DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/12 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.2 - - 56.7 - - 61.8 - - 61.2 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 166 - - 238 - - 55 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 5227 - - 10138 - - 10147 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 12440 - - 16468 - - 15090 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 14237 - - 19148 - - 19157 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4286 - - 2703 - - 1637 - - 1434 - - 6649 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 420 - - 578 - - 358 - - 10 W* B/S 8 - - 7 - - 13 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 287 - - 232 - - 231 - - 222 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 15 - - 6 - - 4 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2040 - - 3529 - - 6204 - - 6419 - - -1095 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9203 - - 10708 - - 12945 - - 12738 - - 8259 sfcLCL ODpotential -7022 - - -71 - - 3423 - - 3370 - - -5126 ODpotential blCL 14185 - - 14308 - - 15725 - - 15787 - - 12289 blCL maxRH 55 - - 75 - - 84 - - 88 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 140 - - 230 - - 230 - - 340 CAPE Temp@2m 46.2 - - 56.7 - - 61.8 - - 61.2 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.9 - - 34.6 - - 29.8 - - 30.2 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 59.1 - - 63.9 - - 64.4 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.8 - - 33.4 - - 29.0 - - 29.6 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 166 - - 238 - - 55 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 5227 - - 10138 - - 10147 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 36 - - 52 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98461 5 091 10 052 18 097 9 118 7 047 98461 91146 10 067 11 109 8 109 9 075 7 057 91146 85481 13 067 7 130 8 117 4 014 9 085 85481 80767 6 062 5 163 6 139 3 346 4 071 80767 76696 4 121 7 151 5 183 4 065 4 028 76696 73092 7 093 11 113 5 180 4 136 5 061 73092 69830 7 095 10 094 5 131 4 161 6 085 69830 66835 8 094 5 101 10 124 5 164 7 103 66835 64057 9 089 3 162 7 123 3 137 4 118 64057 61362 7 073 6 142 5 205 0 333 2 077 61362 58542 3 335 8 112 7 188 4 214 2 292 58542 55601 8 234 3 083 6 135 6 182 3 255 55601 52780 10 190 4 236 3 118 5 165 1 202 52780 50229 7 175 6 202 1 181 4 170 1 312 50229 47937 3 205 7 167 3 229 2 265 5 010 47937 45858 4 269 5 154 3 224 3 327 8 357 45858 43955 6 259 1 155 0 070 4 345 9 347 43955 42201 5 229 1 273 3 010 6 351 9 004 42201 40573 5 204 1 235 3 004 8 358 11 025 40573 39058 2 208 1 201 5 027 8 009 14 024 39058 37651 2 305 2 305 9 026 11 031 16 021 37651 36323 8 351 3 023 10 023 18 036 18 028 36323 35011 13 019 8 043 14 011 20 027 23 031 35011 33687 30 037 14 040 13 019 17 030 24 035 33687 32358 31 030 17 029 12 025 14 024 26 039 32358 31009 25 027 13 028 5 035 12 007 22 039 31009 29626 17 036 6 009 3 009 10 350 16 038 29626 28208 7 036 5 261 3 330 5 334 9 038 28208 26757 1 179 9 243 4 306 4 266 7 031 26757 25276 4 219 12 234 6 269 5 245 8 038 25276 23771 8 225 11 226 9 241 6 243 6 041 23771 22236 9 239 9 226 9 225 10 227 2 356 22236 20667 12 255 8 227 10*212 9*207 7 238 20667 19090 16 255 10 226 10*208 4*188 10 212 19090 17582 17 250 11 227 9 210 3 161 10 193 17582 16212 16 242 13 229 9 212 4 173 10 179 16212 14984 15 236 15*230 8 229 4 186 10 177 14984 13879 14 233 18*231 8 239 4 212 8 177 13879 12876 13 236 19 231 8 241 4 229 6 177 12876 11965 12 240 17 232 8 243 4 237 4 189 11965 11136 11 242 13 232 8 244 5 244 3 228 11136 10388 11 242 10 232 8 245 5 245 4 283 10388 9709 10 241 7 234 9 245 6 247 5 328 9709 9087 8 238 5 235 9 244 6 248 8 356 9087 8525 6 236 5 235 9 244 6 247 13 013 8525 8047 3 219 4 233 8 243 6 247 17 019 8047 7674 1 189 3 232 8 242 6 247 16 017 7674 7413 1 019 3 229 8 241 6 247 13 012 7413 7254 3*012 3 229 7 241 5 246 10*007 7254 7162 2*006 3 227 6 240 5 245 5*001 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography