DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.4 - - 34.1 - - 33.7 - - 29.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 20 - - -13 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 382 - - 4239 - - 4028 - - 400 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9392 - - 13249 - - 13038 - - 9410 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2761 - - 2524 - - 3272 - - 2492 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 103 - - 210 - - 82 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 22 - - 24 - - 26 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 186 - - 188 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 27 - - 29 - - 28 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 37 - - 35 - - 51 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2232 - - 5789 - - 5805 - - 2249 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7461 - - 7234 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1110 - - 1511 - - 1132 - - 30 ODpotential blCL - - - 10502 - - 11738 - - 11906 - - 9380 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 94 - - 94 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 70 - - 120 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.4 - - 34.1 - - 33.7 - - 29.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.2 - - 26.1 - - 26.5 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 38.0 - - 39.7 - - 35.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.1 - - 24.9 - - 25.4 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 20 - - -13 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 382 - - 4239 - - 4028 - - 400 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 78 - - 76 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96897 17 094 29 097 21 127 18 085 96897 89744 16 126 19 112 17 110 18 099 89744 84145 16 121 15 123 13 100 14 112 84145 79450 12 107 13 142 8 122 9 086 79450 75384 5 103 7 155 4 154 5 103 75384 71771 0 111 5 163 6 200 7 099 71771 68466 5 189 6 237 9 237 4 266 68466 65426 7 212 9 235 12 247 19 245 65426 62618 14 249 12 245 16 261 15 248 62618 59860 21 254 22 255 28 263 26 246 59860 56949 28 244 30 243 37 251 34 245 56949 53902 27 246 29 246 47 241 45 246 53902 50988 40 246 41 247 48 237 53 233 50988 48390 43 232 41 233 46 246 44 229 48390 46082 39 245 40 243 48 245 39 240 46082 43994 51 254 54 246 53 244 49 242 43994 42090 65 243 66 244 68 242 57 237 42090 40345 73 242 73 245 78 233 60 234 40345 38734 88 243 92 238 74 227 64 233 38734 37241 104 239 103 233 65 231 68 234 37241 35860 118 238 111 232 71 241 77 236 35860 34563 123 236 119 231 91 243 97 232 34563 33303 120 236 121 230 110 239 98 227 33303 32052 117 235 119 230 111 237 86 218 32052 30797 116 234 115 230 101 235 86 217 30797 29513 114 234 108 232 94 236 87 218 29513 28194 106 236 97 236 89 238 81 220 28194 26847 93 236 86 239 79 241 69 219 26847 25474 87 241 75 236 67 241 60 222 25474 24079 77 245 65 226 60 237 57 226 24079 22664 64 238 66 221 58 229 55 225 22664 21227 60 227 63 222 57 220 53 218 21227 19766 58 224 60 222 54 217 51 209 19766 18302 53 224 56 222 48 215 48 203 18302 16903 45 225 52 222 44 212 45 201 16903 15631 38 225 47 223 41 209 42 199 15631 14492 32 221 41 222 38 207 38 196 14492 13466 28 211 37*218 35*204 35 193 13466 12534 26 202 33*209 32*201 32 189 12534 11685 25 198 29 199 30 197 31 185 11685 10913 24 193 26 192 27 192 32 180 10913 10212 23 189 23 186 26 189 33 176 10212 9576 20*188 21 179 25 186 34*173 9576 8990 17*185 20 174 23 183 33*171 8990 8459 13 172 19 171 22 180 31 169 8459 8004 12 152 18 169 20 176 30 168 8004 7649 11 142 17 168 16 171 26 166 7649 7401 10 136 15 167 12 166 19 161 7401 7248 8 133 13 167 10 164 13 156 7248 7161 6 131 8 167 5 157 6 151 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography