DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 62.7 - - 63.1 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 106 - - 49 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2353 - - 9485 - - 8383 - - 1068 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10303 - - 15529 - - 14042 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11363 - - 18495 - - 17393 - - 10078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3787 - - 1248 - - 1418 - - 3444 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 321 - - 468 - - 359 - - 61 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 22 - - 23 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 232 - - 233 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 23 - - 24 - - 29 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 12 - - 14 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3778 - - 8885 - - 6691 - - 1547 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7586 - - 9611 - - 10703 - - 8531 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -607 - - 3471 - - 2885 - - -4283 ODpotential blCL - - - 11970 - - 15024 - - 14508 - - 14361 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 84 - - 77 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 890 - - 980 - - 520 - - 440 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 62.7 - - 63.1 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.3 - - 45.0 - - 40.8 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 65.7 - - 66.6 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 43.7 - - 39.5 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 106 - - 49 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2353 - - 9485 - - 8383 - - 1068 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 34 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99474 30 111 25 096 30 106 27 093 99474 91906 22 113 24 111 22 105 23 083 91906 86099 21 102 24 111 22 116 19 085 86099 81275 19 114 21 113 24 100 22 105 81275 77115 22 126 21 110 23 090 24 098 77115 73444 22 124 18 111 18 092 20 098 73444 70131 20 123 12 144 10 108 14 114 70131 67099 15 118 16 138 8 113 11 127 67099 64294 10 152 15 136 8 154 6 166 64294 61588 13 178 12 162 2 169 6 187 61588 58770 16 208 18 211 12 224 10 240 58770 55830 22 221 16 217 23 217 23 216 55830 53015 27 234 19 247 17 215 17 227 53015 50466 37 224 29 244 16 239 19 248 50466 48165 38 211 39 227 25 227 30 237 48165 46079 39 208 39 217 33 235 30 242 46079 44174 45 208 35 218 39 236 34 242 44174 42424 41 208 46 231 50 235 45 244 42424 40805 41 223 56 228 56 232 54 242 40805 39301 51 222 51 224 55 230 57 240 39301 37905 47 217 46 230 55 233 62 241 37905 36587 44 215 50 240 59 238 68 241 36587 35280 47 217 56 250 65 239 68 239 35280 33958 48 219 62 255 66 237 66 237 33958 32621 48 222 65 257 64 236 64 235 32621 31254 47 223 65 255 63 237 64 235 31254 29849 46 225 63 253 60 240 64 236 29849 28411 45 225 63 249 57 242 63 237 28411 26943 45 224 64 247 54 245 61 237 26943 25448 48 217 61 248 51 248 58 236 25448 23928 44 212 56 245 49 250 56 235 23928 22380 40 217 53 239 49 249 55 233 22380 20797 42 227 50 235 51 243 55 231 20797 19206 41 232 41*234 48 237 52 227 19206 17685 38 233 33*233 42*233 48 223 17685 16300 35 236 30 232 37*232 43 221 16300 15059 32 240 29 232 34 232 39 224 15059 13940 29 240 26 233 31 233 34 229 13940 12926 28 237 25 233 28 233 29 236 12926 12004 27*235 22 233 25 234 25 244 12004 11169 25*232 19 233 21 234 20 253 11169 10414 21 230 17 233 17 234 16*266 10414 9730 16 229 16 232 16 234 12*283 9730 9103 10 225 15 231 15 233 11 309 9103 8537 6 216 14 231 14 233 12 334 8537 8055 4 203 14 231 13 232 13 345 8055 7679 4 194 13 231 12 231 13 349 7679 7416 4 190 12 231 11 231 11 352 7416 7255 3 185 11 230 10 231 9 354 7255 7163 3 182 9 230 8 230 5 356 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography