DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.4 - - 31.3 - - 29.7 - - 29.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 13 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 718 - - 1655 - - 516 - - 1280 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9728 - - 10665 - - 9526 - - 10290 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2422 - - 2388 - - 2573 - - 2517 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 124 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 21 - - 16 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 226 - - 212 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 20 - - 16 - - 23 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 36 - - 31 - - 33 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2567 - - 3505 - - 2365 - - 3130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1295 - - 2218 - - 1634 - - 1644 ODpotential blCL - - - 8433 - - 8447 - - 7892 - - 8646 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 80 - - 0 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.4 - - 31.3 - - 29.7 - - 29.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.7 - - 30.0 - - 29.3 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 35.1 - - 34.0 - - 34.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 29.7 - - 29.6 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 13 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 718 - - 1655 - - 516 - - 1280 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 100 - - 101 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95874 27 290 25 289 32 301 28 300 95874 88892 18 312 13 304 21 306 23 307 88892 83462 17 297 20 303 16 323 18 301 83462 78941 13 293 20 286 21 314 17 306 78941 75012 14 323 21 288 20 308 16 301 75012 71500 17 297 16 291 17 293 13 277 71500 68295 12 308 20 299 16 301 13 284 68295 65325 24 284 24 273 20 277 17 268 65325 62555 29 259 26 272 22 267 19 273 62555 59848 25 247 24 272 23 281 18 272 59848 56982 22 235 29 266 25 288 28 266 56982 53982 30 247 29 264 41 258 42 253 53982 51132 33 263 37 244 43 242 43 245 51132 48585 37 250 36 242 33 251 34 248 48585 46303 34 248 36 260 36 263 35 260 46303 44230 37 261 48 261 47 260 45 262 44230 42337 52 259 66 250 57 253 54 258 42337 40596 67 249 72 245 67 247 63 254 40596 38986 77 246 76 247 72 246 71 251 38986 37499 91 249 86 248 78 248 76 249 37499 36129 108 248 98 247 88 249 80 244 36129 34844 117 246 107 245 95 246 80 240 34844 33574 119 244 116 244 101 242 77 239 33574 32291 121 243 124 243 103 240 72 241 32291 31002 120 245 121 244 94 240 68 245 31002 29698 109 247 103 245 77 243 69 248 29698 28372 85 243 87 243 66 246 68 246 28372 27023 76 234 79 240 62 246 64 243 27023 25647 73 234 75 242 60 245 60 240 25647 24245 64 235 71 247 58 244 57 238 24245 22821 57 234 67 252 55 246 53 235 22821 21372 52 236 62 254 48 246 49 235 21372 19893 46 240 51 249 44 246 44 237 19893 18408 41 246 42 247 42 247 39 240 18408 16988 39 250 39 249 40 246 36 241 16988 15696 37 252 37 251 36 243 34 242 15696 14540 37 252 36 252 33 242 32 244 14540 13498 36 252 35 252 32 244 31 243 13498 12554 35 250 33 252 31 246 29 249 12554 11698 33 246 30 250 29 244 28 254 11698 10920 32 240 28*245 27 241 26*254 10920 10215 30*234 27*240 26 237 25*253 10215 9575 28*228 25 235 24*232 24 251 9575 8987 27 223 23 229 22*224 22 248 8987 8455 24 217 22 223 19 216 19 244 8455 8001 21 211 20 218 17 210 16 238 8001 7647 18 207 18 214 15 206 12 230 7647 7400 16 204 15 211 12 202 8 220 7400 7248 13 203 13 210 10 200 6 214 7248 7161 8 200 8 206 6 196 3 202 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography