DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 18.1 - - 20.5 - - 18.0 - - 8.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 62 - - 5 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2178 - - 7567 - - 3761 - - 328 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7143 - - 13406 - - 7143 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11188 - - 16577 - - 12771 - - 9338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4094 - - 1574 - - 2439 - - 2918 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 210 - - 343 - - 126 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 24 - - 22 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 289 - - 313 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 14 - - 14 - - 25 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -20 - - -9 - - -25 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3502 - - 8259 - - 5415 - - 2178 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7687 - - 8319 - - 7356 - - 7160 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -907 - - 3238 - - 1702 - - -1452 ODpotential blCL - - - 12095 - - 13339 - - 11069 - - 10790 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 77 - - 87 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 18.1 - - 20.5 - - 18.0 - - 8.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.5 - - 9.1 - - 10.9 - - 2.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 21.6 - - 23.7 - - 21.8 - - 15.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.5 - - 8.1 - - 10.2 - - 2.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 62 - - 5 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2178 - - 7567 - - 3761 - - 328 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 8 - - 49 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96999 23 108 21 112 23 107 24 099 96999 89814 15 121 13 105 19 104 21 103 89814 84233 16 126 10 105 10 097 18 091 84233 79556 13 104 14 102 8 140 8 059 79556 75497 14 105 10 105 8 120 7 076 75497 71887 9 091 7 133 1 092 7 060 71887 68597 3 035 8 148 5 212 3 350 68597 65564 6 288 5 201 6 194 5 236 65564 62733 11 264 11 271 5 261 4 305 62733 59961 14 240 17 262 16 262 13 296 59961 57050 11 239 16 246 18 249 21 258 57050 54005 14 263 16 264 16 274 21 244 54005 51070 24 265 23 277 23 281 21 262 51070 48420 24 262 24 274 28 277 22 281 48420 46053 23 268 22 276 28 274 25 283 46053 43913 22 263 22 281 27 269 27 274 43913 41957 17 261 23 275 27 269 27 269 41957 40153 14 269 23 275 25 274 27 270 40153 38482 20 280 25 285 26 283 28 275 38482 36933 28 276 28 281 28 289 29 279 36933 35505 32 262 29 274 28 289 30 279 35505 34167 30 251 25 271 26 287 30 280 34167 32851 27 248 22 270 26 286 31 285 32851 31533 28 243 22 260 28 282 34 293 31533 30220 32 237 26 251 28 277 38 298 30220 28899 34 227 27 236 27 266 39 297 28899 27559 40 203 32 219 19 239 35 292 27559 26205 46 196 41 200 25 203 28 283 26205 24841 47 198 48 194 36 186 18 237 24841 23471 48 198 48 187 39 179 22 188 23471 22095 45 196 47 193 39 187 30 175 22095 20703 43 196 41 202 34 197 23 178 20703 19293 35 209 35 213 11 189 13 144 19293 17883 28 226 25*226 6 094 16 110 17883 16535 22 239 17*253 7 064 12 086 16535 15310 17 248 17 275 10 038 8 074 15310 14212 14 254 16 285 13 011 5 084 14212 13221 12 255 14 290 17*348 2 035 13221 12322 11 254 12 294 21*333 4 332 12322 11503 10*255 11 300 24 324 8 328 11503 10758 10*266 11 303 26 318 12 328 10758 10084 10 288 10 304 27 313 18 328 10084 9471 12 308 10 305 28 310 24*324 9471 8908 15 316 10 304 27 309 29*321 8908 8399 15 317 9 303 26 307 29 321 8399 7965 15 317 9 302 24 305 25 321 7965 7625 14 317 8 300 22 304 20 322 7625 7388 12 317 8 300 19 303 15 322 7388 7243 11 317 7 299 16 302 10 322 7243 7159 7 317 5 298 9 301 5 326 7159 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography