DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1335z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.7 - - 17.9 - - 21.5 - - 19.2 - - 12.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -75 - - 11 - - 38 - - -44 - - -81 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 441 - - 289 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 7146 - - 7146 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7164 - - 7164 - - 9451 - - 9299 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1689 - - 2282 - - 814 - - 936 - - 2331 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 26 - - 115 - - 30 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 33 - - 41 - - 44 - - 31 - - 32 BL Wind Direction 017 - - 021 - - 018 - - 005 - - 005 Direction Wind Shear 24 - - 31 - - 31 - - 30 - - 26 Wind Shear Max.Converg -64 - - -67 - - -73 - - -43 - - -58 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -318 - - -597 - - 1293 - - 959 - - -569 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7482 - - 7762 - - 8158 - - 8340 - - 7733 sfcLCL ODpotential -6055 - - -6955 - - -3921 - - -4062 - - -5272 ODpotential blCL 13219 - - 14119 - - 13372 - - 13361 - - 12435 blCL maxRH 86 - - 71 - - 69 - - 60 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.7 - - 17.9 - - 21.5 - - 19.2 - - 12.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.3 - - 9.2 - - 11.1 - - 8.2 - - 4.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 21.9 - - 21.7 - - 25.2 - - 23.7 - - 17.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.2 - - 8.5 - - 10.0 - - 7.6 - - 4.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -75 - - 11 - - 38 - - -44 - - -81 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 441 - - 289 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 45 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95057 34 312 18 296 24 295 30 283 40 314 95057 87996 14 329 13 321 19 297 25 324 26 334 87996 82663 11 353 11 339 8 257 19 329 25 334 82663 78253 19 340 12 346 1 014 13 331 21 328 78253 74425 20 320 16 337 11 320 22 329 26 329 74425 71020 15 305 15 323 14 295 26 316 29 327 71020 67920 14 313 14 316 13 306 27 309 25 325 67920 65026 20 316 21 314 19 326 28 308 22 325 65026 62285 25 303 25 310 26 324 29 307 26 327 62285 59583 27 292 26 307 30 317 29 309 35 329 59583 56738 25 288 25 306 32 311 28 317 41 328 56738 53773 24 293 24 307 29 306 28 328 40 328 53773 50934 27 301 25 310 25 307 30 336 35 333 50934 48373 32 302 28 313 23 315 34 339 31 343 48373 46075 35 297 31 314 24 323 37 337 31 353 46075 43988 36 288 31 313 25 325 39 335 36 356 43988 42079 35 277 30 311 27 327 39 333 42 355 42079 40326 33 270 28 310 28 327 38 333 47 352 40326 38709 33 270 28 312 29 328 36 335 51 349 38709 37216 32 269 29 308 29 328 34 341 54 349 37216 35840 33 275 29 302 29 328 34 349 56 350 35840 34547 35 266 25 290 28 328 37 353 56 351 34547 33272 37 267 23 298 29 324 43 353 54 352 33272 31987 46 247 26 281 27 308 48 350 50 354 31987 30698 49 227 38 233 25 290 46 341 46 355 30698 29394 47 215 46 219 28 278 39 329 40 353 29394 28065 47 214 47 220 24 279 32 311 34 350 28065 26715 46 217 43 236 19 268 28 293 28 345 26715 25344 42 248 32 257 17 253 28 288 24 336 25344 23954 28 268 29 274 12 259 32 295 23 327 23954 22546 15 278 29 280 11 296 38 302 25 323 22546 21116 15 286 28 288 18 324 42 308 31 320 21116 19658 19 299 26 298 28 332 43 315 38 317 19658 18195 24 309 23 309 34 335 44 323 40 318 18195 16796 24 317 21 319 37 341 44 330 37 322 16796 15523 19 323 21 328 39 349 44 335 33 331 15523 14383 17 327 22 337 42 357 43 339 31 339 14383 13357 17 330 24 344 47 004 43 344 30 346 13357 12426 18 335 27 351 51 008 42 350 30 351 12426 11581 21 340 31 357 54 012 42 357 31 356 11581 10815 25 344 35 004 55 015 42 003 33 001 10815 10124 28 350 40 010 55 017 42 007 35 006 10124 9499 31 358 46 016 54*018 42*009 37 009 9499 8927 36 008 50 020 53*018 41*008 39 010 8927 8411 41 015 50 021 50 018 38 006 40 008 8411 7973 41 017 47 021 46 018 34 005 38 006 7973 7631 38 017 42 021 42 018 29 004 33 004 7631 7392 32 017 35 021 36 018 23 002 27 002 7392 7246 25*017 28*020 30 017 17 000 21*000 7246 7162 17*016 20*020 22 017 11 358 14*358 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography