DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/23 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1604z - - 1902z - - 2202z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.1 - - 68.0 - - 72.4 - - 70.8 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 260 - - 314 - - 147 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 683 - - 7650 - - 11181 - - 10496 - - 3212 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 14560 - - 17510 - - 16434 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 9693 - - 16660 - - 20191 - - 19506 - - 12222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 7708 - - 2832 - - 1950 - - 1986 - - 5105 Hgt.Variab. W* 94 - - 550 - - 662 - - 507 - - 62 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 17 - - 21 - - 19 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 230 - - 241 - - 253 - - 256 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 23 - - 19 - - 16 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg 16 - - 22 - - 14 - - 12 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1281 - - 3026 - - 5213 - - 4613 - - 396 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10975 - - 13634 - - 14979 - - 14893 - - 11827 sfcLCL ODpotential -6888 - - -618 - - 2331 - - 1276 - - -5298 ODpotential blCL 16581 - - 17278 - - 17860 - - 18230 - - 17520 blCL maxRH 67 - - 60 - - 84 - - 84 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 40 - - 210 - - 110 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 61.1 - - 68.0 - - 72.4 - - 70.8 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.9 - - 32.9 - - 31.2 - - 30.1 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.9 - - 70.1 - - 74.3 - - 73.5 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.8 - - 31.7 - - 30.0 - - 29.0 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 260 - - 314 - - 147 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 683 - - 7650 - - 11181 - - 10496 - - 3212 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 37 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98918 29 103 35 101 28 106 28 093 30 098 98918 91440 29 106 27 105 22 101 22 097 27 086 91440 85687 27 106 23 097 20 106 21 102 22 087 85687 80918 26 098 18 101 21 105 17 110 22 097 80918 76800 19 089 22 116 12 106 15 110 19 087 76800 73142 11 102 17 106 10 121 8 073 15 074 73142 69833 12 130 8 095 11 112 6 063 12 094 69833 66793 10 138 4 149 4 090 6 031 12 113 66793 63966 3 194 2 188 4 224 7 319 7 143 63966 61237 5 235 5 252 5 236 5 275 5 195 61237 58403 9 242 13 240 11 255 6 254 7 228 58403 55469 12 256 18 237 20 252 15 262 12 250 55469 52674 19 265 21 243 24 252 20 262 16 275 52674 50158 24 260 21 252 24 251 24 255 25 276 50158 47903 27 251 26 257 26 258 27 258 30 270 47903 45857 30 246 34 247 37 251 33 255 31 260 45857 43994 37 250 39 242 43 241 40 242 29 253 43994 42294 47 251 41 244 41 238 39 239 28 245 42294 40727 53 251 40 250 43 239 37 242 26 236 40727 39270 53 253 40 252 42 234 35 238 22 234 39270 37915 49 254 41 251 38 243 32 238 18 240 37915 36627 45 253 42 252 38 250 29 241 17 243 36627 35341 41 249 42 251 37 249 28 243 16 243 35341 34028 37 250 38 250 36 246 27 247 16 248 34028 32693 35 255 34 251 35 243 26 250 17 246 32693 31327 36 251 35 252 35 240 25 247 20 243 31327 29922 34 253 36 249 34 238 25 245 21 239 29922 28482 28 257 31 247 31 241 23 245 21 237 28482 27010 24 254 26 244 32 242 23 244 20 235 27010 25509 22 250 23 247 31 242 25 243 19 236 25509 23985 21 248 23 251 29 243 28 240 19 241 23985 22433 22 245 24 255 26 242 27 238 20 246 22433 20847 26 247 27 256 26*246 24*240 21 248 20847 19254 30 247 31 249 29*246 24*242 21 248 19254 17729 30 244 33*243 30 242 24 243 21 247 17729 16342 26 241 30*241 27 245 23 246 20 245 16342 15098 22 239 27 241 23 251 21 251 19 246 15098 13976 19 240 24 242 20 256 18 259 19 248 13976 12959 17 244 20 245 20 257 18 260 19*253 12959 12034 16 243 15 247 18 260 17 264 18*259 12034 11195 14 238 13 245 18 260 17 266 17 267 11195 10436 15 235 12 241 18 261 16 266 17 276 10436 9748 15*233 12 238 17 261 16 268 16 284 9748 9118 13*229 11 236 17 261 16 268 15 293 9118 8548 11 227 11 234 17 261 16 268 15 299 8548 8063 8 231 11 232 16 261 15 268 15 301 8063 7683 3 229 10 230 15 261 15 268 14 301 7683 7419 1 246 9 229 14 261 14 268 11 300 7419 7256 1 261 9 228 13 261 13 268 9 299 7256 7163 1 251 7 227 10 260 10 267 4 299 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography