DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 6.6 - - 12.9 - - 21.3 - - 19.3 - - 13.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -48 - - 6 - - 31 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1220 - - 667 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 7143 - - 7143 - - 7143 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 7161 - - 10230 - - 9677 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1124 - - 2056 - - 1259 - - 1239 - - 1769 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 21 - - 147 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 11 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 357 - - 009 - - 340 - - 285 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 14 - - 16 - - 14 - - 14 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -39 - - -17 - - 4 - - 9 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -946 - - -1905 - - 163 - - 1593 - - -2036 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8107 - - 9067 - - 10067 - - 8084 - - 9197 sfcLCL ODpotential -7957 - - -9013 - - -6454 - - -5435 - - -8085 ODpotential blCL 15118 - - 16174 - - 16684 - - 15112 - - 15246 blCL maxRH 60 - - 46 - - 44 - - 55 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 6.6 - - 12.9 - - 21.3 - - 19.3 - - 13.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -2.8 - - -0.9 - - 2.8 - - 9.6 - - -1.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 16.4 - - 19.4 - - 25.3 - - 25.3 - - 23.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.9 - - 0.1 - - 1.9 - - 8.5 - - 4.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -48 - - 6 - - 31 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1220 - - 667 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 93849 83 289 78 289 71 287 60 288 86 288 93849 87350 74 298 70 293 69 298 62 299 74 288 87350 82238 55 295 59 295 64 299 62 305 61 295 82238 77943 38 296 45 292 52 294 57 302 52 299 77943 74199 31 300 35 288 45 290 52 301 42 303 74199 70829 35 308 30 292 41 289 49 306 35 312 70829 67715 40 307 33 293 41 290 48 307 35 320 67715 64804 40 302 36 294 43 294 47 304 39 319 64804 62076 37 299 34 300 43 296 44 300 43 313 62076 59416 37 301 28 300 39 298 39 302 45 308 59416 56623 40 305 29 307 38 301 38 307 46 306 56623 53705 44 310 38 308 38 305 42 309 46 311 53705 50907 48 317 42 308 41 309 43 313 46 317 50907 48387 54 326 47 318 44 312 47 317 49 321 48387 46131 59 332 53 322 47 317 47 320 52 322 46131 44092 64 334 55 330 49 323 49 325 53 323 44092 42231 65 331 58 335 51 328 50 328 51 328 42231 40524 62 328 58 336 53 334 52 333 52 332 40524 38957 59 329 60 340 57 337 59 339 57 334 38957 37518 59 333 64 343 62 338 69 339 64 337 37518 36195 59 337 67 344 65 339 74 337 74 339 36195 34948 61 341 68 344 66 340 76 337 85 337 34948 33712 64 342 68 345 65 341 75 338 91 336 33712 32452 65 342 66 346 61 343 74 340 92 337 32452 31172 63 342 64 348 55 347 70 341 87 338 31172 29864 60 342 63 350 51 349 60 342 79 339 29864 28521 59 344 62 351 49 350 51 340 71 339 28521 27151 60 346 61 351 47 350 45 339 61 336 27151 25757 62 346 60 350 46 350 43 338 51 330 25757 24343 64 345 60 349 46 349 41 336 44 325 24343 22909 66 344 59 348 48 349 38 336 37 323 22909 21450 68 342 57 348 49 349 37 337 34 321 21450 19958 71 341 55 349 47 348 37 339 33 320 19958 18458 71 341 53 351 44 348 36 340 33 320 18458 17022 70 341 50 352 40 349 35 341 32 324 17022 15715 65 342 47 352 37 350 33 341 31 328 15715 14544 60 342 43 352 34 352 30 341 29 331 14544 13489 55 342 39 353 31 353 27 341 26 332 13489 12534 52 343 35 355 26 353 25 340 24 331 12534 11669 50 343 31 359 22 352 22 338 21 329 11669 10885 48 344 28 004 17*352 19 334 19 326 10885 10178 47 345 26 008 14*351 15*329 16 320 10178 9539 45 347 25 012 10 347 11*320 14 315 9539 8955 42 349 24 015 6 339 9 305 12 307 8955 8429 38 352 21 016 3 322 7 285 9 298 8429 7983 33 355 18 014 1 296 6 264 7 289 7983 7635 27 356 14 010 1 278 5 242 5 282 7635 7393 20 356 9 004 1 244 4 221 3 275 7393 7245 13*356 6*359 1 229 3 196 1*111 7245 7160 6*360 3*346 1 229 2 174 2*103 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography