DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/20 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1012z - - 1336z - - 1602z - - 1902z - - 2203z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.7 - - 67.2 - - 71.5 - - 71.0 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 56 - - 317 - - 358 - - 181 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 602 - - 4039 - - 5891 - - 5515 - - 2514 BL Depth Hcrit 7149 - - 11793 - - 13300 - - 12691 - - 7149 Hcrit BL Top 9612 - - 13049 - - 14901 - - 14525 - - 11524 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2046 - - 1678 - - 1409 - - 1607 - - 2183 Hgt.Variab. W* 144 - - 471 - - 557 - - 436 - - 53 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 17 - - 16 - - 17 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 302 - - 281 - - 275 - - 285 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 18 - - 16 - - 18 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 17 - - 12 - - -11 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3912 - - -2572 - - -801 - - -445 - - -1892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13525 - - 15622 - - 15702 - - 14970 - - 13417 sfcLCL ODpotential -13564 - - -9833 - - -6743 - - -6265 - - -10271 ODpotential blCL 23176 - - 22882 - - 21644 - - 20790 - - 21795 blCL maxRH 34 - - 44 - - 45 - - 39 - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.7 - - 67.2 - - 71.5 - - 71.0 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.6 - - 23.6 - - 27.3 - - 30.1 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.9 - - 69.1 - - 73.1 - - 73.4 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.7 - - 21.3 - - 25.0 - - 28.4 - - 28.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 56 - - 317 - - 358 - - 181 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 602 - - 4039 - - 5891 - - 5515 - - 2514 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99271 32 098 35 114 33 103 33 106 30 106 99271 91814 28 098 30 103 27 109 28 095 28 112 91814 86054 24 105 23 092 25 112 23 102 25 110 86054 81253 22 106 17 118 19 102 19 108 22 099 81253 77117 19 106 15 117 16 107 16 108 17 100 77117 73472 15 103 14 118 14 103 12 121 16 104 73472 70172 10 113 14 128 5 154 8 110 13 098 70172 67130 4 071 14 126 10 167 5 237 8 088 67130 64306 6 248 2 131 3 132 9 215 1 191 64306 61575 8 221 2 270 6 289 4 207 6 243 61575 58747 15 250 11 265 10 255 7 258 11 244 58747 55831 20 258 21 256 17 262 15 273 12 267 55831 53058 26 255 27 252 27 254 27 268 23 277 53058 50581 25 254 33 255 35 258 36 267 31 271 50581 48380 32 264 38 255 40 261 40 267 36 269 48380 46394 44 268 43 258 44 262 43 270 39 271 46394 44570 50 267 48 259 47 263 45 270 43 277 44570 42877 51 266 51 258 47 264 46 267 47 280 42877 41296 49 265 51 259 47 264 48 266 49 280 41296 39814 47 263 49 260 47 263 48 267 50 277 39814 38426 46 263 48 260 46 264 48 269 50 275 38426 37102 46 266 46 262 45 267 46 270 48 276 37102 35785 46 269 45 264 42 269 42 270 44 276 35785 34448 46 271 43 267 40 270 40 271 39 275 34448 33094 45 272 42 270 39 271 37 273 36 275 33094 31708 44 273 42 272 39 273 34 278 34 276 31708 30280 44 274 42 274 39 274 34 281 33 276 30280 28814 45 275 43 275 38 275 34 282 33 277 28814 27313 44 277 43 275 38 277 35 281 34 280 27313 25780 43 278 42 274 38 276 37 278 34 283 25780 24220 42 277 42 273 38 275 38 277 35 284 24220 22630 41 271 41 270 39 275 38 277 35 282 22630 21006 40 265 41 268 39 273 37 276 34 277 21006 19376 38 263 41 266 38 269 35 273 32 271 19376 17821 35 263 38 266 37 266 34 271 31 269 17821 16409 32 264 35 266 35 266 33 273 30 269 16409 15148 29 265 32 265 30*266 31*275 28 271 15148 14013 26 268 29*266 25*267 27*277 26 274 14013 12987 23 272 26*269 19 269 23 279 22 278 12987 12055 21 276 22 275 17 273 19 283 18*283 12055 11211 18 279 19 281 15 277 16 288 15*290 11211 10449 17 282 17 285 14 278 15 290 12 301 10449 9759 16*286 15 287 14 278 15 290 10 312 9759 9127 15*290 14 287 14 279 14 291 10 318 9127 8555 14 297 14 286 13 278 14 291 10 318 8555 8068 13 304 13 286 13 278 14 291 10 316 8068 7687 11 311 12 285 12 278 13 291 10 314 7687 7422 8 315 11 284 12 278 12 290 8 313 7422 7259 7 316 10 283 11 277 11 290 6 312 7259 7166 5 317 8 282 9 277 9 290 5 313 7166 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography