DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 66.4 - - 64.8 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 362 - - 424 - - 212 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3880 - - 6139 - - 5117 - - 2479 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11708 - - 13557 - - 12456 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12890 - - 15149 - - 14127 - - 11489 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1476 - - 1492 - - 1458 - - 1584 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 483 - - 593 - - 445 - - 54 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 19 - - 20 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 288 - - 295 - - 302 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 19 - - 18 - - 19 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 15 - - -20 - - -26 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1320 - - -122 - - -808 - - -657 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14211 - - 15271 - - 14936 - - 12146 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7988 - - -6063 - - -6904 - - -8280 ODpotential blCL - - - 20878 - - 21212 - - 21031 - - 19769 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 60 - - 74 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 66.4 - - 64.8 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.8 - - 24.0 - - 24.0 - - 27.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 67.7 - - 67.2 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.6 - - 22.8 - - 22.8 - - 27.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 362 - - 424 - - 212 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3880 - - 6139 - - 5117 - - 2479 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98881 37 107 30 099 32 093 33 101 98881 91392 27 114 18 091 31 080 35 097 91392 85657 22 101 15 100 26 087 27 084 85657 80913 21 101 17 110 16 094 26 078 80913 76822 19 099 20 104 11 115 23 062 76822 73201 16 094 18 091 13 116 12 042 73201 69926 14 068 12 071 12 080 10 046 69926 66915 8 034 6 055 8 043 8 046 66915 64115 5 065 3 057 7 004 9 027 64115 61388 5 352 5 020 7 014 7 026 61388 58529 9 285 5 311 8 339 9 332 58529 55571 14 291 16 281 15 300 14 309 55571 52760 22 292 19 290 21 296 20 287 52760 50222 30 294 27 308 31 297 25 293 50222 47942 37 289 40 296 40 296 36 302 47942 45888 43 287 46 291 51 294 47 299 45888 44031 49 283 52 293 52 293 49 292 44031 42337 51 290 54 290 52 300 51 302 42337 40778 54 290 51 291 56 300 59 304 40778 39335 43 285 50 298 55 295 55 301 39335 37992 38 301 51 310 54 298 51 308 37992 36711 42 310 54 316 53 300 48 301 36711 35426 49 307 55 315 54 298 50 300 35426 34110 48 300 55 314 53 295 50 299 34110 32770 51 297 54 313 54 294 51 300 32770 31395 47 296 53 309 54 296 52 302 31395 29978 44 291 52 304 54 297 53 304 29978 28527 43 292 50 300 54 297 51 303 28527 27041 45 296 50 298 54 297 47 302 27041 25524 47 298 48 295 52 298 45 301 25524 23981 46 298 46 290 49 298 46 299 23981 22409 44 299 44 286 47 294 48 297 22409 20805 41 300 41 286 46 292 48 294 20805 19196 37 298 38 288 43 291 46 293 19196 17660 34 295 35 290 39 291 44 294 17660 16266 31 293 33*291 35 292 42 297 16266 15021 29 294 30*293 32*294 40 299 15021 13902 26*295 24 294 28*297 38 303 13902 12890 22*294 19 296 23 300 35 307 12890 11974 18 292 18 296 19 302 30*312 11974 11144 14 289 18 296 19 303 24*318 11144 10394 13 287 18 296 19 303 20 325 10394 9715 13 287 18 296 19 303 20 328 9715 9093 13 286 18 297 19 303 19 329 9093 8530 13 286 18 296 19 303 18 328 8530 8051 12 284 17 296 18 303 17 328 8051 7676 12 284 16 296 18 303 15 328 7676 7415 11 283 15 296 16 303 12 326 7415 7255 10 282 14 296 15 303 9 326 7255 7163 8 281 11 295 11 303 5 325 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography