DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/29 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0956z - - 1327z - - 1555z - - 1855z - - 2155z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.3 - - 57.9 - - 57.8 - - 53.8 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 307 - - 342 - - 91 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 6376 - - 6496 - - 6119 - - 1432 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 13598 - - 13742 - - 12633 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 15386 - - 15506 - - 15129 - - 10442 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4961 - - 1464 - - 1214 - - 1822 - - 3293 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 535 - - 558 - - 352 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 21 - - 17 - - 14 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 225 - - 243 - - 257 - - 285 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear 21 - - 24 - - 16 - - 14 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg 29 - - 28 - - 17 - - 13 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2800 - - 3026 - - 3116 - - 2681 - - 145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9963 - - 12361 - - 12391 - - 12448 - - 10298 sfcLCL ODpotential -7647 - - 231 - - 195 - - -541 - - -3592 ODpotential blCL 14810 - - 15155 - - 15311 - - 15670 - - 14034 blCL maxRH 63 - - 74 - - 69 - - 68 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.3 - - 57.9 - - 57.8 - - 53.8 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.8 - - 28.5 - - 28.3 - - 24.2 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 59.8 - - 59.6 - - 56.9 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.0 - - 28.1 - - 28.0 - - 24.0 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 307 - - 342 - - 91 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 6376 - - 6496 - - 6119 - - 1432 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98154 16 269 13 257 16 261 17 276 17 275 98154 90783 10 282 8 267 5 281 11 259 10 300 90783 85098 2 204 7 255 4 265 5 270 7 303 85098 80374 5 024 3 179 3 280 2 028 2 279 80374 76311 8 016 7 112 2 232 7 024 4 074 76311 72726 5 041 8 088 3 114 9 025 8 043 72726 69488 5 050 8 062 7 084 6 056 5 058 69488 66518 6 081 4 059 6 048 7 047 6 075 66518 63765 7 072 4 094 2 001 8 031 7 045 63765 61103 6 049 4 085 1 186 4 347 9 035 61103 58320 3 300 3 017 2 322 6 314 8 028 58320 55410 9 261 7 272 5 298 6 310 11 336 55410 52620 12 290 7 258 10 254 13 267 16 290 52620 50103 23 263 19 251 14 279 12 278 20 300 50103 47836 30 259 25 271 30 295 22 305 26 303 47836 45772 34 257 31 265 34 282 32 305 31 308 45772 43877 26 256 29 259 34 274 38 300 35 306 43877 42121 24 272 28 270 33 273 39 293 37 303 42121 40484 31 279 32 280 34 280 38 291 38 299 40484 38954 37 281 40 282 40 286 40 293 38 295 38954 37526 47 281 46 277 48 282 45 292 38 295 37526 36170 57 278 52 272 55 274 49 286 39 294 36170 34826 63 272 58 265 58 266 51 278 38 286 34826 33469 64 269 62 257 61 263 54 267 40 273 33469 32110 66 271 63 256 64 261 57 263 42 265 32110 30742 66 272 62 259 66 258 60 260 41 258 30742 29354 64 271 61 260 66 257 61 258 39 253 29354 27949 60 266 59 258 65 256 58 256 39 249 27949 26520 57 256 57 254 65 256 53 256 40 246 26520 25062 55 249 56 250 61 254 48 255 39 247 25062 23576 55 245 55 245 56 249 46 252 36 251 23576 22060 53 241 54 243 54 246 44 252 32 258 22060 20509 52 235 52 243 51 246 41 256 29 265 20509 18947 50 232 49 244 47 248 38 261 26 272 18947 17452 47 230 44 245 42 252 33 266 22 278 17452 16092 45 229 40*247 35*256 28*270 17 284 16092 14878 42 228 34*248 26*259 22*273 11 287 14878 13784 39 229 27 247 18 258 16 277 5 278 13784 12793 36 231 22 244 17 258 11 285 1 189 12793 11894 33 233 20 241 17 258 12 289 2 044 11894 11077 30 234 19 241 17 257 12 289 7*020 11077 10340 29 233 19 241 17 257 13 290 12*003 10340 9671 28 233 19 241 17 257 13 290 16 351 9671 9059 26 234 19 241 17 257 13 290 19 344 9059 8506 21 235 18 241 17 256 14 290 20 340 8506 8034 17 231 18 241 16 256 13 289 19 337 8034 7666 11 222 17 241 16 255 13 289 16 333 7666 7409 7 201 16 240 15 255 12 289 13 330 7409 7252 5*184 14 239 13 255 11 288 10 327 7252 7162 2*172 11 238 10 254 8 287 5 328 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography