DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.1 - - 47.8 - - 53.0 - - 53.4 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 29 - - 220 - - 298 - - 110 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1411 - - 3680 - - 6139 - - 5502 - - 3443 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 11397 - - 13422 - - 12396 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 10421 - - 12690 - - 15149 - - 14512 - - 12453 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1931 - - 1607 - - 1741 - - 2063 - - 2308 Hgt.Variab. W* 158 - - 410 - - 533 - - 373 - - 32 W* B/S 17 - - 900 - - 93 - - 30 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 303 - - 254 - - 147 - - 155 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 13 - - 10 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1202 - - 1302 - - 2876 - - 2412 - - 2275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9220 - - 11388 - - 12274 - - 12100 - - 10179 sfcLCL ODpotential -5244 - - -3696 - - -1701 - - -1732 - - -3819 ODpotential blCL 15665 - - 16386 - - 16850 - - 16244 - - 16272 blCL maxRH 52 - - 46 - - 55 - - 50 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.1 - - 47.8 - - 53.0 - - 53.4 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.9 - - 23.0 - - 24.2 - - 25.4 - - 27.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.5 - - 50.0 - - 54.8 - - 56.3 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.7 - - 21.9 - - 23.0 - - 24.2 - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 29 - - 220 - - 298 - - 110 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1411 - - 3680 - - 6139 - - 5502 - - 3443 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97333 5 225 7 203 13 234 9 296 5 333 97333 89893 3 178 5 262 4 281 4 198 6 301 89893 84237 7 014 3 258 8 307 3 158 6 302 84237 79569 8 351 4 323 6 284 4 293 2 336 79569 75545 7 340 7 340 4 271 8 301 3 010 75545 71986 11 334 9 330 8 306 12 314 8 353 71986 68753 14 331 10 322 11 308 15 313 13 333 68753 65767 12 316 16 309 11 318 13 320 11 327 65767 62989 14 305 19 301 14 315 17 327 11 335 62989 60293 13 290 15 291 16 295 19 315 16 329 60293 57475 13 322 10 303 14 285 19 305 19 317 57475 54544 19 319 13 315 14 279 22 295 21 307 54544 51739 18 311 14 310 16 290 24 294 22 300 51739 49218 20 309 18 305 20 295 25 295 24 299 49218 46968 21 313 20 307 21 305 24 300 22 298 46968 44947 22 322 19 328 20 319 22 309 19 298 44947 43120 21 339 26 342 20 338 24 317 23 311 43120 41462 28 000 26 353 23 344 24 324 21 311 41462 39945 22 355 30 354 20 358 20 333 15 326 39945 38543 23 037 18 013 20 351 16 352 14 340 38543 37233 28 040 18 038 11 359 13 351 12 332 37233 35981 26 043 18 047 3 069 4 270 11 316 35981 34729 23 047 17 068 8 136 11 192 12 281 34729 33451 19 054 18 076 7 137 9 200 14 258 33451 32151 19 057 17 067 6 073 3 250 14 261 32151 30817 21 055 15 052 11 033 6 025 10 267 30817 29444 23 052 14 040 12 025 8 032 3 271 29444 28036 26 050 15 043 12 030 7 037 1 299 28036 26596 28 049 15 049 13 038 6 052 0 212 26596 25128 28 049 16 049 13 046 6 070 1 148 25128 23636 26 050 17 048 14 055 6 101 2 163 23636 22115 24 052 16 049 14 070 8 120 4 170 22115 20559 21 051 15 051 14 080 10 123 8 160 20559 18995 19 050 15 055 14 082 10 129 9 160 18995 17497 19 053 15 062 14 087 9 136 8 167 17497 16133 17 061 14 071 13*091 10 129 8 170 16133 14912 15 071 12 081 10*094 10*112 8 145 14912 13813 12 075 11 091 5 098 8*103 9 114 13813 12817 8 070 8*094 2 110 6 110 11*103 12817 11914 5 050 4*092 1 138 5 116 9*114 11914 11094 4*022 1 082 1 201 3 153 7 142 11094 10354 3*340 0 350 1 233 2 183 6 171 10354 9683 3 298 0 285 2 243 3 213 6 186 9683 9069 3 269 1 278 2 243 3 226 6 198 9069 8512 2 258 1 267 3 246 3 234 5 211 8512 8038 1 282 1 257 3 246 3 239 4 226 8038 7669 2 004 1 254 3 247 3 241 4 241 7669 7411 2 015 1 244 3 247 3 242 3 256 7411 7253 2 021 1 245 3 247 3 241 2 274 7253 7162 2 022 1 244 3 246 3 242 2 287 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography