DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.3 - - 56.0 - - 58.5 - - 57.5 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 196 - - 245 - - 69 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 7939 - - 9594 - - 10215 - - 4057 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 14647 - - 16087 - - 15560 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 16949 - - 18604 - - 19225 - - 13067 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 7756 - - 2022 - - 1549 - - 1457 - - 4804 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 513 - - 584 - - 401 - - 48 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 24 - - 23 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 292 - - 299 - - 001 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 7 - - -14 - - -15 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2107 - - 4761 - - 6015 - - 7524 - - 3959 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9270 - - 12189 - - 12589 - - 11701 - - 9109 sfcLCL ODpotential -7875 - - 828 - - 1843 - - 3326 - - -1580 ODpotential blCL 15038 - - 16121 - - 16761 - - 15899 - - 14647 blCL maxRH 84 - - 51 - - 58 - - 87 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 80 - - 270 - - 480 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m 48.3 - - 56.0 - - 58.5 - - 57.5 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.6 - - 27.4 - - 28.1 - - 30.9 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.3 - - 58.3 - - 60.7 - - 60.6 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.5 - - 26.2 - - 26.9 - - 29.9 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 196 - - 245 - - 69 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 7939 - - 9594 - - 10215 - - 4057 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 0 - - 0 - - 46 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97677 7 213 21 213 24 265 10 288 11 203 97677 90189 8 236 12 223 14 252 14 243 11 255 90189 84449 4 221 4 258 11 235 12 250 10 278 84449 79713 1 314 5 300 6 238 11 280 14 293 79713 75641 6 003 9 306 4 275 11 300 14 306 75641 72046 10 353 9 308 8 300 13 312 15 316 72046 68792 10 329 9 322 9 303 14 306 15 307 68792 65796 10 323 13 320 11 314 13 310 14 310 65796 63009 14 326 15 307 16 311 16 313 15 312 63009 60299 16 322 15 297 17 302 20 307 19 306 60299 57462 16 326 13 303 16 302 23 295 22 301 57462 54515 18 317 13 311 17 303 22 286 24 301 54515 51702 17 303 16 304 21 296 20 292 26 298 51702 49173 17 309 20 292 23 288 21 312 25 287 49173 46916 19 307 19 299 22 282 24 310 21 284 46916 44889 16 301 18 308 19 277 24 295 19 290 44889 43051 14 298 17 311 14 278 20 288 16 305 43051 41365 13 310 14 297 11 293 16 297 16 332 41365 39815 26 292 12 314 9 323 11 297 14 330 39815 38394 29 272 22 298 13 336 8 327 4 304 38394 37082 21 279 28 283 22 313 9 353 6 089 37082 35832 24 312 28 280 25 299 11 004 13 064 35832 34582 27 309 24 294 24 297 11 359 17 052 34582 33305 28 299 27 312 24 299 12 342 17 045 33305 32009 29 294 29 311 22 302 15 326 17 048 32009 30683 29 292 28 301 20 305 15 317 16 051 30683 29319 30 300 28 302 18 308 13 315 15 052 29319 27921 29 306 23 312 15 312 10 324 12 053 27921 26493 19 302 19 311 14 313 8 323 11 056 26493 25036 16 301 16 311 14 314 7 308 9 035 25036 23554 15 309 13 313 13 311 6 310 8 003 23554 22044 12 295 10 318 12 302 9 303 9 342 22044 20501 13 286 10 324 11 299 9*311 8 324 20501 18952 16 283 10 322 7*319 5*023 6 288 18952 17471 17 279 11*314 4*348 6 069 4 241 17471 16123 17 277 11*302 2 335 5 082 4 220 16123 14915 16 276 11 293 3 316 3 089 4 233 14915 13824 15 278 10 289 3 303 2 069 2*258 13824 12835 14 282 8 290 4 296 2 360 1*009 12835 11934 13 288 6 292 5 295 3 345 4 039 11934 11115 11 299 5 295 5 295 5 329 7 039 11115 10373 9 314 4 296 6 293 7 326 8 033 10373 9700 9 328 4 294 6 292 7 324 10 025 9700 9082 10 337 3 291 7 291 8 322 11 016 9082 8522 10 345 3 288 7 290 8 321 11 009 8522 8046 9 008 3 285 7 289 8 320 11 005 8046 7673 10 030 3 283 7 288 7 319 9 003 7673 7413 9 031 3 281 7 287 7 319 7 001 7413 7254 7*027 2 278 6 287 7 318 6 356 7254 7162 4*022 2 278 5 286 6 318 4 354 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography