DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0657z - - 1000z - - 1558z - - 1858z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 88.2 - - 87.4 - - 83.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 111 - - 23 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 729 - - 6385 - - 4129 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 553 - - 4605 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1324 - - 6980 - - 4724 - - 571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2173 - - 1950 - - 4605 - - 7219 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 162 - - 386 - - 218 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - 14 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 340 - - 223 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1536 - - 1860 - - 477 - - -1892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2860 - - 5120 - - 4247 - - 2463 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3406 - - 737 - - -796 - - -3476 ODpotential blCL - - - 4730 - - 6243 - - 5520 - - 4047 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 84 - - 86 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 800 - - 710 - - 1210 - - 2080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.7 - - 88.2 - - 87.4 - - 83.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.8 - - 67.5 - - 70.5 - - 73.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.4 - - 87.4 - - 87.4 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 66.0 - - 68.7 - - 72.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 111 - - 23 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 729 - - 6385 - - 4129 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 34 - - 45 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 13 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98147 2 093 2 138 8 184 7 217 98147 90836 7 110 3 106 4 181 3 305 90836 85208 8 093 6 078 4 117 5 013 85208 80535 9 086 9 078 8 095 7 076 80535 76515 10 088 10 099 8 079 10 084 76515 72972 10 089 10 110 5 090 9 073 72972 69774 10 089 10 107 5 115 5 053 69774 66847 9 093 10 094 6 138 2 272 66847 64144 3 068 4 101 2 147 3 250 64144 61533 2 199 5 166 7 235 6 270 61533 58820 6 236 5 221 10 238 10 270 58820 56015 8 248 11 250 16 250 20 266 56015 53346 13 271 15 260 20 257 25 261 53346 50943 18 268 17 259 24 262 27 261 50943 48784 19 271 16 265 24 263 26 262 48784 46817 19 283 14 286 21 269 23 265 46817 44999 18 298 17 298 22 277 26 273 44999 43305 17 301 19 300 21 280 28 275 43305 41716 14 314 16 302 17 280 23 273 41716 40218 14 331 13 315 13 289 16 279 40218 38798 16 342 15 332 13 314 14 302 38798 37419 18 345 18 340 18 326 17 317 37419 36011 18 336 19 341 20 330 19 322 36011 34547 15 337 17 340 21 336 19 325 34547 33032 14 350 17 342 22 345 17 335 33032 31452 16 001 18 357 23 352 19 344 31452 29792 19 359 19 006 27 359 23 349 29792 28052 24 002 22 360 28 003 22 357 28052 26229 21 006 20 001 22 358 20 356 26229 24324 13 359 18 349 18 344 20 348 24324 22342 9 358 15 344 18 337 16 342 22342 20286 13 007 14 347 17 328 14 327 20286 18153 15 006 11 348 11 342 8 326 18153 15976 13 350 11 346 11 003 8 003 15976 13875 9 346 14 355 12 346 11 336 13875 11971 6 345 15 353 10 340 11 303 11971 10284 9 351 10 334 11 323 9 312 10284 8787 9 353 8 343 10 318 8 305 8787 7458 8 014 9*354 7 322 8 301 7458 6274 8 357 9*352 4 317 8 293 6274 5222 10 341 8 345 3*300 7 269 5222 4294 10 339 8 342 3*246 8 248 4294 3473 9 342 7 339 3 237 8 244 3473 2738 5 328 7 336 3 227 7 247 2738 2089 3 274 6 334 3 218 7 251 2089 1546 5*249 6 333 3 214 7 256 1546 1130 5*252 5 332 3 209 6 261 1130 843 4 251 5 331 3 204 6 265 843 669 4 249 5 332 3 203 5*266 669 570 3 250 4 331 2 202 3*259 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography