DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.1 - - 38.3 - - 33.7 - - 30.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 17 - - -5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 393 - - 151 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 9403 - - 9161 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2655 - - 1355 - - 1381 - - 2174 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 29 - - 86 - - 12 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 243 - - 246 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 16 - - 20 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 13 - - 18 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1594 - - 2000 - - -291 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7809 - - 7161 - - 7453 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6216 - - -3854 - - -4391 - - -8088 ODpotential blCL - - - 13378 - - 13257 - - 13552 - - 15250 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 87 - - 78 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.1 - - 38.3 - - 33.7 - - 30.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.4 - - 29.2 - - 27.9 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 42.7 - - 41.1 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 28.0 - - 27.1 - - 22.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 17 - - -5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 393 - - 151 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 47 - - 13 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96468 10 055 24 072 26 082 22 067 96468 89405 15 068 20 065 21 081 16 060 89405 83885 19 059 20 083 14 064 15 048 83885 79266 14 059 14 069 8 047 12 047 79266 75258 11 068 11 014 11 019 14 056 75258 71697 11 040 10 341 15 351 17 018 71697 68465 8 012 12 321 17 326 19 007 68465 65490 14 345 15 316 16 321 18 347 65490 62728 17 330 17 312 23 322 22 332 62728 60058 27 319 24 307 27 310 21 325 60058 57252 31 309 25 302 30 304 28 314 57252 54314 34 302 28 307 33 300 36 291 54314 51512 40 299 39 304 40 292 38 287 51512 49000 45 286 46 288 47 288 45 292 49000 46762 43 283 49 276 52 285 53 286 46762 44751 46 284 49 275 55 281 52 277 44751 42927 48 280 51 276 55 278 46 274 42927 41248 46 276 55 269 54 275 47 283 41248 39690 49 275 56 262 55 272 58 288 39690 38246 50 273 58 260 56 270 74 284 38246 36915 45 267 58 261 60 275 83 276 36915 35662 42 267 59 265 70 277 80 273 35662 34416 44 267 58 266 73 274 77 274 34416 33145 47 264 56 266 66 274 72 276 33145 31854 48 263 55 266 56 276 68 278 31854 30532 49 264 54 265 49 282 64 279 30532 29170 47 267 52 264 49 288 61 281 29170 27774 44 273 51 263 53 289 60 283 27774 26345 42 276 51 262 55 287 59 284 26345 24888 39 276 52 264 54 286 57 283 24888 23407 38 275 52 267 50 286 54 282 23407 21899 37 272 50 269 47 285 51 284 21899 20356 36 268 47 271 46 282 48 288 20356 18805 37 267 45 273 47 279 45 289 18805 17320 37 269 43 274 48 275 43 284 17320 15970 37 273 43 272 47 273 43 278 15970 14762 37 276 41 269 46 272 43 276 14762 13676 35 276 40 267 44 273 43 275 13676 12694 33 274 38 266 41 275 41 275 12694 11804 31 272 36 266 39 276 39 275 11804 10998 28 268 32 265 36 277 36 275 10998 10272 25 263 28 264 32 276 33 276 10272 9615 22 258 24*262 27*274 30 276 9615 9014 19 254 19*258 21*267 26 276 9014 8472 14 250 14 249 15 256 20 275 8472 8011 9 245 9 235 11 240 14 274 8011 7652 5 235 8 227 8 222 7 271 7652 7402 3 238 6 226 6 208 1 274 7402 7249 2*250 5 224 4 197 3*086 7249 7161 1*250 4 221 3 190 3*083 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography