DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 9.0 - - 22.8 - - 30.3 - - 32.1 - - 24.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 56 - - 58 - - 0 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 382 - - 1601 - - 1493 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 7143 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 9392 - - 10611 - - 10503 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2552 - - 780 - - 943 - - 1223 - - 1858 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 122 - - 199 - - 70 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 9 - - 15 - - 21 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 269 - - 258 - - 254 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear 12 - - 18 - - 20 - - 29 - - 18 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 18 - - 20 - - 29 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2214 - - 1191 - - 2885 - - 2975 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9375 - - 8202 - - 7726 - - 7529 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -11680 - - -5541 - - 507 - - -831 - - -3989 ODpotential blCL 18841 - - 14933 - - 10104 - - 11334 - - 11151 blCL maxRH 81 - - 81 - - 90 - - 90 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 9.0 - - 22.8 - - 30.3 - - 32.1 - - 24.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -5.8 - - 12.6 - - 22.0 - - 24.5 - - 21.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 19.7 - - 26.3 - - 33.5 - - 36.5 - - 32.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.2 - - 11.6 - - 20.8 - - 23.4 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 56 - - 58 - - 0 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 382 - - 1601 - - 1493 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 24 - - 60 - - 62 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96355 10 073 8 144 3 244 3 011 7 085 96355 89241 5 064 8 078 4 124 5 301 4 018 89241 83766 7 196 6 325 6 062 7 190 5 259 83766 79190 2 175 8 290 4 013 1 354 0 087 79190 75202 3 047 5 268 12 299 14 327 9 324 75202 71659 11 343 10 303 15 291 16 305 13 343 71659 68434 12 334 7 333 17 326 24 307 24 304 68434 65469 24 304 20 309 26 309 20 293 28 292 65469 62721 19 275 22 317 24 316 23 311 18 319 62721 60040 23 316 24 317 34 313 34 312 27 341 60040 57228 45 302 33 304 41 302 47 309 43 314 57228 54308 53 295 45 304 48 302 55 302 48 299 54308 51516 60 297 54 306 58 297 63 296 56 299 51516 49009 66 297 60 299 62 299 67 298 70 299 49009 46780 66 294 65 300 72 301 73 298 74 299 46780 44774 67 299 76 302 75 300 75 301 76 306 44774 42949 78 304 81 302 80 305 84 306 87 312 42949 41280 97 305 91 305 94 308 98 308 107 313 41280 39744 114 303 106 303 108 306 107 305 112 307 39744 38323 126 300 113 299 114 302 108 302 108 303 38323 37001 127 299 113 299 115 301 108 301 104 304 37001 35742 119 299 114 299 114 303 111 303 103 306 35742 34484 116 300 115 301 112 305 113 306 105 308 34484 33199 116 301 115 304 111 305 113 308 104 310 33199 31889 114 302 115 306 108 306 111 311 108 312 31889 30549 111 304 111 308 105 307 105 311 111 313 30549 29173 103 307 102 309 102 310 97 310 105 312 29173 27766 92 308 94 308 98 313 91 308 94 309 27766 26330 82 306 87 306 91 313 87 308 85 305 26330 24867 76 304 80 306 83 310 81 308 78 302 24867 23381 73 306 74 307 74 306 74 306 73 299 23381 21867 71 311 69 308 66 305 68 303 70 297 21867 20321 70 316 64 309 59 306 64 301 66 297 20321 18768 65 317 58 308 53 304 61 298 63 296 18768 17284 60 316 53 307 50 300 59 295 61 295 17284 15936 55 312 49 306 49 295 56 291 59 293 15936 14730 51 308 47 305 48 291 54 288 56 291 14730 13645 47 304 45 306 45 289 52 284 53 288 13645 12665 42 300 43 307 41 287 50 280 50 284 12665 11777 37 297 41 307 37 283 45 276 50 279 11777 10973 33 294 37 305 32*279 39*270 49 274 10973 10249 28 291 32 299 26*273 33*263 47 270 10249 9596 24 287 26*291 20 265 28 258 43 268 9596 8998 20 282 19*283 15 256 24 254 38 267 8998 8460 14 276 13 273 13 251 20 250 30 266 8460 8003 8 268 8 263 12 247 16 247 22 265 8003 7647 4 246 6 251 11 246 14 244 13 261 7647 7399 2 169 5 245 10 243 11 241 7 256 7399 7248 3*107 4 239 9 242 9 238 2*236 7248 7161 3*098 3 230 7 239 6 234 5*083 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography