DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.2 - - 40.1 - - 44.1 - - 40.7 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 89 - - 83 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 837 - - 1519 - - 587 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 9282 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9847 - - 10529 - - 9597 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2625 - - 818 - - 929 - - 807 - - 2159 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 188 - - 226 - - 46 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 19 - - 19 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 356 - - 147 - - 169 - - 271 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1985 - - 2342 - - 2436 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7862 - - 8187 - - 7162 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -7829 - - -5183 - - -3126 - - -2481 - - -5004 ODpotential blCL 14991 - - 15030 - - 13655 - - 12078 - - 12166 blCL maxRH 68 - - 77 - - 79 - - 89 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.2 - - 40.1 - - 44.1 - - 40.7 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.1 - - 30.8 - - 33.2 - - 35.4 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 43.1 - - 47.1 - - 44.6 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.1 - - 29.6 - - 32.0 - - 34.3 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 89 - - 83 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 837 - - 1519 - - 587 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 7 - - 14 - - 57 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97353 10 128 4 257 8 313 5 254 6 315 97353 90077 11 095 8 105 2 132 7 118 2 100 90077 84481 9 077 12 094 3 115 10 111 2 085 84481 79867 4 038 9 093 6 106 9 094 8 103 79867 75900 3 064 6 086 7 143 5 027 10 099 75900 72377 1 236 4 057 6 155 3 229 2 112 72377 69168 9 224 8 319 3 219 6 222 4 216 69168 66197 13 208 14 263 9 255 7 234 10 214 66197 63425 12 219 15 241 14 254 12 249 14 240 63425 60722 16 237 17 232 20 250 16 249 15 221 60722 57884 20 233 21 240 25 245 25 267 22 257 57884 54937 22 234 27 237 31 242 30 257 27 263 54937 52119 23 248 29 231 33 227 33 258 28 266 52119 49575 26 254 27 237 31 232 33 258 37 276 49575 47312 27 253 29 241 31 234 35 258 40 267 47312 45289 28 238 21 254 23 251 31 242 27 261 45289 43454 22 272 18 263 17 268 16 250 18 269 43454 41769 23 284 19 263 19 282 20 284 22 286 41769 40213 18 297 23 262 23 283 23 279 25 273 40213 38767 27 347 17 327 23 315 19 295 18 271 38767 37417 57 356 44 352 38 346 28 330 14 312 37417 36135 64 354 54 352 49 354 39 336 26 337 36135 34858 61 354 52 354 50 353 40 335 34 334 34858 33560 53 356 53 358 48 354 37 332 33 329 33560 32246 46 358 50 359 42 357 34 330 30 327 32246 30902 37 357 41 001 34 360 28 333 26 326 30902 29521 26 360 33 001 22 348 22 340 22 321 29521 28104 21 003 28 004 12 344 14 338 16 310 28104 26652 20 005 24 003 8 354 11 302 17 300 26652 25169 18 006 18 359 8 006 12 286 17 299 25169 23662 17 008 12 349 8 000 10 268 14 290 23662 22126 15 001 12 332 7 345 9 256 12 276 22126 20556 14 351 13 324 9 327 9 275 10 277 20556 18976 11 348 11 319 10 321 9 292 8 289 18976 17466 10 352 8 313 8 310 10 295 7 295 17466 16092 8 012 4 315 5 288 9 291 7 294 16092 14864 8 045 0 310 4 260 9 288 7 294 14864 13759 8 065 2 130 4 237 9 287 7 295 13759 12760 8 069 4 112 2 229 7 289 6 294 12760 11855 8 063 6 094 0 142 5 295 4 286 11855 11036 7 049 6 078 2*071 3 312 2 266 11036 10300 6 031 6*071 2*064 3 336 1 169 10300 9635 6 018 5*075 1 124 4*338 1 120 9635 9028 6 007 2 095 2 179 4*332 2 112 9028 8481 5 357 2 174 3 180 2 314 2 128 8481 8017 4 356 2 182 3 177 1 246 3 159 8017 7656 3 357 3 186 4 175 2 213 4 178 7656 7404 3 358 3 186 4 174 2 201 3 190 7404 7250 2*347 3 186 4 174 2 194 2*197 7250 7161 1*001 2 186 3 173 2 192 2*195 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography