DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - - - - 1003z - - 1901z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - - - - 12 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - - - - 49.4 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - - - - 150 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - - - - 5750 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - - - - 4252 - - 550 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - - - - 6345 - - 568 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - - - - 1878 - - 6684 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - - - - 395 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - - - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - - - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - - - - 333 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - - - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - - - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - - - - 981 - - -2731 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - - - - 5364 - - 3299 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - - - - -661 - - -3791 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - - - - 7006 - - 4359 blCL maxRH - - - - - - - - - 67 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - - - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - - - - 49.4 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - - - - 28.1 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - - - - 48.6 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - - - - 25.6 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - - - - 150 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - - - - 5750 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - - - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - - - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96685 37 255 32 281 96685 89418 21 256 23 267 89418 83830 8 248 17 251 83830 79175 5 253 10 249 79175 75140 4 294 6 259 75140 71550 11 302 11 302 71550 68297 10 282 15 296 68297 65302 16 297 16 282 65302 62507 27 293 23 289 62507 59795 32 282 31 284 59795 56961 35 279 36 280 56961 54012 42 278 43 278 54012 51194 48 276 48 276 51194 48657 51 277 49 276 48657 46388 54 277 53 277 46388 44338 54 274 57 276 44338 42479 53 275 59 276 42479 40783 56 280 62 275 40783 39223 63 285 63 273 39223 37778 71 287 64 276 37778 36430 78 289 69 281 36430 35139 81 290 74 285 35139 33833 82 292 77 288 33833 32477 80 294 79 290 32477 31070 75 296 78 292 31070 29596 70 297 76 293 29596 28044 64 295 73 293 28044 26414 59 292 65 294 26414 24705 56 293 57 293 24705 22920 55 296 48 291 22920 21059 50 302 42 299 21059 19111 45 308 38 305 19111 17072 40 309 35 308 17072 14986 37 306 33 309 14986 12969 29 309 31 311 12969 11139 21 305 24 311 11139 9535 17 296 18 295 9535 8132 14 301 12 283 8132 6896 12*314 10 295 6896 5802 11*319 10 303 5802 4832 10 328 7 322 4832 3979 10 332 6 345 3979 3225 10 334 5 356 3225 2551 9 336 5 000 2551 1956 9 337 5 004 1956 1459 9 338 5 005 1459 1078 9 338 5 007 1078 817 8 339 5 007 817 658 8 339 4*010 658 567 7 339 3*011 567 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography