DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.6 - - 78.8 - - 81.9 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 20 - - 294 - - 232 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1031 - - 9652 - - 11874 - - - - - 1587 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 16219 - - 17860 - - - - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 10041 - - 18662 - - 20884 - - - - - 10597 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3336 - - 2078 - - 1746 - - - - - 5763 Hgt.Variab. W* 131 - - 613 - - 608 - - - - - 28 W* B/S 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 14 - - 13 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction 244 - - 263 - - 256 - - - - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 25 - - 22 - - - - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg 9 - - 8 - - 30 - - - - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -533 - - 3362 - - 4389 - - - - - -2679 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10575 - - 15301 - - 16496 - - - - - 13277 sfcLCL ODpotential -6073 - - 58 - - 2451 - - - - - -7715 ODpotential blCL 16114 - - 18604 - - 18433 - - - - - 18312 blCL maxRH 74 - - 73 - - 97 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE 390 - - 40 - - 80 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 69.6 - - 78.8 - - 81.9 - - - - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.8 - - 36.3 - - 34.1 - - - - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.2 - - 80.6 - - 84.1 - - - - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.8 - - 35.1 - - 32.9 - - - - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 20 - - 294 - - 232 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1031 - - 9652 - - 11874 - - - - - 1587 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 88 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99715 31 092 34 112 26 095 26 085 99715 92164 30 095 32 111 22 103 27 092 92164 86347 30 100 25 110 21 097 27 089 86347 81520 22 102 20 098 17 096 25 091 81520 77372 19 100 22 086 20 118 24 084 77372 73709 24 103 21 092 23 109 15 073 73709 70399 19 100 14 099 16 086 12 098 70399 67374 13 109 9 098 13 082 14 103 67374 64576 10 128 11 130 7 054 12 079 64576 61872 5 063 3 103 2 351 7 061 61872 59085 6 289 6 284 4 252 3 266 59085 56228 29 233 26 251 25 255 12 309 56228 53508 29 210 38 231 40 240 34 268 53508 51075 29 250 41 241 42 238 50 251 51075 48908 58 257 58 253 50 248 57 249 48908 46939 70 250 71 253 63 253 63 253 46939 45128 74 248 74 247 66 249 63 255 45128 43439 76 248 69 242 62 248 59 256 43439 41851 74 251 64 257 63 257 60 260 41851 40354 77 260 71 269 65 263 62 262 40354 38946 81 261 75 267 67 263 64 264 38946 37600 80 258 74 265 69 262 65 265 37600 36254 75 253 71 257 69 259 66 262 36254 34881 74 249 72 253 68 255 67 256 34881 33484 70 247 71 253 69 252 65 252 33484 32054 66 244 66 252 68 251 61 254 32054 30584 62 244 61 252 63 252 56 257 30584 29083 55 249 55 254 55 254 52 256 29083 27560 50 255 50 257 48 254 48 255 27560 26015 47 260 46 256 44 253 43 256 26015 24450 43 261 44 254 42 252 39 258 24450 22857 39 263 42 253 39 253 37 256 22857 21230 35 262 37 254 34*257 35 253 21230 19593 33 256 32*256 29*258 32 251 19593 18025 32 256 28*259 20 257 29 250 18025 16598 30 259 25 262 15 256 26 246 16598 15317 27 255 21 264 11 254 23 244 15317 14163 24 246 17 265 11 254 18 243 14163 13116 22 242 14 264 11 255 14 244 13116 12165 17 245 11 262 11 255 11 251 12165 11302 11 247 9 261 10 255 9*263 11302 10522 8*238 7 262 10 255 8*279 10522 9815 8*230 6 262 10 255 8 296 9815 9168 7 229 6 264 10 255 8 311 9168 8582 5 234 5 266 10 255 9 327 8582 8085 2 255 5 267 10 255 9 345 8085 7696 2 330 4 268 9 255 9 357 7696 7425 3 005 4 267 9 255 8 001 7425 7259 3 008 4 268 8 255 6 001 7259 7164 2 004 3 268 7 254 4 003 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography