327 76 341 88 344 74 343 35061 33754 50 331 65 336 74 346 72 343 33754 32425 50 333 53 335 61 347 64 343 32425 31066 50 329 49 341 54 343 53 339 31066 29670 50 325 48 343 46 341 45 337 29670 28244 50 322 47 341 40 342 39 336 28244 26788 50 325 46 341 38 342 33 336 26788 25305 49 329 45 342 37 342 30 337 25305 23797 47 332 43 344 36 343 28 339 23797 22258 44 334 41 345 34 345 27 341 22258 20684 40 333 38 344 30 347 26 344 20684 19100 37 329 33 340 27 348 25 347 19100 17584 34 323 31 336 25 346 23 346 17584 16204 33 320 28*335 23 346 21 346 16204 14971 30 319 25*334 20*348 20 349 14971 13861 27*320 20 333 16*351 18 356 13861 12857 22*323 16 332 14 350 15 004 12857 11947 17 325 15 331 14 348 13 014 11947 11122 13 326 14 327 14 344 13*019 11122 10376 11 325 14 324 14 339 14*015 10376 9701 9 323 14 321 14 335 14 010 9701 9081 9 320 14 319 14 330 15 003 9081 8521 8 319 14 316 14 328 15 356 8521 8044 8 317 14 315 14 326 14 349 8044 7672 7 315 13 313 13 323 13 342 7672 7413 7 314 12 312 12 322 10 334 7413 7254 6 313 12 311 11 322 8 326 7254 7162 5 312 9 310 9 321 4 322 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography