DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.6 - - 49.9 - - 51.3 - - 50.2 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 85 - - 106 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2599 - - 2292 - - 2951 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 10129 - - 10051 - - 7146 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 11609 - - 11302 - - 11961 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4255 - - 2088 - - 2990 - - 2508 - - 4396 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 267 - - 275 - - 63 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 112 - - 171 - - 179 - - 171 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 15 - - 13 - - 16 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg 13 - - 16 - - 16 - - 11 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 4447 - - 4140 - - 4799 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential -2684 - - 1289 - - 610 - - 1139 - - -2879 ODpotential blCL 9847 - - 10320 - - 10692 - - 10822 - - 10042 blCL maxRH 98 - - 91 - - 92 - - 85 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 380 - - 340 - - 470 - - 310 - - 440 CAPE Temp@2m 42.6 - - 49.9 - - 51.3 - - 50.2 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.9 - - 43.8 - - 45.2 - - 43.5 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.4 - - 52.9 - - 54.2 - - 55.1 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 42.7 - - 44.2 - - 42.6 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 85 - - 106 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2599 - - 2292 - - 2951 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 64 - - 69 - - 41 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97424 4 045 6 265 5 295 6 266 9 338 97424 90213 3 012 5 201 1 256 6 341 4 022 90213 84643 9 009 3 356 2 124 8 009 5 034 84643 80022 3 101 2 265 3 294 7 036 5 054 80022 76034 4 147 2 224 4 263 3 256 3 352 76034 72502 5 321 2 149 6 252 7 277 5 293 72502 69296 7 234 6 211 9 260 10 282 6 283 69296 66341 3 239 7 203 12 229 13 250 11 278 66341 63586 9 262 6 247 10 215 12 237 14 248 63586 60900 15 225 10 223 13 221 13 218 15 216 60900 58092 10 225 15 216 18 214 11 230 15 213 58092 55184 18 225 23 212 28 211 26 229 28 231 55184 52416 31 214 33 213 39 218 38 228 37 227 52416 49909 35 218 49 218 51 219 56 226 47 235 49909 47640 47 230 61 220 61 219 56 221 56 236 47640 45594 59 229 62 221 55 224 63 230 76 230 45594 43752 68 230 76 231 81 234 89 229 92 227 43752 42065 81 225 89 227 96 226 97 224 95 224 42065 40498 80 217 86 223 97 222 99 221 94 222 40498 39035 66 215 73 222 92 220 95 220 90 221 39035 37672 61 235 69 228 85 221 87 221 83 221 37672 36379 72 239 71 234 76 227 78 224 76 223 36379 35091 76 237 73 236 69 231 69 225 70 225 35091 33780 76 236 73 234 65 228 63 225 61 224 33780 32453 70 238 73 230 63 223 61 223 58 219 32453 31097 60 238 71 230 62 221 60 223 58 219 31097 29703 50 235 65 233 58 223 57 224 54 221 29703 28274 45 227 58 236 52 226 51 225 45 220 28274 26812 44 221 49 240 45 229 43 226 39 219 26812 25322 42 219 42 239 37 232 35 224 31 219 25322 23807 35 220 41 232 31 237 28 226 22 217 23807 22263 28 220 38 229 28 235 23 230 15 218 22263 20684 25 219 31 230 26 232 18 237 12 217 20684 19097 24 220 24 231 24 231 15 242 14 206 19097 17580 24 220 22 226 21 228 14 239 15 200 17580 16202 24 221 20 217 19 225 14 228 15 195 16202 14969 24 223 20 212 18 223 16 222 15 192 14969 13861 23 223 21 210 17 219 17 218 14 192 13861 12858 21 220 20 206 17 211 17*213 14 192 12858 11948 18 215 19*199 18*202 15*206 15 189 11948 11123 16 207 17*195 17*195 13 196 16 181 11123 10377 14 197 14 189 15 190 11 183 17 172 10377 9700 13 189 12 177 12 184 10 169 17 162 9700 9079 12 179 10 162 10 173 10 156 17 152 9079 8519 10 168 9 156 9 168 9 146 15 145 8519 8042 8 150 8 147 9 164 8 134 14 134 8042 7670 6 121 7 145 8 162 8 127 12 120 7670 7411 5 091 7 143 8 160 7 122 9 103 7411 7253 4*053 6 143 7 160 5 116 6*078 7253 7162 3*024 5 144 6 159 4 115 3*024 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography