DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.8 - - 41.8 - - 44.1 - - 40.8 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 14 - - 22 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1037 - - 2652 - - 989 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 10047 - - 11662 - - 9999 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2863 - - 1275 - - 1557 - - 1648 - - 2976 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 111 - - 179 - - 36 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 20 - - 25 - - 19 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 291 - - 276 - - 262 - - 263 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear 23 - - 22 - - 31 - - 31 - - 28 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 12 - - 8 - - 8 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 2886 - - 4203 - - 2838 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7162 - - 7161 - - 7459 - - 7162 - - 7162 sfcLCL ODpotential -2460 - - 1000 - - 1119 - - -932 - - -4224 ODpotential blCL 9623 - - 9047 - - 10543 - - 10931 - - 11387 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 50 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.8 - - 41.8 - - 44.1 - - 40.8 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.6 - - 37.4 - - 36.1 - - 35.5 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.4 - - 45.5 - - 48.0 - - 45.6 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.6 - - 36.7 - - 35.2 - - 34.6 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 14 - - 22 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1037 - - 2652 - - 989 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 101 - - 102 - - 94 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96160 24 037 25 036 30 048 36 049 37 056 96160 89283 25 052 22 035 29 044 28 048 35 045 89283 83908 20 037 19 048 11 036 29 030 31 041 83908 79415 14 040 19 036 8 059 19 004 25 025 79415 75493 15 008 9 011 9 027 13 355 16 005 75493 71994 12 320 6 342 12 341 13 329 16 324 71994 68825 12 325 11 333 11 329 13 314 14 328 68825 65906 14 305 12 308 13 322 15 330 18 315 65906 63199 13 277 20 279 11 310 17 321 22 298 63199 60569 9 265 28 266 21 286 18 317 31 296 60569 57805 28 280 31 254 32 264 32 276 37 281 57805 54918 45 287 32 269 35 257 40 266 42 270 54918 52156 55 271 44 282 41 270 44 271 43 275 52156 49690 51 258 57 268 53 274 51 274 51 279 49690 47505 55 263 60 263 59 271 56 271 57 271 47505 45529 70 263 66 265 55 270 51 267 49 261 45529 43713 79 256 70 267 52 273 43 272 44 280 43713 42038 82 255 68 265 52 274 45 287 49 277 42038 40492 86 253 66 260 56 272 51 283 38 280 40492 39050 98 247 77 256 62 271 48 283 33 315 39050 37698 102 245 99 247 66 270 40 290 39 329 37698 36410 103 246 111 243 71 265 39 299 45 346 36410 35120 107 248 108 244 77 257 41 301 51 347 35120 33801 110 248 107 248 79 254 43 298 52 344 33801 32458 112 248 112 250 86 257 42 299 48 342 32458 31083 110 248 112 251 100 258 39 305 42 339 31083 29670 106 247 108 251 108 256 37 310 39 335 29670 28221 102 246 104 249 106 255 38 302 36 329 28221 26739 97 246 100 249 103 255 48 284 33 315 26739 25226 89 248 95 251 101 257 63 272 31 296 25226 23689 77 250 90 251 96 260 76 267 37 283 23689 22123 65 252 85 249 89 261 80 266 43 282 22123 20529 59 253 80 249 80 261 76 265 49 278 20529 18935 56 251 74 251 73 259 72 265 58 275 18935 17419 56 250 65 254 67 255 67 266 63 275 17419 16047 56 250 57 255 62 250 61 266 63 276 16047 14825 55 250 52 254 58 251 55 266 59 275 14825 13730 53 250 47 251 56 256 51 265 54 274 13730 12741 50 249 44 249 52 261 49 265 52 273 12741 11844 45 249 40 249 45*263 48 267 50 274 11844 11032 39 251 37 252 39*263 45 268 48 276 11032 10300 34 258 33*260 34 263 40*268 45 279 10300 9638 30 268 29*267 29 263 34*267 41 281 9638 9032 29 280 25 274 25 262 27 267 35 283 9032 8485 27 288 21 279 21 261 22 263 27 284 8485 8020 24 292 18 281 19 259 17 260 20 286 8020 7658 19 292 15 282 17 258 13 256 12 288 7658 7406 14 290 13 282 15 257 9 250 7 288 7406 7250 10*289 11 282 13 256 7 244 3*290 7250 7162 4*286 7 280 8 253 3 231 0*070 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography