DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.0 - - 78.4 - - 82.2 - - 80.7 - - 71.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 314 - - 358 - - 159 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2213 - - 7352 - - 10678 - - 9992 - - 525 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 14403 - - 17167 - - 16087 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 11223 - - 16362 - - 19688 - - 19002 - - 9535 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2800 - - 2706 - - 1854 - - 1918 - - 6676 Hgt.Variab. W* 176 - - 572 - - 677 - - 509 - - 36 W* B/S 2 - - 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 11 - - 15 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 308 - - 259 - - 233 - - 227 - - 000 Direction Wind Shear 21 - - 19 - - 24 - - 11 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 10 - - 13 - - 17 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2554 - - 1792 - - 4030 - - 3954 - - -2157 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13778 - - 14571 - - 15659 - - 15049 - - 11693 sfcLCL ODpotential -6743 - - -1703 - - 1769 - - 1543 - - -6650 ODpotential blCL 17966 - - 18065 - - 17919 - - 17459 - - 16185 blCL maxRH 89 - - 81 - - 83 - - 97 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 110 - - 160 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m 72.0 - - 78.4 - - 82.2 - - 80.7 - - 71.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 39.2 - - 38.0 - - 39.4 - - 45.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.5 - - 80.2 - - 83.6 - - 83.1 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.8 - - 38.0 - - 36.9 - - 38.2 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 314 - - 358 - - 159 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2213 - - 7352 - - 10678 - - 9992 - - 525 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 56 - - 23 - - 32 - - 89 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99791 43 109 39 117 31 104 35 097 33 097 99791 92173 37 100 32 102 34 111 25 109 26 093 92173 86329 26 100 24 106 29 103 23 103 25 108 86329 81516 22 096 23 117 20 101 24 103 25 104 81516 77386 15 116 20 102 18 114 17 095 23 091 77386 73740 19 130 11 129 17 109 13 090 20 094 73740 70442 18 101 16 135 11 136 8 095 12 110 70442 67411 6 119 18 127 13 168 7 177 10 129 67411 64611 7 180 12 139 11 169 12 172 10 145 64611 61925 18 213 1 218 7 185 10 188 9 177 61925 59135 27 199 21 207 19 206 19 216 10 229 59135 56252 27 203 31 209 31 215 38 214 37 206 56252 53535 31 216 39 205 39 209 41 206 41 205 53535 51110 38 219 40 209 42 221 44 216 42 222 51110 48931 47 224 50 220 56 223 51 222 54 227 48931 46943 56 226 59 219 60 222 55 225 56 229 46943 45114 58 223 58 217 59 221 56 221 53 230 45114 43418 54 224 42 223 52 213 55 220 51 230 43418 41831 50 223 41 228 41 212 51 221 52 229 41831 40341 47 223 46 225 44 232 49 227 51 230 40341 38946 50 223 52 220 49 235 53 234 49 231 38946 37612 57 219 60 214 48 229 57 235 51 232 37612 36275 55 211 60 210 45 226 59 235 52 237 36275 34909 51 202 54 209 42 227 53 234 48 241 34909 33522 50 201 57 212 41 231 44 231 42 237 33522 32104 46 214 55 215 39 232 40 229 39 229 32104 30647 41 225 42 219 38 228 38 228 38 227 30647 29156 39 229 33 222 37 222 36 226 38 227 29156 27631 35 231 32 224 35 218 34 220 36 226 27631 26077 32 227 31 217 33 215 32 217 34 225 26077 24499 32 219 32 218 31 214 29 219 31 224 24499 22895 36 219 38 221 30 218 27 225 26 216 22895 21258 38 219 43 217 32*221 25 233 24 214 21258 19610 34 216 43 214 31*221 22*227 23 220 19610 18035 30 216 39 218 27 224 18*219 22 217 18035 16604 27 218 31*228 20 229 13 218 21 207 16604 15322 23 219 23*232 14 232 8 220 19 201 15322 14167 18 222 14 237 11 238 8 223 15 196 14167 13119 14 233 10 250 10 240 8 226 11 188 13119 12167 15 251 10 261 10 242 8 229 8 170 12167 11303 19*270 10 270 10 243 8 233 6 152 11303 10522 22*283 10 273 10 244 9 235 3 141 10522 9815 21 293 10 276 10 245 9 236 1*105 9815 9166 18 305 10 277 10 246 9 237 2*012 9166 8581 14 318 10 279 10 246 9 238 6 360 8581 8083 11 332 10 279 10 245 9 238 9 001 8083 7695 9 343 9 280 10 245 9 238 11 000 7695 7425 7 347 9 280 9 245 9 238 10 358 7425 7259 6 349 8 280 9 245 8 238 8 356 7259 7164 5 351 7 280 7 244 7 237 4 356 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography