DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0659z - - 1002z - - 1601z - - 1900z - - 2158z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 60.5 - - 65.0 - - 64.7 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 333 - - 379 - - 98 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4105 - - 5683 - - 6239 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7148 - - 11845 - - 13140 - - 12797 - - 7148 Hcrit BL Top 7166 - - 13115 - - 14693 - - 15249 - - 7166 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2567 - - 1712 - - 1863 - - 1979 - - 3812 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 474 - - 553 - - 365 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 15 - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 240 - - 236 - - 239 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 18 - - 20 - - 16 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 13 - - 17 - - 13 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6865 - - -3302 - - -3178 - - -2985 - - -8218 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14032 - - 16418 - - 17872 - - 18235 - - 15385 sfcLCL ODpotential -14584 - - -9443 - - -8415 - - -8357 - - -15189 ODpotential blCL 21750 - - 22558 - - 23108 - - 23606 - - 22355 blCL maxRH 35 - - 38 - - 41 - - 63 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 60.5 - - 65.0 - - 64.7 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.3 - - 13.4 - - 11.3 - - 9.4 - - 10.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.0 - - 62.4 - - 66.7 - - 67.7 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.1 - - 12.9 - - 10.4 - - 8.6 - - 9.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 333 - - 379 - - 98 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4105 - - 5683 - - 6239 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98191 4 109 5 156 2 359 6 226 4 354 98191 90883 4 324 2 120 2 081 1 179 2 020 90883 85251 2 305 4 054 4 219 7 341 3 010 85251 80567 6 327 2 054 5 177 6 308 3 351 80567 76527 8 308 8 304 3 331 7 289 4 327 76527 72947 5 244 8 233 10 265 15 277 9 302 72947 69699 9 290 8 263 12 263 19 270 17 282 69699 66714 18 270 18 261 19 257 21 263 21 273 66714 63941 23 258 23 249 24 253 26 261 25 265 63941 61242 31 264 30 253 32 258 33 258 32 260 61242 58415 44 262 40 254 42 257 40 256 42 259 58415 55482 53 259 48 252 50 252 48 254 50 256 55482 52687 58 255 56 252 55 252 54 254 57 252 52687 50182 62 251 63 251 61 253 58 255 60 251 50182 47944 64 248 68 249 66 252 62 255 61 253 47944 45917 64 248 70 247 71 251 66 255 63 256 45917 44062 63 250 70 247 74 250 69 255 64 257 44062 42350 63 253 68 248 73 249 70 254 65 256 42350 40756 64 255 66 249 72 251 69 252 64 254 40756 39265 66 255 64 251 70 252 67 252 62 253 39265 37872 66 254 63 252 67 254 66 253 59 253 37872 36548 63 254 61 252 63 253 64 255 59 253 36548 35234 57 254 58 252 59 252 59 255 61 252 35234 33909 49 256 55 254 56 251 55 252 60 248 33909 32577 44 256 51 254 52 253 50 249 53 244 32577 31220 41 255 45 253 49 256 46 249 46 241 31220 29823 39 254 41 252 46 257 43 248 43 239 29823 28389 38 254 39 252 43 258 41 246 42 239 28389 26919 38 253 37 251 40 257 38 244 40 240 26919 25420 38 252 36 252 39 257 35 244 37 239 25420 23896 37 251 35 252 37 255 33 246 33 237 23896 22344 35 251 34 251 37 254 31 247 31 235 22344 20760 34 250 33 250 35 252 30 248 31 236 20760 19168 34 249 33 248 34 250 30 247 32 240 19168 17647 34 249 33 248 32 249 29 244 33 240 17647 16266 33 249 33 249 30 249 27*241 34 237 16266 15030 31 251 31 250 28*250 25*239 32 232 15030 13916 28 254 27*251 26*250 23 240 30 230 13916 12907 25 256 22*252 23 249 21 240 27 232 12907 11989 21 256 17 253 20 248 20 242 25 238 11989 11156 18 256 13 253 15 240 16 241 23 247 11156 10403 15 252 9 244 13 227 15 239 20 257 10403 9722 12 249 8 229 12 223 15 238 17 269 9722 9097 10 248 8 223 12 220 14 237 14 286 9097 8533 8 251 8 220 12 218 14 236 12 303 8533 8053 6 261 8 216 12 216 13 235 11 314 8053 7678 4 295 8 213 11 215 13 235 10 321 7678 7417 5 357 8 213 11 214 12 234 9 329 7417 7257 5*006 7 212 10 213 11 233 7*340 7257 7165 4*007 7 211 9 211 9 232 6*345 7165 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography