DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.5 - - 37.8 - - 37.0 - - 32.5 - - 28.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 57 - - 113 - - -5 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1911 - - 1990 - - 1143 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 9867 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 10921 - - 11000 - - 10153 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3627 - - 909 - - 900 - - 991 - - 2347 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 213 - - 267 - - 43 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 29 - - 26 - - 16 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 285 - - 301 - - 299 - - 313 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 26 - - 27 - - 23 - - 21 - - 19 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -25 - - 28 - - -17 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 3524 - - 2609 - - 2261 - - -706 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7398 - - 8392 - - 7892 - - 7868 sfcLCL ODpotential -1375 - - 926 - - -4298 - - -6571 - - -10979 ODpotential blCL 8537 - - 9995 - - 15298 - - 16724 - - 18141 blCL maxRH 94 - - 87 - - 78 - - 69 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.5 - - 37.8 - - 37.0 - - 32.5 - - 28.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.4 - - 30.4 - - 25.4 - - 23.2 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.5 - - 41.3 - - 40.1 - - 37.2 - - 34.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.5 - - 29.4 - - 24.2 - - 22.3 - - 18.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 57 - - 113 - - -5 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1911 - - 1990 - - 1143 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 49 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96718 15 093 7 092 8 078 17 065 8 060 96718 89502 11 079 10 070 8 092 15 032 13 028 89502 83936 12 025 8 079 5 071 16 348 13 019 83936 79309 19 356 6 347 9 009 12 303 18 008 79309 75309 12 322 4 340 12 330 11 309 17 349 75309 71761 19 292 13 326 12 327 18 004 15 347 71761 68539 16 301 5 347 19 300 24 321 20 333 68539 65573 15 314 18 329 25 270 28 330 25 331 65573 62813 26 302 19 297 4 280 36 325 27 344 62813 60140 23 300 25 297 26 334 37 307 28 323 60140 57353 34 312 44 290 46 297 55 301 40 326 57353 54453 55 305 49 296 54 296 59 299 58 311 54453 51686 66 298 59 300 60 302 62 301 61 305 51686 49209 63 292 66 299 67 301 72 301 68 305 49209 47004 64 293 69 298 74 298 76 300 71 308 47004 45020 70 294 75 296 76 294 73 304 79 312 45020 43220 73 291 74 294 69 298 79 311 89 311 43220 41574 70 292 71 301 72 312 98 311 97 311 41574 40054 74 303 85 312 94 314 111 308 99 310 40054 38636 93 309 107 313 117 308 108 305 96 310 38636 37307 105 305 119 309 122 303 103 306 94 309 37307 36036 102 298 122 305 118 299 103 307 93 308 36036 34762 95 295 116 303 111 296 104 307 90 309 34762 33460 88 297 106 301 103 301 104 307 87 313 33460 32138 83 299 97 301 105 310 102 307 88 318 32138 30784 80 301 93 307 104 314 98 308 92 320 30784 29391 78 303 93 312 99 314 92 310 91 320 29391 27963 75 304 93 312 96 316 84 313 86 317 27963 26502 69 300 88 309 92 319 76 314 79 311 26502 25013 64 291 76 302 87 318 71 314 73 308 25013 23502 61 286 65 291 81 313 69 316 64 306 23502 21963 56 282 61 283 76 304 67 314 55 305 21963 20393 53 280 58 282 72 296 66 310 51 305 20393 18815 51 278 56 282 67 293 66 307 52 307 18815 17309 49 276 55 282 63 292 66 306 54 308 17309 15944 49 275 53 283 60 293 63 306 55 309 15944 14726 49 275 52 285 56 293 58 306 52 309 14726 13636 50 275 50 286 52 294 51 306 47 310 13636 12653 49 277 47 288 46 295 45 306 42 310 12653 11765 46 279 44 291 40*295 38 307 38 311 11765 10963 42 283 41*294 34*297 32 307 34 313 10963 10241 38 285 38*298 30 298 27*308 31 316 10241 9589 37 288 35 300 28 299 24*310 28 319 9589 8994 36 289 33 301 27 300 21 313 25 324 8994 8457 33 290 30 302 26 300 18 314 22 330 8457 8002 27 289 27 302 24 300 15 315 18 335 8002 7647 20 286 23 303 22 300 12 315 14 340 7647 7399 13 282 20 303 19 299 9 315 9 346 7399 7248 8*277 17 303 16 299 7 316 7*354 7248 7161 2*262 10 303 10 299 3 319 4*002 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography