DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/20 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1000z - - 1332z - - 1603z - - 1902z - - 2200z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.8 - - 38.7 - - 42.6 - - 35.4 - - 26.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 123 - - 157 - - -8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 603 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 7147 - - 7147 - - 7147 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 7165 - - 7165 - - 9613 - - 7165 - - 7165 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1271 - - 2529 - - 992 - - 2185 - - 1342 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 53 - - 194 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 103 - - 153 - - 174 - - 165 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 12 - - 12 - - 9 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1303 - - -4965 - - -3505 - - -4797 - - -3305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8469 - - 12130 - - 13118 - - 11963 - - 10471 sfcLCL ODpotential -11051 - - -11236 - - -8975 - - -11842 - - -12491 ODpotential blCL 18216 - - 18401 - - 18588 - - 19007 - - 19656 blCL maxRH 50 - - 47 - - 35 - - 67 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.8 - - 38.7 - - 42.6 - - 35.4 - - 26.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.6 - - 11.2 - - 10.6 - - 8.8 - - 7.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.3 - - 41.8 - - 45.3 - - 42.6 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.7 - - 11.1 - - 10.5 - - 8.6 - - 6.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 123 - - 157 - - -8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 603 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95583 55 308 64 299 59 306 58 305 62 301 95583 88764 44 323 48 316 43 314 49 317 51 318 88764 83387 39 331 41 329 35 314 42 320 42 322 83387 78880 35 336 34 336 30 312 36 318 36 322 78880 74974 31 336 27 338 25 319 30 319 30 320 74974 71496 27 333 24 338 21 326 24 319 24 315 71496 68327 23 332 21 336 16 327 20 311 21 311 68327 65399 20 333 18 329 12 325 17 303 19 306 65399 62668 19 333 17 324 12 321 15 300 18 305 62668 60001 20 332 15 325 11 313 14 293 18 303 60001 57203 20 329 14 324 13 308 14 290 20 297 57203 54292 21 322 15 322 15 306 15 294 22 297 54292 51520 21 313 17 317 18 305 18 307 24 301 51520 49038 21 304 20 310 22 304 23 314 25 305 49038 46830 21 299 22 304 24 302 27 313 25 314 46830 44840 19 299 22 298 23 300 28 313 26 318 44840 43030 17 305 19 293 22 298 28 308 26 313 43030 41371 17 306 16 291 19 291 25 305 23 311 41371 39839 16 297 16 291 16 290 23 305 22 307 39839 38415 13 297 16 281 15 289 21 298 21 299 38415 37089 12 307 14 269 16 276 20 287 23 292 37089 35831 12 312 12 264 16 265 19 280 23 283 35831 34579 12 306 11 272 14 263 18 282 22 283 34579 33306 12 300 12 280 13 273 17 289 22 290 33306 32014 10 298 15 284 14 285 16 296 21 295 32014 30691 10 301 16 289 15 290 17 299 20 297 30691 29328 10 306 15 297 14 293 19 299 19 296 29328 27932 10 309 14 301 15 300 18 296 18 290 27932 26502 9 312 13 301 16 307 16 293 15 282 26502 25042 10 314 11 300 15 312 15 295 13 279 25042 23556 10 313 10 301 13 311 13 300 11 276 23556 22040 10 309 9 300 11 306 11 295 10 268 22040 20489 10 307 9 297 11 303 11 288 10 264 20489 18929 9 302 9 290 10 302 10 289 8 265 18929 17434 8 296 9 284 10 300 8 292 6 264 17434 16074 7 289 9 281 9 294 6 292 4 258 16074 14855 6 279 9 276 8 286 5 282 3 242 14855 13757 5 269 8 271 8 277 5 274 3 240 13757 12763 4 253 7 261 8 269 6 266 4 246 12763 11861 3 226 6 240 8 260 6 258 4 249 11861 11043 4 187 6 212 8 246 6 249 3 246 11043 10305 5 164 7 188 7 227 5 234 2 222 10305 9638 6 152 9 171 6*200 4 207 2 169 9638 9030 6 144 10 157 6*179 4 174 4 148 9030 8482 6 140 9 150 6 174 3 157 6 144 8482 8018 5 139 8 149 6 173 3 159 6 146 8018 7657 4 137 6 155 7 172 4 166 5 145 7657 7406 3 115 5 157 7 173 5 167 3 138 7406 7252 3*073 5*160 6 174 5*166 2*095 7252 7164 3*063 4*161 6 174 4*165 2*080 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography