DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 25.0 - - 32.7 - - 35.3 - - 34.2 - - 27.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 10 - - 18 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1054 - - 2698 - - 3989 - - 639 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 10064 - - 11708 - - 12999 - - 9649 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2078 - - 2645 - - 2355 - - 2885 - - 3948 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 103 - - 169 - - 59 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 8 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 273 - - 200 - - 233 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 10 - - 17 - - 24 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 10 - - 19 - - 28 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1947 - - 1313 - - 3613 - - 5838 - - 2186 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9109 - - 8751 - - 8095 - - 7161 - - 7463 sfcLCL ODpotential -7334 - - -3888 - - -693 - - 998 - - -1742 ODpotential blCL 14496 - - 13952 - - 12401 - - 12001 - - 11391 blCL maxRH 77 - - 69 - - 70 - - 81 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 25.0 - - 32.7 - - 35.3 - - 34.2 - - 27.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.7 - - 19.6 - - 24.9 - - 27.9 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.6 - - 36.8 - - 39.3 - - 40.4 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.0 - - 18.5 - - 23.7 - - 26.8 - - 23.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 10 - - 18 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1054 - - 2698 - - 3989 - - 639 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 25 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96977 30 097 26 082 26 091 26 101 12 090 96977 89786 29 096 19 110 20 088 20 110 16 091 89786 84145 21 090 16 104 12 069 18 104 14 104 84145 79434 12 090 11 101 7 062 10 106 11 082 79434 75374 9 078 9 069 4 144 2 127 7 039 75374 71779 6 012 4 024 8 165 4 265 6 350 71779 68509 6 321 4 302 1 316 6 250 6 290 68509 65499 13 272 11 283 10 294 13 277 9 256 65499 62688 12 276 18 254 19 253 19 269 13 273 62688 59939 20 267 15 256 20 266 28 262 25 279 59939 57065 30 256 32 253 36 262 37 264 39 265 57065 54081 36 246 42 246 42 249 48 250 43 247 54081 51233 46 266 48 255 52 253 47 250 37 244 51233 48676 62 263 62 254 60 253 48 258 41 258 48676 46387 69 254 66 251 64 251 58 259 57 255 46387 44316 67 255 63 255 66 251 68 252 65 250 44316 42432 72 260 68 259 69 253 71 249 71 252 42432 40711 81 257 79 255 77 254 75 252 77 254 40711 39132 80 252 81 248 84 251 82 255 80 255 39132 37672 76 253 78 248 82 250 90 255 84 258 37672 36321 80 258 87 252 86 252 95 255 93 259 36321 35046 93 256 98 250 96 252 100 255 101 258 35046 33786 105 251 100 246 101 249 102 253 102 256 33786 32517 109 249 97 245 96 247 100 251 101 255 32517 31239 106 248 94 247 93 248 97 250 102 255 31239 29937 101 248 90 249 90 249 93 251 101 254 29937 28599 93 250 83 249 87 250 87 252 96 254 28599 27231 80 251 77 250 83 251 82 252 88 256 27231 25833 71 250 71 252 79 252 77 254 78 258 25833 24410 66 250 64 252 72 254 71 255 67 260 24410 22968 62 252 60 252 63 254 64 255 56 259 22968 21503 57 254 57 250 54 253 57 253 47 255 21503 20008 51 255 55 249 51 249 51 249 43 253 20008 18506 46 257 52 249 52 246 48 247 41 254 18506 17070 43 260 49 249 51 245 44 247 40 257 17070 15766 41 261 44 249 48 244 39 246 37 255 15766 14600 38 259 38 247 44 244 34 246 33 251 14600 13551 35 253 32 243 38 243 30*246 29 247 13551 12600 30 246 27 238 30 239 26*245 25 247 12600 11735 24 242 22 234 24*229 22 242 21 250 11735 10949 18 242 16 235 19*220 17 236 18 254 10949 10238 13 247 12*239 14 211 14 229 16*259 10238 9593 10 256 9*246 9 202 12 224 13*262 9593 9000 7 264 7 256 7 192 10 222 11 263 9000 8464 4 277 6 270 5 180 9 221 9 264 8464 8007 1 337 4 288 5 176 8 221 6 271 8007 7650 3 079 3 317 5 170 6 220 3 291 7650 7401 5 046 3 351 4 170 5 218 3 333 7401 7249 5*049 2 021 4 169 3 214 3 033 7249 7161 4*029 2 028 3 171 2 208 3 036 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography