DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 1002z - - 1336z - - 1601z - - 1901z - - 2201z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.3 - - 25.3 - - 32.0 - - 25.6 - - 17.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 0 - - 10 - - -5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 912 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9922 - - 7162 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 789 - - 2442 - - 1247 - - 2911 - - 1408 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 11 - - 99 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 14 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 347 - - 306 - - 319 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 12 - - 19 - - 15 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -15 - - -8 - - -6 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -78 - - -42 - - 1993 - - 2 - - -329 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7240 - - 7204 - - 7929 - - 7161 - - 7490 sfcLCL ODpotential -5849 - - -4754 - - -4115 - - -5842 - - -6315 ODpotential blCL 13011 - - 11916 - - 14037 - - 13004 - - 13476 blCL maxRH 77 - - 85 - - 87 - - 70 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.3 - - 25.3 - - 32.0 - - 25.6 - - 17.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.0 - - 19.0 - - 22.4 - - 21.0 - - 10.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.7 - - 32.4 - - 35.9 - - 31.8 - - 26.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.4 - - 20.8 - - 21.3 - - 20.4 - - 14.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 0 - - 10 - - -5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 912 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 39 - - 48 - - 0 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96443 14 048 18 060 19 055 14 030 15 029 96443 89345 16 052 16 031 20 028 16 022 12 033 89345 83801 15 036 16 013 14 027 14 014 17 023 83801 79159 17 038 15 012 16 011 13 356 17 005 79159 75136 15 024 13 031 8 349 6 344 15 006 75136 71561 15 007 15 350 15 348 13 013 14 358 71561 68313 13 002 10 023 13 343 11 356 10 005 68313 65310 19 347 11 021 9 341 13 341 16 352 65310 62512 22 335 18 354 15 346 19 327 20 322 62512 59800 27 331 23 338 8 351 10 330 20 315 59800 56965 36 321 30 322 27 325 15 341 25 320 56965 54012 32 307 32 308 34 314 31 319 32 317 54012 51194 33 316 28 307 31 304 34 313 33 311 51194 48663 36 309 28 317 31 301 31 316 31 306 48663 46399 34 302 34 312 35 305 31 320 31 308 46399 44357 34 297 37 301 40 304 35 323 30 315 44357 42502 38 298 41 297 41 304 40 322 33 323 42502 40802 41 299 43 294 40 300 42 317 35 319 40802 39228 43 301 40 292 41 291 37 310 32 312 39228 37769 47 299 38 292 40 280 33 304 30 320 37769 36420 46 296 40 291 37 280 34 302 35 329 36420 35147 38 298 38 286 37 286 31 297 38 319 35147 33885 36 299 37 282 38 282 29 292 31 318 33885 32606 37 293 37 284 39 275 32 284 32 334 32606 31311 36 292 35 286 39 273 31 284 28 329 31311 29995 35 295 33 289 37 275 34 297 27 306 29995 28654 33 296 32 290 35 276 42 298 30 295 28654 27288 32 300 32 291 33 277 42 293 35 294 27288 25895 33 303 33 291 31 282 34 292 40 288 25895 24477 33 302 32 292 30 285 34 299 37 286 24477 23033 31 300 29 296 29 287 34 298 33 290 23033 21563 30 303 28 300 28 289 33 296 28 295 21563 20058 30 309 28 302 28 292 30 298 27 304 20058 18545 30 313 29 303 29 295 28 304 29 307 18545 17098 30 315 29 305 31 299 28 307 30 306 17098 15782 29 313 29 306 32 303 28 308 30 304 15782 14604 29 311 29 307 33 305 28 309 29 303 14604 13542 29 309 28 307 33 307 29 310 29 303 13542 12581 29 309 27 308 33 309 29 311 29 305 12581 11709 28 310 26 309 31 310 29 313 28 308 11709 10919 27 313 25 311 29 311 27 315 27 312 10919 10207 26 318 23 314 26*311 24 317 25 316 10207 9563 25 324 21 319 23*311 22 320 23 322 9563 8975 23 331 19 324 19 310 18 324 21 330 8975 8444 21 336 16 332 14 307 15 326 18 339 8444 7992 17 343 13 340 12 304 11 324 15 347 7992 7641 14 348 10 346 10 301 8 316 12 353 7641 7396 10 353 7 352 8 295 5 301 9 355 7396 7246 6*354 5*356 6 292 3*286 6*354 7246 7160 1*011 2*016 4 288 1*241 2*351 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography