DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.3 - - 40.4 - - 41.6 - - 36.2 - - 32.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -38 - - -6 - - 7 - - -28 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 162 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9172 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 938 - - 2623 - - 939 - - 1670 - - 1042 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 19 - - 57 - - 7 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 16 - - 19 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 313 - - 318 - - 330 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 25 - - 25 - - 16 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -17 - - -21 - - -25 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1441 - - -2136 - - 1031 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8604 - - 9298 - - 8141 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -12352 - - -10641 - - -6040 - - -6290 - - -8172 ODpotential blCL 19514 - - 17803 - - 15212 - - 13452 - - 15334 blCL maxRH 56 - - 75 - - 85 - - 82 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.3 - - 40.4 - - 41.6 - - 36.2 - - 32.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.1 - - 24.9 - - 31.0 - - 32.3 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.7 - - 44.9 - - 45.5 - - 42.6 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.1 - - 23.8 - - 29.8 - - 31.8 - - 27.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -38 - - -6 - - 7 - - -28 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 162 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 1 - - 41 - - 29 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96203 19 004 25 343 28 357 24 002 20 359 96203 89266 22 017 23 351 28 347 28 009 28 010 89266 83819 31 015 20 001 16 034 22 016 25 006 83819 79240 33 003 19 013 15 013 20 015 26 006 79240 75260 27 006 20 009 19 356 20 358 19 025 75260 71706 25 350 19 355 22 338 27 338 25 358 71706 68473 24 356 11 359 12 335 25 335 28 343 68473 65521 15 002 8 056 7 025 24 327 27 354 65521 62801 28 334 21 321 15 311 24 340 27 354 62801 60169 26 310 25 295 24 304 22 343 25 349 60169 57445 21 344 34 316 20 334 14 036 4 274 57445 54615 41 325 48 324 55 334 34 343 26 327 54615 51898 54 316 57 318 60 319 58 321 56 323 51898 49467 59 318 58 311 59 313 66 314 65 321 49467 47293 61 317 55 309 59 311 71 311 70 317 47293 45328 64 311 56 310 63 309 76 308 74 310 45328 43551 67 303 61 306 65 302 78 300 77 303 43551 41927 68 298 64 299 62 296 74 295 74 300 41927 40421 68 298 63 298 58 300 69 299 70 302 40421 39007 66 299 63 300 63 303 65 305 68 304 39007 37675 65 301 64 300 67 302 62 308 68 305 37675 36400 64 301 65 300 65 300 59 310 66 306 36400 35121 63 300 65 301 65 299 57 310 62 306 35121 33813 62 299 64 302 65 300 56 307 59 308 33813 32482 60 298 63 301 64 301 54 304 56 308 32482 31119 58 297 62 300 63 303 53 305 54 308 31119 29717 58 297 60 299 62 305 53 308 52 310 29717 28281 58 298 60 300 61 305 54 310 52 312 28281 26814 58 300 59 302 60 304 55 311 52 314 26814 25320 59 302 59 303 60 304 55 310 51 315 25320 23800 58 304 59 305 59 305 55 311 51 315 23800 22250 56 305 57 306 59 308 54 312 51 315 22250 20664 54 305 54 306 58 311 53 313 51 316 20664 19069 52 305 52 307 56 312 52 315 50 316 19069 17544 52 304 51 308 53 311 50 317 48 315 17544 16159 52 304 50 307 50 310 47 318 45 313 16159 14921 51 304 49 306 47 310 44 317 42 311 14921 13810 51 304 47 305 45 311 41 315 39 311 13810 12804 50 303 46 304 43 311 39 313 37 311 12804 11893 49 303 45 305 42 312 38 313 34 312 11893 11068 49 303 43 306 40 312 37 314 33 314 11068 10326 47 304 42 308 38 313 36 316 32 316 10326 9655 46 304 39 309 35*315 35 319 31 319 9655 9042 42 305 35 311 31*316 34 323 29 321 9042 8490 36 306 28 312 25 318 31 326 27 322 8490 8022 28 308 21 312 19 319 25 328 22 323 8022 7658 19 311 14 314 14 320 19 329 17 325 7658 7405 11 320 9 315 11 320 13 330 12 330 7405 7250 5*338 6*317 9 319 8*332 8*339 7250 7161 2*014 3*320 6 320 3*347 3*009 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography