DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/29 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 67.3 - - 66.1 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 16 - - 31 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1894 - - 1511 - - 1463 - - 554 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2489 - - 2106 - - 2058 - - 1149 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1489 - - 1246 - - 1079 - - 1367 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 184 - - 139 - - 166 - - 51 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 16 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 301 - - 300 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 7 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 965 - - 876 - - -159 - - -687 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1524 - - 1230 - - 2217 - - 1836 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 234 - - 108 - - -4235 - - -3017 ODpotential blCL - - - 2255 - - 1998 - - 6293 - - 4166 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 2500 - - 520 - - 130 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 67.3 - - 66.1 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.1 - - 63.7 - - 58.3 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 67.4 - - 65.9 - - 67.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 62.9 - - 57.0 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 16 - - 31 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1894 - - 1511 - - 1463 - - 554 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 101 - - 99 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97694 5 172 7 225 14 283 5 324 97694 90310 5 126 10 205 7 261 2 001 90310 84656 7 084 12 167 2 220 0 212 84656 79961 8 067 8 123 1 258 3 338 79961 75909 5 041 8 060 6 184 7 324 75909 72334 5 359 5 023 6 143 5 314 72334 69111 3 131 2 226 4 116 7 214 69111 66145 6 160 5 157 7 191 10 199 66145 63394 7 188 1 344 5 180 10 221 63394 60733 12 239 16 256 17 259 24 271 60733 57955 25 234 17 242 24 236 25 234 57955 55056 15 275 21 280 21 264 19 261 55056 52269 38 268 43 261 40 262 36 265 52269 49766 46 251 46 252 46 257 49 245 49766 47543 42 230 46 250 49 249 42 239 47543 45545 40 242 47 253 49 252 42 247 45545 43735 57 258 54 262 50 255 49 259 43735 42083 66 250 60 257 60 250 63 260 42083 40558 65 244 65 235 66 247 68 256 40558 39131 58 244 63 225 66 234 70 248 39131 37784 54 244 63 222 59 219 69 229 37784 36475 54 243 63 223 54 219 59 218 36475 35137 51 241 61 223 55 227 54 219 35137 33742 50 236 61 225 57 230 58 227 33742 32291 53 232 61 226 58 234 62 231 32291 30766 55 234 60 226 56 236 62 236 30766 29159 53 241 57 225 52 239 61 244 29159 27467 47 247 54 226 50 245 57 248 27467 25692 37 251 51 229 51 245 51 248 25692 23836 37 252 47 233 50 240 45 258 23836 21907 42 256 42 234 43 232 47 266 21907 19899 55 271 36 239 36 234 47 272 19899 17803 49 270 42 264 51 265 45 285 17803 15661 43 268 41 279 48 286 39 290 15661 13593 38 270 32 272 26 293 25 287 13593 11710 33 268 29 274 15 270 21 267 11710 10045 32 252 27 273 20 258 26 271 10045 8571 34 251 27 260 20 268 28 270 8571 7259 34 250 29 246 21 271 23 256 7259 6094 34 250 28 240 23 268 19 250 6094 5068 31 254 25 239 22 254 16 263 5068 4167 29 259 18 248 19 244 16 273 4167 3371 28 262 14 278 13 254 16 278 3371 2659 26*264 17*300 10*290 14 283 2659 2032 21*265 17*300 9*301 11 289 2032 1511 19 266 17 302 8 299 7*290 1511 1111 18 267 17 302 8 299 6*285 1111 836 16 267 15 302 7 299 5 282 836 669 15 268 14 301 7 300 4 279 669 574 11 268 11 300 6 301 3 278 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography