DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.5 - - 36.5 - - 41.4 - - 35.3 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - -6 - - -5 - - -13 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 438 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9448 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1662 - - 2035 - - 1240 - - 2367 - - 1679 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 12 - - 54 - - 10 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 15 - - 10 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 031 - - 231 - - 281 - - 289 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 8 - - 22 - - 24 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -9 - - -8 - - -9 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5701 - - -4764 - - -903 - - -1305 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12863 - - 11927 - - 10351 - - 8467 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -17609 - - -15189 - - -9754 - - -7767 - - -8294 ODpotential blCL 24771 - - 22351 - - 19202 - - 14929 - - 15456 blCL maxRH 71 - - 84 - - 90 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.5 - - 36.5 - - 41.4 - - 35.3 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.6 - - 10.2 - - 21.5 - - 23.6 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.9 - - 43.0 - - 45.7 - - 42.3 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 0.6 - - 9.4 - - 20.3 - - 22.6 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - -6 - - -5 - - -13 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 438 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 38 - - 58 - - 76 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96343 31 033 28 014 20 036 25 011 32 002 96343 89449 25 015 21 008 20 036 17 355 22 327 89449 84104 24 344 19 352 20 006 14 353 21 311 84104 79598 16 357 16 009 18 341 18 351 12 342 79598 75628 10 346 13 356 15 322 18 344 18 315 75628 72089 8 355 11 334 10 302 16 329 17 311 72089 68882 13 338 15 328 15 313 14 318 16 301 68882 65936 19 335 22 325 19 322 18 341 16 300 65936 63223 23 317 26 310 26 303 26 306 25 297 63223 60612 22 307 19 289 26 299 31 292 30 289 60612 57877 18 316 24 318 31 289 33 290 42 287 57877 55030 32 318 35 307 37 290 44 288 51 286 55030 52296 46 311 39 295 45 289 53 285 53 281 52296 49809 47 297 36 292 47 284 52 282 67 289 49809 47571 39 290 36 302 47 285 64 291 75 285 47571 45539 35 305 46 309 53 291 75 289 70 282 45539 43671 50 316 58 302 58 291 71 289 66 287 43671 41942 53 309 57 292 59 291 67 289 70 291 41942 40338 35 316 48 291 60 288 67 285 74 289 40338 38850 30 334 59 300 57 287 65 280 76 286 38850 37475 49 335 69 301 58 289 63 277 74 283 37475 36181 55 332 65 301 61 285 60 274 70 282 36181 34901 48 329 50 300 56 281 57 271 63 281 34901 33607 41 322 38 291 50 281 55 268 57 280 33607 32300 38 317 38 288 55 281 53 267 55 280 32300 30962 35 315 37 290 49 279 53 271 56 281 30962 29581 30 315 37 290 41 277 50 272 58 280 29581 28161 28 314 38 289 38 276 45 268 63 282 28161 26707 30 311 38 288 37 277 40 265 61 285 26707 25226 32 302 37 287 35 278 34 270 54 284 25226 23719 33 297 36 285 34 281 33 276 49 282 23719 22181 28 294 34 282 35 283 35 283 46 282 22181 20604 25 285 33 281 35 283 36 288 43 283 20604 19016 28 276 30 279 36 282 34 289 41 284 19016 17495 31 272 30 275 37 281 32 291 39 285 17495 16111 31 272 32 270 37 280 31 293 38 285 16111 14876 29 273 32 267 36 280 30 295 38 285 14876 13767 27 273 31 264 35 279 31 296 39 285 13767 12766 25 272 30 261 34 278 33 297 40 285 12766 11861 24 271 29 259 33 277 35 298 41 286 11861 11043 23 269 28 257 32 276 36 297 40 286 11043 10307 21 266 26 255 30 276 35 294 38 285 10307 9641 19 262 23 252 28*277 32 290 36 284 9641 9031 16 258 19 248 25*278 28 287 31 280 9031 8483 12 254 14 245 21 281 21 285 23 277 8483 8018 8 250 8 239 16 282 15 287 15 276 8018 7655 3 243 4 221 11 283 9 293 7 279 7655 7404 1 048 1 217 7 284 5 302 1 296 7404 7250 3*049 0*255 5 286 2*319 3*089 7250 7161 3*050 1*312 3 291 3*097 3*085 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography